Tuesday 8/11/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Finger Lakes - Race #1

#1 Anything Pazible	Stretch runner was a closing 2nd in his return, should only move forward off that, and catches two favorites who look destined to duel early and often; mows them all down late.
#5 Almendro	ML favorite wins this by open lengths if he runs back to the extremely fast wire job last time, but he may bounce, stretches out a furlong, and won't clear these either; second-best.
#3 Mr. Pete	Fellow speedster couldn't hold off the pick when 3rd last time and now faces him and the chalk, who will be pressing him throughout, so lasting won't be easy; comes unglued late.
Race Summary	Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that will only help the 1 while hurting both the 5 and 3, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him to kick off the early Pk4, as he gets all the best of it here, and a win by the third choice on the ML will knock out a lot of tickets right off the bat.

Finger Lakes - Race #3

#6 Old Man Winter	Speedster did well to draw outside the other speed, was a big 2nd last time off the long break, should improve off that tightener, and could be a price too; look out.
#4 Fridaybeers	Stiff ML favorite will be bet hard on his NYRA form and the switch to Jeremiah, but yikes, his two dirt races have been horrific, and he'll be way overbet; backwheel time.
#3 Yogi Mile	Lifetime maiden is 13-0-3-4, so you know winning isn't in his DNA, yet he figures on paper as always, so expect him to make his usual solid run; underneath, as always.
Race Summary	That 4-1 seems like a gift on the 6, as he has more upside than the chalk, drew better, and has more speed too, so play him aggressively to win and place at 5-2 or better, while getting some added value by keying him in the early Pk4, since budget players might be singling the chalk, even though he's done nothing to this point to suggest a breakout is coming.

Finger Lakes - Race #6

#2 Troubleshooter	Newcomer didn't fire going long on the turf at Aqu for Clement, but now Jeremiah takes over, there's value here, and he could shake loose too; thinking he's primed.
#5 Wesworld	The chalk was a fine 3rd in his local bow after a trio of NYRA runs, but his margin for error here is a slim one, and he'll be a big underlay too; trying to beat on top.
#3 Themsfightinwords	Stretch runner was a distant 4th in a very fast race in his return, and adds a furlong here too, so expect him to fire in the lane, though it may be too late; exotics appeal.
Race Summary	You won't get rich on the 2 but if they fire hard on the 5 you may sneak out that 3-1 ML, and on the drop, and trainer change to the most potent barn here, he's expected to wake up in a big way, so play him to win and place, and in the Pk5, and late Pk4 as well, since a win over the 5 would knock out a lot of budget players who are singling the chalk.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Mountaineer - Race #2

#4 Fury Song	Didn't run terrible in the pair of turf tries, and those even types of efforts might play well on the grass with the local crew. She's had her share of chances, but so have all the other major players in here.
#5 Boomtown	Career start number 13 for this one, and she owns some back turf races that stack up nicely with these. Wouldn't want too short a price.
#2 Never Forever	The other six in here have lost 50 times combined, so being a fresh face isn't a bad thing. Some chance to finish underneath.
Race Summary	Fury Song is short on excuses, but she has only had two tries on the turf, and they both produced even efforts in Florida. She may stack up well enough here to score at a fair price.

Mountaineer - Race #3

#2 Waterloo Sunset	Didn't miss by much in the local debut at this same trip, and she has some room to move forward in this second start off the bench. Price won't be much, but she looks like a logical single early in the card.
#5 No Limit Babe	She's probably the most likely upsetter in this spot, as her past turf tries have come with better groups, and there isn't much else to reach out to on paper with these.
#7 Theartofcompromise	Badly beaten in all three starts, she did try much better company when running on the lawn in Florida. Some hope to improve against a softer group on the change of scenery.
Race Summary	Waterloo Sunset owns sharp early speed that will keep her in the mix from the start, and she's not meeting a particularly formidable group.

