Saturday 12/18/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358349

    #31
    Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

    Gulfstream Park - Race #8
    Picks Notes
    #7 Bronx Beauty Was up in time at Monmouth last out and was runner-up in this race last year; has tuned up for a big effort here.
    #3 Frank's Rockette Has lost three straight, which is unusual for this talented filly; can be a factor from the beginning.
    #5 Center Aisle Won allowance races in her last two and was graded stakes placed last year; quick, but can come off the pace as well.
    Race Summary Bronx Beauty is 11 of 31, and while winless at GP, still has run some good races over this strip.

    Gulfstream Park - Race #9
    Picks Notes
    #5 South Bend Was up in time going a mile at Churchill last out and is capable of making a strong move here.
    #4 Eye of a Jedi Doesn't run many bad ones over this strip and is capable of being a force on the front end.
    #6 Fearless Was second in a handicap here last time and has won three of four over this track; won the G2 Gulfstream Mile on February.
    Race Summary South Bend has a good closing move and will get a sharp pace in front of him.

    Gulfstream Park - Race #10
    Picks Notes
    #12 Space Traveller His last four races were in Grade or Group 1 races and he has a eye-catching late move on occasion; well spotted here.
    #8 Analyze It Comes off a win at Belmont and has been troublesome with the early lead.
    #2 L'Imperator Closed well for an allowance win at Aqueduct and can be tough if he runs back to that one.
    Race Summary Space Traveller has a big class edge and has defeated better company; well spotted and the one to hold off.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358349

      #32
      Free Winners for Saturday, December 18th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
      FREE HORSE PICKS
      CHARLES TOWN
      RACE #8
      TIME: 10:32 PM EST
      PICK: BET #5 Mr Hoover 9/2 odds to win @ Bovada
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358349

        #33
        Laurel Park picks and ponderings December 18, 2021

        by John Piassek | Dec 18, 2021 | Breaking, Handicapping

        Post time: 12:25 p.m.

        Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — $5,555.96 Super High 5 — $763.96 Late Pick 5 — $0
        ANALYSIS

        RACE 1: MAIDEN CLAIMING $25,000, 2-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, 1 MILE

        7-3-4-8
        9 races on today’s card, including two stakes races. #7 Middle Island (9/5) drops for a tag for the first time for the dangerous duo of Brittany Russell and Jevian Toledo. She’s closed well in both her starts after falling well off the pace. Stretches out to a mile for the first time. #3 Cuenca (7/2) stretched out to 1 1/16 miles last out, and improved 22 points from her debut. She showed a lot more early speed in that race, and will try to keep it going here. #4 Party Monster (12/1) ran a 60 in her first start while making mild ground, and can build on that race at a price.

        RACE 2: ALLOWANCE (N/W1X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, MD-BRED, 1 MILE

        1-4-5-3

        Russell and Toledo are back for more here, as #1 Miss Chesapeake (5/2) makes her third career start in this spot. She broke her maiden going away on debut on October 22, then stepped in a bit over her head in the Politely Stakes and was well-beaten. Should find these a bit easier to deal with, although it will be her first start beyond six furlongs. #4 Congress Hall (10/1) has run consistently solid figures in the 70s, and steps up from conditioned claimers. She’s been knocking on the door at this level, although she hasn’t quite been able to break through. She has no early speed, but should rally for an exotics spot. #5 Misty’s Banshee (7/2) drew off to break her maiden impressively in her last start at a mile, but struggled when stretching out around two turns last out. She should appreciate the cutback in distance.

        RACE 3: MAIDEN CLAIMING $40,000, 2-YEAR-OLDS, 6 FURLONGS

        2-8-6-9

        #2 Scintillio (7/2) closed well in the last eighth to just miss third on debut. He has a recent bullet workout under the belt. #8 Lantau (6/1) drops back in for a tag and has the most early speed of anyone in the race. His stamina is still in question, but he should be able to hold on for an underneath spot, at least. #6 Addy’s Laddy TNT (5/2) chased the speed in both of his starts, including a third-place performance in the Timonium Juvenile last out. He’s had a consistent worktab since then, but might need a race first off the bench.

        ANALYSIS

        RACE 4: STARTER ALLOWANCE $5,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/16 MILES

        2-6-7-1

        #2 Iywaan (6/5) has won six times this year from twelve starts, thanks to some good tactical speed. He fell too far behind a slow pace last out, and wasn’t able to get the job done. Should race better with a more honest pace. #6 Hashtag Winning (2/1) won at this level last out, running an 88 after pressing the pace and drawing off. He was much more forwardly placed in that race than he was in his previous races. #7 Crush It (8/1) chased a loose leader and last out and closed for third, behind the solid allowance-quality runner My Friends Beer and next-out winner Goodluckchuck. He made a move for the front and drew in close before flattening out, as My Friends Beer rolled by him and he was unable to get past Goodluckchuck.

