Saturday 12/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 09:56 PM

Tech Trends - Week 15
Bruce Marshall

Week 15 of the NFL season kicks off on Thursday, and we've identified betting trends and angles for all the matchups.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Dec. 19

BUFFALO at DENVER
Into last Sunday night vs. Steelers, Bills were on four straight covers after win vs. 49ers, also now 8-3-1 “over” this season.
Denver 13-7 last 20 as dog, also “under” 4-1 last five TY.

Tech Edge: Slight to Bills, based on recent trends.

CAROLINA at GREEN BAY
Panthers have been tough on road, covered last four away, all as dog.
Rhule 7-1 last 8 as dog in 2020.

Tech Edge: Panthers, based on team trends.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 09:57 PM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 19

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GEORGIA TECH (3 - 7) at MIAMI (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (3 - 6) at WAKE FOREST (4 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AIR FORCE (3 - 2) at ARMY (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AIR FORCE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-1 against the spread versus AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-1 straight up against AIR FORCE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (3 - 3) at WISCONSIN (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 1-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (2 - 5) at PENN ST (3 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
PENN ST is 43-25 ATS (+15.5 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
PENN ST is 80-56 ATS (+18.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (2 - 4) at IOWA (6 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus IOWA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against IOWA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (2 - 5) at MARYLAND (2 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 39-66 ATS (-33.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON ST (1 - 2) at UTAH (2 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STANFORD (3 - 2) at UCLA (3 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 71-49 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
STANFORD is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-0 against the spread versus STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-1 straight up against STANFORD over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (3 - 2) vs. COLORADO (4 - 1) - 12/19/2020, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
OREGON is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (1 - 2) at OREGON ST (2 - 4) - 12/19/2020, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON ST is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA (0 - 5) at CALIFORNIA (1 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORTHWESTERN (6 - 1) vs. OHIO ST (5 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 202-154 ATS (+32.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 171-134 ATS (+23.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 134-101 ATS (+22.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 183-139 ATS (+30.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 74-51 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA (7 - 2) vs. IOWA ST (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 3-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-1 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAFAYETTE (9 - 1) at COASTAL CAROLINA (11 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.
LA LAFAYETTE is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
COASTAL CAROLINA is 2-1 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEMSON (9 - 1) vs. NOTRE DAME (10 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEMSON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
CLEMSON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-1 straight up against CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TULSA (6 - 1) at CINCINNATI (8 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA (10 - 0) vs. FLORIDA (8 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ALABAMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
ALABAMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOISE ST (5 - 1) vs. SAN JOSE ST (6 - 0) - 12/19/2020, 4:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 157-116 ATS (+29.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 52-27 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 98-70 ATS (+21.0 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE ST is 1-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-0 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS A&M (7 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 6) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 24-41 ATS (-21.1 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VANDERBILT (0 - 9) at GEORGIA (7 - 2) - 12/19/2020, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VANDERBILT is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
GEORGIA is 26-46 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (4 - 4) at LSU (4 - 5) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (5 - 4) at MISSISSIPPI ST (2 - 7) - 12/19/2020, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTSA (7 - 4) vs. SMU (7 - 3) - 12/19/2020, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 09:58 PM

NCAAF

Week 16

Trend Report

Saturday, December 19

Vanderbilt @ Georgia
Vanderbilt
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 5 games when playing Georgia
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Georgia
Georgia is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia's last 7 games

Texas A&M @ Tennessee
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas A&M's last 9 games on the road
Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games

Florida State @ Wake Forest
Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Florida State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wake Forest
Wake Forest
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Florida State
Wake Forest is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Iowa State
Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Northwestern @ Ohio State
Northwestern
Northwestern is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Northwestern's last 7 games when playing Ohio State
Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern

Washington State @ Utah
Washington State
Washington State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Washington State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Utah is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

Air Force @ Army
Air Force
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 5 games when playing Army
Air Force is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Army
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Air Force

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Coastal Carolina
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Coastal Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Mississippi @ Louisiana State
Mississippi
Mississippi is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Louisiana State
Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Louisiana State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana State's last 5 games at home
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Mississippi

Missouri @ Mississippi State
Missouri
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Missouri's last 20 games
Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Mississippi State's last 8 games

Clemson @ Notre Dame
Clemson
Clemson is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Clemson's last 6 games
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Minnesota @ Wisconsin
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games when playing Minnesota
Wisconsin is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Boise State @ San Jose State
Boise State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose State
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose State
San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Jose State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Southern Methodist @ Texas-San Antonio
Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games
Texas-San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Illinois @ Penn State
Illinois
Illinois is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing on the road against Penn State
Penn State
Penn State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Illinois
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Illinois

Michigan @ Iowa
Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Iowa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Iowa
Iowa
Iowa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Iowa is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Michigan State @ Maryland
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Maryland
Michigan State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Maryland
Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Maryland's last 7 games

Alabama @ Florida
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida
Florida is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing Alabama

Tulsa @ Cincinnati
Tulsa
Tulsa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tulsa is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Stanford @ California-Los Angeles
Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against California-Los An
Stanford is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Stanford
California-Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Oregon @ Colorado
Oregon
Oregon is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Arizona State @ Oregon State
Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games
Oregon State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oregon State's last 9 games when playing at home against Arizona State
Oregon State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona State

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:00 PM

201GEORGIA TECH -202 MIAMI
MIAMI is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) off upset loss vs conference foe since 1992.

203FLORIDA ST -204 WAKE FOREST
WAKE FOREST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) vs bad defenses (>31 PPG) in the last 3 seasons.

205AIR FORCE -206 ARMY
ARMY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games against the Mountain West since 1992.

207NEBRASKA -208 RUTGERS
RUTGERS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better since 1992.

209PURDUE -210 INDIANA
INDIANA is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) against conference opponents in the current season.

211MINNESOTA -212 WISCONSIN
WISCONSIN is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.

215MICHIGAN -216 IOWA
MICHIGAN is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.

217MICHIGAN ST -218 MARYLAND
MICHIGAN ST is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:01 PM

Tech Trends - Week 16
Bruce Marshall

Week 16 of the College Football season kicks off on Friday, Dec. 18 and concludes on Saturday, Dec. 19.

We've identified betting trends and angles for key matchups between FBS matchups and focus on the 10 Championships on tap.

We also have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Saturday, Dec. 19

Florida State at Wake Forest (ACC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
FSU 2-6 vs. line this season
Seminoles are 15-28-2 vs. points since 2017
Wake 3-1-1 vs. line last five meetings
WF also on 5-1 spread run this season

Tech Edge: Wake Forest, based on team trends.