Mountaineer - Race #7

#1 Swingabigstick	Caught a tough winner last time around, but the debut run was pretty solid from close range. Blinkers go on today, and that might be the push this guy needs to get over the top.
#2 Twelve Rocks	Faced much better in those last two Kentucky tries, but he's likely to get bet in this spot and doesn't have to win.
#5 Flug	He's in good current form despite having had nine chances already, he proved that he could fit at this local level last time out.
Race Summary	Swingabigstick gets blinkers on after a fading effort in a strung-out race last out, and the equipment change might allow him to find the front end in a spot without much other speed to contend with.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Pocono Downs - Race #2

#9 TRUMP THAT	Wilted late in the slop at this level, one more try to go the distance.
#3 BRAVO TEX N	Solid numbers, gets class relief, but stands 2-37 since 2019.
#1 DRAGON STRIKES	Made last-to-first move from post 8, moves inside.
Race Summary	Trump That blew clear stretch leads in his last two starts, the latest from post 9 on an ‘off’ track. Give him one more chance to join the $200,000 Club.

Hoosier Park - Race #5

#8 MEADOWBROOK SHARLA	Versatile, seeks three-peat, lands in soft spot.
#7 SCARLET V	Discount latest, up close through solid fractions two back before tiring.
#2 ALLSPEEDALLTHETIME	Got up late to end winless drought, can repeat.
Race Summary	Meadowbrook Sharla won from up close and far back as the favorite recently, now starts from post 8. She should be up to the task in a weak field. Play 8-2 and 8-7 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #5

#1 COQUI COQUI	Loomed on turn, settled for third at bullring, can use her speed from rail.
#6 ODDS ON VERO BEACH	Can make good use of her speed, gets back on Lasix.
#2 COCO BEACH DE VIE	Plagued by bad posts the last three times she stayed on stride.
Race Summary	Coqui Coqui ranged up while first-over at half-mile track but couldn’t get past the pace-setting favorite and pocket-sitting second choice. She should be forwardly placed in here and a major player late. Play 1-2 and 1-6 exactas.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

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Indiana Grand - Race #5

#6 One Fast Orb	Set all the pace at Keeneland and finished second in her only start; can control this one from the start.
#2 Flown	Has several decent works to her credit and is ready for her first start; big player on debut.
#4 Blissful Change	Tired in her debut but that came in an open sprint at Keeneland; has been training well and should have a positive reaction to the new venue.
Race Summary	One Fast Orb just missed at first asking and has a good chance to show them her heels from the start.

Indiana Grand - Race #8

#2 Betsdownletsride	Drew away with authority in his only start and the added distance should be no problem.
#6 Chicks for Free	Ran on well and was up in time in her only start, which came against maiden-claimers at Churchill.
#5 Clear Steps	Improved in her first one at Indiana Grand after tiring in a tough spot at Churchill; fits with these.
Race Summary	Betsdownletsride put away early challengers and showed a lot of ability in drawing away; takes on tougher but doesn't need a lot of improvement to win.

Indiana Grand - Race #0

#8 Overpraise	Closed strongly for third in his only Indiana Grand appearance and should be the one to hold off.
#3 Traffic Stop	Came on well for the runner-up spot last out and can come back with another strong performance at this level.
#12 Hurricane Jake	Was up in time against maiden claimers at Parx in his last start, which came 11 months ago.
Race Summary	Overpraise is a consistent closer and can get a favorable pace in front of him; rounding into his best form.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement for August 11
Patrick Everson

Devin Booker is putting in that work while trying to help the Suns reach the Western Conference playoffs. The line wasn't posted late Monday night for Suns-76ers, but Phoenix will surely be a 'dog.

NBA betting odds are on the board for Tuesday’s games inside the NBA Bubble, where no team is hotter than the aptly named Phoenix Suns. Devin Booker and Co. still face a tough challenge to reach the Western Conference playoffs, but the Suns are 6-0 SU and ATS in Orlando, entering a clash with the Philadelphia 76ers.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups. Covers will update this action report with NBA sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

NBA line movement

Booker continued lighting up the bubble Monday, scoring 35 points in the Suns’ 128-101 rout of the Thunder, with Phoenix rolling outright as an 8-point underdog. Books held off posting a Suns-Sixers line Monday night, waiting for clarity on lineups, particularly with Phoenix on a back-to-back.

The Trail Blazers are 4-2 SU (4-1-1 ATS) in the bubble and are now just a half-game behind West No. 8 seed Memphis. Portland faces Dallas at 6:30 p.m. ET, and that line also wasn’t posted yet, with the Mavericks on the second of a back-to-back after Monday’s 122-114 win over the Jazz.