        RACE 5 – MAIDEN CLAIMING $40,000, 2-YEAR-OLDS, 6 FURLONGS

        4-2-3-5
        #4 Blo My Budget (5/1) was well-backed on debut, and made decent ground late despite falling well behind at the start. He went off at 9/2 despite being one of only two first-time starters in the race. #2 Senator Kelly (6/1) races first out for Lacey Gaudet and has some sharp four-furlong workouts in his recent lines. If he shows any ability first time out, he can finish underneath. #3 Trash Talkin Larry (7/2) has improved in each of his four starts, peaking at a 67 last out with a solid fourth-place rally at 1 1/16 miles. Cutting back in distance should help.

        RACE 6: ALLOWANCE (N/W1X), 3-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 6 FURLONGS

        9-2-10-5

        #9 Fraudulent Charge (7/5) made a big move to the lead in the Safely Kept Stakes only to get caught in the last few strides. She was second behind Princess Kokachin, a budding sprinting star, two races back. Shouldn’t have much trouble with these, although you won’t get rich betting her. #2 American Bastet (6/1) dueled all the way around with Pretty Lori last out, and that rival ultimately drew away by four lengths. Still, it was a big effort from American Bastet, who was making her first appearance against winners. Here, she looms as one of the main speed threats. She may get some pressure on the outside from #10 Hope Has a Name (7/2), who set the pace and drew off last out, with a career-best mark of 90. She narrowly missed her previous top two races back, with a figure of 85 earned in a game front-running victory.

        ANALYSIS

        RACE 7: MARYLAND JUVENILE FILLIES CHAMPIONSHIP, 2-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, MD-BRED/SIRED, 7 FURLONGS

        7-3-4-2

        The bettors will flock towards #3 Jester Calls Nojoy (4/5), shipping in for Todd Pletcher. She broke her maiden impressively at Saratoga, but has struggled against open stakes company in her last two starts. While she’s a major contender, she’ll probably be overbet because of her gaudy class lines. As such, I’ll lean towards #7 Dazzy (7/2). She ran off the screen in her debut at Belmont Park, crushing the field by twelve lengths with an impressive mark of 87. That’s not far off from Jester Calls Nojoy’s peak of 90. If she runs back to that race, she could surprise the big favorite. #4 Luna Belle (7/2) got caught in traffic in the Maryland Million Lassie, then was a fast-closing second in the Smart Halo Stakes last out. Will try to put it all together here.

        RACE 8: MARYLAND JUVENILE CHAMPIONSHIP, 2-YEAR-OLDS, MD-BRED/SIRED, 7 FURLONGS
        10-1-12-4
        A field of thirteen has entered this race. Unlike the Juvenile Fillies Championship, where the wagering figures to be dominated by one or two horses, this a wide-open affair that could be won by many different runners. #10 Coastal Mission (6/1) made good ground while wide in the Maryland Million Nursery, despite racing on a track that was not kind to horses racing on the outside. He closed for second, following an impressive maiden win at Charles Town where he ran off the screen. His recent workouts there have been strong. I’m hoping he slides through the cracks in the betting. Street Lute’s younger half-brother, #1 Alottahope (8/1) broke his maiden in very professional style on debut, drawing off to a 2 1/4-length win with a strong figure of 84. Considering his pedigree and the Robb/Perez connections, I’d be surprised if he went off higher than his morning line. #12 Joe (5/1) also raced professionally in his dirt debut, winning by 3 1/2 lengths going a mile last out for Mike Trombetta. He’ll be forwardly placed again but runs the risk of a wide trip.