Air Force at Army (CBSSN, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Underdog team 4-0-1 vs. line last five meetings
Air Force has won and covered last three and 9 of last 10 meetings at Michie Stadium (NY)

Tech Edge: Air Force, especially if dog, based on team and series trends

Minnesota at Wisconsin (Big Ten, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Road team 5-0-1 vs. line last six in battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe

Tech Edge: Minnesota, based on series trends.

Illinois at Penn State (FS1, 5:30 p.m. ET)
Nittany Lions on a late-season surge, having won and covered last three after dropping first five.

Tech Edge: Penn State, based on recent trends.

Washington State at Utah (FS1, 1:30 p.m. ET)
Cougars have faltered since opening win at Oregon State
Washington State just 1-2 vs. line this season
Cougars are now on 5-13 spread skid since late 2018, dating to the Mike Leach era

Tech Edge: Utah, based on team trends.

Stanford at UCLA (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)
Bruins broke 10-game SU series losing streak (1-9 vs. line) in last year’s 34-16 win at Palo Alto
Stanford 4-12-1 vs. spread since 2019

Tech Edge: UCLA, based on recent trends.

Arizona State at Oregon State (ESPN, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Beavers continue to provide good spread value, now on 13-3-1 spread run last 17 on board

Tech Edge: OSU, based on team trends.

Northwestern at Ohio State (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Big Ten Championship
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana
Northwestern 5-1 both SU and ATS this season
Wildcats are 13-3 as underdogs away from home since 2016
Buckeyes only 4-6 last 10 vs. spread since late 2019
'Cats also on 13-5 “under” run

Tech Edge: Northwestern and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Oklahoma at Iowa State (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Big 12 Championship
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
Matt Campbell 2-3 SU but 5-0 vs. line against OU since arriving at Ames in 2016.
Cyclones 19-9-1 as underdogs for Campbell (counts OSU this year as push).

Tech Edge: Iowa State, based on series and team trends.

UL Lafayette at Coastal Carolina (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Sun Belt Championship
Brooks Stadium, Conway, South Carolina
ULL 9-2-1 last 12 as an underdog since early 2018
Though Coastal is 11-0 SU and 8-2-1 vs. ATS in 2020
Note road team has covered last two meetings including 48-7 ULL win at Conway last year.

Tech Edge: Slight to ULL, based on team and series trends.

Clemson at Notre Dame (ABC, 4:00 p.m. ET)
ACC Championship
Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Rematch of ND’s 40-34 upset in OT back on Nov. 7
Irish head coach Brian Kelly 4-1 last five as a 'dog.
Clemson 11-3-1 ATS last 15 vs. ACC foes away from Death Valley
However, Clemson head coach Dabo Swinney only 4-6 vs. line in 2020

Tech Edge: Slight to Clemson, based on extended trends.

Tulsa at Cincinnati (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)
American Championship
Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio
Magical Tulsa has won last six SU and is 6-1 vs. spread in 2020
Golden Hurricane on 10-3 spread uptick since mid 2019, also “under” 7-3 last 10
Tulsa 6-1 last seven as a 'dog and covered last year vs. Cincy
Bearcats however on 8-3 spread advance since late 2019

Tech Edge: Tulsa and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Alabama at Florida (CBS, 8:00 p.m. ET)
SEC Championship
Mercedez-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Note Gators head coach Dan Mullen covered 4 of last 7 meetings while at MSU in games vs. Alabama
However, Mullen didn’t win outright in any of those, or in 9 tries vs. Nick Saban while coaching in Starkville
Crimson Tide has won and covered last seven in 2020

Tech Edge: Slight to Alabama, based on recent trends.

Boise State at San Jose State (FOX, 4:15 p.m. ET)
Mountain West Championship
Sam Boyd Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada
SJSU is both 5-0 SU and ATS in 2020 (counting UNLV as a cover)
Spartans head coach Brent Brennan now on 14-4-1 spread uptick since late 2018
San Jose State has also covered seven straight as a dog and “under” 5-0 this season, “under” last six since late 2019
Boise State however “over” 5-0 in 2020

Tech Edge: San Jose State, based on team trends.

Texas A&M at Tennessee (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
Vols 1-6 SU, 2-5 vs. line last seven TY, not closer than 12 points in any of the SU losses
Texas A&M head coach Jimbo Fisher has covered 6 of last 8 on road
Note that Vols are 11-3 “under” since late 2019

Tech Edge: A&M and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Mississippi at LSU (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
If getting points, note Rebels are 7-2-1 as 'dogs since last season (2-1 for Kiffin TY)
Ole Miss has also covered 6 of last 7 away Kiffin teams (FAU included)
Rebels are 7-3 “over” last 10 since late 2019

Tech Edge: Ole Miss and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Missouri at Mississippi State (SEC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Leach has covered two of last three two two seasons after dropping previous five
Also, Leach had been on 5-16 spread skid prior since late 2018 at Washington State
Bulldogs “under” 7-2 in 2020, on 10-3 “under” run since mid 2019

Tech Edge: “Under”, based on “totals”

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:02 PM

College Football Odds Week 16: Opening Lines and Sharp Money
Patrick Everson

Quarterback Ian Book and Notre Dame look to beat Clemson for the second time this season when the two teams meet Saturday in the ACC title game. But with Trevor Lawrence healthy, Clemson is -9.5.

College football odds for Week 16 are up and drawing dollars, with conference championship games dotting the schedule. Clemson gets a shot at revenge against Notre Dame in the ACC title tilt, while COVID issues forced Washington out of, and Oregon into, the Pac-12 finale against USC.

FanDuel Sportsbook provided insights on college football Week 16 opening lines, early line movement, sharp money and public betting for this week's matchups.

UAB at (21) Marshall Odds
Opening line
Marshall -5.5, Over/Under 41.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel opened the Thundering Herd 5.5-point home favorites in the Conference USA championship game, and the number is still Marshall -5.5 Monday night. Marshall is taking 86 percent of early tickets and 74 percent of early money. The total bounced from 41.5 to 42.5 and back to 41.5, but FanDuel's betting splits aren't yet available.

Ball State vs Buffalo Odds
Opening line
Buffalo -11.5, Over/Under 66.5

Why the line moved
Buffalo is already up two points Monday night at Fanduel, sitting at -13.5 for the Mid-American Conference title game at Detroit's Ford Field. The Bulls are drawing 86 percent of tickets and 97 percent of money. The total is steady at 66.5, though practically all the tickets and dollars through Monday night are on the Over.

