Friday 10/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:09 AM

Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts (September 28-October 3)

September 28, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:

Friday-Sunday (Golden Hour Double, Pick 4 with Santa Anita returns)

Carryovers:

$6,058 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot
$5,175 // Super High Five
Meet's Closing Day // Sunday // mandatory payouts

Feature Race:

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Last Late Pace (33%, +$36.80)
Best Speed Last 3 (29%, +$16.00)
Speed Last Race (27%, +$1.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Evin Roman // last week 17: 4-3-1 (24%, $1.71 ROI) // wins at $8, $14, $15, $19
J: Assael Espinoza // last week 11: 3-1-1 (27%, $1.70 ROI) // 2-3 with Andy Mathis // 10-33 over past 3 weeks
T: Bill McLean // last week 5: 3-0-0 (60%, $5.23 ROI) // wins at $9, $19, $23 // 2-2 with Santos Rivera
T: Andy Mathis // last week 6: 3-0-0 (50%, $2.23 ROI) // wins at $3, $7, $16 // 2-2 main track routes
T: Marcia Stortz // last week 4: 2-0-0 (50%, $5.58 ROI) // wins at $15, $29 // 4-15 since Sept. 1 at GGF

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:10 AM

Gulfstream 5 Facts (September 28-October 3)

September 28, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday (new 12:50 pm ET daily post; racing on Tapeta surface begins Thursday)

Carryovers:

$216,828 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot ($350,000-guaranteed pool Thursday)

Feature Race(s):

No stakes scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Win % (35%, +$50.40)
% Of Horses Beaten (30%, +$12.20)
(In The Money) ITM % (27%, +$16.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Luca Panici // last week 18: 5-2-3 (28%, $1.16 ROI) // winners at $4, $6, $8, $9, $13
J: Edgard Zayas // last week 24: 6-9-3 (25%, $0.82 ROI) // 18-49 over past 2 weeks
T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week: 14: 4-6-2 (29%, $0.89 ROI) // all 4 wins 2-1 or less // 7-21 over past 2 weeks
T: Ron Spatz // last week 3: 2-0-0 (66%, $3.47 ROI) // $6 and $14 winners // 2-2 with Miguel Vasquez
T: Merei Amador Sanchez // last week 5: 2-0-1 (40%, $1.56 ROI) // 2-2 in maiden claimers

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:11 AM

Laurel Park 5 Facts (September 28-October 3)

September 27, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
1/ST Look: Laurel Park 5 Facts (September 28-October 3)

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$2,555 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot

Feature Race(s):

$150,000 Laurel Futurity // 2-year-olds on turf // Saturday
$150,000 Selima // 2-year-old fillies on turf // Saturday
$100,000 Laurel Dash // turf sprinters // Saturday
$100,000 Japan Turf Cup // turf marathoners // Saturday
$100,000 All Along // turf route fillies & mares // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Best Speed Fast Track (37%, +$32.40)
Trainer/Jockey 2-Year Win % (33%, +$25.00)
Trainer 6 Mo. Win % (32%, +$31.40)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

J: Eduardo Lopez // last week 12: 6-0-2 (50%, $3.79 ROI) // topped by $56 upsetter // 2-3 with Jamie Ness
J: Denis Araujo // last week 13: 4-0-2 (31%, $2.59 ROI) // wins at $8, $11, $17, $30 // 2-4 with Hamilton Smith
J: Grant Whitacre // last week 5: 2-1-1 (40%, $2.40 ROI) // 2-2 dirt routes, including $18 winner
T: Brittany Russell // last week 7: 4-0-1 (57%, $3.01 ROI) // $3, $7, $8, $23 winners // 8-15 over last 2 weeks
T: Rodolfo Sanchez-Salomon // last week 6: 3-0-0 (50%, $4.47 ROI) // wins at $9, $15, $29 // 2-2 with Luis Batista
T: Dale Capuano // last week 4: 3-0-1 (75%, $2.05 ROI) // wins at $4, $5, $6 // 2-2 with Jorge Ruiz
** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:13 AM

