Wednesday 12/2/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358327

    #16
    125BALTIMORE -126 PITTSBURGH
    BALTIMORE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games vs. good passing teams averaging 235 or more passing yards/game. in the last 3 seasons.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358327

      #17
      Ravens (6-4) @ Pittsburgh (10-0)
      — Baltimore lost three of last four games, after a 5-1 start.
      — Ravens allowed 17 or fewer points in five of six wins, 34-28-23-30 in losses.
      — Baltimore won four of five road games SU this year- the loss was 23-17 in Foxboro.
      — Under is 3-2 in Baltimore road games this season.
      — Ravens are thin at RB, with couple of guys having COVID issues.
      — Ravens are 8-3-1 ATS in last dozen games as a road underdog; this is first time they’re an underdog this season.

      — Steelers won first ten games (8-2 ATS), scoring 29.8 ppg.
      — Pittsburgh’s home wins this year are by 5-7-9-31-26 points
      — Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.
      — Steelers are +12 in turnovers this season, +7 in last three games.
      — Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.
      — In their last six games, Steelers won field position by 9+ yards five times.

      — Steelers (+4) won 28-24 in Baltimore four weeks ago.
      — Ravens ran ball for 265 yards in that game, but were -3 in turnovers.
      — Pittsburgh has swept Ravens once in the last 11 years.
      — Baltimore won 26-14/26-23OT in last two visits to Steel City.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358327

        #18
        Tech Trends - Week 12
        Bruce Marshall

        BALTIMORE at PITTSBURGH
        Baltimore is 2-5-1 vs. the spread over last eight games
        Baltimore has covered the spread in four of its last five games when playing in Pittsburgh
        Baltimore has won five straight games as the underdog
        The point total has gone OVER in three straight games played between both teams

        Tech Edge: Baltimore and OVER based on series trends annd point total trends.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358327

          #19
          651DUQUESNE -652 UNC-GREENSBORO
          DUQUESNE is 39-23 ATS (13.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.

          659MOREHEAD ST -660 OHIO ST
          OHIO ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

          661MONTANA ST -662 PACIFIC
          MONTANA ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.

          661MONTANA ST -662 PACIFIC
          Danny Sprinkle is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after playing a game as a road underdog (Coach of MONTANA ST)

          663VA COMMONWEALTH -664 PENN ST
          VA COMMONWEALTH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing only their 3rd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

          667SIU EDWARDSVL -668 N ILLINOIS
          SIU EDWARDSVL is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

          669TENNESSEE TECH -670 XAVIER
          XAVIER is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games off a home win in the last 3 seasons.

          671ORAL ROBERTS -672 WICHITA ST
          WICHITA ST is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 since 1997.

          673SETON HALL -674 RHODE ISLAND
          RHODE ISLAND is 43-68 ATS (-31.8 Units) after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1997.

          675W VIRGINIA -676 GONZAGA
          GONZAGA is 22-7 ATS (14.3 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 in the last 3 seasons.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358327

            #20
            NCAAB

            Wednesday, December 2


            Maui Classic (@ Asheville, NC)
            Texas vs North Carolina

            Texas (3-0)
            — 5 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
            — picked 5th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #4 by KenPom
            — Texas breezed past Indiana by 22 Tuesday, holding Indiana to 23% from floor.
            — Texas allowed 58.3 ppg in its first three games.
            — Longhorns start two juniors, two seniors; they played nine guys 12:00+ Tuesday.

            North Carolina (3-0)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 14-19 team
            — picked 3rd in ACC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #15 by KenPom
            — Carolina won first two games by 19-27; they beat Stanford by 4 Tuesday.
            — UNC turned ball over 24 times (-11), but outscored Stanford 14-5 overt the final 7:08.
            — Tar Heels start a freshman, two sophs (#235 in experience)

            Indiana vs Stanford
            Indiana (2-1)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
            — picked 8th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #27 by KenPom
            — Indiana scored 84 ppg in first two games, but got waxed 64-44 Tuesday.
            — Hoosiers PG Durham got hurt late in game; check status.
            — Indiana scored 0.66 ppp yesterday; it was their worst FG% in at least 10 years.

