Thursday 3/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Mar 25 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
NBA | Warriors vs Kings
Play on: Kings -2½ -110 at BetCris

Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Sacramento Kings -2.5
The Key: The Golden State Warriors are without Steph Curry again tonight. It has not gone well for them without him as they lost by 8 at Memphis and then lost by 10 at home to Philadelphia in their last 2 games. I know the Kings will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day here, but this is a deep, young team that can handle this situation better than most. And the Kings are playing with a ton of confidence right now in going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games with 3 outright upset victories. The Kings are 23-10 ATS in their last 33 home games with a line of +3 to -3. The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as road underdogs. The Kings are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 matchups with the Warriors. Take Sacramento.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Mar 25 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
NBA | 76ers vs Lakers
Play on: Lakers +5½ -101 at pinnacle

So clearly the Lakers are missing LeBron and Davis for the game tonight that's why we are seeing the big line here. I just think it's an overreaction here. The Sixers will be without their best player in Embiid. I also dont think Simmons is a guy that you can simply count on. I think the Lakers make this extremely competitive here and wouldn't be surprised if they won the game outright

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Mar 25 '21, 10:10 PM in 3h
NBA | 76ers vs Lakers
Play on: 76ers -5½ -110 at Draft Kings

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia 76ers -5.5
The Philadelphia 76ers have been on a roll. They are 9-1 SU & 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. A big portion of those wins were without Joel Embiid, so they are proving they are a deep team and can still win without him. The Lakers on the other hand have been awful without Lebron James and Anthony Davis and continue to be without both. The Lakers are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall including a 17-point loss to Phoenix and a 17-point loss to New Orleans in their last two games. It should be more of the same here against Philadelphia with a lopsided win in the 76ers' favor. Give me the 76ers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

611MISSISSIPPI ST -612 RICHMOND
MISSISSIPPI ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls over the last 2 seasons.

613NC STATE -614 COLORADO ST
NC STATE is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the current season.

615BOISE ST -616 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

617LOUISIANA TECH -618 W KENTUCKY
W KENTUCKY is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, March 25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, March 25

NIT tournament- Thursday

Mississippi State vs Richmond (@ Denton, TX))
Mississippi State (16-14)
— ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #312
— Continuity: #253
— Bulldogs are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Miss State is grabbing 36.1% of their missed shots (#8)
— Bulldogs have #41 eFG% defense in country.
— Miss State starts three sophs and a freshman; they’re using these games to help build for next season.

Richmond (14-8)
— ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #159
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #8
— Richmond lost three of its last four games.
— Spiders are 3-6 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Richmond is shooting 53.9% inside the arc (#39)
— Spiders are not a deep team (#338 in bench minutes)
— 5-9 senior G Gilyard played whole 40:00 vs Saint Louis in first round.
— Richmond is 2-0 vs SEC teams this year (Kentucky, Vanderbilt)

NC State vs Colorado State (@ Frisco, TX)
NC State (14-10)
— ranked #66 by KenPom
— Tempo: #195
— Experience: #225
— Continuity: #127
— NC State won six of their last seven games.
— Wolfpack force turnovers 21.9% of time (#47)
— NC State is 6-9 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Wolfpack shot 67.6% inside arc in their win over Davidson.

Colorado State (19-6)
— ranked #68 by KenPom
— Tempo: #134
— Experience: #308
— Continuity: #36
— Rams won seven of their last nine games.
— Colorado State is shooting 55.2% inside arc (#21).
— 43.5% of shots they take are 3’s (#40)
— Rams didn’t play any seniors in their win over Buffalo.

Memphis vs Boise State (@ Denton, TX)
Memphis (17-8)
— ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #323
— Continuity: #78
— Memphis won 11 of its last 14 games.
— Tigers have #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis is turning ball over 22.1% of time (#318)
— Dayton shot 62.1% inside arc vs Memphis last game.

Boise State (19-8)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #127
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #245
— Boise lost four of its last five games.
— Broncos led last game 30-9, blew lead, won 85-84.
— Broncos are shooting 52.5% inside arc (#70)
— Boise State is 5-7 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Broncos start four juniors and a senior.

Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky (@ Frisco, TX)
Louisiana Tech (22-7)
— ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #113
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #116
— Bulldogs won six of last seven D-I games.
— Louisiana Tech has three senior starters.
— Bulldogs have the #13 eFG% defense- they’re #28 on defensive boards.
— Tech was held to 55-48 points in last two losses.

Western Kentucky (21-7)
— ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #210
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #81
— WKU won 12 of last 15 games, lost finals of C-USA tourney in OT.
— Hilltoppers have a 6-11 center who is probably an NBA player.
— WKU turns ball over 20.7% of time (#268).
— Hilltoppers get 21.9% of their points on foul line (#30).

— These conference rivals split pair at WKU January 8-9th.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Thursday, March 25

Trend Report
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Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky
Louisiana Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Louisiana Tech is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Western Kentucky
Western Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Western Kentucky is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

501PORTLAND -502 MIAMI
PORTLAND is 29-13 ATS (14.7 Units) after allowing 110 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

503WASHINGTON -504 NEW YORK
NEW YORK is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) at home when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

505LA CLIPPERS -506 SAN ANTONIO
SAN ANTONIO is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts in the current season.

