Tuesday 5/11/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Las Vegas Cris

Event: (967) Minnesota Twins at (968) Chicago White Sox
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 11, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Twins +114 K Maeda (RHP), D Cease (RHP) Must Start
(Free Plays 55-25 69%* *35-14 L/49 71%) The White Sox have been getting very fortunate recently with some of the metrics. They're getting far more benefit from battered balls than they are supposed to, and that will even out soon. Minnesota is on the other end of being unfortunate and should start to see better results in their hitting. Their base running has cost them dearly also, look for improvement there. The spot looks good here for the start of reversal of fortunes Twins +115

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Finn

Event: (979) Seattle Mariners at (980) Los Angeles Dodgers
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 11, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Seattle Mariners +205 Y Kikuchi (LHP), W Buehler (RHP) Must Start
Save a couple of big nights at the plate; the Los Angeles Dodgers are currently offensive less-than in the league. The Dodgers are hitting just .234 over the last 15 games and are just 2-8 in their last 10. The Angels couldn't bunch enough hits to outscore the offensively challenged Tampa Bay Rays this past weekend.
All things equal, if the Chavez Ravine boys were in their early April form, the -200 price tag on Walker Buehler would be acceptable. With the Dodgers having won just five of their last 20 games, the -200 price point is simply an inflated number that the books believe is required to keep the books as balanced as possible in the upcoming Dodgers' games. Until LA proves otherwise supporting any of the Los Angeles pitchers, including Walter Buehler, offers little to no value and if you are involved in a Dodgers game my suggestion would be to fade the Boys in Blue. Free Pick is a play on the Seattle Mariners and their 2-1 return on investment with a win

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

The Thunder and Kings will finish up their season series meetings with their second meeting in 48 hours on Sacramento hardwood and I expect the total points will once again hold Under the way it did on Sunday night when the teams held just below the closing total of 224 1/2 points.

Oklahoma City has played 4 straight games without reaching the century mark on the scoreboard and they have actually been held under 100 points now in 7 of their last 9 games overall. The Under has been the play in 3 of their last 4 and in a modest 5 of their last 9 overall.

Sacramento has been an Under machine of late as they have landed Under the total in each of their last 6 games and have gone low now in 8 of their last 9 games overall as this series concludes tonight.

Both series meetings this year have been Under the total as the Under between these Western Conference rivals is now 5-1 the last 6 with each of the last 3 playing Under the total.

Stick with the Under trends as the scoring stays under control on Tuesday night in Sac-Town.

3* OKLAHOMA CITY-SACRAMENTO OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mitchell Newman

Miami and Arizona opened Monday in the desert with a game that landed Under the total as the home team took it 5-2.

The Marlins have had some issues now on offense for their last 3 games as they were held to only 3 runs total in their last pair over the weekend at home against Milwaukee and only came up with 2 runs in last night's opener.

Meanwhile, Arizona's 5 runs represent an "uprising" as they have still scored 3 runs or less now in 5 of their last 7 and have now been Under the total in 4 of their last 5, including their last 3.

Tonight we have a pair of pitchers going that are definitely capable of keeping the bats quiet once again tonight as Pablo Lopez of Miami may be 0-2, but his ERA is just 2.04 and 3 of his 5 starts this year have held Under the total. Arizona goes with Madison Bumgarner whose last 4 starts include a 7-inning no-hitter and an overall resume of 23 innings pitched with just 8 hits and 3 runs allowed.

Look for a quiet night at home plate tonight and look for the Marlins and the Diamondbacks to land Under the posted price.

3* MIAMI-ARIZONA UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jay McNeil

Free play tonight in baseball on the sliding Royals to get right in their game against the Tigers.

Kansas City was blazing at 14-7 after sweeping a 4 game series from Detroit in the Motor City in late April, but the Royals fortunes have turned south as they head into this game tonight losers of 8 in a row.

