Tuesday 9/1/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Louisiana Downs - Race #7 - Post: 5:49pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $19,500 Class Rating: 70

    Rating:

    #1 BALLYHACK (ML=5/1)
    #3 RELUCTANT WARRIOR (ML=3/1)


    BALLYHACK - This horse could be tough this race, especially since Gilligan rode last time out and now should be acquainted with this one. If you review the PP's for this horse, you'll see he has recorded the top speed fig at the distance and surface. A repeat performance in this event and this horse has a superb chance to win. This gelding is in excellent form right now. Finished third last out and comes back promptly. RELUCTANT WARRIOR - Horses out of the barn of Wilson have been solid on the turf. Should perform well in this race. Atop this thoroughbred on August 18th and Rodriguez is back again in the irons this time. This gelding's last speed rating recorded on August 18th is tops in last race speed ratings. Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a good outing on August 18th.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 ELIJAH GHOST (ML=5/2), #6 REINSURE (ML=4/1), #2 WICKED REBEL (ML=6/1),

    ELIJAH GHOST - The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this mount as a vulnerable competitor. REINSURE - Didn't come through as the favorite the last two times. Probably won't gain a score today either. The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's race. Mark this racer as a likely underlay. WICKED REBEL - Didn't do alot last time out of the box. Probably won't make an impact in today's event.

    GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - BALLYHACK - Best average class rating amongst these ponies. This steed figures to be tough today.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 BALLYHACK to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    [1,3] with [1,3] with [2,4,6,8,9] Total Cost: $10
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,3] with [1,3] with [2,4,8] with [2,4,6,8,9] Total Cost: $24

    SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
    [1,3] with [1,3] with [2,4,8,9] with [2,4,8,9] with [2,4,8,9] Total Cost: $48
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.




      Race 8 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 71

      FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250

      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 5 ACADIA FLEET 5/1
      # 2 FOOT RUB LOVE 3/1
      # 4 RED LINGERIE 5/2
      I've got to go with ACADIA FLEET. Could provide positive gains based on respectable recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 65. Has the appearance of a profitable wager. Stabile is trying to score with this horse by bringing her back so soon. FOOT RUB LOVE - Is a solid contender - given the 60 speed rating from her most recent race. Has performed solidly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 54 avg speed figure. RED LINGERIE - She looks formidable in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the midpoint. Had one of the strongest Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in her last race.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs



        09/01/20, CD, Race 2, 1.32 ET
        09/01/20,CD,2,1 1/4M [Dirt] 1:59:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $97,000 (includes up to $20,600 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. (Preference To Horses That Have Not Started For Less Than $50,000 In Last 3 Starts).
        . . . .
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 4 Jack Luvs Nova 8-1 Hernandez C J Stall. Jr. Albert M. C 32.20 1.20/$1
        099.8901 3 Leading West 5/2 Gaffalione T Maker Michael J. JTFEL 32.20 1.20/$1
        097.6319 1 Mulberry Street 10-1 Mena M Vaccarezza Carlo S 32.20 1.20/$1
        096.1312 7 Decision Maker 6-1 Borel C H Bradley William B. W 32.20 1.20/$1
        096.0587 5 Allege(b+) 3-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 32.20 1.20/$1
        095.4012 6 Awakened 4-1 Bejarano R McGaughey J. Reeve 32.20 1.20/$1
        094.2005 2 Good Juju 4-1 Leparoux J R Wilkes Ian R. 32.20 1.20/$1
        * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.47, ROI 1.06/$1

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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          NBA public betting, line movement September 1
          Patrick Everson

          Donovan Mitchell and Jamal Murray go at it one more time when the Jazz meet the Nuggets in Game 7 Tuesday. The SuperBook opened at pick 'em, and the Nuggets moved to -1.5, then -1.

          NBA betting odds are on the board and getting some attention for Tuesday’s two-game playoff slate. The Denver Nuggets and Utah Jazz collide in Game 7 of a Western Conference first-round series, and the Boston Celtics meet the Toronto Raptors in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference semifinal series.

