Sunday 12/20/20 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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John Martin

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | Texans vs Colts
Play on: Colts -7 -114 at Draft Kings

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Indianapolis Colts -7
The Indianapolis Colts are trying to win a division title at 9-4 this season. They are tied with the Tennessee Titans for first place in the AFC South. So motivation won't be an issue for them as they are coming off a 44-27 win at Las Vegas. Motivation is an issue for the 4-9 Texans. They looked to have packed it in last week in their 7-36 loss at Chicago. It didn't help that they were missing all of their key weapons on offense. And while they should get Brandon Cooks back this week, I don't think it is going to matter. The Colts can name their score against this awful Houston defense that gave up over 400 yards to a bad Bears offense last week. The Texans give up 27.6 points and 406.8 yards per game on the season. The Colts only give up 23.1 points and 327.1 yards per game and also have the better offense. They should win this game by more than a touchdown. The Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs. The Colts are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as favorites. Indianapolis is 12-3-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Give me the Colts.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | Patriots vs Dolphins
Play on: Patriots +1½ -110 at Bovada

PICK - New England Patriots +1.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 353
The betting public is absolutely pounding the Dolphins laying less than a field goal at home against the Patriots. Almost 70% of the action is on Miami and yet this line has dropped from -2.5 to -1.5 over the week. That alone is enough reason to take New England, but I believe there's a much bigger factor in play that makes the Patriots the sharp play on Sunday.
That's the matchup between Miami rookie quarterback Tua Tagovailoa and New England head coach Bill Belichick. History tells us to fade the quarterback in this situation. Since 2000 Belichick and the Patriots are 21-5 when facing a rookie signal caller and have not lost a game to a rookie since 2013.
This situation just came up a few weeks ago when New England went to LA to face the Chargers and rookie quarterback Justin Herbert. It didn't go well for Herbert, as he completed just 49.1% of his attempts, while throwing for a mere 209 yards and had multiple picks for only the second time all season. The Patriots won the game 45-0.
I keep going back and forth on Tua. There's times he looks like he doesn't belong and times it feels like he's going to develop into a legit starter. I just think with the lack of run game that Miami has and all the injuries they are dealing with at the skill positions, this meeting does not setup well for him.
Another thing here is the Patriots as a team have been thrown under the bus. Even though they are mathematically still alive for a playoff spot, the media has made it seem like they go no shot. A Belichick coached team is never going to throw in the towel early and I like that they are going to come into this game with the "us against the world" mentality. Give me New England +1.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jesse Schule

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | 49ers vs Cowboys
Play on: 49ers -155 at Draft Kings

This is a Free play on the 49ers.
San Francisco lost an ugly game against Washington last week, while the Cowboys won big at Cincinnati. Both of those games saw luck play a big factor. The Niners turned the ball over three times, and allowed the Redskins to score four defensive/special teams TDs. The Bengals turned the ball over three times in their loss to the Cowboys, and QB Brandon Allen was injured in the second half. The 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games as a road favorite. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games. I'll take the defending NFC Champs to get a W in Big D.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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ASA

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | 49ers vs Cowboys
Play on: 49ers -3 -117 at pinnacle

#367 ASA FREE PLAY ON San Francisco -3 over Dallas, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - These two have similar record with San Fran coming in at 5-8 and Dallas at 4-9. Even with their records standing only 1 game apart, San Fran is just -11 this season in point differential and Dallas is -102. Also, the Niners have played the toughest schedule thus far in the NFL while Dallas has played the 28th most difficult. That’s to be expected with the Cowboys in the ultra weak NFC East while SF plays in the tough NFC West. Niners are just 1-5 their previous 6 games, however they’ve been run through the gauntlet facing Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, LA Rams, and Buffalo during that stretch. Last week they played Washington who is currently in 1st place in the NFC East and lost but outgained them by 151 yards. They held Washington’s offense to just 3.1 YPP, however SF gave up 2 defensive TD’s on a 76 yard pick 6 and a 47 yard fumble return. Dallas is coming off a win vs a terrible Cincinnati team last week. Since losing QB Burrow, the Bengals offense has been horrible. However, they did outgain the Cowboys last week in the loss but had 3 turnovers (0 for Dallas). SF has a huge edge defensively here ranking in the top 6 in both YPG and YPP allowed. Dallas ranks outside the outside the top 22 in both despite playing a weak schedule of offenses in the NFC East. The Cowboy offense has played 5 games this year vs teams inside to top 8 in total defense and they’ve averaged 12 PPG in those games. Their losses this year have come by an average of 15 PPG. We’ll take the much better team at this low number.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | Bears vs Vikings
Play on: Vikings -3 -101 at BetCris

