Service Plays Saturday 11/21/20

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369690

    #61
    Micah Roberts

    IND +20.5
    IND @ OHIOST | 11/21 | 12:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 5:56 PM
    Betting against the Buckeyes is usually bad for business, but numbers are numbers and mine say they should only be -17 with a home field edge built-in against Indiana. The Hoosiers have had their rating upgraded each week after winning and covering all four games, and the Buckeyes' massive rating, my No.1 overall, still doesn’t get to -20.5. It's a small disparity, but just the excuse I needed to ride with Indiana which has covered the past five meetings with Ohio State. The Hoosiers will play well. I bet them to cover.

    7-0 IN LAST 7 CFB PICKS | +700
    4-0 IN LAST 4 IND ATS PICKS | +400
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369690

      #62
      Stephen Oh

      FIU +7
      FIU @ WKY | 11/21 | 2:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 7:29 PM
      My model says FIU covers 70 percent of the time and projects the Panthers to win 24-22, so you're getting value at this number. Western Kentucky averages just 14.7 points per game; only three teams are worst. The Hilltoppers just don't score enough to be this big of a favorite. Take FIU.

      CINCY -4.5
      CINCY @ UCF | 11/21 | 3:30 PM ESTYESTERDAY 7:17 PM
      Cincinnati is the No. 4 team in the country according to my power simulations. The Bearcats are 6-0 this season and winning by an average of 28 points a game against FBS opponents. They also are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games, while UCF is just 1-5 ATS in its last six. My model says Cincy covers almost 60 percent of the time, so you're getting strong value at this number. Take the Bearcats.

      3-0 IN LAST 3 CINCY ATS PICKS | +300
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369690

        #63
        Zack Cimini

        NEB -16.5
        ILL @ NEB | 11/21 | 12:00 PM EST7:22 AM
        A battle of one-win teams will take place in the Big Ten on between Illinois and Nebraska on Saturday. Despite averaging 20 points this season, the Cornhuskers find themselves as steep favorites. Offensive improvement with a quarterback switch to freshman Luke McCaffrey should continue to blossom. Grab the Huskers to cruise at home against the Fighting Illini.

        34-22 IN LAST 56 CFB ATS PICKS | +985

        SDGST -1.5
        SDGST @ NEVADA | 11/21 | 3:30 PM EST7:21 AM
        Out in the Mountain West, Nevada will aim to stay undefeated as it takes on San Diego State. A reason for the Wolf Pack’s hot start has been the big increase of play from sophomore quarterback Carson Strong. Yet, Nevada faced a Wyoming team that lost its starting quarterback in the first series, and three winless teams in UNLV, Utah State and New Mexico. Grab the value here on the Aztecs.

        34-22 IN LAST 56 CFB ATS PICKS | +985
        3-2 IN LAST 5 SDGST ATS PICKS | +80
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369690

          #64
          vipcomboticket
          Schalke - Wolfsburg : Wolfsburg over 1.5 @ 1.85
          King’sLynn - Dover : King over 1.5 @ 1.75
          Total Odds : 3.23
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369690

            #65
            Mississippi Kid
            Oregon-16 2U
            Arkansas -1 2U
            W KY vs Fla Int Under43.5 1U
            UTSA -9.5 1U
            Nevada +1.5 2U
            Oklahoma -7.5 2U
            S Ala vs Geo St UNder 58 2U
            Cent Fla +6 2U
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            • dawggy
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2017
              • 1770

              #66
              RALPH MICHAEL




              • Game: (341) East Carolina at (342) Temple
                Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 12:00 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                Play Rating: 3%
                Play: East Carolina -3.5 (-110)

                #341 3% East Carolina -3.5 Temple Noon ET
                Fading a depleted Temple team down to a 4th string QB.
                Despite being 1-6 EC still playing with heart in Mike Houston's 2nd season. They are the better team.
              • Game: (375) Rice at (376) North Texas
                Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 2:00 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                Play Rating: 3%
                Play: North Texas -2.0 (-110)

                #376 3* North Texas -2 Rice 2 PM ET
                North Texas played awesome vs Middle Tenn finishing with a 768-432 yard edge thanks to making a QB switch with the very mobile Bean. The Mean Green have had a long layoff but it’s because 3 teams had Covid issues not them. Rice has only played two-game losing at home to Middle Tenn St and beating a Southern Miss team without a head coach.
              • Game: (397) Kentucky at (398) Alabama
                Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 4:00 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                Play Rating: 3%
                Play: 1H Alabama -17.5 (-110)

