Saturday 11/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 12:27 AM

Ralph Michaels

Event: (167) Washington State at (168) Oregon
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: November 13, 2021 10PM EST
Play: Washington State +14.0 (-110)
#167 Wash St +14 Oregon 10:30 PM
A play that just missed being a client All-Access

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 12:28 AM

Ralph Michaels

Event: (223) Nevada at (224) San Diego State
Sport/League: CFB

Date/Time: November 13, 2021 10PM EST
Play: Nevada +3.0 (-110)
#223 Nevada +3 San Diego St

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 07:04 AM

Al Cimaglia: Meadowlands Early Pick 4 Analysis

November 13, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia
The headliners at the Meadowlands are 2-year-old pacers and trotters battling in the Kindergarten Classic Series Finals. The 0.50 Early Pick 4 begins in Race 6. The sequence has a $50,000 guaranteed pool with a 15% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 6

2-Dorsoduro Hanover (3-1)-Odds-on winner steps-up after getting his 1st win in 5 starts this year. Classy veteran should have his way with this crew but often disappoints. Maybe this time the upswing will continue.
7-Letsgotobrazil A (4-1)-Comes off a sharp effort in M1 debut and that was the 2nd consecutive win for this Aussie invader. Appears to be rounding into top form. Not sure how much more this 6-year-old can give, but probably best to not sell short.

Race 7

1-Palermo Hanover (9/2)-Father Patrick filly is a nice one and does it the hard way without much gate speed. Loses Dunn to #7 but TMac has driven before. Will need a sharp steer and this post might not help but the price should be right to take a swing.
5-Misswalner Fashion (3-1)-This filly has won 4 of 5 M1 starts and Tetrick should have her forwardly placed. Looks like a player and could land in the pocket behind the morning line choice.
7-Lilbitalexis (5/2)-Dunn picked this Norman pupil who is the morning line chalk. Disappointed in the Crown Final but that was on a sloppy track. Could get back on the winning side of the ledger here.

Race 8

2-Semi Tough (7/2)-Has been facing better and this could be a good spot to cash the top check in the 3rd start back at M1. The issue that causes me to pause is the 0-14 record at the Big M and has only hit the board 4 times.
5-Italian Delight N (5-1)-AMac drives as Gingras sticks with the Burke entry #2. Back in town after battling on smaller ovals and has the gate speed to be put in play early. Big M record is solid, has hit the board in 16 of 25 starts with 6 pictures.
6-No Lou Zing (3-1)-Lou has been on the shelf for much of the year but comes off a double qualifier at M1. The 2nd tune-up was a 150.3 mile with a 26.3 last quarter which could be a sign of a big try coming. It might be picture time if dialed on high.

Race 9

2-Niki Hill (7/5)-Draws well and the Breeders Crown champ should handle this crew. Won't offer any value but appears solid and this winner in 7 of 8 should make it 8 of 9 in 2021.

0.50 Early Pick 4

2,7/1,5,7/2,5,6/2
Total Bet=$9.00

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 07:06 AM

Jeff Siegel's Del Mar Wagering Strategies - Nov. 13, 2020

November 13, 2021
Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily “Workout Report, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
*
The selections are posted at 6:00 a.m. and updated later in the morning to reflect late scratches and changes (approximately 10:30 a.m.). For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
*
*
Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: X
Use: 2-Supersonic Flyer; 4-Roses R Blue

Forecast: Roses R Blue finished more than five lengths clear of the rest in a promising debut at this maiden $50,000 level last month at Santa Anita in a race that earned a decent number. The L. Mendez barn has strong stats with the second-time starter angle, so we’re expecting the daughter of Bluegrass Cat to produce a forward move, one that should be good enough to win. However, at 4/5 on the morning line there really isn’t any wagering value to be found. Supersonic Flyer, a distant third in the same race as ‘Blue exits and already with eight races on her resume, has far less room to improve but may be worth including on a ticket or two as a back-up or a saver.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Love My Jimmy; 5-Surplus

