Monday 12/27/21 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:10 AM

Fair Grounds (1st) Harmon Killer Brew, 5-1
(7th) Big Lake, 6-1

Hawthorne (2nd) Karayel, 6-1
(3rd) Colonel Klink, 4-1

Laurel Park (7th) Summer Music, 5-1
(8th) Powerfully Built, 7-2

Mahoning Valley (4th) Tramore Bay, 4-1
(6th) Gooseisontheloose, 4-1

Parx Racing (3rd) Cobble Hill, 5-1
(4th) Cant Stop This Man, 9-2

Santa Anita (8th) Charge Cash, 4-1
(9th) Hemmerle, 5-1

Turf Paradise (4th) Linchpin Storm, 20-1
(5th) Kiki My Star, 12-1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:10 AM

Free Winners for Monday, December 27th 2021 from THE LEGEND!
FREE HORSE PICKS
LAUREL PARK
RACE #8
TIME: 3:50 PM EST
PICK: BET #4 Powerfully Built 7/2 odds to win @ Bovada

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:11 AM

Today’s Free Horse Picks – Monday, December 27th 2021
By Reggie Garrett

We have 5 tracks on Monday, December 27th, 2021. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Turf Paradise, Parx and more. Good luck and enjoy!

BET LIVE RACING 7 NIGHTS A WEEK!

Fair Grounds – 1:05 CT
Race 1: 6 Harmon Killer Brew
Race 2: 5 Maw Maw’s Sophia
Race 3: 11 Baronne
Race 4: 1 Gulfstream Way
Race 5: 6 Paris Kentucky
Race 6: 3 Girl With a Dream
Race 7: 7 Point Me By
Race 8: 2 Cheetara
Race 9: 3 Barista
Race 10: 4 Underhill’s Tab

BET LIVE RACING 7 NIGHTS A WEEK!

Mahoning Valley – 12:45 ET
Race 1: 3 Tico Thunder
Race 2: 5 Fred’s Country Boy
Race 3: 10 Stunt Man
Race 4: 2 Tramore Bay
Race 5: 8 Star Hawk
Race 6: 7 Gooseisontheloose
Race 7: 3 I’mma Natural
Race 8: 8 Bret’s At Caddies

BET LIVE RACING 7 NIGHTS A WEEK!

Parx – 12:10 ET
Race 1: 3 Wow Factor
Race 2: 9 Superhighway
Race 3: 10 Dig Charlie Dig
Race 4: 4 Cant Stop This Man
Race 5: 2 Super Dude
Race 6: 1 Dilly Dilly Philly
Race 7: 6 Miss Dillingham
Race 8: 7 Flat Out Flashy
Race 9: 10 Brazen
Race 10: 11 Charlie the Greek

BET LIVE RACING 7 NIGHTS A WEEK!

Santa Anita Park – 12:00 PT
Race 1: 10 Jerusalema
Race 2: 4 Zahra
Race 3: 2 Li Mu Bai
Race 4: 4 Im Still Thirsty
Race 5: 4 Gregory’s Pride
Race 6: 1 Holden the Lute
Race 7: 3 Fly to Mars
Race 8: 2 Ronamo
Race 9: 12 Duvet Day

BET LIVE RACING 7 NIGHTS A WEEK!

Turf Paradise – 12:40 MT
Race 1: 8 Gone Somewhere
Race 2: 5 Fortheloveoflydia
Race 3: 3 Extremely Wicked
Race 4: 7 Nevadan
Race 5: 6 Critical Condition
Race 6: 7 Scat Attack
Race 7: 1 Royal Seeker
Race 8: 1 Dillon Rocks

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:11 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Fair Grounds and Santa Anita for December 27, 2021

The action rolls on with a special Monday of the Rockets! For the free pick 4, we will head to Fair Grounds today, which has several stakes races. We will also be covering Santa Anita Park as today for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Happy Holidays everyone!

Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Fair Grounds:

Fair Grounds December 27, 2021

Race 7: Woodchopper Stakes

#2 Who Took the Money was very strong over this track last time out, winning a stakes race with ease. #4 Temper Tantrum will have to move up in class for this race, but has shown plenty of early speed and ability on the turf.

Race 8: Joseph E. Spanky Broussard Memorial Stakes
freestar

#2 Cheetara will look to make it two in a row today after a nice win at Keeneland last time out. She looks like she could be loose on the lead in this spot today. #5 Velvet Crush can win here at a price, but must rebound from a poor effort last time out.

Race 9: Pago Hop Stakes

#4 Amiche picked up a nice win over this track last time out, and should be dangerous today, for a trainer who does a great job with turf horses. #6 Out of Sorts will take a bit of a class drop for this race after facing much tougher horses lately.

Race 10: Sugar Bowl Stakes

#9 Higher Standard won impressively on debut, before running second in stakes race at Oaklawn Park last time out, which was a solid effort. #2 Kaelys Brother will try to make it three straight victories after two nice performances in a row.

THE TICKET
freestar

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 7-10) 2,4,6,7,8 / 2,5,8 / 3,4,6 / 2,9 – $45

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:11 AM

Horse racing tips for Monday, December 27, 2021

The Quinté + of Monday December 27 is scheduled at the Deauville racecourse in the flat discipline. Find below our predictions for this race as well as our bet of the day and our bet of madness in two other races on the menu of the day.
THE PRONOS OF THE QUINTE OF DECEMBER 27
Dimitri Blanleuil

4 Royaumont (FAVORI)

He has been beating around the bush for several trials. It may be the big day for him.

7 Come Say Hi (OUTSIDER)

He is consistent and can surprise the favorites in this big handicap.
Lionel charbonnier

1 My Friend the Scotsman

Lionel Charbonnier advises you to trust 1 Mon Ami l’Ecossais, who has just finished third in the reference race.
BET OF THE DAY
Réunion 3 (Argentan) – Course 2 : 8 Hands Up

She starts in the lead with a good start. Unknown limits, let’s go!
THE MADNESS BET
Meeting 3 (Argentan) – Race 5: 8 Haddock d’Ecouves

He does not have a large margin but he starts at the first level with some ambitions.

Dimitri Blanleuil Journalist RMC Sport

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:12 AM

Robin Goodfellow's Racing Tips: Best bets for Monday, December 27

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

Venetia Williams is as synonymous with handicap chases as turkey at Christmas and the Herefordshire handler can deliver a cracker for fans of HOLD THAT TAUGHT (Chepstow, nb, 2.50) in the Coral Welsh National.

The trainer has already stolen the headlines in one of the season’s marquee staying events, when Cloudy Glen sprung a 33-1 shock in the Ladbrokes Trophy last month, and Hold That Taught could follow in his stablemate’s footsteps this afternoon.

Connections earmarked the Chepstow marathon for their progressive six-year-old following his smooth comeback win at Carlisle in October.

He was carried out on his shield that day and there was no disgrace in the defeat given his conqueror was a strong fancy for today’s feature until a late setback denied Harry Fry’s gelding the chance to add to an exemplary track record. Connections report that Hold That Taught is a stronger, more complete horse this season as the patience afforded him since his November 2019 debut for the stable is beginning to reap dividends.

A 6lb rise for that win on seasonal debut could not be described as generous, but Williams (below) has a knack of getting sizeable improvement from slow-developing staying chasers and there looks plenty more to come from the son of Kayf Tara now he steps up further in trip.

Two six-year-olds have won the Welsh National in the last five years and the admirable Native River and Elegant Escape both line up once more.

They are joined by last year’s hero Secret Reprieve who didn’t need the crowds to inspire him 12 months ago and there will be no paying spectators again today. The Big Dog, meanwhile, has been campaigned purely with this race in mind and has attracted plenty of support.

However, Williams is happy for Hold That Taught to run from 6lb out of the weights with rider Charlie Deutsch probably forsaking the Christmas pudding to ride at his minimum — and that looks a tip worth heeding.

