Monday 8/3/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 05:50 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Late Pick 5 Analysis

August 3, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Woodbine Mohawk Park has 11-races set to go with the 0.20 Late Pick 5 starting in Race 6. The sequence has a 15% takeout and will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Big Rich (2-1)-Was used hard off the gate from the 7-hole in last, did get on the engine but lost the race by a head. Should be tighter tonight, was off 3-weeks before that start and this is a very soft spot. Should have no excuse.
8-Perfetto (9/2)-Comes off an impressive win and now bumps up but still fits. Has the gate speed to get a close-up seat and has beaten better than this in the past. Has won 10 of 34 here and will use at a square price as #2 can be camera shy.

Race 7

2-Lefkada (8-1)-Has hit the board in 11 of 18 starts at Wbsb and should be nice price. Does show 2 breaks in the last 7 months, both at Grand River so will toss last. Last win here came on 12/20 and that was with Roy, who is back tonight.
4-HP Bruxelles (5/2)-Filion returns to take the lines and that should help. Not sure if simply got tired in the last few yards or the driver wasn't alert but lost a very tight photo. Program chalk is in a nice spot to make amends.

Race 8

1-Cheapskate Hanover (8-1)-Price shot picked up a check in 1st race back after the restart and paced the back half in 54.4. Team Cullen trainee can make some noise here. Does like to win, 20 of 93 lifetime and has won 8 of 27 at Mohawk.
2-Jaydens Place (8-1)-Another who can put some juice in the Pick 5 payout. Does get a ++ driver change with McNair back aboard. Should be put in play from the start and could surprise with a nice move down the lane.
6-Ocenaview Magnum (3-1)-Comes off a win versus Preferred company at GeoD and fits well with this field. Roy drives for Moreau, an encore could be in the cards.
7-Julerica (8/5)-Scorched the field from the 8-hole at this class last week and went off a 1/2. Was claimed in last and Filion will be between the pipes as 8-year-old looks for 3rd straight picture. Will respect but will look to others for more value.

Race 9

3-Dunbar Hall (7/2)-Drops again after fading down the lane after a difficult journey. Best to respect in this spot, could be tighter and better. Was off 3 weeks before last start and comes back within a week this time.
6-Buzz (4-1)-Drops to a spot to shine. Drury is back, he can put on the engine and Buzz knows how to win there. Not really any gate speed inside and comes back to race within a week. Could be sitting on a big try.

Race 10

1-White Tiger (8-1)-JMac is out injured, maybe Filion will get the steer? Drops to good spot in 3rd start off the break after starting slowly in previous 2 races. This could be go time and may look to race on the engine or the 2-hole.
4-Treasured Tee (5/2)-Moreau trainee is still the morning line favorite despite coming off a sick scratch and not racing since 6/29. Has only raced 20 times the past 2 years, but has a big shot if fires hot off the bench.
5-Mister Magic (4-1)-Last 4 lines are a win, a break, a win, a break and that sequence can hold true if minds manners. Kadabra 5-year-old knows how to win going 15 of 44 past 2 years and has won 16 of 55 for 29% at Wbsb.

0.20 Late Pick 5

2,8/2,4/1,2,6,7/3,6/1,4,5
Total Bet=$19.20

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 05:52 AM

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Finger Lakes - Race #1

#2 Forecaster	Class riser looked good winning off the break last time, and while this group is a bit tougher, he owns a big recency edge; call right back.
#1 Lumberer	Heavy favorite hasn't been out since October and could need this, not to mention the rail offers no value at shorts odds; backwheel time.
#5 Rollo Lothbrok	Heavy hitter is another off the break, and this one has no early speed either, so he may be left with too much to do late; runs out of room.
Race Summary	You'll get fair value on the 2, and you can't discount the edge he has by having an out this year, while the 1 and 5 enter off long breaks, so play him to win and place, and especially to kick off the early Pk4 as well, since he seems to get all the best of it here.

