Saturday 12/5/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Rob Vinciletti

Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: Coastal Carolina +11 -108 at pinnacle

Saturday card has our 7* 2020 College Football Game of the year headlining a big College card that also has a TIER 1 Going early and Top Level NCAAB and Soccer. Comp play below.
The College Football comp play is on Coast Carolina at 5:30 eastern. Coastal fits a nice 15-4 system here for late season home dogs that are undefeated. Coastal to their credit is playing an also undefeated BYU team after their big game with Liberty was canceled. Coastal is 6-1 ats off a win of 20 or more and 9-1 ats after allowing 20 or less. BYU just 1-5 ats in December games. Coastal Carolina will be more motivated as a 10 point dog in this game than they would have been as a 10 point favorite over Liberty. The Chanticleers have the defense and offense to stay with BYU Here. Take the points. On Saturday we have our 2020 7* College Football game of the Year and an executive Level TIER 1 along with NCAAB and Soccer. For the Comp play. Take the points with Coastal Carolina. Rob V- GC Sports.
SU: 14-6-0
ATS: 15-4-1

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Jack Jones

Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: BYU -10 -101 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: BYU -10
The BYU Cougars (9-0) came out in the 13th position in the playoff rankings this week. But now they have a chance to make a statement against unbeaten Coastal Carolina (9-0) and move up even further. I expect them to take full advantage of this opportunity after Liberty had to back out of their game with the Chanticleers due to Covid-19 reasons.
The Cougars are just better everywhere here and should roll to victory. They are 4th in the country in scoring (47.6 PPG) and total offense (538.3 YPG) this season. They are led by Heisman hopeful Zach Wilson at quarterback. He is completing 74.3% of his passes for 2,724 yards with a 26-to-2 TD/INT ratio. He has also rushed for eight scores on the ground.
This BYU defense is also legit. The Cougars rank 4th in the country in scoring defense (13.9 PPG) and 6th in total defense (292.7 YPG). They will be the bigger, more physical team on both sides of the line of scrimmage, which will allow them to control the game.
Coastal Carolina has been a great story this season and will be going to the Sun Belt Championship Game with the work they have done thus far. But they are in over their heads here. They would have been way better off facing Liberty and were favored to improve to 10-0. But this is a much tougher challenge here against a BYU team hungry to make their case for the four-team playoff. The Chanticleers were preparing to face Liberty all week, and now they only have a couple days to get ready for BYU. That’s a very tall task.
The Cougars are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 road games. BYU is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games overall. The Chanticleers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs. The Cougars come in rested having last played on November 21st and they’ll be ready to roll. Bet BYU Saturday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Dec 05 '20, 5:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | BYU vs Coastal Carolina
Play on: BYU -10½ -105 at YouWager

BYU @ Coastal Carolina Free Pick December 5, 2020
First of all, let's give some credit to the #18 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers who are having a magical year. Just like today's opponent #13 BYU, they are coming into the contest with an undefeated 9-0 record.
This is a pretty big step up in competition compared to the other teams they have faced though, and the Cougars should be looking to make a statement, boosting their College Football Playoff resume with a signature win.
BYU's defense is truly elite, allowing only 13.9 points per game and quarterback Zach Wilson has been putting up Heisman-type numbers all season, leading an offense that has scored 11 points or more in eight of the team's nine victories.
Free pick on BYU.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Dec 05 '20, 6:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs Hawaii
Play on: UNDER 60½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on San Jose State vs Hawaii under 60½ -110
The UNDER (60.5) is worth a look in Saturday's Mountain West matchup that has Hawaii hosting San Jose State. No way should we be seeing a total in the 60's with the Spartans. San Jose State is pretty limited on the offensive end and are outstanding on the defensive side. Spartans have allowed 21 or fewer in all 4 games they have played this season. I don't know if either team will get to 30 points in this game. Play the UNDER 60.5!