        RACE 9: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 3, 4, AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, 6 FURLONGS

        3-2-7-6
        #3 Albertano (5/1) ran a career-best mark of 65 when he was a strong-closing second last out. Has some of the best late pace figures in a race where most of them flatten out late. #2 Hands Down (9/2) drops from the $40,000 level and checked out of traffic last out after showing speed. Might have to improve a few points to win this one but can certainly do so third time out. #7 Chauffeur (3/1) has an 0-for-16 lifetime mark, but most of those races came against better horses than he’ll see here.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358349

          #34
          5thstreetpicks NHL DALLAS STARS ‑180 2 1 +45
          FURBOOKIE No pick yet 1 1 -10
          Hottie4Sports NHL DETROIT RED WINGS ‑1.5 +155 1 1 -60
          Pure Lock NCAA Basketball MEMPHIS TIGERS +5.5 1 2 -120
          Rocketman Sports NCAA Basketball OREGON DUCKS +7 0 2 -265
          R and R Totals NCAA Basketball PORTLAND STATE VIKINGS/CALIFORNIA STATE‑NORTHRIDGE MATADORS u128 0 3 -330
          Tys Terrific Tips NCAA Football JACKSON STATE TIGERS ‑10 0 3 -330
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358349

            #35
            1. Primetime Sports Picks CFB UTEP over 52.5 3-2 (+80) 3-1 (+190)
            2. Top Rank Sports Picks CBB Wichita St. -3.5 3-2 (+80) 4-2 (+180)
            3. National Sports Service CFB Louisiana under 55.5 1-3 (-230) 3-2 (+80)
            4. The Sports Consensus 3-0 (+300) 4-3 (+70)
            5. Profit On Sports CFB Marshall +4 2-3 (-130) 2-3-1 (-130)
            6. Insider Sports Report CFB Oregon St. -7 3-2 (+80) 3-4 (-140)
            7. Doc's Picks NFL New England +2.5 3-2 (+80) 3-4 (-140)
            8. Elite Sports Picks NBA Utah under 223 3-2 (+80) 2-5 (-350)
            9. The Spot Player CBB Southern Miss +6.5 2-1 (+90) 0-2 (-220) *
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358349

              #36
              Rk Sports Services Free Sports Picks Place A Bet
              1. NSA(The Legend) NBA – Pistons pk Line @ Bovada
              2. Gameday Network NBA – Raptors over 203 Line @ Bovada
              3. Sports Action 365 NBA – Bucks +3 Line @ BetAnySports
              4. Vegas Line Crushers CBB – TCU -2 Line @ GT Bets
              5. VegasSI.com CBB – Texas Tech +10 Line @ Bovada
              6. PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY) CBB – Temple over 133 Line @ BetAnySports
              7. Winning Big Sports CBB – Notre Dame +4.5 Line @ MyBookie
              8. NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino) CBB – Bradley -4.5 Line @ Bovada
              9. Lou Panelli CBB – Georgia Tech +8.5 Line @ BetAnySports
              10. VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club CBB – Samford -5.5 Line @ GT Bets
              11. William E. Stockton NBA – Wizards +9.5 Line @ MyBookie
              12. Vincent Pioli NBA – Celtics -4.5 Line @ Bovada
              13. Steve “Scoop” Kendall NBA – Thunder +6 Line @ Bovada
              14. SCORE CBB – Wofford -6.5 Line @ GT Bets
              15. Tony Campone CBB – La Salle -2.5 Line @ BetAnySports
              16. Chicago Sports Group CBB – East Tenn St -3.5 Line @ Bovada
              17. Hollywood Sportsline CBB – Alabama A&M over 137 Line @ Bovada
              18. VIP Action CBB – Elon over 150 Line @ GT Bets
              19. South Beach Sports CBB – Portland St over 128.5 Line @ Bovada
              20. Las Vegas Sports Commission CBB – Murray St -4.5 Line @ Bovada
              21. NY Players Club NBA – Raptors -9.5 Line @ BetAnySports
              22. Fred Callahan NBA – Pistons pk Line @ Bovada
              23. Las Vegas Private CEO Club NBA – Bucks +3 Line @ MyBookie
              24. Michigan Sports NBA – Nets -5.5 Line @ GT Bets
              25. National Consensus Report NBA – Clippers over 211 Line @ Bovada
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358349

                #37
                Black Widow

                Dec 18 '21, 5:00 PM in 44m
                NCAA-B | West Virginia vs UAB
                Play on: UNDER 135 -110

                1* Free Wiseguy Play on West Virginia/UAB under 135 -110
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358349

                  #38
                  Brandon Lee

                  Dec 18 '21, 5:30 PM in 1h
                  NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Kentucky
                  Play on: Kentucky -2½ -110 at SC Consensus