Free Winners for Friday, October 1st 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #6
TIME: 9:32 PM EST
PICK: BET #8 Hot Fudge Sonde 5/2 odds to win @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 05:45 AM

Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

October 1, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
Hoosier Park begins the weekend with a 14-race card. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 11, and that sequence will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 11

1-Bobcat Bay (12-1)-Hawthorne invader should fit versus this group and offers a nice price. Bates could use the rail for an efficient trip near the top of the stack. HoP record is 9 of 12 in the money with 5 pictures.
7-Louie The Horse N (6-1)-Stayed inside last week versus better in 1st start on Lasix and closed nicely with a 26.3 last quarter. Oosting is between the pipes again and could be sitting on a big try in 4th local start.
8-Rockie Got Framed (7/2)-Another in from Stickney and in his last start finished 2nd as an odds-on choice against Open company. Looks like a player, Tetrick will steer for Erv Miller and has 9 wins in 42 starts here.

Race 12

4-Skyway Victor (2-1)-This 3-year-old has battled tough foes and drops to a spot to shine. Tetrick should be looking to take control early in the mile. This was the pilot's choice over the other Miller entry #5.
6-Big Gulp (4-1)-There should be a lively pace and that helps the chances of this Cross barn pupil who has been trying hard. Gets class plus post relief and this might be the spot to snag the 2nd win of the year.
8-Betterrock (9/2)-Widger will be in the bike and if he can avoid a slow start this is another sophomore who could score at a solid price. Closed in 54.1 from post 9 in last and best to respect chances here.

Race 13

5-Crook Boyzz (5/2)-Raced well last week in the 1st start since 6-13 but could not catch a well-meant winner. Bumps up but if tighter tonight, it might not matter.
9-Dont Say Goodby (12-1)-Comes out of the same race as the one above and lost a place photo to him. But this 13-year-old started from post 11. Maybe Oosting can work a good trip for this veteran and pop at a price in a race with many question marks.

Race 14

5-Jet Rock (2-1)-Drops to a soft spot after facing $50k and $65k claimers. Draws well and has won 4 of 11 at HoP. Looking for Miller to leave to try to control the pace.
8-Clever Character (5/2)-Burke trainee has 10 wins in 38 starts at HoP and should be a main player with a smooth trip. Rolled the last half in 55.2 to finish 4th versus better. That start came from the 2nd tier. Now Widger steers and he had success here versus better back on 7-23.

0.50 Late Pick 4

1,7,8/4,6,8/5,9/5,8
Total Bet=$18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 05:47 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Wagering Strategies - 10/01/21

October 1, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Ferrariano; 6-Viking Plunder

Forecast: The Friday opener is a challenging affair for older first-level state-bred allowance runners over a mile on grass. We’ll try to survive and advance using just two in our rolling exotics. Though he recorded several workouts while stabled on track in July and August, Ferrariano failed to participate at the Del Mar meeting and will be making his first start since June when finishing a willing third (beaten a neck) vs. 3-year-olds in the Snow Chief S. His recent workouts have been uninspiring but the son of Mshawish is a grass specialist who has never been all that willing in the a.m., so his current fitness is tough to gauge. On the plus side, his numbers are gradually rising, he’s drawn comfortable inside, and his stalking style should keep the B. Koriner-trained colt free of trouble. Viking Plunder has developed into a genuine and consistent performer with recent numbers that make him the one to beat. Claimed out of a maiden $16,000 affair at Gulfstream Park in April, the P. Capestro-trained gelding has improved considerably for his new connections since arriving in the West, and a healthy, recent work tab at San Luis Rey Downs provides indication that another forward move is imminent. In the frame in his last five starts, the son of Creative Cause shortens to a mile and projects to enjoy a comfortable, second flight trip and then have every chance from the quarter pole home.