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Mike Williams

Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Oregon vs California
Play on: California +9 -101 at pinnacle

1* on California +9 -101

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Kenny Walker

Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Colorado State vs San Diego State
Play on: Colorado State +8 -110 at William Hill

Free Pick on Colorado State

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John Martin

Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Colorado vs Arizona
Play on: Colorado -7 -110 at William Hill

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Colorado -7
The Colorado Buffaloes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS this season against three quality opponents in UCLA, Stanford and San Diego State. There has been nothing fluky about this start either as the Buffaloes are outgaining those three teams by 66.4 yards per game. Their defense has been really solid in yielding only 343.3 yards per game. And now they face the 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS Arizona Wildcats. The struggles for the Wildcats extend back to last year too as they are now 0-10 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. And things just got worse when starting QB Grant Gunnell went out with a shoulder injury against UCLA last week. It was all over from there as backup QB Will Plumber looked like a deer in headlights. He completed only 17 of 35 passes for 151 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions. Gunnell has an injury to his throwing shoulder and is unlikely to play this week. The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings. Give me Colorado.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Dec 05 '20, 7:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Rider vs Syracuse
Play on: OVER 145½ -110

1 Dimer on Rider vs Syracuse over 145½ -110

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Brandon Lee

Dec 05 '20, 8:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Duke
Play on: OVER 60 -110

PICK - Miami/Duke OVER 60
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 444
I'm confident we are going to see more than enough scoring in Saturday's ACC matchup between Duke and Miami to push this game well past the total of 60. The Blue Devils defense is broken. In their last two games they have given up 56 to UNC and 56 to Georgia Tech.
Both games Duke gave up well over 300 yards rushing. The Tar Heels racked up 338 on the ground and the Yellow Jackets went off for 377. There's been 3 games in ACC play were Miami has rushed for 160 or more yards and in those 3 games they scored no fewer than 44 points. It just opens up the offense when they can pick up big plays on the ground. I see no reason not to expect at least 40 from Miami in this one.
That means all we need is for Duke to score 20 points. Something they have done in each of their last 6 games. Miami's defense is solid, but far from dominant, especially on the road. Hurricanes are giving up just 24.8 ppg on the season, despite allowing 35.3 ppg on the road. They also go from giving up 390 ypg to allowing 460 ypg.
OVER has cashed in 11 of Miami's last 15 games when listed as a favorite of 10 or more. OVER has also hit in 11 of Duke's last 16 at home and 11 of their last 15 off a loss by 20 or more. Give me the OVER 60!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

Dec 05 '20, 9:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Fresno State vs Nevada
Play on: Fresno State +7½ -110 at Buckeye

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #389 Fresno State Bulldogs over Nevada Wolf Pack (10:30p.m., Saturday, December 5 FS1) Nevada has never been a strong team as a big favorite evident by their straight-up loss to Hawaii last week on the Island. Now they must make a long trip back to Reno and face a rested Fresno State team that has not played a game since November 14. The metrics do not line up with Nevada’s 5-1 record, as they have yet to face a strong offense this entire season. We will grab the points in this game that will likely go down to the wire. Fresno State is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with Nevada. The road team is also 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Dec 05 '20, 10:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Portland State vs Portland
Play on: Portland State +1 -110 at William Hill

1* Free Play on Portland State +1 -110

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339GEORGIA TECH -340 NC STATE
GEORGIA TECH is 24-10 ATS (13 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) since 1992.

341VANDERBILT -342 GEORGIA
GEORGIA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) in home games vs. poor offenses (<17 PPG) since 1992.

343CLEMSON -344 VIRGINIA TECH
VIRGINIA TECH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite since 1992.

345BOSTON COLLEGE -346 VIRGINIA
VIRGINIA is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

347S CAROLINA -348 KENTUCKY
S CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better. over the last 2 seasons.

351LIBERTY -352 COASTAL CAROLINA
LIBERTY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after the first month of the season in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Week 14 of the College Football season kicks off on Thursday Dec. 3 and concludes on Sunday, Dec. 6.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Thursday, Dec. 3

LOUISIANA TECH at NORTH TEXAS (CBSSN, 6:00 p.m.)
After UTSA loss, UNT 6-19 last 25 on board since mid 2018.
Skip Holtz and La Tech have won and covered 5 of last 6 vs. Mean Green.

Tech Edge: La Tech, based on team and series trends.

AIR FORCE at UTAH STATE (CBSSN, 9:30 p.m.)
Win over UNM broke Utags’ 0-5 SU and spread skid since late LY.
USU still just 5-10 vs. line last 15 on board since mid 2019.
Force on 4-0-1 spread uptick in series.

Tech Edge:Air Force, based on team and series trends.


Friday, Dec. 4

UL-LAFAYETTE at APPALACHIAN STATE (ESPN, 7:30 p.m.)
Even after big win vs. Troy last weekend, App having a miserable 2020 vs. spread for new HC Clark, just 2-7 vs. line, now 2-8 last 10 vs. number since late 2019.
If Ragin’ Cajuns getting points note 8-3-1 dog mark for Billy Napier since 2018.

