Saturday 12/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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FOOTBALL JESUS FREE PICK NFL : Patriots+ pts

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December 18
Boca Raton Bowl
Western Kentucky (8-5) vs Appalachian State (10-3)
— WKU is 7-1 in last eight games, losing C-USA title tilt to UTSA.
— WKU started season 1-4, before going on this 7-1 run.
— Hilltoppers scored 31+ points in all five of their losses.
— WKU scored 41+ points in eight of last nine games.
— Hilltoppers threw for 495+ yards in three of last four games.
— WKU has 6 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— Hilltoppers have 75 returning starts on offensive line.
— WKU’s QB played four years at I-AA Houston Baptist (48 starts)
— WKU is 3-2 ATS this season in games with single digit spread.
— Over is 8-4 in Hilltopper games this year.
— WKU is 3-2 SU in last five bowls (were favored in all five)
— Hilltoppers won this bowl 51-31 over Memphis in 2016.
— Four of WKU’s last five games went over the total.

— App State is 6-1 last seven games, losing Sun Belt title tilt to ULL.
— ASU is 10-0 when they score 27+ points, 0-3 when they don’t.
— App State covered five of its last seven games.
— App State has 7 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— ASU has 69 returning starts on the offensive line.
— App State has a QB with 24 starts- he transferred from Duke.
— ASU is 6-0 all-time in bowl games.
— Mountaineers scored 39.4 ppg in last five bowls.
— Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.
— App State is 3-3 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.

— Favorites are 5-2 ATS in this bowl.
— Conference USA teams are 5-1 ATS in this game.
— Sun Belt teams are 20-15 ATS last 35 games vs C-USA teams.
— Sun Belt teams are 4-2 ATS vs C-USA teams this year.

New Mexico Bowl
Texas-El Paso (7-5) vs Fresno State (9-3)
— UTEP was 5-39 the last four years; they’ve had a great year.
— That said, Miners lost four of last five games, after a 6-1 start.
— UTEP allowed 32.4 ppg in last five games.
— Miners have 11 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— UTEP has 101 returning starts on offensive line.
— UTEP’s soph QB has 19 starts.
— UTEP is 7-5 ATS in last dozen games as an underdog.
— This is UTEP’s first bowl since 2014.
— Miners are 0-5 in bowls this century; their last bowl win? 1967.
— UTEP this bowl game 52-24/21-6 in 2010/2014.
— Four of last five UTEP games overall went over the total.

— Fresno’s coach, OC and QB have all bolted team.
— Fresno may play two QB’s here- they threw combined 21 passes TY.
— Bulldogs re-hired former HC Jeff Tedford as head coach.
— Fresno won five of its last six games.
— Bulldogs are 8-0 if they score 30+ points, 1-3 if they don’t.
— Bulldogs were held to 24 or fewer points in their losses.
— Fresno is 3-2 SU on road, winning by 3-17-10 points.
— Fresno has 9 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Bulldogs have 51 returning starts on the offensive line.
— Bulldogs are 8-6 ATS last 14 games as favorites.
— Fresno won last two bowls, 33-27/31-20.
— Under is 5-2 in last seven Fresno games.

— Last ten years, favorites are 5-5 ATS in this bowl.
— Since 2013, Mountain West teams are 6-2 SU/4-4 ATS in this bowl.
— C-USA underdogs are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games vs MW teams.
— Mountain West teams are 9-7 SU last 16 games vs C-USA squads.

Independence Bowl (Shreveport, LA)
UAB (8-4) vs BYU (10-2)
— UAB is 5-2 in last seven games, losing by 6-3 points.
— Blazers ran ball for 220+ yards in three of last four games.
— UAB covered three of four games as an underdog this year.
— Blazers scored 31+ points in five of last seven games.
— UAB is 7-0 giving up 25 or less points, 1-4 giving up 30+.
— UAB has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— UAB has 87 returning starts on offensive line.
— Blazers’ soph QB has started 17 games.
— UAB is 4-1 ATS this year in games with single digit spread.
— UAB is 1-3 in bowls, beat Northern Illinois 37-13 in 2018.
— Four of Blazers’ last five games went over the total.

— BYU won its last five games, scoring 43 ppg.
— Eight of ten Cougar wins are by 8+ points.
— BYU beat Virginia, is 4-0 vs Pac-12 teams this year.
— BYU covered once in last six lined games.
— Cougars are 10-16 ATS last 26 games as a favorite.
— Cougars have 7 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
— BYU has 86 returning starts on the offensive line.
— BYU has soph QB with eight starts.
— Under Sitake, BYU is 11-13 ATS as home favorites.
— BYU won three of last four bowls, scoring 39 ppg.
— Favorites are 3-2 ATS in their last five bowls.
— Under is 7-4 in BYU games this season.

— Underdogs covered this bowl four of last six years.
— Last ten years, C-USA teams are 2-1 ATS in this bowl.
— Last five years, total in Independence Bowl was 55+ four times.

LendingTree Bowl (Mobile, AL)
Eastern Michigan (7-5) @ Liberty (7-5)
— EMU is 5-0 when it scores 35+ points, 2-5 when it doesn’t.
— EMU is 5-0 when it allows 27 or less, 2-5 when it allows 28+ points.
— Eagles scored 19.3 ppg in their last three games.
— Eastern allowed 200+ YR in seven of 11 I-A games.
— Eagles have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
— EMU has 92 returning starts on offensive line.
— EMU’s soph QB has 14 starts (2 at Cincinnati).
— Eagles are 27-11-1 ATS last 39 games as an underdog.
— EMU lost last three bowls, by 4-2-4 points.
— Eagles are 1-3 all-time in bowls; win was in 1987.
— EMU’s last three games stayed under the total.

— Liberty lost last three games, after a 7-2 start.
— Liberty is 6-0 when it scores 35+, 1-5 when it doesn’t.
— Flames scored 14-14-16 points in last three games.
— Liberty is 6-0 when it allows 17 or less, 1-5 when it allows more.
— Flames allowed 33.3 ppg in their last three games.
— Under Freeze, Liberty is 11-7 ATS as a favorite.
— Liberty has 11 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Liberty has 127 returning starts on offensive line.
— Flames’ junior QB has 22 career starts.
— Under Freeze, Liberty is 9-4 ATS as home favorites.
— Liberty is 2-0 in bowls, winning 23-16/37-34 last two years.
— Last three Liberty games stayed under the total.

— Underdogs are 6-4 ATS in this bowl the last decade.
— Last nine years, MAC teams are 2-6 ATS in this bowl.

Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl (Los Angeles)
Oregon State (7-5) vs Utah State (10-3)
— This is Oregon State’s first bowl since 2013.
— Oregon State is 3-4 in last seven games, after a 4-1 start.
— OSU is 1-5 on road this year; only win was at USC, here in LA.
— Beavers are 6-0 giving up 27 or less points, 1-5 giving up 30+.
— Beavers ran ball for 200+ yards in nine of 12 games.
— Oregon State is 14-6-1 ATS last 21 games as an underdog.
— Beavers have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Oregon State has 36 returning starts on offensive line.
— OSU’s soph QB has 15 career starts
— Oregon State is 3-2 in last five bowls (favored in all five).
— Over is 4-2 in last six Oregon State games.

