Friday 9/24/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



    Belterra Park - Race #8 - Post: 4:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $13,200 Class Rating: 30

    Rating:

    #4 AFLAXENDREAM (ML=3/1)
    #6 GIMME CLEARANCE (ML=6/1)


    AFLAXENDREAM - Sprinters that come back to the races quickly are generally good plays. Trainer Laugherty moves this animal down the class scale to face a lower rated field. Look for a strong performance given the class advantage. This filly is in fine form, having run a nice race on September 14th, finishing third. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back. This filly's last speed rating is strong enough to score here, I'll play her back again this time around. GIMME CLEARANCE - The rider/trainer pair of Dominguez and Silva has a strong return on investment together. I like horses that return to a similar class level after dropping at least five Equibase class figure points like this one did last out. I believe she'll be competitive at this class level. Filly took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 LA LA ANGEL (ML=2/1), #5 LINDA'S CITY (ML=4/1), #1 MISS CELESTE (ML=5/1),

    LA LA ANGEL - When scrutinizing today's class figure, she will have to notch a much better fig than last race out to be competitive in this dirt sprint. LINDA'S CITY - The Brain tells me to keep my distance from horses in sprint contests that haven't finished in the money in short distance events recently. MISS CELESTE - Finished fifth last time out. Would have to perk up to land in the top three today. Earned a somewhat easily forgotten speed figure in the last race in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on September 2nd. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that fig.


    STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #4 AFLAXENDREAM on the nose if you can get odds of 3/2 or more
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [4,6]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None
    SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass

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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #17
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs


      09/24/21, CD, Race 6, 3.18 ET
      09/24/21,CD,6,6F [Dirt] 1:07:03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $42,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. Weight, 119 lbs. Claiming Price $20,000.
      . . . .
      Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
      100.0000 3 Cachirulo 20/1 Cardoso D Cash Norman L. SWL 108 30.56 1.15/$1
      096.6768 5 Jesuit 3/1 Gaffalione T Stewart Dallas JE 40 37.50 1.46/$1
      096.2319 2 Willie Has Hart 7/2 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith FC 78 32.05 1.26/$1
      095.5442 6 Dealmeinbud 6/1 Lanerie C J Walsh Brendan P. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
      095.2602 10 Great North 10/1 Beschizza A Sharp Joe T 40 37.50 1.46/$1
      094.7644 4 Fireman Dan(b+) 5/1 Rocco. Jr. J Tomlinson Michael A. 40 37.50 1.46/$1
      093.7338 8 Better Tone 6/1 Graham J Amoss Thomas M. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
      093.4700 9 War Ally 20/1 Bejarano R Lukas D. Wayne 108 30.56 1.15/$1
      093.3854 7 Delta Nine 20/1 Murrill M Mitchell Sherman S. 108 30.56 1.15/$1
      092.5884 1 Declare the Moon 5/1 Talamo J Kenneally Eddie 108 30.56 1.15/$1
      092.1902 11 Rithmicallea 8/1 Albarado R Gelner Scott 40 37.50 1.46/$1
      Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 24.19, ROI 0.94/$1
      Rating gap To 2nd horse -3.3232
      [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
      [Dirt MdnMClm] Race Sex Not Females
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #18
        1. Elite Sports Picks CFB Charlotte under 56 2-2 (-20) 4-1 (+295)
        2. Top Rank Sports Picks MLB Milwaukee -140 0-4 (-535) 4-2 (+180)
        3. Doc's Picks 3-1 (+190) 4-3 (+115)
        4. Joe Wiz 1-1 (-25) 2-1 (+95)
        5. National Sports Service MLB Reds under 9 3-1 (+175) 3-2 (+80)
        6. The Spot Player MLB Yankees -115 2-2 (-30) 4-3 (+15)
        7. Insider Sports Report MLB Detroit -105 2-2 (-40) 2-2-1 (-20)
        8. Profit On Sports CFB Virginia -3.5 2-1 (+90) 3-3 (-50)
        9. Primetime Sports Picks MLB Dodgers -1.5 -140 1-1 (-10) 3-3 (-135)
        10. The Sports Consensus CFB Charlotte -3 0-3 (-345) 2-3 (-180)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #19
          Free Winners for Friday, September 24th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
          FREE HORSE PICKS
          CHARLES TOWN
          RACE #7
          TIME: 10:02 PM EST
          PICK: BET #7 Juba’s House 3/1 odds to win @ Bovada
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #20
            Free Winners for Friday, September 24th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
            FREE MLB PICKS
            Royals @ Tigers
            TIME: 7:10 PM EST
            PICK: Bet OVER 9 @ Bovada
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #21
              Friday, September 24th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE MLB PICKS
              Mets @ Brewers
              TIME: 8:10 PM EST
              PICKS: BET UNDER 8 @ BOVADA
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #22
                Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks Place A Bet
                1. NSA(The Legend) MLB – Reds -180 Line @ Bovada
                2. Gameday Network MLB – Cubs GM1 +125 Line @ Bovada
                3. Sports Action 365 MLB – Phillies -1.5 Line @ GT Bets
                4. Vegas Line Crushers MLB – Mets +125 Line @ GT Bets
                5. VegasSI.com MLB – Giants -1.5 Line @ Bovada
                6. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) MLB – Rays -1.5 Line @ MyBookie
                7. Winning Big Sports MLB – Twins over 8.5 Line @ MyBookie
                8. NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) MLB – Indians over 8 Line @ Bovada
                9. Lou Panelli MLB – Red Sox over 9 Line @ Bovada
                10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club MLB – Mets under 8 Line @ GT Bets
                11. William E. Stockton MLB – Phillies under 9 Line @ MyBookie
                12. Vincent Pioli MLB – Cubs GM1 +125 Line @ Bovada
                13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall MLB – Reds -180 Line @ Bovada
                14. SCORE MLB – Giants -1.5 Line @ GT Bets
                15. Tony Campone MLB – Orioles -105 Line @ Bovada
                16. Chicago Sports Group MLB – Indians over 8 Line @ Bovada
                17. Hollywood Sportsline MLB – Rays -1.5 Line @ Bovada
                18. VIP Action MLB – Astros +110 Line @ GT Bets
                19. South Beach Sports MLB – Red Sox over 9 Line @ Bovada
                20. Las Vegas Sports Commission MLB – Dodgers -1.5 Line @ Bovada
                21. NY Players Club MLB – Phillies -1.5 Line @ GT Bets
                22. Fred Callahan MLB – Cubs GM1 +125 Line @ Bovada
                23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club MLB – Cardinals GM2 -175 Line @ MyBookie
                24. Michigan Sports MLB – Dodgers -1.5 Line @ GT Bets
                25. National Consensus Report MLB – Royals over 9 Line @ Bovada
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #23
                  Mikey Sports MLB BOSTON RED SOX +110 1 0 +100
                  Rocketman Sports MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS ‑1.5 ‑130 1 0 +100
                  Tys Terrific Tips NCAA Football WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS +3.5 2 1 +90
                  Mikey Money No pick yet 1 1 +80
                  Pure Lock MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS ‑1.5 ‑135 1 1 +15
                  R and R Totals NCAA Football WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS/VIRGINIA CAVALIERS o68.5 2 2 -20
                  The Money Team Wins Sports NCAA Football WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS +145 1 2 -95
                  Insider Sports Report No pick yet 0 1 -105
                  Ace / Sleeper Selections MLB CHICAGO CUBS (GAME 2) +175 0 1 -110
                  FURBOOKIE No pick yet 0 1 -110
                  Top Dog No pick yet 0 2 -200
                  Vegas Investment Picks No pick yet 0 2 -230
                  Joe Wiz MLB NEW YORK YANKEES ‑115 0 4 -44
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #24
                    Ben Burns

                    Sep 24 '21, 7:05 PM in 2h
                    MLB | Pirates vs Phillies
                    Play on: Phillies -216 at linepros

                    Gibson, who is 7-2 with a 1.97 ERA in his "home" starts, is off a quality effort but the Phillies didn't give him enough run support. That shouldn't be an issue today; Howard is 1-6 with a 6.51 ERA for his career. He's supported by a Pirate pen which has a 5.20 ERA on the road. The Philadelphia bats came alive yesterday with 12 runs. With the Pirates just 23-54 on the road, this one goes to the surging Phillies. Consider laying the wood.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #25
                      Rocky Atkinson

                      Sep 24 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
                      MLB | Marlins vs Rays
                      Play on: Rays -1½ -131 at pinnacle

