Sunday 12/20/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #1

    Sunday 12/20/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #2
    Nick Borrman

    Event: Rennes at Lorient
    Sport/League: SOC
    Date/Time: December 20, 2020 11AM EST
    Play: Rennes (-105)
    France Ligue 1
    Rennes started the season very well, unbeaten in their first five games but then the Champions League started. On the European scale, Rennes just does not have the firepower to compete with Europe’s best which in their group included Chelsea and Sevilla. Once the Champions League started, their league form suffered thanks to a very brutal schedule of basically a game every 3-4 days for two months straight.
    The best thing that could have happened to them for their league play anyway, was to be eliminated as they can focus solely on Ligue 1 and a much less congested schedule. They have now won back to back games since the Champions League ended against two good teams in Nice and Marseille.
    Even with their bad run of form during that stretch, Rennes still own the 5th best xG differential in the league at +0.55.
    Lorient, promoted from Ligue 2 last season, have not had the start to the season they were hoping for. They are currently in the relegation zone with a 3-2-10 record and -11 goal differential. Even worse, in their last eight games, they have scored just three goals, all of those coming in one game, their only win which was 3-0 over Nimes. Otherwise they have been held scoreless in seven of their last eight games!
    TAKE RENNES TO WIN (ML or -0.5)
    Line Parameter: 3% to -130
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #3
      Bobby Ligs

      Event: (353) New England Patriots at (354) Miami Dolphins
      Sport/League: NFL
      Date/Time: December 20, 2020 1PM EST
      Play: Miami Dolphins -2.5 (-110)
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #4
        Las Vegas Cris

        Event: (367) San Francisco 49ers at (368) Dallas Cowboys
        Sport/League: NFL
        Date/Time: December 20, 2020 1PM EST
        Play: Dallas Cowboys +130
        Dallas +130 Dallas has shown some spunk and shown up for games. SF doomed this season with injury issues, Dallas is the healthier team, even with a few stars out. This line would be worth considering at +3, as it is trending that direction.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #5
          Ralph Michaels

          Event: (359) Jacksonville Jaguars at (360) Baltimore Ravens
          Sport/League: NFL
          Date/Time: December 20, 2020 1PM EST
          Play: Jacksonville Jaguars +13.0 (-110)
          Free play JAX +13
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #6
            Dwayne Bryant

            Event: (363) Philadelphia Eagles at (364) Arizona Cardinals
            Sport/League: NFL
            Date/Time: December 20, 2020 4PM EST
            Play: Total Over 49.5 (-110)
            BET SIZE --> 3% at 51 or better
            NO PLAY above 51
            Teams with dual-threat QBs tend to be difficult to defend. Arizona fits the bill. Cardinals QB Kyler Murray keeps the chains moving with his arm and his feet. As a result, Arizona averages 30.2 points per game at home and the average total points for Cardinals home games this season is 59.7.
            The Eagles offense showed signs of life last Sunday with rookie QB Jalen Hurts taking over for the ineffective Carson Wentz. The Eagles put up 24 points and 413 total yards on 6.3 yards per play. Hurts added that running threat to the tune of 106 rushing yards on 18 carries (5.9 yards per carry).
            I expect the losing team to put up at least 24 points, which almost definitely puts this game above the number. Play OVER.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #7
              Kevin Dolan

              Event: (365) Kansas City Chiefs at (366) New Orleans Saints
              Sport/League: NFL
              Date/Time: December 20, 2020 4PM EST
              Play: New Orleans Saints +3.0 (+100)
              PLAY: NEW ORLEANS SAINTS +3
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #8
                Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis


                December 20, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia
                Pompano Park has a big 13-race card set to roll tonight with the headliners being 2-year-olds in Florida Breeders Stakes action. The 0.50 Pick 4 begins in Race 6. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool with a very low 12% takeout and it will be my focus.

                Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                Race 6

                2-Jagger Rocks (9/5)-Hasn't faced the same level of competition as #3 but did look very sharp in recording a win last week. Should be a main player even with the bump up in what appears to be a 2-horse race.
                3-War-N-Munn (2-1)-Has been using Lasix for the last 5 starts but hasn't been able to seal the deal. May switch things up and settle into the pocket behind #2 and rally down the lane to take a picture.

