Friday 11/6/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kevin Dolan

Event: (200005) Newcastle United at (200006) Southampton
Sport/League: SOC
Date/Time: November 6, 2020 3PM EST
Play: Newcastle United +0.5 (-110)
PLAY: NEWCASTLE +0.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BYU vs. Boise State Odds
Joe Nelson

While the ACC is in the spotlight Saturday with Clemson and Notre Dame, the college football weekend will kick off with a huge game late Friday night.

Undefeated BYU heads to Boise State for the toughest remaining test on the schedule with a perfect season in the balance.

Boise State looks to stay perfect as well as one of the expected Mountain West leaders that also could have a chance to run the table after nearly doing so last season. Here is a look at Friday’s big game between the Cougars and the Broncos.

Week 10 Matchup: Independent vs. Mountain West
Venue: Albertsons Stadium
Location: Raleigh, North Carolina
Date: Friday, November 6, 2020
Time: 9:45 p.m. ET
TV: FS1

BYU-Boise State Betting Odds

Spread: BYU -3.5
Money-Line: BYU -160 Boise State +140
Total: 61

Heisman Trophy hopeful Zach Wilson leads undefeated BYU in a tough road test at Boise State. (AP)

How to Handicap BYU-Boise State

BYU has outscored its opposition 311-94 this season but it has not been a formidable path. BYU has only played two road games this season and will be at home in the final two games on the schedule as this is the toughest game remaining on what many will expect to be a 10-0 campaign. Kalani Sitake is now 34-25 S/U at BYU with his first season of 2016 finishing 9-4 being his best season until this year.

The Mountain West season just started as Boise State has only played two games. The Broncos have won those games with 42 and 49 points respectively but the defense did show some cracks last week allowing 30 points in a competitive game with Air Force. Since 2014 under Bryan Harsin Boise State is 66-17 including going 36-5 S/U on the famous blue turf.

Last week at Air Force Boise State allowed 484 yards but was able to pull away in the fourth quarter with the help of an 88-yard kickoff return touchdown. Air Force posted 6.2 yards per rush after the Broncos were a top 20 team nationally last season allowing just 3.6 yards per rush.

BYU hosted Western Kentucky last week and was mostly unchallenged in a 41-10 win. The 410-262 yardage edge wasn’t overwhelming but BYU had 35 points at halftime and coasted from there. BYU provided Boise State’s only regular season loss last season with a 28-25 win in Provo last October and this will be just the second time in Harsin’s time coaching the Broncos that they will have a home underdog price.

National Implications?

BYU has climbed into the top 10 of the polls and most power ratings at 7-0 with great statistics. The schedule grades poorly but a win here would give the team three road wins of decent quality. With a dearth of undefeated teams remaining around the country the Cougars could at least have an argument for national playoff consideration if they reach 10-0.

For that to be a realistic prospect BYU may need to win pretty handily in this game which is a national TV opportunity and will likely hold up as by far the highest quality team on the schedule.

If a run at being the first non-power 5 school to be in the College Football Playoff isn’t realistic, being the top Group of 5 squad will still be an alluring prize. Boise State is 42-8 S/U in Mountain West games under Harsin including going 8-0 last season and this is the only non-conference game this season.

With an abbreviated eight-game schedule Boise State is also a candidate to finish undefeated with a favorable remaining path and Nevada and San Diego State absent from the conference slate. Three of the final four games of the season will be road games but this game certainly lurks as the biggest challenge.

Quarterback Corner

Hank Bachmeier had great numbers when he was healthy last season as a freshman leading Boise State in seven regular season wins though he played poorly in the bowl game loss to Washington. Bachmeier didn’t play vs. BYU last season however and after a terrific opening performance in the win over Utah State he was a surprise scratch last week.

Jack Sears played in one game for USC in 2018 and after transferring to Boise State he made his first start last week in Bachmeier’s absence. He played extremely well but figures to face a much tougher assignment this week, though there has been little information on Bachmeier’s status this season.

