Saturday 11/13/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358587

    #31
    Sean Murphy

    Nov 13 '21, 3:30 PM in 1h
    NCAA-F | Purdue vs Ohio State
    Play on: Ohio State -20½ -110 at SC Consensus

    Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Ohio State minus the points over Purdue at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.
    The Buckeyes are coming off consecutive unimpressive wins over Penn State and Nebraska, failing to cover the spread on both occasions. Here, I look for them to keep up their winning ways, but in far more convincing fashion as they host Purdue on Saturday afternoon. The Boilermakers are in a classic letdown spot here after 'upsetting' Michigan State at home last Saturday (you could argue whether that was a true upset or not). While I do like the Boilers as a team, they've been very inconsistent this season, particularly on the offensive side of the football. After scoring 40 points last week, I believe they'll be hard-pressed to approach 20 points in this one as I look for Ohio State to build an early lead and then pin its ears back on defense and put Purdue in its share of difficult situations on offense on Saturday. Keep in mind, Penn State is the only opponent that has managed to break 20 points against Ohio State over the last six games and it did so by bombing away 52 times - something I don't expect Purdue to do here (even though it did attempt 54 passes in last week's victory). Note that Purdue has averaged just a shade north of 20 points the last 20 times it has come off a game in which it threw for 375+ yards, as is the case here. After struggling ton the ground in last week's win in Nebraska, look for the Buckeyes to have little trouble salting this game away with its explosive rushing attack that averages 5.8 yards per rush at home this season. Take Ohio State.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358587

      #32
      John Martin

      Nov 13 '21, 4:00 PM in 1h
      NCAA-F | UTEP vs North Texas
      Play on: UTEP -1 -101 at pinnacle

      1 Unit FREE PLAY on UTEP -1
      The UTEP Miners opened 6-1 but have faced two tough teams in FAU and UTSA and lost the last two weeks. I think it's time to get on them this week against a North Texas team they should handle. North Texas is getting some respect after winning two in a row against two of the worst teams in the conference in Rice and Southern Miss. They had lost six in a row prior to that with all six losses by 7 points or more. UTEP will have the advantage on the ground in this game. They will be able to run on a North Texas defense that gives up 162 rushing yards per game. UTEP only allows 118 rushing yards per game and 3.5 per carry. UTEP averages 8.8 yards per pass and should shred this North Texas that gives up 8.0 per attempt through the air. The Miners are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as road favorites. UTEP is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games against a team with a losing record. The Mean Green are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as home underdogs. Give me UTEP.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358587

        #33
        Jimmy Boyd

        Nov 13 '21, 5:30 PM in 3h
        NCAA-F | Stanford vs Oregon State
        Play on: UNDER 56 -110

        1* Free Pick on Stanford/Oregon State under 56 -110
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358587

          #34
          Kyle Hunter

          Nov 13 '21, 7:00 PM in 4h
          NCAA-F | Air Force vs Colorado State
          Play on: UNDER 45½ -110

          *3 Star Free Pick* The Air Force Falcons have played eight games against FBS opponents. Six of those eight games have finished with a total of 41 points or less.
          Air Force can be beaten by strong passing attacks, but Colorado State doesn't have much of a passing game. The Falcons are elite against the run. They rank 6th in rushing play success rate allowed on defense.
          Colorado State's defense ranks 4th in the nation in defensive success rate. The Rams didn't play well on defense last week, and I think they will be better in this one.
          The weather in this game calls for winds of 15-20 mph with gusts of 30-35 mph. That is enough to make two teams who are conservative even more conservative. The defenses should be loading up the box in this one.
          Take the under.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358587

            #35
            Alex Smart

            Nov 13 '21, 7:00 PM in 4h
            NCAA-F | Arizona State vs Washington
            Play on: Arizona State -5½ -110 at William Hill