(23) Oregon at (13) USC Odds
Opening line
Southern Cal -3.5, Over/Under 62.5

Why the line moved
Oregon is a substitute invitee to Friday night's Pac-12 championship game, after Washington had to withdraw Monday due to COVID issues within the program. Host USC opened -3.5 and remains there late Monday evening on some interesting early betting splits: 78 percent of tickets are on the Trojans, while 79 percent of money is on the Ducks.

The total is down a point to 61.5, though the early splits don't reflect that, with 87 percent of tickets and pretty much every dollar on the Over.

(14) Northwestern vs (4) Ohio State Odds
Opening line
Ohio State -20.5, Over/Under 58.5

Why the line moved
FanDuel posted the Big Ten title game on Thursday, and it's bounced around a bit since then. Ohio State first moved to -21.5, then dipped to -19.5, and on Monday night, this line is back to the opener of -20.5. The Buckeyes are attracting 78 percent of early tickets and 89 percent of early dollars on the spread.

The total first ticked up to 59.5, then dialed down to 57.5, though tickets are 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Over for this neutral-site game at Indianapolis' Lucas Oil Stadium.

(10) Oklahoma vs (6) Iowa State Odds
Opening line
Iowa State +4.5, Over/Under 59.5

Why the line moved
Oklahoma gets a shot at revenge in the Big 12 title game, having lost at Iowa State 37-30 on Oct. 3. FanDuel opened the Sooners -4.5 for the rematch, taking place Saturday at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys. The line jumped to -6.5, then receded to -5.5, and as of Monday night, 53 percent of tickets are on Iowa State and 60 percent of money is on Oklahoma.

The total initially dipped two points to 57.5, and it's at 58.5 Monday night, with 88 percent of tickets/96 percent of cash on the Over.

(19) Louisiana at (12) Coastal Carolina Odds
Opening line
Coastal Carolina -3.5, Over/Under 53.5

Why the line moved
Coastal Carolina opened -3.5 at FanDuel for the Sun Belt championship game and stuck at that number through Monday night, with the exception of 15 minutes Sunday at -4.5. Tickets and money are running 9/1-plus on the host Chanticleers. The total is up a point to 54.5, with practically all the early tickets and money on the Over.

(3) Clemson vs (2) Notre Dame Odds
Opening line
Notre Dame +7.5, Over/Under 61.5

Why the line moved
On Nov. 7, Notre Dame beat visiting Clemson 47-40 in overtime, but the Tigers didn't have star quarterback Trevor Lawrence, due to COVID. Lawrence is good to go for a neutral-site game in Charlotte, N.C., and Clemson rose up to -10.5 from a -7.5 opener at FanDuel and is currently -9.5. However, the Fighting Irish are attracting 69 percent of spread bets and 59 percent of spread money through Monday night.

The total fell from 61.5 to 60.5, though the Over is taking 85 percent of tickets and 78 percent of money.

(23) Tulsa at (9) Cincinnati Odds
Opening line
Cincinnati -14.5, Over/Under 46.5

Why the line moved
Host Cincinnati opened -14.5 in the American Athletic Conference title game, initially fell to -13.5, rose to -15.5 and is back at the opener of -14.5 Monday night at FanDuel. It's two-way action with a lean toward the Bearcats, who are landing 55 percent of tickets and 53 percent of cash through Monday night.

The total went from 46.5 to 47.5 and back to 46.5, though the ticket count is beyond 6/1 and money 5/1 on the Over.

(1) Alabama vs (7) Florida Odds
Opening line
Alabama -13.5, Over/Under 71.5

Why the line moved
A lot of the air went out of the balloon for the SEC championship game when Florida, a 23-point home chalk against LSU last weekend, lost outright 37-34. But the Gators can certainly give the College Football Playoff committee a headache with an upset of Alabama in Saturday's contest in Atlanta.

The Crimson Tide initially ticked up to -14 at FanDuel, dipped to -12.5, then rocketed up to -17.5, where the line is Monday night. However, FanDuel doesn't yet have betting splits available. The hefty total opened at 71.5, got to 74.5 and is 73.5 late Monday night.

Boise State vs (24) San Jose State Odds
Opening line
San Jose State +7.5, Over/Under 54.5

Why the line moved
San Jose State is the home team for the Mountain West Conference championship game, but the game will be at a neutral site, because local COVID regulations won't allow the game to be played in San Jose, Calif. Rather, the game will be at Sam Boyd Stadium in Las Vegas.

Boise State is down a point to -6.5 at FanDuel, where through Monday night, San Jose State is drawing 51 percent of bets and 57 percent of dollar on the spread. The total is stable at 54.5 on what must be light early action, as practically all the tickets and dollars are on the Over.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-18-2020, 10:03 PM

NCAAF

Week 16

this weekend’s best games
Saturday’s games
Washington State (1-2) @ Utah (2-2)
— Wazzu allowed 36.3 ppg in its three games.
— WSU won at Oregon St, lost to Oregon/USC.
— Wazzu lost 43-29 to Oregon, despite being +3 in turnovers.
— Coogs have 6 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— WSU has 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coogs have a freshman QB with three starts
— Wazzu is 11-7 ATS in last 17 games as a road underdog.

— Utah won its last two games, scoring 30-38 points.
— Utes ran ball for 212 yards/game, in last three games.
— Utah has 4 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Utes have 60 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Utah’s new quarterback started 33 games at South Carolina.
— Utah is 13-6 ATS in last 19 games as home favorites, but 0-2 TY.

— Wazzu won four of last five series games.
— Coogs won three of last four visits to Salt Lake City.

Stanford (3-2) @ UCLA (3-3)
— Stanford’s last four games were decided by total of 12 points.
— Cardinal won last three games, after an 0-2 start.
— Cardinal has 9 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Stanford has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cardinal has a junior QB with 11 career starts.
— Stanford is 2-7 ATS in last nine games as a road underdog.

— UCLA lost 43-38 to rival USC last week, blowing a 28-10 lead.
— Bruins allowed 18 or fewer points in its wins, 48-38-43 in losses.
— UCLA allowed 886 yards in its last two games.
— Bruins are 0-3 in games decided by less than 7 points.
— UCLA has 7 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Bruins have 61 returning starts on the offensive line.
— UCLA’s junior QB is making his 25th career start.
— Under Kelly, Bruins are 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.

— UCLA beat Stanford 34-16 LY, snapping an 11-game series skid.

Arizona State (1-2) @ Oregon State (2-4)
— Arizona State beat Arizona 70-7 LW, after losing its two games.
— ASU gained 928 yards in its last two games.
— Sun Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— ASU has 31 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sun Devils have a soph QB with 15 career starts.
— Under Edwards, ASU is 4-9 ATS as a favorite, 1-4 on road.