Finger Lakes - Race #5

#4 Amers	Bel invader was a middling 4th to better open 10k claimers last time, has an important recency edge on the favorite, and goes for a Jeff Englehart barn that wins races in droves in these parts, love her chances here.
#1 Trouble for Skylar	Aqu runner meets much easier for Rice and Gomez, a potent 40% combo here, but she was awful last time, and no goes out of town looking for easier, which says her form may be failing; trying to beat on top.
#2 She's Not Bluffing	Capable miss should trip out here and isn't far off the top pair on paper, but she's another who is off an extended break, so she could need this, for a Maver barn that hasn't run a horse all year long; tabbing today.
Race Summary	That 3-1 ML seems very fair on the 4, as she is in form, meets a weaker crew than the one she just faced, and meets a pair who could need this off the layoff, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by keying her in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win over a stiff ML favorite would knock out a lot of tickets.

Finger Lakes - Race #6

#7 Encryption Key	Tricky read would lap this field on his best, but he hasn't been seen since 10/18, so what you get is a guess, but the works whisper ready, this attack post is key too, and new trainer Ferraro is a huge 35% off these extended breaks; look out.
#1 A Maize Zing Rip	Stalker should trip out, as there's some speed that will cross over and allow him to settle early, and his return was a sharp 2nd, so if he moves forward, and the pick isn't ready, then he's going to be in a good spot off the turn; the main danger.
#6 Disco Deana	Pace player dueled and held for a fast win last time, but the pace looks honest here, and the pick will be on her throughout, not to mention this is a class rise, and he could bounce off what was a very strong local return; comes unglued late.
Race Summary	Tab the tote on the 7, as you want to see him live and taking money (you don't want to see this 6-1 ML) to show he's ready, and if that's the case you can play him in all the slots, though you'll get some built-in value by using him in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since he could get overlooked on the break, which means a win in the 3-1 range would add some value to both sequences.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 05:52 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Mountaineer - Race #1

#3 West Coast Temple	Has to turn the tables on the chalk in this one, but the price should be right to give her a look with these. It's not saying much, but she's better than ever right now.
#1 Belle Magie	Should appreciate the move back to the grass after chasing a blowout winner last time around, and she'll be in line for a great trip from close range.
#7 Celebrated Artist	Took a step forward when trying turf for the first time last out, and she should be able to stay in touch early on the move around two turns.
Race Summary	West Coast Temple finishing behind Belle Magie on the grass when they recently met, but the former should offer a much better price and isn't out of the question.

Mountaineer - Race #2

#5 Orbital Deity	Even but useful run off the layoff might give her something to build on, and though this is her 14th career start, she doesn't meet a particularly deep group here.
#2 Deep Space	The clear one to beat in this spot, just missed last out and finished well in front of the top choice that day. Short price is the most likely winner.
#3 Delicate Christy	Races with blinkers today for the first time, and that might allow her to take a step forward that would get her in range of the rest of these at a price. Maybe.
Race Summary	Orbital Deity got a useful run under her belt last time out, and if she can step forward off that try, she has a claim on this at a nice number.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#5 Marcie's Candy	Just rolled a lesser group on the main track here, and she's bred to handle the turf. Not sure she's going to offer the 5/1 ML price, but she can be tough here.
#4 Loupacate	Has a big claim on the top spot, but she has fallen short in a couple of recent local tries, and she's going to get bet again. Need her on the tickets.
#8 Legendarys First	Has run big in both career turf starts, but she beat a small group with a pretty good setup last time out, and she is probably a bit overbet tonight.
Race Summary	Marcie's Candy ran the race of her life last out, and while I don't at all expect her to run back to that, she's bred to like the new footing and is a good fit here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 05:53 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #6

#3 Hidden Ruler	Set the pace for a half-mile in a fast allowance at Keeneland and takes a drop here; his best should be good enough against these.
#6 Wild Behavior	Was up in time in is second start, which came in November at Cburchill; has worked well and can be a player in his return.
#1 I'm Corfu	Has battled for the lead at some point of nearly all his races and has been outrun in the final yards of most; well-timed ride can put him in the mix.
Race Summary	Hidden Ruler s extremely fast and has been in vs. outstanding rivals at Oaklawn, Churchill and Keeneland; won from off the pace at Oaklawn and he can adjust to circumstances here.

