Friday 9/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    Friday 9/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #2
    Tokyo Brandon

    Event: (304633) Hanwha Eagles at (304634) LG Twins
    Sport/League: KBO

    Date/Time: September 10, 2021 5AM EDT
    Play: LG Twins -195
    For these odds I can not make this a paid play so here is a 4% client play for free. LG SP Lee Min Ho is one of the best young pitchers in Korea and he is ranked 24 out of 102. He is 3-0 with a 0.49 ERA vs Hanwha. LG also has the best bullpen in the league. Kim Min Woo struggles against LG and Hanwha is 3-7 vs LG. Just hope the LG bats wake up because this should be a low scoring affair.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #3
      Tokyo Brandon

      Event: (304631) KIA Tigers at (304632) Kiwoom Heroes
      Sport/League: KBO

      Date/Time: September 10, 2021 5AM EDT
      Play: Kiwoom Heroes -175
      This play is too good pass up but the odds are terrible so I have to make this a free play to play it. This is a free 4% client play with chalk. Jokisch is one of the best SPs in Korea and he faces the worst lineup and the worst bullpen in the league. I was tempted to lay 0.5 or 1.5 to get -120 and make it a paid play but Kiwoom does not hit well vs Im Gi Yeong and I think the score might be low. Kia's bullpen should be their undoing like it was on my 4% winner yesterday.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #4
        Ralph Michaels

        Event: (909) Cincinnati Reds at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
        Sport/League: MLB

        Date/Time: September 10, 2021 8PM EDT
        Play: Cincinnati Reds -134 T Mahle (RHP), J Lester (LHP) Must Start
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #5
          Info Plays

          Sep 10 '21, 6:00 AM in 7h
          Soccer | Tokushima vs Nagoya Grampus
          Play on: Nagoya Grampus -132 at linepros

          1* FREE INFO PLAY on Nagoya Grampus -132
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #6
            Red Dog Sports

            Sep 10 '21, 8:30 PM in 21h
            Soccer | Náutico vs Vila Nova-GO
            Play on: Draw +199 at BetVegas

            draw +199
            Nautico 1
            Vila Nova 1
            I think we see a 1-1 score in this soccer match played on Friday.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #7
              Ray Monohan

              Sep 10 '21, 9:30 PM in 22h
              NCAA-F | UTEP vs Boise State
              Play on: Boise State -26 -109 at pinnacle

              BSU ATS
              The Broncos couldn't get much going on the ground against UCF. That changes on Friday. Look for the Broncos to get the ground game going and respond to a tough week one loss with a big win as hosts. Take Boise State's spread in their home opener. These two programs haven't met since 2005, but Boise State has won all five matchups.
              Play on Boise State -26
              Good Luck, Razor Ray
              TGIF 5* Free CFB Play
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #8
                Al Cimaglia: Yonkers Raceway Late Pick 4 Analysis


                September 10, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
                Tonight, New York bred two-and-three-year-old trotters and pacers are the headliners at Yonkers Raceway as they will be competing in Sire Stakes Finals. The $1.00 Late Pick 4 begins in Race 7, and it will be my focus.

                Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                Race 7

                5-Test Of Faith (1/1)-This Pelling trainee is a perfect 5 of 5 at Yonkers and 7 of 8 on the year. The only loss came from post 11 at the Big M and that was by a neck. It would take an off night or a brutal trip for this filly to be defeated and my take is neither will happen.

                Race 8

                4-Ambassador Hanover (5-1)-Using and will forgive the last sub-par effort at VD. Looking for an aggressive steer and could try to get on the engine and not look back. Has hit the board in 4 of 5 starts here and has taken 2 pictures.
                6-Ahundreddollarbill (2-1)-Beaten odds-on favorite lost to #7 Balenciaga at Tioga on 8-21. Now back on the 1/2 at Yonkers and should be tough to beat. Has hit the board in 3 of 5 starts here with 2 pictures. Looks to be a short price and AMac should have in play early in the mile.