— Beavers’ last three losses are all by 6 or fewer points.
— Oregon State won its last two home games by total of 7 points.
— Beavers gave up 400+ total yards in all six games.
— OSU has 5 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Ducks have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Oregon State has a junior QB with seven starts.
— Beavers are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games as home dogs, but are 2-0 TY.

— Teams split last eight series games overall.
— Sun Devils lost six of last seven visits to Corvallis, losing 35-34 LY.

Northwestern (6-1) vs Ohio State (5-0) (@ Indianapolis)
— Northwestern gave up 20 or fewer points in all of its wins.
— Wildcats gained fewer than 300 yards in four of last six games.
— Wildcats have 10 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Northwestern has 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Northwestern has a senior QB with 29 career starts.
— Wildcats were +8 in turnovers in first five games, are minus-4 in last two.
— Six of seven Northwestern games stayed under total.

— Ohio State scored 38+ points in all five of their games.
— Buckeyes ran ball for 307-322 yards in last two games.
— Buckeyes have 6 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— OSU has 57 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ohio State’s junior QB has started 18 games.
— Buckeyes won Big 14 title game the last three years.

— Ohio State won last eight series games (7-1 ATS)
— Buckeyes hammered Northwestern 52-3 last year.

Oklahoma (7-2) vs Iowa State (8-2) (@ Arlington, TX)
— Oklahoma won its last six games, scoring 53.0 ppg.
— Sooners scored 35-30 points in their two losses.
— Oklahoma hasn’t lost since the Iowa State game.
— Sooners have 8 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— Oklahoma has 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Sooners have a freshman QB with 9 career starts.
— Oklahoma won the Big X title game the last three years.

— Cyclones are trying for first league title since 1912. Nineteen. twelve.
— Iowa State won eight of last nine games, scoring 40 ppg in last five.
— Cyclones won two games in Texas this year (TCU 37-34), Texas (23-20)
— Cyclones have 5 starters back on offense, 8 starters back on defense.
— ISU has 33 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cyclones have a junior QB this year, with 31 starts.
— ISU is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten games as an underdog.

— Iowa State beat Oklahoma 37-30 in Ames October 3; yardage was 417-414 ISU.
— Oklahoma won 15 of last 17 series games; teams split last four meetings.

Louisiana (9-1) @ Coastal Carolina (10-0)
— Louisiana won its last six games, scoring 38.2 ppg.
— ULL’s only loss was 30-27 at home to Coastal October 14.
— Cajuns won all six road games, also scoring 38.2 ppg.
— Cajuns have 7 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— Louisiana has 106 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cajuns have a senior QB with 28 career starts.
— Louisiana is 8-2 ATS as a road underdog.

— Coastal won its last two games by total of nine points.
— Chanticleers ran ball for 236+ yards in four of last six games.
— Coastal has 8 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Chanticleers have 109 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Coastal’s freshman QB has 23 TD passes, two INTs.
— Chanticleers are 7-0 ATS in games with a single digit spread.

— Chanticleers won 30-27 at ULL October 14 (yardage 414-413 CC).
— Road team won all three series games.
— Ragin’ Cajuns won 30-28 in last visit here, in 2018.

Clemson (9-1) vs Notre Dame (10-0) (@ Charlotte)
— Clemson won its last two games, scoring 52-45 points.
— Clemson scored 48.8 ppg in its four road games.
— Tigers threw ball for 439/436 yards in last two games.
— Clemson has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 17 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Clemson’s junior QB has made 34 starts.
— Tigers won ACC title game last five years, scoring 45.8 ppg.

— Notre Dame won its first ten games (5-5 ATS)
— ND ran for 209+ yards in seven of last nine games.
— Notre Dame has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Notre Dame has 114 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Notre Dame’s senior QB has made 33 career starts.
— Notre Dame is 8-3 ATS in last 11 games as an underdog.

— Notre Dame upset Clemson 47-40 November 7; Lawrence didn’t play.
— Clemson won two of last three series games (won 30-3/24-22).

Tulsa (6-1) @ Cincinnati (7-0)
— Tulsa won its last six games, after a 16-7 loss at Oklahoma State.
— Golden Hurricane scored 31.2 ppg in its six wins.
— Golden Hurricane has 9 starters back on offense, 4 starters back on defense.
— Tulsa has 65 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Tulsa’s senior QB has 29 career starts.
— Tulsa covered nine of its last ten road games.
— Three of their last four wins were by 6 or fewer points.

— Cincinnati is 7-0 vs I-A teams, with six of seven wins by 14+ points.
— Bearcats threw ball for 692 yards in their last two games.
— Bearcats have 6 starters back on offense, 9 starters back on defense.
— Cincinnati has 52 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Cincy’s junior QB has 33 career starts.
— Cincinnati is 11-5 ATS in last 16 games as home favorites.

— Cincinnati won three of four series games, winning 24-13 LY.
— Home side won all four series games.

Alabama (10-0) vs Florida (8-2) (@ Atlanta)
— Closest game Alabama played this year was a 41-24 win over Georgia.
— Alabama gave up 7.2 ppg in last five games.
— Crimson Tide has 7 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Alabama has 63 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bama’s junior QB has made 13 starts.
— Alabama didn’t play in SEC title game LY; they won three of last four appearances in this game.

— Florida lost 37-34 to LSU last week, snapping a 6-game win streak.
— Gators’ losses were both by a FG, giving up 41-37 points.
— Florida threw ball for 312+ yards in their last eight games.
— Gators have 6 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Florida has 89 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Gators have a senior QB who has started 20 games.
— Under Mullen, Florida is 3-1 ATS as an SEC underdog.

— Alabama won last series game, 54-13 in SEC title tilt four years ago.

San Jose State (6-0) vs Boise State (5-1) (@ Las Vegas)
— San Jose is 6-0 for the first time since 1955.
— Spartans are 2-0 away from home, winning 28-17/35-24.
— Spartans have 6 starters back on offense, 7 starters back on defense.
— San Jose has 72 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Spartans have a senior QB with 16 career starts- he used to play at Arkansas.
— San Jose is 15-6 ATS in last 21 games as an underdog, 3-0 TY.

— Boise State scored 40+ points in four of its five wins.
— Broncos are minus-5 in turnovers in their last four games.
— Boise has 5 starters back on offense, 6 starters back on defense.
— Broncos have 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Boise has a soph QB with 12 career starts.
— Boise State is 2-1 in this game last three years, scoring 21.3 ppg.
— Five of seven Boise games stayed under the total.

— Boise State won last 13 series games; San Jose covered last two.