                      Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 9-24-21
                      Miami @ Tampa Bay (7:10 PM EST)
                      Play On: Tampa Bay -1.5 -131 (Cabrera/Robertson) Listed
                      The Miami Marlins travel to Tampa Bay to take on the Rays on Friday night. Miami is 64-88 SU overall this year while Tampa Bay comes in with a 94-59 SU overall record on the season. Edward Cabrera is 0-2 with a 5.31 ERA overall this year, 0-1 with a 5.87 ERA on the road this season and 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA his last 3 starts. Miami is 24-50 on the road this year scoring only 3.9 runs per game. Miami is 3-14 in inter-league play this year scoring only 3.3 runs per game. Miami is allowing 5.7 runs per game past 7 games overall. Tampa Bay is 59-32 against right handed starters this year scoring 5.7 runs per game. Tampa Bay is 49-29 at home this year allowing only 3.3 runs per game. Tampa Bay is 11-2 overall vs Miami the past 3 years. Tampa Bay is 64-29 this year after a win. We'll recommend a small play on Tampa Bay on the Run line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #26
                        Jesse Schule

                        Sep 24 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
                        MLB | White Sox vs Indians
                        Play on: Indians +1½ -150 at Mirage

                        This is a free play on the Indians.
                        The White Sox are division champs, and we will see if they suffer a let down in their first game since clinching the AL Central.
                        Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he has an ERA over 5.00 on the road. He allowed six runs on eight hits over 3 1/3 innings in his only start against the Indians this season.
                        Cleveland will hand the ball to Shane Beiber, who will likely be on a pitch count in his first start coming off the DL.
                        The White Sox are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings in Cleveland.
                        GL,
                        Jesse Schule
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #27
                          ASA

                          Sep 24 '21, 8:00 PM in 3h
                          NCAA-F | Liberty vs Syracuse
                          Play on: UNDER 54 -107

                          #309/310 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 54 Points – Liberty vs Syracuse, Friday at 8 PM ET - At first glance we see two teams that want to run the football which in turns means less clock stoppage and lower scoring games in general. Liberty ranks 20th in rushing attempts per game at 44, Syracuse is 64th at 36.5. Both teams may have a hard time establishing the run though as the defenses they face are stout against the rush. In fact, the Flames have the 3rd best rushing defense in terms of yards allowed per rush at a miniscule 1.5RYPA, while allowing only 44 rushing yards per game overall. The Orange are giving up 92 rushing yards per game which ranks 26th while allowing 2.5 yards per attempt (17th best in the nation). Liberty does rate much better in terms of yards per point scored at 11.6 which is 21st, but Syracuse ranks 92nd in that same statistical category at 17.9YPPT. Another key factor here is pace of play as both have been conservative in their offensive approach this season. Liberty is averaging 71.5 plays per game which is around the national average, but Syracuse runs just 64.5 plays per game which ranks 107th. The Flames had two 40+ point outbursts but they came against a pair of bad defenses in Old Dominion and Cambell. The one defense they played which is like the Orange was Troy and they managed just 21 points in that game. Syracuse has played in two lower scoring games versus Ohio U and Rutgers before posting 62 on Albany last week. Coincidentally, that offensive outburst last week by the Cuse has driven this line up higher than it should be. The bet here is UNDER.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #28
                            Mike Williams

                            Sep 24 '21, 8:05 PM in 3h
                            MLB | Cardinals vs Cubs
                            Play on: Cubs +170 at William Hill

                            1* on Cubs +170
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #29
                              Stephen Nover

                              Sep 24 '21, 8:05 PM in 3h
                              MLB | Cardinals vs Cubs
                              Play on: Cubs +171 at linepros

                              The Cardinals are playing a doubleheader today. My involvement - a pizza bet - is fading Jack Flaherty. He's scheduled to start against Zach Davies in Game 2. St. Louis is hot. The Cubs are in rebuild mode. I understand that. I also know, though, that those backing the Cardinals are paying a premium to get Flaherty - and he's not going to pitch very long. I consider Flaherty one of the best pitchers in the National League. But he's endured an injury-plagued season. He missed 2 1/2 months because of a strained oblique muscle and then he was shut down following his Aug. 24 appearance because of shoulder soreness. He hasn't pitched since. The Cardinals are going to be extra careful with him here. They want to ease Flaherty into the postseason when the games really matter. So essentially the Cardinals are laying a monster price in what amounts to a glorified bullpen game. I'm not a fan of Davies, but he does have a 1.69 ERA in three starts versus St. Louis this season. The wind is blowing out at 14 miles per hour, so there should be plenty of runs. The Cubs are the more powerful team ranking 11th in homers with 202. The Cardinals are 20th in homers with 176.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #30
                                Dustin Hawkins

                                Sep 24 '21, 8:10 PM in 3h
                                MLB | TOR vs MIN
                                Play on: OVER 8½ -105

                                1 Dimer on Blue Jays vs Twins over 8½ -105
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