Forecast: Here’s a fairly competitive $50,000 claiming turf sprint restricted to 3-year-olds with several possibilities. We’ll try to survive and advance using just two, but if you feel to need to spread a bit deeper, go right ahead. Surplus shows up in a seller for the first time and at this level can win with a repeat of his nice maiden tally over this course and distance two races back. With the switch to F. Prat, the Fed Biz gelding should have his best chance from a stalking position outside the likely front-runner Love My Jimmy, a first-off-the-claim play for H. Palma (always strong with this angle) fresh from a win in a similar affair in late August and with a healthy series of workouts in the interim.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 3: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 3-Try to Capture; 4-Funkenstein

Forecast: Try to Capture stretches out for the first time while also removing blinkers, two angles that always catch our eye. The P. Miller-trained gelding has burned money as the favorite in his last two starts but with a good break in the weights received with the switch to bug boy D. Herrera the son of Uncaptured seems set to produce a career top performance in this modest $20,000 claiming main track miler. Funkenstein plummets to the bottom and may have found his friends. With several previous speed figures that are good enough to win at this level combined with the pivotal jockey switch to F. Prat, the M. Puype-trained gelding should be a major player from off the pace. We’ll give Try to Capture the edge on top but include both in our rolling exotics.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 4: Post: 2:00 PT Grade: B
Use: 1-Divine Armor; 4-Arham; 5-Phantom Dance

Forecast: This is a stronger-than-average first-level allowance optional claiming main track miler for older horses and requires some coverage in rolling exotic play. Arham is fast on numbers and this Saratoga shipper appears extremely live and well-meant while seeking some of that valuable ship-and-win money for new trainer V. Cerin. He’s a one-paced grinder but his local works are solid, he can fire fresh (won his debut) and attracts the barn’s go-to rider J. Hernandez, all of which makes him the logical morning line favorite at 9/5. Divine Armor is winless in three starts this year but should benefit immensely from the switch to F. Prat. The J. Sadler-trained colt projects to secure a comfortable ground-saving mid-pack early position and then have his chance to grind away from the quarter pole home. Phantom Dance has won his last three starts in convincing fashion and projects to be on or near a comfortable pace (his chances increase if he becomes the controlling speed). On pure numbers he’s a tad slower than our top selection but with continued improvement he should be able to act at this level.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 5: Post: 2:30 PT Grade: B
Use: 6-Kitten’s Kid; 7-Issa Court

Forecast: Kitten’s Kid and Issa Court, two-three finishers sprinting on grass at Santa Anita last month, meet again in this one mile grassy affair for older maiden fillies and mares. ‘Kid was on the pace in that sprint and was nosed out right on the wire; today stretching out for the first time - and with a pedigree that suggests the added distance will be well within his range – the P. D’Amato-trained filly is listed as the 9/5 morning line favorite and likely will go lower. ‘Court displayed promise in her debut with a less than ideal trip and seems certain to improve with distance and experience. The D. Blacker-trained filly shows a nice half mile breeze since raced, retains J. Hernandez, and is squarely priced at 5-1 on the morning line. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with Kitten’s Kid the logical top choice.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 6: Post: 3:00 PT Grade: A-
Single: 5-Sir London

Forecast: Sir London caught a buzzsaw in his debut and ran very well to be a clear second after a slow start and some traffic trouble along the rail in the opening quarter mile. He’s trained splendidly since, so we’re expecting the son of Malibu Moon to step forward in a big way and graduate from what looks to be a decent field of maiden juveniles. The S. Callaghan-trained colt retains F. Prat and while he’ll probably will go lower than his morning line of 5/2, we’ll make him a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Air Combat (November 8, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2hg). Grade: B-
Wesleyan (November 8, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2hg). Grade: B-
Stable mates in B. Baffert’s barn went stride-for-stride in gate drill with ‘Combat maybe a tad quicker in the early stages while going a bit easier, splits of :24.2, :35.4, :47.3 and 1:00.2, steady drill with both under mild coaxing late. Both have some ability, but we’d tend to want to see a race first.
View Workout Video

Sir London (November 6, Santa Anita, 4f, :48h). Grade: B+
Just coasting under a stout hold every step of the way, smoothly changing leads (stayed on left lead his debut), splits of :23.3 and :48 flat, able to go considerably faster if permitted. Caught a tough customer in his debut and finished a promising second; have to think he’ll step forward in a bit way next time.
View Workout Video

