Wednesday 7/29/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Huddle Up Sports

Free Play: Cubs Hendricks +103

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph

WED Arizina w/ Bumgarner +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Last Call

Thursday's Free Play: Boston Red Sox + 175

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teyas Sports

FREE PICK 7/29 MLB ARIZONA +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Wednesday: SAN DIEGO/SAN FRANCISCO UNDER the total of 7½ runs

[Can'tPickAWinner]

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Wednesday: San Francisco Giants + 150

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Wednesday free play on the Cardinals and the Twins to land Over the posted total.

Minnesota has won 3 of their first 4 games played on the young season and in those wins the Twins are averaging 10 runs per contest! The Twins hit over 300 home runs last year and have been mashing the ball already this season - new acquisition Josh Donaldson going yard for Minnesota last night!

The Twins have played Over the total in 3 of their 4 games so far this year, while the Cardinals enter at 2-2 in the Over/Under department and will send Daniel Ponce de Leon to the hill as he fills in for the injured Miles Mikolas.

de Leon is 0-4 in 12 career starts and each of his last 4 starts have all landed Over the total.

Rich Hill will go for Minnesota. He has had success against the Cards in his career, as he enters with a 3-1 career mark in 8 games, but his ERA is over 5 when facing St. Louis.

Hitters to hit tonight at Target Field as the Cardinals and Twins play Over.

2* ST. LOUIS-MINNESOTA OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bob Valentino

Wednesday free play? How about the Padres to keep their groove groovin' as they take another over the Giants and they do so by at least 2 runs.

San Diego is a young and emerging team. This 60 game season looks perfectly suited for their strong young arms and deep bullpen.

Chris Paddock worked 6 scoreless innings in his Opening Day win over Arizona and he enters this start having gone 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA against the Giants in 3 starts against them last season.

Johnny Cueto will counter and while he only allowed one run in his Opening Day start against the Dodgers, he only worked 4 innings.

Hitters like Will Myers, Fernando Tatis Jr. and of course Manny Machado give the Friars some potent sticks pitchers need to be careful with when working through a lineup.

It's on in Diego, play the Padre on the Run Line for Wednesday.

4* SAN DIEGO -1 1/2 RUNS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chris Jordan

My free play for Wednesday is on the San Diego Padres against the San Francisco Giants.

With several sports books following new rules in not listing pitchers, I'm not sure if this will be an issue, but usually all Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager.

And with this game I am not concerned with who goes for the Giants in this one, yet I do want you to be sure your ticket includes San Diego starter Chris Paddack. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if San Franciscos starter is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place. If Paddack doesn't go - this is a no-play.

I've been high on this kid ever since he made his debut on March 31, 2019, and think he is set to lead the Padres' rotation as the ace of the staff. The right-hander looked good in making the most of his first Opening Day start, twirling six scoreless innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday.

He was brilliant in silencing the Snakes with a fastball that travels around 95 miles per hour, and a baffling change-up that appears to depart his hand the same as his fastball but arrives about 10 miles slower. His breaking ball has improved enough to where he can use it as an out pitch when necessary, while his control and command has become impeccable.

And what I like about him, something we saw Friday, is once he gets rolling with momentum backing him, he's become accustomed to stringing together outs and feeding his teammates with motivation.

The offense should do its part against a Giants staff that has a 4.60 ERA, which ranks 17th in the league, and that has allowed a league sixth-highest 27 runs through five games.

This is a fantastic opportunity for both Paddack and the Padres. Lay the run line.

3* PADRES (With Paddack ONLY)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

MLB (Wed) A's -140
MLB (Wed) Rangers -125
MLB (Wed) W. Sox
MLB (Wed) Braves -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Canterbury Park

Canterbury Park - Race 7	Win, Place &Show / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Daily Double / $.50 Rolling Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 7:40P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR MINNESOTA BRED WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. WEEKEND RIDE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WEEKEND RIDE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SLEWS HYMN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within t he last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
6	WEEKEND RIDE	3/1	3/1
4	SLEWS HYMN	2/1	7/2