                Race 9

                1-Southwind Petyr (7/2)-Mark Harder 3-year-old may make the most of drawing the rail. Dunn is between the pipes, and he knows well. This is a competitive leg and Petyr is one of a few who could take a picture.
                2-I'll Drink To That (4-1)-Winner in 4 of 12 this year should be in the hunt with this crew. Comes off a win at Tioga and Miller steered then and will be back aboard tonight. Is 0-5 here but this will be the 1st time for Miller at Yonkers this year.
                4-Town Gossip (7/5)-Morning line chalk has been in sharp form in the last 6 starts. Has hit the board in 7 of 8 at YR with 2 pictures. The Jenn B entry could cash the top check if leading turning for the wire but may need to work hard to get the top.
                6-Natameri (7-1)-Winner in 2 of the last 3 and that was with Kakaley steering. Using although the 7-1 morning line looks generous. Could win without getting the top early in the mile.

                Race 10

                5-Melady's Monet (3-1)-This 12-year-old still cranks it up and cashes checks on a regular basis. Winner of over $178,000 this year has won 51 out 152 at YR. Should be close to the lead throughout and best to not overlook.
                6-It's Academic (7/2)-Beaten odds-on chalk faded in its 1st Yonkers start but still finished 2nd. Regular pilot Gingras steers this time and comes back in 7-days instead of 19. Should be better in the 2nd start over the surface and should also be a better price.
                7-Guardian Angel As (5-1)-Offers value at the morning line and has won 7 of 13 at YR. Beat the 2 above last week and has won 4 of 6 since using Lasix. Kakaley should get the 7-year-old off the gate and looks like a major player even from this post.

                $1.00 Late Pick 4

                5/4,6/1,2,4,6/5,6,7
                Total Bet=$24
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #9
                  Jeff Siegel's National Best Plays - Friday, September 10, 2021


                  September 10, 2021
                  Jeff Siegel’s Best Plays for Friday, September 10, 2021

                  Gulfstream Park – Race 5. Post time: 4:12 ET
                  8-Palmach (7/2)


                  Juvenile filly makes her racing debut in a seven and one-half furlong maiden turf event in which the known element doesn’t impress. Purchased for $90,000 at the OBS June sale, where she looked quite nice when previewing in :10 flat, the Mark Casse-trained daughter of Violence shows a steady, healthy series of recent Palm Meadows workouts to have her fit for a major effort first crack out of the box. This trainer-jockey team has been on fire, so at 7/2 on the morning line she’s worth a play in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

                  *

                  Los Alamitos Race Course – Race 2. Post time: 1:28 PT
                  5 – Her Perfect Vision (5/2)


                  She’s been burning up the track at Golden Gate Fields while preparing for her racing debut, so much so that trainer Jonathan Wong vans her down to Southern California to take advantage of the more lucrative purse and Cal-bred owners premium awards for this abbreviated sprint for juvenile fillies. By the promising freshman stallion Stanford, the Tommy Town Thoroughbreds homebred attracts the barn’s “go to” rider A. Cedillo, so we’re expecting a winning effort while hoping to get close to her morning line of 5/2.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #10
                    Jeff Siegel's Primed and Ready List (September 10, 2021)


                    September 10, 2021
                    Updated weekly, the Primed and Ready List identifies horses that have recorded an outstanding workout within the past seven days and appear ready for a top performance. Workouts originate from Southern California (Santa Anita/Del Mar), New York (Saratoga/Belmont Park) and Florida (Palm Meadows) and can be viewed by clicking the link included in the description or at xbtv.com. Horses are removed following their first race after appearing on the list.


                    Workouts through September 8, 2021

                    CRICKET WEST – (J. Abreu) – September 5, Saratoga, 4f, :51.2b TT TC DU
                    View Workout

                    Breezing in company outside Hellman (4f, :51.3b TT TC DU) and looked quite good to prove clearly best without ever being asked, sharp and eager to the wire. New York-bred juvenile filly by Majestic City ran very well sprinting on grass in her debut and seems sure to improve with experience and distance.


                    CURRY – (K. Headley) – September 6, Del Mar, 5f, 1:00.2h
                    View Workout

                    Lightly-raced gelding has been freshened since April but appeared perked up and ready to resume his career in this solo five furlong drill, never really asked at any stage and finishing with plenty left, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :36.1. Has all of his conditions available (including a first-level Cal-bred event) and should make the entries early in the Santa Anita fall season.


                    MISAWA – (M. Glatt) – September 6, Del Mar, 4f, :47.4h
                    View Workout

                    Worked inside Flame McGoon (4f, :48.1h) and was clearly best while breezing to the wire in sharp style, final three furlongs in :36.1, displaying smooth action and galloping out with a ton left. Form isn’t much but this First Samurai gelding must be better than shown. Have to think he can handle soft maidens next time out.