Ole Miss (4-4)
— Ole Miss won its last three games, scoring 48 ppg.
— Rebels allowed 31+ points in six of their eight games.
— Ole Miss has 8 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Rebels have 48 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Ole Miss’s sophomore QB is making his 13th career start.
— Rebels are 1-5 ATS in last six games as a road favorite.

LSU (4-5)
— LSU sis having a bad year, but they did upset Florida last week.
— Tigers gave up 44+ points in four of their five losses.
— LSU has 3 starters back on offense, 5 starters back on defense.
— Tigers have 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
— LSU has a freshman QB with two career starts (Brad Johnson’s son).
— Tigers covered last five games as a home underdog.
— LSU’s defense gave up 650-609 yards the last two games.

— LSU won last four series games, scoring 45.3 ppg.
— Rebels lost their last five visits to Baton Rouge (2-3 ATS)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 06:05 AM

Al Cimaglia: Woodbine Mohawk Park Jackpot Hi-5 Analysis

December 19, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, as is customary at this time of the year, there is a mandatory payout in the Jackpot Hi-5 at Woodbine Mohawk Park. The carryover stands at $335,940.32 and the actions starts in Race 11. The pool could grow into seven figures and it appears to be a competitive race.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11 Jackpot Hi-5 Mandatory Payout-Carryover $335,940

1-Dreamy Fella (15-1)-Steps-up and although a picture is doubtful could hang around to get a piece of the Hi-5 at a decent price.

2-Mach Code (10-1)-Scott Young is the usual pilot and he is back between the pipes. Appeared to be on the muscle in last but when pulled near the half couldn't clear the eventual winner. My guess is Young leaves and could get the top, best to not overlook chances of being in the hunt at the wire.

3-Rootin Tootin (9/2)-Missed almost a month from 10/31-11/27, this will be 3rd time McClure takes the lines and the 4th start in sequence. Broke poorly in last, was caught on the rail and couldn't close quick enough to hit the board. Looking for an aggressive steer and could use a well-timed move to be first to cross the line. Taking a swing for a square price in race without a true standout.

4-Heavenly Sound (6-1)-Record this year is 1-21 and this is only the 2nd start since 10/25. Has the speed to hit the ticket if dialed on high but would like to see that type of effort first. Only 2-47 the past 2 years and doesn't interest me much at the morning line price.

5-Rockin In Heaven (3-1)-Disappointed in the NW3KL5 as in even money chalk and couldn't seal the deal. The trip was taxing but the fractions were not lively and at 3-1 this tepid program chalk doesn't excite me. Will look to others at the top of the ticket. Eight-year-old has banked over $951,000 and the back-class players will be using and maybe keying.

6-Tigers Way (8-1)-Tiger is 0-20 this year and 3-45 since 2019. But should fit with this crew and can close to hit the ticket with an alert start. JMac has steered before and should be able to push the button down the lane.

7-Sams A Champ A )7/2)-Shows a win at this level back on 10/31 and has been 0-5 since, while taking on better. Roy is in the bike tonight and he might wake-up this 8-year-old. This is a spot to shine but needs a favorable trip.

8-Dreamfair Moxy (4-1)-Drops and has been noticeable at this level in the past but is camera shy and is only 2-25 this year. Cullen may be forced to leave and that might work for hitting the Hi-5. But at the 4-1 morning line this 4-year-old won't be used at the very top of my ticket.

9-Osborne Seelster (15-1)-Loses McNair to #11 and at this level has trouble cashing checks, so will toss.

10-Casimir Richie P (15-1)-Makes 3rd start off the bench and is stuck with post 10 for two consecutive races. Would need a few breaks to win but Henry can find a way to get into the top 5 and should be a nice price. Has hit the board in 28 of 51 Wbsb starts with 11 wins.

11-American Virgin (8-1)-McNair sticks with this Moreau 8-year-old and like #10 would need some pixie dust to win. But could be part of the Pick 5 payout and at a solid price.

0.20 Super Hi-5

3/6,7/2,5,6,7,8,10,11/1,2,5,6,7,8,10,11/1,2,5,6,7,8,10,11
Total Bet=$72

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 06:07 AM

Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/19/20

December 19, 2020
Jeff Siegel’s Gulfstream Park Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Saturday, December 19, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes. For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.

RACE 1: Post: 12:05 ET Grade: C+
Use: 3-Rey de Ligas; 5-Call Bros; 9-Big Perm

Forecast: The opener is a grass grab bag for maiden $20,000 older horses competing over seven and one-half furlongs. Anything can happen. Rey de Ligas has the classic two-sprints-and-a-stretch out pattern and earned a good figure when fourth after a slow start in a recent five furlong dash. Wheeled back off short rest (10 days), the Chilean-bred gelding has room for further improvement, switches to the barn’s “go-to” rider E. Zayas and rates a very slight edge on top at 9/2 on the morning line. Call Bros, runner-up in a slightly lesser race at this trip at GPW last month, is unplaced in four starts over the local lawn but should draft into a comfortable pace-stalking position and have every chance in a weak affair. Big Perm earned a career-top number – one that equals par for this level – when third in a race two weeks ago. If he can build on that effort today he’ll be right there. These are the three we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but if you find the need to include more, go right ahead.
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RACE 2: Post: 12:34 ET Grade: C
Use: 3-Ms Big Spring; 4-Say Adios

Forecast: This restricted (nw-3) $6,250 sprint for fillies and mares came up woefully light. We’ll use two but not with any degree of conviction. Ms Big Spring, the 8/5 morning line favorite, drops sharply in class and may have found her friends. Back to dirt and at her preferred track, the D. Fawkes-trained filly is a two-time winner at Gulfstream Park and projects to enjoy a comfortable pace-prompting trip. That said, she’s hardly one to trust at a short price. Say Adios drops a notch on the class ladder, and though beaten as the favorite in her last pair must be considered a contender by default. She projects as the controlling speed and given that type of trip could take this field a long way.
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RACE 3: Post: 1:03 ET Grade: C+
Use: 2-Cobb; 4-Exxtop

Forecast: Modest maiden-claiming juveniles sprint six furlongs in the third race, a shallow affair that has two main players. Exxtop, runner-up against similar competition in his last pair, has speed figures that are par for this $16,000 level and looks ready to graduate, though his failure as a short priced favorite in both of those races is a reason for concern. Perhaps the switch to L. Saez will make the winning difference, Cobb is a seven-race maiden but drops to his lowest level ever and makes a favorable barn switch to J. Delgado. He’s a fit on numbers, switches to I. Ortiz, and is the likely choice and one to beat.
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RACE 4: Post: 1:32 ET Grade: C
Use: 6-Happy Champ; 7-Houdini’s Awesome; 8-Mista Donzella