Newgrange (November 6, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B
In blinkers, in company with Doppelganger (same time) for B. Baffert and wasn’t really asked with steady splits of :12 flat, :23.3, :35.3 and 1:00.1, decent enough while head-and-head the wire. Colt by Violence has some speed, may need an outing before being totally cranked up.
View Workout Video

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 7: Post: 3:30 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Riding With Dino; 5-Alligato

Forecast: Alligato was given a run in his debut and then, as expected, stepped forward considerably in his next outing. Despite severe traffic trouble on the turn and again approaching the stretch, the son of Kitten’s Joy produced a serious late bid to win going away while visually much more dominant than the length-and-one-quarter margin of victory might indicate. The late-to-the-party 4-year moves up a level that should be well within his abilities but shortens to five furlongs over a course that promotes speed, so his task certainly won’t be easy. That said, the M. Glatt-trained gelding has much more upside than the others. Riding With Dino has rising numbers and good tactical speed that should allow the R. Hess, Jr.-trained gelding to have a strong presence every step of the way. In the frame in all three starts since returning from a nearly two year layoff, the son of Vronsky shows three nice breezes since raced to indicate another forward move is likely. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with Alligato receiving the bulk of the action.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 8: Post: 4:00 PT Grade: B+
Use: 3-Under the Stars; 5-Eda

Forecast: The listed stakes winning and graded stakes-placed Eda, fresh from a clever score in the Anoakia S. at Santa Anita, draws the lovely outside post, retains F. Prat, and is listed as the 3/5 morning line favorite in this five-runner renewal of the Desi Arnaz S. for juvenile filly. She’s the logical short-priced favorite and is a “must use” in rolling exotic play, but we’ll prefer stable mate Under the Stars on top. A closing third vs. maidens in her debut just two weeks ago, the daughter of Pioneerof the Nile gets an extra half furlong to work with, adds blinkers, and seem sure to improve a ton with that bit of experience behind her. Fact is, she always struck us as the better of two fillies based on her morning workouts and today, she gets a chance to verify that initial impression. Listed at 5/2 on the morning line, she’s our top pick and win play at anywhere near that price.

__________________________________________________ ____________________________
__________________________________________________ ____________________________

RACE 9: Post: 4:30 PT Grade: B-
Use: 3-Ottawa Fire; 8-Bud Knight; 9-Cosmo

Forecast: We’ll go three-deep in the nightcap, but this race is a grass gab bag for restricted (nw-2) claimers, so best advice is to include as many as your budget allows. Ottawa Fire drops considerably in class and appears to have found his proper winning level. The P. D’Amato-trained gelding made the running and weakened late in a 10-furlong allowance affair last time out but might employ a patient style against this group. On pure numbers he’s good enough to win. Bud Knight retains F. Prat after rallying to be second in a similar restricted claimer in mid-October at Santa Anita. He’s just 1-for-19 and certainly not one to trust, but if he can turn in two alike, he’ll be in the battle. Cosmo has the first-time-in-a-claimer angle and earned a career top speed figure when a closing fourth sprinting at Golden Gate Fields in his most recent outing two months ago. He’s 6-1 on the morning line and is worth including at that price.

Notable Workouts:

Cosmo (November 6, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h TT). Grade: B
Good maintenance drill for N. Drysdale, splits of :36.3 and 1:00.3, never really asked much in smooth drill while remaining on edge. In good shape and is worth a look with a class drop.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 07:07 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Churchill Downs - Race #5

#3 Coltonator	Tactical speed should be able to land the right kind of trip with these, and he has done some good work against similar in some recent starts while now facing a handful of class risers.
#1 Mr. Hustle	Can't complain too much about the way he looked when trying the dirt for the first time, and he'll step up off the claim after that good effort. Price chance for the gimmicks.
#4 Heart Rhythm	Capable player steps up off the claim, and he has some sharp pace to put to use here while protected. Wouldn't be a total surprise to see him land this.
Race Summary	Coltonator can be a handful in here, and I'll try to get the race to pay by getting Mr. Hustle in the picture at a decent price. Hoping for about a $20 exacta with those two.