Notable Workouts:
2–Ferrariano (Sept. 19, SA, 5f, 1:03.2h). Grade: C+
Went without blinkers (wears them in the afternoon) and earned splits of :25.2, :37.3 and 1:03.2, easy to the top before being asked and ridden through the lane. Not impressive, but never is in the morning and clearly wants grass to show his best.
View Workout Video

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RACE 2: Post: 1:28 PT Grade: C+
Use: 4-You’re My Boy Kat; 6-Bright Leaf

Forecast: In a race that might be best left alone, those who wish to participate may consider taking a flyer with Bright Leaf in this modest six-runner maiden $32,000 claimer for 2-year-olds. Claimed for $80,000 in his debut in August at Del Mar, presumably because he had trained pretty well, the son of Dialed In closed a gap but much too late when finishing a distant fifth before galloping out with some interest. However, his next outing was a disaster, as the J. Sadler-trained colt added blinkers, lugged out early and was always a sixteenth of a mile behind the pack when overmatched vs. much tougher straight maiden foes. Today, he drops to the bottom, removes blinkers, is drawn comfortably outside, gets a break in the weights, and shortens to a sprint after recording a bullet :59 flat gate work at Los Alamitos eight days ago, so if he can run at all this is the spot to show it. The likely choice and one to beat is the money-burning You’re My Kat, in the frame in four of five career starts but beaten without mishap in two of his last three starts as an even money favorite. He’s re-equipped with blinkers and should be prominent throughout; maybe today against this group he’ll be able to punch it in.

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RACE 3: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B-
Use: 2-Sumter; 8-Elevado; 10-Fight On Ron

Forecast: Maiden juveniles sprint five furlongs on grass in a race that came up a bit light in quality. Sumter improved a bunch off a poor dirt debut when switching to the lawn and finishing a willing runner-up under these conditions at Del Mar earlier this month. He’s trained well since, so another forward move is likely, though the son of War Front isn’t particularly fast on a numbers and a good colt probably can beat him. Fight On Ron and Elevado, third and fourth, respectively, when debuting in a fairly competitive maiden dirt sprint at Los Alamitos three weeks ago, both have a right to step forward and are “must uses” in rolling exotic play. Fight On Ron ran okay without mishap, was subsequently gelded, and goes for an outfit that hits at 29% with a significant profit with the second-time starter angle. Elevado flashed good speed before weakening, shortens up, tries grass, and picks up J. Rosario, so the $190,000 son of Street Boss looks dangerous while projected to be on or near the lead throughout.

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RACE 4: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 5-Platinum Equity; 6-P R Star

Forecast: Platinum Equity shortens in trip, exits a tougher starter’s allowance race, loves the Santa Anita main track (six career wins), and is reunited with “win rider” E. Maldonado in this $20,000 claimer for older horses at seven furlongs. The Stay Thirsty gelding has the proper stalking style for this trip, and in a race that should have a modest early pace he should be well-placed and ready to pounce when called upon. P R Radio Star is dropping a level in his first start following a claim by G. Pappaprodromou, not a healthy sign, and the veteran gelding is winless in six starts this year, so his current condition must be questioned. A tough old pro, the veteran son of Warrior’s Reward seemed okay in a recent workout, and is cozily drawn outside, so we’ll include him on a few tickets while reserving the main punch for Platinum Equity.

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RACE 5: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 2-One Timer; 4-Forbidden Kingdom; 5-Miss Alacrity