Detroit is playing this series opener off a win on Sunday in their series finale against the Minnesota Twins, but the fact remains, they have just 4 wins over their last 22 games and those 4 losses to the Royals are part of a 1-8 series slide that has seen them lose each of the last 5 meetings.

Brady Singer is 1-3 for the year, but the win came against Detroit who he is now 3-0 against with a 1.44 ERA in his 4 career starts!

Matthew Boyd is a lifetime 7-10 against Kansas City with an ERA of 5.71.

KC gets right tonight.

4* KANSAS CITY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

951CINCINNATI -952 PITTSBURGH
CINCINNATI is 4-15 SU (-13.5 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

953PHILADELPHIA -954 WASHINGTON
WASHINGTON is 10-23 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955ST LOUIS -956 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 16-31 SU (-18.9 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

957SAN DIEGO -958 COLORADO
SAN DIEGO is 28-40 SU (-23.9 Units) in road games vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

959MIAMI -960 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 27-11 SU (17.8 Units) in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better in the last 3 seasons.

961KANSAS CITY -962 DETROIT
DETROIT is 4-14 SU (-14.4 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse in the current season.

963OAKLAND -964 BOSTON
BOSTON is 20-10 SU (11.2 Units) vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the current season.

965NY YANKEES -966 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 15-26 SU (-15.7 Units) in road games vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons.

967MINNESOTA -968 CHI WHITE SOX
MINNESOTA is 4-15 SU (-12.5 Units) vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the current season.

969LA ANGELS -970 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 12-31 SU (-20.8 Units) vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, May 11

NL games
Cincinnati (16-16) @ Pittsburgh (14-20)
— Hoffman is 0-1, 7.15 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 5-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 0-2, 10.13 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cincinnati is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
— Reds are 6-9 on road.
— Over 13-5-2 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-32
— record in first 5 innings: 13-14-5

— Brubaker is 0-3, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 2-4 in his starts; they scored 5 runs in last three.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 0-1, 1.93 in two starts vs Cincinnati.

— Pirates lost nine of their last 11 games.
— Pittsburgh lost its last five home games.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 8-34
— record in first 5 innings: 13-16-5

Philadelphia (18-17) @ Washington (13-17)
— Anderson is 1-2, 6.35 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 2-4 in his starts
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4
— He is 0-2, 16.39 in three starts vs Washington.

— Phillies won five of their last seven games.
— Phillies are 5-11 on the road.
— under 7-4 last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-35
— record in first 5 innings: 13-13-9

— Fedde is 1-2, 5.06 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 2-4, 5.26 in eight games (7 starts) vs Philly.

— Washington lost five of its last six games.
— Nationals lost their last three home games.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 7-30
— record in first 5 innings: 7-14-9

St Louis (21-14) @ Milwaukee (19-16)
— Kim is 1-0, 1.45 in his last three starts (14.2 IP).
— Cardinals are 4-0 in his starts.
— over 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won 13 of their last 17 games.
— St Louis is 8-4 in its last 12 road games.
— Under 5-3 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-35
— record in first 5 innings: 18-12-5

— Peralta is 1-1, 5.21 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— He is 2-1, 6.00 in seven games (3 starts) vs St Louis.

— Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
— Milwaukee lost five of their last seven road games.
— under 12-6-1 on road.
— scored run in first inning: 9-35
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-6

San Diego (19-16) @ Colorado (12-22)
— Lamet threw four scoreless IP in his two brief starts (4 IP).
— Padres are 0-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-2, 3.18 in four starts vs Colorado.

— Padres lost four of their last seven games.
— San Diego is 6-4 in its last nine road games.
— over 7-1 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 9-35
— record in first 5 innings: 12-18-5

— Gray is 3-1, 3.65 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 4-3 in his starts.
— under 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 10-4, 2.98 in 20 starts vs San Diego.

— Colorado is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
— Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
— over 6-0 last six home games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-34
— record in first 5 innings: 12-17-5

Miami (15-19) @ Arizona (16-19)
— Lopez is 0-1, 1.13 in his last four starts.
— Miami is 3-4 in his starts- they scored 9 runs in his last four.
— under 3-0-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-4
— He is 0-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Arizona.