Forecast: Here’s another maiden-claiming mess, this one over a mile on grass for 2-year-olds in for $25,000. Best advice is to spread as deeply as you can afford to. Houdini’s Awesome may be as good as any. The T. Pletcher-trained colt received no wagering action and was well-beaten in his debut vs. infinitely-tougher straight maiden foes at Belmont Park in October, but he did make some minor headway late to indicate he may have at least a smidgen of ability. Happy Champ is another making the maiden-to-maiden claiming class drop while stretching out again and switching to grass in his first start for a tag, so the son of Runhappy certainly has a right to improve, especially if he can secure a front-running trip. Mista Donzella, a second-time starter and likely to improve with this class drop from the maiden $40,000 level, is fairly competitive on speed figures and is worth tossing in somewhere at 12-1 on the morning line.
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RACE 5: Post: 2:01 ET Grade: B-
Use: 3-Texas Reward; 4-She’s Classy; 8-Include the Beast

Forecast: After a promising runner-up effort in the mud in her debut, Texas Reward crushed a maiden $15,000 field by 14 lengths over a sloppy track at Delaware Park in late September and returns in a realistic spot to face $25,000 claimers over six furlongs. It’ll be interesting to see how she performs on dry land for the first time, but if the daughter of Texas Red can repeat her last race under these conditions she should be capable of scoring again. Include the Beast was a debut winner at GPW in October while earning a speed figure that makes her dangerous despite the class hike. Drawn comfortably outside, the D. Fawkes-trained filly should draft into a cozy stalking spot and then have every chance from the quarter pole home. She’s Classy is the quickest in the field, though her stamina is suspect. She’ll take them as far as she can.
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RACE 6: Post: 2:40 ET Grade: C+
Use: 5-Dillon Rocks; 10-Conforto

Forecast: Conforto drops sharply in class but remains above his claim level, so the M. Maker-trained gelding should be capable of regaining his winning form in his first start since shipping back to South Florida from New York. A perfect one-for-one over the local lawn and with I. Ortiz, Jr. picking up the mount, he’s the logical top pick, but because he must leave from the 10-hole at this seven and one-half furlong distance there probably won’t be a lot of wagering value to be found unless he drifts a bit from his 2-1 morning line. Dillon Rocks is the barn’s “other” entrant and must be given a decent look as well. Both of his career victories (from 21 starts) were earned over the Gulfstream Park grass course and if gets the patient ride he apparently prefers the son of Paynter could spring a mild surprise at 5-1 on the morning line. These are the two we’ll be using in our rolling exotics but, typical of this type of race, you may choose to toss in a few more.
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RACE 7: Post: 3:08 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Doll Collection; 7-Gerri B

Forecast: Doll Collection has good form over the local main track (a win and two seconds in three career starts), removes blinkers, and shows a bullet five furlong drill (:59 3/5, fastest of 16) earlier this month to indicate she’s spot on in her first outing since mid-September. The R. Nicks-trained daughter of Tapit probably will settle into a second flight, stalking position and then be asked for her best from the quarter pole home. Churchill Downs invader Gerri B turns back from a mile, has speed figures that fit, and may have a bit of improvement in her, having had just five prior outings. She, too, has been impressive in the a.m. of late, as indicated by a bullet half mile drill (:48 flat, fastest of 21) at Palm Meadows 10 days ago. We’ll give Doll Collection a very slight edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 8: Post: 3:38 ET Grade: B
Use: 1-Greyes Creek; 7-Grand Journey; 12-Succeedandsurpass

Forecast: This second-level allowance middle distance turf event for older horses appears to be a stronger-than-par race for the level. There are at least three legitimate contenders, and maybe even a couple more, so we’ll spread the race in rolling exotic play and then press a bit keying top selection Greyes Creek on top. The 4-year-old son of Pioneerof the Nile originally brought $850,000 in the 2018 OBS March Sale and makes his first start since July; if he returns as well as he left he should have every chance to extend his winning streak to three. A smart maiden winner two runs back at Churchill Downs and then a winner of a first-level allowance affair with an impressive turn of foot against slow fractions, the C. Brown-trained four-year-old retains “win rider” T. Gaffalione, lands the good rail, and shows a couple of nice, easy breezes at Palm Meadows since shipping in from Kentucky. Grand Journey is a tough-as-nails gelding from the M. Maker barn with an impressive local record (six wins from 11 starts) and, like our top pick, is rested and ready after a three month vacation. The veteran son of Giant’s Causeway will be running on strongly late. Successandsurpass won a nice allowance race at Woodbine last month and lands I. Ortiz, Jr. He’s drawn a bit farther out than we’d prefer but if the G. Motion-trained colt can work out a decent trip the Grade-2 placed colt certainly can act in this league.
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RACE 9: Post: 4:12 ET Grade: B
Use: 2-Traipsing; 3-Court Return; 8-Always Shopping

Forecast: Traipsing catches a field with very little pace in it and most likely will be handed the role as the controlling speed if she wants it. Tagged late when second in the mini-marathon Long Island S.-G3 at Aqueduct last month, she shortens to a mile and three-sixteenths today and should be tough on the front end, though she’s won from off the pace as well. Always Shopping went down by a short head in the 12-furlong Dowager S.-G3 at Keeneland two months ago and has proven to be equally effective at a middle distance. She also has winning form over the local lawn, switches to I. Ortiz, J., and is the likely choice and one to beat. Court Return missed by a neck at 41-1 in the E. P. Taylor S.-G1 at Woodbine in October and if she can duplicate that type of performance here she’ll be tough, for sure. However, she’s a one-paced closer and will need some help up front to be effective.
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RACE 10: Post: 4:40 ET Grade: B
Use: 4-Haikal; 7-Diamond Oops; 9-Firenze Fire

Forecast: Diamonds Oops loves the Gulfstream Park main track (five wins in eight starts) and returns to his proper level after finishing a respectable sixth in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint-G1. The defending Mr. Prospector S.-G3 champion, the P. Biancone-trained gelding has the proper style for this seven furlong trip, shows a pair of recent bullet workouts, and is reunited with J. Leparoux, who was aboard in last year’s victory. Firenze Fire always is tough when he brings his best stuff and is a major player after finishing an excellent third in the B.C. Sprint-G1 last month. This will be his first ever start at Gulfstream Park, but the winner of 12 career starts has proven to be tough anywhere he goes. Haikal is intriguing in his first start since February and his first since joining the T. Pletcher barn. A prototype late-running sprinter, the lightly-raced 4-year-old has been impressive in recent works at Palm Beach Downs and this Grade-3 winner rates a legitimate look at 6-1 on the morning line.
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Race 11: Post Time: 5:11 ET Grade: B-
Use: 1-Girl Dad; 5-Ultimate Gift, 11-Munqad