Indiana Grand - Race #7

#1 Royal Leige	Just missed at Belterra as he uncorked late run and just missed; lightly raced but looked very good in his only turf appearance. Will be a good price.
#3 Intimidation	Lacked a huge late run in his last and finished fourth; was in the Jason Servis stable and makes his first for D'Amato. Expect a lot of play and a good effort.
#9 Papajudgy	Was dominant on debut and tired in a much tougher spot in his return; has speed and should be able to adapt to grass.
Race Summary	Royal Leige will track a fast pace from the inside and can make a strong late run.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#3 Sandy's Newsgirl	Was pulled up as the heavy favorite last time but had won a state-bred stakes race one race earlier. Is troublesome on the front end and will be the one to catch.
#1 Betcha	Was second in her two this year, both under these conditions here; can save ground and could be very difficult to beat.
#9 First Squadron	Was second going long and turns back to a sprint; has the speed to get a good position from the outside and could make them pay for a fast pace.
Race Summary	Sandy's Newsgirl didn't make the course last time but was a romping stakes winner and Glyshaw would not have her back in if she wasn't ready to return. Worked a good half-mile for this and is the one to beat.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:51 AM

MLB public line movement for August 3
Patrick Everson

Gerrit Cole leads the Yankees in a Monday night game against the Phillies, who haven't played in a week due to COVID concerns. New York is a heavy -350 favorite at Caesars sportsbooks.

MLB betting odds are on the board and seeing some early action for the Monday slate. The Phillies finally return to the field, though as big road underdogs to the Yankees. There’s also an NL West battle between the Dodgers and the Padres, and it’s a Jacob deGrom Day.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Sunday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with MLB sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

MLB line movement

Caesars sportsbooks opened the Yankees hefty -350 favorites with Gerrit Cole on the mound. The Phillies, off for a week due to COVID concerns, are +300 pups with Jake Arrieta starting. Those prices held steady Sunday night for a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch.

Walker Buehler and the Dodgers opened -130 at Caesars, with the Padres a +120 underdog behind Chris Paddack. By late Sunday night, there was already a modest move toward visiting Los Angeles, with the line at -134/+124 for a 9:10 p.m. ET clash.

And the Mets, with deGrom taking the ball, opened -120 favorites on the road against the Braves (+110). There was no line movement Sunday night for the 7:10 p.m. ET meeting.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:52 AM

951CLEVELAND -952 CINCINNATI
CLEVELAND is 2-10 SU (-9.8 Units) in road games vs. a team with a terrible bullpen whose ERA is 5.20 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

957NY METS -958 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 43-34 SU (5.6 Units) in home games against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

959PITTSBURGH -960 MINNESOTA
PITTSBURGH is 10-24 SU (-16.4 Units) as an underdog of +175 to +250 in the last 3 seasons.

961CHI WHITE SOX -962 MILWAUKEE
CHI WHITE SOX is 24-7 SU (16.3 Units) in road games in August games in the last 3 seasons.

963KANSAS CITY -964 CHICAGO CUBS
CHICAGO CUBS are 42-38 SU (14.3 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

965SAN FRANCISCO -966 COLORADO
SAN FRANCISCO is 25-10 SU (13.3 Units) in road games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

967OAKLAND -968 SEATTLE
OAKLAND is 94-70 SU (17 Units) in the second half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

969LA DODGERS -970 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 23-42 SU (-23.2 Units) after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

971PHILADELPHIA -972 NY YANKEES
PHILADELPHIA is 16-30 SU (-17 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive game versus a division rival in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:52 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, August 3

Cleveland @ Cincinnati

Game 951-952
August 3, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Plesac) 14.430
Cincinnati
(Gray) 15.416
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-125); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Yankees

