Friday 9/10/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358364

    #16
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sweetwater County Fair

    Sweetwater County Fair - Race 3
    $2 WPS / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / $2 Quinella
    Claiming $6,250 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 77 • Purse: $6,200 • Post: 3:50P
    QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
    Contenders
    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line
    Accept
    Odds

    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JN MOVIN CREEK: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Spe ed Rating. R NEXT MOVE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. JESS YA PLEASE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SB DOSEY DOE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the dist ance/surface.
    4
    JN MOVIN CREEK
    4/5
    9/2
    1
    R NEXT MOVE
    7/5
    5/1
    5
    JESS YA PLEASE
    15/1
    6/1
    2
    SB DOSEY DOE
    8/1
    6/1

    P#
    Horse (In Running Style Order)
    Post
    Morn
    Line
    Running Style
    Good
    Class
    Good
    Speed
    Early Figure
    Finish Figure
    Platinum
    Figure
    1
    R NEXT MOVE
    1
    7/5
    Average
    78
    75
    5.0
    0.0
    0.0
    2
    SB DOSEY DOE
    2
    8/1
    Average
    77
    71
    4.9
    0.0
    0.0
    3
    WEDGIE
    3
    9/1
    Average
    78
    59
    6.0
    0.0
    0.0
    4
    JN MOVIN CREEK
    4
    4/5
    Fast
    73
    73
    3.5
    0.0
    0.0
    5
    JESS YA PLEASE
    5
    15/1
    Average
    79
    72
    3.9
    0.0
    0.0
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358364

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Remington Park - Race #1 - Post: 7:07pm - Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $44,468 Class Rating: 94

      Rating:

      #7 EUROMANTIC (ML=9/2)
      #4 POMEROY HAZE (ML=3/1)


      EUROMANTIC - Faces state bred foes today after finishing sixth versus 'open' company on August 10th. This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very favorable ROI, right at +81. POMEROY HAZE - State bred races are generally easier than 'open' company, and this gelding's move into the 'state bred' class today should make him tough in here. That last outing must not have been too hard on this gelding for him to be able to race again so quickly. This gelding is in excellent form right now. Ended up second in the last race and comes back quickly. This gelding should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle. The improved speed ratings over the last 3 races is great. Gustafson drops him in this affair ready to go.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #8 GREAT FACES (ML=4/1), #5 OKIE STANDARD (ML=5/1), #3 D TOZ (ML=6/1),

      GREAT FACES - This gelding hasn't had any recent success in short distance races. No picnic to bet on him in this event. OKIE STANDARD - I don't see this questionable contender doing too much off of the extended vacation. He probably needs a start or two to get back into shape. The speed fig in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this racer as a questionable contender. D TOZ - No value in throwing a few bucks at this questionable contender. Probably won't improve off that September 3rd race.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Bet on #7 EUROMANTIC to win if we can get at least 3/2 odds
      EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,7]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Skip
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358364

        #18
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Penn National

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.




        Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14400 Class Rating: 72

        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 10 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000, IF FOR $9,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.

        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 2 DULVERTON 3/1
        # 4 COMMUNICATION FAIL 7/2
        # 5 CAYMAN ISLAND 6/1
        DULVERTON is my choice. Sinnefia has one of the best winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Has run solidly when racing a dirt sprint race. COMMUNICATION FAIL - Seems to have a solid class edge based on the recent company kept. Recent figs for the rider - 28 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this group. CAYMAN ISLAND - Ought to be considered a solid contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. This gelding has a good win percent in dirt sprint races.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358364

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.




          Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13500 Class Rating: 61

          FOR FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 10 ALLOWED 1 LBS.

          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          # 2 ABSOLUT MERICAN 2/1
          # 4 MY LENNA 9/5
          # 3 NEGOCIADORA L R 3/1
          ABSOLUT MERICAN should be supported as the wager in here. Make a note that this horse runs with second time Lasix today. She has been running soundly and the speed figs are among the strongest in this field. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this group. MY LENNA - Has performed very well recently in sprint races, posting a nifty 59 avg Equibase speed fig. Shows formidable Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when matched with the rest of this group of horses in this race.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358364

            #20
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park



            09/10/21, GP, Race 6, 4.43 ET
            09/10/21,GP,6,6F [Dirt] 1:08:01 CLAIMING. Purse $36,000 (includes up to $5,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 10, 2021. Three Year Olds, 121 lbs.; Older, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of Three Races Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $35,000.
            . . . .
            Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
            100.0000 5 Sprout Wings 6/1 Vasquez M A Pompay Teresa M. FEL 67 38.81 1.59/$1
            099.9440 1 Dem a Wonder 9/2 Gonzalez E Crichton Rohan J 67 38.81 1.59/$1
            098.4231 4 R Prerogative 5/2 Zayas E J Baxter Georgina TW 60 43.33 1.40/$1
            098.1765 3 Gitana 7/2 Jaramillo E Crichton Rohan S 38 31.58 1.91/$1
            097.1986 2 Crumb Bun 9/5 Torres C A Bates Larry 83 34.94 1.41/$1
            091.2461 6 Twirling Star 20/1 Fuentes M Boland Sharon 83 34.94 1.41/$1
            Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 31.65, ROI 0.88/$1
            Rating gap To 2nd horse -0.0560
            [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
            [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Is Not Equal To Today -with-
            [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] 3YO In 3UP Race

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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358364

              #21
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



              Woodbine - Race #2 - Post: 5:19pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $48,300 Class Rating: 67

              Rating:

              #6 WE'VE HAD ENOUGH (ML=4/1)
              #1 SASSYWITHATTITUDE (ML=6/1)
              #10 THANKS LAURA (ML=3/1)


              WE'VE HAD ENOUGH - Don't often see a profitable return on investment like +606. This jock/trainer twosome has done well together over the last twelve months. Trying to win for the 1st time moving from a grass race to the dirt. I think Squires will have her fit for today's race. SASSYWITHATTITUDE - Earnings per start is something that I believe can be a very valuable handicapping aspect. This mount is ranked at the top of the list in this group. THANKS LAURA - This rider and conditioner have a high win percentage together. This filly is in good physical condition. Ended up second on August 21st. This filly recorded a nice speed rating of 65 in her last event. That speed fig should be good enough to win this time.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #8 MUSICAL RELOAD (ML=8/1),

              MUSICAL RELOAD - Not the proper 'situation' in this affair.



              STRAIGHT WAGERS: #6 WE'VE HAD ENOUGH is the play if we get odds of 7/2 or better
              EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,6]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Box [1,6,10] Total Cost: $6
              SUPERFECTA WAGERS: [1,6,10] with [1,6,10] with [1,5,6,10,13] with [1,5,6,10,13] Total Cost: $36
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358364

                #22
                Free Winners for Friday, September 10th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
                FREE HORSE PICKS
                ARLINGTON PARK
                RACE #8
                TIME: 7:04 PM EST
                PICK: BET #9 Cammack 9/2 odds to win @ Bovada
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358364

                  #23
                  1. National Sports Service MLB St. Louis +105 2-2 (-20) 4-0 (+400)
                  2. Top Rank Sports Picks MLB Rays -160 1-3 (-325) 5-1 (+340)
                  3. The Sports Consensus MLB Dodgers under 8 1-3 (-260) 4-2 (+195)
                  4. Insider Sports Report MLB Angels +1.5 -120 1-3 (-280) 3-1 (+190)
                  5. Primetime Sports Picks CFB UTEP over 57 0-3 (-380) 4-2 (+170)
                  6. The Spot Player MLB Yankees -125 1-0 (+100) 3-2 (+70)
                  7. Profit On Sports MLB Milwaukee -145 0-4 (-495) 3-3 (-30)
                  8. Elite Sports Picks 2-0 (+200) 3-3 (-30)
                  9. Joe Wiz 1-2 (-125) 2-3 (-195)
                  10. Doc's Picks CFB Kansas over 52 3-1 (+190) 3-4 (-215)
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358364

                    #24
                    Mike Williams

                    Sep 10 '21, 7:05 PM in 45m
                    MLB | Blue Jays vs Orioles
                    Play on: Blue Jays -270 at Caesars

                    1* on Blue Jays -270
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358364

                      #25
                      Kenny Walker

                      Sep 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 50m
                      MLB | Brewers vs Indians
                      Play on: Brewers -140 at Caesars

                      Free Pick on Brewers
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358364

                        #26
                        Totals Guru

                        Sep 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 50m
                        MLB | NYY vs NYM
                        Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

                        Free Total Annihilator On Yankees vs Mets under 8½ -115
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358364

                          #27
                          Steve Janus

                          Sep 10 '21, 7:10 PM in 50m
                          MLB | Rays vs Tigers
                          Play on: Rays -163 at linepros

                          1* Free Sharp Play on Rays -163
                          The Rays (-163) are worth a look as a big road favorite against the Tigers in Friday's MLB action. Rays are coming off a rare loss and will look to bounce back in the series opener against Detroit. It certainly helps they are facing a struggling starter in the Tigers Matt Boyd. He's got a 6.10 ERA with an awful 1.936 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Tampa Bay's Michael Wacha is doing the exact opposite with a 2.94 ERA and 1.044 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the Rays -163!
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358364

                            #28
                            Sean Murphy

                            Sep 10 '21, 7:20 PM in 1h
                            MLB | MIA vs ATL
                            Play on: UNDER 8½ -103

                            Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Atlanta at 7:20 pm et on Friday.

                            The Braves are coming off a home series against the Nationals that featured two wild, back-and-forth, high-scoring affairs. Here, I'm expecting a lower-scoring contest as Atlanta welcomes Miami on Friday night. Note that the 'under' is 9-1 with the Marlins playing on the road with triple-revenge against an opponent this season, as is the case here, with those contests averaging a total of just 5.2 runs. The 'under' is also 16-5 with Miami playing on the road after six or more consecutive games at home, with that situation producing an average total of just 6.9 runs. Both of tonight's starting pitchers are capable with Trevor Rogers having recorded a 1.09 WHIP in 11 road starts this season for the Marlins and Ian Anderson of the Braves having posted a 1.11 WHIP in nine home outings. Meanwhile, the Miami bullpen has recorded a collective 0.78 WHIP over its last seven games while Atlanta's relief corps has combined to post a 1.02 WHIP over that same stretch. Take the under.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358364

                              #29
                              Black Widow

                              Sep 10 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                              MLB | LAA vs HOU
                              Play on: UNDER 8 -115

                              1* Free Wiseguy Play on Angels/Astros under 8 -115
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358364

                                #30
                                Frank Sawyer

                                Sep 10 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                                MLB | Red Sox vs White Sox
                                Play on: White Sox -150 at William Hill

                                FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 9/10:

                                My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday is with the Chicago White Sox with the money-line versus the Boston Red Sox listing both starting pitchers Carlos Rodon and Tanner Houck. Chicago (46-24) has lost two games in a row after a 3-1 loss at Oakland yesterday. The White Sox have won 5 of their last 6 games after a loss. Chicago has also won 8 of their last 11 home games against teams with winning records. Boston (80-62) comes off a 2-1 win against Tampa Bay on Wednesday. The Red Sox go back on the road where they have lost 14 of their last 20 games. Boston has also lost 11 of their last 14 games as an underdog. Take the Chicago White Sox with the money-line listing Rodon and Houck. Best of luck — Frank.
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