Wednesday 8/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Primetime Sports Picks

MLB Houston -160

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National Sports Service

NBA 76ers +5

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NBA public betting, line movement, sharp money for August 19
Patrick Everson

Luka Doncic and the Mavericks hope to even up their series against the Clippers in Wednesday's Game 2. Los Angeles is a 6.5-point favorite at The SuperBook at Westgate.

NBA betting odds are on the board for a Wednesday quartet of Game 2s in the NBA playoffs. Kawhi Leonard and the Clippers meet Luka Doncic and the Mavericks, and the Celtics begin an anticipated four-week stretch without Gordon Hayward when they face the 76ers.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

The No. 2 seed Clippers got a stern Game 1 test from the No. 7 Mavericks, but ultimately won and covered 118-110 as 6.5-point favorites Monday. For Game 2, Los Angeles opened -6.5 at The SuperBook on Tuesday morning, and the line dipped to -5.5 for a couple of hours before rebounding to -6.5 for a 9 p.m. ET tipoff.

Meanwhile, Tuesday’s news of Hayward potentially missing a month with an ankle sprain led to an adjustment in the Game 2 line. The SuperBook opened the Celtics -5.5 and moved to -4.5 for a 6:30 p.m. ET start against the 76ers.

“The market moved 1 point on the Hayward news, so we went with it,” SuperBook manager Eric Osterman said.

The Nuggets, who needed overtime to beat the Jazz in Game 1, opened -4 for a 4 p.m. ET Game 2, and that line was steady.

NBA sharp money

Osterman said the moneyline was a popular place for early sharp action on Wednesday’s games. The SuperBook saw wiseguy bets on the 76ers moneyline +200, and that price is now +165, and on the Mavericks moneyline +250, now +240.

NBA public betting

The Consensus, often indicative of where public play is, showed solid two-way action on the Mavs-Clippers tilt. In fact, underdog Dallas had a modest edge, landing 52 percent of picks on Tuesday night. The Celtics were seeing 60 percent of early Covers Consensus picks, and most of those were at -4.5, after the Hayward announcement.

The Jazz-Nuggets contest also had two-way on Covers Consensus, with Denver drawing 53 percent of the picks. And in the first game of the day, a 1:30 p.m. ET Nets-Raptors matchup, 11-point chalk Toronto was taking 62 percent of early Consensus picks.

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705PHILADELPHIA -706 BOSTON
PHILADELPHIA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

707DALLAS -708 LA CLIPPERS
LA CLIPPERS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, August 19

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BROOKLYN (35 - 38) vs. TORONTO (54 - 19) - 8/19/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 41-30 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
TORONTO is 68-45 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 39-19 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games after a division game since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 68-50 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (44 - 29) vs. DENVER (47 - 27) - 8/19/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 7-5 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (43 - 31) vs. BOSTON (49 - 24) - 8/19/2020, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-32 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 103-81 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 13-5 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 12-6 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (43 - 33) vs. LA CLIPPERS (50 - 23) - 8/19/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 75-61 ATS (+7.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 86-70 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 455-369 ATS (+49.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 231-184 ATS (+28.6 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DALLAS is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 71-51 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 72-51 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 243-297 ATS (-83.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 7-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA

Wednesday, August 19

Trend Report

Brooklyn @ Toronto
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Utah @ Denver
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Utah's last 18 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 15 games
Boston
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Dallas @ LA Clippers
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

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NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 19

Brooklyn @ Toronto

Game 701-702
August 19, 2020 @ 1:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
119.012
Toronto
123.666
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 11 1/2
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+11 1/2); Under

Utah @ Denver

Game 703-704
August 19, 2020 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
110.690
Denver
122.161
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 11 1/2
241
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4); Over

Philadelphia @ Boston

Game 705-706
August 19, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
116.111
Boston
128.301
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 12
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-4 1/2); Over

Dallas @ LA Clippers

Game 707-708
August 19, 2020 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
116.031
LA Clippers
125.479
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 6
230
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-6); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Wednesday, August 19

Trend Report

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

Dallas @ Minnesota
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Phoenix @ Los Angeles
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Los Angeles is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB public betting, line movement for August 19
Patrick Everson

Jacob deGrom hopes to get some run support from his Mets teammates in Wednesday's game against the host Marlins. Caesars sportsbooks opened New York -250 and moved to -235.