Game 971-972
August 3, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 14.613
NY Yankees
(Cole) 18.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-330
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-330); Under

NY Mets @ Atlanta

Game 957-958
August 3, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(deGrom) 13.697
Atlanta
(Soroka) 18.189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+105); Over

Pittsburgh @ Minnesota

Game 959-960
August 3, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Holland) 13.921
Minnesota
(Thorpe) 17.179
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-235
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-235); Over

Chicago White Sox @ Milwaukee

Game 961-962
August 3, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 00.000
Milwaukee
(TBD) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox

Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
N/A

Kansas City @ Chicago Cubs

Game 963-964
August 3, 2020 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Duffy) 12.709
Chicago Cubs
(Mills) 15.864
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-155
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-155); N/A

San Francisco @ Colorado

Game 965-966
August 3, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 18.106
Colorado
(Gonzalez) 16.995
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-140
13
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+120); Under

Oakland @ Seattle

Game 967-968
August 3, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Montas) 15.764
Seattle
(Sheffield) 14.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-175
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-175); Under

LA Dodgers @ San Diego

Game 969-970
August 3, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Buehler) 17.109
San Diego
(Paddack) 18.055
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-135
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+115); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:52 AM

MLB

Monday, August 3

National League
New York @ Atlanta
Mets (3-7):
deGrom is 0-0, 1.64 in two starts this year; he is 7-7, 1.90 in 22 starts vs Atlanta, 3-2, 2.53 in seven starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 0-0-2

— Mets lost heir last five games.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four road games.

Braves (7-3):
Soroka is 0-0, 1.59 in two starts this year; he is 4-0, 2.27 in six starts against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Braves won seven of their last ninegames; they’re 5-0 at home.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

San Francisco @ Colorado
Giants (5-5):
Cueto is 0-0, 5.87 in two starts this year; he is 9-3, 2.67 in 16 starts vs Colorado, 5-2, 3.26 in eight starts here.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Giants split their first ten games (2-2 on road).
— Over is 5-0 in last five Giant games.

Rockies (6-2)
Gonzalez is making his first ’20 start; he is 6-14, 4.87 in 31 MLB games (25 starts), 2-6, 5.29 in 14 games (12 starts) LY. He is 0-2, 4.50 in two starts vs SF.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Colorado won six of its last seven games.
— Under is 5-3 in Colorado games.

Los Angeles @ San Diego
Dodgers (7-3):
Buehler allowed two runs in 3.2 IP (56 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 4-0, 0.64 in four starts vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Dodgers won five of their last six games.
— Six of last seven Dodger games stayed under the total.

Padres (6-4):
Paddack is 1-0, 1.64 in two starts this year, 0-1, 5.65 in three starts vs LA.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Padres are 6-4 this year, 3-1 at home.
— Four of last five San Diego games went over.

American League
Oakland @ Seattle
A’s (5-4):
Montas is 0-1, 3.00 in two starts this year, 1-1, 4.41 in five games (2 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

— Oakland is 5-4, but scored total of 16 runs in their last six games.
— A’s are 10-56 with RISP so far this season.

Mariners (4-6):
Sheffield allowed allowed four runs in three IP (67 PT) in his first ’20 start. He is 0-2, 6.26 in 12 career games (8 starts), allowing one run in five IP in his only start vs Oakland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Mariners are 4-6 this season, 1-2 at home.
— Under is 3-0 in Seattle home games .

Interleague
Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Indians (5-5):
Plesac threw eight shutout innings (98 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Cleveland lost four of its last five games, scoring total of four runs.
— Under is 9-1 in Indian games.

Reds (4-5):
Gray is 2-0, 0.71 in two starts this year, 4-3, 3.33 in nine starts vs Cleveland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 1-0-1

— Reds won three of last four games; they swept a DH Sunday, with bullpen throwing only two innings.
— Under is 4-2-3 in Cincinnati games.