— Marlins won four of their last seven games.
— Miami is 1-5 in their last six road tilts.
— under 5-1-2 in their last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 12-34
— record in first 5 innings: 12-15-7

— Bumgarner is 3-0, 1.17 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 4-3 in his starts
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 2-4, 4.20 in 11 starts vs Miami.

— Arizona lost seven of its last nine games.
— Arizona is 5-2 in its last seven home games.
— over 4-2 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 6-35
— record in first 5 innings: 17-16-2

AL games
Bronx (18-16) @ Tampa Bay (19-17)
— Montgomery is 0-1, 5.40 in his last five starts.
— New York is 4-2 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— He is 1-3, 5.63 in eight starts vs Tampa Bay.

— New York won 13 of its last 19 games.
— New York is 5-3 in its last eight road games.
— under 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 5-34
— record in first 5 innings: 16-12-6

— Yarbrough is 1-1, 3.05 in his last four games (20.2 IP)
— They may/may not use an opener.
— Rays are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He is 4-2, 2.88 in seven games (0 starts, 25 IP) vs New York.

— Tampa Bay won six of its last eight games.
— Rays are 3-5 in last eight home games.
— 10 of last 16 games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 9-36
— record in first 5 innings: 12-14-10

Kansas City (16-17) @ Detroit (10-24)
— Singer is 1-1, 2.18 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 3-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 3-0, 1.44 in four starts vs Detroit.

— Royals lost their last eight games.
— Royals are 7-3 in last ten road games.
— nine of last 11 games went over
— scores run in first inning: 6-33
— record in first 5 innings: 14-14-5

— Boyd is 1-4, 2.55 in six starts.
— Detroit is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 4-2 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 7-10, 5.71 in 23 starts vs Kansas City.

— Detroit lost 18 of its last 22 games.
— Detroit is 3-8 in its last 11 home games.
— under 10-5 at home
— scored run in first inning: 6-34
— record in first 5 innings: 2-16-3 last 21 games

Oakland (21-15) @ Boston (22-14)
— Bassitt is 2-0, 3.00 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston

— A’s are 8-8 in their last 16 games.
— Oakland is 8-4 on the road.
— Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-36
— record in first 5 innings: 14-13-9

— Eovaldi is 1-1, 7.04 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— He is 1-2, 4.28 in seven starts vs Oakland.

— Boston won five of its last seven games.
— Red Sox are 10-6 in last 16 home games.
— over 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 9-36
— record in first 5 innings: 16-13-7

Angels (16-18) @ Houston (18-17)
— Ohtani is 1-0, 3.38 in four starts (18.2 IP).
— Angels are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 0-1, 7.71 in three starts vs Houston.

— Halos won three of last four games overall.
— Angels are 5-4 in their last nine road games.
— over 12-7 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 8-34
— record in first 5 innings: 16-16-2

— McCullers is 1-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He is 3-3, 3.20 in 14 starts against the Angels.

— Astros lost five of their last eight games.
— Astros are 7-5 in last 12 home games.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 9-35
— record in first 5 innings: 16-13-6

Minnesota (12-20) @ White Sox (19-13)
— Maeda is 2-2, 5.97 in six starts.
— Twins are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-2
— He is 2-0, 3.00 in three starts vs Chicago.

— Twins lost 18 of their last 25 games.
— Minnesota is 2-7 in last nine road games.
— over 9-2 last 11 games
— scores run in first inning: 13-32
— record in first 5 innings: 14-11-7

— Cease is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (13 IP).
— Chicago is 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He is 0-2, 10.80 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Chicago is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
— White Sox are 6-3 in last nine home games.
— under 3-2-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-32
— record in first 5 innings: 22-4-6

Interleague games
Texas (18-19) @ San Francisco (21-14)
— Lyles is 0-2, 9.17 in his last four starts.
— Rangers are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4 (0-4 last 4)
— He is 4-4, 5.46 in 21 games (9 starts) vs San Francisco.

