Thursday 7/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 06:24 AM

Jeff Siegel's National Prime Plays for 7/1/21

July 1, 2021
Every Thursday through Sunday handicapper Jeff Siegel offers his best wagering opportunity from a selected North American racetrack. These “Best Plays” can take the form of a win wager, exacta, trifecta, or a daily double, pick-3, pick-4 or pick-6. Selections are listed in chronological order.

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Gulfstream Park Race 3 – Post time: 1:54 ET
3-My Sassenach (8-1)

A pair fillies by the good regional stallion Uncaptured top the field in this Florida-bred maiden juvenile sprint at five one-half furlongs. Lara’s Lady will be trying to make amends for her no-excuse runner-up at 50 cents on the dollar in her debut last month after displaying good quickness to take control early but then being worn down late while more than four lengths clear of the rest. From a barn that has excellent stats (25%) with second time starters, she’s very likely to clear the field from her rail draw but today must negotiate an extra furlong and might prove vulnerable again in the closing stages and she may not offer much value at even money on the morning line My Sassenach impressed in a :10 1/5 breeze prior to the April OBS Sale and then sold for $152,000 through the ring, so she’s clearly well-regarded. Low profile connections should ensure a square price (she's 8-1 on the morning line), so let’s put D. Braddy-trained filly her on top as a win play and then for protection hook her up in a solid exacta box with the speedy Lara’s Lady.
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Belmont Park Race 5 - Post time: 3:02 ET
5-Sweet Sugar Baby (12-1)

This maiden juvenile dash for New York-bred fillies should boil down to the two daughters of Mission Impossible drawn side-by-side outside in this six runner event. Sweet Sugar Baby, a $40,000 OBS March sale purchase after a strong :10 1/5 breeze during the preview session, vans down from Finger Lakes after a series of steady but unspectacular workouts that should have her fit enough for a major effort first crack out of the box at a juicy 12-1 on the morning line. Clearly, she won’t have to be a world beater to act with this group, her main contention coming from the second-time starting Parx shipper Darn That Song, off slowly before finishing a respectable third in a hot race just eight days ago. She’ll have no excuses from her cozy outside draw. We’ll use both in an exacta box and then press in the win pool with the much higher priced Sweet Sugar Baby on top.
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Ellis Park Race 6 – Post time: 2:42 CT
3-Costa Terra (9/2)

By the highly-promising freshman sire Gun Runner from the dam of the good Stakes winner Pneumatic, Costa Terra debuts in this five furlong dash for juveniles and looks to have found a proper spot to win at first asking. A couple of sharp gate workouts in May at Keeneland catch the eye, and in a field in which the known element doesn’t impress the S. Asmussen-trained colt appears cranked up for a major effort. He’s 9/2 on the morning line and at anywhere near that price he’ll offer good wagering value in the win pool and in rolling exotic play.
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Woodbine Race 7 – Post time: 4:24 ET
2-March to the Arch (9/5)

Primarily a high-class grass performer throughout his 25-race career but highly-capable over the local synthetic surface as well, March to the Arch faces what appears to be a stiff task in his first outing since finishing unplaced in the Breeders’ Cup Mile last November in this year’s edition of the 8.5 furlong Dominion Day S.-G3. A deep closer that generally requires help up front to have his best chance, the M. Casse-trained gelding will need to be fit and ready in a race that projects to be slowly-run early. However, the local work tab is sharp and steady, so with a distinct class edge and a history off firing huge off a layoff we’re expecting the son of Arch to overcome an unfavorable race flow and make him a strong play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.
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**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 06:28 AM

AI Picks: Woodbine's Dominion Day | Thursday, July 1

June 30, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
A special Thursday, July card at Woodbine celebrates that nation’s Canada Day festivities. Woodbine will offer an 8-race program beginning at 1:20 pm ET. The feature event is Race 7, the $150,000 Grade 3 Dominion Day Stakes.
The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections. You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer.