          The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s matchups.

          NBA line movement

          Denver rallied from a 3-1 deficit to tie Utah at three games apiece in this best-of-7 series, riding Jamal Murray’s 50-point performance Sunday to a 119-107 Game 6 victory. The SuperBook opened Game 7 a pick ‘em, and the Nuggets got to -1.5 by midday Monday before ticking back to -1 for an 8:30 p.m. ET start.

          Defending NBA champion Toronto got smacked by Boston 112-94 in Game 1 Sunday. The Raptors opened -1.5 at The SuperBook for Game 2, briefly went to -1, then moved back to the opener for Tuesday’s 5:30 p.m. ET tipoff.

          NBA public betting

          The Consensus is often indicative of public opinion, and both of Tuesday’s games are landing two-way play. As of late Monday night, picks on the Jazz and Nuggets were perfectly split at 50 percent on both sides, and the Raptors were getting 56 percent of Consensus picks against the Celtics.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            723BOSTON -724 TORONTO
            BOSTON is 18-5 ATS (12.5 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.

            725UTAH -726 DENVER
            UTAH is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              NBA
              Long Sheet

              Tuesday, September 1


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BOSTON (53 - 24) vs. TORONTO (57 - 20) - 9/1/2020, 5:30 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              TORONTO is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
              TORONTO is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
              TORONTO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
              BOSTON is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
              BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
              BOSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a division game this season.
              BOSTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
              BOSTON is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
              BOSTON is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
              BOSTON is 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
              BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
              BOSTON is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
              BOSTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
              TORONTO is 227-277 ATS (-77.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BOSTON is 8-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
              BOSTON is 8-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
              7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              UTAH (47 - 31) vs. DENVER (49 - 30) - 9/1/2020, 8:30 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              UTAH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
              UTAH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
              UTAH is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
              UTAH is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
              DENVER is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
              DENVER is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
              DENVER is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              DENVER is 10-7 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
              DENVER is 9-8 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
              9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                NBA

                Tuesday, September 1


                Trend Report

                Boston @ Toronto
                Boston
                Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                Toronto
                Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
                Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

                Utah @ Denver
                Utah
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
                The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing Denver
                Denver
                The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
                The total has gone OVER in 13 of Denver's last 14 games
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  NBA
                  Dunkel

                  Tuesday, September 1


                  Boston @ Toronto

                  Game 723-724
                  September 1, 2020 @ 5:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Boston
                  129.286
                  Toronto
                  124.419
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Boston
                  by 5
                  212
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Toronto
                  by 1 1/2
                  217 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Boston
                  (+1 1/2); Under

                  Utah @ Denver


                  Game 725-726
                  September 1, 2020 @ 8:30 pm

                  Dunkel Rating:
                  Utah
                  117.233
                  Denver
                  115.617
                  Dunkel Team:
                  Dunkel Line:
                  Dunkel Total:
                  Utah
                  by 1 1/2
                  233
                  Vegas Team:
                  Vegas Line:
                  Vegas Total:
                  Denver
                  by 1 1/2
                  218
                  Dunkel Pick:
                  Utah
                  (+1 1/2); Over
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks
                    1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Phillies -155
                    2. Gameday Network MLB – Reds -165
                    3. VegasSI.com MLB – Yankees over 9
                    4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Astros -1.5
                    5. Sports Action 365 NBA – Raptors -1.5
                    6. Point Spread Report NBA – Nuggets over 217
                    7. Lou Panelli NBA – Raptors under 218.5
                    8. Gerry “Big Cat” Andino MLB – White Sox -110
                    9. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Cubs -160
                    10. William E. Stockton MLB – Astros -1.5
                    11. Vincent Pioli MLB – Dodgers over 8.5
                    12. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Nuggets over 217
                    13. SCORE NBA – Raptors -1.5
                    14. East Coast Line Movers NBA – Nuggets +1
                    15. Tony Campone MLB – Cubs under 9.5
                    16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Astros -1.5
                    17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Giants under 12.5
                    18. VIP Action MLB – Brewers -1.5
                    19. South Beach Sports MLB – Reds -165
                    20. Las Vegas Sports Commission NBA – Nuggets +1
                    21. NY Players Club NBA – Raptors under 218.5
                    22. Fred Callahan NBA – Nuggets over 217
                    23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Indians -1.5
                    24. Michigan Sports MLB – Mets under 10
                    25. National Consensus Report MLB – Yankees over 9
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Game 2 Odds: Celtics vs. Raptors
                      Michael Crosson