— Utah State won seven of its last eight games.
— Aggies crushed San Diego State 46-13 in MW title game Dec 4th.
— Aggies are 10-0 scoring 26+ points, 0-3 when they don’t.
— Utah is 4-0 in games decided by four or less points.
— Aggies have 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
— Utah State has 69 returning starts on offensive line.
— USU’s QB has 28 career starts- he played at Ark State for coach Anderson.
— Aggies are 6-4 ATS TY in games with single digit spread.
— Utah State is 18-7-1 ATS last 26 games as a favorite.
— Over is 4-2 in last six Utah State games.
— Utah State lost three of last four bowl games (favored in all four)

— Mountain West teams are 17-12 ATS last 29 games vs Pac-12.
— Mountain West teams are 6-3 ATS this year vs Pac-12.

New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana (12-1) vs Marshall (7-5)
— Coach Napier is off to Florida; the OC is the new coach.
— Louisiana won 12 games in row since 38-18 loss at Texas.
— Cajuns beat App State 24-16 in Sun Belt title game Dec 4th.
— Last six games, ULL is +13 in turnovers.
— Cajuns are 5-0 SU at home (three wins by 5 or less points)
— ULL held five of last six opponents to 17 or less points.
— Cajuns have 10 starters back on offense, 10 on defense.
— Louisiana has 140 returning starts on offensive line.
— Cajuns’ senior QB has started 40 games.
— Last two years, Louisiana is 6-10 ATS as favorites.
— Louisiana is 6-2 in bowls, winning last two, 27-17/31-24.
— Eight of Louisiana’s last ten games stayed under total.
— Louisiana figures to have home crowd edge in New Orleans.

— Marshall lost two of its last three games.
— Thundering Herd gave up 36.2 ppg in losses, 13.5 in I-A wins.
— Marshall is minus-5 in turnovers this year.
— Thundering Herd is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Marshall gained 447+ TY in four of last six games.
— Thundering Herd has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
— Marshall has 137 returning starts on offensive line.
— Thundering Herd has a QB with 22 starts.
— Last two years, Marshall is 3-0 ATS as an underdog.
— Marshall is 12-4 in bowls; they lost last two, 48-25/17-10.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight Marshall games.

— Favorites covered this bowl five of last six years.
— Last six years, C-USA teams are 2-4 ATS in this bowl.
— Sun Belt teams are 20-15 ATS last 35 games vs C-USA teams.
— Sun Belt teams are 4-2 ATS vs C-USA teams this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Quick Picks for December 18, 2021

Aqueduct Racetrack (NYRA)
Race #1- #4 MATT DOYLE; #6 ICONIC ADVENTURE; #1 SUL PHAROAH
Race #2- #6 SOUND MONEY; #3 BAR FOURTEEN; #9 FOREST SPIRIT
Race #3- #6 ST. LUKES; #3 IRIE SPICE; #9 ILLUSTRIOUS
Race #4- #6 WUDDA U THINK NOW; #1 HAPPY MEDIUM; #9 MR PHIL
Race #5- #7 BOLD JOURNEY; #1 CLASH A. J.; #11 RAW COURAGE
Race #6- #6 GENO; #3 MASETA; #4 SAFALOW’S MISSION
Race #7- #6 SWINTON; #9 ROYAL REALM; #2 BLU GROTTO
Race #8- #6 MORNING MATCHA; #7 HOWDYOUMAKEURMONEY; #3 LAOBAN’S LEGACY
Race #9- #1A BIG BROWN SHOES; #8 GIRAMONTE; #2 UNCLE GEORGE


Charles Town Racing
Race #1- #8 STACIAS RUBY; #5 ENJOY SUMMER; #4 UNBRIDLED IRISH
Race #2- #8 BULL MEECHUM; #4 VIDMER’S COURAGE; #3 MR. SNAP
Race #3- #2 MY PHOENIX; #6 THUNDER KITTEN; #10 ROLL DEM BONES
Race #4- #4 PRINCE JACOB; #8 MODERN DAY ROMANCE; #9 ROCK FILE
Race #5- #2 SUZYSELLSSEASHELLS; #9 SUZZETTE STAR; #1 NEEDACARCALLLOUIE
Race #6- #5 JACKLIGHTING; #10 MEAN TO AMEND; #7 CARTER’S RUN
Race #7- #1 MY BEST FRIEND; #5 BOUNDTOBEBAD; #10 MOONLIT SHADOW
Race #8- #7 TAPPING THE GLASS; #12 CIELO AZUL; #4 MINISTRY OF MAGIC
Race #9- #11 MORTAL STORM; #7 FRENCH NOUGET; #6 LIFE IN FLASH


Delta Downs
Race #1- #8 ZIPZAPTIME; #1A PADDOCK PICK; #2 CLASSIC GREELEY
Race #2- #3 EGEAUXTISM; #1A HUNK OF A HIT; #5 HERE COMES MAGIC
Race #3- #2 JUS GIMME A CALL; #5 MYLIES STAR; #11 RUN NATALIE RUN
Race #4- #4 MUCH CLASS; #5 FORESTDUNGONE; #8 UNWANTED INTRUDER
Race #5- #5 GREY ROGUE; #1 UNDERDOG; #6 DREAMONMEBABY
Race #6- #4 TABLE ONE; #7 DON’T MINE ME; #6 EARNESTINE N HAZEL
Race #7- #5 WISE ANCHOR; #8 OUR BLUE JAY; #1 LAUGHING LATINOS
Race #8- #1 DOUBLE BOGEY; #2 DIXIELAND MUSIC; #9 DURITZ
Race #9- #6 SIR OVERANALYZE; #3 MY BOY SAM; #2 F J’S GEM


Evangeline Downs
Race #1- #7 ROC MY HEART; #6 ACHILLES TLC; #1 EYESA FAST PRIZE
Race #2- #3 OUR HOT TOPIC; #6 LIGHTNIN FAST WAGON; #1 LIL BOO
Race #3- #6 TDZ FOOSE EXPRESS; #8 JP BOSS BABY; #10 BOGARTS FLASH
Race #4- #8 DOCS FAVORITE WAVE; #2 PERFECTLY PERRY; #6 SHES A CARTEL
Race #5- #4 LOVE THE WAY YOU FLY; #5 ON POINT; #2 STEAM ROLLYR
Race #6- #3 APOLLITICALFASTLANE; #1 KK SANDRA PATRIOT; #2 GAMEFACEPRIZE
Race #7- #5 APOLLITICAL HIGH; #3 EL CAMINO CL; #1 SIR LOUISIANA DASH
Race #8- #1 SAN LORENZEAUX; #10 BLOOD MONEY; #3 ULTIMO ALEX