                Race 7

                1-Dash Of Danger (15-1)-Looking for a price and this 7-year-old may finally be acclimated to south Florida. Does have the gate speed to protect the rail and could get sucked around and surprise at long odds.
                2-Mac Anover (15-1)-Same game plan with Mac as #1, has early speed to be forwardly placed and could get a great trip. Will swing against the one dropper #7, the tepid program chalk, who doesn't have big gate speed.
                3-Mc Mach (4-1)-Steps-up after winning 3 of last 4, with only loss coming from post 10. The start of this affair should be fun to watch and may signal who takes a picture. Plano will probably want the top, that has worked in recent wins.
                8-Mach West (7/2)-The post draw could pose a problem and Hennessey will probably leave for a close-up seat. May need to duck and rally late. Using because the pace should be hot, and this could set-up nicely for this 4-year-old if put into striking range.

                Race 8

                1-Brandon Hanover (2-1)-Form has been dull and post draws haven't helped but now finds a soft spot. Hennessey takes the lines and should be a solid threat with a decent trip.
                5-Kotare Yael N (7-1)-Stepped down last week and was rimmed the mile but grinded it out to just miss by a neck. Now is pushed up in class and should offer a better price, so will respect chances versus this group.
                6-ER Room (5-1)-Raced well in first Pompano start but didn't get the best of trips. Now meets a beatable field and Smith could blast out to take control.

                Race 9

                2-Rocksapatriot (9/2)-Fits at this class and from this post Ingraham can work a favorable journey. Looks like a trip out candidate and should be in striking range if #6 throws a dud.
                6-Rockin Mercedes (9/5)-Comes off 2 nice qualifiers but hasn't raced since 9/4. Pet Rock 5-year-old lands in a spot to shine and should take a picture if comes off the bench with a decent effort. Makes its Pomp debut and has 152.4 mark at DD on the 5/8's. Was facing better at HoP and has 9 wins in 18 starts this year.

                0.50 Pick 4

                2,3/1,2,3,8/1,5,6/2,6
                Total Bet=$24
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #9
                  Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 12/20/20


                  December 20, 2020
                  Jeff Siegel’s Gulfstream Park Analysis & Wagering Strategies
                  Sunday, December 20, 2020

                  *

                  Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
                  *
                  The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes.
                  *
                  *
                  Grade Descriptions: Grade A=Highest degree of confidence; Grade B=Solid Play. Grade C=Least preferred or pass; Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play.


                  RACE 1: Post: 12:05 ET Grade: C+
                  Use: 1-Pugin; 3-Todaystheday; 4-Nitro Time

                  Forecast: The Sunday opener is a maiden $25,000 five furlong turf sprint for 2-year-olds that requires as much coverage as you can give it. We’ll go three-deep in our rolling exotics and hope that’s enough. Nitro Time ships in from Churchill Downs and makes the all-important drop from maiden to maiden-claiming after displaying good early speed but then fading in an extended dash last month. Against this group we expect he’ll have a strong pace presence from start to finish, Todaystheday, a good runner-up under these conditions 16 days ago, adds blinkers and certainly has a right to continue his improving pattern. Pugin turns back from a miler and will be running on late. Second in his last pair and a fit on speed figures, the Palace Malice gelding will need some luck from the rail but if room develops in the stretch he could tag the speed.
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                  RACE 2: Post: 12:35 ET Grade: B-
                  Use: 5-Midnight Whiskey; 6-Nimble Beast

                  Forecast: Let’s take a shot with a price play in this restricted (nw-2) $6,250 extended sprint for older horses. Midnight Whiskey shows up cheap in his first start for a tag, adds blinkers, and has back numbers that are good enough to win. His recent form looks bleak but against this group he may regain his confidence, and if he can flash some of his old early speed he should be in the fray throughout. Nimble Beast finally found a soft maiden $10,000 field he could outrun last month and graduated in his 14th career start. The number was better than par for this level, so the K. O’Connell-trained gelding has to be taken seriously right back.
                  *
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                  RACE 3: Post: 1:05 ET Grade: B
                  Use: 3-Rockstar Ro; 4-Lucky Law