                      The second-seeded Toronto Raptors will look to rebound on Tuesday from the NBA Bubble in Orlando when it meets the third-seeded Boston Celtics in Game 2 of their second round series.

                      Betting Resources

                      Matchup: Eastern Conference Game 2
                      2nd Round Series: Celtics lead 1-0
                      Venue: ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex
                      Location: Orlando, Florida
                      Date: Tuesday, Sept. 1, 2020
                      Time: 5:40 p.m. ET
                      TV: ESPN

                      The Boston Celtics captured a wire-to-wire win over the Toronto Raptors in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference semifinals. (AP)

                      Line Movements

                      Despite being thoroughly handled in Sunday’s Game 1 contest, the Toronto Raptors remain one and a half point favorites for a second consecutive matchup with Boston, as the oddsmakers appear to be giving a slight lean to the defending champs in Game 2, who will be looking to post a statement bounce-back effort.

                      ‘Under’ bettors walked away with winning tickets following the first matchup of this series, as these teams combined for just 206 total points in Game 1, mostly thanks to Toronto’s whopping total of 94. Similar to the opening spread for this contest, the oddsmakers decided to “set it and forget it” with the ‘over-under’ as well, leaving it at the same total as the first matchup – OU 216.5 points.

                      Celtics money line bettors were thrilled as the team they backed cashed plus-money tickets emphatically in their 18-point Game 1 victory. Boston remains a +100 money line underdog heading into Game 2.

                      Spread: Toronto -1.5
                      Money-Line: Toronto -120 Boston +100
                      Total: 216
                      Updated Series Price: Boston -190, Toronto +150

                      Game 1 Recap

                      At times in the first quarter of Game 1, it was tough to tell if Nick Nurse’s team was playing flat on defense or if the Celtics just came out of the gate scorching-hot on offense, and the truth to the predicament is likely a little bit of both.

                      Boston put up 39 points in the opening stanza of this series on 57.2 eFG%, and the Raptors appeared to not have the explosive scoring ability needed to mount a comeback, as Toronto never obtained a lead after trailing by 16 points at the end of the first quarter.

                      Jayson Tatum and Marcus Smart led the way for Boston accounting for over 37% of the Celtics' scoring volume by tallying 21 points a piece to cap off the victory. The first game of this series was ALL Boston, as the group took three out of four periods of Game 1 by an average of 6.6 points, ultimately leading to a 112-94 triumph.

                      Game 1 Betting Results

                      It was a wire-to-wire win and cover for Boston in the opener and bettors pressing the Celtics connected on all the dots.

                      Total bettors playing the 'over' got off to a great start with 62 points in the first 12 minutes but Toronto's inefficient offense helped the 'under' prevail the rest of the way in Game 1.

                      Outcome: Celtics 112 Raptors 94

                      Game: Celtics Win, Celtics Cover (+2), Under (217.5)
                      First Quarter: Celtics Win (39-23), Celtics Cover (+0.5), Over 56
                      First-Half: Celtics Win (59-42), Celtics Cover (+1), Under 110
                      Second-Half: Celtics Win (53-52), Celtics Cover (+6.5), Under 111

                      Celtics Betting Outlook

                      Inside the Stats


                      Bubble: 10-3 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, 5-7-1 O/U
                      Playoffs: 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U

                      The Celtics continue to get no love from Vegas, as Brad Stevens' crew will head into Game 2 of this seven-game bout with the Raptors as underdogs yet again, despite pummeling the defending champs in the series opener.