Fair Grounds Race Course
Race #1- #5 FLUFFPOINT; #4 ADIEU LE CHAT; #7 DOUBLE YOU
Race #2- #5 TWIRLING ROSES; #1 CRIME SPREE; #6 GEMO RAIN
Race #3- #6 ALFONS WALDE; #8 WAR CHEST; #3 HAY DAKOTA
Race #4- #1 GTUONE BUCK; #2 NICE STAR; #6 CHEROKEE TAKEOVER
Race #5- #1 IBEAM; #5 CHIEF ALPHA; #2 ULTIMATE IRONY
Race #6- #5 GOLDEN LUNA; #2 TRICOLOUR; #4 TEE BURNS
Race #7- #6 MIDNIGHT TEA TIME; #5 BIG AGENDA; #3 HIERARCHY
Race #8- #5 BOURBON ST TAPPIN; #1 BIG BRASS MONKEY; #2 ZION
Race #9- #4 ATTORNEY TIM; #3 OWN AGENDA; #1 GUNNISON
Race #10- #2 VERRAZANO ISLAND; #7 SPECTACULAR IZZY; #5 ENOUGH HEART


Gulfstream Park
Race #1- #5 STRAIGHT TIME; #7 CARNIVORE; #9 JINXED
Race #2- #2 UKIYO; #8 RECORD; #7 MOUNTAIN BELLATRIX
Race #3- #3 PERSONAL MEADOW; #5 NO COMMISSION; #7 VENERATE
Race #4- #7 VALIANT AVENGER; #1 RULING FRONT; #8 SHEA D CAPTURE
Race #5- #3 SHIFTY SHE; #7 ALMS; #8 KELSEY’S CROSS
Race #6- #6 DREAM MARIE; #1 ALLWORTHY; #4 QUEEN NEKIA
Race #7- #7 ALLEGEDLY PERFECT; #9 BACKWOODS BOOGIE; #13 BERHANU
Race #8- #3 FRANK’S ROCKETTE; #5 CENTER AISLE; #7 BRONX BEAUTY
Race #9- #1 MIGHTY HEART; #6 FEARLESS; #4 EYE OF A JEDI
Race #10- #13 BROWN STORM; #2 L'IMPERATOR; #1 DOSWELL
Race #11- #5 MISBEHAVED; #9 RIDLEY’S MAJOR; #2 WAKE SURF


Hawthorne Race Course
Race #1- #7 AH LEAH; #9 RULER DAENERYS; #11 BELLS OF JOY
Race #2- #5 LION LOVE; #7 PRESENT OF HERO; #1 A FAST BROAD
Race #3- #9 GHAALEB’S CITY; #6 JUST A WONDER; #4 SWEET FRAULEIN
Race #4- #5 PRINCESS TINE; #1 AVASARALA; #4 RONAN
Race #5- #6 ARCH FLYER; #3 FIRST SQUADRON; #2 TRIPLE SCOUT
Race #6- #5 LONG TALL WOMAN; #8 SHEZA SAVAGE; #2 AROSE FOR LYLA
Race #7- #6 FIRST MASAMUNE; #11 EL ASESINO; #4 VALIANT VINNY
Race #8- #5 MEMORY BANK; #11 PACKED HOUSE; #8 ALLEGIANCE


Laurel Park
Race #1- #8 SEA PINES; #9 LEGS LIKE SHACK; #7 MIDDLE ISLAND
Race #2- #7 FOOL YOURSELF; #1 MISS CHESAPEAKE; #4 CONGRESS HALL
Race #3- #8 LANTAU; #6 ADDY’S LADDY T N T; #9 KOZY’S WILDCAT
Race #4- #2 IYWAAN; #4 CANTAKEITANYMORE; #7 CRUSH IT
Race #5- #7 VINNY; #5 BLISS THIS; #9 OSKEE WOW WOW
Race #6- #9 FRAUDULENT CHARGE; #5 FRIEND ME CHARLIE; #10 HOPE HAS A NAME
Race #7- #3 JESTER CALLS NOJOY; #6 PREPAREFORTAKEOFF; #2 SPARKLE SPRINKLE
Race #8- #4 LOCAL MOTIVE; #12 JOE; #10 COASTAL MISSION
Race #9- #8 EFFULGENT; #7 CHAUFFEUR; #2 HANDS DOWN


Lone Star Park
Race #1- #1 PRIZED PIE PERRY; #5 CASHININONAPROSPECT; #4 SEPARATE OCEAN
Race #2- #4 JETSIE CORONA; #5 FANCY RAIL; #9 MINI SECRET
Race #3- #3 CW QUICK BLUE CARTEL; #6 CARTELS VALUE; #8 RUNAWAY MATCH RACE
Race #4- #6 WAGON DASHIN MENACE; #1 LJ GRAN CORREDOR; #2 POOLIE
Race #5- #7 EDWARD ASHLEY; #6 FAVORITFIRE; #1 KISS MY WILD CANDY
Race #6- #2 MACS LADY M; #8 EC ABELLA; #4 GOLLY JESS
Race #7- #6 JEG APOLLITEAL SEIS; #9 FIVE BAR SILVER; #8 BLONDE BELLE CARTEL
Race #8- #10 BIG EAGLE GONE; #7 THE GRAND LEGEND; #8 BLACK CAZADOR
Race #9- #1 SS CLASSYJESS; #2 JESS A DASHIN ANGELA; #5 TEMPTING KNOCKOUT
Race #10- #1 RED RED WINE; #3 SLP MIGHTY HIGH; #5 JACK WITH SEVEN
Race #11- #1 FAMOUS CHIEF; #7 HIS TIME TO DEAL; #12 TEN SENT
Race #12- #10 CHEYENNENEWS; #3 DTL HOT WIRED; #6 WEAREREADYNOW


Mahoning Valley Race Course
Race #1- #1 SAN NICOLA PRANCER; #6 RACK DADDY; #5 GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE
Race #2- #4 BLUE SAGE; #5 AWESOME WONDER; #6 ANDIAMA
Race #3- #1 SHANGHAI PRINCE; #4 YOU’RE MY BOY BLUE; #2 MANGA MAN
Race #4- #3 HIPSTER; #7 WAPAKONETA PHIL; #1 BISCUITS AND GRITS
Race #5- #1 EDGE O’S ME; #4 AVA’S DESTINY; #7 ANIMO STAR
Race #6- #1 THEDAYOFTHEGREY; #6 OUT FOR FUN; #4 RELISH THE RIDE
Race #7- #8 EDGE OF NIGHT; #4 HERE COMES JIGS; #10 MOBIL LADY
Race #8- #2 SWEETASAHONEYBEE; #5 EARLY BLOOMER; #7 TITEBLUEJEANS


Oaklawn Park
Race #1- #8 KNIGHT’S CROSS; #7 COLOSI; #4 PIT BOSS
Race #2- #3 CYBER MONDAY; #8 ROLL DINERO ROLL; #9 DANCIN ROCKET
Race #3- #9 WARTIME HERO; #6 GRAND DESIGN; #4 FLATOUT WINNER
Race #4- #8 PURE ROCKET; #7 POPSTER; #1 COMBAT MEDAL
Race #5- #2 CAPTAIN DON; #4 THE ROCK SAYS; #8 O DOGG
Race #6- #7 JACK’S ADVANTAGE; #9 FLATOUTJUSTICE; #2 CHICORY BLUE
Race #7- #6 ICY STARE DOWN; #7 MOMMASGOTTARUN; #4 RUNAWAY WIFE
Race #8- #8 C Z ROCKET; #7 MUCHO; #2 SIR ALFRED JAMES
Race #9- #2 LONE ROCK; #4 TITLE READY; #7 WARRIOR’S CHARGE
Race #10- #8 GROUP EIGHTEEN; #6 ETHEREAL ROAD; #5 QUICK TO BLAME


