Wednesday 5/5/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Oskeim Sports

Event: (957) Milwaukee Brewers at (958) Philadelphia Phillies
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 5, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Under 7.5 (-115) F Peralta (RHP), C Anderson (RHP) Must Start
The Phillies are 11-0-2 UNDER since June 18, 2016, as home underdogs following a home game in which they failed to score after the third inning. The Brewers are 13-0 UNDER since September 14, 2020, as favorites off a game in which they had more strikeouts than hits. Milwaukee is 40-18-4 UNDER in its last 62 games with a total between 7.0 and 8.5 runs, 20-7-2 UNDER in its last 29 road affairs, 33-15-4 UNDER in its previous 52 road games versus a right-handed starter, and 8-0 UNDER in its last eight games as road favorites. Grab the UNDER as Oskeim Sports' Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, May 5.

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Carmine Bianco

Event: (5) Washington Capitals at (6) New York Rangers
Sport/League: NHL
Date/Time: May 5, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Washington Capitals -135
NHL - Washington Capitals at New York Rangers
Quick Synopsis: Not sure whether this one will get as heated and physical as many are expecting after the Tom Wilson incident that left Panarin of the Rangers done for the season but if we do see a physical game with penalties on Wednesday night it really should play into the hands of a Capitals team with a better powerplay and skilled players. It's a meaningful game for the Caps in a quest for top spot and while they may face a motivated Rangers side bent on some type of retribution I'll side with the better side here as your free play.
The play is Washington Capitals -135

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The Prez

Event: (969) Detroit Tigers at (970) Boston Red Sox
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 5, 2021 7PM EDT
Play: Total Under 9.0 (-105) C Mize (RHP), M Perez (LHP) Must Start
969 Detroit Tigers at 970 Boston Red Sox -175, 9

The Detroit Tigers (8-22) are scheduled to square off against the Boston Red Sox (18-12) tonight at Fenway Park. First pitch is slated for 7:10 pm ET. Righthander Casey Mize (1-3, 5.06 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 20 K's) will oppose lefty Martin Perez (0-2, 4.70 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 22 K's).

Detroit has lost six consecutive games and is 4-13 away from home. The Red Sox are 9-8 at Fenway Park this season and currently, enter play today owning the top spot in the American League East with a two-and-one-half-game lead over the Yankees and the Rays.

Mize has a strikeout rate that is below average (19% K) and his SwStr (8%) doesn’t suggest that an improvement or correction with that K-rate will improve. Mize pitches to contact with a 57 percent groundball ratio and he's subject to batted ball luck. Perez posted an 18.1% strikeout rate between 2019 and 2020 compared to a 13.9% strikeout rate in his remaining seven seasons, and that trend appears set to continue in 2021. The Free Pick is a play on Under the Total of nine runs.

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Bobby Ligs

Event: (521) Phoenix Suns at (522) Atlanta Hawks
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: May 5, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Total Over 228.5 (-110)

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Ralph Michaels

Event: (977) Toronto Blue Jays at (978) Oakland Athletics
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 5, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Oakland Athletics -130 R Ray (LHP), C Bassitt (RHP) Must Start
Oakland -130