                      Boston will not likely tally another 39-point quarter for the remainder of the post-season, especially against the second-ranked defensive unit in the NBA (TOR), so it is best to analyze Game 1 through a lens of the back three stanzas, which the Celtics won by a total of two points.

                      I thought Boston’s dominant performance on Sunday would have pulled the spread for Game 2 back down to a ‘pick’em,’ but Raptors bettors still have faith in their resilient group, and I can’t say I blame them after last year’s title run.

                      If Walker and Smart continue to shoot at the clip they shot from downtown in Game 1 though (9 for 16), Toronto doesn’t stand a chance once that gets mixed in with the offensive efficiency of Tatum.

                      Raptors Betting Outlook

                      Inside the Stats


                      Bubble: 11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS, 4-8-1 O/U
                      Playoffs: 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS, 3-2 O/U

                      Nick Nurse’s team better have more gas in the tank for Game 2 than they brought for Game 1, because his team got outplayed in just about every aspect of the contest in the first matchup between these units, and Toronto is supposed to be the superior team.

                      The Raptors scored under 25 points in three out of four periods of Game 1 averaging just 23.5 points per stanza, which is a little extreme for this matchup, but does shine light on Kyle Lowry and his crew’s consistent offensive woes against Boston, as they now average just 103 points per game against Boston this season.

                      Serge Ibaka was a bright-spot for the Toronto in Game 1, as he went three for seven from 3-point land, tallying 15 points in the loss, but the Raptors are going to need a lot more help than that if they want to hand the Celtics their first playoff loss on Tuesday night.

                      Key Injuries

                      Boston


                      PG Tremont Waters: Knee, Game Time Decision
                      SG Javonte Green: Knee, Out
                      SF Gordon Hayward: Ankle, Out

                      Tremont Waters was the lone player to be added to the injury report following Boston’s Game 1 victory over the Raptors. He is questionable with a knee injury, adding to a list that already consists of Hayward and Green.

                      Toronto

                      SF Oshae Brissett: Knee, Out
                      SF Patrick McCaw: Knee, Out
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Game 7 Odds: Jazz vs. Nuggets
                        Michael Crosson

                        The first Game 7 of the NBA Bubble will take place on Tuesday Sept. 1 from Orlando, Florida as the No. 3 Denver Nuggets meet the No. 6 Utah Jazz in their first round series finale.

                        This best-of-seven battle has been a series of runs. Denver captured Game 1 in overtime (135-125) before Utah rebounded with three consecutive victories behind an offense averaging 125.6 points per game.

                        Then, Denver found its defense and it ended up winning Game 5 and 6 while holding the Jazz to 107 in each of its two victories.

                        For those wondering, NBA Game 7's have been dominated by the home team (105-28) but that number could be tossed out due to these games being played on a neutral court.

                        Betting Resources

                        Matchup: Western Conference Game 7
                        First Round Series: Series tied 3-3
                        Venue: AdventHealth Arena
                        Location: Orlando, Florida
                        Date: Tuesday, Sept. 1, 2020
                        Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
                        TV: ABC

                        Line Movements

                        The third-seeded Denver Nuggets have forced the first Game 7 of this year’s NBA season on Tuesday against the sixth-seeded Utah Jazz, who are riding the coattail of Jamal Murray’s second 50-point explosion of the calendar week. Mike Malone’s team has walked away victorious in its last two contests against the Jazz, but Utah heads into Game 7 with a one-point edge at most books, despite the betting public favoring the Nuggets early.

                        After cashing ‘over’ tickets in five out of six contests so far in this series, the oddsmakers set the ‘over-under’ for Game 7 at the maximum total for this series – OU 220. Early action on the ‘under’ has pulled that line down to OU 218 though as we near the start of this contest.

