Thursday 5/6/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358413

    #16
    Frank Sawyer

    May 06 '21, 3:00 PM in 1h
    Soccer | Manchester United vs Roma
    Play on: UNDER 3¼ -120

    FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR THURSDAY, 5/6:

    My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for the Thursday afternoon games is with Under the Total in the match between Man United and Roma at 3 PM ET. Man United can park the bus and play keep away when they have possession after their 6-2 victory against Roma in the first leg of the UEFA Europa League Semifinals last Thursday. The Red Devils have played ten of their last fourteen matches on the road Under 2.5 goals. Roma has played five of their last six matches at home at Stadio Olimpico Under 2.5 goals. Take the Under. Best of luck — Frank.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358413

      #17
      Cole Faxon

      May 06 '21, 3:30 PM in 2h
      Soccer | Guimaraes vs Farense
      Play on: Farense +115 at Mirage

      FREE PLAY on Farense +115
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358413

        #18
        Black Widow

        May 06 '21, 3:37 PM in 2h
        MLB | Blue Jays vs A's
        Play on: A's +120 at Mirage

        1* Free Wiseguy Play on A's +120
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358413

          #19
          Steve Janus

          May 06 '21, 3:37 PM in 2h
          MLB | TOR vs OAK
          Play on: OVER 8 -112

          1* Free Sharp Play on Blue Jays vs A's over 8 -112
          The OVER (8) is worth a look in Thursday's MLB action that has the Blue Jays taking on the A's. These two combined for 13 runs in Wednesday's game, marking the 2nd time they have hit at least 9 runs in the 3 games this series. While the Coliseum is more of a pitchers park, the ball should carry a little more during the day, plus the wind is blowing out at close to 10 mph to center. Play the OVER 8!
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358413

            #20
            Dustin Hawkins

            May 06 '21, 4:05 PM in 2h
            MLB | ATL vs WAS
            Play on: UNDER 9 -104

            1 Dimer on Braves vs Nationals under 9 -104
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358413

              #21
              Ben Burns

              May 06 '21, 6:40 PM in 5h
              MLB | ARI vs MIA
              Play on: UNDER 7½ -121

              The first two games of this series both made their way over the number but we should see some strong pitching today. Bumgarner is 3-0 with a dominant 1.06 ERA and 0.471 WHIP his last three. Lopez, meanwhile, has a microscopic 0.47 ERA his past three starts. Those games had scores of 1-0, 5-2 and 2-1. These same two starters opposed each other in May of 2019. Both delivered quality starts and the final score was 4-2. Consider the Under.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358413

                #22
                Rob Vinciletti

                May 06 '21, 6:40 PM in 5h
                MLB | Diamondbacks vs Marlins
                Play on: Marlins -130 at linepros

                Thursday card has an NBA Executive Level TIER 1 Side, and MLB Early 11-0 Power system play long with the NHL Total of the Month. Comp play below.
                The MLB Comp play for Thursday is on Miami at 6:40 eastern. Miami is off a blowout win over Arizona last night and that sets them up in a powerful 51-19 system dating to 2004 for home favorites off a 5+ run home favored win with 10+ hits vs an opponent that had 2 or less runs on 5+ hits in a 5+ run loss if both teams played error free ball. Miami is in last place in the N.L. East despite having the best run differential in the division at +18. They have won 4 of 5 here vs Arizona who has lost 14 of 18 in game 3 of a series and 20 of 27 when the total is 7 to 8.5. Bumgarner has pitched better of late but has a 5.38 season Era. We will back Lopez and Miami here. On Thursday an Executive Level TIER 1 NBA Headlines, along with a 11-0 Day time Dominator system and the NHL Total of the Month. For the MLB Comp play. Make it Miami. Rob V- GC Sports.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358413

                  #23
                  Alex Smart

                  May 06 '21, 6:40 PM in 5h
                  MLB | ARI vs MIA
                  Play on: UNDER 7½ -121

                  Pablo Lopez(RHP0-2, 2.34 ERA, 34 SO) received an extra day of rest as part of the club's plan to monitor its young arms' workload. López has given up two or fewer runs in all but one of his six starts. Last time out, he pitched a career-high-tying seven scoreless innings on 79 pitches. Meanwhile,Madison Bumgarner(LHP3-2, 5.58 ERA, 33 SO) has been outstanding in his past three starts, going 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA over that stretch. That also included a seven-inning no-hitter against the Braves in Atlanta on April 25 and should once again be a formidable opponent for the Marlins inconsistent batting order. Look for both hurlers to go deep and the bullpens to do their job in what Im betting will be a low scoring affair. ARIZONA is 21-5 UNDER after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons.
                  Play on the UNDEr
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358413

