Service Plays Sunday 11/29/20

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

NFL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

College Football
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

Baseball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

College Basketball
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

NBA
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

NHL
http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R.J. White

NYJ +7
MIA @ NYJ | 11/29 | 1:00 PM ESTYESTERDAY 7:11 PM
The Jets have been competitive in their last few games as the offense gets healthier and healthier, and there's a chance they'll have Sam Darnold back for this game. That makes them a massive value play at +7 against a Dolphins offense that has not looked good despite putting together a five-game win streak before Sunday's loss in Denver. Teams have been able to run all over the Dolphins, but a mediocre Broncos passing attack had no issues carving them up last week either. With Tua Tagovailoa struggling enough to get benched in-game for performance reasons, this has a great chance of being the Jets' first win of the season.

31-23-3 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +525
19-15-2 IN LAST 36 NYJ ATS PICKS | +252

2-1 IN LAST 3 MIA ATS PICKS | +90

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
10:19 AM

CAROLINA @ MINNESOTA | 11/29 | 1:00 PM EST
OVER 48.5
Each of these teams is loaded with offensive playmakers, but has a shaky defense. This total is about a touchdown low. The Over is cashing in more than 60 percent of my simulations.

+305 12-8-2 IN LAST 22 NFL PICKS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Utah at Arizona State, which was pushed back to Sunday, has now been called off

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Hartstein

ARI -2.5
ARI @ NE | 11/29 | 1:00 PM EST9:36 PM
The Cardinals had a bit of a letdown last Thursday at Seattle because of their dramatic win over Buffalo. They'll bounce back this week. The Patriots run the ball well but that's it. Arizona can handle that. Kyler Murray will be too much for New England.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +90
5-4-1 IN LAST 10 ARI ATS PICKS | +49

NYJ +7
MIA @ NYJ | 11/29 | 1:00 PM EST8:54 PM
The Jets have covered three of their last four games and they'll face a Miami team that could be missing two starting offensive linemen. No. 2 receiver Preston Williams is definitely out. This might be New York's best remaining shot for a win. Grab the points.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NFL ATS PICKS | +90
8-2 IN LAST 10 NYJ ATS PICKS | +580

10-6 IN LAST 16 MIA ATS PICKS | +340

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

SF +7
SF @ LAR | 11/29 | 4:05 PM EST2:49 PM
The bye week was a blessing -- not in disguise -- for the 49ers, with about 30 players landing on injured lists this season. This opponent is another blessing; though the Rams are in Super Bowl contention, they have dropped three straight to San Francisco. L.A. is far less rested, having returned home from their fifth East Coast commute this year after a Monday night win over Tampa Bay. The Niners have covered in seven of the last 10 as underdogs.

18-11 IN LAST 29 LAR ATS PICKS | +571

NYG -5.5
NYG @ CIN | 11/29 | 1:00 PM EST2:45 PM
Not long ago, it would have been unimaginable for the Giants to be granting so many points. But they have won two in a row, mainly with stingy defense, while Cincy has gone south with the injury to QB Joe Burrow and five losses in six games. Entering from the bullpen: Ryan Finley, 0-3 as a starter in his career, losing by a combined 49 points. The Giants have covered their last four games and are solid roadies, with a 21-7 ATS record dating to 2017.

14-4-1 IN LAST 19 CIN ATS PICKS | +956

11-8 IN LAST 19 NYG ATS PICKS | +198

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Side - Sunday, Nov 29 2020 1:00PM
257 CLE -0.5(-120) William Hill vs 258 JAC double-dime bet

Analysis: A lot of locals have not put this game up, but BOL and all the domestic shops such as Fanduel, WHill, and DK have it available right now. Green Bay is good in a teaser as long as it's 2.5 or less.


2* 6 PT TEASER Browns -0.5/Packers -1.5 -120


Throw out the Jags week one win against Indy, where they were statistically dominated but managed a win, and we would be talking about this Jags team as a historically bad team along with the Jets. I make this game Cleveland -8.5 and strongly lean towards them ATS as well.


The Jags are even worse then their season long stats would indicate. QB Jake Luton, if he starts, is a downgrade on Gardner Minshew (and Minshew is one of the leagues worst starting quarterbacks). Injuries have recently dismantled an already bad roster. Pro bowl caliber LG Andrew Norwell and DE Josh Allen are the latest injuries, adding to a list of injured starters that already included WR Laviska Shenault, TE James O'Shaugnessy, CB CJ Henderson and CB Sidney Jones.