We’ve included the official track morning line odds with the Woodbine picks for the holiday stakes. Full selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app, where you can bet Woodbine racing and dozens of tracks worldwide.

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Woodbine // Race 7 // 4:24 pm ET // Grade 3 Dominion Day Stakes // 1-1/16 miles

#2 March to the Arch (9-5 ML) // 27%W // 47%P // 66%S

#4 Mighty Heart (5-2 ML) // 19%W // 39%P // 54%S

#6 Belichick (6-1 ML) // 14%W // 29%P // 47%S

#7 Skywire (4-1 ML) // 14%W // 26%P // 38%S

#1 Lookin to Strike (10-1 ML) // 11%W // 27%P // 43%S

#3 Atone (20-1 ML) // 9%W // 18%P // 30%S

#5 Malibu Mambo (12-1 ML) // 6%W // 15%P // 23%S

Notes: Trainer Mark Casse sends out 3 of the 7 entrants (Lookin to Strike, March to the Arch and Skywire), including the morning line favorite and 1/ST BET AI top win projection. March to the Arch makes his first start since last year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile and was runner-up in the Grade 1 Woodbine Mile on the local turf a year ago; he’ll transition to the Tapeta for the comeback race. Reigning Queen’s Plate winner Mighty Heart was a race short of Triple Crown glory last year, but accounted for himself nicely in open company last time out at Churchill Downs in the Blame Stakes. He’ll rematch with last year’s Queen’s Plate runner-up Belichick.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 06:36 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Woodbine - Race #6

#11 Moonlit Silence	Draws well to spy the splits like she did last time out, and she has the pedigree to suggest she'll be able to handle the move to the turf while moving around two turns.
#4 Using Coconuts	She gets Lasix off the nose miss in the debut at this level, but she's adding ground while trying turf for the first time off the bench. She can win this, but there are principled reasons to stand against.
#5 Jungle Goddess	She'll have to fire fresh at the longest trip of her short career, but the move back to the turf should serve her well after a dull chase-and-fade main track try here to close out her 2yo campaign.
Race Summary	Moonlit Silence looks like she might land a really great trip while in touch, and she has some room to move forward in this second start off the bench with some trip/surface upside here.

Woodbine - Race #7

#4 Mighty Heart	Looks like he should be able to control the pace, and we know this Queens Plate winner can handle a two-turn trip on the main here. Tactical edge on the likely chalk.
#2 March to the Arch	He's the clear one to beat as he kicks off his 6yo campaign over a surface on which he has a win and a second from two career tries, and he has a big class edge on most of these while coming down out of the Breeders' Cup Mile.
#6 Belichick	He just missed in that comeback run at Churchill, and he has run pretty well over the local footing in the past. Chance, but think one of the top two will get home today.
Race Summary	Mighty Heart and March to the Arch should be tough to get past, and while 'Arch is classier, Heart has a big tactical edge on him and doesn't meet a ton of other pace to deal with in this spot. Price should be better, too.

Woodbine - Race #8

#7 Pocket	I'll take a big swing with the 0-fer barn running this one off the layoff, but she returns off the layoff with a mostly regular worktab. The barn has gone 2-for-5 with this type of MCL turf route horse here the last two years, with winners at $22 and $58, so I'm going to hope the addition of blinkers coupled with the new trip wakes her up at a big number.
#8 Candy's Dream	She has had 13 chances, but nearly all of them came in MSW company, and she ran okay on the main with better in her first try with MCL company. Tough if ready.
#11 Rosa's Soul	Would definitely want this one on the multi-race plays with some upside in this second start off the layoff, and her only career turf try produced one of her best lifetime efforts. The move around two turns probably won't hurt.
Race Summary	Taking a shot with Pocket for a barn that has not won a race since 2019, but they don't start many horses and have been a 15% turf operation the last couple of years, including a couple of longshot winners with this exact kind of company.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 06:37 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1

#3 MIDNIGHT MIRACLE	Improved second start as a 3yo, moves outside in.
#6 HP MAMA B	Tactical speed, loves to win, top connections.
#4 HAWAII	Trotted evenly in pair of comeback tries, can't be discounted.
Race Summary	Midnight Miracle cleared to the lead from post 9 before the first turn, yielded to the favorites, then re-rallied first-over in the third quarter to finish a clear second. She gets the call in Ontario Sire Stakes in her third start this year.

