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Preston.....Mia-Jets OVER
Doug..........Teaser Cleve/Giants
Anita,,,,,,,,,Gallman OVER 57.5 rushing yards
Joe..............Titans
Tyler.......Mahomes OVER 2.5 TDs
Mike Clay......DeVante Parker OVER 59.5 yards
NFL(BOB BALFE)
1:00 PM EST
Rotation #258
Browns -7 over Jaguars
The Browns are itching to play in a game that the weather doesn?t limit their offense. The weather will be nice and Cleveland could not have drawn a more perfect opponent on defense. The Jags are brutal and to make matters worse they will be starting Mike Glennon today at QB. Glennon has not thrown a ball in a game since 2017. Cleveland should put up a ton of points today on offense and on defense create turnovers. The Browns Defensive Line is missing a few key pass rushers today, but Glennon and his timing will be so off that this unit should force him into silly mistakes. Cleveland should have a balanced rushing attack of their own, but you know they are going to try to pass it more today just to get Baker Mayfield some positive stats. Take Cleveland.
Marco D"Angelo
4% (272) TAMPA BAY +3.5
Bad scheduling spot for Kansas City as the Raider Game was a big Game as it was SNF and a revenge game for Kansas City’s only loss of the season. KC now has to travel to Tampa for a Non-Conference Road game (least important on schedule). Tampa on the other hand comes in here on a short week off a loss on MNF. Once again Brady struggled in a Prime Time night game this year as his INT’s were the difference in the game. Last Week I was on the Rams because we had two good teams with very good defenses. The Rams had the better defense and was getting points an angle I like to ride with. For this game we have the same situation two good teams but one has the better defense and is getting points and this week that’s Tampa. Tampa has the #3 defense in YPP allowing just 5.2 yards. Last Week The Rams were able to put pressure on Brady, but this KC defense doesn’t bring that kind of pressure on opposing QB’s like the Rams do. Note Arians is 13-3 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less in his coaching career. We also find that over the L3 Seasons Brady has been a Underdog 5 times he’s 4-1 SU & ATS. TAMPA BAY 31-28TAKE TAMPA as my 4% NFL UPSET SHOCKER.
5-STAR Tennessee and Indianapolis Under 52 This is a quick rematch from when these teams played just two weeks ago in a game where Indianapolis dominated the second half. The Colts also dominated the second half last game against the Packers in a comeback win. We expect this to be a game where Indianapolis is able to play with a lead and control the clock in this game.
Tennessee picked up a huge overtime win over Baltimore last week, 30-24. They got a couple of big performances from the skill positions. Derrick Henry ran for 133 yards while Corey Davis had 133 receiving yards. Teams that had both a 110+ yard rusher and receiver last game are 118-163-9 OU.
Tennessees pass defense played significantly better in that game than any recent game, holding Baltimore to just 177 passing yards. Teams that allowed at least 50 fewer passing yards last game than any of their past eight games (dating back to last season) are 193-237-12 OU.
Indianapolis defeated Green Bay last week, 34-31 in overtime. The Colts defense really found something in the second half. They gave up 28 points in the first half but just three in the second half in a huge comeback win. Teams that allowed at least 21 points more in the first half than the second half of their last game are 134-191-7 OU.
Indianapolis came back from a 14-point deficit in that game, not all that dissimilar to their win over Tennessee where they overcame a pair of 7-point deficits. Teams coming off back-to-back wins where they trailed by 7+ points last game and also trailed two games ago are 187-236-7 OU (p:W and po:BL>=7 and pp:W and ppo:BL>0).
Against Green Bay, the Colts had to air things out after they got behind. They threw for 280 yards in a game they picked up 23 first downs. The Colts are 0-13 OU (-11.81 ppg) since Nov 23, 2014 at home coming off a game where they threw for at least 245 yards and gained no more than 25 first downs (team=Colts and H and p:passing yards>=245 and p:first downs<=25 and date>=20141123).
Philip Rivers threw for all three of the Colts touchdowns in that game but such a big scoring day has been had for Rivers to duplicate. Teams are 0-14-1 OU (-8.77 ppg) since Nov 22, 2010 at home when the total is at least 44 coming off a game where Philip Rivers threw for at least three touchdowns (H and total >44 and Philip Rivers:p:passing touchdowns>=3 and date>=20101122).
The rest of Indianapolis scoring came on field goals as the Colts attempted five and made four of them. Teams which attempted at least five field goals last game are 133-172-5 OU.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: INDIANAPOLIS 23, Tennessee 17
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