Green Bay is 5-0 SUATS off a loss under Matt Lafleur, and with this defense being able to put shutdown cornerback Jaire Alexander on Allen Robinson, Chicago lacks the complementary pieces to their offense needed to get the leagues 31st ranked offense going. And this offense is regressing, as they have been held to 3, 5, 4.8, and 4.6 YPP in their last four games (league average is 5.7).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

HITMAN | NFL Total - Sunday, Nov 29 2020 4:25PM
271 KAN / 272 TAM OVER 54.0 Westgatedouble-dime bet

Analysis: I will start this off with an excerpt from my Chiefs/Ravens over write up from earlier in the season. I think the matchup and situation is very similar for the Chiefs in this game.


"The logic is simple on this over: When you force an all time great quarterback into urgent situations, his aggressiveness and production is going to skyrocket. What other explanation is there for the fact that Mahomes has led the Chiefs to six consecutive victories when trailing by at least 10 points at any time during the game?"



Tampa Bay's offense has struggled against top tier pass rushes such as the Saints, Rams, and Bears, but that has not been the case against weaker pass rushes and their offense is more then capable of putting the Chiefs offense into situations where offensive urgency is needed, just like the Raiders did last week in a game in a game that finished with 66 points. The Chiefs defense does not look right, and most importantly against Vegas they couldn’t put any pressure on the quarterback, important against arguably the leagues most pressure sensitive quarterback in Tom Brady. If given time against this Chiefs secondary, there are matchup edges all over the field to exploit.


The Bucs defense is an obvious pass funnel, ranking first in the NFL in YPC allowed in run defense but in pass defense they recently allowed big games to Jared Goff, Drew Brees, and Daniel Jones. They play a defensive style nearly identical to the Ravens, who are heavy on agressive man coverage and blitzing (Ravens rank first in blitz rate, Tampa is second). Mahomes in that game against Baltimore went 31 of 42 for 385 yards and 4 touchdowns.


Quite simply, I believe this number is short. Both pass defenses are recently playing below expectation, and both quarterbacks have plus matchups against the style of defenses they are facing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Warren Sharp

257 Cleveland Browns Over 47.5 (0.75 units)
___
263 LA Chargers Over 52 (1 unit)

[dawggy]

JOHN RYAN

• John Ryan 5% NFL Best Bet Titan
  Game: (269) San Francisco 49ers at (270) Los Angeles Rams
  Date/Time: Nov 29 2020 4:05 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Los Angeles Rams -6.5 (-110)
  
  Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers
  4:05 PM EST, November 25, 2020
  5% NFL Best Bet Titan on the LA Rams minus the points.
  My models use three-game moving averages among 220 other parameters. San Francisco is averaging 60 or fewer rushing yards over their last three games than their season-to-date average rushing yards-per-game. An NFL team with three games that are far below their season-to-date rushing average and facing a divisional opponent is just 3-10 ATS for 23% winning bets since 2000. The struggles to run the ball over a 3-game span is a rare situation, but a highly profitable one.
  The machine learning tools project that the Rams will have a minimum edge of 4 minutes in time-of-possession and average a minimum of 6 or more yards-per-play. In past games in which the Rams met or exceeded these performance measures, they have earned a remarkable 13-1 SU record and 12-2 ATS for 86% winning bets that have covered the spread by an average of 8.5 points.
  The Rams were coming off a huge road win as a dog over the Tampa Bay Bucs and outgained them by more than 2.0 Yard-per-play. So, home teams coming off a road win dressed as a dog in which they averaged 2.0 or more YPPL than the opponent are a profit-making 38-19-1 ATS for 67% winning bets since 2006. When these games have seen a posted total of 45 or more points have earned a 17-5 SU record good for 77% winning bets and 16-6 ATS mark good for 73% winning bets since 2006.
  Jared Goff is coming off a monster game record a 99.5 QBR and completed 38 of 51 pass attempts. Goff is 5-1 ATS for 83% winning bets coming off a game where he completed 30 or more passes. He and his Rams are 16-2 SU and 14-4 ATS coming off a game where they converted better than 50% of their third-down situations.
  Bet the Los Angeles Rams minus the points as a 5% Best Bet Titan

[kajok]

Alan Scozzari

Guaranteed A Wager
Italy Serie A
Cagliari 0 -0,5 -110

Tip of the day A Wager
Germany 2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg - Greuther Furth
UNDER 2,5 3 -110

[dawggy]

RALPH MICHAELS

• Game: (263) Los Angeles Chargers at (264) Buffalo Bills
  Date/Time: Nov 29 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 5%
  Play: Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)
  
  #264 5% Buffalo -4.5 LA Chargers 1 PM ET
  Impressed with Herbert as he’s putting up points on the scoreboard but winning is s a different matter. Herbert has started the L9 games and they are 2-7 with the wins both at home vs Jacksonville and the NY Jets.
• Game: (251) Las Vegas Raiders at (252) Atlanta Falcons
  Date/Time: Nov 29 2020 1:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Teaser Atlanta Falcons +9.0 (-125)/ Rams -1/2
  