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2

#8 I'M DONE TALKING	Better than latest appears, can overcome impost.
#3 ROCKIN ZENDAYA	Awakened at Pocono, passed the favorite for second.
#4 RODDYS AT IT AGAIN	Best numbers, seeks repeat since arrival from Harrington.
Race Summary	I'm Done Talking sat a pocket trip, overpowered the favorite in the lane and was wrapped up late under strong handling. She is today's Best Bet despite a negative post switch.

The Meadows - Race #7

#3 WATCH N SEE	Won in second start locally, can make good use of his speed in here.
#1 CAPTAIN FIREBALL	Held off cavalry charge for second while no match for longshot runaway.
#10 REBEL DEVIL	Hit board in 9 of 21 this year despite being plagued by bad posts.
Race Summary	Watch N See steps up off an easy victory and holds a tactical advantage in a field that lacks speed. He's worth a play at 5-1 on the morning line. Play a 3-1-ALL trifecta.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 06:39 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #2

#6 Robintakincharge	Has outstanding speed and once in front, he can be very difficult to catch; well spotted here.
#2 Resident	Is a main track only entrant and has the speed to dictate; very tough if this race is pulled from the turf.
#8 Joe Benjamin	Crushed maidens last time in his 14th attempt; can be in the mix from the start and looks game enough to dig in for a piece.
Race Summary	Robintakincharge is a strong threat on the front end and can be competitive at this level.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6

#1 Little Bit Good	Ran on for third last time and was a winner threat back. Can save some ground this time and she has the kick to be a legit danger.
#8 Isadorable Aida	Was second in his first off the claim by Carlos David and can move up in his second for the barn.
#2 Princess Betty	Is a main track only runner and has been in tougher races; solid choice if this comes off the turf.
Race Summary	Little Bit Good gets a good pace in front of her today and can mount a big rally to win it.

Gulfstream Park - Race #7

#4 Sheza Happy Girl	Has been in some tough sprints lately and could appreciate the additional ground of this one.
#5 Siren's Lucky Song	Was a maiden winner two back and has been a big player in all five starts; can mix it up from the beginning.
#1 Miss Mikaela	Romped vs. maidens last out and has been fairly close in all six starts; should be able to stretch out.
Race Summary	Sheza Happy Girl has been with some tough runners and has the class to battle it out; has a good chance at the distance.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 08:55 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ellis Park

Ellis Park - Race 4	Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / $0.50 Pick 5 (Races 4-5-6-7-8)
Optional Claiming $40,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 98 • Purse: $53,000 • Post: 2:14P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $40,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE MAY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $30,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MO'S MOJO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MO'S MOJO: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ra nks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. BEST OF GREELEY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey /Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
6	MO'S MOJO	6/1	5/2
5	BEST OF GREELEY	5/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	MO'S MOJO	6	6/1	Front-runner	96	84	81.4	90.3	83.3
5	BEST OF GREELEY	5	5/2	Alternator/Stalker	97	94	73.6	88.8	84.3
3	ALL WEST	3	10/1	Trailer	100	94	39.8	67.3	60.3
4	BRIEFCASE BULLY	4	7/2	Trailer	96	94	0.0	0.0	0.0
2	LETMENO	2	9/5	Alternator/Trailer	96	104	58.8	74.9	67.9
1	FROLIC MORE	1	6/1	Alternator/Non-contender	96	90	52.6	73.5	64.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 08:56 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

