Tuesday 6/22/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 05:24 AM

Al Cimaglia: Scioto Downs Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 22, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Tonight, Scioto Downs has 13 races scheduled with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 beginning in Race 10. It's a competitive sequence and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

3-E R Truevalue (12-1)-Looking for a price and this 10-year-old has finished 2nd both times he has drawn inside. Drew the 8-hole and post 9 twice in the other 3 starts here. Could get away in the pocket behind #4 and if so might surprise at a big price.
4-Wegottatruckyea (8/5)-Claimed by Galliers on 5-18 for $7,500 and now drops in for a $6,000 tag. There isn't much gate speed in the field and this veteran should get the top without a problem and may not look back.

Race 11

4-Atta Boy Chris (5/2)-Comes off a big try from post 8 and now makes the 3rd start at ScD, and this is the 3rd start on Lasix as well. Holiday should have this 3-year-old in play right from the word go.
7-Uncle Richard (12-1)-Raced from the rail in last and cashed a 3rd place check. Doesn't start quickly so that post draw didn't help much. Did race gamely to the wire in last and the price should be better tonight.
8-Velocity T Rock (7-1)-Raced evenly last week after breaking stride in the previous start. Did pace the 2nd half in .55 and it was an improved effort. Will look for the upswing to continue at a solid price.

Race 12

3-Lucifers Legend A (3-1)-Morgan trainee takes a meaningful drop and gets needed post relief. Has the gate speed to be put in play early on and could get the top or drop in the pocket behind #5.
5-High On Paydaze (2-1)-Got on the point into a 53.2 opening half on 6-8, but faded and missed the top check by 1 length. This will be the 5th race on Lasix and showed improvement in the last start. if Jeremy Smith could rate the mile in a better fashion it might be picture time.

Race 13

5-Northern Spy (3-1)-Makes the 2nd start for the Murphy barn and comes off a sharp try from post 9. The 0-19 record in 2021 is cause for pause but was facing better and fits with this crew.
7-Winna Winna (15-1)-Dropped to this level in last and almost made the most of drawing the rail but faded late to finish 3rd. Has the gate speed to get a good seat and is worth a swing at the morning line price.

0.50 Late Pick 4

3,4/4,7,8/3,5/5,7
Total Bet=$12

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 05:25 AM

Monday Myths: Does the Summer Heat Take Its Toll?

June 21, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Welcome to a continuing handicapping series for our Monday blog space, “Monday Myths.” Each week I’ll use the power of the Betmix database to take common handicapping assumptions and either support or dispel them with data. Betmix data powers the 1/ST BET app and its features like Angler and Birddog give data-minded horseplayers a treasure trove of information in which to query your own curiosities.

Assumption:

Horses need more time to recover between starts during the heat of summer.

Background:

The taxing nature of summer temperatures, and a horse population largely running on the diuretic Lasix, are believed to be reasons why it’s tougher to bounce back from an effort this time of year as we turn into the hot summer months.

Data Points:

I dialed up the Betmix database to track return days of a very short nature (14 days or less), short nature (21-28 days), average nature (29-42 days) and extended nature (43-56 days). I looked at the performance of all horses nationally at all class levels in each of those return spans by each season on the calendar. For seasons, I used Jan-Feb-Mar as winter; Apr-May-June as spring; July-Aug-Sep as summer; Oct-Nov-Dec as fall. We looked at the past 4 years of data going back to the start of 2017 through 2020.

Winter Return Days

Horses with very short return days (14 days or less) won 11.4% with a $0.74 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with short return days (21-28 days) won 13.3% with a $0.75 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with average return days (29-42 days) won 13.3% with a $0.71 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with extended return days (43-56 days) won 13.3% with a $0.74 ROI for every $1 bet.

Spring Return Days

Horses with very short return days (14 days or less) won 12.4% with a $0.75 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with short return days (21-28 days) won 14.1% with a $0.76 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with average return days (29-42 days) won 14.5% with a $0.75 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with extended return days (43-56 days) won 14.5% with a $0.77 ROI for every $1 bet.

Summer Return Days

Horses with very short return days (14 days or less) won 12.3% with a $0.70 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with short return days (21-28 days) won 14.1% with a $0.78 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with average return days (29-42 days) won 14.4% with a $0.76 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with extended return days (43-56 days) won 13.6% with a $0.70 ROI for every $1 bet.