Philadelphia @ New York
Phillies (1-2):
Arrieta is making his first ’20 start; he is 3-2, 3.98 in nine games (8 starts) vs New York.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Phillies haven’t played in a week; they lost two of three at home to MIami.

Bronx (7-1):
Cole is 2-0, 3.0 in two starts this year, is 4-3, 3.38 in seven starts vs Philly.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 2-2 Totals: 1-0-1

— Bronx won its last six games; Judge has six homers in his last five games.

Chicago @ Milwaukee
White Sox (5-4):
Rodon allowed five runs in 3.2 IP (71 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: under 1-0

— White Sox won their last three games.
— Over is 5-4 in Chicago games.

Brewers (3-3):
Houser allowed one run in five IP (68 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Milwaukee hasn’t played since Wednesday; they split six road games.

Pittsburgh @ Minnesota
Pirates (2-7):
Holland allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (90 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 3-7, 5.56 in 14 games (13 starts) vs Minnesota.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Pirates lost seven of their first nine games.
— Under is 3-0-1 in last four Pittsburgh games.

Twins (7-2):
Bailey allowed two runs in five IP (80 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 10-8, 3.74 in 24 career starts vs Pittsburgh.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Minnesota won seven of its first nine games.
— Under is 6-0 in Minnesota home games.

Royals @ Cubs
Royals (3-7):
Duffy allowed four runs in five IP (75 PT) in his first ’20 start; he allowed two runs in seven IP in his one start against the Cubs.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Royals lost five of their last six games.
— Under is 5-2 in Kansas City road games.

Cubs (7-2):
Mills allowed two runs in six IP (77 PT) in his first ’20 start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Cubs won seven of their first nine games.
— Five of their last eight games went over.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:53 AM

MLB

Monday, August 3

Trend Report

Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ NY Yankees
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NY Mets @ Atlanta
NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NY Yankees @ Baltimore
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Chi White Sox @ Milwaukee
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Milwaukee is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Minnesota
Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

Kansas City @ Chi Cubs
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

San Francisco @ Colorado
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

LA Dodgers @ San Diego
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Oakland @ Seattle
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:53 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, August 3

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (5 - 5) at CINCINNATI (4 - 5) - 6:40 PM
ZACH PLESAC (R) vs. SONNY GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 189-148 (-33.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 215-222 (-57.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
CLEVELAND is 116-95 (-29.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 132-104 (-24.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 118-87 (+43.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Monday since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 160-221 (-58.9 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 31-45 (-18.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
GRAY is 23-37 (-22.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 57-63 (-26.1 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

ZACH PLESAC vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
PLESAC is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

SONNY GRAY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GRAY is 4-4 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.186.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-2. (+4.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY METS (3 - 7) at ATLANTA (7 - 3) - 7:10 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. MIKE SOROKA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 13-27 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DEGROM is 15-19 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 11-17 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 5-10 (-12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 0-7 (-9.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DEGROM is 3-13 (-17.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 106-71 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 100-57 (+38.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 150-103 (+39.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 66-39 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 475-498 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-1 (+4.0 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.9 Units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
DEGROM is 7-7 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.90 and a WHIP of 0.970.
His team's record is 9-13 (-9.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 14-8. (+5.5 units)

MIKE SOROKA vs. NY METS since 1997
SOROKA is 4-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 0.981.
His team's record is 4-2 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (2 - 7) at MINNESOTA (7 - 2) - 8:10 PM
DEREK HOLLAND (L) vs. LEWIS THORPE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 9-29 (-17.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 31-64 (-22.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 108-66 (+24.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 72-41 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 8-2 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
HOLLAND is 66-57 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DEREK HOLLAND vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
HOLLAND is 3-7 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.19 and a WHIP of 1.493.
His team's record is 5-8 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-3.8 units)

LEWIS THORPE vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (5 - 4) at MILWAUKEE (3 - 3) - 8:10 PM
CARLOS RODON (L) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CARLOS RODON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
No recent starts.