                    MUSIC FESTIVAL - (M.Puype) – September 6, Del Mar, 5f, 1:01.2h
                    View Workout

                    In company outside Walking Boss (5f, 1:01.4h) and was noticeably the better of the two, breaking off a length behind and finishing almost a length in front at the wire, mostly on her own, splits of :25 flat, :36.4 and 1:01.2. Getting fit, bred for grass and probably will debut on the lawn at Santa Anita. Willing and eager for M. Puype.


                    SHAD NATION - (C. Clement) - September 5, Saratoga, 4f, :52b TT TC DU
                    View Workout

                    Cairo Prince juvenile filly has yet to start but shouldn’t be far away based on this team drill around dogs on grass with Longest Day (4f, :52.3b, TT TC DU), breaking off almost three lengths behind and then moving up easily through the lane to be head-and-head at the wire. Has a nice, athletic stride, moves like she’ll enjoy a distance of ground. Pointing for the fall season at Belmont Park.


                    TEMPERMENTAL - (J. Englehart) – September 4, Saratoga, 4f, :47.4b
                    View Workout

                    New York-bred juvenile filly by Practical Joke breezed inside Sea Pines (same time) and went quite well, final quarter mile in :23.4 under a nice hold (workmate going easily as well) before galloping out strongly and with plenty left. This was just her second recorded workout, but she appeared reasonably fit and with a good degree of ability. Probably be seen in the afternoon sometime in early October, we would guess.
                    *
                    *
                    *
                    *
                    Workouts through September 1, 2021

                    CAISSON – (R. Mandella) – August 30, Del Mar, 5f, :59.4h
                    View Workout

                    War Front colt wore blinkers and was breezing inside the hard held Lane Way (4f, :47.3h), splits of :23.3 and :47.1 to the wire before continuing out to 7/8 pole under very light coaxing in :59.4, strong work while getting cranked up. Been away since finishing second in the Cecil B. DeMille Stakes last November, has all of his conditions and probably can be effective on any surface.


                    ONTHEONESANDTWOS (N. Casse) – Aug. 29, Saratoga, 4f, :47b
                    View Workout

                    Under a stout hold in sharp half mile breeze while clearly best over Buckingham Prince (same time), finishing with a ton left late in quick move over training track. Was beaten as the favorite in the Adirondack S. but didn’t get off well and didn’t run her race. Way better than that.


                    RAYMOND ROAD – (J. Englehart) – August 29, Saratoga, 4f, :47.4hg
                    View Workout

                    New York-bred filly was in team gate drill inside Wicked Workout (same time) and was going the easier of the two throughout while just breezing along, able to go faster if permitted. Has speed but displayed nice action and should be more than just a sprinter. Daughter of Flatter looks to be a 2-year-old with a bit of quality and may get ready pretty quickly.
                    *
                    *
                    *
                    *
                    Workouts through August 18, 2021

                    GRAFTON STREET – (M. Casse) – August 13, Saratoga, 4f, :47.3b TT TC DU
                    View Workout

                    Broke off a length in front of Classic Legend (4f, :48.4b TT TC DU) and easily opened up on that one at will without being asked through the lane, nice stride on what surely will prove to be his preferred surface for Casse. Showed ability in debut when rallying to finish third in dirt sprint and seems certain to improve going long on the lawn.


                    HAMWOOD FLIER – (R. Baltas) – August 12, Del Mar, 4f, :47.3b TT TC DU
                    View Workout

                    Sophomore filly was in company inside Kartvelian (4f, :48.2h TC DU) and was under a tight hold through the lane to be a few lengths clear at the wire as much the best, able to go considerably faster if turned loose in a very impressive move. Irish import broke her maiden in her fourth career start in June and arrives fit, ready, and appearing much better than the form would show. Has first level allowance conditions.


                    MECCA SPIRIT – (B. Baffert) – August 16, Del Mar, 5f, :59.1hg
                    View Workout

                    In blinkers, in team gate drill outside Marco Polo (5f, :59.2hg) for B. Baffert and proved best by a length in the late stages of the drill while responding to some mild coaxing, splits of :34.4, :47 flat and :59.1, smart drill while gearing up for his debut. Juvenile colt by Bernardini doesn’t act like a quick sprinter but definitely can run and probably will prove best as the distances increase. Should be fit enough by now.