            Arizona State has been dominant for the most part this season winning the stats battles in 6 of 7 games , while averaging 100 net YPG more than their opposition and Im betting on another such effort here vs a badly coached Washington Huskies side that cannot find any consistent chemistry on offense or defense. WASHINGTON is 0-6 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 over the last 3 seasons. The Arizona State Sun Devils are 13-0 ATS L/13 against Washington and have covered 9 of their L/10 on the road this series.
            CFB team (ARIZONA ST) - after outrushing opponent by 150 or more yards last game against opponent after being out-rushed by 150 or more yards last game are 76-40 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.
            Play on Arizona State to cover
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358587

              #36
              Black Widow

              Nov 13 '21, 7:08 PM in 4h
              NHL | Panthers vs Lightning
              Play on: UNDER 5½ +105

              1* Free Wiseguy Play on Panthers/Lightning under 5½ +105
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358587

                #37
                Info Plays

                Nov 13 '21, 7:30 PM in 5h
                NCAA-F | Notre Dame vs Virginia
                Play on: Notre Dame -5 -110 at Mirage

                1* FREE INFO PLAY on Notre Dame -5 -110
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358587

                  #38
                  Jeff Alexander

                  Nov 13 '21, 7:30 PM in 5h
                  NCAA-F | Notre Dame vs Virginia
                  Play on: Virginia +6½ +100 at BetVegas

                  1* NCAAF - Notre Dame/Virginia FREE PICK on Virginia +6.5
                  Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick is on the Virginia Cavaliers as a 6.5-point home dog against the Note Dame Fighting Irish.
                  Everyone is on Notre Dame in this game. No surprise. The Irish are a big public team and have covered 4 straight. The line keeps going up. I'm going to wait to see if I can get a better number, but wanted to get this play out for those who are looking for some free advice.
                  No one wants to bet Virginia in this game or really give them any chance of winning. A big reason for that is the uncertainty with whether Virginia starting quarterback Brennan Armstrong is playing. I can't say for sure, but the line tells me the books think he's going to suit up.
                  The other big narrative is that this is a massive lookahead for Virginia with how much next game at Pitt means in their hopes for making the ACC title. The game against Pitt is huge. However, I'm not buying that Virginia wont' be up for this game. You got a top ranked team coming to your house in prime time under the lights. And it's a storied program like Notre Dame. I got to believe we get the Cavs best effort, especially having sat on that ugly loss to BYU for two weeks coming off their bye.
                  There is some concern with Virginia defense. It's not been very good. I just think Armstrong and that offense are good enough to go score for score. I also feel like the defense will feed off the crowd and make some plays.
                  *Bonus to holding out for a better number, is we also can wait to see if Armstrong is ruled out. The line will probably drop if he's given the green light, so you need to act quick if there's any sign of this thing dropping. If by chance Armstrong doesn't play, I won't be making this bet.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358587

                    #39
                    Rob Vinciletti

                    Nov 13 '21, 7:30 PM in 5h
                    NCAA-F | NC State vs Wake Forest
                    Play on: NC State +2 -110 at Mirage

                    Saturday card has the PAC 12 Play o the Year, an Executive Level TIER 1 Going late, a 2x perfect 6* and the BIG 10 Game of the Month, there is also an NBA Top Play and College Hoops. Comp play below
                    The College Football Comp Play for Saturday is on NC. ST. at 7:00 eastern. The Wolfpack are 4-0 ats vs winning teams and have covered 8 straight after passing for more than 275 yards. They take on what could be a dejected Wake Forest team that had their perfect season ruined with a blown lead loss to North Carolina. Now they take on an even better NC. St team. The Deacons fit a late season database system that plays against teams that are off their initial loss of the year and they are 1-4 ats off a loss and are ranked 105th in the nation on defense. NC. St has the 6th ranked offense and 18th ranked defense. Look for NC.St to get the win.. On Saturday a Top Level Card is up and led by the PAC 12 Game of the Year, a Late Executive Level TIER 1, The BIG 10 Game of the Month, an Early 2x Perfect 6*, Early Season College Hoops system plays and NBA Top play. For the Comp play. Play on NC. St Rob V- Golden Contender Sports
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358587