Forecast: This maiden two-turner on grass for 2-year-olds came up surprisingly light in terms of quality, so let’s look at what we think is the most dangerous newcomer and also include the two best experienced runners. Ultimate Gift debuts for T. Pletcher (a strong 21% with this angle), and while his workout clockings at Palm Beach Down don’t jump off the page this son of Pioneerof the Nile has been given a solid foundation and should be fit enough to be a contender in an open fray. Pletcher’s other starter, Munqad, is hung way outside in the 11-hole but could improve - as many of the offspring of War Front do - in his first start on grass. He was fourth while on the pace in a two-turn maiden affair at Keeneland last time out in October and may be patiently handled today. New York shipper Girl Day is modest on figures but should get plenty of play after flashing enough improvement to wind up second at the Big A on grass last month. The G. Weaver-trained gelding lands the rail and seems likely to try gate-to-wire tactics.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 06:09 AM

Saturday, December 19: Eddie Olczyk's Spot Plays

December 18, 2020
Let’s hope this week is better than the last set of spot plays, which were awful by me. But that’s horse racing. Keep swinging! I’ve got another trio of price shots for Saturday spread across the afternoon hours on the east coast.

AQUEDUCT // RACE 3 (12:50PM ET) // STARTER ALLOWANCE // 6 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#5 MISS CHARISMA (10/1 ML)

Well-traveled filly showed speed-and-fade in her last start at Laurel. Should look to make one run into a speedy race after showing a late kick in her 3 prior starts.

GULFSTREAM PARK // RACE 6 (2:40PM ET) // CLAIMING // 7 1/2 FURLONGS (TURF)
#3 AYCAPOTE (10/1ML)

While he’s 0-for-1 on turf, he had a bad post in that try. Mother Dance Away Capote was a Grade 3 winner on grass. He has tactical speed, comes in off a win against softer, and is the play in a wide-open race.

GULFSTREAM PARK // RACE 10 (4:43PM ET) //G3 MR. PROSPECTOR STAKES // 7 FURLONGS (DIRT)
#1 LASTING LEGACY (15/1 ML)

Price will be right on a 6-year-old who has had excuses in his last 2 starts at Keeneland. Draw lines through a bad post in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint, and the race prior when he did not have a great start and got an awful ride from Gabe Saez.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 06:11 AM

Race of the Week: Mr. Prospector at Gulfstream Park

December 17, 2020 | By Jeremy Plonk
GRADE 3 $100,000 MR. PROSPECTOR STAKES AT GULFSTREAM PARK
Saturday, December 19, 2020

The Lead:
A dozen sprinters answer last call in their division Saturday at Gulfstream Park with the Grade 3 $100,000 Mr. Prospector Stakes. The 7-furlong affair features a 1-2 re-match from last year's renewal, and will serve as 2020's final graded stakes race run at Gulfstream Park. The Mr. Prospector is named for the 1970s sprinter who would go on to become one of the most influential stallions of his time.

Field Depth:
FIRENZE FIRE and MIND CONTROL both have been Grade 1 winners in previous seasons. DIAMOND OOPS and SLEEPY EYES TODD are Grade 2 winners, while Grade 3 victories have been achieved by COOL ARROW, HAIKAL and MAJESTIC DUNHILL. This is a strong group for the Grade 3 designation and horses like FIRENZE FIRE, MIND CONTROL and DIAMOND OOPS have kept stellar company lines. SLEEPY EYES TODD is right there in the discussion on class.

Pace:
It's difficult to envision a 12-runner graded stakes sprint at 7 furlongs without a strong pace, but who will be sent after this one early is not easily detected on paper. COOL ARROW has some early foot and drawn in post 2 may have to get involved. WIND OF CHANGE has 2-turn speed next door in post 3, similar to SLEEPY EYES TODD. ZENDEN would have been the logical pace player, but taking blinkers off (as he is) sometimes can dampen the early vigor. I don't see a deep, deep closer having success here; you'll want to be mid-pack or better.

Our Eyes:
It's hard to believe that neither FIRENZE FIRE or MIND CONTROL has ever started at Gulfstream. They've been mainstays on the east coast sprint scene with 47 efforts between them. They've combined for 19 wins and $3.2 million, though recent form leans to FIRENZE FIRE in a big way. His Vosburgh win and Breeders' Cup Sprint third in his last 2 has FIRENZE FIRE the horse to beat in the Mr. Prospector.

DIAMOND OOPS also exits the Breeders' Cup Sprint, where he finished a length behind FIRENZE FIRE in sixth. It was a disappointing effort after he had won Keeneland's local prep in the Phoenix in promising fashion. DIAMOND OOPs is arguably in better form now than when he rallied from 4 lengths back to win this race last year at 7-2 odds. The same can't be said for last year's runner-up LASTING LEGACY, whose last 2 at Keeneland -- including a ninth-place run in the BC Sprint -- have not inspired. He's likely best as a closing sprinter over this 7-furlong trip, but the race shape and rail draw are tough for his style. Of the re-matched runners, my edge is with DIAMOND OOPS.

HAIKAL has been away since February's Gulfstream Mile and since changed barns to Todd Pletcher after the retirement of Kiaran McLaughlin. The workouts are positive for the 2019 Gotham winner, though his running style prior to this was to drop far back and make one run. That doesn't appear the best path in this one, but he may show more speed while fresh and after a new morning routine.

SLEEPY EYES TODD made his money routing on bullring tracks at Fonner and Charles Town this season, but he showed sprint mettle when taking the Lafayette on the Breeders' Cup undercard at Keeneland. They went super-fast that day to help his cause; don't expect him that far back against this group. He should contend if he handles the surface.

Most Certain Exotics Contender: Defending champ DIAMOND OOPS is classy and 8: 5-1-0 at Gulfstream on dirt.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender: COOL ARROW is 4-for-7 at Gulfstream, and while a tad short on class against some of these, should make them sweat at some point in upper stretch while forwardly placed. The 7-furlong trip might be a tad longer than his best, but you can see him hanging on for a share of the superfecta.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll): $100 win DIAMOND OOPS, looking for something around 5-2 odds.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 07:03 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Laurel Park - Race #5

#6 Girls Love Me	Forward player can get the jump on the chalk and the other serious threats in a race without much early speed. He should be in the mix from the start with these.
#1 Nomo Ron	Finisher is in really good form right now and is clearly the one to beat, but he gives away a tactical edge to the top choice and will be a much shorter price.
#4 Baptize the Boy	Seems most likely underneath with these, but his tactical pace gives him a chance to trip out from close range. I'd want better than the 3/1 ML to see if everything works out in his favor.
Race Summary	Girls Love Me should be able to get a big head start on Nomo Ron given a likely soft race shape up front, and that may allow him to turn the tables from their last encounter in October.

