Thursday 9/10/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Red Dog Sports

Sep 10 '20, 6:15 PM in 20h
Soccer | Gremio vs Bahia
Play on: Draw +219 at pinnacle

draw +219
Gremio 1
Bahia 1

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Jimmy Boyd

Sep 10 '20, 8:20 PM in 22h
NFL | Texans vs Chiefs
Play on: OVER 54 -110

1* Free Pick on Texans/Chiefs over 54 -110

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451HOUSTON -452 KANSAS CITY
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) against conference opponents in the last 2 seasons.

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NFL
Dunkel

Week 1

Thursday, September 10

Houston @ Kansas City

Game 451-452
September 10, 2020 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
129.453
Kansas City
148.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 19
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 9 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-9 1/2); Over

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 1

Thursday, September 10

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HOUSTON (11 - 7) at KANSAS CITY (15 - 4) - 9/10/2020, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 60-37 ATS (+19.3 Units) in September games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NFL

Week 1

Thursday

Texans @ Kansas City
— Chiefs beat Houston 51-31 here in playoffs LY, after trailing 24-0 at one point; Texans won 31-24 here in regular season.
— Houston covered 8 of last 12 tries as a road underdog.
— Texans lost four of last five road openers (6-4-1 ATS in last 11).

— Since 2017, Kansas City is 17-10 ATS as a home favorite.
— Chiefs started out 1-0 the last five years, scoring 36 ppg in last five openers.
— Over is 4-0-1 in Chiefs’ last five home openers

— KC is 7-5 overall in series games, with teams splitting four games in Arrowhead..

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NFL

Week 1

Trend Report

Thursday, September 10

Houston @ Kansas City
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

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393UAB -394 MIAMI
UAB is 2-10 ATS (-9 Units) after a home game where both teams score 31 or more points since 1992.

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 2

Thursday, September 10

UAB @ Miami-FL

Game 393-394
September 10, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UAB
74.996
Miami-FL
81.143
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 6
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 14
54 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UAB
(+14); Under

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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, September 10

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UAB (1 - 0) at MIAMI (0 - 0) - 9/10/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAF

Week 2

Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, September 10

Alabama-Birmingham @ Miami-FL
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Alabama-Birmingham's last 19 games on the road
Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Miami-FL is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

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Kentucky Downs - Race #1

#1 Silent Surprise	Well drawn runner has been in good form of late at Ellis Park, meets a crew there for the taking, and will offer value too; call in a real scramble.
#6 Domonette	The gal to beat was in too tough at Ellis and will like this group, and the runs two and three-back, if she can get there, will win this; plenty scary.
#2 Flat Meadow	Tricky read will like the drop and has Geroux, so she'll get bet, and this post helps too, but her last was brutal, so she's tough to trust; tread lightly.
Race Summary	The price and post will both be right on the 1, who has form on her side, as opposed to the class of the 2 and 6, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the 14% takeout Pk5 as well, since a win would add plenty of value to the sequence right off the bat.

Kentucky Downs - Race #6

#4 Love Beach	Price player had some trips at Bel and Kee then didn't like the sprint at Cnl last time, but she has talent, and this elongated stretch might wake her back up; upset special.
#5 Envied	Dangerous sort was closing at Elp to be a good 3rd, so you know she's in good form, and she'll also get first run on the pick off the far turn as well; would be no surprise.
#8 Osaka Girl	Speedster will take these as far as she can on the engine, and that's always a asset in this game, but wiring over this tricky course is never easy; may come unglued late.
Race Summary	The price will be right on the 4, and the course may be too, as she should like this trip, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the 14% late Pk5 as well, as this is a deep field, and a win would go a long way in blowing the sequence up right off the bat.