Tech Edge: UL-Lafayette, especially if dog, based on recent trends.

BOISE STATE at UNLV (CBSSN, 8:30 p.m.)
After Wyoming loss, UNLV 0-5 SU and vs. line in 2019 (counts SJSU as loss).
Rebs 2-6 vs. spread last 8 as host (0-3 at Allegiant Stadium TY).
Boise 15-8 vs. line last 23 as MW visitor.

Tech Edge: Boise State, based on team trends.


Saturday, Dec. 5

GEORGIA TECH at N.C. STATE (ACC, 4 p.m.)
Pack a pleasant surprise in 2020, 7-3 SU and vs. 6-4 line after 2-10 spread nosedive in 2019.
NCS also “over” 10-4 last 14 since late 2019.
GT 7-12-1 vs. spread for Collins since he arrived LY (though did narrowly win and cover vs Wolfpack in 2019).
Jackets also on 12-4 “over” run since early 2019.

Tech Edge: NCS and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

VANDERBILT at GEORGIA (SEC, 4:00 p.m.)
Georgia has won and covered last 4 meetings after Kirby Smart lost to Dores in 2016.

Tech Edge: Georgia, based on series trends.

CLEMSON at VIRGINIA TECH (ABC, 7:30 p.m.)
Even after Pitt win, Dabo only 3-6 vs. spread his first 9 in 2020, now 3-7 vs, line since late last season.
Though extended marks still very good (11-6-1 vs. points as visitor since 2017).
VT on 3-8 spread slide since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on team trends.

BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA (FSN, 3:30 p.m.)
Hafley 4-2 as dog at BC, and Eagles 18-7-1 as dog since 2017.
Cavs however have covered last four this season, and Bronco Mendenhall 22-13 vs. points since 2018.
Cavs also “over” 12-2 last 14 since mid 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on recent UVa “totals” trends.

SOUTH CAROLINA at KENTUCKY (SEC, 7:30 p.m.)
SC has really hit skids with 5 SU and spread losses in a row in 2020, costing Muschamp his job.
UK only 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 vs. line last five TY.
Cats had won 5 straight and 6-0-1 vs. line in previous seven in series prior to last year’s 24-7 Gamecocks win.

Tech Edge: Slight to UK, based on extended series trends.

LIBERTY at COASTAL CAROLINA (ESPNU, 2:00 p.m.)
Flames have covered last seven in 2020, Freeze also 6-1 last 7 as dog, while Coastal 8-1-1 vs. line this season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.

MARYLAND at MICHIGAN (BTN, 3:30 p.m.)
Harbaugh no covers last five in 2020, now on 1-7 spread skid since late 2019.
Harbaugh, however, has won and covered all five vs. Terps since taking over Wolverines in 2015.

Tech Edge: Slight to Michigan, based on series trends.

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN STATE (ABC, 12:00 p.m.)
Buckeyes no covers last two in 2020, OSU now 3-6 last nine on board after 8 straight covers in 2019.
But MSU struggling for Tucker at 2-3 SU and vs. line, also just 7-15 vs. number since late 2018.
Bucks have won and covered last three in series by 108-19 total score.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on team and recent series trends.

NEBRASKA at PURDUE (BTN, 12:00 p.m.)
Boilermakers no covers last four TY after covers in 8 of their previous 9 games.
Meanwhile Huskers got cover at Iowa but Frost still just 5-12 vs. spread since LY.
Purdue only 1-5 last six as chalk overall but 5-1 vs. spread last six in series.

Tech Edge: Purdue, based on team and series trends.

PENN STATE at RUTGERS (FS1, 12:00 p.m.)
Penn State finally with a W in 2020 but still just 1-5 vs. line.
Scarlet Knights have covered last three in series.
Schiano 3-2 vs. line in return to Rutgers.

Tech Edge: Rutgers, based on recent and series trends.

FAU at GEORGIA SOUTHERN (ESPN+, 6:00 p.m.)
FAU “under” 5-1 for Taggart TY, GSU “under” 8-4 last 12 since late 2019.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

BOWLING GREEN at AKRON (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Akron 0-16 SU, 2-14 since LY vs. line for Arth.
BGSU 4-12 vs. spread for Loeffler.
Falcs won and covered 35-6 LY.

Tech Edge: BGSU, based on team trends.

BALL STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN (ESPNU, 5:30 p.m.)
Ball 1-3 vs. line in 2020, McElwain now 13-5 vs. line for Chips after EMU win.
CMU 7-1 vs. spread at home for McElwain.