— Texas won eight of its last 12 games.
— Texas won three of its last four road games.
— over 7-5 last 12 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-37
— record in first 5 innings: 13-18-6

— Webb is 1-3, 5.23 in six starts.
— Giants are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
— He gave a run in 3.2 IP in his one start vs Texas.

— Giants won five of their last eight games.
— Giants are 13-4 at home.
— Over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-35
— record in first 5 innings: 19-11-5

Cubs (17-17) @ Cleveland (18-14)
— Alzolay is 1-0, 3.45 in his last three starts.
— Cubs are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Cubs won five of their last six games.
— Chicago is 3-9 in its last dozen road games.
— Over is 9-4 in their last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-34
— record in first 5 innings: 13-16-5

— Bieber is 2-1, 2.50 in his last five starts.
— Indians are 5-2 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Cubs.

— Cleveland won 10 of its last 13 games.
— Indians are 8-7 at home.
— over 12-5-1 last 18 games
— scores run in first inning: 7-32
— record in first 5 innings: 10-17-5

Baltimore (16-19) @ Mets (16-13)
— Means is 4-0, 1.37 in seven starts.
— He threw a no-hitter in his last start
— Orioles are 5-2 in his starts.
— under 5-1-1 in his starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He is 1-1, 3.97 in two starts vs New York.

— Orioles lost five of their last eight games.
— Baltimore is 11-6 on the road, 5-13 at home.
— under is 16-5 in their last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 9-35
— record in first 5 innings: 13-15-7

— Stroman is 0-3, 7.07 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-0-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 5-5, 3.36 in 12 starts vs Baltimore.

— Mets are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Mets are 9-4 at home.
— Under 10-5-1 last sixteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 5-29
— record in first 5 innings: 14-13-2

Toronto (17-16) @ Atlanta (17-17)
— Ray is 1-0, 3.04 in his last four starts.
— Blue Jays are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 1-2, 4.50 in five starts vs Atlanta.

— Toronto is 9-6 in its last 15 games.
— Toronto is 6-5 in last 11 road games.
— over 10-2 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 10-33
— record in first 5 innings: 13-16-4

— Fried is 1-1, 9.00 in four starts (16 IP).
— Braves are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He allowed one run in six IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

— Braves won five of their last six games.
— Atlanta is 9-8 at home.
— Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 11-34
— record in first 5 innings: 15-14-5

Seattle (18-17) @ Dodgers (18-17)
— Kikuchi is 1-2, 4.56 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 4.2 IP, in his one start against Dodgers.

— Seattle is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Seattle is 2-6 in its last eight road games.
— under 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 8-35
— record in first 5 innings: 13-18-4

— Buehler is 1-0, 3.13 in six starts.
— Dodgers are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-3
— He gave a run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.

— Dodgers lost 15 of their last 20 games.
— Dodgers are 2-5 in last seven home games.
— over 13-3 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 9-35
— record in first 5 innings: 16-13-6

Tuesday’s umpires:
Cin-Pitt: Under is 5-1 in last six Hoberg games.
Mia-Ariz: Under is 3-1 in last four Fairchild games.

LAA-Hst: Underdog won five of six Wegner games.

Tex-SF: Last three Blaser games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, May 11

Trend Report

Texas @ San Francisco
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home

Chi Cubs @ Cleveland
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 11 games

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Philadelphia @ Washington
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games

Oakland @ Boston
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Kansas City @ Detroit
Kansas City
Kansas City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games

Baltimore @ NY Mets
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Baltimore

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees

Toronto @ Atlanta
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Minnesota @ Chi White Sox
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

LA Angels @ Houston
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Angels's last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 12 of LA Angels's last 15 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Houston's last 13 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 15 games when playing LA Angels

San Diego @ Colorado
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego's last 8 games on the road
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing at home against San Diego

Miami @ Arizona
Miami
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Miami
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Seattle @ LA Dodgers
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Diamond Trends for Tuesday May 11
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: St. Louis at Milwaukee (7:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Brewers are 13-0 SU since Apr 20, 2016 as a favorite after a win as a road dog where they never trailed.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago Cubs at Cleveland (6:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Cubs are 0-11 SU since Jun 22, 2019 off a one-run loss at home.