Tampa Bay Downs
Race #1- #3 GOLD SPECIAL; #4 VOLBEAT; #2 HERECOMESTHEHAMMER
Race #2- #6 DR. ANN; #1 HUSH Y'ALL; #4 MIZZEN AIR
Race #3- #2 QUICK CONVERSATION; #4 MORNING COCKTAIL; #9 AWILDAS TREASURE
Race #4- #6 GIOVANE’S PROMISE; #5 BUSTER; #1 SUPER SHOES
Race #5- #1 SIGN AND SEAL; #10 BUFFALO DANCER; #9 ROUGH ENOUGH
Race #6- #1 IN THE LOOP; #2 CODETOWIN; #7 NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY
Race #7- #8 UNION GAP; #2 OLD TIMER’S DAY; #3 HIGHLAND PARK HERO
Race #8- #7 WORLD TOUR; #2 TETELLA; #6 JEAN V’S LEGACY
Race #9- #5 NATIVE HAWK; #8 IMPERIAL KING; #7 GRAN RUNNER
Race #10- #1 THEUNCAPTUREDLADY; #11 REYNA DE VERANO; #6 FLOWERSFORSHANTELL


Turfway Park
Race #1- #4 SEVENTYSEVEN STONE; #6 HONEY BOURBON; #9 POLE SETTER
Race #2- #5 GRANTHAM; #8 ENCOURAGE; #1 QUARI MASTER
Race #3- #4 RUTABAGA; #5 MAPLELINE; #8 ONE FAST ORB
Race #4- #2 RALPHIE BOY; #7 SCOOT DADDY; #5 GOOD SOLDIER
Race #5- #4 SNAPPER SINCLAIR; #2 BIG DREAMING; #10 MUTAKATIF
Race #6- #2 REAL MONEY; #4 GREENER PASTURES; #7 TORONTOTORO
Race #7- #10 VISITANT; #3 HIDDEN SCROLL; #2 JOKER ON JACK
Race #8- #12 ZIGGY’S STORM; #3 SUGAR AND SASS; #11 SHE’S FOREVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

AI Picks: Laurel, Gulfstream, Oaklawn Stakes | Saturday

December 17, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

We put the 1/ST BET artificial intelligence to work for a series of Saturday stakes races. To assist your handicapping, selections provided by the 1/ST BET app measure each contender against the 10 leading factors for each race. The 1/ST BET app looks at 52 handicapping factors and more than 200,000 past races to determine its AI selections.

You can use the automated handicapping factors, or create your own factor filters to incorporate angles you prefer. Full-card selections can be found in the 1/ST BET app. We’ve included the official track morning line odds with each runner.

Gulfstream Park // Race 6 // 2:22 pm ET // $100,000 Rampart Stakes // 1 mile

#6 Dream Marie (9-5) // 31%W
#4 Queen Nekia (3-1) // 24%W
#5 Gran Baby (15-1) // 17%W
#3 Dance d’Oro (7-2) // 13%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 7 // 3:18 pm ET // $100,000 Maryland Juvenile Fillies Championship Stakes // 7 furlongs

#6 Preparefortakeoff (20-1) // 32%W
#3 Jester Calls Nojoy (4-5) // 16%W
#2 Sparkle Sprinkle (10-1) // 15%W
#7 Dazzy (7-2) // 12%W

//

Laurel Park // Race 8 // 3:50 pm ET // $100,000 Maryland Juvenile Championship Stakes // 7 furlongs

#4 Local Motive (9-2) // 28%W
#3 Wish Me Home (12-1) // 13%W
#1 Alottahope (8-1) // 10%W
#9 Uncle Irish (10-1) // 10%W

//

Gulfstream Park // Race 9 // 3:59 pm ET // Grade 3 $100,000 Harlan’s Holiday Stakes // 1 mile
#6 Fearless (8-5) // 33%W
#5 South Bend (4-1) // 25%W
#4 Eye of a Jedi (8-1) // 16%W
#1 Mighty Heart (9-5) // 10%W

//

Oaklawn Park // Race 9 // 5:13 pm ET // $200,000 Tinsel Stakes // 1 mile
#6 Thomas Shelby (8-1) // 28%W
#4 Title Ready (9-2) // 22%W
#5 Tenfold (6-1) // 14%W
#7 Warrior’s Charge (5-2) // 12%W

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eddie Olczyk: Best Bets | Saturday, December 18, 2021

December 17, 2021 | By Eddie Olczyk

NBC handicapper Eddie Olczyk returns for his weekly Saturday spot plays. All 3 best bets Saturday come from Gulfstream Park.

Gulfstream Park // Race 5 // 1:54 pm ET // Grade 3 $100,000 Suwanee River Stakes // 1 mile (turf)

#2 In A Hurry (5-1 ML)

Well-drawn contender can take advantage of saving ground with a stalking trip under Javier Castellano. Course winner is 2-for-4 at the mile trip. Win bet.

//

Gulfstream Park // Race 7 // 2:58 pm ET // claiming // 5-1/2 furlongs (Tapeta)

#9 Backwoods Boogie (15-1 ML)

Longshot player threw out the anchor last time going a route of ground, but returns to a more preferred sprint distance. Last showed he could handle the synthetic surface and prior route-to-sprint tries have been respectable. Win-place bet. Daily double 9-5 to final play.

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Gulfstream Park // Race 8 // 3:28 pm ET // Grade 3 $100,000 Sugar Swirl Stakes // 6 furlongs

#5 Center Aisle (2-1 ML)

Impressive Kentucky allowance wins after nearly a year on the sidelines. She's ready for a stakes class rise and could be the one to catch under hot-riding Luis Saez. Win bet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Race of the Week: Fort Lauderdale at Gulfstream | Sat., Dec. 18

December 16, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

$200,000 GRADE 2 FORT LAUDERDALE AT GULFSTREAM PARK

The Lead:
'Twas the week before Christmas, and Gulfstream Park has stuffed its stocking with 5 stakes races, 4 of the graded variety. We'll hone in on Race 10, the $200,000 Grade 2 Fort Lauderdale for turf routers at 1-1/8 miles. The undercard also includes the Grade 3 Harlan's Holiday on dirt as a potential prep for the Pegasus World Cup in late January.

Horseplayers on the Xpressbet and 1/ST BET platforms can take part in Saturday's Gulfstream Park late pick 4 hit-and-split promotion. Win your late pick 4 bet and split $2000 in additional cash with other horseplayers on the platform who found success.