BRETT ANDERSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ANDERSON is 1-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.458.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-2. (+0.7 units)

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KANSAS CITY (3 - 7) at CHICAGO CUBS (7 - 2) - 8:15 PM
DANNY DUFFY (L) vs. ALEC MILLS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 47-122 (-38.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1881-1912 (-274.8 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 413-341 (-88.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1013-886 (-147.6 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 173-177 (-44.2 Units) against the money line in home games in August games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 924-954 (-204.9 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 237-230 (-56.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 912-830 (-154.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DANNY DUFFY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
DUFFY is 0-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.429.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

ALEC MILLS vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 5) at COLORADO (6 - 2) - 8:40 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. CHI CHI GONZALEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 93-75 (+25.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-90 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-41 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 223-174 (+42.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 41-42 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-52 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 31-26 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 46-42 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHNNY CUETO vs. COLORADO since 1997
CUETO is 9-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 2.67 and a WHIP of 1.223.
His team's record is 12-4 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-1.2 units)

CHI CHI GONZALEZ vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
GONZALEZ is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

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OAKLAND (5 - 4) at SEATTLE (4 - 6) - 9:10 PM
FRANKIE MONTAS (R) vs. JUSTUS SHEFFIELD (L)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 101-69 (+20.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 199-111 (+40.8 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 93-71 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 37-18 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in August games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 124-87 (+34.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 36-13 (+21.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
MONTAS is 13-3 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 979-899 (-126.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 681-637 (-112.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 18-59 (-32.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-1 (+0.2 Units) against SEATTLE this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)

FRANKIE MONTAS vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MONTAS is 1-1 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JUSTUS SHEFFIELD vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SHEFFIELD is 0-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 1.80 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (7 - 3) at SAN DIEGO (6 - 4) - 9:10 PM
WALKER BUEHLER (R) vs. CHRIS PADDACK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 992-839 (-92.5 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 76-96 (-24.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 69-95 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-51 (-23.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 45-72 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 26-38 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 39-55 (-18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

WALKER BUEHLER vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
BUEHLER is 4-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 0.64 and a WHIP of 0.643.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)

CHRIS PADDACK vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
PADDACK is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.65 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (1 - 2) at NY YANKEES (7 - 1) - 7:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 46-14 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 419-482 (+41.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ARRIETA is 3-2 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 3-5 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-6. (-4.3 units)

GERRIT COLE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
COLE is 4-3 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.259.
His team's record is 4-3 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.5 units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:53 AM

MLB picks and predictions for August 3
Rohit Ponnaiya

The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last five vs the Padres in San Diego, and lit Chris Paddack for 12 runs (nine earned) and four homers through 14 1/3 innings across three contests last year.

A new week of MLB betting begins on Monday headlined by a west coast battle between the NL World Series favorite Los Angeles Dodgers and the up-and-coming San Diego Padres.

We break down the baseball odds for this game and more as we bring you our best free MLB picks and predictions for August 3.

Cleveland Indians vs Cincinnati Reds

The first game of the day is an interleague matchup between Cincinnati and Cleveland. The Tribe haven't been able to hit the broad side of a barn this season, batting .206 and averaging the second-fewest runs per game in the majors at 2.78.

Thankfully for Cleveland fans they have Zach Plesac on the mound. Plesac had a solid rookie season in 2019 pitching to a 3.81 ERA and he started the year off throwing eight innings of shutout ball against the Chicago White Sox.

The Reds will hand the ball to Sonny Gray who had a breakthrough year last season going 11-8 with a 2.87 ERA and a BAA of .196. He's off to a sizzling start this year as well, allowing just four hits and one earned run while striking out 20 batters across 12 2-3 innings. Back the Under.

PREDICTION: Under 8.5 (-120)

Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners

Although the A's have struggled at the plate this season, they have more than enough talent in their lineup to snap out of it. At least on paper, the likes of Matt Chapman, Marcus Semien and Matt Olson are far superior to Seattle's lineup.

Oakland's sluggers should have an easier time against Mariners starter Justus Sheffield. He pitched to a 5.50 ERA across 36 innings last year, and give up four earned runs through three innings in his first start this year.