Tech Edge: CMU, based on recent trends.

KENT STATE at MIAMI-OHIO (CBSSN, 12:00 p.m.)
KSU on 9-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, and has covered six of last seven away from Dix Stadium (counts Buffalo loss last week).
Though one of the Ls in that span came against RedHawks.
Golden Flashes also on 7-2 “over” run since that lost to Miami in 2019.

Tech Edge: Kent State, based on recent trends.

BUFFALO at OHIO (CBSSN, 3:30 p.m.)
Home team has covered last three in series.
Solich 14-5 as dog since 2015, even though just 6-10 overall vs. spread since last season.
Leipold 29-13-3 spread uptick last three+ years.

Tech Edge: Ohio, based on team and series home trends.

EASTERN MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN (ESPN+, 1:00 p.m.)
Eagles not quite same spread magic this season now 2-2 vs. line after blowing CMU game.
On road EMU has covered its first two and as road dog Creighton has been superb (19-3-1 as dog away from home since late 2015).
Also 3-0-1 vs. line last four vs. WMU. Broncos however 4-0 SU and 3-1 vs. line to open 2020.

Tech Edge: EMU, based on team and series trends.

FIU at CHARLOTTE (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Golden Panthers struggling, 0-5 SU TY and just 5-13 vs. spread since 2019.
Though FIU has won outright last five in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.

RICE at MARSHALL (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Herd unbeaten 7-0 SU, 5-2 vs. line TY.
Though Doc only 2-2 vs. line at home TY, 3-8 vs. spread as host since 2019.
Owls actually 8-3 vs. number last 11 away.

Tech Edge: Slight to Rice, based on team trends.

FLORIDA at TENNESSEE (CBS, 3:30 p.m.)
Bottom has dropped out for Vols, lost and failed to cover last five TY, all by DD margins.
Gators have won and covered last three meetings (Dan Mullen 81-24 total score last two years).

Tech Edge: Florida, based on team and series trends.

OREGON STATE at UTAH (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
After Oregon upset, Beavs have covered last three TY and now 12-3 vs. spread last 15 on board.
Though one of those recent Ls was a 52-7 loss at Corvallis LY vs. a better Utah team.

Tech Edge: OSU, based on recent trends.

COLORADO at ARIZONA (FS1, 7 p.m.)
Sumlin 3-14 SU last 17 with Cats since late 2018, also 4-12 last 16 vs. spread.
Though has won and covered last two years vs. Buffs, part of UA 3-game series SU and spread win streak.
CU 3-0 SU and vs. line TY for Dorrell.

Tech Edge: Colorado, based on recent trends.

UCLA at ARIZONA STATE (FS1, 10:30 p.m.)
Bruins have covered 3 in a row in 2020, and Chip has covered last two vs. ASU.
UCLA also on 3-game series cover streak.
Herm on 2-6 spread skid at Tempe.

Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent and series trends.

SYRACUSE at NOTRE DAME (NBC, 2:30 p.m.)
Dino 9-13 vs. spread since last season, 3-6 vs. spread last 9 away.
Domers on 10-4 spread uptick after UNC win.

Tech Edge: Notre Dame, based on recent trends.

STANFORD at WASHINGTON (FOX, 4:00 p.m.)
Stanford has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 in series.
Though David Shaw just 1-6 last seven in what used to be a profitable dog role for him.
Huskies just 3-0 vs. spread last 12 as Pac-12 host.

Tech Edge: Stanford, based on series trends.

FRESNO STATE at NEVADA (FS2, 10:30 p.m.)
Wolf Pack 5-1 SU, 4-2 vs. line in 2020, won and covered first three at home.
Pack 8-2 vs. spread last 10 vs. MW foes at Reno.
DeBoer has won and covered last three TY for Fresno though schedule broke well in that stretch, and Bulldogs off since Nov. 14.

Tech Edge: Slight to Nevada, based on team trends.

OREGON at CALIFORNIA (ESPN, 7:00 p.m.)
Ducks “over” 5-0-1 last six since late 2019 after OSU game.
Bears 16-7 in dog role for Wilcox entering 2020.

Tech Edge:Slight to Cal, based on team trends.

OKLAHOMA STATE at TCU (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m.)
OSU no covers last four TY, also on 9-3 “under” run since late 2019.
Patterson “under” 6-4 since late 2019, though last three “over” in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at IOWA STATE (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
ISU has won and covered last two meetings, and Cyclones have covered 5 of last 7 TY after Texas win.
Mounties 1-2 vs. line away in 2020, after covering last three as visitor in 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to ISU, based on team trends.