Delta Downs - Race 6	Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min) / Superfecta (.10 min.) Daily Double (Races 6-7) ($1 min.) /Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (.50 min) (Races 6-7-8-9)
Claiming $10,000 • 440 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 66 • Purse: $8,000 • Post: 5:05P
QUARTER HORSE 440Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SHE B IN YOUR DREAMS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. PATS LECACY: Horse has the highest TrackMas ter Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ZOOMIN DASH: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the t op three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MERICA: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
4	PATS LECACY	7/2	6/1
1	SHE B IN YOUR DREAMS	2/1	6/1
2	ZOOMIN DASH	5/1	6/1
8	MERICA	9/2	7/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
1	SHE B IN YOUR DREAMS	1	2/1	Average	69	63	4.6	0.0	0.0
2	ZOOMIN DASH	2	5/1	Fast	72	58	3.5	0.0	0.0
3	CW MISS QUICK CASH	3	15/1	Average	59	50	4.6	0.0	0.0
4	PATS LECACY	4	7/2	Average	72	61	5.1	0.0	0.0
5	POINT BREAK COUNTRY	5	12/1	Average	57	50	4.3	0.0	0.0
6	MSMTOASTTOTHEPATRIOT	6	8/1	Average	66	54	5.9	0.0	0.0
7	BAYOU BOOGIE BOY	7	10/1	Average	54	55	4.8	0.0	0.0
8	MERICA	8	9/2	Average	75	62	4.9	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 08:57 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #2 - Post: 12:44pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,600 Class Rating: 64

Rating:

#5 SASSY CAT (ML=3/1)

SASSY CAT - This horse obviously likes the conditions for today's race. Has registered the highest speed fig on the turf at the distance-surface. Ran in the last race against better company at Gulfstream Park. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well. Just check out her last speed figure, 64. That one looks good in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 VIVI'S DREAM'S (ML=4/1), #4 GOLDA BISCUIT (ML=6/1), #7 COMMANDER GRACE (ML=8/1),

VIVI'S DREAM'S - That was simply not a very good showing in the last affair. Doubtful for this participant to do much running with no success lately in a short distance event. GOLDA BISCUIT - While Equibase's speed ratings are strong, I would forget about the high one from the May 15th on the soft turf. Some horses just run well on the off going. When looking at today's class rating, she will have to earn a much better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this turf sprint. COMMANDER GRACE - Last performed on January 30th at Gulfstream Park, finishing seventh. Not likely to perk up off of that outing in today's event. Garnered a mediocre speed rating last time out in a $16,000 Maiden Claiming race on January 30th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that rating.

GUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - SASSY CAT - Her TrackMaster turf figure is tops among these horses. This filly deserves your wager.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #5 SASSY CAT to win if we can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	5 with 1
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 08:58 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $29600 Class Rating: 76

INNER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 DELIGHTFUL DREAMER 3/1
# 13 VIANI 9/2
# 8 CANDY'S DREAM 6/1

DELIGHTFUL DREAMER looks very strong to best this field. Facing a much less demanding field than last time out. Has been racing soundly and has among the strongest speed in the race for today's distance. Could provide positive gains based on decent recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 68. VIANI - Has to be given a chance versus this group of horses in this race displaying formidable figures recently and an average Equibase speed fig of 67 under similar conditions. This filly looks good for this event since Casse has a strong win percent with horses going this distance. CANDY'S DREAM - Has to be given a shot versus this group displaying very strong numbers as of late and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 70 under similar conditions. Ought to compete very well in the early pace clash which bodes well with this group.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 08:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Allowance - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 61

FOR NATIVE FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 1, 2021 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 1, 2021 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 PRINCESITA L 6/5
# 3 GIAH'S SPIRIT 3/1
# 4 PRETTY AND PROUD 10/1