                        Spread: Denver -1
                        Money-Line: Denver -115 Utah -105
                        Total: 218.5
                        Series Odds: Denver -115, Utah -105

                        Denver PG Jamal Murray scored 50 points in Sunday's Game 6 as the Nuggets avoided elimination once again to the Jazz. (AP)

                        Game 6 Recap

                        Donovan Mitchell continued his dominant playoff campaign on Sunday night, tallying his third game with 44+ points in this Western Conference opening round series, but it wasn’t enough to get the job done for the second consecutive game, as Utah dropped the contest 119-107.

                        The Jazz appeared to have Denver on the ropes heading into Game 6 with a 3-1 lead (two of their three victories by 19+ points), but Murray just simply isn’t ready to go home yet, as he has scored 142 points in the Nuggets last three contests (Game 6 – 50 points).

                        Some people are suggesting that we just pull everybody else off the court for Game 7 and just let Mitchell and Murray play a 48-minute one-on-one game to determine who advances to the second round of the Western Conference Playoffs.

                        Very unrealistic – but it sure would be fun to watch. Tuesday night on ABC is “must-watch” television as we will get the privilege of seeing an action-packed duel between emerging superstars in a primetime do-or-die game.

                        Game 6 Betting Results

                        Utah couldn't miss a shot in the first quarter yet it only managed to hold a six-point lead. As the Jazz offense cooled off from distance, Denver kept connecting and that was the difference on the hardwood and at the betting counter in Game 6.

                        Outcome: Nuggets 119 Jazz 107

                        Game: Nuggets Win, Nuggets Cover (+2.5), Over 219.5
                        First Quarter: Jazz Win (36-30), Jazz Cover (-1), Over (55.5)
                        First-Half: Nuggets Win (61-56), Nuggets Cover (+1.5), Over (114.5)
                        Second-Half: Nuggets Win (58-51), Nuggets Cover (+2.5), Under (110)

                        Jazz Betting Outlook

                        Inside the Stats


                        Utah: 47-31 SU, 36-40-2 ATS, 43-35 O/U
                        Bubble: 6-8 SU, 6-8 ATS, 10-4 O/U

                        “Success being overshadowed” has been the theme of Spida-Mitchell’s career so far, hasn’t it? Having a great rookie campaign, only to be beaten out by Ben Simmons for ROY. Playing well in last year’s playoffs, only to get bounced by James Harden and the Rockets in five games.

                        Now, Mitchell is averaging over 38 points per game in a playoff series with the Nuggets, might not even advance from the series, AND isn’t even the most talked-about player heading into the Game 7 matchup. It may have not appeared that way over the last three games, but Mitchell really is the best player on the floor in this series and I expect him to show up BIG in the final tilt of this series.

                        Look for him to easily go over whatever “total points” line he is given in this win-or-go-home Game 7 matchup on Tuesday night.

                        Nuggets Betting Outlook

                        Inside the Stats


                        Denver: 49-30 SU, 37-38-4 ATS, 43-35-1 O/U
                        Bubble: 6-8 SU, 8-6 ATS, 13-1 O/U

                        Put another tally up on the board, as the Nuggets' Game 6 victory marks the 12th ‘over’ in Denver’s last 13 contests. At first, the point totals piling up could be attributed to the Nuggets' injury issues and defensive struggles, but now their contests are beginning to soar ‘over’ for different reasons, and it starts with the increase in usage of Murray.

                        Denver typically likes to slow down the pace of the game and play through its All-Star center, Nikola Jokic, but when a guy scoring at the rate Jamal has in his last three games, you abandon the original game plan and feed him the rock; which is what we are seeing from Malone and his staff.

