Friday 6/25/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Dave Cokin

Event: (925) Kansas City Royals at (926) Texas Rangers
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: 1H Kansas City Royals +100 M Minor (LHP), D Dunning (RHP) Must Start
No gigantic edges, but when checking out the check marks in the categories I focus on, it's basically a clean sweep for Kansas City. Dane Dunning has been more unlucky than anything else at home. He checks in with an average game score of 56 in this ballpark which is solid. But overall Dunning has not been good and it needs to be mentioned that the Rangers are 2-12 when he takes the ball. Mike Minor has been good on the road with a solid 60 average game score and he's a little better than average overall in that category. The Royals are also 5-1 in his six away starts. Moving to the offenses, the splits are a virtual wash and it's just a slight KC edge over the past week. But for the month, the visitors have been average, and that's a whole lot better than the Rangers, who have not hit well at all. At roughly even money for the first 5 innings, there's enough here to warrant a wager on the Royals.

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Ralph Michaels

Event: (31) New York Islanders at (32) Tampa Bay Lightning
Sport/League: NHL (See all free NHL picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Total Under 5.0 (+110)
Tampa Bay/ NY Islanders UNDER 5

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Bobby Ligs

Event: (581) Atlanta Hawks at (582) Milwaukee Bucks
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Atlanta Hawks +7.5 (-110)

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Andy Lang

Event: (581) Atlanta Hawks at (582) Milwaukee Bucks
Sport/League: NBA (See all free NBA picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 8PM EDT
Play: Trae Young OVER 30.5 Points
The books have raised this from 28.5 points in game 1 to 30.5 in game 2 tonight, and we're going to take his over again. If this game is anything like game 1, Young will dominate again as Milwaukee's perimeter offered little to no resistance to his speed and shooting. He played 41 minutes, and went 10-12 from the free throw line. He had 13 three point attempts, and while he only hit 4 if he keeps that type of volume up from long range and from the free throw line, 30 points is well within reach. While we don't expect him to replicate a 48 point performance, he does have 7 games of 30+ points in the post-season. We'll take his point total over again tonight.

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Marco D'Angelo

Event: (931) Oakland Athletics at (932) San Francisco Giants
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Oakland Athletics -111 S Manaea (LHP), J Cueto (RHP) Must Start
FREE PLAY: OAKLAND -111

Oakland sends Sean Manaea to the mound and in 5 career starts against San Francisco he has a ERA of 2.71 and his team is 4-1 in his 5 starts. Manaea has allowed 2 runs or less in 6 straight games. We also find that the Oakland A’s going back to last year are 17-4 when playing on Fridays.

TAKE OAKLAND

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Tony Finn

Event: (931) Oakland Athletics at (932) San Francisco Giants
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 9PM EDT
Play: Oakland Athletics -109 S Manaea (LHP), J Cueto (RHP) Must Start
The Oakland Athletics (46-31) are doing their best to keep pace with the Houston Astros and their 11-game winning streak. The A's are two games back of the first-place Astros and are as close to home as they get without actually being on home grass in a game against Bay Area rival the San Francisco Giants (48-26)
The A's have scheduled right-hander Sean Manaea (6-3, 3.01 ERA) to oppose the Giants righty Johnny Cueto (5-3, 4.05). Cueto is familiar with the Battle of the Bay Area and receives the first installation of the Oakland-S.F. rivalry tonight. The veteran right-hander needs to be in an extremely favorable situation to receive my support. And tonight doesn't offer the necessary favor.
Manaea went 5.1 frames in his last turn, allowing two earned runs on three hits while striking out 11 and walking two. Manaea has a league average K rate through 15 starts and, by most measures, is due for some negative regression. That regression waits for another day and another start. Free Pick is a play on Manaea and the A's.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dwayne Bryant

Event: (913) Arizona Diamondbacks at (914) San Diego Padres
Sport/League: MLB (See all free MLB picks)
Date/Time: June 25, 2021 10PM EDT
Play: Total Under 8.5 (-115) C Martin (RHP), C Paddack (RHP) Must Start

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MLB
Weather Report

Friday, June 25

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901COLORADO -902 MILWAUKEE
COLORADO is 5-16 SU (-17.5 Units) in road games vs. good fielding teams - averaging <=0.6 errors/game in the current season.