Field Depth:
KING GUILLERMO is the only Grade 2 domestic winner in the field, and that came on dirt. SPACE TRAVELLER won a Group 2 in Ireland in 2019. Grade 3 winners in the lineup include ANALYZE IT, ENGLISH BEE and SOLE VOLANTE. The toughest company lines of late obviously belong to SPACE TRAVELLER in this group, who holds the class edge.

Pace:
The tempo should be fair-to-quick for this distance with DOSWELL, RENAISSANCE FROLIC, ANALYZE IT and ORDER AND LAW all wanting to press the pace that could be set by KING GUILLERMO. The pace would shift to fast if also-eligible BROWN STORM was to draw into the race.

Our Eyes:
SPACE TRAVELLER starts from the 12-hole, so Tyler Gaffalione will have to work out a trip over the narrowed GP turf course since September's unveiling of the Tapeta track. With some early pace in posts 6,8,9 and 10, it might not be as wide of a trip as the worst-case scenario. He's working very well for this and should be a big late danger.

Chad Brown, who won this race in 2019 with Instilled Regard, sends out ANALYZE IT and L'IMPERADOR, the former possessing the deeper domestic resume, but the latter perhaps being the 'now' horse. The draw and pace scenario also favor L'IMPERADOR and I like the jockey change to John Velazquez on Saturday. ANALYZE IT did wire a Belmont allowance last time out in October, but he's lost ground in the final chart call in nearly all of his starts and may be dependent on an easier pace than he'll get Saturday. ANALYZE IT has lost 5 of his last 7 when favored, so he's had plenty of chances.

Mike Maker, winner of the 2018 Fort Lauderdale with Shining Copper, counters with the trio of MEDIA BLITZ, ORDER AND LAW and ATONED. SoCal transplant MEDIA BLITZ has been first or second in all 4 lifetime starts at this distance; ORDER AND LAW also comes east off the Maker claim but stretches out from his typical mile trip; and ATONE has won 2 of his last 3 since coming to this barn. MEDIA BLITZ interests the most among this threesome that looks pretty similar on paper.

Last year's Fort Lauderdale 2-3 finishers re-match in DOSWELL and BREAKING THE RULES. Both hit similar spots in their form cycles, a few races back after extended breaks for much of 2021. BREAKING THE RULES might be slightly sharper coming out of mile races than DOSWELL, who has been going closer to marathon trips. The solid early pace expected here also would tilt the edge to late-running BREAKING THE RULES in this head-to-head.

Course winners ENGLISH BEE, RENAISSANCE FROLIC and SOLE VOLANTE defend home turf, but it's RENAISSANCE FROLIC who seems to have the course advantage. His 4 wins on this turf lifetime are more than the rest of the field's 3-for-15 record combined.

Most Certain Exotics Contender:
L'EMPERADOR has improved his margin in the last call of every start since coming to the US and catches a stakes field on the class rise that's not beyond his scope.

Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
KING GUILLERMO has the ability to pop a big effort, but lacks consistency. His lightning workout for this indicates he's on tilt and will try to take them as far as his speed will allow. That could find him holding on for a share on his best effort at a nice price.

Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
$80 win L'IMPERADOR. $10 exacta box L'IMPERADOR and SPACE TRAVELLER ($20).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gulfstream 5 Facts | Dec. 14-19, 2021

December 14, 2021 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Wednesday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$16,181 // Super High 5 // Wednesday

Feature Race(s):

$200,000 Grade 2 Fort Lauderdale // turf routers // Saturday

$150,000 Grade 3 Harlan’s Holiday // dirt routers // Saturday

$100,000 Grade 3 Suwanee River // turf fillies and mares // Saturday

$100,000 Grade 3 Sugar Swirl // dirt sprint fillies and mares // Saturday

$100,000 Rampart // dirt miler fillies and mares // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Last 3 Purse (29%, +$22.40)

Lifetime Earnings (30%, -$2.80)

Avg. E2 (Early) Pace (29%, -$6.80)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Saffie Joseph Jr. // last week 14: 7-0-1 (50%, $2.11 ROI) // 3-3 with Tyler Gaffalione

T: Todd Pletcher // last week 5: 3-0-0 (60%, $1.16 ROI) // all 3 wins 7-5 or less // 3-4 with Luis Saez

T: Kent Sweezey // last week 8: 2-0-1 (25%, $2.67 ROI) // $8 and $50 maiden claiming winners both with Paco Lopez

J: Paco Lopez // last week 18: 5-3-3 (28%, $2.03 ROI) // 12-46 last 2 weeks // 2 wins with Gustavo Delgado and Kent Sweezey

J: Luis Saez // last week 25: 6-3-6 (24%, $0.76 ROI) // 4-12 on favorites // 6 wins 3-1 or less + $16 score

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Horse Racing Bets for Saturday, December 18, 2021
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

The three tracks I surveyed for my Saturday horseracing picks provided us with a stakes-rich environment for our underdog scouting and wagering pleasure.

Laurel Park and Mahoning Valley Race Course each offered a couple of state stakes races, while Turfway Park features the Prairie Bayou Stakes (Listed).

You can get the full story on all the horses in all the races with a quick visit to our recommended online racebooks.

Good luck!
Saturday’s Picks for Laurel Park

Let’s begin on the dirt track with race six, a six-furlong allowance run for fillies and mares three years old and upward. I’m backing the 7/5 morning-line favorite for this race—Fraudulent Charge piloted by Johan Rosado.

This three-year-old filly finished in the money for all seven of her career starts, winning one. Even in this very competitive field of ten, she’s a standout, finishing second in each of her four stakes races, the most recent being the Safely Kept Stakes (Listed) last month at Laurel Park.

Lacey Gaudet trains Fraudulent Charge for owners Team Gaudet and Five Hellions Farm. Gaudet has put Rosado in the irons for all seven of Fraudulent Charge’s races.

Race seven is the Maryland Juvenile Fillies Championship Stakes, a $100,000 purse, seven-furlong run on the main track for Maryland-bred or sired two-year-old fillies. I’m betting on the 7/2 second-favored Luna Belle, ridden by top jockey Denis Araujo.
Unlike the favorite, this filly has moneyed a stakes race. For the record, Luna Belle finished in the money four of her six career starts, winning one. She most recently finished second in the Smart Halo Stakes (Black Type) last month at Laurel Park.

Longtime racing veteran and co-owner Hamilton A. Smith trains Luna Belle for Deborah S. Greene and himself.

Race eight is the Maryland Juvenile Championship Stakes, a $100,000 purse, seven-furlong run on the main track for Maryland-bred or -sired two-year-olds. I’m calling this one for the third-favored (at 61) Coastal Mission, with Arnaldo Bocachica in the irons.

This gelding finished in the money for both of his career starts, winning his initial maiden attempt at Charles Town in September, then placing second in the Maryland Million Nursery Stakes (Black Type) at Laurel Park in October. Incidentally, this race’s 9/2 favorite—Local Motive—finished third in that stakes race.

The regularly top-100 ranked trainer Jeff C. Runco trains Coastal Mission for owner-breeder Coleswood Farm, Inc.
Saturday Picks for Mahoning Valley Race Course

We’re on the main track for race four, a six-furlong allowance race for Ohio-bred three-year-olds and upward that have never won four races. I like the 5/2 second-favored Wapakoneta Phil, ridden by veteran jockey T.D. Houghton.

This four-year-old gelding finished seven of his nine career starts in the money, winning his second maiden try at Thistledown last fall, an allowance race there shortly thereafter, and most recently, an allowance race at Thistledown in October. He’ll do.

Candace M. Huffman trains Wapakoneta Phil for J S Stable.

Race six is the Joshua Radosevich Memorial Stakes, a $75,000 purse, six-furlong dirt track run for Ohio-bred two-year-olds. I’m going to agree with the morning-line here and bet my two dollars on the 7/5 favorite, Thedayofthegrey, with Sonny Leon aboard.
This gelding finished in the money four of his five career starts, winning three, including the Best of Ohio Cleveland Kindergarten Stakes (Black Type) at Thistledown in August and the Loyalty Stakes (Black Type) at Belterra Park in September.

He ran out of gas in the home stretch in his most recent stakes challenge—the 1-1/16-mile Best of Ohio Juvenile Stakes (Black Type)—but at the shorter distance of this race he should do just fine.

Co-owner and thirty-year racing veteran Robert C. Cline trains Thedayofthegrey for himself and Richard M. Wilkinson.

Race seven is the Bobbie Bricker Memorial Handicap, a $75,000 purse, one mile and 70 yards stakes race for Ohio-bred fillies and mares three years old and upward. My money’s on the second-favored (at 4/1) Star Rules, with Jeffrey Sanchez in the irons.

This four-year-old filly moneyed nine of her 14 career starts, winning three, including her most recent. Notably, she finished second in both the Miss Southern Ohio Stakes at Belterra Park in September and the Ohio Debutante Handicap at Mahoning Valley last month. She scored all three of her wins in 2021.

James H. McDonald trains Star Rules for owner-breeder Doris Tummillo. Jeffrey Sanchez saddled Star Rules for her most recent victory.
My Saturday Picks for Turfway Park

We’re on the all-weather track for race five—the Prairie Bayou Stakes, 1-1/16 miles run for three-year-olds and upward. I must agree with the morning line that the 3/1 favorite, Snapper Sinclair, is the right wager for this race. He’s saddled this run by top jockey Rafael Bejarano.

As you might expect, this six-year-old has been quite aggressively campaigned at the stakes level and has garnered plenty of proof that he belongs there: 20 money finishes in 35 career starts, seven of those wins, including the Fasig-Tipton Turf Showcase Juvenile Stakes (Black Type) in 2017, the Tourist Mile Stakes (Listed) in 2019, and the TVG Stakes (Listed) in September.

If nothing else, this horse has staying power.

Steven M. Asmussen trains Snapper Sinclair for Bloom Racing Stable LLC (Jeffrey Bloom).

Race six is a 6-1/2 furlong allowance optional claiming race on the all-weather track for three-year-olds and upward. I’m betting my two dollars on the 7/2 second-favored Soaring Bird, ridden by Chase Miller.
While the favorite, Greener Pastures, has the best of it as far as overall records go, my choice of Soaring Bird has more to do with what kind of year 2021 has been. And this year, this six-year-old gelding has moneyed every single one of his eight starts, winning two.

In comparison, Greener Pastures finished in the money six of his ten 2021 starts, with three wins.

Waylon Cundiff trains Soaring Bird for owners Louis Hoagland, Gary Flood, and Michael David Portman.

Race seven is a 6-1/2 furlong allowance optional claiming race on the all-weather track for three-year-olds and upward. I gotta back the 8/5 morning-line favorite here: Visitant, ridden by veteran jockey Gerardo Corrales.

This five-year-old finishes teen of his 13 career starts in the money, winning six, including the Alcatraz Stakes (Black Type) at Golden Gate Fields in 2019 and the Kentucky Cup Classic Stakes (Listed) at Turfway Park in March of 2021.

He also finished second in the Alysheba Stakes (Grade II) at Churchill Downs in April. He’s got this.

Twenty-year racing veteran William E. Morey trains Visitant for owner-breeder Williamson Racing LLC.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aqueduct Picks & Betting Analysis for December 18
By J.N. Campbell

AQUEDUCT Picks
18th December 2021

Race 1 : 7-1-4-3
Race 2 : 6-7-2-5
Race 3 : 9-6-1-4
Race 4 : 8-4-1-5
Race 5 : 7-3-6-10
Race 6 : 2-9-3-1
Race 7 : 8-1-3-7
Race 8 : 9-11-6-9
Race 9 : 1-3-7-2
View Today's AQUEDUCT Entries

NYRA's Aqueduct Racetrack is now full swing into the Winter Meet. Though the turf is covered until April, dirt racing is 100% available ... so, this is still one of the tracks that garners mass attention. Today, we have a couple of NY Stallion Series races on the docket ... let's go!

At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the action! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned!

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Saturday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Horse Racing Picks
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Most Likely Winner: (Race 1: Early Voting #7, 5/2):

I do not normally back 1st time starters because you just never know if they really understand that a race is going on … But sometimes you come across a field that you know is going to have a hard time against them. This is one of those few moments … Chad Brown has some strong numbers when it comes to runners like these, and his colt by Gun Runner looks poised to break his maiden the 1st time out. When this conditioner gets together with Jose Ortiz, they can be downright unstoppable. Bet this one to “win” …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #7



Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Bustin Pietre #2, 8/1):

Here is a nice value play for your Saturday that is trainer by Bruce Levine and ridden by Kendrick Carmouche. I like to see these 2 get together because they work in concert quite well. This gelding by Bustin Stones stepped up from an MC50k into a BT 100k last time, and did not disappoint. He went on nicely, and even though he was 8 lengths back in the end, it was still a game effort for 2nd. Stretching out a bit from 6F to 7F should not be an issue, and Carmouche is up for a 3rd time. This 2-yr-old has some major upside, and I think bettors will overlook his fitness level.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 7F, NY Stallion Series S., $500k, 2F):

The “other” NY Stallion Series race on the docket is probably the tougher of the 2 … depending on how you look at it. Morning Matcha #6 will probably get the nod as the race time favorite, especially since she comes in with a pair of nice wins under her saddle. Those contests were a MSW80k and OC40k at Parx, but make no mistake, the Reid Barn has come to play. Kendrick Carmouche was on board for those scores, so the connections were probably thinking that this race was next. I want to use this runner in my wagering, but frankly, I think this daughter of Central Banker is going to get over bet. Instead, I am much more interested in a better priced filly like Christophe Clement’s Shigeko #11. This one by Japan is moving up in class from running in MSW75k Co., and she took on the slop back at Belmont in fine style. Winning by 6+ lengths, she drew off in a big way. Now, with Dylan Davis up, she could be a great double-digit price when this one goes off from a barn that is superhot. Last but not least, I want to consider another entry from Central Banker’s line named Bank On Anna #9. Here is a filly who dueled down the lane at Aqueduct back in early November, finishing 2nd for Phil Serpe. That MSW70k contest was a tough one, as it saw 11 break from the gate. With Jose Lezcano on board, she has the chance to take a step forward even more in this spot. What a race this one is going to be! Let’s play …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Box, 6/9/11

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Picks & Betting Analysis for December 18
By J.N. Campbell


OAKLAWN PARK Picks
18th December 2021

Race 1 : 4-6-2-8
Race 2 : 5-8-11-7
Race 3 : 9-1-4-7
Race 4 : 8-1-7-3
Race 5 : 3-8-4-5
Race 6 : 9-5-4-7
Race 7 : 5-7-6-4
Race 8 : 7-8-2-5
Race 9 : 7-2-1-4
Race 10 : 5-11-10-7
View Today's OAKLAWN PARK Entries

Celebrated Oaklawn Park is like a college town ... a college town of horse racing, that is ... Hot Springs is not only celebrating the Christmas Season, but also some glorious racing. It should be an absolute blast!