Fall Return Days

Horses with very short return days (14 days or less) won 11.6% with a $0.74 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with short return days (21-28 days) won 12.8% with a $0.78 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with average return days (29-42 days) won 13.2% with a $0.79 ROI for every $1 bet.

Horses with extended return days (43-56 days) won 13.0% with a $0.75 ROI for every $1 bet.

Overall Findings:

Horses returning on the shortest layoffs (14 days or less) had the lowest win percentage in each of the four seasons. The difference in win percentages between short, average and extended returns were negligible in all four of the seasons, but slightly more pronounced in summer – where extended layoff horses fared .5% and .8% worse than those off short and average returns.

Bottom line:

Nothing jumps off the page in terms of seasonal influence when it comes to the success or failure of horses returning from varying lengths of rest. Summer horses coming off the shortest layoff (14 days or less) performed as well or better than other seasons; the same goes for those off 21-28 days, and the 29-42 day breaks. The numbers do indicate that it’s a falsity to assume that a horse running back on short rest in the summer is statistically compromised.

Additional Details:

You can go into Betmix and run your own queries for a deeper dive into this theory and any that you can create. For instance, which trainers do best at various levels of layoff and by season? The Betmix database shows Kelly Von Hemel (48%) and Dale Capuano (42%) are among the very best at summertime (July-August-September) returns from 14 days or fewer. You could sort this study by race class, distance or track to hone it in for the circuit and races you follow.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 05:26 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Parx Racing - Race #4

#1 Cajole	Her form is hit or miss, but she has a couple of back tries that stack up nicely here, and she can play with these if she's ready to roll off the bench.
#8 Ninetypercentbrynn	She has the form to be tough, but she has only been a serious win threat in one of her lifetime races and may be overbet again today with this group.
#5 Sky Queen	She was favored off the bench for that comeback in which she went evenly, but she has some room to come forward in this second start off the bench while moving around two turns.
Race Summary	Cajole will need to fire fresh to land this one, but some of the main players in here don't inspire a ton of confidence, and this filly might offer a fair enough price while trying two turns again.

Parx Racing - Race #7

#6 Like a Saltshaker	Two turns off the bench will always be an ask, but this guy's only career turf try nearly produced an open stakes score at Belmont last fall, and that kind of form would make him tough with the likely chalk here.
#8 Beren	He has never tried turf or been two turns, so there are at least some principled reasons to try and beat him. Some bad weather in the forecast offers a chance this gets run on the main where he would be very tough.
#4 Pylon	He's probably going to have some company near the top, but he has a little bit of intrigue while trying the turf for the first time. Talent is there to be competitive if he likes the new footing.
Race Summary	Like a Saltshaker showed he could be competitive with turf stakes company last year, and he can probably find a pretty great trip from close range in a spot with a couple of confirmed speed types.

Parx Racing - Race #9

#11 Cartouche	She has some pretty good sprint form and a couple of decent back turf races, so this one-turn turf try might be right up her alley. Thinking she'll find a pretty good spot near the top at a playable price.
#8 Caravel	She looks like the one to beat after the nice stake score at Pimlico, and she has never been beaten in three starts at the trip. Geroux in town to ride back.
#12 Jakarta	Speed has been in the mix early with some tough groups, but she's pretty one-dimensional and might have to work too hard for things from the outside.
Race Summary	Cartouche should offer a playable price while trying a turf sprint for the first time, and she handled the footing fine in the past when going long. This trip may suit.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 05:27 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Pocono Downs - Race #1

#3 SWEETONTHEBEACH	Overhauled by sharp foe, can carry speed farther in here.
#6 EXTRILLA HANOVER	Sustained rally to defeat the odds-on fave at Harrah's Philly.
#4 MORROCKIN K	Romped from post 8, takes class hike, Napolitano's choice.
Race Summary	Sweetonthebeach set the pace and shrugged off a challenge by Delightful Summer before a pair of sharp favorites passed by. She can maximize his speed in here at a tempting 9-2 on the morning line. Play a 3/4,6/ALL trifecta.