INDIANA at WISCONSIN (ABC, 3:30 p.m.)
Tom “Mr. Intensity” Allen is 6-0 vs. line in 2020, has covered last seven and 10 of last 12 since late 2019.
Hoosiers 6-2 vs. line last 8 away from Bloomington, and have covered last 4 and 7 of last 8 as dog.
Wisky just 3-6 vs. spread last 9 as Big Ten host.

Tech Edge: Indiana, based on recent trends.

KANSAS at TEXAS TECH (FS2, 12:00 p.m.)
KU 0-8 SU, 0-7-1 vs. line TY, Les Miles now 0-8-1 last 9 and 1-10-1 last 12 vs. spread since late 2019.
Last Jayhawks SU win was vs. Red Raiders LY.
Matt Wells 3-1 vs. spread at home vs. Big 12 this season, 3-4 as chalk since taking over TT a year ago.
Tech had won previous 8 SU in series into 2019.

Tech Edge: Texas Tech, based on KU negatives.

TOLEDO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m.)
Rockets have recovered somewhat from their slow close to 2019 (0-6-1 last 7 vs. line), with 2-2 SU and spread marks in 2020.
Rockets also 7-3 “over” run since mid 2019.
Hammock 2-4 vs. line as MAC host since LY.

Tech Edge: Slight to “Over” and Toledo, based on “totals” and team trends.

BAYLOR at OKLAHOMA (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
Bears only 1-4-1 vs. line last six TY, inclined to toss out the pre-Aranda marks for Rhule prior to 2020.
OU surging with five wins and covers in a row since Iowa State loss.
Sooners have covered 4 of last 5 reg season meetings (excludes 2019 Big 12 title game).

Tech Edge: OU, based on recent trends.

TEXAS A&M at AUBURN (ESPN, 12:00 p.m.)
If Jimbo a dog here not just 2-3 last five in role since LY, and Malzahn has beaten Ags three in a row outright.
Malzahn 8-3 vs. spread at Jordan-Hare since last season.

Tech Edge: Slight to Auburn, based on team and series trends.

TEXAS at KANSAS STATE (FOX, 12:00 p.m.)
Tom Herman only 1-5-1 last seven vs. line TY after close ISU loss.
Herman also no covers last 3 vs. KSU, and Horns no covers last four in series.
Klieman 10-4 as dog with Cats after Bill Snyder was 15-5 as dog his last three years (2016-18).

Tech Edge: KSU, based on team and series trends.

IOWA at ILLINOIS (ESPNU, 4 p.m.)
Ferentz has won and covered last three trips to Champaign-Urbana by combined 121-14 score, with two shutouts.
Iowa has won SU last six in series, didn’t quite get spread in 19-10 win LY.
Hawkeyes 9-3-1 last 13 vs. line as Big Ten visitor.
Lovie however is 8-3 his last 11 as dog.

Tech Edge: Iowa, based on team and series trends.

HAWAII at SAN JOSE STATE (4:00 p.m.)
Spartans 4-0 SU and vs. line (counts UNLV as win) in 2020, and Brent Brennan has covered last three years vs. UH (though SJSU hasn’t won outright in series since 2015).
Spartans on 13-4-1 spread uptick.

Tech Edge: San Jose State, based on team and series trends.

WYOMING at NEW MEXICO (ESPN2, 7 p.m.)
New Mexico 0-5 SU after USU loss, now on 14-game SU losing streak.
Lobos 5-12 vs. line since LY.
Wyo plays for second straight week in Vegas.
UNM did cover this game in 2019, but after UNLV romp, Bohl enters on 15-7 spread uptick since late 2018.

Tech Edge: Wyoming, based on recent trends.

COLORADO STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE (CBSSN, 7:00 p.m.)
Aztecs 2-1 as home chalk TY (at Carson) after 4-12 mark previous 16 in role.
Addazio just 1-2 vs. line TY in CSU debut but was 14-5-1 as dog previous three years at BC.

Tech Edge: Slight to SDSU, based on recent trends.

MEMPHIS at TULANE (ESPN+, 12:00 p.m.)
Tulane had covered 5 in a row before bitter OT loss at Tulsa.
Meanwhile Memphis needed SF Austin to break recent spread skid, but Tigers still just 1-9 vs. line last ten against FBS foes (1-7 for Silverfield).
Home team has covered last four meetings.