                  Forecast: Rockstar Ro probably can’t beat a real good 2-year-old maiden but if there aren’t any world beaters in this five furlong turf sprint he should be tough to handle. The son of Gemologist has run well on grass in the past and most recently finished fourth in a hot dirt sprint at Churchill Downs after leading the way inside the furlong pole. At this shorter trip, he’ll take some catching. First-timer Lucky Law has six consecutive bullet workouts on his resume to indicate plenty of speed and ability for a barn that is quite capable with debut runners. Certainly bred to win early (No Nay Never), the P. Biancone-trained colt would appear to be the most dangerous of the newcomers and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play.
                  *
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                  RACE 4: Post: 1:35 ET Grade: C+
                  Use: 2-Gilded Lady; 6-Good Shabbos; 8-You’re the Best

                  Forecast: Good Shabbos drops into a maiden claimer for the first time and against this soft $20,000 field the daughter of Munnings seems properly spotted to earn her diploma. A strong fit on speed figures and in the frame in seven of eight career starts, the K. Breen-trained filly lacks tactical speed but should have every chance to produce the last run. Of some concern, though, is that she was a beaten favorite in her last pair and may not be one to totally trust. Gilded Lady finished first in a similar affair at Monmouth Park in August but was disqualified for drifting out badly and causing interference in the stretch. The number she earned makes her a major player against this group and a healthy recent work tab indicates she is plenty fit. Hopefully, she runs straight today. You’re the Best drops to her lowest level ever, hit the board in her last pair and has numbers that are competitive. We’ll use all three in our rolling exotics without any great conviction.
                  *
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                  RACE 5: Post: 2:01 ET Grade: B
                  Use: 3-Centsless Drama; 4-Spin Your Partner

                  Forecast: Spin Your Partner improved dramatically when beating straight maidens at GPW in October in her first start since joining the J. Cibelli barn and returns today in a starter’s allowance race that she’s eligible for after competing for a modest tag earlier in her career. The daughter of Hard Spun wants to be held up and allowed to run late, so if she employs the proper tactics with the switch to the barn’s “go-to” rider P. Lopez there’s every reason to believe she can win right back at 4-1 on the morning line. Centsless Drama will be the controlling speed as usual, though she’s always suspect under pressure close home. Second in her last four starts after holding the lead inside the furlong pole, the daughter of Big Drama can’t really be trusted but she’s a fit on speed figures so we’ll toss her in on a ticket or two as a back-up or a saver.
                  *
                  *
                  RACE 6: Post: 2:40 ET Grade: C+
                  Use: 3-Digital Footprint; 8-Shining Through; 12-Bee Catcher

                  Forecast: Here’s an “anything” goes turf miler for restricted (nw-2) $20,000 older horses. Bee Catcher is stuck on the far outside and it’s questionable whether he’ll be able to secure the type of trip needed to win but he’s a strong fit while dropping to his lowest level ever and has a prior win over this course and distance. L. Saez will likely drop over, get cover, and then hope to find room to rally from the quarter pole home. Digital Footprint is somewhat intriguing at 6-1 on the morning line in his first start since February and his first for M. Maker. The son of Giant’s Causeway likely will display good early speed from his favorable inside draw, and his recent work tab indicates he should be fit enough for a barn that has solid stats with layoff runners. Shining Through has one win in 19 starts with nine seconds and thirds, so he’s hardly one to trust, but the Malibu Moon gelding shows a recent runner-up effort over the local lawn and seems likely to clunk up and at least get a minor award. We’ll have him on a ticket or two as a back-up.
                  *
                  *
                  RACE 7: Post: 3:08 ET Grade: B
                  Use: 1-Tayet; 8-Unbridled d’Oro

                  Forecast: Tayet is listed at 10-1 on the morning line but seems certain to go lower than that. The daughter of Cairo Prince flashed good early speed from the rail over seven furlongs in her debut at Churchill Downs last month and led the way until mid-stretch before weakening. She figures to stick much better today with that effort behind her and very likely will be the controlling speed from her rail draw. The best of the newcomers we suspect is the T. Pletcher-trained Unbridled d’Oro, a filly by Medaglia d’Oro from Ballerina S.-G1 winner Unbridled Forever. There’s nothing fancy on the work tab at Palm Beach Downs but the barn has strong stats with first-timers and she’s been given a strong foundation of drills to have her fit and ready. From what we’ve seen on tape she’s a good mover with plenty of ability.
                  *
                  *
                  RACE 8: Post: 3:38 ET Grade: B-
                  Use: 3-Stefanie On Fleek; 7-Little Bit Good; 9-Skye Snow

