Saturday 11/7/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Matt Fargo

Nov 07 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Texas
Play on: West Virginia +6½ -109 at BMaker

Texas is coming off a 41-34 win over Oklahoma St. last week but it had no business winning that game. The Cowboys outgained the Longhorns 530-287 but they were -4 in turnovers and that is a hurdle that is nearly impossible to overcome even though they almost did it. Texas scored 13 points off three turnovers in the first half and in those 13 points, it managed just 17 yards in those three drives. The Longhorns will be without running back Keaontay Ingram, their second leading rusher, who suffered an ankle sprain. The Mountaineers are coming off a 37-10 victory over then-16th-ranked Kansas St. last Saturday, as the West Virginia defense allowed the Wildcats just 225 total yards. This defense is no joke as the Mountaineers are the only Power 5 school in the country to be ranked in the top 10 in rushing defense, passing defense, total defense and interceptions. West Virginia is now 4-2 overall and it has outgained all six opponents and by an average of 209 ypg. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game going up against an opponent after being outgained by 225 or more total yds in their previous game. This situation is 34-6 ATS (85 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (377) West Virginia Mountaineers

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Ben Burns

Nov 07 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Tulane vs East Carolina
Play on: East Carolina +4½ -107 at pinnacle

The Pirates gave Tulsa everything they had last game but didn't get any help from the refs. The AAC even acknowledged as much. (See below, if interested.) While that was indeed a disheartening loss, I feel that ECU is capable of shaking it off and giving us another big effort. Tulane is off an impressive blowout of Temple. That marked the third straight cover for the Green Wave. I'm not convinced that they're ready to be laying more than a field goal, on the road, though. While the defense was tough at home last week, Tulane had allowed 137 points in its previous three games. The Green Wave have now had a couple of big wins and a couple of big losses. However, they've also had three games which were decided by a field goal. Off back-to-back 4-point losses (Tulsa and Navy) the Pirates know a thing or two about close games. Four of the past five meetings between these teams were decided by seven points. ECU won the other (2014) in a blowout. In fact, going back further finds that Tulane has won just three of the past nine meetings and that all three of those victories were by seven or less. Another close one won't surprise. Consider grabbing the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rob Vinciletti

Nov 07 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Arizona State vs USC
Play on: Arizona State +11½ -110 at jazz

Saturday led by 4 big College Football Plays including a Platinum Supreme the Breeders Cup Classic and top Level Soccer plays. Early Comp play below. The Saturday Comp Play is on Arizona St plus the 11 points at noon eastern. The Sun Devils fit an early game system we have been using specifically this season. Very rare to see USC Playing a home game this early in the day which is a 9am start time out west. The Host team has failed to cover 4 of 5 in the series and Arizona St has covered 4 of 5 as a dog and 5 of 7 here. They play with home loss revenge from last year. Look for Arizona St to cover. On Saturday another huge college football card is up with a Platinum Supreme Headliner and 3 more best bet High level system plays. There is a Solid Soccer card and The Breeders Cup Classic. Jump on now as we continue to crush Football. For the comp play. Take the 11 points with Arizona St. Rob V- GC Sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Nov 07 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Texas
Play on: UNDER 55½ -105

Free Total Annihilator On West Virginia vs Texas under 55½ -105

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Sean Murphy

Nov 07 '20, 12:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | UL-Monroe vs Georgia State
Play on: Georgia State -17½ -107 at Draft Kings

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Georgia State minus the points over Louisiana-Monroe at 12 noon et on Saturday.
Georgia State got its doors blown off by Coastal Carolina last week, suffering an ugly 51-0 loss, at home no less. Expect the Panthers to respond with a big performance of their own against the lowly Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks on Saturday afternoon. The Warhawks have proven to be one of the nation's weakest teams this season, going winless in seven games, with the majority of those losses coming in blowout fashion. While the Panthers did get crushed last week, that was an anomaly in an otherwise competitive 2020 campaign. Keep in mind, all three of Georgia State's losses have come against quality Sun Belt opponents in Louisiana-Lafayette, Arkansas State and Coastal Carolina. It's two victories came in impressive fashion - a 49-29 dismantling of East Carolina and a 36-34 road win against Troy. QB Cornelius Brown is coming off a brutal performance last week but prior to that had thrown nine touchdown passes through his first four games. He was sacked three times last week after being sacked just three times combined in his first four contests. RB Destin Coates was held under 113 rushing yards for the first time in four games this season. Take Georgia State (8*).

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Bobby Conn

Nov 07 '20, 12:30 PM in 2h
Soccer | Osasuna vs Sevilla
Play on: Sevilla -159 at betonline

1* Free Play on Sevilla -159

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Nov 07 '20, 3:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Fulham vs West Ham United
Play on: West Ham United -118 at pinnacle

This is a Free Play on West Ham.
At first glance you might think that West Ham has just one win in it's last five matches, and therefore can't be a whole lot better than Fulham. A closer look though and you see that West Ham is 2-2-3 overall with a positive goal differential after seven matches. That's actually quite impressive when you look at who they have played in their last six matches. Manchester City, Liverpool, Leicester, Spurs, Everton and Wolves. That's basically a list of the top teams in the Premier League this season. West Ham has won four of it's last five matches against Fulham, posting three clean sheets. This might be a bigger mismatch than people realize.
GL,
Jesse Schule

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Nov 07 '20, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Fresno State vs UNLV
Play on: UNDER 58 -107

FREE PLAY on Fresno State/UNLV under 58 -107

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Nov 07 '20, 4:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Pittsburgh vs Florida State
Play on: Pittsburgh +2½ -110 at Mirage

With Pittsburgh starting QB Pickett being out and this line holding still is all I need to know about what oddsmakers think here in this game. Pitt started off the season 3-0 but since have lost 4 straight but two of those games were by 1 point. They could very easily be 5-2 right now and that would have them favored here in this spot. Pitt is also coming off their bye so I think that extra time here following a losing streak definetly helps them here.
I think Florida St has thrown in the towel for the season. They had their one big game where they showed up and pulled off the big upset over North Carolina but their only other win was a come from behind against Jacksonville St. Norvell clearly has lost the locker room here IMO and I believe they are being slightly favored because they are coming off the bye as well.
Pitt wins outright!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Nov 07 '20, 6:00 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic
Play on: UNDER 39½ -108

ASA FREE PLAY ON: UNDER 39.5 - Florida Atlantic Owls versus Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, Saturday at 6:00 PM ET - Very low total posted on this game but it is set ultra low with excellent reasoning behind it. First off, the Hilltoppers have been held to 14 points or less in 4 straight games! Secondly, the Owls are scoring an average of only 18 points per game this season. Also, Florida Atlantic has allowed an average of only 10 points per game in its two home games this season. Per our computer math model, this game has a great shot at staying well under the total as the under improves to 4-0 in FAU games this season. Not only does this make sense on a statistical basis, as noted above, but lets quickly talk about the weather. If you had to describe it in one word the best word is: monsoon! In all seriousness, with rainy conditions expected throughout plus winds consistently blowing at 20+ mph throughout this game, the offenses (already struggling) are likely to struggle even more in what is likely to be a very ugly game! FREE PLAY UNDER 39.5 in Florida Atlantic

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Nov 07 '20, 7:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Baylor vs Iowa State
Play on: Iowa State -14 -110 at William Hill

COVID-19 issues. A downgrade in coaching from Matt Ruhle to Dave Aranda. Quarterback regression from Charlie Brewer. These factors have hit Baylor hard this season reducing its effectiveness.
I don't see the Bears being able to hang within two TD's of Iowa State. Baylor has lost three in a row since beating Kansas in its opener. The Bears rank ninth in the Big 12 in passing and 10th in rushing. Brewer hasn't looked good. Brewer has been sacked 13 times and has a career-low completion rate. Iowa State has held its last three foes to 20.3 points a game. Baylor could be without second-leading rusher John Lovett and starting wide receiver Tyquan Thornton. Both are hurt. Baylor is averaging a puny 20 points during its last three games. Iowa State is tied for first in the Big 12 with Kansas State at 4-1. The Cyclones have two outstanding runners in Breece Hall and QB Brock Purdy. Baylor ranks second-to-last in the conference in run defense. Hall has rushed for 100 yards in every game this season. He's in line for a big game here. Baylor yielded 247 yards on the ground to TCU last week.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Nov 07 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Arkansas
Play on: Tennessee -1 -104 at pinnacle

PICK - Tennessee Volunteers -1
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 403
I'm going to take a shot here with the Volunteers at basically a pick'em on the road against Arkansas. I just feel like this is the ultimate time to buy low on Tennessee and sell high on the Razorbacks.
The Vols come in off 3 straight blowout losses, where they didn't even sniff a cover. Any how of Tennessee competing for a SEC East crown are long gone. I think it has people wanting nothing to do with the Vols.
Arkansas on the other hand has been one of the biggest surprises in the country. Razorbacks are just 2-3 in SEC play, but they hadn't won a conference game since 2017. If a controversial call goes their way against Auburn, they would be 3-2. No one saw this coming, not even the books, as Arkansas has gone a perfect 5-0 ATS.
I've made some good money on the Razorbacks this year, but I don't like this spot at all. There's no more catching teams off-guard. Tennessee is not going to look past this game.
In fact, I'm expecting a big time effort here from the Vols, who have had two weeks to prepare with a bye last week.
Tennessee's offense has been non-exsistent in their last 3 games, but I think they can get it going against Arkansas. Vols strength is their o-line and in those 3 games they went up two of the best fronts in the country in Alabama and Georgia and the other was Kentucky.
The o-line didn't have the edge in those games. They do in this one and I think the ability to run will allow them to control the game and secure the win. Give me Tennessee -1!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Nov 07 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Rutgers vs Ohio State
Play on: Ohio State -37½ -109 at GTBets