Running Aces - Race #4

#6 SIN MACHQUEEN	Class drop the answer for consistent 10yo, today's Best Bet.
#5 EXPLAINNOTCOMPLAIN	First-over in last three starts, gets driver upgrade.
#4 DREAM CHASIN	Set pace to stretch two back, rallied to just miss in latest.
Race Summary	Sin Machqueen plays to a steady beat and gets the necessary class relief to rally for his 30th lifetime victory. Let's make him today's Best Bet.

Scioto Downs - Race #5

#4 HAWK'S RED CHIEF	Solid return run, looks to get back on the winning track.
#2 BELIEVEINYOURMACH	Second in last pair, claimed, but 3-52 since 2020.
#5 ILOVEMYWOODY	Needs some pace flow, can rally for minor awards.
Race Summary	Hawk's Red Chief, a seven-time winner last year, raced close-up to the stretch in his seasonal debut before the deep closers arrived to get the money. He figures tough with a move forward today. Play 4-2 and 4-5 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 05:28 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Indiana Grand - Race #3

#1 Jungle Fighter	Comes in off a win and was claimed in his last at Tampa Bay, where the turf racing is actually pretty solid. Can bring a lot of late heat in this one for his first for the Aldana Gonzalez stable.
#3 Lontani	Ran a decent fourth in his first local start of the year and has done some good over this course in past seasons; can be closer to the pace than usual.
#6 Ego	Was up in time for a similar price last time and moves his act over to the turf.
Race Summary	Jungle Fighter ran in some very good races earlier this year and should be very competitive for this price.

Indiana Grand - Race #6

#5 Jackson Gold	Broke his maiden two back, had a lead vs. similar and settled for third going longer last time; turns back in distance and can get going earlier vs. these.
#2 Smokin Richie	Set the pace and finished second in a race that came off the turf; big pace player today as well.
#4 Highest Praise	Should speed vs. claimers last out and moves over to the turf; could be in the mix throughout.
Race Summary	Jackson Gold can stalk a fast pace and can make his move when asked; one to hold off.

Indiana Grand - Race #9

#1 Blueridge Mountain	Was third in a three-horse photo here last time and runs without blinkers today; has been in the hunt in every one of his races for Amoss, who claimed since seven races ago in February.
#4 Rare Form	Prefers to be on the front end and will run hard to get there; makes his first off the claim for Garcia.
#6 I Will Stand	Pressed throughout and missed by a nose vs. similar; is in good form and could improve in his second on the track this season.
Race Summary	Blueridge Mountain can be in the hunt for every bit of this one and will dig in when challenge; very game.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:20 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park

Belterra Park - Race 5	Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Starter Allowance $5,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 86 • Purse: $13,300 • Post: 2:31P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2020 - 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 22, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $7,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED)(PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $10,000 IN LAST 5 STARTS). (IF TRANSFERRED TO THE MAIN TRACK, THIS RACEWILL BE RUN AT ONE MILE AND A SIXTEENTH.).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Stalker. LADY BREANNA is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * POSITIVE VIBES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HONEY BOURBON: Horse has a TrackMa ster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. WAR EAGLE'S LOVE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LADY BREANNA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6	POSITIVE VIBES	8/1	5/1
2	HONEY BOURBON	5/1	5/1
3	WAR EAGLE'S LOVE	7/2	6/1
1	LADY BREANNA	9/2	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	WAR EAGLE'S LOVE	3	7/2	Front-runner	84	74	73.0	72.6	67.1
5	CHECK SIX	5	6/1	Front-runner	68	61	64.3	58.7	45.2
1	LADY BREANNA	1	9/2	Alternator/Stalker	85	76	60.5	46.6	42.1
6	POSITIVE VIBES	6	8/1	Trailer	84	86	44.8	74.4	67.9
2	HONEY BOURBON	2	5/1	Trailer	85	79	42.5	72.2	66.2
7	ABOGADA	7	8/1	Trailer	78	61	28.0	63.0	52.0
4	SINGSONG BIRD	4	5/2	Alternator/Non-contender	76	76	61.0	67.0	58.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:21 AM

MLB

Tuesday, June 22

NL games
Washington (33-36) @ Philadelphia (34-35)
— bullpen game

— Washington won seven of its last eight games.
— Nationals are 2-4 in last six road games.
— under 21-6 last 27 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-69
— record in first 5 innings: 28-26-15

— Wheeler is 3-1, 1.40 in his last eight starts.
— Phillies are 8-6 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-5
— He is 6-12, 4.44 in 22 starts vs Washington.