At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the action! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned!

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Saturday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Horse Racing Picks
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Most Likely Winner: (Race 6: Flatoutjustice #9, 6/1):

I know it seems odd to back a “Most Likely Winner” that could be in excess of 5/1 on the tote. But I have a strong feeling about this one, and I think Randy Matthews has this gelding by Flat Out pointed in the right direction. He has 48 starts to his credit, and though only 4 of those were wins, I think this spot could be right. Running at Oaklawn is tough, but the folks at Ten Strike Racing invest in some good ones. With Cristian Torres in the saddle, I think this one is a bet. He was double-entered, and Matthews chose to scratch him from the Claiming contest that he was entered in … that speaks to confidence. Let’s play this one to win!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #9



Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 1: Pit Boss #4, 6/1):

There is some major upside to this gelding by Union Rags, and it should not go unnoticed. Even though his speed figs maybe are not exactly where they need to be, the 4-yr-old has a strong late leg kick. If he can get some fairly stiff fractions, then that should help get this one home for Norm Cash. He already has a good Meet going, and I like the talent of Kylee Jordan. She gets the weight relief, and can add another win on her Oaklawn experience.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #4 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)



Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Dirt, 1 1/8th, The Tinsel S., $200k, 3+):

With all the weather rolling through Arkansas, it is tough to know how the track will setup on Saturday. What we do know is that probably the best runner in Robertino Diodoro’s stable, Lone Rock #2 is back at it, after he shipped to Del Mar to run on the BC undercard. He won in fine style in that Grade 2 race, and deserves to be the favorite in this spot. It is a class drop to be sure, and I would expect the 6-yr-old gelding by Majestic Warrior to be well-bet. If Ramon Vasquez gets a decent break, and can rate efficiently, then he probably scores. I am all for playing against this one because I just don’t see much in the way of value. I see this really as a 2-horse race, and would not be surprised to see Brad Cox’s Warrior’s Charge #7 gaming with Diodoro’s ace down the lane. They are both so classy, but I think that Cox’s 5-yr-old is overdue for a score. With Florent Geroux in the irons, he knows this one through and through. What a rubber match this is going to be!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 7 w 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocket Picks ��: Gulfstream, Oaklawn, and Aqueduct for December 18, 2021

The action continues today as we have hit the weekend! For the free pick 4, we will head to Aqueduct once again today, since we continue to have success at that track. There is also great action at Gulfstream Park and Oaklawn as well. Let’s see if we can hit this late pick 4 at Aqueduct!

Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Aqueduct:

Aqueduct December 18, 2021

Race 6: New York Stallion Series Stakes

#1 Unique Unions will look to make it two in a row today after an impressive maiden special weight win in his last start. #6 Geno moves to the dirt for this race after running three solid races over the turf. If he takes to the surface, he as the talent to get the job done against this group.

Race 7: Starter Allowance

#7 No Burn runs second off of the claim for Morey in this spot after a poor effort last time out. The pace should set up better for him today, though. #3 F F Rocket will get back to the dirt for this race after a complete no show on the turf last time out.

Race 8: New York Stallion Series Stakes

#6 Morning Matcha has looked impressive in her last two starts, winning by multiple lengths at Parx. She should be ready for this race today. #3 Laobans Legacy seems to be improving with each start so far. This small stretch out in distance should be to her liking.

Race 9: Allowance

#2 Uncle George has been solid over the turf, but will move to the dirt today, and has a pedigree that suggests that he will like the surface. #3 Raven Rocks will look to make it two in a row in this spot after a nice win against claiming company in his last start.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 6-9) 1,2,3,6,8,10 / 1,3,4,7,9 / 3,6 / 2,3 – $60

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Free Horse Racing Tips Today – Saturday, December 18th, 2021
By Rob Davis

We have studied the form from all races across the country for Saturday, December 18th, and provided our best horse racing tips.

Whilst plenty of us are winding down heading into Christmas, the racing action, much like the weather, continues to heat up around the country.

Summer looks to have finally arrived for the final Saturday before Christmas which means we will get to see some tracks rated in the ‘Good’ range and the field sizes stand up. This means we will be betting with plenty of confidence and hopefully lining our Christmas stockings this week.

We have made five selections in total and are confident that we have found you some winners! So, read on below to find our best horse racing tips for this Saturday, December 18th.
Royal Randwick, Race 1 – 2. Himalaism ($4.20)

They don’t come with a much better 2yo pedigree than this I Am Invincible/Snitzerland Colt. Out of a champion stallion who has sired a 2yo Magic Millions winner, by a dam who ran second to Pierro in a Golden Slipper and won a Group 1 Lightning stakes. We think trainer Chris Waller might have been keeping this one under wraps in its two trials to date.

He wasn’t ridden out late when he loomed like he was going to go straight past them in his debut trial, and then was buried away third the fence and not asked to do much in his latest trial. Both of those hitouts have been over 900m but he looks to have had plenty in store when crossing the line and given the grounding they get in this barn, we are confident the 1200 will pose no issues. Looks a very nice horse who can get the punters off to a flying start.
Flemington, Race 2 – 2. Squid Game ($2.60)

This 3yo Shooting to Win gelding did everything right on debut when he crossed from a wide draw and camped outside the leader, Ridden out hands and heels by Michael Dee to score comfortably and he backs up again for the ride Saturday.

Stays at the 1200m and looks to be suited by the long run home at Flemington. There was solid support for him on debut where he didn’t let punters down and we expect the same from him again here.
Flemington, Race 4 – 7. Rose Quartz ($5.00)

This well bred, lightly raced daughter of Written Tycoon is handled by master conditioner Grahame Begg who has plenty of pedigree of his own when it comes to dealing with horses of the fairer sex. We really liked her will to win in her most recent run over the 1140m at Geelong where she knuckled down strongly and savaged the line late.

The step to 1200m and the vast expanses of Flemington looks an ideal place for her to kick off her foray into metropolitan racing. She was well supported at her latest win and we expect those punters to back up here so grab the good odds whilst they are on offer.

Royal Randwick, Race 5 – 1. Mubariz ($11/$3.10)

Really liked the way he found the line first up, but was given absolutely no peace by Tom Sherry last week when he was niggled the whole way and asked to do plenty of work in the run.

He boxed on steadily enough to hold down fourth there and we really like the idea of him backing up here and getting to 2000m, and hopefully apprentice Sherry is all the better for the experience and I think we take it as a positive that Waller has decided to stick with him.

He’s a European breed whose best performances have been around this middle distance trip and he’s adept on all going. Worth an each way ticket at double figure odds.
Royal Randwick, Race 8 – 2. Purple Sector ($8.00/$2.45)

He’s never won below 1500m, never won first up, he’s drawn the outside gate, and he’s certainly never been one of my horses but we think it is very hard to go past him on his recent trial especially given his quality when lined up against this opposition. Half the field are resuming here and his second trial was the most eye-catching of those lot and at close to double figure odds, we think he represents a solid each way betting choice.

He defies his breeding, being by wet track sire Pins, with all his victories coming on a good track which we are sure to get with temperatures ticking into the 30’s on Saturday at Randwick. Rawiller rode him in the trial but with him unavailable you get the next best thing in Hugh Bowman. We can’t see him not running top three against this lot.

Best Bet – 4. Rose Quartz (Flemington, Race 7)
Next Best – 2. Purple Sector (Randwick, Race 8)
Best Roughie – 1. Mubariz (Randwick, Race 5)

*Odds correct at time of publication, courtesy of Sportsbet.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's Horse Racing Tips: December 18th
Stephen Harris bettingexpert Racing editor

Today’s Racing Tips – December 18th

There are six cracking NH races on ITV on Saturday, with Ascot and Haydock staging two top level meetings with big fields and ultra competitive handicaps likely to dominate the betting markets.

The main race of the day is the 2.25pm Long Walk Hurdle at Ascot, where Nicky Henderson’s Buzz is likely to be a warm order to follow up his impressive course win here last month. At Haydock, the Tommy Whittle handicap chase is sure to be ultra competitive and a thorough test of stamina in the soft ground.
Saturday ITV Racing Tips
Time Track Selection Analysis
13:50 ASCOT GUY Nigel Twiston-Davies chaser has shaped really well in defeat twice already this season, jumping well given his relative inexperience, and has conditions to suit at Ascot on Saturday.
14:05 HAYDOCK UP FOR PAROL Jamie Snowden has a cracking team of young horses to go to battle with this winter, and his unexposed novice can revive after disappointing over fences last time out.
14:25 ASCOT BUZZ Nicky Henderson’s progressive hurdler was really impressive when winning here at the last meeting, and that form got a major boost when the third ho,e Guard Your Dreams won the International Hurdle at Cheltenham.
14:40 HAYDOCK VINTAGE CLOUDS Sue Smith’s runners have hot form in the past few weeks, with most just needing a run or two to reach peak fitness, and this reliable stayer has conditions to suit at Haydock on Saturday (with the 5lb claimer Theo Gillard booked a plus).
15:00 ASCOT CLOTH CAP Jonjo O’Neill’s chaser ran a lot better than the bare result when sixth behind Cloudy Glen at Newbury last time out (blundered at the wrong time), and should now be spot on fitness-wise after two runs this season.
15:35 ASCOT WEST CORK Dan Skelton’s lightly raced performer landed quite a touch when returning from a long absence in November, and can defy a lenient rise up the weights under Harry Skelton.
Today’s Daily Nap

BUZZ

Ascot 2:25pm

Nicky Henderson’s progressive hurdler was really impressive when winning here at the last meeting, and that form got a major boost when the third ho,e Guard Your Dreams won the International Hurdle at Cheltenham.

Odds: 3.00
Today’s Value Angle

CLOTH CAP

Ascot 3:00pm

Jonjo O’Neill’s chaser ran a lot better than the bare result when sixth behind Cloudy Glen at Newbury last time out (blundered at the wrong time), and should now be spot on fitness-wise after two runs this season.

Odds: 9.00

Best odds available as at 11pm December 17th 2021. Odds may now differ

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Best Bets: Gulfstream Stakes Selections, Longshots at Aqueduct, Oaklawn
by Monique Vág

America’s Best Racing and handicapper (and avid gambler) Monique Vág team up to provide horseplayers with their best bets of the weekend.

Vág will identify her top picks as well as at least one longshot play of the weekend, a nice opportunity to swing for the fences on a win bet or to take a shot with a show bet. She also will occasionally look for strong exacta plays for the weekend or try to spot a nice opportunity for other wagers.

This Weekend’s Bets

Saturday, Dec. 18

Longshot Play
Television schedule

Thursday, Dec. 16: post time varies on TVG

Friday, Dec. 17: 2:30 p.m.-6:30 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Saturday, Dec. 18: 12 p.m.-3 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Sunday, Dec. 19: 2:30 p.m.-6 p.m. on FS2; post time varies on TVG

Aqueduct, Race 5, 2:11 p.m. ET

#5 Bench Walk: There are a few in here that may be a bit overbet based on their most recent starts. With 2-year-olds competing within the maiden ranks, I try to avoid judging or overvaluing one performance too harshly. Of course, we can see considerable improvement from one start to the next with adequate changes, or more experience, but sometimes based on workouts, pedigree, and trainer stats, you can find a lot of value to back to a runner in their first start.

His recent workouts have been solid and timing-wise he really looks quick. With a great draw in the center of the gate, I hope to see early speed out of this colt. He’s shown a lot more of it these past few months in the mornings.

Best Bet

Gulfstream Park, Race 9, $150,000 Harlan’s Holiday Stakes, 3:59 p.m. ET

#6 Fearless: He was the beaten favorite in his two most recent outings, but those were versus much tougher. His last outing was his first start in six months, so I would expect him even sharper with a start under his belt. Through four starts at Gulfstream Park, he’s been no worse than second and put forth his career best Brisnet Speed rating of 107 in his second start in Florida.

We’ve seen this colt produce victories off many different types of trips, and meeting a smaller field in here adds even more the appeal in case the break is slow once again. Either way, he’s going to be incredibly tough versus this group and the price should be very short at post. He’ll be a single for me across some of those multi-leg wagers as I search for value in some other races in the sequence.

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Best Bet

Gulfstream Park, Race 10, $200,000 Ft. Lauderdale Stakes, 4:32 p.m. ET

#2 L’Imperator: Although his victories haven’t been flashy and his margin of victory is often pretty close, this gelding has been racing extremely well since making the move overseas and landing in the Chad Brown barn. His best efforts have been off stalking trips and he’s looked strong down the lane when he’s found clear racing room.

The race once again could set up very well for him given the inside draw to work with and speed drawing on both sides of him. He should be positioned well with a good shot to track them down late.

Longshot Play

Oaklawn Park, Race 10, 5:40 p.m. ET

#11 Seven Flat: Speaking about considerable improvements from one start to the next, this colt was much better in his second career race while stretching out in distance and showing a bit more early speed. With an outside draw to navigate from, a quicker start will very likely be imperative to avoid traffic trouble down the lane.

Blinkers will be added which could be an important addition to ensure that early speed and he will also be making his first start racing on Lasix (furosemide). As long as he takes another step forward, he looks to be a major player and should offer a nice price at post.