Meanwhile, the Grizzlies need a win to hold off Portland. Memphis faces the Boston Celtics in a 5 p.m. ET tip. At Bet365 in New Jersey, the Celtics opened -5.5 but got bet down to -4.5 Monday night.

NBA public betting

Although the Celtics-Grizzlies line moved a point toward Memphis on Monday night, the Covers Consensus shows early support for Team Green. The Celtics were drawing 73 percent of early picks, with interest picking up when the line went to Boston -4.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

747BROOKLYN -748 ORLANDO
BROOKLYN is 30-14 ATS (14.6 Units) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.

749HOUSTON -750 SAN ANTONIO
HOUSTON is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

751PHOENIX -752 PHILADELPHIA
PHOENIX is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

753PORTLAND -754 DALLAS
DALLAS are 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

755BOSTON -756 MEMPHIS
BOSTON is 89-63 ATS (19.7 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

757NEW ORLEANS -758 SACRAMENTO
NEW ORLEANS are 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) in road games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

759MILWAUKEE -760 WASHINGTON
MILWAUKEE is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, August 11

Trend Report

Brooklyn @ Orlando
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Orlando's last 18 games

Houston @ San Antonio
Houston
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Houston

Phoenix @ Philadelphia
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Boston @ Memphis
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Memphis's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Memphis's last 12 games when playing at home against Boston

Portland @ Dallas
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Portland

New Orleans @ Sacramento
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

Milwaukee @ Washington
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Tuesday, August 11

Trend Report

Las Vegas @ Indiana
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indiana
Las Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Washington @ Minnesota
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

New York @ Los Angeles
New York
New York is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games at home
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement for August 11
Patrick Everson

Ronald Acuna Jr. and the Braves travel to the Bronx to face the Yankees on Tuesday night. Caesars sportsbooks opened New York a -160 favorite, then dialed back a tick to Yankees -155/Braves +145.

MLB betting odds are on the board and drawing early dollars for Tuesday’s 14-game slate. The Braves and Yankees meet in an interleague clash, and Max Scherzer takes the ball for the Nationals against the Mets.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday's contests.

MLB line movement

The Braves and Yankees square off in a two-game midweek series in the Bronx. New York is coming off a well-timed day off, after losing four of its last five games. Caesars books opened the Pinstripes -160, and that number quickly ticked down to -155, with Atlanta +145 for a 7:05 p.m. ET start.

Scherzer threw just one inning in his last outing, giving up one run before exiting with a hamstring issue in a 3-1 home loss to the Mets last week. Scherzer is back to face the same squad, this time on the road, and Caesars pegged the Nationals a -145 favorite, with the Mets +135. There was no movement by late Monday night in this 7:10 p.m. ET first pitch.

Jumping to the West Coast, the host Dodgers resume a four-game set with the Padres. Los Angeles opened -173 at Caesars books and moved to -164 later Monday, with the Padres at +152 for a 9:40 p.m. ET meeting.

MLB public betting

Consensus indicated early public support for the Yankees – shocking, right? – with the Pinstripes seeing 66 percent of early picks against the Braves. Nationals-Mets, however, was nearly dead two-way Monday night on Consensus, with 52 percent taking the home underdog Mets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951MIAMI -952 TORONTO
MIAMI is 2-11 SU (-10.1 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

953KANSAS CITY -954 CINCINNATI
DAVID BELL is 20-5 SU (14.5 Units) after allowing 8 runs or more (Coach of CINCINNATI)

953KANSAS CITY -954 CINCINNATI
CINCINNATI is 20-5 SU (14.5 Units) after allowing 8 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

955ATLANTA -956 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 50-26 SU (30.9 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

957BALTIMORE -958 PHILADELPHIA
BALTIMORE is 17-31 SU (-21.4 Units) in road games vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging <=0.5 errors/game in the last 3 seasons.

959CHICAGO CUBS -960 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 65-43 SU (19.8 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.

961CHI WHITE SOX -962 DETROIT
DETROIT is 6-26 SU (-21.1 Units) in home games vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

963WASHINGTON -964 NY METS
WASHINGTON is 61-38 SU (23 Units) vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

965TAMPA BAY -966 BOSTON
BOSTON is 32-57 SU (-30.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better over the last 2 seasons.