Zach Wilson has moved to the top 5 in many Heisman Trophy Odds offerings and he may wind up with one of the best statistical lines in the nation for BYU. He has 19 touchdowns and only two interceptions while taking only four sacks.

His completion rate is nearly 75 percent and he has averaged 11.1 yards per attempt. Only Mac Jones and Grayson McCall among players that have more than two games played have a higher QB Rating at this point in the season than Wilson.

Betting Analysis – Cougars

2020: 7-0 S/U, 5-2 ATS, 3-4 O/U

BYU has allowed just 4.5 yards per play this season and 281 yards per game, both among the best in the nation among teams that have played at least a handful of games so far. BYU is allowing only 3.1 yards per rush and 6.3 yards per pass attempt.

Head coach Kalani Sitake took over for Bronco Mendenhall starting in the 2016 season. BYU was 9-4 that season and then reversed that record for a rare losing season in Provo in 2017.

The past two seasons BYU has finished 7-6 as Sitake is 34-25 S/U and 31-27-1 ATS in his career. BYU is 12-13 S/U on the road under Sitake but 16-9 ATS, but just 7-6 S/U and 6-7 ATS as a road favorite even after winning at Houston a few weeks ago.

BYU hasn’t had many games that have been competitive into the second half but in the one game where they were really tested at Houston, they rallied back from a 26-14 deficit with four touchdowns in the final 16 minutes.

Wilson rightly gets most of the attention and has climbed into the first round of a few 2021 NFL mock drafts leading the offense but Tyler Allgeier has gained 6.5 yards per rush and often hasn’t needed to be in games in the second halves.

The backfield remains a committee approach and expect to see Sione Finau more involved in the offense moving forward after returning from an early season injury as he was last season’s leading rusher.

Betting Analysis - Broncos

2020: 2-0 S/U, 2-0 ATS, 2-0 O/U

Boise State is a tough team to get a read on two games in given that different quarterbacks have played in those games. The production was nearly identical in both games but Boise State hit more big plays under Sears while rarely even facing 3rd down situations. Given how different styles of offenses the two opponents have been, the defensive strengths for Boise State aren’t clear and they have not faced a capable passing attack like BYU offers yet.

Normally given one of the strongest home field edges in the nation, Boise State’s edge at home could be downgraded a bit this season with no fans in attendance other than family members and a small number of students. The quarterbacks have both appeared capable and any information on who starts this week isn’t likely to change the spread or approach dramatically.

Khalil Shakir is the receiver to watch for Boise State, considered a borderline NFL draft pick at this point in his junior season. He already has 13 catches for 213 yards in two games as the Broncos have leaned on the passing game despite still posting 350 rushing yards already this season.

Head-to-Head

BYU has never won in Boise but three of the five losses have been very close games. Boise State is 7-3 S/U but 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings between these teams since 2003.

One of the wins for BYU was last season with a 28-25 result in Provo, a result that wound up costing Boise State a New Year’s Six invitation. The last meeting in Boise in 2018 was a 21-16 win for the Broncos and BYU hasn’t been favored in this series since a home win in 2013.

Last Meeting - 2019 (BYU 28 Boise State 25)

Boise State was 6-0 heading into last season’s game which was the second game started by Chase Cord after Bachmeier’s injury. Boise State led 10-7 at halftime but BYU scored three touchdowns in the third quarter.

Boise State climbed back within three in the fourth but BYU was able to burn off the final three-plus minutes to end the game. Both teams had missed field goals in the game and one of two Cord interceptions set-up a short field touchdown drive for BYU.

Wilson also didn’t play for BYU as Baylor Romney had an efficient game in his first career start and remains Wilson’s backup this season.

Notable Betting Trends

-- BYU is 12-13 S/U and 16-9 ATS on the road while 7-6 S/U and 6-7 ATS as a road favorite under Sitake including 2-5 ATS since the start of last season.

-- BYU is 32-38 ATS as a road favorite since 1997.

-- BYU is 12-20 ATS since 2011 as a favorite of 7 or fewer points including 4-11 ATS since 2016.