            Stanford (1-1)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
            — picked 4th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #28 by KenPom
            — Stanford was up 4 at the half Tuesday; they’re good, but thin.
            — Four of five Stanford starters played 29:00+ the last two days.
            — Cardinal allowed only 65.5 ppg in its first two games.

            Davidson vs UNLV
            Davidson (1-2)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
            — picked 4th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #76 by KenPom
            — Davidson lost the last two days by a combined three points.
            — Wildcats played four starters 31:00+ yesterday.
            — Davidson is playing pace #353, very slow.

            UNLV (0-3)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
            — picked 3rd in MW by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #150 by KenPom
            — Rebels lost first three games, by 13-27-12 points.
            — UNLV took 35 3-pointers Tuesday, only four foul shots.
            — Four starters played 34:00+ Tuesday.
            — 6-11 Cheikh Diong has played 85:00, taken 4 shots; give him the ball?!?!?!

            Providence vs Alabama
            Providence (2-1)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 19-12 team
            — picked 5th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #61 by KenPom
            — Friars led by 19 yesterday, never trailed, but damn near lost.
            — Providence played three guys 33:00+; they had only 4 turnovers (+9)
            — Providence was 7-29 on arc the last two days.

            Alabama (2-1)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 16-14 team
            — picked 3rd in SEC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #57 by KenPom
            — Alabama outscored UNLV 48-36 in second half Tuesday.
            — Crimson Tide took 40 3’s, only 20 2’s; they shot 70% inside arc.
            — Alabama went 15-40 on arc Tuesday, after going 14-60 in first two games..

            Elsewhere……
            VCU @ Penn State

            VCU (2-1)
            — 1 starter back from LY’s 18-13 team
            — picked 10th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #70 by KenPom
            — VCU won two of three games in South Dakota LW, beating Memphis.
            — Rams forced turnovers 25.7% of time last week.
            — VCU forced 19 turnovers vs Memphis, shooting 60.9% inside arc.

            Penn State (1-0)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
            — picked 12th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #62 by KenPom
            — Beat VMI by 21 in their first game Tuesday.
            — Lions took 36 3’s, 36 2’s in the opener, forced 25 turnovers (+14)
            — PSU starts two juniors, two seniors, usually a good thing.

            Seton Hall @ Rhode Island
            Seton Hall (1-1)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
            — picked 3rd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #48 by KenPom
            — Pirates lost by a point at Louisville, waxed Iona by 22.
            — Seton Hall starts three seniors, two juniors (#18 experience)
            — Pirates made only 13-45 on the arc in first two games.

            Rhode Island (2-2)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 21-9 team
            — picked 7th in A-14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #80 by KenPom
            — URI won last two games, scoring 84-84 points.
            — Rams are already playing their 5th game; they didn’t play last two nites.
            — URI starts two juniors, two seniors; they took 40 FT’s vs USF.

            West Virginia vs Gonzaga (@ Indianapolis)
            West Virginia (3-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
            — picked 4th in Big X by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #8 by KenPom
            — West Virginia went 3-0 in Sioux Falls, scoring 75.7 ppg.
            — Mountaineers rebounded 43% of their missed shots LW (#8)
            — WVU start three juniors, two sophs; they play seven guys.

            Gonzaga (2-0)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 31-2 team
            — picked 1st in country by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #1 by KenPom.
            — Zags beat Kansas by 12, Auburn by 20
            — Gonzaga shot 70.3% inside arc in first two games.
            — Gonzaga played first two games at pace #24, very fast.