Laurel Park - Race #6

#7 Charm City Band	Tactical player brings another bullet work in advance of this, and he'll get the right kind of spying trip from a few lengths off the pace. Not sure his ceiling is quite high enough yet, but the price will be right to find out.
#8 Redeem Eddie	Looks like the one to beat off the good run when adding blinkers again last out, and he should be in line for a perfect pressing trip.
#10 Odds On	That last one was a really nice effort on the hike for the new barn, and this is another step up today. A repeat of his last makes him tough, but demand a fair price.
Race Summary	Charm City Band has to turn the tables on Redeem Eddie from their last meeting, but the price should be fair enough, and the likely chalk has never backed up a big race.

Laurel Park - Race #8

#4 Frank'sgunisloaded	He fired a bullet work since that 'comeback' effort where he walked out of the gate and took a mild left turn, never participating in the running. Assuming he can get out of the gate today, his back form makes him a big threat here.
#5 Karan's Notion	Tough to argue with much of anything he's been doing lately, and he's likely to flash that sharp speed again and dare the rest of these to come and get him.
#7 Xy Speed	Moves into the Asmussen barn out of the disgraced Navarro operation, and it seems like at least a mildly positive sign that they step him up in class and protect him when he was in for just $16,000 three starts ago.
Race Summary	Frank'sgunisloaded didn't feel like running last out, but the hope is that he'll bring a bit more enthusiasm today with a bullet work since that trip to post. Karan's Notion is the one to beat, and I'd want Xy Speed on my tickets, too.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 07:05 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Meadowlands - Race #4

#8 ACTING OUT	Won in same spot two back, could duplicate trip.
#4 SHATTERED GLASS	Rallied fastest and widest to finish second to top one.
#1 KEYSTONE HONOR	Good form at half-mile ovals, has speed and the rail.
Race Summary	Acting Out chased the loose leader, pulled from the pocket and prevailed under similar conditions two back. He draws post 8 but could salvage forward position early in this field. Play 8-1 and 8-4 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3

#2 AINTNOBETTOR A	Taken to upset off race two back with better starting spot.
#1 EAST END	Ran 1-2-3 ascending class ranks to join $500,000 Club.
#7 NOCTURNAL BLUEHIP	Consistent, projects ideal trip, offers value.
Race Summary	Aintnobettor A can be excused for second-tier assignment last week. He closed with a mid-track flourish the week prior to win and gets ample pace flow to spring another upset.

Northfield Park - Race #3

#3 MCMAEDLE	Slowed by traffic on turn, game finish on rail, price shot on class drop.
#7 DANCETOIMPRESS	Seeks third win in a row to close 3yo season, switches pilots.
#9 PARTY BELLE	Rallied for two wins, a second a third in last six starts, claimed by Rhoades.
Race Summary	McMaedle is 1-34 this year, but she gets class relief off a willing try in the slop. She was blocked in an attempt to get off the rail mid-turn stayed on well. Play a 3-ALL exacta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 07:06 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #8

#3 Scraps	Ran a bang-up third in the Million Preview at GP West last out and does his best running over this course; won three of four in one stretch here last year and has a solid closing move.
#4 Kingmeister	Has speed and was third in his only turf try; couldn't keep up with sizzling fractions that day but normally shows speed. A speed threat with Saez aboard.
#7 Grand Journey	Never got involved whatsoever at Kentucky Downs last time, but that sometimes happens to the best of them over that course; has good form other than that one and makes his third for Maker.
Race Summary	Scraps will be far off a good pace here and will probably be rolling late under Lopez, who picks up the mount.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9

#3 Court Return	Had an explosive run last and just missed by a neck in the G1 EP Taylor at Woodbine last out; her career really turned around win a maiden-claiming win in her ninth career start. She followed with a stakes win and was third in the G2 Canadian prior to the Taylor performance. She absolutely is a router and will love the distance.
#8 Always Shopping	Has improved with distance and lost a photo in the G3 Dowager at Keeneland last out; likely to keep close to the lead and can dig in when asked.
#9 Great Island	Won two straight at Churchill and Keeneland and this distance should not present serious problems.
Race Summary	Court Return is as improved as any turf horse you'll find, and the 1 3-16th miles of this one plays right into her wheelhouse.

Gulfstream Park - Race #10

#8 Sleepy Eyes Todd	Made a remarkable run through the field and finished strongly inside for the win in the Lafayette Stakes at Keeneland. Won the G2 Charles Town Classic with the longest winning margin in race history (7 1-4 lengths), cruised in the Bosselman Gus Fonner and was a bang-up second in the Lone Star Mile. The move to today's distance of seven furlongs occurred last time out signaled that this gives him a great chance to run well anywhere.
#9 Firenze Fire	Ran a strong closing third in the G1 Breeders' Cup Sprint and has rarely, if ever, been in better form.
#7 Diamond Oops	Didn't have the best trip when he was sixth in the Breeders' Cup Sprint and prior to that won the G2 Phoenix at Keeneland and G2 Turf Sprint at Churchill. Can get back to good form.
Race Summary	Sleepy Eyes Todd tired in the G1 Awesome Again against Improbable and Maximum Security and came out of that for a huge effort at Keeneland. He's come along nicely for trainer Miguel Silva and likely will have a good finish to an outstanding year for him.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-19-2020, 08:57 AM

Sean Murphy - NCAAF - Sat, Dec 19 at 12:00 PM
Sean Murphy's Saturday CFB Winner

Texas A&M vs Tennessee

Texas A&M -14 (-103) (BetAnySports)

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Texas A&M minus the points over Tennessee at 12 noon et on Saturday.

I'll lay the points with Texas A&M on Saturday afternoon as it remains one of the most underrated teams in the country - at least from a betting perspective (it is certainly being given plenty of respect in the national polls). The Aggies have won five straight games by double-digits and although it is Senior Day, they're catching the Vols in a letdown spot here after Tennessee won for the first time in eight games last week against still-winless Vanderbilt. Aggies QB Kellen Mond has thrown nine touchdowns without tossing a single interception over the last four games. He also ran for a season-high 60 yards and a score last time out against Auburn. The Vols just haven't been able to find any consistency since winning their first two games this season. I think it's only a matter of time before the Aggies pull away for good in this contest. Take Texas A&M (8*).