Frankie Montas will take the hill for the A's. Although Montas hasn't been quite as sharp this year as he was last season when he went 9-2 with a 2.63 ERA, he's still a much better option than Sheffield. Take Oakland on the run line.

PREDICTION: Run line Oakland A's (-115)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres

Both the Dodgers and Padres have aces on the mound for this contest between two NL West squads that are off to strong starts this season.

LA's Walker Buehler was limited to 56 pitches in his first start of this season he should be able to increase his workload on Monday. Buehler went 14-4 with a 3.26 ERA in 2019, and dominated the Padres going 2-0 against them while allowing just one run and striking out 26 batters in 15 innings.

Chris Paddack had an impressive rookie season last year but he roughed up in two of three starts vs. the Dodgers. Paddack allowed 12 runs (nine earned) and four homers through 14 1/3 innings across all three contests versus LA. With the Dodgers 5-0 against the Padres in the last five meetings in San Diego, back them on the first five innings run line.

PREDICTION: First Five Innings Dodgers -0.5 (-110)

Yesterday's MLB record: 1-2
Season MLB betting record: 17-12, +3.55 units

MLB betting card for August 3

Indians vs Reds Under 8.5 (-120)
Runline Oakland A's -1.5 (-115)
First Five Innings Dodgers -0.5 (-110)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:54 AM

NBA line movement for August 3
Patrick Everson

Anthony Davis and the Lakers, coming off a loss to the Raptors, look to rebound Monday night against the Jazz. Caesars sportsbooks opened Los Angeles -5.5 and moved to -6 late Sunday night.

NBA betting odds are up and seeing activity for Monday’s games inside the NBA Bubble. Among the highlights on the slate is LeBron James and the Lakers playing their third game since the restart, squaring off against the Jazz.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Monday’s matchups. Covers will update this action report with NBA sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

NBA line movement

The Lakers are coming off a 107-92 loss to defending NBA champion Toronto on Saturday. Caesars books opened Los Angeles a 5.5-point favorite against the Jazz, and the first move late Sunday night was to Lakers -6 for Monday’s 9 p.m. ET bubble nightcap.

Both the Grizzlies and Pelicans are battling for the eighth and final playoff spot in the West. Memphis is in at eighth place right now, while Zion Williamson and New Orleans are 3.5 games back in 11th. The Grizzlies opened -3.5 and ticked up to -4 Sunday night for a 6:30 p.m. ET matchup.

And in the East, the aforementioned Raptors face the Heat in a 1:30 p.m. ET tip, the first game of the day. Caesars held off on posting that line Sunday night. Check back for an update today.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:54 AM

739TORONTO -740 MIAMI
MIAMI is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

741INDIANA -742 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

743DENVER -744 OKLAHOMA CITY
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in road games after having won 4 of their last 5 games in the current season.

745MEMPHIS -746 NEW ORLEANS
NEW ORLEANS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

747SAN ANTONIO -748 PHILADELPHIA
SAN ANTONIO is 18-3 ATS (14.7 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

749LA LAKERS -750 UTAH
UTAH is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 08-03-2020, 08:55 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, August 3

Toronto @ Miami

Game 739-740
August 3, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
124.617
Miami
118.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 2 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-2 1/2); N/A

Indiana @ Washington

Game 741-742
August 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.611
Washington
110.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 10
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 6 1/2
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-6 1/2); Over

Denver @ Oklahoma City

Game 743-744
August 3, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
118.901
Oklahoma City
116.703
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+4 1/2); Over

Memphis @ New Orleans

Game 745-746
August 3, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
118.324
New Orleans
117.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 1
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4
239
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+4); Under

San Antonio @ Philadelphia

Game 747-748
August 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
112.233
Philadelphia
123.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 11
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7
229
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-7); Over

LA Lakers @ Utah

Game 749-750
August 3, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
124.272
Utah
115.783
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 8 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 6
219
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-6); Under