Thursday 9/3/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14100 Class Rating: 57

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 SISTER LULU 4/1
# 1 ROBERTO'S DREAM 9/2
# 5 DIVA JANE 7/2

My selection in here is SISTER LULU. Has performed well recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 51 avg Equibase Speed Figure. With Court on top her, this filly will most likely be able to break out sharply for this race. With a strong 51 speed figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. DIVA JANE - Change in Lasix (on Lasix) may be the means to a return to the races. Will almost certainly compete admirably in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Emerald Downs - Race #2 - Post: 5:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,400 Class Rating: 57

Rating:

#6 DOWNTHEMIDDLE DAN (ML=9/5)


DOWNTHEMIDDLE DAN - Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be beneficial. It looks like Gutierrez had to know this gelding on August 12th when riding him for the first time. Back on again today. Ran in the last race against tougher competition at Emerald Downs. The move to a lower class level should suit him well.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SONGBIRD EYDIE (ML=2/1), #5 BIG DOG (ML=4/1), #3 HALO HERO (ML=8/1),

SONGBIRD EYDIE - Hard to take this runner at the odds after the finish (fifth) in the last affair. Mediocre speed rating in the last race at Emerald Downs at 6 furlongs. Don't think this horse will improve too much in today's race. BIG DOG - Not the best 'spot' in this affair. HALO HERO - Hard to bet on at 8/1 odds after the last two outings. Garnered a common speed rating last race out in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on June 24th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #6 DOWNTHEMIDDLE DAN on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 83

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 1 FRIENDLY OUTTHEDOR 9/2
# 5 RAWHIDE RAWLINS 5/2
# 3 OCULUS 3/1

FRIENDLY OUTTHEDOR looks respectable to best this field. Sound average Speed Figures in turf route races make this animal a key contender. Lately Orozco has been sizzling which may give the edge to this gelding. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run lately. RAWHIDE RAWLINS - Will almost certainly come out strong - I have liked the way this gelding has moved promptly to the lead recently. Is a definite contender - given the 72 Equibase speed fig from his most recent race. OCULUS - Look for a solid pace improvement from this equine who enters with second time Lasix today. Had one of the most favorable speed figures of this group in his last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Arlington - Race #7 - Post: 5:18pm - Maiden Special - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $32,400 Class Rating: 71

Rating:

#3 RUBY ROUND HERE (ML=6/1)
#2 DOROTA (ML=5/1)


RUBY ROUND HERE - My expertise says this is the only stalker in the race. I usually like playing sprinters who are 3-4 races into a comeback. DOROTA - Very often a racer who worked from the gate since her last race, and adds the 'hood' for today's race, shows a big improvement in performance. This animal wins a lot of cash per race. Uppermost in this clash. The addition of Lasix might make this animal wake up and run well in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MOONSHINE DREAMER (ML=3/1), #6 GRAMERCY (ML=4/1), #5 MPEMBA (ML=9/2),

MOONSHINE DREAMER - A bit of a less than stellar outing when this filly finished fifth. Tough to play any horse in a sprint event at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any successful endeavors in sprints in the last 60 days. Betting a grass horse first time on the main track is a tough play. This filly recorded a rating in her last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. GRAMERCY - Most likely won't make much of an impact today. MPEMBA - This vulnerable equine made little impact last out finishing eighth. Can't expect any improvement in today's event. I usually bet against a turf horse trying the main track for the first time.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - DOROTA - The handler puts blinks on. This beautiful animal should improve today with the equipment change.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Put your money on #3 RUBY ROUND HERE on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

09/03/20, SAR, Race 6, 4.01 ET
09/03/20,SAR,6,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:04 STAKES. New York Stallion Series Stakes. Purse $100,000. FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD ELIGIBLE FOR THE NEW YORK STALLION STAKES. Only foals by Nominated Stallions will be eligible for all of the New York Stallion Stakes Series races. By subscription of $100 each which should accompany the nomination. $750 to pass the entry box and an additional $750 to start. For horses not originally nominated, a supplemental nomination payment of $1,500 (along with the entry and starting fees) may be made at any time prior to the closing of entries. All monies to be divided 55% to the owner of the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth, 4% to fifth and 3% divided equally amongst the remaining finishers. 5% of purses won to be awarded to the stallion nominator. 122 lbs. Non-winners of $55,000 or two races other than maiden, claiming or starter allowed 2 lbs.; a race other than maiden, claiming or starter allowed 4 lbs. A trophy will be presented to the winning owner. Closed Saturday, August 22, 2020 with 12 Nominations.
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	2	Nicky Scissors(b+)	6-1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Cox Brad H.	JL	44.62	1.23/$1
099.5857	5	Mani Pedi	15-1	Saez L	Bond H. James	TF	44.83	1.13/$1
098.4758	6	The Important One	6-1	Ortiz J L	Asmussen Steven M.	SC	41.18	1.47/$1
097.9757	4	Big Q	7/2	Rosario J	Gullo Gary P.		28.87	0.80/$1
097.8483	3	Spin a Yarn	5/2	Lezcano J	Progno Christopher	W	34.00	1.21/$1
097.6690	7	Officer Hutchy	9/5	Davis D	Atras Rob	E	32.84	1.03/$1
094.1609	1	Holmdel Park	15-1	Carmouche K	Ryerson James T.		44.62	1.23/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 40.00, ROI 1.32/$1

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

09/03/20, GP, Race 3, 12.58 ET
09/03/20,GP,3,1M [Turf] 1:31:02 CLAIMING. Purse $27,000 (includes up to $4,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 126 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over On The Turf Since June 3 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000, if for $20,000, allowed 1lb. (Races Where Entered For $20,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). (If deemed inadvisable to run this race over the turf course, it will be run on the main track at One Mile) (Rail at 108 feet).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Emolga	9/2	Jaramillo E	De La Cerda Armando	FEL	33.33	1.49/$1
097.9084	7	La Rusia	2-1	Zayas E J	Sanchez Amador Merei	J	30.06	1.16/$1
096.6573	1	Dienda	3-1	Torres C A	Casse Mark E.		33.33	1.49/$1
096.1852	6	Josefa	10-1	Trejos J	Sano Antonio		33.33	1.49/$1
095.6389	8	Our Fantasy	5-1	Vasquez M A	O'Connell Kathleen	T	33.33	1.49/$1
094.5891	4	Cherokee Sound(b+)	8-1	Reyes L	Negrete Javier	SC	33.33	1.49/$1
094.2527	3	Donnameup	12-1	Arroyo A S	Arias Juan D.	W	33.33	1.49/$1
092.1533	2	Mahkato	20-1	Rodriguez A A	Collins Johnny		33.33	1.49/$1

* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 21.62, ROI 0.64/$1
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	5	Emolga	9/2	Jaramillo E	De La Cerda Armando	FEL	22.22	1.04/$1
098.1747	6	Josefa	10-1	Trejos J	Sano Antonio		22.22	1.04/$1
097.7333	7	La Rusia	2-1	Zayas E J	Sanchez Amador Merei	J	22.22	1.04/$1
096.9687	1	Dienda	3-1	Torres C A	Casse Mark E.	T	22.22	1.04/$1
096.6970	8	Our Fantasy	5-1	Vasquez M A	O'Connell Kathleen		22.22	1.04/$1
096.0094	3	Donnameup	12-1	Arroyo A S	Arias Juan D.	W	36.62	1.22/$1
095.9823	4	Cherokee Sound(b+)	8-1	Reyes L	Negrete Javier	SC	57.14	2.17/$1
091.2613	2	Mahkato	20-1	Rodriguez A A	Collins Johnny		41.18	1.25/$1

* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 24.06, ROI 0.89/$1

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jeff Siegel's Saratoga Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 9/3/20

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September 3, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saratoga
Thursday, September 3, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches.

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Churchill Downs Best Plays:

Churchill Downs 7th race – Post Time 4:16 ET
3-Mystical Man (3-1)

Was given an easy race in his debut on turf at Saratoga and should be much more serious today when switching to the main track in this maiden two-turner for juvenile colts. The son of Mucho Macho Man closed ground into the teeth of slow fractions when winding up a respectable fifth (beaten 3 lengths) without being knocked behind just ahead of yesterday’s With Anticipation Stakes winner Fire at Will behind him. The A. Stall, Jr. barn has powerful stats with the second-time starter angle so we’re expecting this $155,000 OBS March sale purchase to step forward and graduate while offering good value at 3-1 on the morning line.

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Churchill Downs 10th race – Post Time 5:58 ET
6-Crazy Beautiful (2-1)

Could not have been more impressive winning the 7-furlong main track Debutante S. at Ellis Park last month after graduating at first asking two-turn on grass the previous month, both victors accomplish by daylight and with ease. Steps into graded stakes company today in the Pocahontas S.-G3 but has the perfect style for this one-turn mile distance and should be able to handle the class hike in stride. The daughter of Liam’s Map is listed at 2-1 on the morning line and we’ll take that price if we can get it both in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.