  4% TWO TEAM 6-pt Teaser
  Atlanta +9/ LA Rams -½ pt
• Game: (269) San Francisco 49ers at (270) Los Angeles Rams
  Date/Time: Nov 29 2020 4:05 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
  Play Rating: 3%
  Play: Total Under 44.5 (-110)
  
  ##269/#270 3% UNDER 44.5 SF/ LA Rams 4:05 PM

[golden contender]

Rob V: Sunday Comp Play

Sunday card has an Executive Level TIER 1 headlining along with the Sunday night Total of the Year, a rare 6* with a 15-0 system and a 22-1 Early Play along with NCAAB and Soccer. NFL Comp play below


The NFL Comp Play is on Cleveland at 1:00 eastern. The Jaguars are in the nasty database system below that shows how poorly dogs of more than 6 do on grass vs opponents who do well running the ball. The Jags are 0-9 to the spread at home after 2 or more turnovers and a dog loss. The Browns are 7-3 and should do well here against a shoddy Jags defense. Look for Cleveland to cover. On Sunday a massive card is up an executive Level TIER 1 Play, the Sunday night Total of the Year, a 22-1 early play, a rare 15-0 6* in later afternoon and NCAAB and Soccer. See us on facebook to Jump on and cash out on Sunday. For the Comp play. Go with the Browns. Rob V- GC Sports.