Churchill Downs - Race #8

#8 Home Brew	He ran well when scoring from off the pace at Laurel in the debut, and he now races out of the high-powered Cox barn, giving him some room to step forward here.
#6 Baladi	Blinkers go on after a fading effort last time out, and that probably keeps him in the mix early again with these. A bit concerned about whether he can finish this race off at maybe too short a price.
#1 Magnolia Midnight	He was just in too tough when racing two turns in Grade III company, but he won his only dirt sprint and should appreciate getting back in with this kind today.
Race Summary	Home Brew can presumably move forward here with just one start under his belt, and the fact that he now races for an even sharper barn can probably make him tough from a good outside draw.

Churchill Downs - Race #9

#6 Coco Puff	He was close throughout in a race that didn't go super fast, but he has been heading in the right direction and may be able to find the winning trip here at a mid-range price.
#1 Jaccaci	She moved up in a big way when sent around two turns on the turf, and this one-turn mile on the main might be right up her alley. Chance if she can transfer the form.
#7 Trobairitz	She'll get her feet on the main for the first time, but the turf form seems to fit pretty well if she can transfer it here. Think this race is pretty open to end the card, so these surface-switch types have some appeal.
Race Summary	Coco Puff can be tough here after moving forward again in that third career start, and she should be able to get a perfect trip tracking the pace if she's good enough.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 07:09 AM

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Meadowlands - Race #1

#8 LL MYSTRO	Chased fleet-footed fave at Yonkers, can use speed wisely in this spot despite starting outside.
#2 ARCHANGEL THREE	Rode pocket, ran away from 1-to-5 choice in the stretch at Harrah's Philly.
#7 GO WEST GO FAST	Won in Canada when last seen six weeks ago, but scratched 'lame' twice since then.
Race Summary	LL MYSTRO chased the 2-to-5 favorite through a :55.3 middle half before tiring against better at Yonkers. He looms a forward factor throughout as he builds on a $58,680 bankroll as a 4-year-old. Play a 2-7-8 exacta box.

Northfield Park - Race #4

#1 SKYWAY ROCKATOP	Solid play with four wins in 2021, good current form and rail draw.
#3 ESCAPE THE HOUSE	Continues ascent after a win and a near miss, use on all tickets.
#2 SUGARPIE HONEY BEE	Rallied for minor awards in 3 of her last 6 starts.
Race Summary	Skyway Rockatop rallied for two wins and a seconds the last three times she stayed flate, the latest against a 3-to-1 runaway. She moves outside in and seeks her field-leading fifth win of the year. Play a 1-3 exacta box.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3

#3 TOCCOA FALLS	Discount latest, good fit at this level, tries to upstage in-the-money finishes.
#8 MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE	Drops, gets Filion, comes from far back.
#2 THE FIXER	Appears stuck in 'third' gear lately, draws better starting spot.
Race Summary	Toccoa Falls gets needed class relief while seeking his first win of the year. He met a repeat winner and two sharp front-end winners in his last four starts before a post 10 tune-up last week for a new barn. Bet on him to win and place.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 07:10 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #3

#5 Pasamonte Man	Set the pace going a mile and yielded very late to quality claimers; was claimed in his latest by Pish and he can probably make as late run as turns back to a sprint.
#9 Oh What Luck	Lightly raced runner is 5 of 6 and comes in off a score at the same level; will be right there.
#1 Praetorian	Has run against higher levels and had has sporadic success takes a big drop and shortens to seven furlongs.
Race Summary	Pasamonte Man just missed in a very tough spot going two turns and should benefit from the shorter distance; fresh off a claim and can make a strong run.

Remington Park - Race #6

#5 Tin Badge	Had a mild rally in a tough spot and can get a stalking trip here; can be the one to beat at this level.
#1 Hold Tight	Won the Arapahoe Derby and then lost a photo in the Gleason Classic, both in Colorado; makes his second turf start.
#2 Pacific Typhoon	Pulled off a 40-to-1 shocker in the Oklahoma Turf Classic and will be a front runner against this open company.
Race Summary	Tin Badge has been running vs. good company and follow the leaders, then pounce; in a good spot.