OU Play Trend of the Day
Matchup: Texas at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Giants are 10-0 OU (3.85 ppg) since Apr 20, 2021 after they scored in more innings than their opponent.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Kansas City at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Tigers are 0-9 SU since Jun 24, 2018 when Matthew Boyd starts as a dog when he went fewer than 5 innings in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

529MINNESOTA -530 DETROIT
DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games off a home loss in the current season.

533MIAMI -534 BOSTON
MIAMI is 66-46 ATS (15.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.

535LA CLIPPERS -536 TORONTO
LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

537BROOKLYN -538 CHICAGO
BROOKLYN is 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

539DALLAS -540 MEMPHIS
MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

541PHILADELPHIA -542 INDIANA
PHILADELPHIA is 3-18 ATS (-16.8 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins in the last 3 seasons.

543ORLANDO -544 MILWAUKEE
MILWAUKEE is 65-48 ATS (12.2 Units) in home games in the last 3 seasons.

545PHOENIX -546 GOLDEN STATE
PHOENIX is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a division game in the current season.

547OKLAHOMA CITY -548 SACRAMENTO
SACRAMENTO is 48-28 ATS (17.2 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

549NEW YORK -550 LA LAKERS
NEW YORK is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after 2+ road games in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, May 11

Denver @ Charlotte
Nuggets (44-24)
— Denver won 18 of its last 24 games, but lost last two.
— Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in last seven road games.
— Under is 7-4 in Denver’s last 11 games.

Hornets (33-35)
— Charlotte lost five of its last eight games SU.
— Hornets are 2-4 ATS in their last six home games.
— Over is 3-1 in Charlotte’s last four home games.

— Denver won last four series games.
— Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in last four visits to Charlotte.
— series games.

Minnesota @ Detroit
Timberwolves (21-47)
— Minnesota lost three of its last four games (1-2-1 ATS).
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Wolves are 4-1-1 ATS in last six road games.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Pistons (20-49)
— Detroit lost nine of its last 11 games
— Pistons are 5-3 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 7-3 in Detroit’s last ten games.

— Minnesota won last two series games, after losing previous eight.
— Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS in last five visits to Detroit.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Miami @ Boston
Heat (37-31)
— Miami won/covered nine of its last 12 games.
— Heat is 4-1 ATS in last five road games.
— Over is 9-0 in their last nine games.

Celtics (35-33)
— Boston lost three of its last four games.
— Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
— Over is 7-1 in their last eight games

— Miami won six of last nine series games.
— Heat covered three of last four visits to Boston.
— Over is 5-1 in last six series games.

LA Clippers @ Toronto
Clippers (45-23)
— Clippers lost four of their last six games.
— Clippers are 0-4 ATS in last four road games.
— Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Clipper games.

Raptors (27-41)
— Toronto lost seven of its last nine games.
— Raptors are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight home games.
— Under is 5-1 in their last six home games.

— Clippers won last three series games.
— LA is 2-3 ATS in last five road series games.
— Under is 6-1 in last seven series games.

Philadelphia @ Indiana
76ers (47-21)
— 76ers won last eight games (6-2 ATS).
— Sixers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
— Over is 4-2 in Philly’s last six games.

Pacers (32-36)
— Indiana lost five of its last eight games SU.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Pacers are 3-6 ATS in their last nine home games.
— Over is 8-3 in Indiana’s last 11 games.

— Philly won five of last eight series games.
— 76ers are 1-3 ATS in last four visits to Indiana.
— Last three series games went over.

Brooklyn @ Chicago
Nets (44-24)
— Brooklyn lost four of its last five games SU.
— Nets are 4-5 ATS in last nine road games.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten Brooklyn games.