MLB betting odds are on the board and taking money for an overflowing 17-game docket, including two doubleheaders. Bettors hope Wednesday proves to be another Jacob deGrom Day, as the right-hander takes the ball for the Mets on the road against the Marlins.

Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s games.

MLB line movement

The Mets took the first two games of a four-game set against the Marlins, piling up 19 total runs in the process, and aim to nab the third game behind deGrom (2-0, 2.45 ERA) in a 7:10 p.m. ET contest. Caesars sportsbooks opened New York a solid -250 favorite, and that number dialed in a bit Tuesday night to -235, with Miami +205.

The Yankees look to bounce back from a 6-3 Tuesday night loss to the Rays, and New York has the right man for the job in Gerrit Cole (4-0, 2.76 ERA). FanDuel Sportsbook opened the Pinstripes -186 and crept up to -190 late Tuesday night, with Tampa Bay +164 in a 7:05 p.m. clash.

Houston fought its way back above .500 by winning its last seven games, including the first two of a four-game road set against Colorado. Both teams are 13-10 entering an 8:40 p.m. ET matchup, and Caesars opened Astros -152/Rockies +142. By late Tuesday night, the ‘Stros were up to -166, with the Rocks at +153.

MLB public betting

With deGrom toeing the slab, the Mets were landing 64 percent of early Consensus picks Tuesday night. But in the Astros-Rockies tilt, underdog Colorado was the early play, drawing 59 percent of Consensus picks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951TAMPA BAY -952 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 9-0 SU (10.8 Units) in home games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

953TORONTO -954 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 15-5 SU (9.5 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in the current season.

955CLEVELAND -956 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 20-39 SU (-24.9 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game over the last 2 seasons.

957NY METS -958 MIAMI
MIAMI is 5-16 SU (-14.7 Units) vs. teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

959WASHINGTON -960 ATLANTA
WASHINGTON is 59-33 SU (25 Units) vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.

961PHILADELPHIA -962 BOSTON
BOSTON is 0-7 SU (-9.3 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the current season.

963CINCINNATI -964 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 2-13 SU (-14.3 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

965MILWAUKEE -966 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 62-49 SU (17.8 Units) in home games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the last 3 seasons.

967DETROIT -968 CHI WHITE SOX
DETROIT is 1-9 SU (-9.9 Units) vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse in the current season.

969ST LOUIS -970 CHICAGO CUBS
ST LOUIS are 42-18 SU (22.2 Units) in August games in the last 3 seasons.

971HOUSTON -972 COLORADO
COLORADO is 30-48 SU (-26.5 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start over the last 2 seasons.

973TEXAS -974 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 29-46 SU (-25.2 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start over the last 2 seasons.

975ARIZONA -976 OAKLAND
OAKLAND is 14-4 SU (9.6 Units) in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons.

977LA DODGERS -978 SEATTLE
LA DODGERS are 12-23 SU (-15 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.

979LA ANGELS -980 SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-30 SU (-24.5 Units) in home games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons.

981CHICAGO CUBS -982 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 12-2 SU (9.8 Units) in home games in August games over the last 2 seasons.

983CINCINNATI -984 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 2-13 SU (-14.3 Units) in home games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, August 19

National League
Washington @ Atlanta
Nationals (9-12):
Fedde is 0-0, 4.91 in two starts (7.1 IP) this year; he is starts vs Atlanta.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: over 2-0

— Washington is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— Nationals lost five of their first nine road games.
— Over is 7-0 in their last seven games.

Braves (14-11):
Wright is 0-3, 7.20 in his last four starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Braves lost five of their last seven games.
— Atlanta is 7-3 at home this year.
— Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

New York @ Miami
Mets (11-14)
deGrom is 2-0, 2.45 in four starts this year; he is 3-3, 3.84 in 10 starts at Miami.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: 2-2

— Mets lost five of their last nine games.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Marlins (9-8):
Lopez is 2-1, 2.81 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-3 Totals: 1-1-1

— Miami lost seven of its last nine games, after a 7-1 start.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

St Louis @ Chicago
Cardinals (5-6)
Flaherty allowed two runs in seven IP (89 PT) in his first ’20 start; he is 1-2, 4.68 in five starts at Wrigley Field.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-1 Totals: over 1-0

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— St Louis split six games over three days, after not playing for 17 days.
— This will be their third doubleheader in five days.

