Friday 10/1/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358304

    #16
    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park



    10/01/21, SA, Race 8, 4.29 PT
    10/01/21,SA,8,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:39:01 STAKES. American Pharoah Stakes. Grade 1. Purse $300,000. FOR TWO-YEAR-OLDS.
    . . . .
    Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
    After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
    100.0000 6 Rockefeller 3/1 Prat F Baffert Bob J 96 42.71 1.51/$1
    097.6355 1 Corniche 6/5 Smith M E Baffert Bob SWL 96 42.71 1.51/$1
    095.6050 7 Pappacap 8/1 Bravo J Casse Mark E. E 96 42.71 1.51/$1
    095.3789 2 Flying Drummer 10/1 Velazquez J R Baffert Bob 212 29.72 1.21/$1
    092.9804 4 Oviatt Class 3/1 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith 212 29.72 1.21/$1
    092.9389 5 Joker Boy 15/1 Maldonado E A Koriner Brian J. F 96 42.71 1.51/$1
    091.7741 3 Finneus 12/1 Pereira T J Solis Walther C 96 42.71 1.51/$1
    Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 56.25, ROI 2.41/$1
    Rating gap To 2nd horse -2.3645
    [Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
    [All Dirt] Last Race (Sprint Or Route) Not Same As Today
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358304

      #17
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts



      Charles Town - Race #7 - Post: 10:02pm - Starter Allowance - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,900 Class Rating: 97

      Rating:

      #5 CREEKMORE (ML=5/1)
      #8 HASHTAG WINNING (ML=7/2)
      #7 HOBE SOUND (ML=9/2)
      #2 HOT N SPICY LOVE (ML=4/1)


      CREEKMORE - The rider and handler combination have a beneficial return on investment when they work together. I really like sprint horses that make a quick turnaround. You have to bet this equine at a racetrack he likes. There's nothing like being comfortable out on the track when it's time to race. HASHTAG WINNING - I'm expecting this beautiful animal to run a big one today. HOBE SOUND - This gelding is in fine physical condition, having run a nice race on September 4th, finishing first. Look at this gelding's PP lines. With each event he keeps getting closer. That 92 fig this gelding garnered in his last race tells me he's a big time player this time out. HOT N SPICY LOVE - The morning line odds on this gelding are higher than those of the other entrant from the shedrow of trainer Kreiser. Often the longer-priced part of a 'split' entry wins. This gelding is in fine physical condition. Ended up third on September 8th. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should perform well today.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #6 FIRE DOWN BELOW (ML=6/1), #3 PROTA (ML=8/1),

      FIRE DOWN BELOW - This racer gave a lackluster effort last time finishing sixth. No reason to expect any improvement today. PROTA - Going to have a difficult go of it with all of the other early foot in this event.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS: Put your money on #5 CREEKMORE on the nose if you can get odds of 5/1 or more
      EXACTA WAGERS: None

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      None
      SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358304

        #18
        AI Picks: Santa Anita Stakes | Friday, October 1, 2021


        October 1, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk
        It’s opening day at Santa Anita for the autumn meet, and the Great Race Place features 4 stakes races with Breeders’ Cup implications. To assist your handicapping, key stakes selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

        You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

        //

        Santa Anita Park // Race 5 // 6:00 pm ET // Speakeasy Stakes // 5 furlongs (turf)

        #2 One Timer (5-2) // 31%W
        #1 Rock The Belles (20-1) // 18%W
        #6 Blame It On Rose (20-1) // 18%W
        #7 Time To Party (4-1) // 11%W

        //

        Santa Anita Park // Race 6 // 6:30 pm ET // Grade 2 Chandelier Stakes // 1-1/16 miles

        #4 Grace Adler (9-5) // 27%W
        #1 Electric Ride (3-1) // 21%W
        #7 Censorship (12-1) // 13%W
        #6 Elm Drive (8-1) // 13%W

        //

        Santa Anita Park // Race 7 // 7:00 pm ET // Grade 2 Eddie D. Stakes // 6-1/2 furlongs turf

        #9 Snapper Sinclair (4-1) // 28%W
        #2 Caribou Club (6-1) // 23%W
        #4 Charmaine’s Mia (10-1) // 13%W
        #7 Lieutenant Dan (7-2) // 12%W

        //

        Santa Anita Park // Race 8 // 7:30 pm ET // Grade 1 American Pharoah // 1-1/16 miles

        #1 Corniche (6-5) // 31%W
        #6 Rockefeller (3-1) // 24%W
        #7 Pappacap (8-1) // 10%W
        #3 Finneus (12-1) // 10%W
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358304

          #19
          Top Dog MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS +200 2 0 +230
          Tommy King Wins NCAA Football TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE ‑3 3 1 +190
          Silvas Sports MLB DETROIT TIGERS/CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑110 u8.5 2 1 +100
          Ace / Sleeper Selections MLB NEW YORK YANKEES ‑125 2 1 +80
          Mikey Sports No pick yet 1 1 0
          R and R Totals NCAA Football IOWA HAWKEYES/MARYLAND TERRAPINS u47.5 2 2 -20
          Brand X Sports MLB TAMPA BAY RAYS +120 2 2 -30
          Rocketman Sports MLB CHICAGO WHITE SOX ‑1.5 ‑130 1 1 -55
          Insider Sports Report No pick yet 0 1 -110
          Pure Lock NCAA Football BRIGHAM YOUNG COUGARS ‑9.5 1 2 -175
          Joe Wiz MLB SEATTLE MARINERS ‑150 1 3 -230
          The Money Team Wins Sports MLB MILWAUKEE BREWERS +200 0 4 -405
          Mikey Money MLB ATLANTA BRAVES ‑155 0 0 0
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358304