            San Francisco @ Nevada
            San Francisco (2-2)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 22-12 team
            — picked 3rd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #89 by KenPom
            — Dons are playing their 5th game in eight nights.
            — USF upset Virginia, also lost to Mass-Lowell. Go figure.
            — Dons were outscored 34-10 on foul line in last game, a loss to URI.

            Nevada (3-0)
            — Nevada has 1 starter back from LY’s 19-12 team
            — Wolf Pack starts four sophs, one junior.
            — picked 6th in Mountain West by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #103 by KenPom
            — Lost five of top six scorers from last year.
            — Nevada allowed only 57.3 ppg in winning first three games.
            — First three opponents shot only 37.1% inside arc vs Wolf Pack.

            Tex-Arlington @ Arkansas
            Tex-Arlington (1-2)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 14-18 team
            — picked 8th in Sun Belt by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #157 by KenPom
            — UTA lost to Oklahoma St by 7, La Tech by 5; they beat Northwestern St by 9.
            — Mavericks are shooting only 43.8% inside arc, 29.0% on arc.
            — Mavericks start three juniors, two sophs.

            Arkansas (2-0)
            — 1 starters back from LY’s 20-12 team
            — picked 7th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #50 by KenPom
            — Arkansas beat up on a stiff, then beat North Texas by 15.
            — Razorbacks played only six guys more than 8:00 in last game.
            — Arkansas beat North Texas 66-43 here last year.

            Illinois vs Baylor (@ Indianapolis)
            Illinois (3-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 21-10 team
            — picked 4th in Big 14 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #22 by KenPom
            — Illinois crushed two stiffs, then nipped Ohio U by a hoop.
            — Illini has been best rebounding team in country so far.
            — Illinois is an experienced team (#45 in continuity).

            Baylor (2-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
            — picked 2nd in Big East by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #17 by KenPom
            — Beat Louisiana by by 30, Washington by 34 to start season.
            — Bears start three juniors, two seniors.
            — Baylor better not look ahead to Saturday’s Gonzaga game.

            BYU vs St John’s (@ Mohegan Sun)
            BYU (3-1)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 24-8 team
            — picked 2nd in WCC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #92 by KenPom
            — Cougars got crushed 79-53 by USC yesterday.
            — BYU turned ball over 22.1% of time so far.
            — BYU is #56 experience team; can they handle pressure?

            St John’s (3-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 17-15 team
            — picked 9th in Big East by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #73 by KenPom
            — Red Storm is 3-0, nipping Boston College by 4 here on Monday
            — Johnnies are playing #3 pace in country.
            — St John’s forced turnovers 25.9% of time in first three games.

            Oregon vs Missouri (@ Omaha)
            Oregon
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 24-7 team
            — picked 1st in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #20 by KenPom.
            — This is Oregon’s season opener.
            — Ducks will use multiple point guards this year.
            — Oregon won 20+ games each of the last 10 years.

            Missouri (1-0)
            — 4 starters back from LY’s 15-16 team
            — picked 13th in SEC by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #55 by KenPom.
            — Tigers won their opener by 27 over Oral Roberts last Wednesday.
            — Mizzou starts three seniors and a junior.
            — Tigers are 12-24 in SEC the last two years.

            Oregon State @ Washington State
            Oregon State (2-0)
            — 3 starters back from LY’s 18-13 team
            — picked last in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #110 by KenPom
            — Beavers beat Cal by 8 at home, then whacked a stiff.
            — OSU starts three seniors, two juniors.
            — Beavers took only 11 3-pointers in the Cal game.

            Washington State (2-0)
            — 2 starters back from LY’s 16-16 team
            — picked 11th in Pac-12 by Blue Ribbon
            — ranked #138 by KenPom
            — WSU beat Texas Southern/Eastern Washington by total of 7 points.
            — Coogs start a freshman, two sophs; they were down 13 early vs EWU.
            — Wazzu made only 15-58 3’s in first two games.