SU: 1-41-0
ATS: 7-34-1

Oct 26, 2014 view Sunday 8 2014 Raiders Browns away 0-6 6-3 0-0 7-14 13-23 7.0 44.0 -10 -3.0 -8.0 -5.5 -2.5 L L U 0
Oct 26, 2014 view Sunday 8 2014 Rams Chiefs away 7-0 0-10 0-10 0-14 7-34 7.0 44.0 -27 -20.0 -3.0 -11.5 8.5 L L U 0
Nov 09, 2014 view Sunday 10 2014 Jaguars Cowboys neutral 7-10 0-14 0-7 10-0 17-31 7.0 45.5 -14 -7 2.5 -2.2 4.8 L L O 0
Nov 30, 2014 view Sunday 13 2014 Titans Texans away 0-14 0-10 14-7 7-14 21-45 7.0 43.0 -24 -17.0 23.0 3.0 20.0 L L O 0
Dec 21, 2014 view Sunday 16 2014 Cardinals Seahawks home 0-0 3-14 3-0 0-21 6-35 9.5 36.5 -29 -19.5 4.5 -7.5 12.0 L L O 0
Oct 04, 2015 view Sunday 4 2015 Fortyniners Packers home 0-7 3-0 0-10 0-0 3-17 7.5 48.0 -14 -6.5 -28.0 -17.2 -10.8 L L U 0
Oct 11, 2015 view Sunday 5 2015 Rams Packers away 0-14 10-0 0-7 0-3 10-24 9.0 45.5 -14 -5.0 -11.5 -8.2 -3.2 L L U 0
Nov 22, 2015 view Sunday 11 2015 Washington Panthers away 14-14 0-17 0-10 2-3 16-44 7.5 45.5 -28 -20.5 14.5 -3.0 17.5 L L O 0
Dec 13, 2015 view Sunday 14 2015 Falcons Panthers away 0-21 0-7 0-10 0-0 0-38 8.5 45.5 -38 -29.5 -7.5 -18.5 11.0 L L U 0
Sep 18, 2016 view Sunday 2 2016 Fortyniners Panthers away 3-7 7-10 0-14 17-15 27-46 13.0 45.0 -19 -6.0 28.0 11.0 17.0 L L O 0
Oct 09, 2016 view Sunday 5 2016 Browns Patriots home 7-16 0-7 0-7 6-3 13-33 10.5 47.5 -20 -9.5 -1.5 -5.5 4.0 L L U 0
Nov 06, 2016 view Sunday 9 2016 Browns Cowboys home 3-7 7-14 0-14 0-0 10-35 7.5 47.5 -25 -17.5 -2.5 -10.0 7.5 L L U 0
Jan 01, 2017 view Sunday 17 2016 Dolphins Patriots home 0-14 7-6 7-7 0-8 14-35 9.0 47.0 -21 -12.0 2.0 -5.0 7.0 L L O 0
Sep 17, 2017 view Sunday 2 2017 Browns Ravens away 0-7 7-14 3-0 0-3 10-24 8.0 39.0 -14 -6 -5.0 -5.5 0.5 L L U 0
Oct 29, 2017 view Sunday 8 2017 Fortyniners Eagles away 0-3 0-14 7-10 3-6 10-33 13.0 44.0 -23 -10 -1 -5.5 4.5 L L U 0
Nov 05, 2017 view Sunday 9 2017 Broncos Eagles away 3-17 6-14 0-13 14-7 23-51 7.5 43.5 -28 -20.5 30.5 5.0 25.5 L L O 0
Nov 19, 2017 view Sunday 11 2017 Browns Jaguars home 0-7 7-3 0-0 0-9 7-19 7.5 37.5 -12 -4.5 -11.5 -8.0 -3.5 L L U 0
Nov 26, 2017 view Sunday 12 2017 Bears Eagles away 0-7 0-17 3-0 0-7 3-31 14.0 43.5 -28 -14.0 -9.5 -11.8 2.2 L L U 0
Dec 03, 2017 view Sunday 13 2017 Colts Jaguars away 0-7 3-9 7-11 0-3 10-30 10.5 40.5 -20 -9.5 -0.5 -5.0 4.5 L L U 0
Dec 23, 2017 view Saturday 16 2017 Packers Vikings home 0-10 0-0 0-3 0-3 0-16 9.0 41.0 -16 -7.0 -25 -16.0 -9.0 L L U 0
Dec 24, 2017 view Sunday 16 2017 Buccaneers Panthers away 3-3 6-9 7-3 3-7 19-22 9.5 46.5 -3 6.5 -5.5 0.5 -6.0 L W U 0
Dec 25, 2017 view Monday 16 2017 Raiders Eagles away 0-7 7-0 3-3 0-9 10-19 9.5 44.5 -9 0.5 -15.5 -7.5 -8.0 L W U 0
Oct 21, 2018 view Sunday 7 2018 Fortyniners Rams home 0-3 7-19 3-10 0-7 10-39 10.0 52.5 -29 -19 -3.5 -11.2 7.8 L L U 0
Dec 09, 2018 view Sunday 14 2018 Buccaneers Saints home 7-0 7-3 0-8 0-17 14-28 9.5 54.5 -14 -4.5 -12.5 -8.5 -4.0 L L U 0
Dec 16, 2018 view Sunday 15 2018 Buccaneers Ravens away 0-0 9-10 3-7 0-3 12-20 8.0 44.5 -8 0.0 -12.5 -6.2 -6.2 L P U 0
Sep 15, 2019 view Sunday 2 2019 Cardinals Ravens away 3-7 3-10 3-0 8-6 17-23 13.0 42.5 -6 7.0 -2.5 2.2 -4.8 L W U 0
Oct 31, 2019 view Thursday 9 2019 Cardinals Fortyniners home 7-7 0-14 7-7 11-0 25-28 8.0 44.0 -3 5 9 7.0 2.0 L W O 0
Nov 17, 2019 view Sunday 11 2019 Cardinals Fortyniners away 9-0 7-10 3-7 7-19 26-36 10.5 45.5 -10 0.5 16.5 8.5 8.0 L W O 0
Jan 11, 2020 view Saturday 19 2019 Vikings Fortyniners away 7-7 3-7 0-10 0-3 10-27 7.0 44.5 -17 -10.0 -7.5 -8.8 1.2 L L U 0
Jan 11, 2020 view Saturday 19 2019 Titans Ravens away 7-0 7-6 14-0 0-6 28-12 9.5 47.5 16 25.5 -7.5 9.0 -16.5 W W U 0
Sep 20, 2020 view Sunday 2 2020 Washington Cardinals away 0-14 0-6 3-0 12-10 15-30 7.0 46.5 -15 -8.0 -1.5 -4.8 3.2 L L U 0
Sep 20, 2020 view Sunday 2 2020 Jaguars Titans away 7-14 3-10 7-6 13-3 30-33 7.5 44.0 -3 4.5 19.0 11.8 7.2 L W O 0
Sep 27, 2020 view Sunday 3 2020 Washington Browns away 7-0 0-17 13-0 0-17 20-34 7.0 45.0 -14 -7.0 9.0 1.0 8.0 L L O 0
Oct 11, 2020 view Sunday 5 2020 Washington Rams home 7-6 3-14 0-3 0-7 10-30 8.5 45.0 -20 -11.5 -5 -8.2 3.2 L L U 0
Nov 08, 2020 view Sunday 9 2020 Bears Titans away 0-3 0-7 0-7 17-7 17-24 6.5 46.5 -7 -0.5 -5.5 -3.0 -2.5 L L U 0

Nov 29, 2020 view Sunday 12 2020 Jaguars Browns home 7.0 49.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI
4.5-Star Jets +7 over Dolphins -
4-Star Packers -9.5 over Bear
4.5-Star Giants at Bengals OVER 42.5
4.5-Star Chargers at Bills Over 53 -
4-Star Chiefs at Bucs UNDER 53 -
4-Star Arizona at Patriots Over 49.5 -

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MTI 5*

titans / colts under 52