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Saturday 12/19/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
I sat there and watched in amazement, the fine performance by UCLA quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson, but how the defense helped me cash my 2000♦ play on USC in Saturday's come-from-behind win and cover.
This week the Bruins are laying a big number to the Stanford Cardinal, and I'm not so sure they can cover - let alone win.
The Cardinal has won three straight on the road, and it has its own quarterback threat in Davis Mills, who has completed 65.3 percent of his passes for 1,076 yards, four touchdowns and no interceptions.
Mills should be able to attack UCLA's seive-like secondary with a number of targets, including Simi Fehoko and Michael Wilson, who have combined for 615 receiving yards and one touchdown.
The balance with the rushing game is essential, and what could very well ruin UCLA's defensive effort, as Stanford is averaging 133.8 yards rushing per contest, led by Austin Jones with 458 yards and seven touchdowns.
I do think this could be a shootout, as Stanford's defense is a bit questionable, allowing 28.6 points and 429.8 yards per game. But the way the Bruins give up big plays and damn near as many points (27.8) as Stanford, they won't be able to cover by more than a touchdown.
This is another epic Pac 12 shootout. I'll take the road dog.
Welcome to a December Saturday night at Lambeau Field!
Going to be cold and some possible snow flurries in the forecast for tonight's Carolina-Green Bay game, but I don't feel the elements are going to keep this game from playing Over the total when it is all said and done.
Carolina is fresh off a 32-27 home loss on Sunday to Denver in a game that landed Over the total. That puts the Panthers at 2 in a row Over and 5 of their last 7 overall Over the posted price. In that stretch, ALL 3 of the Panthers road games have played Over and I like that streak to reach 4 straight Over the total on the road for the Panthers in this spot against the dangerous Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers.
Green Bay scored 31 in their Sunday game at Detroit, but the total was NOT eclipsed thanks to a price tag of 55 1/2 points. Still, Matt LaFleur's team has played a modest 4 of their last 7 games Over the posted price this season.
Both teams defenses are a bit suspect - the Panthers allowing 25.5 points per game, the Packers at 24.8 points per game - so expect there to be points on the scoreboard this Saturday night.
This will be the 6th series meeting between the teams dating back to 2011 and while last year's showdown produced just 40 combined points for an Under, the Over had connected in the previous 4 meetings.
We will see enough points tonight to land Over the total.
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