ForecastMidwest invader One Timer arrives with a pair of fast, highly-rated all-weather wins on his resume and today will try to earn his way into the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint in this year’s edition of the Speakeasy S. over five furlongs on grass. The Trappe Shot gelding was scratched out of the Arlington-Washington Futurity in late August (he was 4/5 on the morning line) and didn’t record a workout until 12 days later but he does show a half mile bullet gate drill in :45 3/5 at his home base at Arlington Park before hopping on a plane to California so we’ll assume he’s fit and ready. Based strictly on speed figures, the L. Rivelli-trained juvenile is the one to beat but must prove he can act equally as well on the lawn. Miss Alacrity also is perfect in two career outings, most recently winning the Colleen S. at this trip on turf at Monmouth Park while employing a pace-pressing style. The W. Ward-trained filly took heat and then came away with authority in a visually pleasing performance, and while her numbers aren’t quite as fast as our top pick, she certainly could be capable of better if required. J. Velasquez, who was aboard her in a 10 length debut maiden win at Belmont Park in early May, returns. Forbidden Kingdom may have been a tad fortunate when winning his debut sprinting on dirt at Del Mar (the much-troubled third place finisher Rhetoric was best) but the speed figure was strong, the runner-up came back to win, and as a son of American Pharoah has a right to be better on grass than dirt. The R. Mandella-trained colt has been impressive in the morning in the interim, so a step in the right direction can be expected.

Notable Workouts:
4–Forbidden Kingdom (Sept. 24, SA, 6f, 1:12.4h). Grade: B
Broke off several lengths behind Micro Share (5f, 1:00.3h) and then rallied inside to prove clearly best through the lane, :24 flat, :35.3 and 1:00 flat to the wire before continuing out to 7/8 pole under mild pressure in 1:12.4. Flashed good speed when winning his debut on the lead but displayed versatility and a willingness to settle early and finish in this drill.
View Workout Video

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RACE 6: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Electric Ride; 2-Ain’t Easy; 7-Censorship

Forecast: Admittedly, Grace Adler looks impressive on paper; she’s unbeaten in two starts and is fresh off an 11-length romp in the Del Mar Debutante-G1. Furthermore, she’s bred to improve with experience and distance, so there’s no reason to believe she won’t step forward in her first try around two turns. That said, we’re not totally sold. Average at best in the speed figure department and unimpressive when easily outworked by stable mate Censorship (see below), the daughter of Curlin won’t offer any real wagering value and could be vulnerable, so let’s try to beat her. Censorship is a maiden in three starts and her numbers, while rising, aren’t particularly fast. Still, the daughter of Tonalist continues to impress in the morning, most recently when toying with Grace Adler in a drill last week, and after finishing a remarkable second after being eliminated at the start with a horrific stumble last time out the B. Baffert-trained filly picks up Johnny V. and seems ready to put her best stuff on display. Whether that will be good enough remains to be seen, but at 12-1 on the morning line she offers a chance at a gamble. Electric Ride won at first asking with a big number and did it the right way, pressing the pace and then coming away with authority. From her inside draw the daughter of Daredevil likely will employ gate-to-wire tactics and if she can clear her rivals entering the first time without undue pressure, she could be hard to catch. Ain’t Easy is another first-out winner getting tested for class. The daughter of Into Mischief projects to settle into the second flight and then launch her bid and based on her recent drills the P. D’Amato-trained filly won’t be bothered by today’s extra distance.

Notable Workouts:
1–Electric Ride (Sept. 25, SA, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B
In outside in company with stakes-placed older stable mate Crew Dragon (same time) and held her own while going stride-for-stride most of the way, splits of :36 flat and 1:00.1, a neck at the wire under mild coaxing, solid drill. Hard to say that she’ll improve routing but if she’s ever going to handle two-turns it’ll probably be in her first try.
View Workout Video

2–Ain’t Easy (Sept. 20, SA, 6f, 1:16.1). Grade: B-
Slow but steady throughout without ever being permitted to show her speed to be even but best inside Desert Dawn (same time) for P. D’Amato, splits of :26.2, :38.3, 1:03.4 and 1:16.1 while breezing from the 5/8ths pole to the 7/8ths pole. Should handle two-turns no problem.
View Workout Video

7–Censorship (Sept. 19, SA, 6f, 1:13h). Grade: B+
Breezed inside Grace Adler (5f, 1:00.2h) and was noticeable best, well in hand from the quarter pole to the wire (workmate asked) to about a length clear before continuing out under some coaxing to the 7/8 pole, :23.4 and :36.1 for the final three furlongs. Still a maiden after three starts but remains highly-regarded and deservedly so.
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Gregorian Chant; 5-Law Abidin Citizen; 7-Lieutenant Dan