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Ohio State -37.5
The Ohio State Buckeyes should win with plenty of room to spare against Rutgers Saturday. The Buckeyes are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with Rutgers with the average score in these six games behind 54-8 in favor of Ohio State. Rutgers was fortunate to beat Michigan State in the opener after the Spartans turned the ball over seven times. This is a bad Rutgers offense again this year as they are averaging just 262 YPG. They aren’t going to be able to do much offensively against Ohio State that would allow them to cover this big number. The Buckeyes will get their points. They have scored 45 PPG in two games this year against much better teams than Rutgers in Nebraska and Penn State. They should get 50-plus here, which will be enough to cover this 37.5-point spread. The Buckeyes are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as home favorites. Give me Ohio State.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bryan Leonard

Nov 07 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Stanford vs Oregon
Play on: Stanford +8 -105 at Bovada

359 Stanford at Oregon
Both teams suffered some key transfers and opt outs in the offseason. Stanford has a long tradition of winning but is coming off a poor 4-8 season. Those type of teams normally bounce back strong the next year.
Oregon is replacing Justin Herbert and key players in the secondary who are now playing in the NFL. The Ducks have a totally new offensive line after key tackle Penel Sewell opted out. New QB with inexperienced blockers makes Oregon a tough team to lay points with. The line has moved down for a reason, and we agree.
PLAY STANFORD

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Larry Ness

Nov 07 '20, 7:30 PM in 9h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Arkansas
Play on: Arkansas +1½ -109 at Draft Kings

My free play is on Arkansas at 7:30 ET.
Jeremy Pruitt was hired as the head coach at the University of Tennessee, capping a tumultuous coaching search that followed the firing of head coach Butch Jones, and led to the replacement of athletic director John Currie by Hall of Fame coach Phillip Fulmer. Pruitt finished with a 5–7 overall record (2–6 in SEC play) in 2018 but in 2019, after a 2–5 start, Pruitt helped lead the Volunteers to a five-game winning streak to end the season at 7–5 and earn bowl eligibility. In the 2020 Gator Bowl against Indiana, Pruitt earned his first bowl victory as head coach of Tennessee with a 23–22 comeback victory to finish 8-8. The Vols opened 25th in the preseason AP poll and started 2-0 in 2020 and were up to 14th when they visited then-No. 3 Georgia on Oct 10. The Vols led 21-17 at the half "between the hedges" but would get shut out in the second half of a 44-21 loss. NOTHING has gone right since, as the Vols have also lost at home to Kentucky 34-7 and 48-17 at Alabama.
Sam Pittman was announced as the new head coach at Arkansas on December 8, 2019, replacing Chad Morris, who was fired midway through his second season. Other candidates for the position reportedly included Lane Kiffin and Mike Leach. Several of Pittman's former players lobbied for him to get the job, including writing an open letter to Arkansas administrators shortly after Morris's firing. Pittman took over an Arkansas program which had lost 19 straight SEC games. The Razorbacks lost at home to Georgia 37-10 to open 2020 but then snapped its 20-game SEC losing streak winning 21-14 at Miss St on Oct 3. Arkansas got 'robbed' in a 30-28 loss at Auburn the following Saturday but added another SEC win 33-21 at Ole Miss on Oct 17. Tennessee and Arkansas both enter this game in Fayetteville at 2-3
Third-year coach Jeremy Pruitt is already starting to come under fire from a demanding fan base. Starting QB Jarrett Guarantano has underwhelmed and Pruitt gave freshman Harrison Bailey equal reps with Guarantano during last week's off week. Since leading 21-17 at halftime against Georgia on Oct 10, the Volunteers have been outscored 109-24. The inability to convert on third down or keep opponents from doing the same, combined with breakdowns in discipline, have been deadly. In contrast, Arkansas has been much better than most expected. A controversial call probably kept the Razorbacks from winning at Auburn, and Arkansas has been surprisingly competitive. Its defense slowed down Lane Kiffin's Ole Miss offense (Rebels scored just 21 points) that has rung up huge numbers against nearly everyone else (ask Nick Saban). The Razorbacks' defense ranks second in the nation with 10 interceptions and is tied for third in the country with 13 total takeaways. The Arkansas offense Arkansas has used relied on Florida transfer Feleipe Franks, who is completing 66.0% for 1,213 yards with 11 TDs and just three INTs.
"Woo pig sooie!"
Good luck...Larry