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COMP PLAY SUNDAY 9/26/21: NFL CHARGERS @ CHIEFS OVER 53.5
COMP PLAY SUNDAY 9/26/21: NFL CHARGERS @ CHIEFS OVER 53.5
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Jay McNeil
A week after scoring 38 points in their season-opening win over the Green Bay Packers, the New Orleans Saints could only crack the end zone one time in their 26-7 road loss at Carolina.
Which New Orleans offense will show up today in Foxborough?
My guess is the answer lies somewhere in the middle, as I put full trust in Bill Belichick to craft his defense to limit the scoring of Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill.
The Saints have landed Under in both games this season and bring a 5 game Under run dating back to last season into today's interconference clash with the Patriots. New Orleans has also held Under now in 10 of their last 13 since last season.
The Patriots are also on a bit of an Under surge, as they too have played both of their games this season Under the total, and the Under is now 9-1 for their last 10 games since last season. Overall, the Pats have stayed Low in 12 of their last 15 regular-season contests.
Mac Jones is just a rookie, so do not expect New England to let the youngster stray far from the basic game and clock management.
Saints-Patriots Under the total.
2* NEW ORLEANS-NEW ENGLAND UNDERComment
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Mitchell Newman
Going to side with the Chargers plus the points in their divisional game at Arrowhead Stadium early on Sunday afternoon.
Both the Chargers and the Chiefs play off losses last Sunday, but I like what I am seeing from this Los Angeles team under first-year coach Brandon Staley, as the Bolts defense looks to be much improved this season and if they can clean up their penalties, this team can be quite dangerous this season.
Kansas City has not looked all that good to me through the first pair of games this year as they were lucky to hold off Cleveland at home on Week One, and could not hold off Baltimore on Sunday night on the road as they allowed a pair of 4th quarter touchdowns to the Ravens in their 36-35 loss.
The Chief defense has not been able to get pressure on the opposing quarterback and Justin Herbert with time plus the points are going to be a dangerous dog this afternoon.
Los Angeles won the last series meeting against Kansas City as the Chargers are on a 5-1 straight up and against the spread dating back to last year, while Kansas City is now 8-2 straight up their last 10 regular-season games, but only 1-9 against the spread in that span.
Points work with the Chargers on Sunday afternoon.
3* L.A. CHARGERSComment
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Gus Augustine
Raise your hand if you thought the Las Vegas Raiders would be 2-0 after the first two weeks of the season. Put your damn hands down! The only person I know who had the Raiders opening the season 2-0 was Chris Jordan, who wrote several win total predictions for this site, and he said the Raiders would open 2-0.
They'll move to 3-0 with a home win and cover against the Miami Dolphins, who were brought down to earth by the Buffalo Bills last week. The Fins opened the season thinking they had beaten the all-might New England Patriots, but the fact is they stymied a rookie quarterback - end of story.
This week the Dolphins get the league passing leader in Derek Carr, and face a stifling defense that has Pro Football Focus' top-ranked edge rusher, Maxx Crosby.
On either side, the Raiders will be tough to handle, as they've found out themselves just how good their passing game is with a variety of talents who can do multi-faceted things, from tight end Darren Waller off the line, to speedy Henry Ruggs, to one-on-one nightmare Bryan Edwards, to cockstrong Hunter Renfrow, to do-it-all Zay Jones... this team is loaded.
I know Carr is questionable, but he has to be listed as such. Trust me, this dude is playing. He's been back, rehabbed his ankle, gotten treatment, done proprioception work - he won't miss this game.
On the other hand, Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa is considered "day-to-day" with a rib injury. That'll be tough to endure, even if he plays, especially against a ferocious defense that already forced Lamar Jackson to fumble the game away, and then stopped the Steelers on a short week.
Buy the half point anywhere between -2 1/2 and -4 1/2 and play the Raiders.
1* RAIDERSComment
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Chris Jordan
The Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders are the only 2-0 teams in the AFC.