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	WEEKEND RIDE	6	3/1	Front-runner	78	75	79.9	77.9	73.9
8	PLEASANT MOON	8	6/1	Front-runner	71	66	75.9	62.9	53.4
4	SLEWS HYMN	4	2/1	Front-runner	61	82	75.8	77.7	71.2
3	BIG MAN BOB	3	9/2	Stalker	77	73	76.8	69.2	61.7
7	HURTS SO GOOD	7	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	75	72	79.8	56.7	45.2
5	SHIPMAN'S SONG	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	77	71	70.4	50.4	37.4
1	EUROMANTIC	1	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	81	67	63.8	60.0	47.0
2	HARD TO PARK	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	98	78	0.0	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 6	Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $11,000 • Post: 4:40P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 29 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 29 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (INDIANA BRED CLAIMING RACES FOR $5,000 NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. YOUNG CORBETT is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * TALE OF FAME: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" d esignation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SIR BRAHMS: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in th e top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
3	TALE OF FAME	3/5	3/2
5	SIR BRAHMS	4/1	7/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	ODIE	7	8/1	Front-runner	80	78	82.6	70.8	63.3
1	PERFECT PIRATE	1	15/1	Front-runner	86	81	65.0	61.2	48.2
3	TALE OF FAME	3	3/5	Stalker	99	100	81.2	89.8	87.3
5	SIR BRAHMS	5	4/1	Stalker	87	73	45.6	78.0	73.5
4	IN A FOG	4	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	81	63.0	73.6	66.1
8	YOUNG CORBETT	8	30/1	Trailer	78	70	53.2	68.8	55.8
2	IMPROVISER	2	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	80	71	42.0	68.6	59.1
6	RUNMALIBURUN	6	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	84	72	40.2	64.3	52.8

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Mountaineer Park - Race #6 - Post: 8:50pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,700 Class Rating: 57

Rating:

#1 FRIENDLY WAGER (ML=5/1)
#6 NONNA'S GLORY (ML=9/2)
#4 TANTALIZING (ML=8/1)


FRIENDLY WAGER - I just may give this one a fair chance. Should rebound off last race where he did run out of the money, but was within five lengths at the wire. Sub-par try in the last race at Mountaineer Park was due to the off-going (he finished fourth). I'd expect a better race in this field without the slop. You have to be keen on that latest race speed rating, 51, which is the best last race speed rating of this field. Horse has improved at least two speed figure points in last two races. I look for that trend to continue right here. NONNA'S GLORY - Many positive 'sensations' attached to this horse and his stable. TANTALIZING - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of conditioner Godsey. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. Look for this gelding to run better in today's race. Last clash at Mountaineer Park finishing fifth on a track listed as good is no sign of his true ability.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 U S S COSTLY (ML=8/5), #3 KING SHAWN (ML=5/2),

U S S COSTLY - This thoroughbred hasn't shown too much in the last couple of races. KING SHAWN - Hasn't been doing anything at all lately.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#1 FRIENDLY WAGER to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with [4,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,4,6] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Arapahoe Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

---

Race 7 - SA - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6120 Class Rating: 92

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR $5000 OR LESS IN 2019-2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 SON OF ELEANOR 5/2
# 7 COUNT N GOLD 7/2
# 5 FIVE STAR KIP 9/2

SON OF ELEANOR has a very strong shot to take this race. Is hard not to examine based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been very good - 91 avg - of late. Looks competitive to be close to the front end at the first call. Garnered a strong Equibase speed fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this affair. COUNT N GOLD - Looks very good to be close to the front end at the first call. Has to be carefully examined - I like the figs from the last race. FIVE STAR KIP - Evans has a solid 29 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. Could beat this group given the 92 speed fig garnered in his last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Louisiana Downs - Race #1 - Post: 3:05pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 79

Rating:

#1 OUR DIAMOND (ML=5/2)


OUR DIAMOND - I sense a pace scenario where the speed will fade, setting up a perfect situation for her late kick. I like to play horses that faced open company in their last race and drop into state bred races. This mare fits the bill. The fact that this mare is entered right back into a race so quickly means she's fit and ready. This thoroughbred coming off a strong contest in the last month is a strong challenger in my humble opinion. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 EMMA'S GIFT (ML=3/1), #5 TIZ THE TIME (ML=7/2), #2 CHERRY TWIST (ML=4/1),

EMMA'S GIFT - This mare notched a speed rating in her last contest which probably isn't good enough today. TIZ THE TIME - Equibase speed figures tell a tale of declining physical condition. CHERRY TWIST - Last raced on July 8th at Louisiana Downs, finishing fourth. Unlikely to perk up off of that effort in today's race.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Go with #1 OUR DIAMOND on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	1 with 7
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass