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Friday 9/4/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Sep 04 '20, 6:40 PM in 1h
MLB | Marlins vs Rays
Play on: Rays -124 at betonline
952 Miami at Tampa Bay
Josh Flemming just faced Miami a few days ago and was excellent with a 68 game score. While the recency advantage goes to the Marlins, Miami has a wRC+ of only 80 against lefties. We really like Pablo Lopez but he's been a bit lucky this season. The previous two years he permitted 23 homers in 173 innings. This year he's allowed just one longball in 34.1 innings of work. Tampa also hits righties well with a wRC+ of 114. Tampa is 12-5 on the season at Tropicana Field. We look for the host to grab this victory.
PLAY TAMPA BAY
Sep 04 '20, 7:10 PM in 1h
MLB | MIL vs CLE
Play on: UNDER 8 -115
PICK - Indians/Brewers UNDER 8 RATING: 30* ROT#: 960
I see some value here with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between the Indians and Brewers. These are two of the worst hitting teams in the league. Both teams rank in the bottom 10 in AVG, OPS, and Runs.
Brewers come in having scored 1 or fewer runs in 4 of their last 8 games. Cleveland has scored 2 or fewer in 3 of their last 5.
The much bigger concern here is the Indians offense, but Milwaukee's Corbin Burnes has been lights out. He's got a 2.29 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in 4 starts. His metrics back it up, as he owns a 2.45 FIP. He's coming off a start where he pitched 6 shutout innings, allowing just 3 hits with 10 K and 1 BB.
Cleveland will send out Carlos Carrasco, who has a solid 3.75 ERA in 7 starts. Most importantly, Carrasco is in good form. He too pitched 6 shutout innings in his last start, allowing just 2 hits with 6 K and 2 BB.
UNDER is 10-5 in Cleveland home games this season and 23-9 in their last 32 at home as a favorite of -125 to 175.
UNDER is 13-4 in Brewers last 17 with a total of 7 to 8.5. Give me the UNDER 8!
Sep 04 '20, 9:00 PM in 3h
NHL | Canucks vs Golden Knights
Play on: Canucks +1½ -130 at sportsbook
This is a Free play on Vancouver +1.5.
The Canucks are coming off a dominant 4-0 win in Game 6, behind a stellar performance from backup goaltender Thatcher Demko. They will look to lean on Demko again in Game 7. and given what we have seen from this squad so far, it would seem foolish to doubt them. Here is what I said prior to this series: "The Canucks dispatched of the defending Stanley Cup champions in six games, and now they are a big underdog in their second round series versus Las Vegas. Vancouver gives us every reason to expect this to be a competitive series. The Golden Knights have won six of their last seven versus Vancouver, but four of those wins came in games decided by just one goal."
Sep 04 '20, 9:40 PM in 4h
MLB | Rockies vs Dodgers
Play on: Rockies +220 at Mirage
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Colorado Rockies +220
The Colorado Rockies are worth a shot today as better than 2-to-1 dogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers. The Rockies had yesterday off while the Dodgers completed their sweep of the Arizona Diamondbacks yesterday. Antonio Senzatela has been too good to be more than a 2-to-1 dog. He is 3-1 with a 3.32 ERA in seven starts this season and just recently shut out the Padres through seven innings and the Astros through eight innings in two of his last three starts. Dustin May has solid ERA/WHIP numbers but just 23 strikeouts in 35 innings and is averaging only 5 innings per start in his seven starts. Give me the Rockies.
Sep 04 '20, 9:40 PM in 4h
MLB | Padres vs A's
Play on: Padres +127 at 5Dimes
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: San Diego Padres +127
The San Diego Padres went for it by trading for Mike Clevinger. They are determined to make the postseason this year and playing like it. They have gone 12-4 in their last 16 games overall and are certainly one of the most underrated teams in baseball.
I like getting the Padres as underdogs here against the Oakland A’s with Zach Davies on the mound. Davies is 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.895 WHIP in seven starts this season. He has consistently been underrated dating back to his time with the Brewers.
The A’s could be rusty here having not played since August 29th. Jesus Lazardo is 2-1 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in five starts this season for the A’s, including 1-1 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in his last three.
Davies is a very profitable 31-25 (+16.9 units) as an underdog of +100 or higher in his career. The Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 interleague games. San Diego is 5-0 in its last five vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Padres Friday.
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