                    #24
                    Stephen Nover

                    May 06 '21, 7:08 PM in 6h
                    NHL | Rangers vs Bruins
                    Play on: Bruins -1½ +112 at Draft Kings

                    You'll excuse the Rangers if they take a pass on getting up for this game, their fourth in the last six days. This is what's happened to the Rangers during the past two days: team president John Davidson and general manager Jeff Gorton were fired. The Rangers had a rematch on Wednesday night against the Capitals, who defeated them, 6-3, this past Monday. The Rangers lost 4-2 to the Capitals on Wednesday, but that wasn't the big story. Exacting a measure of revenge on the Capitals - mainly cheap shot artist Tom Wilson - was the major focus and motivation. Wilson caused a huge fight on Monday with a sucker punch and then injured Artemi Panarin, the Rangers' star player and points leader, knocking him out for the rest of the season. The Rangers are far from a brawny, physical team. That's not their style. They banded together, though, and went after the Capitals with fists flying right from the opening faceoff. The Rangers had to take matters into their own hands since the league failed to properly clamp down on Wilson's constant thuggery. There were six fights within the first five minutes. It was a gutty display by the Rangers. They lost the game to a superior foe, but earned a satisfying self-respect for avenging a wrong. All of this factors into this matchup. The Rangers aren't going to have anything left after last night. It's not like they have anything to play for either since they are eliminated from playoff competition. New York is severely short-handed, too. It's not just Panarin who is sidelined. Also injured are defensemen Jacob Trouba and Ryan Lindgren along with forwards Chris Kreider, Brett Howden and Julien Gauthier. The Bruins have defeated the Rangers in eight of the last 10 meetings. The Bruins won't lack motivation after blowing a lead in a 4-3 overtime loss to the lowly Devils two days ago. Boston has won each of its last six home games with the last five of those victories all coming by 3 or more goals.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358413

                      #25
                      Jeff Alexander

                      May 06 '21, 7:10 PM in 6h
                      NBA | Bulls vs Hornets
                      Play on: Hornets +4 -114 at Draft Kings

                      1* NBA - Bulls/Hornets *FREE PICK* on Hornets +4
                      Thursday's Free NBA Pick is on the Charlotte Hornets as a 4-point home dog against the Chicago Bulls. I know the Bulls are expected to get back Zach LaVine, but I just don't think his return is enough to warrant Chicago being a road favorite here. Bulls have a lot of flaws, which is why they are out of the playoff picture right now. I also think there's a good chance LaVine struggles a bit in his first game back. I really like the Hornets to win this game. Bet Charlotte +4!
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358413

                        #26
                        Dave Price

                        May 06 '21, 7:40 PM in 6h
                        NBA | Wizards vs Raptors
                        Play on: Raptors -2½ -115 at BetCris

                        Dave's Thursday Free Play:
                        1* on Toronto Raptors -2.5
                        The Key: The Toronto Raptors are trying to chase down the Washington Wizards for the final playoff spot in the East. They also have a chance to catch the reeling Pacers. This is a huge game for the Raptors and they are in the more favorable situation. They had yesterday off while the Wizards just played in a 134-135 shootout loss to the Bucks. They will probably have a hangover from that defeat and they won't have much left in the tank either. Westbrook played 40 minutes and Beal 38 for the Wizards last night. It will also be the 5th game in 7 days and the 8th game in 12 days for the Wizards. The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Take Toronto.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358413

                          #27
                          Jesse Schule

                          May 06 '21, 9:08 PM in 8h
                          NHL | Canucks vs Oilers
                          Play on: Oilers -1½ -115 at Mirage

                          This is a free play on Edmonton -1.5.
                          The Canucks have been dealt a tough hand this season, even more so than the rest of the league. While it's been tough for everyone playing through a pandemic, Vancouver had to shut down when the entire team came down with Covid, and now they are forced to make up those games by playing almost every day. They will play their sixth game in eight days tonight in Edmonton, and to add insult to injury their first line center will not play while under investigation for sexual assault. Vancouver has lost six straight, and five straight by at least two goals. Edmonton is just six point out of first place in the North Division, so this looks like it could be another blowout.
                          GL,
                          Jesse Schule
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358413