CHEPSTOW

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.30 Chavez

1.05 When You’re Ready

1.40 Forever Blessed

2.10 Kateson

2.50 Hold That Taught (nb)

3.25 Brinkley

3.55 Seventeen O Four

GIMCRACK

12.30 Chavez

1.05 Pink Legend

1.40 Porticello

2.10 Kateson (nb)

2.50 Ramses De Teillee

3.25 Getaround

3.55 Mister Marbles

KEMPTON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

12.45 Iceo

1.20 Edwardstone

1.55 Coded Message

2.30 Greaneteen

3.10 Cap Du Nord

3.40 Captain Morgs

GIMCRACK

12.45 Kolisi

1.20 Edwardstone (nap)

1.55 Tequila Blaze

2.30 Shishkin

3.10 Real Steel

3.40 Captain Morgs

WOLVERHAMPTON

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

4.10 Barrington

4.40 North Lincoln

5.10 Justjamie

5.40 Crimson King

6.10 Poptronic

6.40 Umm Hurair

7.10 Daheer

7.40 Porfin (nap)

GIMCRACK

4.10 Daring Guest

4.40 Al Ameen

5.10 Justjamie

5.40 Beat The Breeze

6.10 Social Contact

6.40 Umm Hurair

7.10 Mighty Power

7.40 Toplight

NEWMARKET – 5.40 Beat The Breeze (nb); 6.10 Social Contact (nap).

WETHERBY

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

11.50 Golden Robin

12.25 Harbour Lake

1.00 Pay The Piper

1.35 Thunder Ahead

2.15 Fransham

2.45 Atomic Angel

3.20 Phantom Getaway

GIMCRACK

11.50 Golden Robin

12.25 Come Dancing

1.00 Pay The Piper

1.35 Monsieur Pom Pom

2.15 Cheddleton

2.45 Thundersockssundae

3.20 Basford

NORTHERNER – 1.00 Pay The Piper (nap); 1.35 Piecederesistance (nb).

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:12 AM

DAILY RACING TIPS – STONY CREEK – 27TH DECEMBER

Home - Expert Tips - Warren Huntly - DAILY RACING TIPS – STONY CREEK – 27TH DECEMBER

Warren Huntly

RSN Expert Form Analyst Warren Huntly has the best Daily Racing Tips for the Victorian meeting at Stony Creek on Monday 27rd of December for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.
Warren Huntly Stony Creek Tips

Rail Position: True Entire Circuit
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Good 4
Weather: Fine
Penetrometer: 5.18

Stony Creek, 27th December 2021

Race 1 Selections: 6,7,2,5
Race 2 Selections: 4,12,11,6
Race 3 Selections: 12,10,7,11
Race 4 Selections: 6,1,4,5
Race 5 Selections: 11,6,3,1
Race 6 Selections: 1,2,6,4
Race 7 Selections: 2,6,1,4
Race 8 Selections: 6,4,8,3
Best Bet

Race 4 – 6. Sharwin
Best Value

Race 6 – 1. Royal Volley
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 3,6,11
Quaddie 2: 1,2,6
Quaddie 3: 1,2,6
Quaddie 4: 3,4,6,8
Play of the Day

Early Quaddie:

6,7 / 4,12 / 7,10,11,12 / 6

Good Luck!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:12 AM

Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis-$15,000 Guaranteed Pool

December 27, 2021 | By Al Cimaglia

Pompano Park has a compact 8-race card scheduled and the night starts with a Pick 5 carryover. Due to a $11,116 carryover, there will be a $60,000 guaranteed pool for the sequence that begins in Race 1. My focus will be on the 0.50 Pick 4 which starts in Race 5 and has a $15,000 guaranteed pool.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

2-Noahs Mill (7/2)-First start for the Di Cicco after a claim and Miller will do the steering. Appears to have the best chance of landing in the pocket behind the program chalk and rolling by down the lane.
5-Hot Art (7/5)-This Plano trainee is looking for its 5th straight win, and this 12-year-old will be following the usual plan of getting on the engine. Eventually the streak will end but facing a short field not loaded with gate speed doesn't hurt chances for another picture.