                  Forecast: Skye Snow won a restricted (nw-2) $40,000 seller with a career top speed figure at Belmont Park in September and was claimed by high percentage trainer B. Cox. Off for nearly three months and returning in this (nw-3) $20,000 affair, the daughter of Lemon Drop Kid takes the most unhealthiest of class drops, even for a barn that hits at 26% with the first-off-the-claim angle. Her recent :47 1/5 breeze around dogs on grass (second fastest of 49) provides hope that she has at least one good one left, so with I. Ortiz, Jr. taking the call we’ll put her on top at 5/2 on the morning line but certainly won’t put all of our eggs in her basket. Little Bit Good and Stefanie On Fleek, two-three finishers in a similar affair here earlier this month, are in solid form and should fire their best shots. The former is winless in five starts over the local lawn but was nosed out when earning a career top speed figure and should be heard from late, while the latter is a one-paced grinding type but projects to enjoy a ground-saving, second flight journey and have every chance when the pressure is turned on.
                  *
                  *
                  RACE 9: Post: 4:12 ET Grade: B-
                  Use: 2-Green Mansions; 4-Dardanellos; 7-Nacho Papa

                  Forecast: Trainer J. Delgado has two solid contenders in this state-bred allowance optional claiming sprint, with Green Mansions, a first-off-the-claim play turning back from a sloppy track GPW router to a one-turn mile, looking fairly solid even though he’s just 1-for-16 in his career over the local main track. The Kantharos gelding likes to settle and make one run and under I. Ortiz, Jr., he’ll get the proper ride. Stable mate Nacho Papa is nicely drawn outside and is fresh from earning a career top speed figure when second in a restricted $8,000 router at GPW in mid-November. He’ll be forwardly placed today, perhaps even on the lead, in a race that projects to have an extremely soft early pace. Worth tossing in at 8-1 on the morning line is Dardanellos, a three time winner at Gulfstream Park but with recent form that looks unattractive. He’s got back numbers that are good enough to win and should draft into a cozy stalking journey and have his chance from there.
                  *
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                  RACE 10: Post: 4:40 ET Grade: B
                  Use: 2-The Virginian; 6-Ray’swarrior

                  Forecast: Tough old pro Ray’swarrior clearly deserves the edge on top in this Florida-bred five furlong grass sprint for allowance optional claimers. The K. Breen-trained gelding was unplaced in the Claiming Crown Express but tackles easier today and returns to a course that he’s won on in the past. In an abbreviated dash that surprisingly lacks a lot of speed types, he could find himself on or near the lead throughout, and with 11 wins on his resume the son of Majestic Warrior knows how to capitalize when given that type of trip. The Virginian is lightly-raced with room to improve, having finished a solid runner-up sprinting on turf at GPW last month. He’s a bit light in the speed figure department but at least his numbers are headed in the right direction.
                  *
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                  Race 11: Post Time: 5:11 ET Grade: B-
                  Use: 11-Riggins; 12-Mr. Tip