-- Boise State is 127-8 S/U and 66-55-3 ATS at home since 1999.

-- In that time they have gone 5-1 S/U and 5-1 ATS as a home underdog, though four of those wins were back in 1999.

-- Boise State has been a home underdog once since 2001, winning 24-17 at +2.5 in 2018 vs. Fresno State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

(Fri) NCAAF N.C. St
(Fri) NCAAF Boise St

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs

Will Rogers Downs - Race 5	Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Superfecta (.10 min.) / Daily Double Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)
Allowance • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $15,200 • Post: 1:40P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. (MULTIPLE WINNERS PREFERRED).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SBM ACES WILD: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. DEVIL OF RAMADI: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CORONA COBRA: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. RING A RING OF ROSES: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. FEATURES FINEST KIND: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
1	SBM ACES WILD	5/2	9/2
3	DEVIL OF RAMADI	7/2	6/1
4	CORONA COBRA	4/1	7/1
6	RING A RING OF ROSES	6/1	8/1
7	FEATURES FINEST KIND	8/1	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SBM ACES WILD	1	5/2	Average	85	81	4.5	0.0	0.0
2	SEND ME A HERO	2	5/1	Average	74	70	5.6	0.0	0.0
3	DEVIL OF RAMADI	3	7/2	Average	85	76	5.1	0.0	0.0
4	CORONA COBRA	4	4/1	Fast	80	76	3.1	0.0	0.0
5	SENSATIONAL RUBY	5	15/1	Average	70	69	5.4	0.0	0.0
6	RING A RING OF ROSES	6	6/1	Fast	76	74	3.0	0.0	0.0
7	FEATURES FINEST KIND	7	8/1	Fast	78	69	3.4	0.0	0.0
8	LOTA JETS	8	15/1	Slow	74	72	7.2	0.0	0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Century Mile

Century Mile - Race 11	Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double
Claiming $5,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 71 • Purse: $8,500 • Post: 10:15
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. DEVILS COMMAND is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DEVILS COMMAND: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Ra ting. HARRY'S HAMMER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TRIPLE LIVE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. COMMISSION MAN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
3	DEVILS COMMAND	3/1	4/1
5	HARRY'S HAMMER	6/1	6/1
7	TRIPLE LIVE	5/1	8/1
1	COMMISSION MAN	5/2	10/1

---

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	DEVILS COMMAND	3	3/1	Alternator/Front-runner	63	69	64.2	63.6	54.6
7	TRIPLE LIVE	7	5/1	Alternator/Stalker	68	66	70.4	64.0	57.0
10	SMALL TOWN DUDE	10	30/1	Alternator/Stalker	67	64	60.6	57.6	42.6
1	COMMISSION MAN	1	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	64	64	50.0	63.8	53.8
6	POOR RUBEN	6	50/1	Trailer	69	59	23.0	44.6	27.1
2	DJANGO UNREINED	2	10/1	Alternator/Trailer	65	65	53.2	63.2	55.7
5	HARRY'S HAMMER	5	6/1	Alternator/Trailer	80	75	32.4	65.8	60.3
8	KICKEN WEST G.	8	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	60	70.8	48.2	34.7
9	DITES MOI	9	40/1	Alternator/Non-contender	69	59	60.3	52.4	37.4
4	SMILEY	4	20/1	Alternator/Non-contender	66	58	56.5	36.7	18.7
11	WISER TIMES	11	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	60	60	52.8	62.2	53.2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Del Mar - Race #3 - Post: 1:42pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#2 EVER VIGILANT (ML=6/1)
#4 APACHE PASS (ML=4/1)
#6 DANIEL THE DREAMER (ML=3/1)
#7 HEART RIVER (ML=8/1)