— Phillies are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— Phillies are 21-12 at home, 13-23 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-69
— record in first 5 innings: 25-28-16

Atlanta (34-37) @ Mets (37-30)
— Morton is 4-1, 3.77 in his last five starts.
— Braves are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 3-1-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-1
— He is 1-3, 3.52 in nine starts vs New York.

— Braves are 5-8 in their last 13 games
— Atlanta is 3-7 in its last ten road games.
— over 6-3 in last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-71
— record in first 5 innings: 35-25-11

— Stroman is 3-1, 1.97 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 8-6 in his starts.
— under 8-4-1 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-2
— He is 4-0, 1.88 in four starts vs Atlanta.

— Mets are 2-5 in their last seven games.
— Mets are 10-3 in their last 13 home games.
— under 12-5-1 last 18 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 15-67
— record in first 5 innings: 35-25-7

Milwaukee (40-33) @ Arizona (21-53)
— Peralta is 3-1, 1.47 in his last seven starts.
— Milwaukee is 9-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-4
— He is 2-0, 0.87 in 3 games (1 start) vs Arizona.

— Brewers lost six of their last eight games.
— Milwaukee is 9-4 in its last 13 road games.
— over 4-1-1 last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-73
— record in first 5 innings: 31-26-16

— Gallen is 1-2, 4.30 in six starts this year.
— He gave up 4 runs in 2.2 IP (58 PT) in his first start back off IL.
— Diamondbacks are 2-4 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2
— He gave up 2 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Milwaukee.

— Arizona snapped its 17-game losing skid last nite.
— Arizona is 3-14 in its last 17 home games.
— over 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 13-74
— record in first 5 innings: 25-44-5

Dodgers (44-28) @ San Diego (43-32)
— Kershaw is 1-3, 4.88 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 9-6 in his starts.
— over 19-2 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8
— He is 22-8, 2.04 in 42 starts vs San Diego.

— Dodgers won 10 of their last 13 games.
— Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 road games.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 20-72
— record in first 5 innings: 38-24-10

— Snell is 1-3, 9.43 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 5-9 in his starts.
— over 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-9-2
— He is 0-0, 2.92 in three starts vs Los Angeles.

— Padres won their last five games.
— San Diego is 6-4 in its last ten home games.
— over six of last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 20-75
— record in first 5 innings: 28-35-12

AL games
Houston (44-28) @ Baltimore (23-49)
— Greinke is 3-0, 3.16 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 11-4 in his starts.
— over 11-0 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-3
— He is 2-2, 5.32 in 9 games (7 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Astros won 16 of their last 20 games.
— Astros are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 28-72
— record in first 5 innings: 41-22-9

— Lopez is 1-5, 6.48 in his last seven starts.
— Baltimore is 4-10 in his starts.
— under 9-5 (last 3 over)
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 3-8-3
— He gave up 6 runs in 2.1 IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— Orioles lost 11 of their last 12 games.
— Baltimore is 11-25 on the road, 12-24 at home.
— over is 24-11-1 in their last 36 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-72
— record in first 5 innings: 23-36-13

Kansas City (32-38) @ Bronx (38-33)
— Singer is 1-1, 5.12 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 4-10 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 1-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Royals lost 11 of their last 14 games.
— Royals are 3-8 in their last 11 road games.
— over 6-3-1 last 10 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 14-70
— record in first 5 innings: 27-35-8

— Cole is 3-1, 2.81 in his last five starts.
— New York is 8-6 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 2-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-3
— He is 3-1, 2.36 in four starts vs Kansas City.

— New York won five of its last six games overall.
— New York is 5-8 in its last 13 home games.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-71
— record in first 5 innings: 28-29-14

Boston (43-29) @ Tampa Bay (43-30)
— Rodriguez is 0-0, 8.36 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 8-5 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-1
— He is 1-3, 5.44 in nine starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Boston won six of its last ten games.
— Red Sox won seven of their last nine road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-72
— record in first 5 innings: 33-29-10

— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay lost its last six games.
— Rays are 12-2 in last 14 home games.
— over is 5-2-1 in last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-73
— record in first 5 innings: 30-27-16

Oakland (44-30) @ Texas (26-46)
— Irvin is 1-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— A’s are 6-8 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-7-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— A’s lost their last three games.
— Oakland is 8-6 in its last 14 road games.
— Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-74
— record in first 5 innings: 33-27-14

— Lyles is 0-2, 5.60 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 6-8 in his starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-1
— He is 2-0, 2.81 in 4 game (3 starts) vs Oakland.