                #398 First Half 3* Alabama -17.5 Kentucky 4 PM ET
                We played om Bam first half earlier and will do so again. With Auburn on deck Saban may rest a few players but he will go all out the first half.
              • Game: (331) UCLA at (332) Oregon
                Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 10:30 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                Play Rating: 5%
                Play: Oregon -13.5 (-110)


                #332 5% Oregon -13.5 UCLA 10:30 PM (play as 5% of to -17. play as 4% at -17.5 or higher).
                You may think Oregon just got by Washington St wining by 14 but they were -3 turnovers. In fact very few teams are good enough to be -5 TO’s after two games get win by 21 and 14 points and cover both. UCLA comes in 1-1 after losing at Colorado and beating a Cal squad that shifted gears to travel to UCLA and playa Sunday morning game. The Bruins allowed 526 yards at Colorado and that number is likely to get topped on Saturday night. Oregon by 24+ in this match-up.
              • Game: (423) Boise State at (424) Hawaii
                Date/Time: Nov 21 2020 11:00 PM EST
                Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
                Play Rating: 4%
                Play: Total Over 56.0 (-110)

                #423/#424 4% OVER 56 Boise/Hawaii 11 PM ET
                Boise’s offensive numbers are misleading as they scored 17 points and gained only 310 yards vs BYU with their #3 QB Versus Colorado St they “only” gained 291 yards because they scored three Def/ST TD’s and the offense never had the ball. Bronco’s D not what it’s been in the past allowing 220 YPG rushing and 4.7 ypc. Hawaii rush D allowing 252 YPG and 5.4 ypc and while they were slowed at Wyoming and at San Diego St the first was the weather and the second was the MW’s best D fired up off a loss.

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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369690

                #67
                Football Jesus text : AFT game is OK State/ Sooners over the total
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                • Hombre de Burro
                  Member
                  • Sep 2017
                  • 87

                  #68
                  Brian Edwards Vegas Insider:
                  Kansas St +11 @ Iowa St
                  Florida 1st qtr & half @ Vandy. Florida first half team total > 27.5. Full game > 68.
                  Auburn -10.5 vs Tennessee
                  Alabama @ Kentucky > 58

                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369690

                    #69
                    Worlds Worst Picker
                    Peabody’s pick
                    Northwestern

                    We take
                    Wisconsin
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369690

                      #70
                      Great Lakes Sports
                      3* Oregon-14
                      3* Oklahoma -7
                      2* LSU + 2
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369690

                        #71
                        College Football​(BOB BALFE)
                        7:30 PM EST
                        Rotation #360
                        NC State -5.5 over Liberty
                        Hugh Freeze is the man. What a coach! The Flames are 8-0 this year, but their schedule has been awful. This team did beat Syracuse which has their own injury issues, but the win at VTech proves this is a really good team. I just don’t think they can continue to keep it up against better athletes. This is a really light offensive line that I believe the Wolfpack front seven can handle. NC State has so many great offensive weapons and their offensive line should hold up against this defense and any pressure it brings. This is a game in which NC State is the bigger and more physical team and they should have no problem putting up 40 plus points. Liberty will be undefeated no more. Take NC State.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369690

                          #72
                          Tom Stryker

                          25-9 ATS NCAA HIGH NOON CONFERENCE SMASH
                          Appalachian State

                          15-3 ATS CONFERENCE SHOCKER OF THE WEEK
                          Penn State

                          14-1 ATS NCAA DATABASE WAGER OF THE MONTH
                          Stanford
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369690

                            #73
                            Balfe
                            ark-1// lsu
                            ark.st.-tx.st// over67.5
                            iowa+1// penn.st
                            mo.-6// so.car
                            nc.st -5.5// liberty
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369690

                              #74
                              Brad Wilton

                              100 dime- Boise st
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                              • B*mb07
                                Senior Member
                                • Mar 2018
                                • 640

                                #75
                                Marco D'Angelo
                                4% (334) PENN ST +1

                                When Penn St went to Nebraska last week after starting the season 0-3 I was concerned that the Nittany Lions might just quit on the season. After all Penn St is use to playing on a Big New Years Day Bowl Game every year and at 3-0 that ain’t happening this year. Well they did come out flat last week trailing at the half 27-6. If this team was going to quit it was definitely right there in Nebraska but instead battled in the second outscoring Nebraska 17-3. They still lost 30-23 but showed me more in the loss that this team hasn’t quit. Penn St put up over 500 yards of offense in the loss. Today I expect another strong effort at home as they erase the bad taste in their mouths from their last home game when they lost to Maryland as 26 point favorites. PENN ST 30-23 as my 4% STEAM GAME OF THE WEEK.

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