                    LIBERTY M D – (I. Wilkes) – August 14, Saratoga, 5f, 1:00.2b
                    View Workout

                    Hard held to the top of the lane and then coasted through the stetch to appear extra sharp in five furlong solo breeze for Wilkes. Was rank, got mad, and was overmatched in Shuvee S.-G3, so toss the race out, still a bit inexperienced and probably prefers one turn at this stage of her career. Has second level allowance conditions.
                    *
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358349

                      #11
                      Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts (Sept. 7-12)


                      September 7, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
                      Schedule:
                      Friday-Sunday

                      Carryovers:

                      $0 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (hit single ticket 9/6 for $22,210)
                      $3,421 // Super High 5

                      Feature Race:
                      No stakes scheduled
                      Saturday Race 8 and 9 allowance co-features

                      Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

                      Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed (35%, +$8.00)
                      Avg. Speed (34%, -$5.60)
                      Best Lifetime Speed (30%, +$23.40)

                      Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

                      J: Pedro Terrero // last week 24: 6-4-3 (26% $0.96 ROI) // 3 wins at 6-5 or less, 2nds at 8-1, 8-1, 21-1
                      J: Catalino Martinez // last week 3-12 (25%, $1.24 ROI) // 4: 1-1-1 aboard favorites
                      T: Isidro Tamayo // last week 10: 4-1-2 (40%, $1.32 ROI) // 3: 2-0-1 with jockey Evin Roman
                      T: Steve Specht // last week 7: 3-2-0 (43%, $2.50 ROI) // wins at 6-5, 5-1, 8-1 // 2-2 maiden claimers
                      T: Tim McCanna // last week 10: 3-2-0 (30%, $1.16 ROI) // now 5-15 last 2 weeks
                      T: Michael McCarthy // last week 3-4 (75%, $1.55 ROI) // wins at 3-5, 4-5, 9-5

                      ** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet **
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358349

                        #12
                        Gulfstream 5 Facts (September 7-12)


                        September 7, 2021
                        Schedule:
                        Thursday-Sunday

                        Carryovers:
                        $512,655 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($700,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)
                        $4,486 // Super High 5

                        Feature Race(s):
                        $75,000 Sheer Drama // filly & mare FL-bred sprinters // Saturday

                        Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

                        Trainer/Jockey 2 Year Win % (34%, +$13.60)
                        Win % Rank (32%, $+11.80)
                        Avg. Best 2 of 3 Speed (31%, +$13.60) * 2nd straight week top-3 *

                        Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

                        T: Rohan Crichton // last week 5: 2-1-0 ($40%, $1.86 ROI) // wins at 3-1, 4-1
                        T: Paul Kopaj // last week 2-2 // 1-turn dirt claiming wins at 6-5, 11-1 // was 2-13 since July 17 prior
                        T: David Fawkes // last week 2-4 // wins at 1-1, 7-1 // snapped 1-25 down streak prior
                        J: Emisael Jaramillo // last week 5-18 (28%, $0.70 ROI) // 4-10 aboard favorites
                        J: Hector Berrios // last week 8: 2-0-2 (25%, $1.18 ROI) // win at 5-1, added third at 15-1

                        ** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet **
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358349

                          #13
                          Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


                          Charles Town - Race #6
                          #5 Champster The big price from last time out is gone here, but I'm willing to take that effort at face value when he moved way up going two turns. He has less than a length to turn on the chalk tonight.
                          #8 Thunderinreadyrick Forward player is another who came alive around two turns in those recent starts, but the price is probably going to get pretty short here, and he has been beaten at short prices in the past.
                          #4 Doc Jordan He finished behind the top pair last out, but he's probably not totally exposed after just two starts, so there is some hope at what may be an underlaid price.
                          Race Summary Champster needs to back that last one up, but he took a huge step in the right direction when stretched around two turns for the first time, and another small step forward in his second two-turn try might be enough to get him home.
                          Charles Town - Race #7
                          #4 Maletta He was caught late after setting the tempo last out, and he looks quick enough to find the front again in a group without a ton of early burn.
                          #6 Unleash Me He should be able to land a pretty dreamy trip tracking the two drawn furthest inside, but his tendency to give away ground in the lane is an issue for a horse who doesn't tend to find the front.
                          #1 Honey Saver They took a long time to get this guy back to the races, and he showed some tracking speed before fading late in a race that a horse at this level almost has to need off the bench. Stays better here?
                          Race Summary Maletta and Honey Saver should be quick enough to do sit up top early while Unleash Me tracks the action, but Maletta might offer a playable price should be good for a thrill heading into the far turn.
                          Charles Town - Race #8
                          #9 Lookin Back Hate to take too short of a price here as she makes her 14th lifetime start, but she's likely to be too tough with these. She drops to this level for the first time and owns some tactical pace in a race where most want to plug along late.
                          #4 Speeding Ticket She's a logical alternative if you think the chalk is vulnerable here, as she is quick enough to stay in touch with a soft pace, and she has run some of her better races at these longer trips.
                          #5 Bottle Courage She had some chances at this level in the past and didn't capitalize, and she's now making her 19th lifetime start after comin home a total of 47 lengths behind in her last two starts combined. Logical enough in a bad race, but she's not for me.
                          Race Summary Lookin Back probably finally found a bunch she can handle, as she figures right up on the splits in a soft race after catching a 15-length winner last time out.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358349