I think PRINCESITA L is a very strong choice. Castro has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 36 percent rate. Ought to come out strong - I have liked the way this filly has moved swiftly to the lead recently. Ought to be given consideration - I like the figs from the last outing. GIAH'S SPIRIT - With one of the most competitive jockeys in terms of dividends at the window, don't count this filly out. Have to look at solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this group of horses. PRETTY AND PROUD - Conditioner boasts very strong win numbers at this distance and surface. With Velez in the saddle guiding her, this filly should be able to break out early in this contest.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 09:06 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:57pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $19,800 Class Rating: 69

Rating:

#2 PISTOL P (ML=5/1)
#1 EISELE (ML=9/2)
#7 PONTICELLO (ML=3/1)

PISTOL P - Early speed is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. This bullring favors speedy front running horses starting from the inside. Seeing as this is what we have with this horse, I'm going to take a long hard look at this one. Entered an Allowance race at Charles Town last out and raced on a sloppy track finishing seventh. Expect better in today's race. EISELE - Ran last time out against much better company at Charles Town. The move down the class ladder should suit him well. Ranked number 1 in EPS (earnings per start). Another notice that this horse has the class to win. PONTICELLO - Really have to figure this fine animal is going to be right there near the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 LET'S GET PHYSICAL (ML=8/5),

LET'S GET PHYSICAL - No pace in this race to help this sustainer's dreams at winning.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	Bet on #2 PISTOL P to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:	2 with [1,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 09:06 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Belmont Park

07/01/21, BEL, Race 3, 2.02 ET
07/01/21,BEL,3,6 1/2F [Dirt] 1:14:02 CLAIMING. Purse $38,000. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race In 2021 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000 (1.5% Aftercare Assessment Due AtTime Of Claim Otherwise Claim Will Be Void).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	7	Kerik	4/1	Ortiz. Jr. I	Noda Orlando	JTFC	112	34.82	1.24/$1
097.3686	2	Tenderness	2/1	Lezcano J	Klesaris Robert P.	SL	192	36.98	1.17/$1
097.1413	1	Extra Effort	5/2	Hernandez Moreno O	Barrera. III Oscar S.	E	157	37.58	1.22/$1
096.8480	6	Left Leaning Lucy	4/1	Franco M	Donk David G.		157	37.58	1.22/$1
093.8285	4	Gentle Annie	10/1	Cancel E	Sciacca Gary	W	157	37.58	1.22/$1
092.9794	5	Happy Sophia	12/1	Samuel J L	Williams Andrew O.		157	37.58	1.22/$1
091.0817	3	Sky Kitten	10/1	Cardenas L	Persaud Randi		192	36.98	1.17/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 37.96, ROI 1.20/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.6314
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Categories] Not Third Race After 45 Days Off

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 02:14 PM

BATTAGLIA :

FREE PICK for BELMONT

Race 7

Win Candidates 6-4-3 Rating 3 stars

#6 Town Classic-hard trying 8 year old has a 6-20-11 record from his 51 starts with over 353k in earnings. He has been in the money in 7 of his 8 starts on an off track, drops in class and will be tough to hold off.

#4 Happy Farm-came off a two month layoff last out and rallied to get his 5th win from 7 starts here. He keeps I.Oritz, likes an off tack and is the one to beat.

#3 Musical America-has been in the money in 4 of 5 on an off track and missed by only 3 at this same level last out. He cuts back in distance and that will help his chances at a price.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 07-01-2021, 02:15 PM

MLB

NL games
Miami (34-45) @ Philadelphia (37-41)
— Lopez is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts.
— Marlins are 8-8 in his starts.
— over 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-5
— He is 1-1, 3.60 in five starts vs Philly.

— Marlins are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— Miami is 4-12 in its last 16 road games.
— under 13-8-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 18-77
— record in first 5 innings: 30-32-15

— Eflin is 0-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 5-9 in his home starts.
— over 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-6-4
— He is 5-5, 4.38 in 12 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— Phillies are 22-15 at home, 15-26 on road.
— under 10-6 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-78
— record in first 5 innings: 30-30-18

Dodgers (49-31) @ Washington (40-38)
— Gonsolin is 0-0, 2.77 in four starts (13 IP).
— Dodgers are 4-0 in his home starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Dodgers are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— Dodgers are 6-5 in their last 11 road games.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-80
— record in first 5 innings: 42-26-12

— Corbin is 2-1, 2.66 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 8-7 in his starts.
— over 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 8-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3
— He is 5-10, 3.71 in 20 starts vs LA.