EVER VIGILANT - If this filly gets out of the gate cleanly, she'll be tough to catch. This speed freak is shortening up today. Should help her likelihood of winning. APACHE PASS - When Baze and Hess work together on horses the return on investment has been great at +250. Dropping in class figure points from her Oct 11th race at Santa Anita. Based on that info, I will give this animal the edge. DANIEL THE DREAMER - Gonzalez is up for another event today after racing atop this horse for the 1st attempt on October 10th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. HEART RIVER - This filly should be in fine condition, this far into her form cycle. Metz gets a break on this thoroughbred carrying 10 pounds less than last out. Should help in this event. I always like to see a filly getting Lasix for the second time. This one fits the bill.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 NORMA'S LOVE (ML=5/2), #1 MISS KITNESS (ML=8/1), #8 ENRICHED BY DEB (ML=8/1),

NORMA'S LOVE - Not easy to play this racer today. Make her show you something in a short distance race before you invest in her in a race of 5 1/2 furlongs. MISS KITNESS - 8/1 is not offering enough value for any racer in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance affair lately. ENRICHED BY DEB - This filly won last time, but probably won't come back today versus tougher competition. Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class figure, so put her on the questionable contenders list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Putting our cash on #2 EVER VIGILANT to win. Have to have odds of at least 4/1 or better though
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [2,4] Box [2,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 81

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 6, 2020. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 8 LIL MISS HOTSHOT 7/2
# 1 BROOKES ALL MINE 2/1
# 2 ASSUME CONTROL 5/2

My pick in this race is LIL MISS HOTSHOT. Overall the speed figures of this equine look strong in this outing. Meneses has solid numbers that point to this mare to be a very solid contender. Has quite good early lick and will almost certainly fare admirably versus this field. BROOKES ALL MINE - Ought to be given consideration here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. Conditioner boasts very strong win figs at this distance and surface. ASSUME CONTROL - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of formidable win percentage - 22 percent - at this distance & surface. Could best this group based on the speed figure - 81 - of her last contest.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Breeders' Cup Juvenile - Classic Double

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 1 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $2000000 Class Rating: 102

TVG BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE PRESENTED BY THOROUGHBRED AFTERCARE ALLIANCE - GRADE 1 FOR COLTS AND GELDINGS, TWO-YEARS-OLD. WEIGHT: 122 LBS.; $30,000 TO PRE-ENTER, $30,000 TO ENTER, WITH GUARANTEED $2 MILLION PURSE INCLUDING TRAVEL AWARDS OF WHICH 52% TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 17% TO SECOND, 9% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH, 2% TO SIXTH, 1% TO SEVENTH, 1% TO EIGHTH, 1% TO NINTH, 1%

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 10 DREAMER'S DISEASE 30/1
# 7 JACKIE'S WARRIOR 7/5
# 5 ESSENTIAL QUALITY 4/1

I've got to go with DREAMER'S DISEASE especially at such a decent 30/1. Should be given a chance in this race if only for the decent Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest. JACKIE'S WARRIOR - Like the finishing positions in the last several events. With a solid 102 average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's outing. ESSENTIAL QUALITY - Should be considered a contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Is worth thinking about and may be a bet - strong Equibase speed figs (96 average) at today's distance and surface recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,400 Class Rating: 74

Rating:

#3 LOOKIN KINDA CRAZY (ML=5/1)
#5 IL MIO AMORE (ML=6/1)


LOOKIN KINDA CRAZY - The October 12th clash at Finger Lakes was at a class level of (79). Dropping down the class scale considerably, so she should be in a good position to win. IL MIO AMORE - This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. I like to play this angle, a racer coming back off a strong race within the last thirty days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MOON CHANT (ML=5/2), #1 MOON HEIST (ML=7/2), #4 STEPH'S PRINCESS (ML=4/1),

MOON CHANT - Hasn't finished in the money in any short distance contests recently. Doubtful to see her doing it in today's event either. MOON HEIST - Most likely won't make much of a mark today. STEPH'S PRINCESS - This filly won last time, but probably won't repeat today versus tougher competition. A strong thoroughbred that's been running well, but she's been off the track in the mornings lately. Common fig in the last race at Penn National at 6 furlongs. Don't think this mount will improve too much today.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #3 LOOKIN KINDA CRAZY to win if we can get at least 7/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