Bulls (29-39)
— Chicago lost 11 of its last 18 games SU.
— Bulls are 3-2 ATS in their last five home games.
— Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

— Brooklyn won eight of last ten series games.
— Nets are 4-1 ATS in last five visits to Chicago.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Dallas @ Memphis
Mavericks (40-28)
— Mavericks won 10 of their last 12 games.
— Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in last 11 road games.
— Under is 3-2 in last five Dallas games.

Grizzlies (35-33)
— Memphis won three of its last four games SU.
— Grizzlies are 7-4 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Under is 3-0 in last three Memphis games.

— Dallas won five of last six series games.
— Mavericks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Memphis.
— Over is 5-2 in last seven series games.

Orlando @ Milwaukee
Magic (21-47)
— Orlando lost its last three games.
— Magic is 2-4 ATS in last six road games.
— Over is 16-5 in their last 21 games overall.

Bucks (43-25)
— Milwaukee is 5-1 its last six games SU.
— Bucks are 4-2 ATS in last six home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 11-4 in Milwaukee’s last 15 home games.

— Bucks won last six series games (5-0-1 ATS).
— Magic is 2-2-1 ATS in last five visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Phoenix @ Golden State
Suns (48-20)
— Phoenix won six of its last eight games.
— Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Over is 18-5 in their last 23 games.

Warriors (36-33)
— Golden State won five of its last six games SU.
— Warriors are 8-3 ATS in last 11 home games.
— Under is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

— Phoenix won five of last seven series games.
— Suns are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to SF/Oakland.
— Last eight series games stayed under the total.

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
Thunder (21-48)
— Thunder lost 24 of its last 26 games.
— OKC is 3-7 ATS in their last ten games.
— Under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 road games.

Kings (30-38)
— Sacramento is 8-4 in its last 12 games SU.
— Kings are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games.
— Under is 5-0-1 in Sacramento’s last six games.

— Kings won six of last nine series games.
— Thunder is 3-2 ATS in last five visits to Sacramento.
— Under is 5-1 in last six series games.

New York @ LA Lakers
Knicks (37-30)
— New York won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Knicks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.
— Over is 13-6 in New York’s last 19 games

Lakers (37-30)
— Lakers lost eight of their last 11 games.
— Lakers are 4-7 ATS in their last 11 home games.
— Under is 4-2-1 in their seven games.

— Teams split last six series games.
— Knicks are 3-2 ATS in last five road series games.
— Over is 7-2 in last nine series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, May 11

Trend Report

Denver @ Charlotte
Denver
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Denver

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Miami @ Boston
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games

LA Clippers @ Toronto
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Clippers's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

Philadelphia @ Indiana
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Philadelphia's last 16 games on the road
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home
Indiana is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Dallas @ Memphis
Dallas
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Memphis's last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Dallas

Brooklyn @ Chicago
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games

Orlando @ Milwaukee
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando

Phoenix @ Golden State
Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
Golden State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oklahoma City's last 20 games on the road
Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games

New York @ LA Lakers
New York
New York is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games
New York is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against New York

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends for Tuesday May 11
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 12-0 ATS (8.08 ppg) with less than two days rest after they had 5 or fewer offensive boards last game.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Philadelphia at Indiana (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Pacers are 0-14 ATS (-8.18 ppg) at home off a road game.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Minnesota at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Timberwolves are 11-0 OU (8.05 ppg) off a game as a favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:
Matchup: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Bulls are 0-11 OU (-22.50 ppg) at home off a win as a favorite in which Zach Lavine was their high scorer.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

23BOSTON -24 WASHINGTON
BOSTON is 231-218 ATS (47.9 Units) in road games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game since 1996.

25VANCOUVER -26 WINNIPEG
WINNIPEG is 0-6 ATS (-7 Units) in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Tuesday, May 11

Trend Report

Boston @ Washington
Boston
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Boston

Vancouver @ Winnipeg
Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vancouver's last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 11 games when playing Winnipeg
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing at home against Vancouver
Winnipeg is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing Vancouver