                        Key Injuries

                        Utah


                        C Ed Davis: Knee, Out
                        PG Justin Wright-Foreman: Not Injury Related, Out

                        Denver

                        SF Vlatko Cancar: Foot, Out
                        SF Will Barton: Knee, Out

                        The Nuggets were glad to get Gary Harris back from injury in Game 6 with hopes to take some of the scoring load at the guard position off Murray’s shoulders for the remainder of the series, but obviously that did not happen and will not happen in the foreseeable future.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          WNBA
                          Long Sheet

                          Tuesday, September 1


                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          CONNECTICUT (7 - 9) vs. NEW YORK (2 - 13) - 9/1/2020, 7:00 PM
                          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          NEW YORK is 4-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
                          CONNECTICUT is 6-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
                          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          INDIANA (5 - 10) vs. ATLANTA (3 - 13) - 9/1/2020, 8:00 PM
                          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                          ATLANTA is 4-4 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                          6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                          PHOENIX (9 - 7) vs. LAS VEGAS (12 - 3) - 9/1/2020, 10:00 PM
                          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                          Head-to-Head Series History
                          PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
                          PHOENIX is 5-3 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
                          6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            WNBA

                            Tuesday, September 1


                            Trend Report

                            Connecticut @ New York
                            Connecticut
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
                            Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
                            New York
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
                            The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 12 games at home

                            Indiana @ Atlanta
                            Indiana
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
                            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
                            Atlanta
                            Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
                            Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

                            Phoenix @ Las Vegas
                            Phoenix
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Las Vegas
                            Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas
                            Las Vegas
                            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Las Vegas's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
                            Las Vegas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              WNBA
                              Dunkel

                              Tuesday, September 1


                              Connecticut @ New York

                              Game 679-680
                              September 1, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Connecticut
                              110.239
                              New York
                              100.618
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Connecticut
                              by 9 1/2
                              154
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Connecticut
                              by 12
                              156 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              New York
                              (+12); Under

                              Indiana @ Atlanta


                              Game 681-682
                              September 1, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Indiana
                              102.224
                              Atlanta
                              106.934
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Atlanta
                              by 4 1/2
                              164
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Indiana
                              by 1 1/2
                              166 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Atlanta
                              (+1 1/2); Under

                              Phoenix @ Las Vegas


                              Game 683-684
                              September 1, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Phoenix
                              108.824
                              Las Vegas
                              118.918
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Las Vegas
                              by 10
                              165
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Las Vegas
                              by 7
                              170 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Las Vegas
                              (-7); Under
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                MLB public betting, line movement, sharp money September 1
                                Patrick Everson

                                Aaron Nola toes the slab for the Phillies on Tuesday night against the Nationals. Caesars sportsbooks opened the moneyline at Philadelphia -143/Washington +133.

                                MLB betting odds are up and getting attention for 13 games on the Tuesday schedule. Among the highlights is a decent pitching matchup between the Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies, and the streaking Chicago White Sox continue their series against the Minnesota Twins.

                                Caesars sportsbooks provided insights on MLB opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Tuesday’s games.

                                MLB line movement

                                Aaron Nola (3-2, 3.00 ERA) takes the ball for the host Phillies against Patrick Corbin (2-2, 3.82 ERA) and the Nationals in a 7:05 p.m. ET first pitch. Philadelphia won the series opener 8-6 Monday to move to 6-1 in its last seven games. The Phillies opened -143 at Caesars books, with the Nationals +133, and there was no line movement by late Monday night.

                                Chicago is now the outright owner of first place in the AL Central after going 12-2 in its last 14 games, including an 8-5 win over host Minnesota on Monday night. Caesars opened Tuesday’s moneyline at White Sox -115/Twins +105, and there was a modest early adjustment to -113/+103 for an 8:10 p.m. ET start.

                                The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees resume their three-game series in a 7:05 p.m. ET contest, after the Rays took Monday’s opener 5-3. Most books held off on posting the Game 2 line, waiting for clarity on starting pitchers.

                                MLB public betting

                                As of late Monday night, the White Sox were landing 57 percent of early Consensus picks against the Twins. Nationals-Phillies was seeing two-way play, as well, with Philadelphia taking 55 percent of early picks.

                                The Los Angeles Dodgers were the most popular Consensus play for Tuesday’s games, drawing 77 percent of early picks against the visiting Arizona Diamondbacks in a 9:40 p.m. ET meeting.
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