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Saratoga Analysis and Wagering Strategies:

RACE 1: Post 1:10 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1a-Lokoya Road; 9-Lost in Rome

Forecast: This race has been transferred to the main track. Lokoya Road, away since February, returns in a soft spot for M. Maker/J. Ortiz and will try dirt for the first time after a couple of runs on grass during the winter at Fair Grounds. He can win if he returns with the type of form previously displayed but, of course, that’s question mark. Lost in Rome gets in as an MTO in his first off the claim for B. Brown. He’s up from $30,000 to $75,000 but has earned speed figures that fit at this league and certainly can handle dirt.
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RACE 2: Post 1:44 ET. Grade: X
Single: 3-Long Term Thinking

Forecast: Away since last November and returning in a maiden claiming $20,0-00 extended sprint, Long Term Thinking must have a hole in him the size of the Grand Canyon. He’s listed at even money on the morning line but there’s no guarantee he’s even close to the same colt that displayed ability in three maiden special weight races last year, one of which he actually won before being disqualified. You can use him as a no-value rolling exotic single or better yet simply pass the race.
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RACE 3: Post 2:17 ET. Grade: B-
Single: 6-Con Lima

Forecast: This race has been taken off the turf and will be contested at seven furlongs. Not sure how good Florida shipper Con Lima is, but she’s a dirt specialist in a race in which the other contenders prefer grass, so on that basis we’ll give her the edge on top. Her maiden win at Gulfstream Park at this seven furlong distance was impressive, so in a race reduced to just five runners we’ll make her a win play and rolling exotic single.
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RACE 4: Post 2:51 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 4-Blunt Force; 5-I’ll Take the Cake

Forecast: Blunt Force blew a clear lead in mid-stretch when runner-up in a similar spot in late July in a race that didn’t earn much of a number, but a repeat of her race before last – a good win in a restricted (nw-3) $10,000 seller at Churchill Downs – makes her the one to beat in this modest claiming sprint for fillies and mares. I’ll Take the Cake takes a nosedive in class after displaying good early speed but then faltering badly in the final furlong vs. much tougher $40,000 foes. At this level, the old pro (11 wins, 7 seconds in 48 starts) must be given a chance to bounce back. She’s a stakes winner of nearly $300,000 and you’d think she’d be worth the money as a broodmare prospect if nothing else.
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RACE 5: Post 3:25 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Mendham; 9-Big Time Lady; 12-Sweeter

Forecast: This race has been taken off the turn and will be run at seven furlongs. It’s a spread race matching maiden state-bred juvenile fillies, so tread lightly. Big Time Lady has the benefit of a prior run and should stick better today for a barn that has solid stats with second-timers. Mendham, a first-timer from the T. Pletcher barn, is a daughter of Munnings with a fair to moderate work tab and in an open fray is worth including. We’ll also toss in MTO entrant Sweeter, favorably drawn outside and with good :47 2/5 drill over the local main track last month that was the second faster of 34 for the distance. Maybe she can run some.
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RACE 6: Post 4:01 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 2-Nicky Scissors; 3-Spin a Yarn; 7-Officer Hutchy

Forecast: Officer Hutchy left her previous form far behind when earning a monster speed figure in victory over a restricted (nw-3) $25,000 claiming field here last month and may pay quick dividends for new trainer R. Atras, who appears to have made a shrewd and timely claim. Drawn comfortably outside, retaining D. Davis, and with a nice recent breeze to tick her over, the daughter of Boys at Toscanova could bounce to the moon or come right back and win again. Spin a Yarn, unbeaten in four starts at Finger Lakes, moves into the major leagues today to get tested for class in this New York Stallion Series stakes race for 3-year-old fillies. She’s coming back off short rest – the Forty Tales filly just won an added money event eight days ago – but she’s won with just nine days of rest in the past so perhaps the quick turnaround won’t bother her as much as the tougher competition might. What we like the most is her ability to win on the lead or as pace-stalker, so J. Lezcano can break running and then assess the race flow. Nicky Scissors, third in a state-bred stakes going long on the lawn in late July in her first outing in five months, puts on blinkers today for the first time, shortens up to what probably is her preferred distance, and has every right to produce a forward move for high percentage connections. All three should be included in rolling exotic play with a slight preference on top to Officer Hutchy.
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RACE 7: Post 4:37 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1a-Team Win; 2-Sky Kitten