                  Forecast: The two main contenders in this mile grass affair for restricted (nw-2) $20,000 claimers must leave from the extreme outside, so this could turn out to be something of a chaotic affair. Riggins returns to grass and drops into a seller, so we suspect the Liam’s Map gelding will be able to repeat the quality of his maiden claiming win over this course and distance last spring, one that earned a speed figure that is par for this level. He’ll likely drop back, try to save some ground, and then kick home when set down. Mr. Tip surfaces for a tag for the first time and should greatly appreciate this softer assignment. He’ll need to overcome the 12-hole and avoid losing too much ground early, but if he can secure a second flight, stalking trip he should have a pretty good look.
                  *
                  *
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #10
                    Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                    Laurel Park - Race #3
                    #2 Rip It Taking a little shot with this one as he drops again while adding blinkers after getting outrun in the dirt debut last time out. It's a stretch, but at anything like the 15/1 ML price, why not?
                    #6 Bananas on Fire Caught an easy winner when trying this trip for the first time, and he's got the look of the one to beat off that big run last out. Something similar would do.
                    #9 What the Flash Hasn't really had a ton of excuses to this point, but he drops into his easiest spot yet and wouldn't be a surprise. Don't think the price will be fair.
                    Race Summary Rip It has to come forward in a big way off the dirt debut last time out, but perhaps the addition of blinkers while getting some more class relief will be enough to take him up at a price.
                    Laurel Park - Race #5
                    #10 Miss Old Bay Debuted for $25,000, so this drop isn't all that panicky off the dull tries at the $40,000 level. She has some pace to use from the gate, and she should be able to get home in this softer spot.
                    #1 Popeye's Oyl She has been alternating bad races with those that are a bit less bad, and if that cycle holds, she'd be sitting on a better one here. Her two decent tries came with better, so she's worth another look at this level at what is likely a better price this time around. In the gimmicks with the chalk on top?
                    #6 Cornetta's Choice She heads into her 11th lifetime start, and the last two have been absolutely nothing to write home about. Still, her form fits well in here, but she's probably a bit overbet.
                    Race Summary Miss Old Bay should be tough on the big drop, and her early foot should leave her in a great spot out of the gate. Popeye's Oyl might be the right price player to spice things up with the chalk on top.
                    Laurel Park - Race #8
                    #5 Oxide Big effort with state-bred company last time out when adding blinkers, and I'm willing to take that try with blinkers at face value. Something similar would do here.
                    #9 Moose Lodge Turned in a pair of good tries at Monmouth that seem to stack up well enough with these. Tactical type should work out a pretty nice, spying trip.
                    #2 In the Loop Forward player should land a great trip right up on the splits, and he proved a good fit at this level last time out while stepping up in a big way.
                    Race Summary Oxide took a huge step forward when adding blinkers for the first time, and there's a chance he's simply a new horse after the equipment change.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #11
                      Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                      Gulfstream Park - Race #5
                      #1 Indicia The price play in here comes in off a third on dirt and was third the last time she was on turf; she'll get a fast pace in front of her and has a good chance of firing late in the game.
                      #2 Centsless Drama Is a pacesetter and was second in her last four; needs a cushion turning for home in order to stay.
                      #5 Topo Grigio Broke her maiden two back and was third in a good sprint last out; moves over to the turf and Pletcher charges have been good off the bench.
                      Race Summary Indicia should get an ideal pace setup here and with a clean trip can make up considerable ground; Torres will have her rolling.
                      Gulfstream Park - Race #9
                      #1 Charlie the Greek Hasn't won since March but has hit the board in several good races and can be effective vs. Florida-breds at this level.
                      #5 Starship Apollo Was claimed two back and was fourth as he ran back for Sweezey; stretches out to a mile and can mix it up from the start.
                      #2 Green Mansions Weakened last time and was a well-beaten fourth; was claimed out of that one by Delgado and gets Ortiz for his return.
                      Race Summary Charlie the Greek has been vs. better and should be able to carve out a good trip; ready to get back to the winner's circle.
                      Gulfstream Park - Race #10
                      #6 Ray'swarrior Moves over to the turf after good dirt sprints at various track and has made his way from the bottom on up to this level. Veteran has won on grass.
                      #8 Nicholas Rose Went to turf for the first time last out and was up in time for a narrow win; capable of closing ground in this spot.
                      #2 The Virginian Does his best at five furlongs turf and comes in off a second; likely to be fairly close throughout.
                      Race Summary Ray'swarrior has done quite a bit at various class levels and should be able to handle these.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #12
                        Al McMordie - NFL - Sun, Dec 20 at 1:00 PM
                        Big Al's Free Colts/Texans Winner!