Remington Park - Race #7

#4 Bobbin Tail	Dropped to the allowance ranks after a credible fourth in the G3 Remington Oaks; in a good spot for her third career win.
#5 What's News	Was an allowance winners two back on the turf and broke her maiden on the dirt at Lone Star; in the mix throughout.
#1 Content	Came from off the pace for a big sprint win at Parx in her latest; capable of another late run.
Race Summary	Bobbin Tail made his first local starter vs. stout company in the Remington Oaks and has what it takes to win this one; can be on or close to the lead from the outset.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:29 PM

Free Winners for Saturday, November 13th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
CHARLES TOWN
RACE #7
TIME: 10:02 PM EST
PICK: BET #6 Star of Night 3/5 odds to win @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:29 PM

Free Winners for Saturday, November 13th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE NBA PICKS
Wizards @ Magic
TIME: 7:00 PM EST
PICK: Bet OVER 203.5 @ BOVADA

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:29 PM

Saturday, November 13th, 2021 from VEGAS BLACK CARD CLUB!FREE NBA PICKS
76ers @ Pacers
TIME: 7:00 PM EST
PICKS: BET 76ers +3.5 @ BOVADA

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:30 PM

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks	Place A Bet
1.	NSA(The Legend)	CFB – Old Dominion +7	Line @ Bovada
2.	Gameday Network	CFB – Louisiana Tech -7	Line @ Bovada
3.	Sports Action 365	CFB – Stanford under 56.5	Line @ BetAnySports
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	CFB – UNLV +3.5	Line @ GT Bets
5.	VegasSI.com	CFB – Rice +19	Line @ Bovada
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	CFB – Baylor +4	Line @ BetAnySports
7.	Winning Big Sports	CFB – TCU +11.5	Line @ MyBookie
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	CFB – Rutgers +6.5	Line @ Bovada
9.	Lou Panelli	CFB – Iowa -4	Line @ BetAnySports
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	CFB – Kansas St -5.5	Line @ GT Bets
11.	William E. Stockton	CFB – Duke +11	Line @ MyBookie
12.	Vincent Pioli	CFB – Louisville -3.5	Line @ Bovada
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	CFB – Michigan St under 61.5	Line @ Bovada
14.	SCORE	CFB – Notre Dame -6.5	Line @ GT Bets
15.	Tony Campone	CFB – UNLV +3.5	Line @ BetAnySports
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CFB – Auburn -4	Line @ Bovada
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CFB – SMU -7	Line @ Bovada
18.	VIP Action	CFB – Ohio St over 65	Line @ GT Bets
19.	South Beach Sports	CFB – LSU +3	Line @ Bovada
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	CFB – San Diego St -3	Line @ Bovada
21.	NY Players Club	CFB – UL Monroe -3	Line @ BetAnySports
22.	Fred Callahan	CFB – Georgia Southern +2	Line @ Bovada
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	CFB – Texas A&M -2.5	Line @ MyBookie
24.	Michigan Sports	CFB – Louisiana Tech -7	Line @ GT Bets
25.	National Consensus Report	CFB – Notre Dame -6.5	Line @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:34 PM

1.	Profit On Sports	CFB	Boston College +1.5	3-1 (+190)	4-0 (+400)
2.	Doc's Picks	CFB	Hawaii -3.5	2-3 (-130)	4-2 (+180)
3.	Elite Sports Picks			3-0 (+300)	4-2 (+180)
4.	The Sports Consensus	CFB	Oklahoma -4.5	2-3 (-130)	4-2-1 (+180)
5.	National Sports Service	CFB	Arkansas St. +3	1-2 (-120)	4-3 (+70)
6.	Top Rank Sports Picks	CBB	Air Force +15	3-1 (+190)	4-3 (+70)
7.	Primetime Sports Picks	CFB	Kentucky -21.5	4-1 (+290)	3-3 (-50)
8.	The Spot Player	NBA	Memphis -4	1-3 (-230)	2-4 (-240)
9.	Insider Sports Report	CFB	Arkansas -3	1-3 (-230)	1-6 (-560)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:36 PM

Tys Terrific Tips	NCAA Football	ARKANSAS RAZORBACKS ‑2.5	3	2	+80
Hottie4Sports		No pick yet	2	2	0
Vegas Investment Picks		No pick yet	1	1	-10
Mikey Sports	NCAA Basketball	DETROIT MERCY TITANS +9.5	2	2	-20
Rocketman Sports	NCAA Football	SOUTHERN METHODIST MUSTANGS ‑7	2	2	-20
Top Dog		No pick yet	0	1	-100
Insider Sports Report		No pick yet	0	1	-110
Mikey Money		No pick yet	0	1	-110
Winning Cappers		No pick yet	0	1	-115
Top Shelf Sports Pick		No pick yet	0	1	-125
Assassin Sports Betting	NCAA Football	PURDUE BOILERMAKERS +21 ‑125	2	3	-205
Tommy King Wins	NCAA Football	SYRACUSE ORANGE +3	0	2	-220
Pure Lock	NCAA Football	PURDUE BOILERMAKERS +21	0	3	-330
R and R Totals	NCAA Football	WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS/KANSAS STATE WILDCATS u47	0	5	-550