Cubs (15-7):
Mills is 2-1, 2.84 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Cubs lost four of their last six games.
— Chicago won 10 of its 15 home games.
— Under is 8-6-1 in their home games.

American League
Toronto @ Baltimore
Blue Jays (9-11):
Roark is 1-1, 6.00 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Blue Jays split their last ten games.
— Jays won three of their last four road games.
— Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

Orioles (12-11):
Milone is 1-2, 5.50 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-4 Totals: 3-1

— Orioles won seven their last 11 games.
— Baltimore lost eight of their last nine home games.
— Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games.

Tampa Bay @ New York
Rays (15-9):
Glasnow is 0-1, 7.20 in four starts (15 IP) this year; he is starts vs NY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 1-4 Totals: over 3-0-1

— Tampa Bay won nine of its last ten games.
— Rays won seven of their last eight road games.
— Over is 5-1-2 in their last eight games.

Bronx (16-7):
Cole is 4-0, 2.76 in five starts this year; he is starts vs Tampa Bay.
Teams’ record in his starts: 5-0 Team in first 5 innings: 5-0
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 3-0-2

— Bronx won five of its last six games.
— New York won nine of its ten home games.
— Under is 7-4-2 in their last 13 games overall.

Detroit @ Chicago
Tigers (9-12):
Mize is making his MLB debut; he was 8-3, 3.20 in 15 AA starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Detroit lost its last eight games.
— Tigers are 5-3 on the road this season.
— Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.

White Sox (13-11):
Dunning is also making his MLB debut; he was 5-2, 2.78 in 11 AA starts LY.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Chicago won five of its last eight games overall.
— White Sox lost eight of their 13 home games.
— Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Interleague
Houston @ Colorado
Astros (13-10):
Valdez is 1-2, 3.12 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Astros won seven of their last eight games.
— Houston lost its last five road games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Rockies (13-10):
Castellani is 0-1, 1.04 in two starts (8.2 IP) this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Rockies lost seven of their last nine games.
— Colorado is 3-5 in its last eight home games.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Anaheim @ San Francisco
Angels (8-16):
Sandoval is 0-2, 5.06 in three starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-2 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Angels are 6-13 in their last 19 games.
— Halos lost four of their last five road games.
— Over is 8-0-1 in their last nine games.

Giants (9-16):
Cueto is 1-0, 4.97 in five starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-2 Team in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: over 4-1

— Giants lost 12 of their last 16 games.
— SF is 3-6 at home this season.
— Giants’ last eight home games went over the total.

Texas @ San Diego
Rangers (10-12):
Lynn is 3-0, 1.41 in five starts this year, 1-0, 1.76 in two road starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 4-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-3
Allowed run in first inning: 1-5 Totals: under 3-2

— Texas lost its last three games.
— Rangers lost six of their nine road games.
— Over is 3-0 in their last three games.

Padres (13-12)
Paddack is 0-2, 9.35 in his last two starts; he is 2-1, 3.06 in three home starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-3
Allowed run in first inning: 2-5 Totals: over 4-1

— San Diego lost five of its last seven games.
— Padres are 6-4 at home this season.
— Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Arizona @ Oakland
Diamondbacks (12-11):
Kelly is 3-1, 1.71 in four starts this season, 2-0, 1.02 on the road.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: under 4-0

— Arizona won 10 of its last 13 games.
— Diamondbacks split their last ten road games.
— Their last four road games went over.

A’s (16-8):
Luzardo is 1-0, 5.27 in three starts this year; A’s scored 20 runs in the three games.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-0 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 2-3 Totals: over 2-1

— Oakland won 13 of its last 17 games, but lost last two.
— A’s won their last eight home games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games

Los Angeles @ Seattle
Dodgers (18-7)
Urias is 2-0, 2.76 in his last three starts.
Teams’ record in his starts: 3-1 Team in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 3-4 Totals: over 2-0-1

— Dodgers won eight of their last 11 games.
— LA won its last five road games.
— Five of last six Dodger games went over the total.