            #20
            Kenny Walker

            Oct 01 '21, 7:05 PM in 26m
            MLB | Rays vs Yankees
            Play on: Rays +118 at SC Consensus

            Free Pick on Rays
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358304

              #21
              Ben Burns

              Oct 01 '21, 7:05 PM in 26m
              MLB | Red Sox vs Nationals
              Play on: Nationals +1½ +110 at William Hill

              Due, in large part, to the fact that Boston needs this game and Washington doesn't, the Red Sox are considerable favorites on the moneyline. That being the case, we're able to get an extra +1.5 runs with the Nationals, at an underdog price. Given the matchup, I believe that's where the value lies. Just because teams don't need to win, doesn't mean that they aren't trying to do so. The Red Sox learned that first hand again yesterday, as the lowly Orioles beat them for a second time in three days. The Nationals, on the other hand, had the day off. While I successfully played against the Nats in their last game, it's worth mentioning that four of their previous five had been decided by a single run. Rodriguez has a poor 4.93 ERA through 30 starts. While Rogers has only made five starts, he's got a 2.71 ERA to show for them. Averaging six innings per start, he's allowed three or fewer earned runs each time he's taken the mound. Consider grabbing the extra +1.5 runs with the rested home team.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358304

                #22
                Black Widow

                Oct 01 '21, 7:05 PM in 26m
                MLB | Red Sox vs Nationals
                Play on: Red Sox -183 at BetVegas

                1* Free Wiseguy Play on Red Sox -183
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358304

                  #23
                  Mike Williams

                  Oct 01 '21, 7:08 PM in 29m
                  NHL | Stars vs Panthers
                  Play on: Panthers -140 at Caesars

                  1* on Panthers -140
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358304

                    #24
                    Sal Michaels

                    Oct 01 '21, 7:08 PM in 29m
                    NHL | Rangers vs Devils
                    Play on: Devils +105 at William Hill

                    Free Play on Devils +105
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358304

                      #25
                      John Martin

                      Oct 01 '21, 7:30 PM in 51m
                      NCAA-F | Houston vs Tulsa
                      Play on: Tulsa -3 -120 at linepros

                      1 Unit FREE PLAY on Tulsa -3
                      The Tulsa Golden Hurricane are much better than their 1-3 record. Their opening loss to Cal Davis was bad, but they were missing several players due to suspension. They nearly upset Oklahoma State on the road in a 23-28 loss as 10.5-point dogs, then covered in 20-41 loss at Ohio State as 24.5-point dogs. That was a 7-point game late in the 4th quarter. They came back with a 41-34 win over Arkansas State last week that was misleading in that it should have been a bigger blowout. The Golden Hurricane had 663 total yards and outgained the Red Wolves by 304 yards. Houston is 3-1 but the three wins all came against soft competition. After a 21-38 loss to Texas Tech, the Cougars have since beaten Rice, Grambling and Navy. Philip Montgomery is 7-0 ATS off a win where his team failed to cover the spread at Tulsa. The Golden Hurricane are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 against a team with a winning record. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as underdogs. Give me Tulsa.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358304

                        #26
                        Jimmy Boyd

                        Oct 01 '21, 7:30 PM in 51m
                        NCAA-F | Houston vs Tulsa
                        Play on: Houston +3½ -110 at SC Consensus

                        1* Free Pick on Houston +3½ -110
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358304

                          #27
                          Cole Faxon

                          Oct 01 '21, 8:00 PM in 1h
                          Soccer | Pachuca vs Puebla
                          Play on: Puebla +229 at BetVegas

                          FREE PLAY on Puebla +229
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358304

                            #28
                            Dustin Hawkins

                            Oct 01 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                            MLB | MIN vs KC
                            Play on: OVER 9½ +100

                            1 Dimer on Twins vs Royals over 9½ +100
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358304

                              #29
                              Rocky Atkinson

                              Oct 01 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                              MLB | Tigers vs White Sox
                              Play on: White Sox -1½ -130 at Mirage

                              Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Friday 10-1-21
                              Detroit @ Chicago White Sox (8:10 PM EST)
                              Play On: Chicago White Sox -1.5 -130 (Peralta/Lynn) Listed
                              The Detroit Tigers travel to Chicago to take the White Sox on Friday night. Detroit is 76-83 SU overall this year while the Chicago White Sox come in with a 91-68 SU overall record on the season. Lance Lynn is 10-6 with a 2.72 ERA overall this year, 6-3 with a 2.70 ERA at home this season and has a 3.86 ERA his last 3 starts. Lynn is 5-3 with a 3.85 ERA in his 8 career starts vs Detroit. White Sox are allowing only 3 runs per game past 7 games overall. White Sox are 18-4 at home vs Detroit the past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on the Chicago White Sox on the Run Line tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358304

                                #30
                                Frank Sawyer

                                Oct 01 '21, 8:10 PM in 1h
                                MLB | Tigers vs White Sox
                                Play on: White Sox -255 at William Hill

                                FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR FRIDAY, 10/1:

                                My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Friday was on the Chicago White Sox with the money-line versus the Detroit Tigers listing both starting pitchers Lance Lynn and Wily Peralta. Chicago (91-68) has won four in a row after their 6-1 win against Cincinnati on Wednesday. The White Sox begin this final series on the regular season having won 16 of their last 21 opening games to a new series. Chicago has won 11 of their last 15 games at home against right-handed starting pitchers. Detroit (76-83) snapped a four-game losing streak with a 10-7 win at Minnesota yesterday. But the Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 games after scoring at least five runs in their lsat game. Detroit has also lost 5 of their last 6 games as a money line underdog. Take the Chicago White Sox with the money-line listing Lynn and Peralta. Best of luck — Frank.
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