Forecast: Welcome back, Hillside Turf Course! This year’s edition of the Eddie D. S.-G2 is a highly-contentious affair with several contenders. We’re guessing how the course will play, but there appears to be plenty of early speed signed on to promote the chances of the late-runners. Gregorian Chant should be well-suited by the race flow and after finding five furlongs a bit too sharp when a too-little-too-late third place effort in the Green Flash S.-G3 at Del Mar last time out the English-bred gelding gets an extra three-sixteenths of a mile to work with and should make the best of it. He’s certain to get the patient ride he requires from regular pilot J. Hernandez and if he gets enough help up front the P. D’Amato-trained gelding should be able to produce a winning late kick. Lieutenant Dan, a clever winner of the Green Flash H.-G3 in late August while earning a career top speed figure, is a versatile type that can pop and go or stalk and pounce. The Grazen gelding lands the good outside draw and should fire another huge shot. Law Abidin Citizen, a respectable close fourth in the Bing Crosby S.-G1 on dirt at Del Mar, can be equally effective on turf and the son of Twirling Candy projects to settle in a stalking position and then have every chance from the head of the lane to the wire. A recent bullet five furlong workout (:59.3h, fastest of 19) should have him primed and ready.

Notable Workouts:
Lieutenant Dan (Sept. 27, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.1h TT). Grade B
Solo training track drill while ticking over for S. Miyadi, final three furlongs in :12 flat and :35.4, very nice without being asked. Really has improved following an 11 month layoff and recently earned a career top speed figure when winning the Green Flash H.-G3.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:29 PT Grade: B+
Use: 1-Corniche; 6-Rockefeller; 7-Pappacap

Forecast: This could turn out to be a very strong edition of the American Pharoah S.-G1, but with juveniles stretching out for the first time you can never be sure which ones will handle the extra distance and which ones won’t be able stay the trip. Corniche was awesome when breaking his maiden at first asking at Del Mar in a race that earned a monster speed figure, the best in North American to date, but he hasn’t been impressive in the morning since that race (see below), so we’re not sure if he’ll be equally effective routing. We suspect the son of Quality Road will be let roll from the gate to take advantage of his inside draw in an attempt to wire the field. Maybe he can, but at 6/5 on the morning line he won’t offer any real wagering value. Rockefeller outworked Corniche last week and looked very good doing it. In his debut maiden win at Del Mar, the son of Medaglia d’Oro failed to change leads through the lane, though he did switch over smoothly in his recent workout. This could be a very good colt so it’s not surprising that F. Prat picks up the mount. Pappacap tried to make the gap from his rail post in the Del Mar Futurity-G1 and lost all chance; he had won his first two starts like a legitimate top class prospect and as a son of Gun Runner seems certain to handle extra distance. His most recent workout (see below) was mouth-watering good and if there’s a quick enough pace to compliment his style the M. Casse-trained colt could easily produce the last run. We’ll have tickets including all three in our rolling exotic play, but at 8-1 on the morning line Pappacap represents the best gamble in the win pool.

Notable Workouts:
6-Rockefeller (Sept. 24, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.4h). Grade B+
Breezed inside Corniche (5f, 1:00h) and was always going the better of the two, finishing in hand to be a length clear at the wire (workmate asked but made no impression), splits of :35.3 and :59.4. Failed to change leads in debut win but switches over nicely today and appears to be a colt that will step forward considerably with distance and experience. Workmate was highly impressive breaking his maiden at Del Mar but was far less than that today.
View Workout Video

7-Pappacap (Sept. 24, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.3h). Grade: A-
Worked outside older Laker Mamba (5f, :59.4h) and was much the best under a nice hold throughout, exerting his superiority in the final furlong to be a length clear (could have been more) while earning splits of :34.2 and :59.3 on our watches. Much better than his troubled Del Mar Futurity-G1 race indicates (had self-caused trouble) and seems very likely, as a son of Gun Runner, to improve stretching out.
View Workout Video

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RACE 9: Post: 5:00 PT Grade: C+
Use: 6-Big Summer; 12-Self Isolation

Forecast: The nightcap, a maiden-special-weight turf sprint for older state-bred fillies and mares, came up soft, so we’ll go two-deep and hope that’s enough. Big Summer is the logical top pick, having finished in the frame in all three starts, so she may be hard to trust, having been a beaten favorite in her last two. A decent sort of filly will beat her, but there may not be one in her. Her numbers are okay but we’re just not sure how much improvement she has in her. Self Isolation is a bit intriguing and should be included as well. Away since May of last year when an okay third while well-backed (5/2) in her only outing, the daughter of Square Eddie certainly is bred for turf and returns with Lasix and a decent series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs that should have her plenty fit for this six furlong dash. The D. O’Neill-trained sophomore must overcome the extreme outside draw, but against this group she should be able to do so – assuming she’s good enough.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 05:50 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #6

#1 Champster	He took a step back last out after a really good run at a price in the two-back try, and he has some bounce-back potential at what should be a bit better price tonight.
#7 Catfish	He has traded decisions with the top choice in recent starts, but he's probably going to be a much shorter price than that guy. He's a player right back if he holds that form.
#8 Hot Fudge Sonde	He's really not going to have to be much to land this at first asking, and he gets a decent draw to avoid trouble leaving the gate. Take a good look at him on the track before the race.
Race Summary	Champster has to prove that the two-back try wasn't a fluke, but we at least know he's capable of that kind of effort around two turns. Something like the 6/1 ML price would feel fair.

Charles Town - Race #7

#10 Wall	Love this guy's chances tonight in a race that has a pair of need-the-lead types signed on, and the players with tracking pace should ensure the splits don't get soft. Finisher can probably tuck in before the first turn -- might roll late.
#5 Creekmore	He does his best work on the front end but probably doesn't get there by himself. The form is there for him to land this if things go his way, but the projected race flow doesn't really seem to flatter him.
#8 Hashtag Winning	He has some ability to settle and finish that should serve him well tonight, but he'll be making his local debut at a much shorter price than the proven local finishing form of Wall.
Race Summary	Wall offers plenty of intrigue if this race stays together, as there are two or three quick players who should battle into the first turn. He's in really good form right now and may still get overlooked.

Charles Town - Race #8

#8 Lunar Image	He should offer a fair price with mostly modest finishing efforts on his page, but this is another race where the flow seems to favor those who can show some punch late, and this guy might be able to clunk along at a nice number.
#10 Back Charge	He's a tough read while racing off nearly a year layoff, but he was last seen rolling $12,500 maidens by 13 lengths in a big effort for the level. That said, he's pretty one-dimensional pace in a race where that may not play well for him.
#1 Run Rabbit	He'll have to avoid getting caught up in the splits while stretching out, but he can be a price player for a piece if he settles and finishes a bit from the fence.
Race Summary	Lunar Image has some price appeal in a spot where I'm looking for something from off the splits. He is in some of his better form right now and might get the right kind of setup. Demand a solid price on a 1-for-39 type I almost always avoid.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 05:51 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Harrah's Philadelphia - Race #2

#3 HIS BEATS HANOVER	Often in hunt, gets ideal set-up, price attached.
#4 WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH	Second-over bid to brief lead in 'Jug' final, ran third.
#1 LOUIE THE LOUPER	Also benefits from pace scenario, use in gimmicks.
Race Summary	His Beats Hanover closed stoutly through a :54.2 back half but couldn't reach the odds-on favorite. He should get plenty of pace to run at today and is too good to pass up at 6-1 on the morning line. Play a 3/1,4/ALL trifecta.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3

#4 KOBRA KAI	Quick burst to the lead, hard duel ensued, held gamely for third.
#3 DONT POKE THE BEAR	Rallied first-over, poked head in front, ran second, projects ideal trip.
#1 ROLL WITH THE FLOW	Steady check-getter at Grand River, moves outside in for second start locally.
Race Summary	Kobra Kai was dead game in defeat last week in the same spot. He made a power rush to the lead before the half-mile marker, dueled with favored Don't Poke The Bear through the final half and gave way in the closing yards to finish third. Bet on him to win and place.