                        Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts
                        Indianapolis Colts -7 (-115) (BetOnline)

                        At 1 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Houston. The Texans are 4-9 after getting blown out (as a road favorite, no less) by Chicago, 36-7. That was Houston's second straight defeat, so it's hard to back it at Indianapolis this afternoon. And, dating back to 1980, NFL teams off back to back losses, including a 21-point (or worse) upset road loss in their previous game, have covered just 36.5%. Even worse: the Colts are 12-3-2 ATS in the last 17 games in this series, including 8-0-1 ATS when Indy owned a winning record. Lay the points with the Colts. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #13
                          ASA Free Pick Sunday NFL

                          San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys
                          San Francisco 49ers -3 (-115) (BetAnySports)

                          #367 ASA FREE PLAY ON San Francisco -3 over Dallas, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - These two have similar record with San Fran coming in at 5-8 and Dallas at 4-9. Even with their records standing only 1 game apart, San Fran is just -11 this season in point differential and Dallas is -102. Also, the Niners have played the toughest schedule thus far in the NFL while Dallas has played the 28th most difficult. That’s to be expected with the Cowboys in the ultra weak NFC East while SF plays in the tough NFC West. Niners are just 1-5 their previous 6 games, however they’ve been run through the gauntlet facing Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, LA Rams, and Buffalo during that stretch. Last week they played Washington who is currently in 1st place in the NFC East and lost but outgained them by 151 yards. They held Washington’s offense to just 3.1 YPP, however SF gave up 2 defensive TD’s on a 76 yard pick 6 and a 47 yard fumble return. Dallas is coming off a win vs a terrible Cincinnati team last week. Since losing QB Burrow, the Bengals offense has been horrible. However, they did outgain the Cowboys last week in the loss but had 3 turnovers (0 for Dallas). SF has a huge edge defensively here ranking in the top 6 in both YPG and YPP allowed. Dallas ranks outside the outside the top 22 in both despite playing a weak schedule of offenses in the NFC East. The Cowboy offense has played 5 games this year vs teams inside to top 8 in total defense and they’ve averaged 12 PPG in those games. Their losses this year have come by an average of 15 PPG. We’ll take the much better team at this low number.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #14
                            Jim Feist's NFL Free Winner, Sun, Dec 20

                            New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins
                            Miami Dolphins -1 (-107) (BetAnySports)

                            The Patriots looked like they had the offense back on track after scoring at least 20 points in six straight game and going 4-2 over that six game stretch. However, that all came to a halt last week when they play at the LA Rams. The Pats scored just three points in a 3-24 loss. The offense had just 220 total yards and one turnover. The defense played decent, holding LA to 318 yards and one turnover. Cam Newton had just 113 yards passing and the team had 107 yards rushing. The Dolphins mounted a nice comeback at home against the Kansas City Chiefs, but came up on the short end of a 27-33 contest. Though they did backend the spread to get the cover against the +7 point line. The Dolphins have been a good under team all year. They have gone under in three of their last four games and are 5-8 O/U on the season. The passing defense had allowed 174 or fewer their previous three of four games before Patrick Mahones torched them for 354 last week. Though the defense did get four takeaways and three sacks against the Chiefs. Neither of these teams have highly ranked offenses, with Miami coming in at 27th and the Pats at 24th. Just need a win out of Miami here on Sunday to get the money. I like the Dolphins as they find ways to win without a lot of offense. Your free play is on the Dolphins.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #15
                              Wayne Root - NFL - Sun, Dec 20 at 4:05 PM
                              PLAY IS THE NY JETS

                              New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams
                              New York Jets +17 (-108) (BetAnySports)

                              Taking 17 points in the NFL late in the season is the way to bet. Trevor Lawrence better think about this team and this game. As for the Jets, they’ll continue their winless season on the road against the Rams on Sunday. One man that isn’t thinking about tanking is quarterback Sam Darnold. Why in the world would he want to hand away his starting job to the guy with the flowing, long blonde hair? This is as good of a time as any for him to show the Jets they’re making a mistake by even considering pushing him aside. They did invest a No. 3 overall pick in him in 2018. So there has to be a little “should we or should we not” trepidation happening in the front office right now. His best ally is one offensive score and the 17 points. They need one Goff turnover to eat up time. The Rams won’t run the score up. Take the points AND get the PINNACLE Dog of the Year. 81% at 13-3 for the season is fantastic and this is the Game of the Year. UPSET BABY!!
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