11/06/20, KEE, Race 6, 2.30 ET
11/06/20,KEE,6,5 1/2F [Turf] 1:00:04 STAKES. Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint. Grade 2. Purse $1,000,000. FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS. Weight: 122 lbs.; Fillies allowed 3 lbs.; $15,000 to pre-enter, $15,000 to enter, with guaranteed $1 million purse including travel awards of which 52% to the owner of the winner, 17% to second, 9% to third, 5% to fourth, 3% to fifth, 2% to sixth, 1% to seventh, 1% to eighth, 1% to ninth, 1% to tenth; plus travel awards to starters not based in Kentucky. In the event that this race is taken off the turf it will be contested at the Five and One Half Furlongs on the main track.
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	10	Bodenheimer	8/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Lund Valorie	SFL	70	31.43	1.86/$1
097.3087	2	Windy City Red	30/1	Valdivia. Jr. J	Wong Jonathan	W	70	31.43	1.86/$1
097.0958	12	Dirty Dangle	20/1	Gaffalione T	Casse Mark E.	EC	70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.8730	6	(F)Ubettabelieveit (IRE)	20/1	Scott R	Tinkler Nigel		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.8710	13	Second of July	8/1	Davis D	Gleaves Philip A.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.8650	15	Blame the Booze	30/1	Corrales G	Ward Wesley A.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.8401	8	Amanzi Yimpilo (IRE)	15/1	Saez L	Ward Wesley A.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.7581	7	Momos(b+)	15/1	Franco M	Clement Christophe		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.7259	1	(F)Mighty Gurkha (IRE)(b+)	20/1	Doyle H	Watson Archie		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.7102	3	(F)Lipizzaner	20/1	Moore R L	O'Brien Aidan P.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.5342	11	Into the Sunrise	15/1	Bejarano R	Ward Wesley A.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
095.4980	14	Golden Pal	8/5	Ortiz. Jr. I	Ward Wesley A.	J	79	29.11	1.67/$1
094.7431	5	Cowan	8/1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
094.6007	16	Gypsy King	20/1	Rosario J	Ward Wesley A.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
093.9343	4	County Final	15/1	Rosario J	Asmussen Steven M.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
093.8767	9	After Five	6/1	Ortiz J L	Ward Wesley A.		70	31.43	1.86/$1
092.6769	17	Trade Deal	30/1	Garcia J A	Ward Wesley A.		70	31.43	1.86/$1

Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 23.8100, ROI 1.6738/$1
. . . .
100.0000 10 Bodenheimer
[Category]Condition
[AllTurf]LastRaceWasNotOddsOnFavorite(not entry)
If Race Is Off Turf

Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, WPC, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	12	Dirty Dangle	20/1	Gaffalione T	Casse Mark E.	EC	87	31.03	1.78/$1
099.6771	5	Cowan	8/1	Santana. Jr. R	Asmussen Steven M.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
099.4909	14	Golden Pal	8/5	Ortiz. Jr. I	Ward Wesley A.	J	118	28.81	1.44/$1
099.3581	10	Bodenheimer	8/1	Hernandez. Jr. B J	Lund Valorie	SFL	87	31.03	1.78/$1
098.3871	8	Amanzi Yimpilo (IRE)	15/1	Saez L	Ward Wesley A.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
098.1478	9	After Five	6/1	Ortiz J L	Ward Wesley A.		78	25.64	1.78/$1
097.6770	13	Second of July	8/1	Davis D	Gleaves Philip A.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
097.3864	6	(F)Ubettabelieveit (IRE)	20/1	Scott R	Tinkler Nigel		87	31.03	1.78/$1
097.3678	2	Windy City Red	30/1	Valdivia. Jr. J	Wong Jonathan	W	87	31.03	1.78/$1
097.3364	15	Blame the Booze	30/1	Corrales G	Ward Wesley A.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
097.3049	4	County Final	15/1	Rosario J	Asmussen Steven M.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
097.1840	1	(F)Mighty Gurkha (IRE)(b+)	20/1	Doyle H	Watson Archie		78	25.64	1.78/$1
097.1624	3	(F)Lipizzaner	20/1	Moore R L	O'Brien Aidan P.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
096.8964	7	Momos(b+)	15/1	Franco M	Clement Christophe		87	31.03	1.78/$1
096.8290	16	Gypsy King	20/1	Rosario J	Ward Wesley A.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
096.6904	11	Into the Sunrise	15/1	Bejarano R	Ward Wesley A.		87	31.03	1.78/$1
096.5839	17	Trade Deal	30/1	Garcia J A	Ward Wesley A.		87	31.03	1.78/$1

Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 29.6300, ROI 1.6111/$1
. . . .
100.0000 12 Dirty Dangle
[Category]Condition
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]LastRaceWasNotFavorite(not entry) with
[DirtNot_MdnMClm]RaceAgeNot3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Nov 06 '20, 7:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs NC State
Play on: NC State +12½ -110 at jazz

1* on NC State +12½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Nov 06 '20, 7:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs NC State
Play on: NC State +10½ -107 at BMaker

My free play is on NC State at 7:30 ET.
The Miami Hurricanes (5-1, 4-1 Atlantic Coast Conference) recovered from a 41-17 loss at top-ranked Clemson on Oct 10 to pick up for home victories against Pittsburgh and Virginia. The 'Canes were off last week and travels to Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, N.C. on Friday night to face NC State (4-2, 4-2), which is also coming off a bye week.
QB D'Eriq King is a transfer from Houston and has led the Miami attack. He's completing 61.2% for 1,401 yards with 11 TDs and four INTs. He also has 301 rushing yards (4.5 YPC) and two TDs, as he averages 283.7 YPG in total offense. RB Harris leads a rushing game that averages 169.5 YPG with 346 yards on 5.2 YPC with five TDs. WR Harley leads in receptions (27) plus King has used both TEs effectively. Jordan has 18 catches (13.5 YPC / 3 TDs) and Mallory has just SEVEN catches but averages 20.1 YPC with five TDs. Miami's defense has been a strength the last four seasons (allowing between 18.5 and 21.0 PPG) and checks in allowing 22.2 PPG in 2020.
Miami is the FOURTH ranked team NC State has faced in 2020, losing road games at then-No. 19 Va Tech (45-24) and then-No. 14 North Carolina (48-21) but beating then-No. 24 Pittsburgh at home, 30-29 (note: none of those three teams are currently ranked). NC State has two solid RBs in Knight (406 yards / 5.9 YPC / 3 TDs) and Person (335 yards / 4.6 YPC / 2 TDs). Person sustained a concussion at North Carolina but is expected to be in action after NC State's bye week. The QB situation is muddled. Starter Devin Leary is out for the rest of the season following surgery on his broken leg. Junior Bailey Hockman has started in his place but Hockman's status is challenged because of the potential of true freshman Ben Finley. "It's Bailey's opportunity," head coach Dave Doeren said. "He has been through a lot. I know he's excited to lead the football team and he'll do a great job for us." Finley is the younger brother of former Wolfpack QB Ryan Finley and showed moments of promise in relief during the North Carolina game. WR Emezie (23 catches / 16.1 YPC / 3 TDs) and TE Angeline (12 catches / 15.4 YPC / 5 TDs) are the top pass-catchers. NC State's defense has been a liability, allowing 34.2 PPG.
This game begins a stretch of three road games in a four-game span for Miami, while for NC State it will be in the first outing of a season-ending run that consists of FOUR home games in its last five. I'd be "all over" NC State in this one if the team's QB situation was more settled but I will make a small play on the Wolfpack, as Miami's defense has allowed 76 points in its two road games. Take the points.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Nov 06 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs San Diego State
Play on: San Diego State -9½ -108 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on San Diego State -9½ -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Nov 06 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs San Diego State
Play on: OVER 48 -110

1* Free Play on San Jose State/San Diego State over 48 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Nov 06 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs San Diego State
Play on: San Diego State -9½ -108 at Draft Kings

Free Play on San Diego State -9½ -108