903PHILADELPHIA -904 NY METS
PHILADELPHIA is 4-10 SU (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

905PHILADELPHIA -906 NY METS
PHILADELPHIA is 4-10 SU (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the current season.

907WASHINGTON -908 MIAMI
WASHINGTON is 45-21 SU (21.9 Units) after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the last 3 seasons.

909ATLANTA -910 CINCINNATI
ATLANTA is 4-14 SU (-11.6 Units) vs. terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the current season.

911PITTSBURGH -912 ST LOUIS
PITTSBURGH is 13-24 SU (-14.9 Units) vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game in the current season.

913ARIZONA -914 SAN DIEGO
ARIZONA is 2-15 SU (-16.6 Units) in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start in the current season.

915CHICAGO CUBS -916 LA DODGERS
LA DODGERS are 122-95 SU (17.5 Units) against right-handed starters in the last 3 seasons.

917BALTIMORE -918 TORONTO
BALTIMORE is 5-19 SU (-17.6 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.

919HOUSTON -920 DETROIT
DETROIT is 12-3 SU (8.7 Units) as an underdog of +200 or more over the last 2 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, June 25

Trend Report

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 9 games
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Colorado @ Milwaukee
Colorado
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home

Baltimore @ Toronto
Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 10 games
Baltimore is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NY Yankees @ Boston
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

Atlanta @ Cincinnati
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Houston @ Detroit
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Houston

Washington @ Miami
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Miami's last 13 games when playing Washington

LA Angels @ Tampa Bay
LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Angels's last 12 games
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Angels
Tampa Bay is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Angels

Philadelphia @ NY Mets
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets
NY Mets is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
NY Mets is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Kansas City @ Texas
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Texas is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Seattle @ Chi White Sox
Seattle
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi White Sox's last 10 games when playing Seattle
Chi White Sox is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

Cleveland @ Minnesota
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Pittsburgh @ St. Louis
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
St. Louis is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

Oakland @ San Francisco
Oakland
Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
San Francisco is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
San Francisco is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Chi Cubs @ LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Chi Cubs is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Arizona @ San Diego
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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MLB
Dunkel

Friday, June 25

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Diamond Trends for Friday June 25
Vince Akins

SU Play ON Trend of the Day
Matchup: Houston at Detroit (7:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Astros are 12-0 SU since May 11, 2021 as a favorite after they drew 5+ walks last game.

SU Play AGAINST Trend of the Day
Matchup: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. ET)

-- The Orioles are 0-20 SU since May 11, 2021 on the road.

OU Trend of the Day
Matchup: San Diego at Arizona (10:10 p.m. ET)

-- The Padres are 0-9 OU (-3.39 ppg) since Sept. 15, 2020 off a home game where they were tied at the end of six innings.

Starter-Based Trend of the Day
Matchup: Oakland at San Francisco (9:45 p.m. ET)

-- The Athletics are 0-8 OU (-4.31 ppg) since May 3, 2018 when Sean Manaea starts on the road after he threw more strike outs than hits allowed in his last start.

Trends are verified using Sports Data Query Language (SDQL)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

581ATLANTA -582 MILWAUKEE
ATLANTA is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

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NBA

Friday, June 25

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Hawks (lead series 1-0)
— Hawks won 16 of last 21 games (14-7 ATS).
— Under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.
— Trae Young scored 48 points, had 11 assists in Game 1.
— Hawks are 6-2 ATS in road playoff games.
— Last time Hawks were in this round was 2015; their coach was Mike Budenholzer, now coach of Milwaukee.

Bucks
— Bucks won four of their last six games.
— Milwaukee is 3-2-1 ATS in home playoff games.
— Middleton was only 6-23 from floor in Game 1.
— You’re reading ***************.com
— Under is 9-6-1 in last 16 Milwaukee games.
— Bucks’ starters were combined minus-28 in Game 1.
— Giannis/Holiday both shot 14-25 from floor in Game 1.

— Bucks won eight of last ten series games.
— Hawks are 2-2 ATS in last four visits to Milwaukee.
— Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, June 25

Trend Report

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta