Monday 9/6/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ed Sehon

Saratoga

EXACTA EXTRA (Race No. 5, 2:47 p.m. ET/11:47 a.m. PT)

Mr. Ed found three here worth coupling: #1 Tackle (8-1 morning line), #4 Abaan (4-1 morning line) and #8 American Law (5-2 morning line). Wager: $5 Exacta Box of 1,4 & 8. ($30)

$2 PICK 3 (Race Nos. 5-7, 2:47 p.m. ET/11:47 a.m. PT)

Race 5: 1,4,8

Race 6: 2,6,8,11

Race 7: 4 ($24 ticket)

PRICE PLAY (Race No. 6, 3:22 p.m. ET/12:22 p.m. PT)

Mr. Ed looks for late-blooming #2 Sum Kinda Pretty (15-1 morning line) to improve off her maiden victory for trainer Al Stall Jr. Jose Lezcano picks up mount from absent Joel Rosario. Works indicate she’s ready to repeat on grass. Wager: $10 Win & Place on 2. ($20)

BEST BET (Race No. 7, 3:54 p.m. ET/12:54 p.m. PT)

NY trainer Tony Dutrow has had an excellent meet with nine placing from 12 starts, including three trips to the Winner’s Circle. Son of Upstart, #4 Don’t Wait Up (5-2 morning line), missed by a nose in his debut. John Velazquez climbs aboard. Wager: $30 to Win on 4.

$0.50 LAST CHANCE PICK 4 (Race No. 9, 5:04 p.m. ET/2:04 p.m. PT)

Race 9: 2,4,5,7,8

Race 10: 3,6,8

Race 11: 7,12

Race 12: 4,5 ($48 ticket)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

Finger Lakes - Race 1	EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA (10 Cent Minimum) * DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 1-2-3) * PICK 4 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 1-2-3-4)
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 59 • Purse: $12,600 • Post: 1:10P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2020 - 2021. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Trailer. STRAW HAT is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * DR RUTHLESS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating . Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COLONIAL LASS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PARLAPIANO: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6	DR RUTHLESS	5/2	7/2
1	COLONIAL LASS	7/2	6/1
3	PARLAPIANO	10/1	6/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	THANXFORLASTNITE	7	6/1	Front-runner	61	59	39.9	21.6	9.6
6	DR RUTHLESS	6	5/2	Alternator/Front-runner	81	59	30.3	54.0	48.5
1	COLONIAL LASS	1	7/2	Stalker	59	56	38.8	53.4	48.9
3	PARLAPIANO	3	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	72	58	33.4	41.6	33.1
2	STRAW HAT	2	6/1	Trailer	58	48	17.6	52.0	47.0
4	PASSION POLICE	4	2/1	Alternator/Non-contender	62	52	49.4	49.6	42.1
5	LEXSOYA	5	15/1	Alternator/Non-contender	63	47	42.6	38.4	26.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Assiniboia Downs

Assiniboia Downs - Race 3	.20 ASD JACKPOT PICK 5 (250K Single Winner Guarantee) .20 PICK 3 (Races 3-4-5) .20 SUPERFECTA / .20 TRIACTOR / EXACTOR / QUINELLA
Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 101 • Purse: $35,000 • Post: 8:35P
GOLD CUP S. - 3-YEAR-OLDS & UPWARD. WEIGHTS: 3-YEAR-OLDS, 119 LBS. OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $12,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED IN 2021 ALLOWED 5 LBS. FEES: NOTHING TO NOMINATE - $300 TO ENTER - $300 TO START.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Lone Front-runner. REAL GRACE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * REAL GRACE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TIGER BY HIS TAIL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ST. LOUIE GUY: Hor se has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MAS MISCHIEF: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. PLENTIFUL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3	REAL GRACE	9/5	4/1
6	TIGER BY HIS TAIL	25/1	7/1
2	ST. LOUIE GUY	5/2	8/1
4	MAS MISCHIEF	15/1	9/1
5	PLENTIFUL	8/5	10/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	REAL GRACE	3	9/5	Front-runner	104	89	90.4	83.6	76.6
2	ST. LOUIE GUY	2	5/2	Stalker	104	83	73.2	89.4	86.4
6	TIGER BY HIS TAIL	6	25/1	Alternator/Stalker	96	96	102.4	86.0	76.5
4	MAS MISCHIEF	4	15/1	Trailer	95	98	83.2	81.6	75.1
5	PLENTIFUL	5	8/5	Trailer	104	85	68.6	83.4	77.9
1	SOBERANO (FR)	1	10/1	Trailer	99	79	65.8	84.6	75.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 5 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 95

PUSS N BOOTS CUP S. - FOR THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UPWARD THAT HAVE STARTED AT FORT ERIE TWO TIMES OR MORE IN 2021. BY SUBSCRIPTION OF $50 EACH WHICH SHALL ACCOMPANY THE NOMINATION AND AN ADDITIONAL $250 WHEN MAKING ENTRY WITH A PURSE OF $30,000, PLUS UP TO $6,000 FOR ELIGIBLE ONTARIO BREDS. HORSES NOT ORIGINALLY NOMINATED MAY SUPPLEMENT AT TIME OF FINAL ENTRY FOR

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 7 WHEAT KING 3/1
# 1 REMEMBER THE MAINE 8/1
# 4 SEAU 10/1