Yonkers - Race #2

#1 SAILBOAT HANOVER	Has speed, can travel the winning distance from the rail.
#5 MY WISH CAME TRUE	'Strong finish' for minor awards in 2 of last 3 starts.
#2 LL MYSTRO	Mild interest for third as the fave, claimed again, set to join $100k Club.
Race Summary	Sailboat Hanover had equipment problems last week, but won 2 of 3 starts prior against similar foes and will take some catching. He starts from the rail with Brennan in a field that lacks speed. Play 1-2 and 1-5 exactas.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 05:52 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #6

#6 Elm Drive	Gave way in the G1 Del Mar Debutante, but most would after going :21 3-5 and :44 1-5 going seven; gets more distance today but shouldn't have to work as hard during the early going.
#4 Grace Adler	Easily picked off runners that gave way after an impossible pace; won the Debutante by 11, but she couldn't have drawn up such a perfect scenario for her, and it's unlikely she'll get the same trip.
#2 Ain't Easy	Finished well for an easy win in her debut and looks like she'll welcome the additional distance.
Race Summary	Elm Drive ran herself into the ground through early fractions that veteran sprinters find difficult when it comes to seven furlongs; she stretches out and has the pedigree to get her there.

Santa Anita - Race #7

#1 Gregorian Chant	Has been solid since becoming a turf sprinter five races back, as he's won three of those; usually finishes with interest.
#7 Lieutenant Dan	Post two impressive wins at Del Mar and also has won over this course; has plenty of class and fits here.
#9 Snapper Sinclair	Comes in off a win at Kentucky Downs and is capable of running well from off the pace; capable of getting a major slice.
Race Summary	Gregorian Chant has a liking for short races after running some route races and can be a major player from the first step from the gate.

Santa Anita - Race #8

#4 Oviatt Class	Made a huge, sustained run on the far turn of his last one and got the maiden win by four lengths; getting better with distance on the dirt and can make anothe rlate run.
#1 Corniche	Was an easy winner in 1:03 for 5.5 furlongs in his only start and is set to get the two turns, which he should be able to do. He's a Baffert, he's dangerous.
#7 Pappacap	Lacked a kick and finished fourth in the G1 Del Mar Futurity last time after winning the G2 Best Pal; the Gun Runner colt has
Race Summary	Oviatt Class made a strong late run for his maiden win last out and will get an ideal pace setup.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 12:57 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Arapahoe Park

Arapahoe Park - Race 7	W/P/S / Quinella / Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Allowance • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 91 • Purse: $19,500 • Post: 3:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JAZZY JUSTIN is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JAZZY JUSTIN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. COLLUSIONIST: H orse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. FOREST TREASURE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average E quibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
5	JAZZY JUSTIN	8/1	5/2
4	COLLUSIONIST	5/2	5/1
3	FOREST TREASURE	12/1	9/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
5	JAZZY JUSTIN	5	8/1	Front-runner	89	84	80.4	80.8	74.3
1	MAIUS	1	9/2	Stalker	82	69	57.2	68.4	58.4
3	FOREST TREASURE	3	12/1	Alternator/Stalker	86	74	58.0	76.0	68.5
4	COLLUSIONIST	4	5/2	Trailer	87	85	44.4	82.2	79.7
6	CONVENTION	6	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	93	85	37.5	69.6	66.1
2	SLICK IT UP	2	10/1	Alternator/Non-contender	76	61	36.8	57.8	46.3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:03 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lethbridge