                            #14
                            Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


                            Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2
                            #6 HERHECOMESAROCKIN Aggressive tactics could serve him well for new connections.
                            #5 UNDERTAKER Sat perfect pocket trip, couldn't get by stubborn favorite.
                            #2 HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE Couldn't stay with 2-1 winner but finished a clear second.
                            Race Summary Herehecomesarockin took back to fifth from post 8, was trapped on the rail in the third quarter and paced evenly to the finish. He could be forwardly placed in this spot and perhaps turn the tables on likely favorite Undertaker, who worked out a golden pocket trip behind a contested duel and finished second. Play 6-2 and 6-3 exactas.
                            Meadowlands - Race #10
                            #4 HUNTING ANGELS Cycling forward to a possible upset run in Kindergarten series.
                            #6 LOU'S BEACH Solid numbers, gets plenty of pace to run at, offers value.
                            #7 P J LOU Chased fast middle fractions in Reynolds Stakes, draws outside with new pilot.
                            Race Summary Hunting Angels appears rounding to a good race after he set the pace and faded from post 9, then rallied for third behind the dueling favorites in his third start. He races on a one-mile oval for the first time but at least offers good value for a 25-percent barn. Play a 4-6-7 exacta box.
                            Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #4
                            #7 VILLAGE JADE Got past the favorite, settled for second best in same spot.
                            #1 BOTTOMOFTHENINTH Won with Jamieson, post switch could make all the difference.
                            #9 AMERICAN LEAD Put on lead in stakes, tired late to finish third, draws outside.
                            Race Summary Village Jade got position from post 9, got past the pace controlling favorite in deep stretch but finished second to a rail-skimming longhsot. No reason to think the steady 3-year-old won't be in winning contention again. Play a 1-7-9 exacta box.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358349

                              #15
                              Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks


                              Remington Park - Race #1
                              #4 Pomeroy Haze Is 4 of 7 over the Remington strip and his only 6.5-furlong attempt produced a win; does his best running in OKC.
                              #7 Euromantic Was second in a good allowance race two back at Canterbury and has won three over this track; competitive and will be in it throughout.
                              #3 D Toz Has won a couple of state-bred stakes here, but hasn't been out since December 2019; has plenty of works for his return.
                              Race Summary Pomeroy Haze brings his best over the main track and was second on turf last time; has jumped up the ladder since last year and fits at this level.
                              Remington Park - Race #4
                              #7 Take Charge Woman Battled in the stretch and wound up second last out; makes first local start and lasts in a spot in which she should excel. Can score under Gutierrez.
                              #3 Oteka Be Fast Doesn't like to run longer distances, and five furlongs could be right in her wheel house; she makes her first over the turf.
                              #5 Ragan's Jet Held on for a maiden win in her second career start and can probably get a good stalking journey.
                              Race Summary Take Charge Woman has the talent and turf experience to get it done against this group.
                              Remington Park - Race #5
                              #4 Big Tiny Didn't fire in a tougher spot than this last time and is back to a level that is suited for her; has a solid late move and should appreciate the two turns.
                              #2 Big Base Won three of her last four and was claimed at Tampa three back; perfect in two Oklahoma starts (Fair Meadows) and is good going two turns.
                              #7 Shesmybroker Was runner-up to Big Tiny last out and has been much improved in her last two.
                              Race Summary Big Tiny has a second and a third in two attempts at the mile distance and can stalk from just off a good pace.
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