967MINNESOTA -968 MILWAUKEE
MINNESOTA is 15-3 SU (13.1 Units) in road games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) in the last 3 seasons.

971ARIZONA -972 COLORADO
ARIZONA is 36-19 SU (15.9 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 2 seasons.

973SEATTLE -974 TEXAS
TEXAS are 45-28 SU (14.6 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

975SAN FRANCISCO -976 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 9-25 SU (-21 Units) in home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the last 3 seasons.

977OAKLAND -978 LA ANGELS
LA ANGELS are 11-3 SU (11.1 Units) in home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 4 walks or more/game over the last 2 seasons.

979SAN DIEGO -980 LA DODGERS
SAN DIEGO is 11-25 SU (-18.5 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.150 or better over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, August 11

National League
Washington @ New York
Nationals (5-7):
Scherzer is 0-2, 3.46 in three starts; he left his last start after one inning with a minor injury. He is 10-5, 2.67 in 21 starts against the Mets.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: under 2-0-1

— Washington lost three of its last four games.
— Last night’s win was the Nationals’ first road game this year.
— Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Mets (7-10)
Porcello is 1-1, 8.31 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Mets lost eight of their last 12 games.
— Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Arizona @ Colorado
Diamondbacks (7-10):
Gallen is 0-0, 2.81 in three starts; he is 0-0, 2.70 in two starts vs Colorado.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-0-1

— Arizona won four of its last six games.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.

Rockies (11-5):
Freeland is 2-0, 2.41 in three starts this season; he is 3-4, 5.57 in 12 starts vs Arizona.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 3-0

— Rockies won nine of their last 13 games.
— Colorado won five of its last seven home games.
— Under is 5-2 in Colorado home games.

San Diego @ Los Angeles
Padres (10-7)
Richards is 0-1, 4.60 in three starts this year; he is 1-1, 2.55 in seven games (5 starts) vs LA.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: over 2-1

— San Diego won three of its last four games.
— Over is 4-2 in their last six road games.

Dodgers (11-6)
Stripling is 3-0, 4.00 in three starts this year; he is 5-5, 3.88 in 16 games (8 starts) vs San Diego.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Dodgers won six of their last nine games.
— LA is 4-3 at home this season.
— Under is 9-4-1 in their last 14 games.

American League
Chicago @ Detroit
White Sox (8-9):
Gonzalez is 0-1, 5.63 in two starts this year; he is 2-4, 6.68 in seven starts vs Detroit.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Chicago lost five of its last six games overall.
— White Sox won five of their last seven road games.
— Under is 9-5 in their last 14 games .

Tigers (9-5):
Alexander is making his first start; he struck out nine guys in a row in a relief stint last week. He was 1-4, 4.86 in 13 games (8 starts) last year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Detroit won its last four games, scoring 33 runs.
— Tigers are 4-4 at home this season.
— Under is 5-0-2 in their last seven home games.

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Rays (9-8):
Bullpen game for the Rays
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Tampa Bay won four of its last five games.
— Rays are 1-5 on the road.
— Under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games.

Red Sox (6-10):
Perez is 2-0, 1.69 in his last two starts; he is 1-4, 6.10 in 11 games (9 starts) vs Tampa Bay.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Red Sox won three of their last five games.
— Boston lost six of its nine home games .
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Seattle @ Texas
Mariners (7-11):
Gonzales is 2-0, 3.38 in his last two starts; he is 5-4, 3.70 in 10 starts vs Texas.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 3-0

— Seattle lost seven of its last ten games.
— Mariners are 4-4 on the road.
— Under is 6-4-1 in their last 11 games.

Rangers (6-9):
Minor is 0-2, 7.47 in three starts; he is 4-4, 4.73 in 12 games (9 starts) vs Seattle.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 3-0

— Texas won three of its last four games.
— Rangers are 5-4 in their new home stadium (under 6-3).