                      #40
                      Matt Fargo

                      Nov 13 '21, 7:30 PM in 5h
                      NCAA-F | Notre Dame vs Virginia
                      Play on: Virginia +6 +100 at BetVegas

                      This is a play on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS for our Saturday Free Play. Notre Dame has won and covered four straight games and it feels disrespected with its spot in the latest CFP rankings. The lone loss this season came against Cincinnati which is a quality loss and while quality wins came against Purdue and Wisconsin, those were well before those teams hit their stride and that is part of the ranking process based on recent performance. Looking at the Notre Dame numbers shows nothing that jumps out. The Irish are No. 71 in total offense and No. 60 in total defense and this is just its third road game of the season following three straight home games. The Irish snuck by Virginia Tech in its most recent road game and what is more telling is the fact it has been outgained in six of nine games this season. The Irish are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Virginia is coming off a loss at BYU where it allowed 66 points so its bye week could not have come at a better time. The 66-49 loss ended a four-game winning streak and the Cavaliers return home where they are 4-1, the lone loss coming against previously undefeated Wake Forest despite winning the yardage battle, which has occurred in seven of nine games this season. Virginia possesses the top ranked offense in the country, averaging 544.9 ypg and its No. 2 passing attack faces the No. 65 ranked passing defense so the Cavaliers can exploit this. The Cavaliers are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Here, we play on home teams averaging 440 or more ypg after gaining 7.25 or more yppl in two consecutive games going up against teams allowing between 330 and 390 ypg. This situation is 76-30 ATS (71.7 percent) since 1992. Play (152) Virginia Cavaliers
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358587

                        #41
                        Doc's Sports

                        Nov 13 '21, 7:30 PM in 5h
                        NCAA-F | Notre Dame vs Virginia
                        Play on: Notre Dame -4½ -110 at William Hill

                        Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #151 Notre Dame Fighting Irish over Virginia Cavaliers (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 13 ABC) The Irish continue to win games under the radar and they are quietly 8-1 on the season. They are getting no talk about making the College Football Playoff yet have an impressive resume. Notre Dame is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games against teams with a winning record. Look for them to pull away in the second half against Virginia and win this game by double digits.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358587

                          #42
                          Bobby Conn

                          Nov 13 '21, 7:40 PM in 5h
                          NBA | Pistons vs Raptors
                          Play on: UNDER 202 -110

                          1* Free Play on Pistons/Raptors under 202 -110
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358587

                            #43
                            Timothy Black

                            Nov 13 '21, 8:00 PM in 5h
                            NCAA-B | California vs UNLV
                            Play on: UNLV -5 -110 at Caesars

                            1* Best Bet on UNLV -5 -110
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358587

                              #44
                              Stephen Nover

                              Nov 13 '21, 9:00 PM in 6h
                              NCAA-B | Boise State vs Cal-Irvine
                              Play on: Cal-Irvine +3 -110 at Mirage

                              I'm not going to overreact to Cal-Irvine losing, 62-51, to New Mexico State on the road in its opener this past Tuesday.
                              The Anteaters are strong at home. I'm attracted to them as a home dog since I have them power-rated to be favored. Cal-Irvine has covered 72 percent of its past 34 home games.
                              These two teams last met two seasons ago in mid-November and Cal-Irvine won, 69-60.
                              Cal-Irvine has the height to match up against Boise State. The Anteaters have one of the better players in the West in senior forward Collin Welp.
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358587

                                #45
                                Steve Janus

                                Nov 13 '21, 10:00 PM in 7h
                                NCAA-B | George Washington vs UC San Diego
                                Play on: George Washington +1½ -105 at linepros

                                1* Free Sharp Play on George Washington +1½ -105
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