507GOLDEN STATE -508 SACRAMENTO
SACRAMENTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 110+ points/game in the current season.

509PHILADELPHIA -510 LA LAKERS
PHILADELPHIA is 17-4 ATS (12.6 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, March 25

Portland @ Miami
Trailblazers (25-18)
— Portland won eight of its last 12 games, but lost last two.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Blazers are 1-4 ATS in last five road games.
— Under is 3-1 in Portland’s last four games.

Heat (22-22)
— Miami lost last four games, after an 11-1 run.
— Heat is 1-5 ATS in last six home games.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

— Heat won three of last four series games.
— Portland is 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Miami.
— Four of last five series games went over.

Washington @ New York
Wizards (15-27)
— Wizards lost eight of last ten games (4-6 ATS)
— Washington is 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 8-4 in their last dozen road games

Knicks (22-22)
— New York is 3-4 SU since All-Star break,
— Knicks are 8-2 ATS in their last ten home games.
— Under is 3-1 in New York’s last four games.

— Knicks hammered Washington 131-113 here Tuesday.
— Washington is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Manhattan.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

LA Clippers @ San Antonio
Clippers (29-16)
— Clippers won four of their last five games.
— Clippers are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 7-5 in their last dozen games.

Spurs (22-19)
— San Antonio lost its last three games.
— Spurs are 4-5 ATS in last nine home games.
— Under is 6-4 in Spurs’ last ten games.

— Clippers won five of last seven series games.
— Clippers are 3-2 ATS in last four visits to the Alamo.
— Under is 4-3 in last seven series games.

Philadelphia @ LA Lakers
76ers (31-13)
— 76ers won 13 of their last 16 games.
— Sixers are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
— Under is 5-1 in Philly’s last six road games.

Lakers (28-16)
— Lebron James (ankle), Anthony Davis are out.
— Lakers lost their last three games.
— Lakers are 6-8 ATS in their last 14 home games.
— Under is 7-3 in their 10 home games.

— Teams split last ten series games.
— 76ers are 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
— Four of last six series games stayed under.

Golden State @ Sacramento
Warriors (22-22)
— Golden State lost seven of its last ten games.
— Warriors are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games overall.

Kings (19-25)
— Sacramento is 5-3 SU since the All-Star break.
— Kings are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Under is 6-2 in Sacramento’s last eight games.

— Kings won three of last four series games.
— Warriors covered once in last four visits to Sacramento.
— Three of last four series games stayed under.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, March 25

Trend Report

Portland @ Miami
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Portland

Washington @ New York
Washington
Washington is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New York
Washington is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against New York
New York
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing Washington

LA Clippers @ San Antonio
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games at home
San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Philadelphia @ LA Lakers
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Golden State @ Sacramento
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Golden State's last 10 games on the road
Golden State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Golden State
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Thursday March 25
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Miami (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Heat are 10-0-1 ATS (11.05 ppg) off a loss as a dog in which Bam Adebayo took fewer than 10 shots.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Washington at New York (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Wizards are 0-14 ATS (-11.11 ppg) on the road with rest coming off a road game where they scored fewer than 10 fast break points.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day
LA Clippers at San Antonio (8:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Clippers are 13-0 OU (16.81 ppg) as a favorite with no rest after scoring at least 15 points more than Vegas projected last game.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day
Matchup: Portland at Miami (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Trail Blazers are 0-14 OU (-12.43 ppg) on the road off a loss in which they had fewer than 10 turnovers.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

1NY RANGERS -2 PHILADELPHIA
NY RANGERS are 21-12 ATS (16.5 Units) in road games against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp over the last 2 seasons.

3NY ISLANDERS -4 BOSTON
NY ISLANDERS are 8-0 ATS (8.2 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

5TORONTO -6 OTTAWA
TORONTO is 7-15 ATS (-14.8 Units) in road games vs. losing teams over the last 2 seasons.

7NEW JERSEY -8 WASHINGTON
NEW JERSEY is 9-5 ATS (12.2 Units) in road games against good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

9CAROLINA -10 COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS are 39-20 ATS (17 Units) in home games off a blowout loss by 3 goals or more to a division rival since 1996.

11BUFFALO -12 PITTSBURGH
BUFFALO is 1-14 ATS (-13.2 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the current season.

13DETROIT -14 NASHVILLE
NASHVILLE is 8-0 ATS (9 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) in the current season.

15FLORIDA -16 CHICAGO
CHICAGO is 214-208 ATS (33.2 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) since 1996.

17ST LOUIS -18 MINNESOTA
ST LOUIS are 27-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons.

19TAMPA BAY -20 DALLAS
DALLAS are 2-15 ATS (-16.5 Units) against good offensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, March 25

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, March 25

Trend Report

NY Islanders @ Boston
NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games

NY Rangers @ Philadelphia
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Rangers's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing NY Rangers

New Jersey @ Washington
New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games
New Jersey is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Washington
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against New Jersey
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Carolina @ Columbus
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 11 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

Toronto @ Ottawa
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Buffalo @ Pittsburgh
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Florida @ Chicago
Florida
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Florida
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Detroit @ Nashville
Detroit
Detroit is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Nashville
Nashville is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

St. Louis @ Minnesota
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Dallas
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

Vegas @ Colorado
Vegas
Vegas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Vegas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home