WHEAT KING looks to be the bet in here. Must be given a shot based on the solid Equibase Speed Fig earned in the last competition. Like the finish positions in the last couple of events. REMEMBER THE MAINE - Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group recently. Has put up strong Equibase Speed Figures in turf route races in the past. SEAU - Has earned reliable speed figures in turf route races in the past.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Canterbury Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

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Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 70

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 YO DAWG 2/1
# 7 SCREWBALL 5/2
# 3 RED WAVE 9/2

YO DAWG has a very strong shot to take this race. He ought to be given a chance given the decent speed figures. A solid 74 avg class rating may give this colt a distinct class edge against this field. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Berndt have shown strong results recently. SCREWBALL - The Lasix change (now going off Lasix) may spark a turnaround for this colt. He has been running well lately while recording strong Equibase speed figs. RED WAVE - Has been running in the most competitive company of the group lately. As of late Robertson has provided bettors with a strong winning percentage with horses racing in turf route races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

FanDuel Horse Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:27pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating:

#3 STUMP (ML=7/2)
#5 DEANO (ML=9/2)
#2 GONZO (ML=3/1)


STUMP - Have to like the early speed on this one. No one else may even be close. This jock and trainer have a high winning percent together. Faced tougher last out at FanDuel Horse Racing. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this animal on my list of contenders. This gelding is in good condition. Ran first on Aug 20th. Just check out his most recent fig, 74. That one fits in this group. DEANO - Santiago is right back for another event today after riding aboard this equine for the initial time on August 20th and ought to know the ropes to this one a little better. I like when a racer has dropped in class at least 5 class ratings pts like this one did last time out and then runs against a similar field right back. Plasters must've found the right class. Look for this one to go all the way to the finish line at some respectable odds in this race. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the end. GONZO - Randazzo brings him right back. I advocate you stick with this hot gelding. The jockey/conditioner tandem of Tavares and Randazzo has a strong ROI together.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 ARCH FLYER (ML=2/1), #1 BEHIND ENEMY LINES (ML=6/1),

ARCH FLYER - You should normally gamble against chalk that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last 3 weeks. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, she will have to notch a better speed figure than last time around the track to compete in this dirt sprint. BEHIND ENEMY LINES - No good fortune for this runner in a sprint affair over the last couple months tells me that this gelding is in a thorny spot

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#3 STUMP is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [3,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Timonium - Race #7 - Post: 3:33pm - SO - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,500 Class Rating: 85

Rating:

#6 DIALING DIXIE (ML=5/2)
#5 SPEIGHTSTER RED (ML=7/2)


DIALING DIXIE - I look for this horse to sit off the pace and make a big move on the turn, cruising straight on to the wire. This gelding's last speed rating recorded on Aug 28th is at the top in last race speed ratings. This horse wins a lot of dough per race. Tops in this race. SPEIGHTSTER RED - Don't throw this animal out due to his last contest at Pimlico where he ran fourth on a sloppy track. I look for an improvement today. Getting a weight break of 11 lbs from last race at Pimlico on Aug 20th. This could make a difference today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 CHARM CITY BAND (ML=2/1), #1 SOUPER EMPEROR (ML=7/2), #3 STROLLED ON BY (ML=8/1),

CHARM CITY BAND - July 30th is the last time we've seen this gelding around. Have to be a little bit leery. Tough to put your money on the win end of any thoroughbred that finishes second and third as frequently as this participant does. SOUPER EMPEROR - The speed ratings are going downward. I'm not playing this steed off of that trend. This gelding garnered a speed figure in his last race which probably isn't good enough in today's event. STROLLED ON BY - A campaigner that breaks his maiden in a Maiden Claimer is usually recognized as a poor risk next time out. Last out it was a nice victory, but this time the stretch run is going to be a true test of courage.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:	#6 DIALING DIXIE is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:	Box [5,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:	Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:	None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Saratoga

09/06/21, SAR, Race 2, 1.10 ET
09/06/21,SAR,2,5 1/2F [Dirt] 1:02:02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $85,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. Weight, 119 lbs. (Non-Starters For A Claiming Price Of $40,000 Or Less In The Last 3 Starts Preferred).
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.

100.0000	6	Caragate	5/1	Davis D	Friedman Mitchell E.	SFEC	229	37.55	1.40/$1
097.9440	3	The Honorable Ruth	12/1	Samuel J L	Handal Raymond	W	229	37.55	1.40/$1
096.3231	7	Call Sign Charlie	7/2	Franco M	Abreu Jorge R.	T	229	37.55	1.40/$1
096.0843	4	Belarus	5/2	Velazquez J R	DePaz Horacio		229	37.55	1.40/$1
095.3218	1	Carbon	7/2	Ortiz. Jr. I	Rice Linda	J	229	37.55	1.40/$1
093.4701	2	Chiara	6/1	Saez L	Bond H. James		229	37.55	1.40/$1
092.1724	5	Sedona Rocks	20/1	Hernandez B	Davis Edmund D.		229	37.55	1.40/$1
091.8211	8	Kisses for Emily	3/1	Cancel E	Toscano. Jr. John T.		229	37.55	1.40/$1
091.1604	1A	Adversity	7/2	Santana. Jr. R	Casse Mark E.	L	229	37.55	1.40/$1

Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 42.50, ROI 1.24/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.0560
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Race Age Not 3

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