Kentucky Downs - Race #9

#9 Kinenos	Deep closer has been running out of room of late, so this longer trip should help, as will being out of router Empire Maker; mows them all down in the lane.
#6 Peace Achieved	Stretch runner likely needed his return at Indiana, and note the ground was yielding too, so off that tightener he should be primed here; looms a real handful.
#2 Shamrocket	Clement runner was facing some decent fields in NY, so don't view this as a stiff class rise, though this 6-1 ML does seem a little light; underlaid contender.
Race Summary	We've got a wide open race here, but the 9 will likely appreciate this longer trip more than most, so give him a look in all the slots, and especially the 14% takeout late Pk5/Pk4 as well, since he could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would go a long way in adding plenty of value to both sequences.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

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Laurel Park - Race #4

#1 Spun Glass	Might be able to work out a decent trip from the inside, as she has some pace drawn outside of her that might allow her to sit in the pocket and look for a seam.
#2 Lady Boss	Has run well in both career turf tries, and she has shown a bit of versatility in running style, making her even more dangerous.
#4 Midship Lady	Finisher tends to come alive a bit too late to get the job done, but she seems like a useful addition in the underneath spots in the gimmicks.
Race Summary	Spun Glass only tried the turf once, in her career debut, and she might be able to find a decent trip behind a trip of pace players.

Laurel Park - Race #6

#12 Atreyu	Forgive the last one on the dirt, as this guy has never been beaten from six career turf starts. That said, he has never faced this kind of company on the turf before.
#10 Cannon's Roar	Tactical type should work out a great trip from close range and can land her third in a row with another effort similar to that last one.
#3 Soglio	Midpack type has been in with much better than this over the course of the last couple years, and though he's probably not getting back to his best stuff, something like his last effort would keep him in the mix here.
Race Summary	Atreyu has done nothing wrong in six starts on the grass and has shown the right kind of positional pace to overcome a wide draw here.

Laurel Park - Race #7

#2 Tappin Cat	He should be right up spying the splits early on, and an advantageous trip might get him to his best effort which would be good enough with these.
#8 Zoomer	Has a right to be tough off a couple of even efforts in New York for the new connections, and he would benefit if a few of these went to battle early.
#6 Fortunate Friends	This guy typically presses the pace but might find himself right up on the splits today, and he brings reliable form with him to this competitive spot.
Race Summary	Tappin Cat has some versatility in style that should serve him well, as he's quick enough to be in the mix early on but can also settle and finish if necessary. The 10/1 ML offering would be plenty attractive.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

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Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2

#7 POKERFACE BLUECHIP	Chased fast splits and odds-on winner, seeks duplicate.
#4 ALL GOLD	Drops after six months away, Callahan’s choice on a double call.
#6 PREPPY ART	Piling up the checks but burning ‘win’ money along the way.
Race Summary	Pokerface Bluechip arrived from Ocean Downs and didn’t lose ground while chasing the 1-to-2 winner through a :56.4 middle half. He has enough speed to get position from the outside and upstage his recent third-place finishes. Play 7-4 and 7-6 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4

#5 CHARMBO PRINCE	Good fit if second-time Lasix helps his stretch stamina.
#2 TITAN’S DREAM	Win and a third at Woodbine-Mohawk Park recently, moves outside in.
#8 OXFORD HALL	Finished third behind the favorites from similar starting spot.
Race Summary	Charmbo Prince lost at short prices at four tracks recently, but he gets second-time Lasix and a re-run of his July 16 start at Woodbine makes him dangerous. He gained steadily while first-over in the third quarter, got past the pace-setting favorite and hung in late stretch to finish second.

Scioto Downs - Race #1

#2 BAD SAMMIE	No factor in fast heats, drops into ideal spot, re-united with Miller.
#6 TIFFANY ROCKS	Always a factor, continues to battle seconditis.
#4 NIGHT TIME AGAIN	Settled for minor awards in last three tries at this level.
Race Summary	Bad Sammie gets class relief and exits three August races that timed in 1:50 and change. Her numbers and inner post should translate to a strong race. Play 2-4 and 2-6 exactas.

Scioto Downs - Race #8

#10 NEVER SAY UNCLE	Say ‘yes’ at a big price after hard-earned victory.
#3 BRIDGE TO JESSE’S	Earned big speed figure in defeat, had to work around faves two back.
#9 OUTBURST	Exits open company in search of 56th win and $800,000 in earnings.
Race Summary	Never Say Uncle, no factor at this level two starts back, was deceptively good winning on the class drop last week. He was flushed out before the half, grinded first-over and caught the 8-5 pace-setter late. He should work out no worse of a trip despite second-tier starting spot.