Friday 10/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358423

    #16
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belterra Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.




    Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14100 Class Rating: 58

    FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.

    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    # 2 WHAT A BEAST 9/2
    # 4 RAMSES 5/2
    # 5 C F V RED NOVA 7/2
    WHAT A BEAST looks to be a decent contender. Conditioner has produced the most favorable results in this group of horses in this race with entrants in their first competition. Lagunes should be able to get this colt to break out quickly in this race. If you like to play exotics, don't leave this horse out, given the history of sire's foals. RAMSES - Harty has a solid 21 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. C F V RED NOVA - Don't overlook this animal as the conditioner has produced solid returns with 1st time starters. Conditioner has one of the best results with maiden starters in this group.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358423

      #17
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland



      10/02/20, KEE, Race 7, 4.30 ET
      10/02/20,KEE,7,1 1/8M [Turf] 1:45:04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $71,000 (includes up to $14,700 KTDF - Kentucky TB Devt Fund). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 123 lbs. Non-winners Of $24,600 Over A Mile On The Turf Since August 2 Allowed 2 lbs. (Races Where Entered For $35,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at One Mile and One-Eighth on the main track. (Rail at 20 feet).
      . . . .
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
      100.0000 5 I Hear You 3-1 Gaffalione T Stidham Michael JTSEW 84 28.57 1.33/$1
      099.4192 8 Luck Money 5/2 Rosario J Delacour Arnaud FL 60 36.67 1.66/$1
      097.9051 4 Ella Brilla 9/2 Lanerie C J Lynch Brian A. 84 28.57 1.33/$1
      095.2107 2 Quiet Dignity 5-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Maker Michael J. 84 28.57 1.33/$1
      094.5956 7 First Course 15-1 Bejarano R Oliver Victoria H. 84 28.57 1.33/$1
      093.6106 3 Sursum Corda 5-1 Leparoux J R Wilkes Ian R. C 84 28.57 1.33/$1
      093.4457 1 Choate Bridge 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Walsh Brendan P. 84 28.57 1.33/$1
      092.9530 6 Lemon Popper 12-1 Burke J McKeever Andrew 84 28.57 1.33/$1
      * Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 24.44, ROI 0.97/$1
      If Race Is Off Turf

      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
      100.0000 8 Luck Money 5/2 Rosario J Delacour Arnaud SFL 56 39.29 1.80/$1
      099.8316 4 Ella Brilla 9/2 Lanerie C J Lynch Brian A. W 35 40.00 2.03/$1
      098.1361 5 I Hear You 3-1 Gaffalione T Stidham Michael JTE 75 32.00 1.43/$1
      096.8983 3 Sursum Corda 5-1 Leparoux J R Wilkes Ian R. C 56 39.29 1.80/$1
      096.6130 1 Choate Bridge 8-1 Santana. Jr. R Walsh Brendan P. 56 39.29 1.80/$1
      096.0051 7 First Course 15-1 Bejarano R Oliver Victoria H. 75 32.00 1.43/$1
      094.6162 2 Quiet Dignity 5-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Maker Michael J. 56 39.29 1.80/$1
      091.9974 6 Lemon Popper 12-1 Burke J McKeever Andrew 56 39.29 1.80/$1
      * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 32.65, ROI 1.18/$1
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358423

        #18
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



        10/02/20, SA, Race 10, 5.16 PT
        10/02/20,SA,10,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:13:01 CLAIMING. Purse $19,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since August 2 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $12,500 (Maiden And Claiming Races For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered).
        . . . .
        Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
        100.0000 5 Lucky Romano 20-1 Centeno A Ruiz Lorenzo W 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        099.8760 3 Jan's Reserve 2-1 Prat F Puype Mike JS 212 38.21 1.53/$1
        098.8317 7 Black Storm 8-1 Baze T Mullins Jeff FEC 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        098.8064 6 Awhitesportscoat 8-1 Maldonado E A Ortiz. Sr. Manuel 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        098.1746 9 Papa Turf 7/2 Cedillo A Mulhall Kristin TL 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        098.0363 10 Fabozzi 7/2 Hernandez J J Glatt Mark 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        097.7173 2 Around the Dial 8-1 Gonzalez R Sherman Art 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        097.3030 11 More Honor 15-1 Pereira T J Palma Hector O. 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        097.2219 8 Seven Oxen(b+) 30-1 Velez J I DeAlba Cesar 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        094.4246 1 Write Me a Song 20-1 Pyfer J Papaprodromou George 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        091.5274 4 Royal Seeker 50-1 Flores E Polanco Marcelo 141 34.04 1.84/$1
        * Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 37.50, ROI 4.89/$1
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358423

          #19
          Sal Michaels

          Oct 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 3h
          NCAA-F | Campbell vs Wake Forest
          Play on: Wake Forest -34 -110 at 1BetVegas

          Free Play on Wake Forest -34 -110
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358423

            #20
            Bobby Conn

            Oct 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 3h
            NCAA-F | Campbell vs Wake Forest
            Play on: OVER 65½ -120