                  FREE PICK: Kentucky Wildcats -2.5
                  RATING: 30*
                  ROT#: 716
                  I'm going to lay the 2.5-points with Kentucky, as they take on North Carolina in Las Vegas tonight. I think we are getting value with the Wildcats because of the fact that they come in off that ugly 62-66 loss at Notre Dame.
                  It was just a bad spot. Kentucky had played 7 straight cupcakes leading up to that game, it was their first true road game and they had probably the worst 3-point shooting night they will have this season going 2 of 19 from deep.
                  The focus will be back for this one and I'm just not so sure this North Carolina team is as good as what people think. The Tar Heels are 8-2 with their only two losses being to Purdue and Tennessee. Their big win is a 72-51 blowout of Michigan at home. A win that looks less impressive to me when I watch the Wolverines lose at home to the likes of Minnesota.
                  UNC had a tough time dealing with the interior defense of the Vols and that's something Calipari's team are always good at. Protecting the paint with all that size and athleticism. Tar Heels might keep it close for a while, but I expect Kentucky to pull away in this one. GIve me the Wildcats -2.5!
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358349

                    #39
                    Frank Sawyer

                    Dec 18 '21, 5:45 PM in 1h
                    NCAA-F | Eastern Michigan vs Liberty
                    Play on: Eastern Michigan +10 -120 at BetVegas

                    FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SATURDAY, 12/18:

                    My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Saturday afternoon was with the Eastern Michigan Eagles plus the points versus the Liberty Flames. Eastern Michigan (7-5) looks to rebound from a 31-10 upset loss at Central Michigan as a 7.5-point underdog won November 26th. The Eagles have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 27 road games after a loss on the road by at least three touchdowns. Eastern Michigan has also covered the point spread as an underdog getting 3.5 to 10 points. Liberty (7-5) has lost three in a row after a 31-16 upset loss against Army as a 3-point favorite. The Flames have failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their previous 4 losses this season. Liberty has also failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games when laying 3.5 to 10 points. Take Eastern Michigan plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358349

                      #40
                      Will Rogers

                      Dec 18 '21, 7:08 PM in 2h
                      NHL | Senators vs Flyers
                      Play on: Senators +110 at linepros

                      The Senators have knocked off some unlikely teams lately, while the the Flyers have been picking on the small fry. Off a close loss to the Hurricanes, this will be a test to see if the Sens' new found prowess is for real. The home advantage doesn't seem to apply here. Neither team has been more successful one way or the other. Both goaltenders have impressed of late. Could be close, but I like Ottawa's chances here. Take the underdog Senators to win.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358349

                        #41
                        Jesse Schule

                        Dec 18 '21, 7:10 PM in 2h
                        NBA | Knicks vs Celtics
                        Play on: UNDER 210½ -110

                        This is a free play on Under.

                        The Celtics host the Knicks in the second game of a back to back at home. The Knicks are coming off a win on the road at Houston, but they had lost four straight previously. New York ranks 23rd in the league averaging just over 105 points per game. The under is 11-5 in the Knicks last 16 games as an underdog, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 at Boston. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 when coming off a loss.

                        GL,

                        Jesse Schule
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358349

                          #42
                          Dustin Hawkins

                          Dec 18 '21, 8:00 PM in 3h
                          NCAA-B | Texas A&M vs Oregon State
                          Play on: Oregon State +3 -110 at SC Consensus

                          1 Dimer on Oregon State +3 -110
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358349

                            #43
                            Dennis Macklin

                            Dec 18 '21, 8:00 PM in 3h
                            Fighting | Raphael Assuncao vs Ricky Simon
                            Play on: Raphael Assuncao +240 at William Hill

                            DMack's Free Play for Saturday, December 18, 2021 winner is Raphael Assuncao at UFC Vegas 45
                            Ricky Simon is an overwhelming favorite here and not exactly sure why. He's fought three times (all spent shells) in two years, once in a year and was beaten back-to-back by Faber and Font in the two prior. Assuncao is 39, a UFC original OG, and on a three-fight losing streak and basically fighting for his UFC light. His three losses were to Garbrandt, Sandhagen, and Marlon Moraes ..... all three fighters ranked TOP 6 at bantamweight when the fights took place. Assuncao has been fighting in the organization since 2011, fought EVERYONE over that time and has wins over the likes of Dillashaw, Munhoz, Moreas and even beat Jorge Masvidal back in 2005. This guy is BIG quality and +250. Take it.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358349

                              #44
                              Mike Williams

                              Dec 18 '21, 8:20 PM in 4h
                              NFL | Patriots vs Colts
                              Play on: Patriots +2½ -103 at pinnacle

                              1* on Patriots +2½ -103
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358349

                                #45
                                Info Plays

                                Dec 18 '21, 8:20 PM in 4h
                                NFL | Patriots vs Colts
                                Play on: UNDER 46 -110

                                1* FREE INFO PLAY on Patriots vs Colts under 46 -110
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