                            #28
                            Sean Murphy

                            May 06 '21, 9:08 PM in 8h
                            NHL | Canucks vs Oilers
                            Play on: Canucks +1½ -105 at pinnacle

                            Thursday NHL Free play. My selection is on Vancouver +1.5 goals over Edmonton at 9:05 pm et on Thursday.
                            We missed with the Canucks on the puck-line two nights ago in Vancouver as they dropped a second straight game by multiple goals against the Oilers. Now with the scene shifting to Edmonton on Thursday night, I'll go back to the well with Vancouver at an even more favorable price. Note that Vancouver checks in 13-6 the last 19 times it has come off a home loss by three goals or more, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 1.4 goals in that situation. Meanwhile, the Oilers are just 2-9 the last 11 times they've come off consecutive victories by two or more goals, outscored by an average margin of 1.2 goals in that spot. It's also worth noting that the Oilers average just 2.5 goals per game when coming off a road win by two goals or more this season. They've been outscored by 0.1 goal on average when in that situation. Edmonton does have a three-game winning streak over the Canucks to its credit this season, but it didn't win all three of those games by more than a goal. Note that Vancouver has held its own in Edmonton in recent years, splitting the last six meetings. At this late stage of the season with the playoffs no longer in the cards, I do expect to see the Canucks show some pride during this two-game set in Edmonton. Take Vancouver +1.5 goals (8*).
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358413

                              #29
                              John Martin

                              May 06 '21, 10:10 PM in 9h
                              NBA | Lakers vs Clippers
                              Play on: Clippers -8 -105 at pinnacle

                              1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Clippers -8
                              The Lakers are back to being without LeBron James and now Dennis Shroeder too. They just can't buy a break in the health department. The Lakers are now 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. Now they face a Los Angeles Clippers team that is as healthy as they have been in a long time. They just got back Kawhi Leonard from injury and now they have Patrick Beverly back as well. The only player of significance they are missing is Serge Ibaka. We should see the best version of the Clippers here down the stretch as they gear up for the playoffs and not the one that has gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games. Give me the Clippers.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358413

                                #30
                                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

                                Indiana Downs - Race 7
                                Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)
                                Allowance • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 97 • Purse: $45,000 • Post: 6:31P
                                FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 6 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES).
                                Contenders
                                Race Analysis
                                P#
                                Horse
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Accept
                                Odds

                                Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JETS A GINNIN: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. KRUNCH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ da ys and horse has run well in the past in its first and/or second starts after a long layoff. EVER WONDER: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
                                1
                                JETS A GINNIN
                                4/1
                                4/1
                                8
                                KRUNCH
                                6/5
                                4/1
                                5
                                EVER WONDER
                                7/2
                                4/1

                                P#
                                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                                Post
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Running Style
                                Good
                                Class
                                Good
                                Speed
                                Early Figure
                                Finish Figure
                                Platinum
                                Figure
                                1
                                JETS A GINNIN
                                1
                                4/1
                                Front-runner
                                89
                                95
                                100.0
                                88.8
                                81.8
                                5
                                EVER WONDER
                                5
                                7/2
                                Front-runner
                                96
                                87
                                89.6
                                90.6
                                86.6
                                8
                                KRUNCH
                                8
                                6/5
                                Stalker
                                98
                                102
                                75.8
                                95.6
                                91.6
                                3
                                ONLY REWARD'S
                                3
                                20/1
                                Stalker
                                80
                                70
                                70.8
                                68.6
                                55.1
                                4
                                PRETTY ASSETS
                                4
                                8/1
                                Trailer
                                90
                                86
                                15.3
                                77.6
                                66.1
                                2
                                THE BEAUTY'S TALE
                                2
                                10/1
                                Alternator/Trailer
                                91
                                79
                                75.9
                                76.9
                                65.4
                                6
                                PICANTE CALIENTE
                                6
                                15/1
                                Alternator/Non-contender
                                99
                                81
                                83.6
                                77.6
                                70.6
                                7
                                DRINKATTHECREEK
                                7
                                15/1
                                Alternator/Non-contender
                                84
                                64
                                57.0
                                64.8
                                54.8
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