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PITTSBURGH +1.5
PITTSBURGH @ TENNESSEE | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
FRI 10/23
The Titans have looked great, that much is undeniable. But the Steelers have looked better. They have the defense to match up with the Titans, ranking second in DVOA, third in points per drive, second in yards per rush and fourth in net yards per attempt. Ryan Tannehill is playing well enough that we can't expect Pittsburgh to shut this offense down completely, but what we should expect is for the Steelers offense to thrash a bad Titans defense that has gotten by with a high turnover margin. However, the Steelers offense has the second-lowest turnover rate in the league, and without those key takeaways, the Tennessee defense will come up short.
12-5 IN LAST 17 NFL ATS PICKS | +660
21-10 IN LAST 31 PIT ATS PICKS | +985
WASHINGTON PK
DALLAS @ WASHINGTON | 10/25 | 1:00 PM EDT
FRI 10/23
I initially threw my hands up and said we shouldn't bother to try and figure out this mess, but after digging in a little more, I think Washington is clearly the right side. The Cowboys are a mess on defense and the offensive line, and with Zack Martin now sidelined as well, I don't see how Dallas is able to protect Andy Dalton against a Washington defense that ranks third in adjusted sack rate. The Washington O-line, while no one's idea of a top unit, has at least stayed relatively healthy, and the offense as a whole looks like it's trending in the right direction. Playing this Dallas defense should certainly help as well.
12-5 IN LAST 17 NFL ATS PICKS | +660
23-15 IN LAST 38 WAS ATS PICKS | +645
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