Oakland @ Anaheim
A’s (12-5):
Fiers is 1-0, 5.63 in three starts this year; he is 6-4, 5.18 in 15 games (14 starts) vs Anaheim.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Oakland won nine of its last ten games.
— A’s won three of their five road games.
— Under is 7-5 in their last 12 games

Angels (6-11):
Bundy is 2-1, 2.08 in three starts this year; he is 3-1, 4.26 in six games (5 starts) vs Oakland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Angels are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Halos lost four of their seven home games (over 6-0-1)

Interleague
Miami @ Toronto (@ Buffalo)
Marlins (7-3):
EHernandez allowed two hits, no runs in 4.1 innings in his one ’20 start. He is 5-12, 4.96 in 54 MLB games (22 starts).
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals:under 1-0

— Miami lost its last two games, after a 7-1 start.
— Marlins are 3-0 in series openers.
— Under is 7-3 in their games.

Blue Jays (5-8):
Ryu is 1-1, 5.27 in three starts this year; he is 3-1, 2.39 in four starts vs Miami.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1

— This is the Blue Jays’ game in their temporary home, Buffalo.
— Blue Jays lost six of their last eight games.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Kansas City @ Cincinnati
Royals (7-10):
Bubic is 0-2, 4.50 in his first two MLB starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Royals won their last four games.
— KC lost six of its nine road games.
— Under is 6-3 their road games.

Reds (7-9):
Castillo is 0-2, 4.76 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: over 2-0-1

— Cincinnati lost four of its last six games.
— Reds are 3-5 at home this season.
— Three of Reds’ last four games went over the total.

Atlanta @ New York
Braves (11-7):
Toussiant is 0-0, 2.53 in two starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Braves won nine of their last 13 games.
— Atlanta split its eight road games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Bronx (10-6):
Montgomery is 1-1, 5.59 in two starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Bronx lost five of its last seven games.
— New York won all four of its home games, scoring 25 runs.
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games.

Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Orioles (7-7):
Cobb is 1-1, 2.51 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: under 3-0

— Orioles lost four of their last six games overall.
— Baltimore won four of five road games.
— Under is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

Phillies (5-6):
Wheeler is 2-0, 2.77 in two starts this year; he is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts vs Baltimore.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-2 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Philly is 5-6 in its first 11 games, 5-5 at home.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Chicago @ Cleveland
Cubs (10-3):
Lester is 1-0, 0.82 in two starts this season; he is 7-3, 2.97 in 17 starts vs Cleveland.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: 1-1

— Cubs won six of their last seven games.
— Chicago won three of five road games.
— Under is 4-2 in their last six games.

Indians (10-7):
Plutko allowed two runs in six IP (86 PT) in his first ’20 start. He threw six shutout innings in his one start against the Cubs.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Cleveland won five of its last six games.
— Indians won six of their eight home games.
— Under is 14-3 in Indian games this season.

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Twins (11-6)
Bullpen game for the Twins.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Twins lost four of their last five games.
— Under is 10-3 in their last 13 games.

Brewers (6-8):
Lindblom is 1-0, 4.15 in two starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Milwaukee is 6-8 in its first 14 games; they’re 1-5 at home.
— Under is 3-3 in their home games.

San Francisco @ Houston
Giants (7-11):
Bullpen game for the Giants
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Giants lost seven of their last nine games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in last seven road games.

Astros (7-9):
Bielak threw five shutout innings in his first MLB start.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning:0-1 Totals: under 1-0

— Astros lost four of their last five games.
— Over is 5-2-2 in their last nine games.
— Houston is 1-5 in games where winning run scores from 7th inning on.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, August 11

Trend Report

Miami @ Toronto
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami

Kansas City @ Cincinnati
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Atlanta @ NY Yankees
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Atlanta is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Baltimore @ Philadelphia
Baltimore
Baltimore is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Chi Cubs @ Cleveland
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games on the road
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Cleveland's last 13 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Chi White Sox @ Detroit
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox

Washington @ NY Mets
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Mets's last 12 games when playing Washington

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games

Minnesota @ Milwaukee
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Milwaukee's last 25 games at home

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Arizona is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games

Seattle @ Texas
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

San Francisco @ Houston
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Francisco's last 8 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

Oakland @ LA Angels
Oakland
Oakland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland's last 12 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

San Diego @ LA Dodgers
San Diego
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Diego

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, August 11

Miami @ Toronto

Game 951-952
August 11, 2020 @ 6:37 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Hernandez) 16.704
Toronto
(Ryu) 15.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+150); Over