            — This is a non-conference game, just to get some games in.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358327

              #21
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing

              Parx Racing - Race 10
              Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta
              Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 75 • Purse: $18,000 • Post: 4:28P
              (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
              Contenders
              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line
              Accept
              Odds

              Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * GRAND OASIS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. KNOKKE BY THE SEA: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. OVERBOLD: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. JUPI'S LIGHTNING: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SYNERGIZED: Jockey/Trainer com bination return on investment is at least +20.
              5
              GRAND OASIS
              7/2
              7/2
              7
              KNOKKE BY THE SEA
              5/1
              7/1
              3
              OVERBOLD
              15/1
              9/1
              10
              JUPI'S LIGHTNING
              4/1
              10/1
              2
              SYNERGIZED
              9/2
              10/1

              P#
              Horse (In Running Style Order)
              Post
              Morn
              Line
              Running Style
              Good
              Class
              Good
              Speed
              Early Figure
              Finish Figure
              Platinum
              Figure
              3
              OVERBOLD
              1
              15/1
              Front-runner
              80
              70
              80.4
              57.2
              49.2
              2
              SYNERGIZED
              6
              9/2
              Front-runner
              76
              72
              73.8
              59.0
              49.0
              8
              BILL'S MAFIA
              8
              20/1
              Front-runner
              75
              67
              71.6
              52.2
              28.7
              1A
              ABDAA
              14
              3/1
              Front-runner
              75
              68
              29.4
              68.3
              56.8
              10
              JUPI'S LIGHTNING
              10
              4/1
              Alternator/Front-runner
              73
              74
              72.6
              69.2
              55.2
              4
              SACRIFICING IT ALL
              3
              15/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              78
              74
              74.8
              61.2
              46.7
              9
              SURFER BOY GEORGE
              9
              10/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              77
              62
              63.6
              60.6
              48.1
              1
              LOUIE'S WISH
              2
              3/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              76
              70
              57.4
              49.8
              32.3
              11
              SINCERE MAN
              11
              8/1
              Alternator/Stalker
              80
              74
              57.2
              62.0
              47.0
              5
              GRAND OASIS
              4
              7/2
              Trailer
              79
              74
              59.4
              73.2
              65.7
              2X
              MY MAN ELVIS
              13
              9/2
              Trailer
              66
              61
              51.0
              59.6
              40.6
              7
              KNOKKE BY THE SEA
              7
              5/1
              Trailer
              77
              76
              48.2
              66.6
              56.1
              12
              REDNECK COWBOY
              12
              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              88
              74
              38.0
              56.6
              39.1
              6
              PROUD AND FURIOUS
              5
              20/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              70
              56
              37.8
              51.4
              28.9
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358327

                #22
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town



                Charles Town - Race 6
                Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8)
                Allowance • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 80 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 9:21P
                FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 2 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES)(W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
                Contenders
                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds

                Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * SONDE OF MUSIC: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. COLLEGE KID: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. NICE N' BROAD : Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MANAROLA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure a t the distance/surface.
                3
                SONDE OF MUSIC
                2/1
                9/2
                4
                COLLEGE KID
                5/2
                6/1
                5
                NICE N' BROAD
                4/1
                7/1
                6
                MANAROLA
                5/1
                8/1

                P#
                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                Post
                Morn
                Line
                Running Style
                Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure
                Finish Figure
                Platinum
                Figure
                4
                COLLEGE KID
                4
                5/2
                Front-runner
                69
                74
                88.6
                67.2
                60.7
                3
                SONDE OF MUSIC
                3
                2/1
                Front-runner
                76
                82
                67.3
                80.6
                74.1
                6
                MANAROLA
                6
                5/1
                Trailer
                80
                74
                64.8
                71.8
                66.3
                2
                MALIBU SPLASH
                2
                9/2
                Trailer
                77
                72
                55.2
                66.4
                57.9
                5
                NICE N' BROAD
                5
                4/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                82
                71
                60.4
                72.6
                68.1
                1
                GANDARI
                1
                10/1
                Alternator/Non-contender
                71
                74
                74.8
                56.8
                46.8
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358327

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                  Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,400 Class Rating: 68

                  Rating:

                  #2 CIELO LINDO (ML=6/1)


                  CIELO LINDO - Multiple wins in this horse's life, all at Mahoning Valley Race Course. Could add another win in this event.