Mariners (7-18):
Walker is 1-2, 4.50 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Seattle lost 14 of its last 17 games.
— Mariners are 3-7 at home.
— Under is 6-3-1 in their home games.

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Indians (14-9):
Civale is 2-2, 3.60 in four starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-2 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: under 3-1

— Cleveland won eight of its last 11 games.
— Indians are 8-5 on the road this season.
— Under is 16-6-1 in Indian games this season.

Pirates (4-15):
Brault has thrown 8 scoreless innings in three opens this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-0-2
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Pirates lost 12 of their last 14 games.
— Over is 4-1-2 in their last seven games.

Philadelphia @ Boston
Phillies (8-9):
Arrieta is 1-1, 3.37 in two starts this year; he is 2-2, 4.45 in six games (5 starts) in Boston.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-1 Team in first 5 innings: 1-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-2 Totals: under 2-0

— Philly won their last four games.
— Phillies split their two road games this season.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Red Sox (6-18):
Hart allowed seven runs in two IP (73 PT) in one open this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-1 Team in first 5 innings: 0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 1-1 Totals: over 1-0

— Red Sox lost their last nine games, giving up 86 runs.
— Boston lost 10 of its 13 home games.
— Over is 4-0-1 in their last five home games.

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Reds (9-11):
Bauer is 2-0, 0.92 in three starts this season; he is 5-5, 3.69 in 16 starts vs KC.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-1 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
Allowed run in first inning: 0-3 Totals: under 2-1

Castillo is 0-2, 4.70 in four starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 1-3 Team in first 5 innings: 2-2
Allowed run in first inning: 2-4 Totals: over 3-0-1

— Cincinnati lost three of its last five games.
— Reds split eight road games this season.
— Over is 5-2-1 in the Reds’ last eight games.

Royals (9-14):
Keller threw 11 shutout innings in winning his two starts this year.
Teams’ record in his starts: 2-0 Team in first 5 innings: 2-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-2 Totals: 1-1

Harvey is making his first ’20 start; he was 3-5, 7.09 in 12 starts for the Angels LY. Since 2016, he is 26-40.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Royals lost three of their last five games.
— KC won its last four home games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six games.

Milwaukee @ Minnesota
Brewers (10-11):
Anderson is 0-2, 4.85 in three starts this season.
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-3 Team in first 5 innings: 1-2
Allowed run in first inning: 3-3 Totals: under 2-1

— Milwaukee won three of its last four games.
— Brewers won six of their last nine road games.
— Over is 4-3 in Milwaukee’s last seven games.

Twins (16-8)
Bullpen game
Teams’ record in his starts: 0-0 Team in first 5 innings: 0-0
Allowed run in first inning: 0-0 Totals: 0-0

— Twins won five of their last six games.
— Under is 12-1 in their home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, August 19

Trend Report

Toronto @ Baltimore
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Boston
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

St. Louis @ Chi Cubs
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

Chi Cubs @ St. Louis
Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 12 games on the road
St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Atlanta
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Atlanta is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Washington

NY Mets @ Miami
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games

Cincinnati @ Kansas City
Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati

Detroit @ Chi White Sox
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Chi White Sox is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit

Milwaukee @ Minnesota
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games

Houston @ Colorado
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Texas @ San Diego
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Texas's last 11 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing Texas
San Diego is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games at home

Arizona @ Oakland
Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Oakland
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Seattle
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers

LA Angels @ San Francisco
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games on the road
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Angels

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, August 19

Toronto @ Baltimore

Game 953-954
August 19, 2020 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Roark) 17.845
Baltimore
(Milone) 15.637
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-120); Over

St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs

Game 969-970
August 19, 2020 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 00.000
Chicago Cubs
(Mills) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis

Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
N/A

Philadelphia @ Boston

Game 961-962
August 19, 2020 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Arrieta) 18.032
Boston
(Hart) 12.894
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-140
11
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-140); Over

Cincinnati @ Kansas City

Game 983-984
August 19, 2020 @ 5:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 16.179
Kansas City
(Keller) 14.505
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
N/A