The hapless New York Jets aren't about to come into Denver and ruin that, let alone hang by 10 points. The Broncos have a gimme here, knowing the Raiders have their hands full with the Miami Dolphins in Vegas.
The Zach Wilson project hasn't formulated that well, yet. The Jets have the 26th-ranked offense (294.0 yards per game), while checking in at 22 with their rushing game (98.5), and dead last at No. 32 in passing (195.5). It's no wonder after two weeks the Jets rank 31st with their scoring offense (10.0 points per game).
Denver, on the other hand, has the seventh-best overall offense (409.0 yards per game), ranks fifth in rushing (130.5), 11th in passing (278.5) and is tied for 13th in scoring offense (25.0 points per game).
None of that will bode well for the Jets' deense, even though it ranks in the upper half of the league in the appropriate categories. Personally, I think the Broncos will offer much more than the Panthers and Patriots did in the first two weeks.
When you consider you have a guy like Teddy Bridgewater, who can hurt you with his legs, but who has attempted more throws over 20 yards than any other quarterback, it'll be tough for the Jets to transition and make adjustments on the road and in Denver. Especially since the vertical choices Bridgewater has made, has also allowed the Broncos to run the ball efficiently.
The only obstacle in this one is the Broncos looking past the Jets, and onto the Baltimore Ravens in Week 4. Fortunately for the Broncos, that game is in Denver.
The focus will be on on another double-digit win, as the Broncos won at the Giants by 14 and at Jacksonville by 10.
For the home opener, expect a big win.
2* BRONCOSComment
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Trace Adams
Home opener for the Minnesota Vikings who have been involved in a pair of heartbreaking road losses through the first 2 weeks of the new season.
Thus far the Vikings have shown they know how to score the football, 24 and 33 points accrued in their setbacks, but they have also shown that their once staunch defense simply cannot make key stops to keep them from losing, as they have allowed 27 and 34 points in their pair of losses - BOTH games landing Over the total.
I see no reason to play against this trend here on Week Three at home against the Seattle Seahawks, especially when you consider that Seattle has averaged 29.5 points per game through their opening pair of games and are fresh off a combined 63 points in last Sunday's blown lead loss to the Tennessee Titans that landed Over the total.
Consider that Minnesota is now 22-9-1 Over the total for their last 32 games played and the case for backing the Over gets that much stronger.
Last year these teams faced one another with Seattle winning a 27-26 thriller that landed under the 54 points total. The season before these teams combined for a whopping 67 points in their get-together.
Stick with the Over trends in the Seahawks-Vikings meeting today.
5* SEATTLE-MINNESOTA OVERComment
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Mike Wynn
Free Pick: Atlanta/NY Giants Over 47½ Points
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, SUNDAY September 26, 2021
9/26 10:00 AM PT / 1:00 PM ET
NFL (471) INDIANAPOLIS COLTS VS (472) TENNESSEE TITANS
Take: (471) INDIANAPOLIS COLTSComment
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Razor Sharp
YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR SUNDAY: ATLANTA/NY GIANTS OVER the total of 47½Comment
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Totals4U
Early Sunday's Free Selection: New Orleans Saints/New England Patriots under 42 1/2Comment
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Roz Wins
ROZ Selections SUNDAY, September 26, 2021
FREE NFL
479. Chargers +6.5 (10 PT / 1 ET)Comment
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Atlantic Sports
Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Baltimore Orioles - 125
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#1 Sports
Early Sunday's Free Play: Detroit Lions + 8Comment
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Platinum Plays
- Your Free Pick: Indianapolis/Tennessee Game OVER 47½ Points
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- Your Free Pick: Indianapolis/Tennessee Game OVER 47½ Points
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Sharp Bettor
SharpBettor FREE Play SUNDAY, September 26, 2021
FREE NFL
5* 471. Colts +6 (10 PT / 1 ET)Comment
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