Kansas City @ Cincinnati

Game 953-954
August 11, 2020 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Bubic) 15.298
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 16.346
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-185
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-185); Under

Atlanta @ NY Yankees

Game 955-956
August 11, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Toussaint) 17.242
NY Yankees
(Montgmry) 15.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-160
10
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+140); Over

Baltimore @ Philadelphia

Game 957-958
August 11, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Cobb) 17.449
Philadelphia
(Wheeler) 18.553
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-175
9
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-175); Under

Washington @ NY Mets

Game 963-964
August 11, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 17.965
NY Mets
(Porcello) 14.293
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-145); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Cleveland

Game 959-960
August 11, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 17.077
Cleveland
(Plutko) 16.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-145
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+125); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit

Game 961-962
August 11, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Gonzalez) 14.037
Detroit
(Alexander) 15.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-105); Over

Tampa Bay @ Boston

Game 965-966
August 11, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Kittredge) 15.599
Boston
(Perez) 16.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

Minnesota @ Milwaukee

Game 967-968
August 11, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Clippard) 15.209
Milwaukee
(Lindblom)16.157
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
N/A

Arizona @ Colorado

Game 971-972
August 11, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Gallen) 16.568
Colorado
(Freeland) 15.061
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-115
11
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-105); Over

Seattle @ Texas

Game 973-974
August 11, 2020 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 16.283
Texas
(Minor) 13.528
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+115); Over

San Francisco @ Houston

Game 975-976
August 11, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Anderson) 14.680
Houston
(Bielak) 15.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

Oakland @ LA Angels

Game 977-978
August 11, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Fiers) 17.071
LA Angels
(Bundy) 14.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+115); Under

San Diego @ LA Dodgers

Game 979-980
August 11, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richards) 16.153
LA Dodgers
(Strpling) 17.539
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-160); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL public betting, line movement for August 11
Patrick Everson

The Blackhawks took advantage of the revamped NHL postseason to win a qualifying-round series and will next face the Golden Knights. Chicago is a +170 underdog in Game 1 Tuesday.

NHL betting odds are up and drawing dollars, as the Stanley Cup playoffs reach the best-of-7 conference quarterfinal series. There are four games on the Tuesday docket, including a couple of compelling evening tilts: Hurricanes vs. Bruins and Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s contests. Covers will update this action report with NHL sharp picks vs. public bets and line movement throughout the day.

NHL line movement

Under normal circumstances, the Blackhawks wouldn’t have been in the playoffs this season after finishing 12th in the Western Conference. But under the amended format due to the COVID shutdown, Chicago got into a best-of-5 qualifying-round series, where it knocked out No. 5 Edmonton in four games.

For that effort, the Blackhawks next get the top-seeded Golden Knights, who won the round-robin pool among the top four teams in the Western Conference. Vegas opened a -215 favorite Monday morning at PointsBet USA and dipped to -200 by Monday evening, with Chicago +170 for the 10:30 p.m. ET Game 1.

The Bruins and Hurricanes meet in the Eastern Conference 4 vs. 5 series. Boston opened -150 for Game 1 and closed in to -130, then rebounded a couple ticks to -140 Monday, with Carolina +120 for an 8 p.m. ET start.

NHL public betting

At Las Vegas sportsbooks, there’s no question the Golden Knights will see heavy public play throughout the day Tuesday, though none had arrived Monday night. But in an atypical Stanley Cup playoffs, with this game played in the Edmonton bubble, pricing was a challenge for Sin City oddsmakers, who struggled with concerns of opening the Knights too high.

CG Technology books opened the Knights -200, the price that PointsBet USA – across the country in New Jersey – moved down to on Monday.

“There’s zero home-ice advantage, and the Knights are going with Robin Lehner in goal,” CG Tech risk analyst Dave Sharapan said, alluding to Vegas’ decision not to start Marc-Andre Fleury. “And the Blackhawks are playing loose, with house money.”

Among Tuesday’s four games, the Golden Knights were the most-liked team Monday night on Covers Consensus. Vegas was landing 67 percent of early picks against Chicago. Hurricanes-Bruins was the closest to two-way play, with Boston at 57 percent and Carolina at 43 percent in the Consensus.