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Minnesota Vikings -3
The lookahead line for this game was Vikings -6.5 last week. It has now been bet all the way down to Vikings -3 this week. I'll gladly take the 3.5 points of value here and back the Vikings as a free pick today. Look for them to make easy work of the Chicago Bears.
The Vikings were 3-point road favorites over the Bears in their first meeting this season. They won that game 19-13 and it was an even bigger blowout than the score would indicate. The Vikings had 385 total yards and held the Bears to 149 yards, outgaining them by 236 yards. The Bears did not score an offensive touchdown as their only TD came on a kick return. Now the Vikings come back as only 3-point home favorites, a sign there is also value with them here.
Chicago is getting too much respect for its 36-7 win over a Houston team that simply quit last week. Not to mention, Deshaun Watson was without all of his weapons on offense. And I know Mitch Trubisky has looked better in his last two games, but they came against two of the worst defenses in the NFL in the Lions and Texans.
Minnesota is coming off a misleading 14-26 loss at Tampa Bay. The Vikings outgained the Bucs by 32 yards and Dalvin Cook rushed for over 100 yards on a very good Tampa run defense. But Dan Bailey missed three field goals and an extra point, leaving 10 points on the board. I had the Bucs as a premium pick in that game and was fortunate to get the cover.
The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games following an ATS win. Minnesota is 38-13 ATS in its last 51 games following a SU loss. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Bet the Vikings Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | Lions vs Titans
Play on: Lions +10 -125 at betonline

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SUNDAY, 12/20:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play on my cut list for Sunday afternoon is with the Detroit Lions plus the points versus the Tennessee Titans. Detroit (5-8) has lost three of their last four games after their 31-24 loss at home to Green Bay as a 9.5-point underdog. The Lions have covered the point spread in 4 of their last 5 games after allowing at least 30 points in their last game. They get to play the role of spoiler — and they have covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Tennessee (9-4) has won three of their last four games after their 31-10 win at Jacksonville — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 25 games after a win by at least 14 points. The Titans have also failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after not allowing more than 14 points in their last game. Take Detroit plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

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Marc Lawrence

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | Seahawks vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Washington Football Team +6½ -107 at Draft Kings

Play - Washington (Game 356).
Edges - Washington: 8-1 ATS when coming off a SU underdog win; and 5-1 ATS as a non-division home dog of 5 or fewer points … Seattle: 1-7 ATS after allowing 7 or fewer points last game. We recommend a 1* play on Washington. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | Lions vs Titans
Play on: UNDER 53½ -105

Free Total Annihilator On Lions vs Titans under 53½ -105

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Mike Lundin

Dec 20 '20, 1:00 PM in 20m
NFL | Seahawks vs Washington Football Team
Play on: Washington Football Team +6½ -105 at pinnacle

Seattle vs Washington Free Pick December 20, 2020
The Washington Football Team are winners of four straight games to improve to 6-7 on the season and enter the week top of the NFC East.
Here they'll face a Seahawks team that is fresh off a 40-3 rout of the Jets, but I think Seattle will find this Football Team to be a much tougher opponent.
Note that the Seahawks have failed to cover the spread in four of their last six overall while Washington has covered the number in four straight games and it is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as an underdog.
Washington's defense ranks fourth in total defense and third against the pass. I think they'll do enough to slow down Russell Wilson and the rest of the Seahawks to keep this within the number.
Free pick on Washington.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 20 '20, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Marist vs Manhattan
Play on: Marist -1 -109 at Draft Kings

1* Free Pick on Marist -1 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Dec 20 '20, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Marist vs Manhattan
Play on: Manhattan +2 -109 at Draft Kings

Free Play on Manhattan +2 -109

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Black Widow

Dec 20 '20, 2:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Marquette vs Xavier
Play on: Marquette +3 -110 at Bovada

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Marquette +3 -110

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Bobby Conn

Dec 20 '20, 2:45 PM in 2h
Soccer | Napoli vs Lazio
Play on: Napoli +158 at betonline

1* Free Play on Napoli +158

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Dustin Hawkins

Dec 20 '20, 3:05 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Weber State vs Portland State
Play on: OVER 152 -108

1 Dimer on Weber State vs Portland State over 152 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Dec 20 '20, 4:05 PM in 3h
NFL | Jets vs Rams
Play on: Rams -17 -105 at BetCris

Theres is no sign of life in the proverbial corpse known as the NY Jets. That was evident last week when they were crushed by a 40-3 count to Seattle. Meanwhile, the Rams the Jets opponent this week beat the Seahawks by a TD in week 10 , and than stopped cold the Patriots last week by a 24-3 count. The Rams according to my power rankings are playing their best football of the season, while their opponents, lets just say are not. Note: Jets HC Gas has failed to cover 8 of his L/10 as a DD road dog, and 3 of 4 as 17 point ore more pups.
The Rams are 8-0 ATS L/8 coming off a home game and facing a team allowing at least 23 points per game covering by more than 12.38 ppg.
Play on St.Louis Rams to cover