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KANSAS CITY -11
LAS VEGAS @ KANSAS CITY | 10/11 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:14 PM
Patrick Mahomes & Co. have a favorable matchup going against the Vegas defense. Through four games, the Raiders are allowing 30.0 points per game. Only eight teams are giving up more. On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs defense has been one of the best in the NFL. Kansas City has allowed just 17.5 points per game this season. That ranks second in the league, trailing only the Colts (14.0). My model says the Chiefs cover 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number.
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +280
10-5 IN LAST 15 LV ATS PICKS | +455
4-2 IN LAST 6 KC ATS PICKS | +184
PITTSBURGH -7
PHILADELPHIA @ PITTSBURGH | 10/11 | 1:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 5:09 PM
Pittsburgh's outstanding defense has the ability to put pressure on Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. The Steelers rank second in the league with 15 sacks (just two behind the Eagles who have played one more game) and have 29 tackles for loss. Each one of those stats projected over the season would be NFL records. And Wentz doesn’t do well when under pressure. So far this season he has a passer rating of 28.0 when pressured. That ranks 37th out of 40 quarterbacks who have attempted at least five passes under pressure. My model says the Steelers cover almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number.
5-2-1 IN LAST 8 NFL ATS PICKS | +280
4-0 IN LAST 4 PIT ATS PICKS | +400
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