                  Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BRINGYOUROWNSAND (ML=8/5), #4 DOCTORIAT (ML=2/1), #6 GRAND STRATEGY (ML=5/1),

                  BRINGYOUROWNSAND - I don't possess a 'use' feeling about this runner in this event. DOCTORIAT - Today's event is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a sprint affair in the last couple of months. Not the best of signals. GRAND STRATEGY - Today's event is 6 furlongs. Hasn't hit the board in a short distance contest in the last couple of months. Not the best of signals. I'd like to see better recent showings with morning line of 5/1.



                  STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #2 CIELO LINDO to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
                  EXACTA WAGERS: Skip

                  TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                  Skip
                  SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358327

                    #24
                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park

                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.




                    Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 10.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $32000 Class Rating: 83

                    FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 1 PER DIEM 5/2
                    # 2 AHNAF 2/1
                    # 9 PAINTSVILLE 6/1
                    PER DIEM looks to be a decent contender. He has been running strongly as of late while recording very strong Equibase Speed Figures. Kobiskie has him trained solidly to break promptly out of the gate. Posted a strong speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. AHNAF - Is a solid contender - given the 68 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. Has been travelling in the most competitive company of the field as of late.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358327

                      #25
                      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



                      Zia Park - Race #8 - Post: 3:09pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,000 Class Rating: 54

                      Rating:

                      #1 LORELEI'S WARRIOR (ML=8/1)
                      #4 ESTEEMED (ML=5/2)
                      #3 MO CERVEZA (ML=7/2)


                      LORELEI'S WARRIOR - Always watch out for the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. Faced tougher last time out at Zia Park. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. ESTEEMED - This gelding ran well in his last race but just couldn't beat the winner. Note that he was well clear of the show horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. I'll forgive that last effort on Oct 26th when he flopped as the betting favorite. That race was pretty good for a $7,500 Maiden Claiming race and this gelding's speed fig was solid. Earnings per race is something that I think can be a very valuable handicapping aspect. This mount is ranked at the very top in this field. MO CERVEZA - Armstrong drops him down to this class. You don't need too much more handicapping info to think this horse will be one to beat at this level. Three consecutive improved speed ratings (14-26-51) make this thoroughbred a dominant contender.

                      Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TOSS THE FLAG (ML=4/1), #8 GO TOWER GO (ML=9/2), #9 BINGHAM'S FLASH (ML=5/1),

                      TOSS THE FLAG - Should be difficult for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the likely underlays list. GO TOWER GO - This colt hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two outings. Could be tough for this horse to beat this group off of that last speed figure. Unlikely to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. BINGHAM'S FLASH - If you keep playing these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed regularly.

                      GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - ESTEEMED - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this gelding. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 63 on October 26th.





                      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #1 LORELEI'S WARRIOR on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more
                      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,4]

                      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                      Box [1,3,4] Total Cost: $6
                      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,3,4] with [1,3,4] with [1,3,4,8,9] with [1,3,4,8,9] Total Cost: $36
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358327

                        #26
                        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

                        Always check program numbers.
                        Odds shown are morning line odds.