— Texas lost 10 of its last 13 games.
— Texas is 11-10 in its last 21 home games.
— under 3-2 last five home games.
— scored run in first inning: 16-72
— record in first 5 innings: 23-38-11

Interleague games
Cincinnati (35-36) @ Minnesota (31-41)
— Miley is 2-0, 2.16 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 7-5 in his starts.
— over 8-4
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-2
— He is 1-0, 4.86 in 4 games (3 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Cincinnati lost its last five games.
— Reds lost last five road tilts, after an 8-0 run.
— over 6-3 last nine road games
— scored run in first inning: 19-71
— record in first 5 innings: 28-30-13

— Ober is 0-0, 4.85 in four starts.
— Twins are 3-1 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Minnesota won its last five games.
— Twins are 3-5 in their last eight home games.
— over 13-4-1 last 18 home games
— scores run in first inning: 26-72
— record in first 5 innings: 24-33-15

White Sox (43-29) @ Pittsburgh (25-43)
— Giolito is 1-1, 3.46 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 7-7 in his starts.
— over 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-3
— He is 1-0, 2.77 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Chicago lost its last four games.
— White Sox are 3-6 in their last nine road games.
— under 15-9-3 last 27 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-72
— record in first 5 innings: 40-18-14

— TAnderson is 0-4, 7.90 in his last five starts
— Pittsburgh is 6-7 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-13
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago

— Pirates lost 11 of their last 13 games.
— Pittsburgh lost five of its last seven home games.
— under 12-9 last 21 home games
— scored run in first inning: 20-70
— record in first 5 innings: 19-40-11

Cleveland (40-30) @ Cubs (40-33)
— Morgan is 0-1, 12.79 in two starts.
— Indians are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago

— Cleveland is 13-7 in its last 20 games.
— Indians are 9-6 in last 15 road games.
— over 24-12 last 36 games
— scores run in first inning: 26-70
— record in first 5 innings: 28-32-10

— Hendricks is 7-0, 2.93 in his last seven starts.
— Cubs are 9-5 in his starts.
— over 9-5
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He gave up a run in six IP, in his one start vs Cleveland.

— Cubs lost six of their last eight games.
— Chicago is 17-6 in its last 23 home games.
— Under is 14-8 in their last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-73
— record in first 5 innings: 33-31-9

St Louis (36-36) @ Detroit (30-42)
— Oviedo is 0-0, 4.12 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 2-5 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Cardinals won four of their last seven games.
— St Louis is 2-9 in its last 11 road games.
— Over is 9-4 in their last 13 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-72
— record in first 5 innings: 29-30-13

— Skubal is 3-0, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Tigers are 4-8 in his starts.
— over 7-4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8
— He allowed 6 runs in two IP, in his one start vs St Louis

— Detroit lost three of its last four games.
— Detroit is 1-4 in its last five home games.
— over 9-3 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-72
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3 last 8 at home

Toronto (35-35) @ Miami (31-40)
— Stripling is 2-1, 3.74 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 4-6 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4
— He is 0-1, 2.38 in 5 games (1 start) vs Miami.

— Blue Jays are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Toronto is 5-6 in its last 11 road games.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 22-70
— record in first 5 innings: 31-29-10

— Alcantara is 2-1, 1.61 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 7-8 in his starts.
— under 5-0-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3
— He gave up 4 runs in six IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

— Marlins split their last 14 games.
— Miami is 8-4 in its last 12 home tilts.
— under 8-5-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-69
— record in first 5 innings: 26-29-14

San Francisco (45-26) @ Angels (36-36)
— DeSclafani is 3-0, 1.80 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 10-4 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-3-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 5.1 IP, in his one start against the Angels.