Tech Edge: Tulane, based on recent and series trends.

TULSA at NAVY (ESPN2, 3:30 p.m.)
Magical Tulsa 5-1 SU and vs. line TY, 9-3 last 12 vs. spread since mid 2019.
Though has lost and failed to cover last five years vs. Navy.
Mids only 3-3 in dog role TY since LY, but 20-9-1 as dog from 2013-18 for Niumatalolo.

Tech Edge: Slight to Navy, based on series trends.

TROY at SOUTH ALABAMA (ESPN3, 2:00 p.m.)
Troy has won and covered handily last two vs. nearby Belt rival, but Trojans just 7-13 vs. spread for Chip Lindsey since LY.
USA has cooled off, now 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 vs. line last four TY.
Troy also on 8-1-1 “under” run since late 2019, and Jags “under” six straight in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

UL-MONROE at ARKANSAS STATE (ESPN3, 3:00 p.m.)
ASU having subpar year (3-7 SU, only 1-4 vs. line last five) but has owned ULM, with wins and covers last ten meetings!
Warhawks have slipped in backdoor for a couple of recent covers but still just 3-6 vs. line TY, and 11-24 vs. line since late 2017.

Tech Edge: Arkansas State, based on series trends.

ARKANSAS at MISSOURI (SEC, 12:00 p.m.)
Ark has dropped last two vs. line TY but still 6-2 vs. spread for Pittman in 2020.
Drinkwitz 5-2 vs. spread in first spin with Mizzou, 4-0 vs. line at home.
Home team has covered last six in series.

Tech Edge: Slight to Mizzou, based on series trends.

HOUSTON at SMU (ESPNU, 9:00 p.m.)
Holgorsen very so-so since LY with UH (9-9 vs. line) and just 6-7 as dog (0-3 as dog TY).
Sonny Dykes 7-3 vs. spread as host since LY.
Home team has covered last four meetings.

Tech Edge: SMU, based on team and series trends.

ALABAMA at LSU (CBS, 8:00 p.m.)
Bama has covered last five is season and has won and covered last four trips to LSU, with shutouts last two.
LSU 1-1 as dog in 2020 and Orgeron 9-2 last eleven in role.

Tech Edge: Bama, based on team and series trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 14

13 of the weekend’s best games
Georgia Tech (3-5) @ NC State (7-3)
— Tech lost three of its last four games, giving up 46.3 ppg.
— Yellow Jackets are 1-5 when they score fewer than 46 points.
— Tech has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tech has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Yellow Jackets has a freshman QB with 8 starts.
— Tech is 4-5 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— NC State won its last three games, scoring 29.7 ppg.
— State allowed 44+ points in all three of their losses.
— Wolfpack is 7-0 when they allow less than 44 points.
— Wolfpack has 10 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— State has 62 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wolfpack has used couple of QB’s; the current starter is a junior.
— Since 2018, State is 8-7 ATS as a home favorite.

— Tech won 11 of last 14 series games.
— Yellow Jackets are 4-0-1 ATS in last five visits to Raleigh.
— Underdogs are 6-2-2 ATS in last ten series games.

BYU (9-0) @ Coastal Carolina (9-0)
— Long road trip on short notice for BYU.
— BYU is 9-0, winning eight of its nine games by 17+ points.
— Cougars is 3-0 on road vs I-A teams, scoring 49.7 ppg.
— Cougars have 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— BYU has 110 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cougars have a junior QB with 25 career starts.
— Since 2017, BYU is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite.

— Coastal won its three Sun Belt I-A games by a average of 39-17.
— Chanticleers allowed total of 43 points in last four games.
— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coastal’s freshman QB has 20 TD passes, one INT.
— Chanticleers are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as home underdogs.

— These teams haven’t met in the last five years.

Penn State (1-5) @ Rutgers (2-4)
— Penn State lost five of its first six games, giving up 32.8 ppg.
— Nittany Lions lost by point at Indiana, 30-23 at Nebraska, won LW at Michigan.
— PSU has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Penn State has 85 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nittany Lions have a junior QB with 17 career starts.
— Penn State is 10-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road favorite, 0-2 TY.

— Rutgers lost four of its last five games, allowing 37.4 ppg.
— Scarlet Knights allowed 442+ total yards in three of last four games.
— Rutgers is 0-3 at home this year, losing by 16-3-6 points.
— Scarlet Knights have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Rutgers has 34 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Rutgers’ junior QB has started eight games.
— Scarlet Knights are 3-5 ATS in last eight games as a home underdog.