Forecast: This race has been taken off the turf and will be contested at seven furlongs. It’s a chaotic affair for $35,000 claiming fillies and mares, so the best advice is to go as deep as your budget allows. Team Win looks a bit intriguing; she’s adding blinkers, shortening in trip and has main track form that charts well against this group. She’s by no means a single or anything like that but she’s worth using, as is Sky Kitten, a winner of an off-the-turf maiden race in her debut in the only dirt outing of her career. As a daughter of Sky Mesa, maybe she’s always wanted to be a main-track type of runner and gets a chance to show it today.
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RACE 8: Post 5:12 ET. Grade: B
Use: 3-Palace Avenger; 6-Fair Regis

Forecast: This competitive second-level allowance sprint for fillies and mares has a few possibilities; we’ll go two-deep and hope that’s enough. Fair Regis is winless this year but her recent speed figures are rising so let’s give the tough-as-nails veteran mare a chance to regain her winning form. She shortens up to six furlongs (her best trip) and retains I. Ortiz, Jr., who should have the daughter of Bustin Stones in an ideal second flight, stalking position with dead aim on the leaders at the head of the lane. Pace Avenger moves up a level after a game win over this track and distance in mid-July. She’s been kept on edge with a series of sharp recent drills, including a bullet :47 4/5 breezing drill (fastest of 21) last week and with rising speed figures and ready for another step forward the W. Ward-trained 3-year-old filly is the logical top pick and one to beat.
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RACE 9: Post 5:45 ET. Grade: X
Single: 1-Niko’s Dream

Forecast: This race has been transferred to the main track and has been reduced to three runners. Niko’s Dream has never raced on anything but turf but she’s bred to handle the main track and if she can duplicate her grass form in this event she can be along in time. You can use her as a single, buy the race, or simply sit it out.
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RACE 10: Post 6:18 ET. Grade: C
Use: 1-Ms Boombastic; 4-Harlem Heights; 5-Yes to Mischief; 6-My Sweet Wife

Forecast: This race has been transferred to the main track. Spread as deeply as you can afford. My Sweet Wife is a daughter of Candy Ride trying dirt for the first time, and after finishing a close fifth two-turning on the lawn while beaten just a length with an improved speed figure she may be set to earn her diploma. Yes to Mischief, a moderate fourth in her first start in mid-July, has a right to step forward today, though the barn (1-for-35 at the meeting at last count) is hard to back with confidence. Harlem Heights earned a speed figure two races back that probably wins this race but a decent filly can beat her. Not sure if there is one in this field, though. Ms Boombastic had a run routing on grass in her debut that wasn’t bad and in which she got some play, so with the addition of blinkers today, the switch to dirt and the shortening in trip improvement is likely.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

MLB (Thur) Cubs
NBA (Thur) Raptors
NBA (Thur) Clippers
NHL (Thur) Islanders

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	MLB – Yankees +110
2.	Gameday Network	MLB – Cubs under 9.5
3.	VegasSI.com	MLB – White Sox -140
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	MLB – Dodgers -1.5
5.	Sports Action 365	NBA – Raptors -2
6.	Point Spread Report	NBA – Clippers -9
7.	Lou Panelli	NBA – Raptors over 217
8.	Gerry “Big Cat” Andino	MLB – Red Sox +120
9.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	MLB – Astros -170
10.	William E. Stockton	MLB – Cubs -165
11.	Vincent Pioli	MLB – White Sox over 9
12.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Raptors -2
13.	SCORE	NBA – Clippers under 223
14.	East Coast Line Movers	NBA – Raptors over 217
15.	Tony Campone	MLB – Yankees +110
16.	Chicago Sports Group	MLB – Padres under 8.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	MLB – Phillies -170
18.	VIP Action	MLB – Cubs -165
19.	South Beach Sports	MLB – Red Sox over 10.5
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	NBA – Raptors over 217
21.	NY Players Club	NBA – Clippers -9
22.	Fred Callahan	NBA – Raptors -2
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	MLB – Phillies -170
24.	Michigan Sports	MLB – White Sox -140
25.	National Consensus Report	MLB – Dodgers -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Sep 03 '20, 2:45 PM in 44m
Soccer | Spain vs Germany
Play on: OVER 2½ -112