— Washington won 14 of its last 17 games.
— Nationals are 10-1 in their last 11 home games.
— under 15-5 last 20 home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-78
— record in first 5 innings: 33-29-16

Milwaukee (48-33) @ Pittsburgh (29-50)
— Burnes is 1-0, 3.18 in his last five starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-7 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-4
— He is 3-0, 3.19 in 15 games (3 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Brewers won 10 of their last 11 games.
— Milwaukee won four of last five road games.
— under 3-0 last three road games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-27-17

— Crowe is 1-1, 7.71 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 4-6 in his starts.
— over 4-1-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6-2
— He gave up 2 runs in five IP, in one start vs Milwaukee.

— Pirates lost last three games, scoring two runs.
— Pittsburgh is 8-7 in its last 15 home games.
— under 4-0-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 23-45-11

San Diego (48-33) @ Cincinnati (39-40)
— Weathers is 1-1, 4.09 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 5-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati.

— Padres won 11 of their last 12 games.
— San Diego is 3-9 in its last 12 road games.
— over 11 of last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-82
— record in first 5 innings: 33-36-13

— Castillo is 2-2, 1.99 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 4-12 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 5-9-2
— He is 2-3, 3.48 in six starts vs San Diego.

— Cincinnati lost nine of its last 13 games.
— Reds are 7-5 in last 12 home games.
— under 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-79
— record in first 5 innings: 31-35-13

Mets (41-35) @ Atlanta (38-41)
— deGrom is 4-0, 0.55 in his last six starts.
— Mets won his last eight starts.
— under 7-5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-13
— record in first 5 innings: 8-3-2
— He is 9-7, 1.88 in 24 starts vs Atlanta.

— Mets are 6-10 in their last 16 games.
— Mets are 6-9 in their last 15 road games.
— under 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-76
— record in first 5 innings: 36-31-9

— Anderson is 1-1, 2.82 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 8-7
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-3
— He is 1-2, 4.50 in three starts vs New York.

— Braves are 9-12 in their last 21 games
— Atlanta is 6-4 in its last ten home games.
— under 7-2 in last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-79
— record in first 5 innings: 40-28-11

St Louis (40-41) @ Colorado (34-47)
— Wainwright is 3-0, 2.08 in his last four starts.
— Cardinals are 8-7 in his starts.
— under 9-6
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He is 11-1, 1.41 in 16 games (12 starts) vs Colorado.

— Cardinals won their last four games.
— St Louis is 1-9 in its last ten road games.
— Under is 10-5-2 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-80
— record in first 5 innings: 32-35-13

— Senzatela is 0-2, 6.26 in his last four starts.
— Rockies are 4-11 in his starts.
— over 5-2-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He is 2-3, 5.70 in six starts vs St Louis.

— Colorado is 9-6 in its last 15 games.
— Rockies are 28-16 at home, 6-31 on road.
— over 5-3-1 last nine home games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-81
— record in first 5 innings: 33-38-10

San Francisco (50-29) @ Arizona (22-59)
— Cueto is 2-0, 2.08 in his last two starts.
— Giants are 8-4 in his starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 11-3, 3.21 in 19 starts vs Arizona.

— Giants are 16-8 in their last 24 games.
— Giants are 8-5 in last 13 road games.
— Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-79
— record in first 5 innings: 43-25-11

— Kelly is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts.
— Arizona is 6-10 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He is 2-2, 3.48 in six starts vs San Francisco.