— Penn State won last six games with Rutgers, but Scarlet Knights covered last three.
— Nittany Lions won last two visits here by a combined 59-7.

Oregon State (2-2) @ Utah (0-2)
— Oregon State won its last two games by total of 7 points.
— Beavers gave up 439+ total yards in three of four games.
— OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon State has a junior QB with five starts.
— Beavers covered their last seven games as a road underdog.

— Utah lost its first two games, scoring 19 ppg.
— Utes out rushed first two foes 324-181 but are -3 in turnovers.
— Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah’s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
— Utah is 13-4 ATS in last 17 games as a home favorite.

— Utah won last four series games, three by 6 or fewer points.
— Utes drilled OSU 52-7 in Corvallis last year, running for 256 yards.

UCLA (2-2) @ Arizona State (0-1)
— UCLA lost its road games, 48-42 at Colorado, 38-35 at Oregon.
— Bruins ran ball for 264 ypg in last three games.
— UCLA is giving up 43 ppg on road, 10 ppg at home.
— UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 23rd career start.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 7-5 ATS as a road underdog.

— Arizona State played one game so far; it was four weeks ago.
— ASU lost its opener 28-27 at USC, blowing a 13-point lead in last 2:52.
— Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 13 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 3-9 ATS as a favorite, 3-5 at home.

— Home side won last four series games; underdogs covered four of last five.
— Bruins lost 31-28/23-20 in last two visits to Tempe.

Stanford (1-2) @ Washington (3-0)
— Stanford split last two games, both decided by 3 points.
— Cardinal have allowed 440 ppg this season.
— Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cardinal has a junior QB with 9 career starts.
— Stanford is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— Washington won its first three games, scoring 31.7 ppg.
— Huskies are +4 in turnovers, are gaining 413.3 ypg. .
— Huskies have 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Washington has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Huskies have a junior QB with 9 career starts.
— Washington is 6-2 ATS in last eight games as home favorites.

— Home side won last five series games.
— Cardinal lost 27-23/44-6 in their last two visits to Seattle.
— Underdogs covered six of last eight series games.

Fresno State (3-1) @ Nevada (5-1)
— Fresno won its last three games, scoring 37.7 ppg.
— Bulldogs gained 487-541 total yards last two games.
— Fresno has 8 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Bulldogs have 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Fresno’s junior QB has four career starts.
— Bulldogs covered seven of last eight tries as a road underdog.

— Nevada lost 24-21 in Hawai’i LW, their first loss in six games.
— Wolf Pack is 3-0 at home, scoring 32.3 ppg.
— Nevada has 10 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Wolf Pack has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Nevada’s soph QB has 16 career starts.
— Wolf Pack is 7-5 ATS in its last 12 games as a home favorite.

— Nevada won three of last five series games.
— Fresno won three of its last four visits to Reno.
— Underdogs are 6-4 ATS in last ten series games.

Oklahoma State (6-2) @ TCU (4-4)
— Oklahoma State split last four games, after a 4-0 start.
— OSU allowed 41+ points in three of last four games.
— State won at both Kansas schools, lost 41-13 at Oklahoma.
— Cowboys have 7 starters back on offense, 10 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cowboys’ soph QB has started 19 games.
— OSU is 4-6 ATS in last ten games as road favorites.

— TCU won three of last four games, after a 1-3 start.
— Horned Frogs scored 33+ points in all four wins, 17 ppg in losses.
— TCU is 0-3 when they score less than 33 points.
— Horned Frogs have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— TCU has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Horned Frogs have a soph QB with 18 career starts.
— TCU is 2-4-1 ATS in last seven games as a home favorite

— Teams split last six series games; underdogs won four of last five SU.
— Cowboys lost two of last three visits to TCU.
— Horned Frogs ran ball for 218+ yards in four of last six series games.

Texas A&M (6-1) @ Auburn (5-3)
— Texas A&M won last five games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
— A&M was held to 267 yards in LW’s 20-7 win over LSU
— Aggies won at Miss St/South Carolina; lost 52-24 at Alabama.
— A&M has 8 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Aggies have 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— A&M’s has a senior QB with 40 career starts.
— Aggies are 7-2 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.

— Auburn won three of last four games; they lost 42-13 at Alabama LW.
— Tigers scored 29+ points in their wins; 6-22-13 in losses.
— Auburn gave up 444+ total yards in three of last four games.
— Tigers have 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Auburn has 56 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a soph QB with 21 career starts.
— Auburn is 8-1 ATS in last nine games as a home underdog.

— Road team won seven of last eight series games.
— Auburn won last three series games, by 15-4-8 points.
— Aggies won three of last four visits to the Plains.
— Underdogs are 5-0-1 ATS in last three series games.

Texas (5-3) @ Kansas State (4-5)
— Longhorns won three of their last four games.
— Six of their last seven games were decided by 8 or fewer points.
— Texas has 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Longhorns have 71 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Texas has a senior QB with 40 career starts.
— Longhorns are 2-6 ATS in last 8 games as road favorites.

— K-State lost its last four games, after a 4-1 start.
— Wildcats are minus-8 in turnovers in their last four games.
— Wildcats have 7 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— K-State has only 2 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Wildcats are using freshman backup QB who has six career starts; he’s thrown six TD passes, eight INT’s.
— K-State is 16-4 ATS in last 20 games as home underdogs.

— Texas won last three series games, by 3-5-6 points.
— Longhorns are 0-6 ATS in last six visits to the Little Apple.
— Underdogs are 10-4 ATS in last 14 series games.

Memphis (6-2) @ Tulane (5-5)
— Memphis won its last three games, scoring 33.3 ppg.
— Tigers are 5-0 if they score 34+ points, 1-2 if they don’t.
— Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Memphis has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers’ senior QB has started 36 games.
— Memphis is 1-6-1 ATS in last 8 games as road underdogs.

— Tulane won three of last four games, after a 2-4 start.
— Green Wave allowed 24 or fewer points in wins, 38.8 ppg in losses.
— Green Wave has 5 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Tulane has 70 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Green Wave are playing a freshman QB with 16 TD’s, 5 INT’s.
— Tulane is 9-2 ATS in last 11 games as a home favorite.

— Memphis won 12 of last 13 series games.
— Tigers are 5-3 ATS in last eight visits to Bourbon Street.

Arkansas (3-5) @ Missouri (4-3)
— Arkansas lost three of last four games; they’re 0-5 allowing more than 21 points.
— Razorbacks gained 437+ total yards in four of last six games.
— Razorbacks has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Arkansas has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Razorbacks has a senior QB with 32 career starts, 24 at Florida.
— Arkansas is 6-2 ATS this season, 3-1 on road.

— Missouri won four of last five games, after an 0-2 start.
— Tigers held three of last four opponents under 300 total yards.
— Tigers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Missouri has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tigers have a junior QB with 13 career starts.
— Missouri is 10-4 ATS in last 14 games as a home favorite.

— Missouri won last four series games, scoring 34.5 ppg.
— Razorbacks are 0-3 ATS in last three visits to Columbia.
— Underdogs covered four of last six series games.

Sunday’s game
Washington State (1-1) @ USC (3-0)
— This is Wazzu’s first game in three weeks.
— WSU split its first two games, giving up 71 points.
— Wazzu allowed 1,032 TY in those two games.
— Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— WSU has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coogs have a freshman QB with two starts; he is playing really well.
— Wazzu is 11-6 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

— USC won its first three games, scoring average of 31.7 ppg.
— Only one of Trojans’ three wins was by more than 4 points.
— USC threw for 970 yards in their three wins.
— Trojans have 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— USC has 64 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Trojans have a soph QB has started 14 games.
— USC is 6-12 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.

— USC won 10 of its last 12 games with Washington State.
— Coogs covered their last three visits to the Coliseum.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

617CHICAGO ST -618 NORTHWESTERN
NORTHWESTERN is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

619NC STATE -620 CONNECTICUT
NC STATE is 15-6 ATS (8.4 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the last 3 seasons.

621GONZAGA -622 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

623E WASHINGTON -624 ARIZONA
E WASHINGTON is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) as a dog over the last 2 seasons.

625IDAHO -626 SACRAMENTO ST
IDAHO is 8-20 ATS (-14 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

627IL-CHICAGO -628 BALL ST
BALL ST is 28-63 ATS (-41.3 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

629MONTANA -630 SOUTHERN UTAH
SOUTHERN UTAH is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) at home when the total is 135-139.5 since 1997.

631SMU -632 DAYTON
DAYTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.

635E ILLINOIS -636 WI-GREEN BAY
WI-GREEN BAY is 120-82 ATS (29.8 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days since 1997.

637NEBRASKA-OMAHA -638 SIU EDWARDSVL
SIU EDWARDSVL is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.