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis

Game 981-982
August 19, 2020 @ 5:50 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(TBD) 00.000
St. Louis
(TBD) 00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs

Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
N/A

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

Game 955-956
August 19, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Civale) 15.983
Pittsburgh
(Brault) 12.586
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-170
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-170); Over

Tampa Bay @ NY Yankees

Game 951-952
August 19, 2020 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Glasnow) 17.967
NY Yankees
(Cole) 16.174
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-200
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+170); Over

NY Mets @ Miami

Game 957-958
August 19, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(deGrom) 17.837
Miami
(Lopez) 13.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 4 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-250
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-250); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 959-960
August 19, 2020 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Fedde) 16.887
Atlanta
(Wright) 17.943
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-130
10
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-130); Under

Detroit @ Chicago White Sox

Game 969-968
August 19, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Mize) 12.657
Chicago White Sox
(Dunning) 16.994
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 4 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
N/A

Milwaukee @ Minnesota

Game 965-966
August 19, 2020 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Anderson) 15.008
Minnesota
(Hill) 17.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
N/A

Cincinnati @ Kansas City

Game 963-964
August 19, 2020 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bauer) 16.338
Kansas City
(Harvey) 15.492
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
N/A

Houston @ Colorado

Game 971-972
August 19, 2020 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Valdez) 15.846
Colorado
(Castellani) 16.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-170
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+150); Under

Texas @ San Diego

Game 973-974
August 19, 2020 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Lynn) 16.885
San Diego
(Paddack) 15.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-130
7
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(+110); Over

LA Dodgers @ Seattle

Game 977-978
August 19, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Urias) 18.173
Seattle
(Walker) 14.207
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-250
9
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-250); Over

Arizona @ Oakland

Game 975-976
August 19, 2020 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Kelly) 18.680
Oakland
(Luzardo) 15.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-170
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+150); Over

LA Angels @ San Francisco

Game 979-980
August 19, 2020 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Sandoval) 15.460
San Francisco
(Cueto) 14.340
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL public betting, line movement for August 19
Patrick Everson

Goaltender Carter Hart and the Flyers can finish off the Canadiens with a win in Wednesday's Game 5. Caesars sportsbooks opened Philadelphia -135, with Montreal a +120 underdog.

NHL betting odds are on the board for a quintet of quarterfinal contests on Wednesday. Game 5 of the Montreal Canadiens-Philadelphia Flyers matchup lands in prime time, one of four games that could lead the winners into the conference semifinals.

Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on NHL opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Wednesday’s contests.

NHL line movement

After getting thumped 5-0 in Game 2, the Flyers put on the clamps with wins of 1-0 and 2-0 in Games 3 and 4, respectively, to take a 3-1 series lead over the Canadiens. Caesars books opened Philadelphia -135/Montreal +120 for Game 5, and there was no line movement by late Tuesday night for an 8 p.m. ET puck drop.

Also in the Eastern Conference, the Boston Bruins aim to put away the Carolina Hurricanes in Game 5. Boston opened a -145 favorite at Caesars, with Carolina +130 for a 4 p.m. ET start. And in a noon ET Game 5, the Tampa Bay Lightning opened -170 and inched to -175 to finish off the Columbus Blue Jackets (+160).

NHL public betting

In the Consensus, often indicative of public opinion, the Lightning were landing 72 percent of early picks Tuesday night. The Flyers weren’t far behind at 69 percent, nor the Bruins at 66 percent.

But the Avalanche were the Consensus leader Tuesday, drawing 77 percent of early picks to put away the Coyotes, who got manhandled 7-1 in Game 4. Game 5 faceoff is at 5:30 p.m. ET.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

69COLUMBUS -70 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 41-18 ATS (12.8 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

71CAROLINA -72 BOSTON
BOSTON is 15-3 ATS (11.9 Units) against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.

73ARIZONA -74 COLORADO
COLORADO is 26-11 ATS (14.2 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.

75MONTREAL -76 PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA is 30-16 ATS (16.9 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

77VANCOUVER -78 ST LOUIS
ST LOUIS are 6-13 ATS (-11.9 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.