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:38 PM

Larry Ness

Nov 13 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Iowa
Play on: Iowa -4 -110 at linepros

My free play is on Iowa at 3:30 ET.
PJ Fleck famously 'rowed the boat' at Western Michigan in 2016, leading him to the Minnesota job. He capped the 2019 season when his Golden Gophers beat Auburn 31-24 in the Outback Bowl to finish 11-2. However, Minnesota was just 3-4 in 2020's COVID season. Minnesota stood at only 2-2 after four games, including a humiliating 14-10 home loss to Bowling Green as a 30.5-point favorite. The team then suddenly ripped off four wins in a row, before just as suddenly getting beat 14-6 at home by lowly Illinois. Minnesota in 4-2 in the Big Ten-West, tied with Wisconsin, Purdue and Saturday's opponent, Iowa.
Kirk Ferentz arrived in Iowa City way back in 1999 and after going 1-10 and 3-9 in his first two seasons, has been a steady, consistent winner. The Hawkeyes opened 2020 with back-to-back losses (by four points and one point) but then won SIX in a row, going 5-1 ATS with an average MOV of 21.8 PPG. Iowa earned an 18th bowl bid under Ferentz in 2020 but the Music City Bowl was canceled due to COVID. Iowa opened the season No. 18 in the AP's preseason poll and ripped off SIX straight wins, three over ranked teams. Iowa was the nation's No. 2 ranked team when it saw its 12-game winning (10-2 ATS) streak end with a 24-7 at Purdue on Oct 16. The Hawkeyes lost the next week at Wisconsin, before edging Northwestern 17-12 in their most recent game.
Minnesota has a strong running game (208.1 YPG ranks 21st) but QB Tanner Morgan has 'disappeared.' The QB who threw for 3,253 yards with 30 TDs and 7 INTs in 2019, has thrown for just 1,357 yards with six TDs and seven INTs through NINE games. The defense has kept Minnesota 'alive,' allowing 18.3 PPG (15th) on 299.0 YPG (7th).
Iowa has QB issues as well, as starter Petras has struggled all season and was replaced during last week's game vs Northwestern by Alex Padilla. Padilla is expected to make his first start in place of the banged-up and underperforming Spencer Petras, after entering last week's 17-12 win over Northwestern on Iowa's fourth possession and completing 18 of 28 passes for 172 yards. RB Goodson is a solid (754 yards on 4.4 YPC / 6 TDs) but Iowa averages only 114.1 YPG on the ground (112th). Like Minnesota, Iowa plays excellent defense, allowing just 15.7 PPG (4th) on 304.6 YPG (10th).
This rivalry plays for the Floyd of Rosedale trophy. Iowa has won the bronze pig SIX straight years and in EIGHT of the last nine. In PJ Fleck's and Minnesota's 'magical year' of 2019, the Gophers came to Iowa City 9-0 and lost 23-19, making it NINE consecutive losses by the Gophers in Iowa City. PJ Fleck has beaten every team in the Big Ten-West, except Iowa. Why ruin his streak? I'm on Iowa.
Good luck...Larry

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-13-2021, 02:38 PM

Jesse Schule

Nov 13 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Iowa State vs Texas Tech
Play on: Texas Tech +10½ -107 at pinnacle

This is a free play on Texas Tech.
The Red Raiders won four of their first five games, including an upset win at West Virginia. They lost their starting QB Tyler Shough in their conference opener versus Texas, but he's back at practice in full shoulder pads this week. The bye week should allow for the Red Raiders to come in healthy and well prepared for a home game against Iowa State. The Cylclones have lost two of their three road games in the BIG12 this season, and they are asked to cover a double digit spread here in Lubbock. The Red Raiders are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a bye week.
GL,
Jesse Schule