** Thursday Featured Free Play **
The Soccer Nations Comp play is on Germany and Spain to play OVER 2.5 Goals. We like the total as this game could be close and Both teams have solid attacks and this game could be higher scoring. Both teams are expected to make a deep run in this tournament and this is the best of the opening day matches. Germany is a slight favorite and should emerge with the win in a game that plays over the total. . Go over 2.5 goals In the Span vs Germany game. RV- GC Sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Sep 03 '20, 4:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Nationals vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -155 at pinnacle

PICK - Philadelphia Phillies -155
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 906
I will gladly lay the juice with the Phillies on Thursday, as they will look to finish off the 4-game sweep of division rival Washington. Fresh off the heels of a 3-0 win on Wednesday, Philadelphia has outscored the Nationals 11-0 the last two in this series.
With an offense that is clicking, it will be hard for them to win this game with Anibal Sanchez on the mound. Sanchez has a 6.90 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in 6 starts (Washington 1-5 in those 6 starts). He's also got a 9.23 ERA and 2.052 WHIP in 3 road starts (Washington 0-3 in those 3 games).
Phillies will counter with Zach Eflin, who has a slightly below average 4.10 ERA and 1.291 WHIp in 5 starts. However, he does have a strong 2.65 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 home starts and the Phillies have won 4 of his 5 starts. His metrics also suggest he's been better than his numbers, as he owns a very strong 2.73 FIP and 3.04 xFIP. Give me the Phillies -155!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 3

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ATLANTA (4 - 13) vs. NEW YORK (2 - 14) - 9/3/2020, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LAS VEGAS (12 - 4) vs. CONNECTICUT (8 - 9) - 9/3/2020, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-3 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (5 - 12) vs. PHOENIX (10 - 7) - 9/3/2020, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 6-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Thursday, September 3

Trend Report

Atlanta @ New York
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
New York
New York is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 13 games at home

Las Vegas @ Connecticut
Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Las Vegas's last 8 games when playing Connecticut
Las Vegas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Connecticut's last 8 games when playing Las Vegas

Indiana @ Phoenix
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Thursday, September 3

Atlanta @ New York

Game 607-608
September 3, 2020 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
102.982
New York
101.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 5 1/2
165 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5 1/2); Under

Las Vegas @ Connecticut

Game 609-610
September 3, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
114.905
Connecticut
111.577
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Las Vegas
by 3 1/2
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 5 1/2
162 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+5 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Phoenix

Game 611-612
September 3, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
102.243
Phoenix
112.836
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 10 1/2
168
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 6 1/2
171
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-6 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA public betting, line movement September 3
Patrick Everson

Kawhi Leonard and Jamal Murray collide when the Clippers face the Nuggets in Thursday's Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals. The SuperBook has Los Angeles an 8.5-point favorite.

NBA betting odds are on the board and getting attention for a pair of conference semifinal playoff games Thursday night. The Denver Nuggets, fresh off an exhilarating series against the Utah Jazz, meet the Los Angeles Clippers in prime time, preceded by Game 3 of the Toronto Raptors-Boston Celtics series.

The SuperBook at Westgate provided insights on NBA opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Thursday’s matchups.

NBA line movement

Denver rallied from a 3-1 series deficit to Utah, winning the final three games to advance to the Western Conference semis. The Nuggets finished with an 80-78 victory in Game 7 Tuesday night. Meanwhile, Los Angeles went six games with Dallas, capped by a 111-97 win Sunday. The SuperBook opened the Clippers -8 and moved to -8.5 by Wednesday afternoon for Thursday’s 9 p.m. ET tipoff.

Defending NBA champion Toronto is already on the ropes in the Eastern Conference semis, trailing Boston 2-0 after a 102-99 loss Tuesday. The Raptors opened -1 at The SuperBook for Game 3, then the game spent a couple of hours at pick ‘em Wednesday before going back to Toronto -1 for a 6:30 p.m. ET start.

NBA public betting

"We're getting early bets on the Raptors -1, some parlay money on the Over, but not a lot," Osterman said of action on the first game, before moving on to the nightcap. "The Clippers are getting bet pretty well on the moneyline. Not much on anything else yet."

The Consensus, often indicative of where the public money is flowing, shows some early belief in the underdog Nuggets to cover the spread. As of Wednesday night, Denver was landing 60 percent of Consensus picks against L.A., while desperate Toronto was drawing 61 percent of early picks against Boston.