— Giants are 12-5 in their last 17 games.
— Giants are 6-3 in last nine road games.
— Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-72
— record in first 5 innings: 40-22-10

— Heaney is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 11-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-1
— He is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Halos won three of their last four games.
— Angels are 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— over 12-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-72
— record in first 5 innings: 32-32-8

Colorado (30-43) @ Seattle (37-36)
— Freeland is 0-2, 12.42 in five starts.
— Rockies are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— you’re reading ***************.com
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Colorado won five of its last seven games.
— Rockies are 25-16 at home, 5-27 on road.
— over 4-2 last six road games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-73
— record in first 5 innings: 28-36-9

— Flexen is 2-1, 2.67 in his last four starts.
— Mariners are 9-3 in his starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He gave up 5 runs in 3.1 IP, in 2 games (1 start) vs Colorado.

— Seattle won seven of its last eight games.
— Seattle is 11-3 in its last 14 home games.
— under 11-6-1 last 18 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-74
— record in first 5 innings: 34-34-6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:22 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, June 22

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:27 AM

951WASHINGTON -952 PHILADELPHIA
WASHINGTON is 44-20 SU (22 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

953ATLANTA -954 NY METS
NY METS are 16-6 SU (11.6 Units) vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

955MILWAUKEE -956 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 1-15 SU (-15.7 Units) vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.050 or better in the current season.

957LA DODGERS -958 SAN DIEGO
SAN DIEGO is 25-12 SU (11.8 Units) in home games against left-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

959KANSAS CITY -960 NY YANKEES
NY YANKEES are 13-1 SU (11.9 Units) as a home favorite of -200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

961HOUSTON -962 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 5-16 SU (-14.6 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

963BOSTON -964 TAMPA BAY
TAMPA BAY is 24-7 SU (17.3 Units) vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) in the current season.

965OAKLAND -966 TEXAS
OAKLAND is 10-0 SU (10 Units) when playing with a day off in the current season.

967CINCINNATI -968 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 19-45 SU (-33.2 Units) vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game in the current season.

969CHI WHITE SOX -970 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 5-16 SU (-13.2 Units) vs. a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:27 AM

MLB

Tuesday, June 22

Trend Report

Cincinnati @ Minnesota
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Houston @ Baltimore
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games

Kansas City @ NY Yankees
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Washington @ Philadelphia
Washington
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Chi White Sox @ Pittsburgh
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

St. Louis @ Detroit
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of St. Louis's last 8 games
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home

Toronto @ Miami
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto

Atlanta @ NY Mets
Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Boston @ Tampa Bay
Boston
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
Tampa Bay is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

Cleveland @ Chi Cubs
Cleveland
Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Chi Cubs is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home

Oakland @ Texas
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

San Francisco @ LA Angels
San Francisco
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Angels's last 10 games
LA Angels is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Milwaukee @ Arizona
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Arizona
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arizona's last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Milwaukee

LA Dodgers @ San Diego
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Colorado @ Seattle
Colorado
Colorado is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
Seattle is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:28 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, June 22

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:28 AM

Diamond Trends for Tuesday June 22
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 10-0 SU since May 11, 2021 as a favorite after they drew 5+ walks last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Chicago White Sox at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. ET)

-- The Pirates are 0-10 SU since May 19, 2021 as a dog after they had 6 or fewer hits last game.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: Colorado at Seattle (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Mariners are 0-9-1 OU since May 03, 2021 as a home favorite.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Milwaukee at Arizona (9:40 p.m. ET)

-- The Brewers are 8-0 OU (5.50 ppg) since May 19, 2018 when Freddy Peralta starts on the road after he had a WHIP of less than 1 in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:29 AM

551LA CLIPPERS -552 PHOENIX
PHOENIX is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 06-22-2021, 10:29 AM

NBA

Tuesday, June 22

LA Clippers @ Phoenix
Clippers
— Clippers have been playing every other day since June 2.
— Clippers won last two series, after falling behind 2-0 in both.
— Jackson/George shot 20-47 in Game 1; other three starters were 8-20.
— LA subs were a combined minus-35 in Game 1
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Clippers are 4-2-1 ATS in last seven road games.

Suns (lead series 1-0)
— Suns took only 9 FT’s in Game 1; Booker was 7-7
— Phoenix won 7 in row, 12 of last 14 games overall.
— Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Phoenix was held to 102-95 points in its two playoff losses.
— Suns are in playoffs for first time in a decade.
— Phoenix subs were a combined +35 in Game 1.

— Chris Paul/Kawhi Leonard probably won’t play in this game.
— Clippers won five of last seven series games.
— LA is 3-4 ATS in last seven visits to Phoenix.
— Under is 4-3 in last seven series games.