                        Race 6 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10200 Class Rating: 80

                        FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JULY 2, 2020 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 2, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 2, 2020 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000

                        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                        # 1 IRISH CAPITAL 4/1
                        # 3 STARWARD 8/1
                        # 5 SHOTGUN'S NIGHT 3/1
                        IRISH CAPITAL gets the edge as the bet in here. Padilla has him trained solidly to break quickly out of the gate. Is a key contender - given the 65 speed fig from his most recent race. I think having Steinberg ride this gelding is a smart move. STARWARD - Will most likely come out sharp - I have liked the way this gelding has moved quickly to the lead recently. Had one of the best Equibase speed figs of this field in his last contest. SHOTGUN'S NIGHT - This gelding has a strong win percentage in dirt sprint races. In this field, this entrant is ranked high in earnings per start in dirt sprint events.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358327

                          #27
                          Dave Price

                          Dec 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
                          NCAA-B | South Dakota State vs Iowa State
                          Play on: South Dakota State +1½ -109 at Draft Kings

                          Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
                          1* on South Dakota State +1.5
                          The Key: South Dakota State went 22-10 last year and now returns all 5 starters. They return Conference Player of the Year Douglas Wilson, who averaged 18.7 PPG and 6.4 RPG last year. He and fellow big man Matt Dentlinger combined to shoot 62.8% from the field. Dentlinger averaged 12.2 PPG and 6.0 RPG. Sophomores Alex Arians and David Wingett combined for 17.4 PPG and 11.3 RPG last year while both shooting at least 35% from 3-point range. Noah Freidel averaged 12.2 PPG and shot 39.5% from 3 and 85.2% from he line. And they have good depth with Baylor Sheierman (6.0 PPG) and Tray Buchanan (6.3 PPG). The Jackrabbits have been tested in their 1-2 start with competitive losses to WVU and St. Mary’s as well as an upset win over Utah State in blowout fashion, 83-59. Now they take on an Iowa State team that lost a lottery pick in Tyrese Haliburton to the NBA Draft. They missed him clearly in their opener as they trailed Arkansas-Pine Bluff 34-37 at halftime as 33-point favorites. They went on to win the game by 17 but didn’t come anywhere close to covering. And they shouldn’t be favored over this veteran, skilled South Dakota State team tonight. The Jackrabbits are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games overall. The Jackrabbits are 26-9-1 ATS in their last 36 games off an ATS loss. Take South Dakota State.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358327

                            #28
                            Bobby Conn

                            Dec 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
                            NCAA-B | South Dakota State vs Iowa State
                            Play on: Iowa State -3 -110 at 1BetVegas

                            1* Free Play on Iowa State -3 -110
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358327

                              #29
                              Mike Williams

                              Dec 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
                              NCAA-B | West Virginia vs Gonzaga
                              Play on: West Virginia +9½ -105 at Buckeye

                              1* on West Virginia +9½ -105
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358327

                                #30
                                Brandon Lee

                                Dec 02 '20, 7:00 PM in 1h
                                NCAA-B | West Virginia vs Gonzaga
                                Play on: West Virginia +9 -109 at Draft Kings

                                PICK - West Virginia Mountaineers +9
                                RATING: 30*
                                ROT#: 675
                                There's just too much value here to pass up with the Mountaineers. Gonzaga came into the season ranked No. 1 and have looked every bit the part. They took down No. 6 Kansas 102-90 and crushed Auburn by 23 points (90-67). The books aren't going to keep letting the No. 1 team keep covering.
                                This is a ton of points to be laying on a neutral floor against a team as talented as West Virginia. The Mountaineers are ranked No. 11 in the AP Top 25 and No. 8 in KenPom. That's projectecting them out as a No. 2 or No. 3 seed in the NCAA Tournament.
                                Not to mention that this is an experienced West Virginia team that brought back a lot from last year's 21-win team. They returned 4 starters and 8 of 10 overall who averaged 13 or more minutes. They have beat 3 potential tournament teams in South Dakota St, VCU and WKU.
                                I think their ability to slow the game down when they have the ball and make Gonzaga work for a shot on the defensive end could make this a much harder game for the Bulldogs than some people might think. Maybe Gonzaga is that much better than the field, but this early I'm taking the points in this spot every time. Give me West Virginia +9!
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