Lethbridge - Race 3	Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta
Claiming $2,500 • 3 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $4,350 • Post: 6:50P
QUARTER HORSE 3F, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Dominant Trailer. GLITTERING BLUE is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GLITTERING BLUE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. POP'S LITTLE GIRL (T): Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. STORM IN PARIS (T): Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days.
1	GLITTERING BLUE	2/5	5/2
6	POP'S LITTLE GIRL (T)	4/1	8/1
2	STORM IN PARIS (T)	2/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
6	POP'S LITTLE GIRL (T)	6	4/1	Front-runner	65	55	0.0	63.9	58.9
2	STORM IN PARIS (T)	2	2/1	Front-runner	65	59	0.0	52.9	47.4
5	WIREBOUND (T)	5	8/1	Alternator/Front-runner	69	63	0.0	0.0	0.0
1	GLITTERING BLUE	1	2/5	Trailer	75	74	0.0	69.2	66.7
3	LITTLE BITTY CHER (T)	3	8/1	Alternator/Non-contender	58	50	0.0	0.0	0.0
4	GRAYROSS GRACIE (T)	4	7/2	Alternator/Non-contender	62	56	0.0	0.0	0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:04 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Golden Hour Wagers - Race #4 - Post: 5:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 90

Rating:

#1 TABLE FOR TEN (ML=8/5)
#4 HAMMERING LEMON (ML=10/1)

TABLE FOR TEN - Roman was aboard this gelding last race out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. Have to give this horse a good look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figs on the turf at this distance. This gelding has the top turf figure in his last race. It doesn't take a college grad like The Brain to figure this here entrant has a good chance. HAMMERING LEMON - I figure that this race's shorter trip should help this gelding. The racer with the top average class rating in turf events is usually a solid play. This campaigner fits the bill.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BERNALINHO (ML=7/2), #2 INFATUATE (ML=5/1), #8 BIG CITY BANE (ML=8/1),

BERNALINHO - When examining today's Equibase class figure, he will have to register a much better speed rating than last time around the track to compete in this turf route. INFATUATE - This gelding finished outside the top 3 on Aug 27th and wasn't close to winning last time out either. Looked like he was in good form on Sep 10th. Hasn't been near the track since then though. Not a positive sign. Pedestrian speed fig in the last race at Golden Gate Fields at 1 1/16 miles. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much today. BIG CITY BANE - The speed ratings continue to drop, 75/65/62. Not a healthy sign.

GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - TABLE FOR TEN - The speed fig of 91 at 1 mile on Jul 25th and the rating of 94 in the last race are higher than today's class rating.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:

Have to go with #1 TABLE FOR TEN on the win end if we get at least 6/5 odds

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:06 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 74

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 3 I LOMBARDI 4/1
# 8 MUD STONE 3/1
# 2 FASCINATING BEAUTY 15/1

I LOMBARDI is tough to overlook as the bet in here. Has performed very well as of late in route races, posting a nifty 59 avg speed fig. Could provide positive dividends based on very good recent Speed Figures with an average of 57. Has ran soundly in dirt route races. MUD STONE - Could best this field here, showing very good numbers of late. Is a very strong contender based on numbers put up recently under today's conditions. FASCINATING BEAUTY - Should come out very solid - I have liked the way this colt has moved promptly to the front end recently.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-01-2021, 01:09 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Century Mile

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 67

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,000. ALBERTA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 2 GO MAMA 5/2
# 3 LIL OL FLATTER 6/1
# 10 GLINDA GOOD WITCH 7/2

GO MAMA could be the wager in here. Looks very good for the conditions of this race today, showing solid numbers in dirt sprint races lately. Difficult to pass on this mare with Walcott in the saddle. Has been moving in the most competitive company of the group recently. LIL OL FLATTER - Must be given a shot - I like the figs from the last affair. Looks solid for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races recently. GLINDA GOOD WITCH - Trainer has very strong win rate (21 percent) at this distance and surface. Is a solid contender - given the 60 speed figure from her most recent race.