            1* Free Play on Campbell/Wake Forest over 65½ -120
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358423

              #21
              Mike Williams

              Oct 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 3h
              NCAA-F | Campbell vs Wake Forest
              Play on: Campbell +33 -110 at Bovada

              1* on Campbell +33 -110
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358423

                #22
                Kenny Walker

                Oct 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 3h
                NCAA-F | Campbell vs Wake Forest
                Play on: Campbell +32 -110 at betonline

                Free Pick on Campbell
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358423

                  #23
                  Dustin Hawkins

                  Oct 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 3h
                  NCAA-F | Campbell vs Wake Forest
                  Play on: OVER 68 -110

                  1 Dimer on Campbell vs Wake Forest over 68 -110
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358423

                    #24
                    Hunter Price

                    Oct 02 '20, 9:00 PM in 5h
                    NBA | Heat vs Lakers
                    Play on: Heat +10 -105 at sportsbook

                    1* Free Pick on Heat +10 -105
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358423

                      #25
                      Steve Janus

                      Oct 02 '20, 9:00 PM in 5h
                      NCAA-F | Louisiana Tech vs BYU
                      Play on: OVER 59 -110

                      1* Free Sharp Play on Louisiana Tech vs BYU over 59 -110
                      The OVER (59) is worth a look in Friday's college football action between BYU and Louisiana Tech. After watching the Bulldogs give up 66 to North Texas in their last game, it's not out of the question that the Cougars could eclipse this total on their own. BYU scored 55 in their opener against Navy and 48 in their second game against Troy. While counting on them to get 60 is a bit much, I do think this score will be lopsided enough that worse case the Bulldogs can throw in some garbage scores in the 2nd half to push this past the mark. Play the OVER 59!
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358423

                        #26
                        Cole Faxon

                        Oct 02 '20, 9:00 PM in 5h
                        NCAA-F | Louisiana Tech vs BYU
                        Play on: UNDER 61½ -110

                        FREE PLAY on Louisiana Tech/BYU under 61½ -110
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358423

                          #27
                          WNBA
                          Dunkel

                          Friday, October 2


                          Seattle @ Las Vegas

                          Game 601-602
                          October 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

                          Dunkel Rating:
                          Seattle
                          121.590
                          Las Vegas
                          115.157
                          Dunkel Team:
                          Dunkel Line:
                          Dunkel Total:
                          Seattle
                          by 6 1/2
                          168
                          Vegas Team:
                          Vegas Line:
                          Vegas Total:
                          Seattle
                          by 4 1/2
                          164 1/2
                          Dunkel Pick:
                          Seattle
                          (-4 1/2); Over
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358423

                            #28
                            WNBA
                            Long Sheet

                            Friday, October 2


                            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                            SEATTLE (21 - 4) vs. LAS VEGAS (21 - 6) - 10/2/2020, 7:00 PM
                            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                            Head-to-Head Series History
                            SEATTLE is 4-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
                            LAS VEGAS is 5-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
                            5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358423

                              #29
                              WNBA

                              Friday, October 2


                              Trend Report

                              Seattle @ Las Vegas
                              Seattle
                              Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                              Seattle is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
                              Las Vegas
                              Las Vegas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
                              Las Vegas is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358423

                                #30
                                NBA public betting, line movement for October 2
                                Patrick Everson

                                LeBron James and Co. breezed to a 116-98 victory laying 4.5 points in Game 1. FanDuel Sportsbook opened them at -7 for Game 2, which rose quickly to -9.5 amid Miami injury concerns.

                                NBA betting odds are on the board for Game 2 of the NBA Finals, set for Friday night. The Los Angeles Lakers look to pick up where they left off in Wednesday’s Game 1, aiming to take firm control of this championship series against the Miami Heat.

                                FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on NBA Finals opening lines and early line movement, sharp money and public betting for Friday’s matchup, along with odds to win the NBA championship.

                                NBA line movement

                                Miami entered Game 1 with a 12-3 SU and ATS record in this year’s playoffs, then sprinted out to an early double-digit lead in the opener against Los Angeles. But it was all Lakers the rest of the way, as LeBron James and Co. breezed to a 116-98 victory laying 4.5 points.

                                That led FanDuel to install Los Angeles as 7-point favorites for Game 2, and the line was already up to Lakers -9.5 by Thursday afternoon. Part of that is surely bettors’ reaction to Game 1, but the Heat are also banged up: Goran Dragic (foot) is doubtful for Game 2, while Jimmy Butler (ankle) and Bam Adebayo (shoulder) are questionable.

                                The total opened at 216 and moved to 216.5 Thursday afternoon.

                                NBA public betting

                                Bettors were buying the Lakers early and often at FanDuel, with 84 percent of tickets and 95 percent of dollars wagered landing on Los Angeles, through Thursday afternoon. On the total, ticket count is two-way, with the Over at 54 percent, but money is running 81 percent on the Over.
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