— Arizona lost 45 of its last 51 games.
— Arizona is 1-9 in its last ten home games.
— under 4-2 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-82
— record in first 5 innings: 26-50-6

AL games
Angels (39-41) @ Bronx (41-39)
— Canning is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 5-7 in his starts.
— over 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Halos lost six of their last nine games.
— Angels are 10-13 in last 23 road games.
— over 17-5 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-80
— record in first 5 innings: 33-36-11

— Montgomery is 0-1, 4.84 in his last four starts.
— New York is 10-4 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Anaheim.

— New York lost five of its last six games.
— New York is 5-3 in its last eight home games.
— over 14-7-1 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-33-16

Seattle (42-39) @ Toronto (41-37)
— Kikuchi is 2-0, 0.92 in his last three starts.
— Mariners are 7-7 in his starts.
— over 7-7
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-1
— He threw a 2-hit shutout in his one start vs Toronto.

— Seattle won 11 of its last 14 games.
— Seattle is 6-8 in its last 14 road games.
— over 10-3 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 24-81
— record in first 5 innings: 38-36-7

— Ryu is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts
— Toronto is 9-6 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Blue Jays won eight of their last ten games.
— Toronto lost six of its last ten home games.
— over 12-7 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-78
— record in first 5 innings: 37-31-10

Kansas City (33-45) @ Boston (49-31)
— Bubic is 0-2, 10.38 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 4-2 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 4-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 2.2 IP, in a relief stint vs Boston.

— Royals lost 19 of their last 23 games.
— Royals are 4-16 in their last 20 road games.
— over 11-5-3 last 19 road games.
— scores run in first inning: 17-79
— record in first 5 innings: 28-41-11

— Eovaldi is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 10-6 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He is 2-1, 4.26 in 5 games (3 starts) vs Kansas City.

— Boston is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
— Red Sox are 17-5 in their last 22 home games.
— over 13-8 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-81
— record in first 5 innings: 37-31-13

Minnesota (32-45) @ White Sox (46-31)
— Berrios is 2-0, 2.97 in his last five starts.
— Twins are 10-5 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-15
— He is 12-2, 2.65 in 17 starts vs Chicago.

— Minnesota won seven of its last 11 games.
— Twins won four of their last six road games.
— over 8-4 last 12 road games
— scores run in first inning: 31-78
— record in first 5 innings: 25-36-17

— Rodon is 1-1, 2.22 in his last four starts
— Chicago is 8-5 in his starts.
— under 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 5-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-3
— He is 5-3, 4.73 in 10 games (9 starts) vs Minnesota.

— Chicago lost seven of its last 11 games.
— White Sox are 17-6 in last 23 home games.
— under 11-7-2 last 20 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-79
— record in first 5 innings: 44-20-15

Texas (31-49) @ Oakland (48-34)
— Dunning is 1-2, 5.00 in his last four starts.
— Texas is 3-12 in his starts.
— over 7-6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 7-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Texas won five of its last seven games.
— Texas lost 20 of its last 22 road games.
— over 9-6-2 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-80
— record in first 5 innings: 27-41-12

— Manaea is 3-2, 1.13 in his last five starts.
— A’s are 11-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-4-4
— He is 7-2, 3.41 in 13 starts vs Texas.

— A’s lost seven of their last 11 games.
— Oakland won seven of its last eight home games.
— Over is 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-82
— record in first 5 innings: 37-30-15

Houston (48-32) @ Cleveland (42-34)
— Valdez is 4-1, 2.62 in his last five starts.
— Astros are 4-2 in his starts.
— under 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He threw 2 shutout IP in a relief stint vs Cleveland .

— Astros lost five of their last six games.
— Astros are 6-2 in their last eight road games.
— over 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-81
— record in first 5 innings: 43-26-12

— Mejia is 0-2, 5.66 in five starts.
— Indians are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
— Indians are 9-3 in last dozen home games.
— over 29-14 last 43 games
— scores run in first inning: 29-77
— record in first 5 innings: 29-36-12

Thursday 7/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 7/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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