Race 6

2-Steel Schooner (5/2)-Broke in last but was in too deep with Open company and fits well here. Back in at the level of 2 recent pictures and should be a main player if minds manners.
4-Lexus Markus (9/5)-Drew off by 9 lengths for trainer Devan Miller in the 2nd local start in the condition below this one. This is the top money winner in 2021 in this field and shouldn't blush at the competition. Miller returns for his 2nd tour of duty, and this odds-on winner should be put in play early on.
7-Cartier Zette (6-1)-Will take a swing there will be lively fractions and this 7-year-old will catch the chalks down the lane. Should be a price and has the gate speed to get a good seat.

Race 7

5-Lets Roll (5/2)-This will be the 4th local start and the 1st time for Miller to steer. Comes off 3 even efforts against better and now drops to a spot to shine.
6-Island Beach Boy (7/2)-Comes off a tough trip versus this kind. The 3-year-old showed big speed in both wins here but must deal with older foes now. Hennessey takes the lines, and this was his choice over #4. Looks like a player with the right trip.
7-Brilliant Strike N (3-1)-This 10-year-old has won 10 of 33 starts and did some good work at HoP. Was claimed for $15k here twice and is back in at the level of recent success.

Race 8

1-Crooked Creek (4-1)-There are reasons to avoid this 4-year-old. Has had breaking issues and doesn't leave in a hurry but my play will be to fade the morning line chalk #6. Could be overlooked at the windows and has a shot if keeps trotting.
2-Starlit Thiswanday (6-1)-Beaten favorite had a rough trip and finished a disappointing 5th at this level. Willing to excuse because with this post draw the race could set-up differently. Shetler can get the point or land in the pocket and the price should be much better than last week.
5-Broadway Bruiser (7-1)-Will toss last from the 8-hole and was competitive at this level back on 12-1. Seems to do best racing near the top of the stack and Boyd should be able to work that trip from this post at a solid price.

0.50 Pick 4

2,5/2,4,7/5,6,7/1,2,5
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:13 AM

Jeff Siegel's Analysis/Workout Commentary - 12/27/21

December 27, 2021

Santa Anita Workout Report, Analysis, Wagering Strategies, & Odds Probability Index
By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TPC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 individual
algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100 point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races. It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 12:00 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 2-Eleuthera; 11-Uncorked; 7-Sterling Crest; 9-I Got a Gal; 10-Jerusalmea

Forecast: This race has been handicapped under the assumption that it will remain on grass. Check our twitter feed (@jsiegelracing) for an updated analysis if it is transferred to the main track). We’re looking for a bit of a price in the Monday opener and Eleuthera fits the bill just fine. She was given an easy run in her debut at Del Mar when finishing strongly but too late to be second in a better-than-par racing over a mile on grass, but then was shortened up, switched to dirt, and raised into a stakes race against the colts (huh?) and predictably got nothing but hot and dirty. The daughter of Square Eddie continues to impress in the morning (see below) and under these much more favorable conditions the B. Cecil-trained juvenile should show her best stuff. Drawn comfortably inside and retaining stable rider M. Gutierrez, this promising juvenile looks more than capable of producing the last run and will offer excellent wagering value at or near her morning line of 6-1.

Uncorked is poorly drawn outside but was considered good enough to be even money in the Golden Gate Debutante S. in. her debut last month and ran well to be second in that all weather sprint up north. Blinkers are removed for a barn that has good stats with the second-time starter angle and Bay Area based jockey E. Roman flies down to ride her in a sign of confidence. The daughter of Uncle Mo clearly has every right to improve and is a major player, her outside post notwithstanding.

Sterling Crest has numbers that have stagnated, but she’s hit the board in two of three career starts and probably can be expected to get a piece of it again. She, along with the intriguing I Got a Gal (two-sprints-and-a-stretch-out and the likely controlling speed) and Euro invader Jerusalema (winning connections, blinkers, and F. Prat) may be worth including somewhere on your ticket in rolling exotic play and the vertical exotics if your budget allows.

Notable Workouts:

Exit Soul (December 19, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.3hg). Grade: C
View Workout Video
Second best in gate work inside Lovely Lola (4f, :49hg) while being ridden most of the way, splits of :25.1, :36.4 and :49.3, about three lengths back when eased up after a half for M. McCarthy. Not a win early type for sure, at least sprinting on dirt.

Eleuthera (December 8, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.1h). Grade: B
View Workout Video
Broke off behind unnamed (Octogarian, worked under dam’s name) and rolled on by in the final stages without being asked, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :36.3, quite nice for Cecil. Was given a race in her debut on turf (took hold late to finish second) and then was out of her element when sprinting on dirt in state-bred stakes competition, so we really haven’t seen her at anywhere near her best just yet. Nice filly, has plenty of room to improve, clearly wants to run long on the lawn.

Micro Share (December 18, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:14.3h). Grade: B
View Workout Video
Broke off slightly in front of Vegas Palm (5f, 1:01.4h) and was always going the better of the two while mostly in hand, splits of :24 flat, :49.2 and 1:01.4 for the final furlongs while traveling quite well to the seven furlong pole with something left. Ran better than the line will show in her debut and seems certain to improve with distance and experience. (Note: entered in this race for main track only).

Sterling Crest (December 18, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:03h TT). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
In company with Glenali (same time) for M. McCarthy and looked good despite modest final time in training track drill, slow early (:26 flat for opening quarter) but nice in the final stages without being asked (galloped out far in front full of run). Shown a bit of ability in three starts and may have some improvement in here.

I Got a Gal (December 6, Santa Anita, :49.2h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
In blinkers, never asked while strictly on her own in solo half mile breeze, final three furlongs in :36.4. Hasn’t run to her fancy workouts quite yet; might be dangerous on the stretch-out with a loose-on-the-lead trip.

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RACE 2: Post: 12:34 PT Grade: X
Single: 5-Starship Sky

Forecast: This restricted (nw-2) $16,000 claiming miler for fillies and mares drew just five starters and doesn’t offer any real gamble. Starship Sky (TOC=3/5; ML=7/5) projects as a very short price despite her 1-for-20 career record. The good news is that her win came over this track and distance last May, her recent numbers are consistently better than par for this level, and her runner-up effort vs. similar last month at Del Mar should be more than good enough to win. In a race that probably should be left alone, you can make her a no-value rolling exotic single or better yet simply pass the race.

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RACE 3: Post: 1:05 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 4-Appreciated; 5-Memo Daddy; 7-Prince Abama; 2-Li Mui Bai

Forecast: This race has been handicapped under the assumption that it will remain on grass. Check our twitter feed (@jsiegelracing) for an updated analysis if it is transferred to the main track). There are a number of legitimate possibilities in this grass bag for entry-level allowance runners, so best advice spread deep in rolling exotic play. In a race that projects to have modest early fractions, Appreciated (TOC=5/2; ML=3-1) gets a chance to make amends for failing to land a blow as the favorite in a similar affair at Del Mar last month. Victimized by a poor outside draw and extremely wide trip, the D. O’Neill-trained gelding was never really asked when the cause became hopeless by the time the field hit the far turn, so let’s excuse the non-effort and draw a line through the lane. With a much better post today and with A. Cedillo riding him back, the son of Acclamation should inherit a comfortable pace-stalking/pressing trip and have every chance to produce his best effort. He’s a three-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course and two nice recent training track drills to have him sharp and ready.

Memo Daddy (TOC=3-1; ML=9/2) has been trouble-prone since arriving from Chile but is a strong fit on numbers and is overdue for a win. Fourth in a fast, highly-rated race won by subsequent graded stakes winner Subconscious in early October, the M. McCarthy-trained horse switches to Johnny V. and if allowed to show his natural tactical speed could find himself in an ideal pace-prompting position. He’s a grinding type without a huge late kick, so he’ll need to be within range throughout to have his best chance.

Prince Abama (TOC=7/2; ML=7/2) is a developing 3-year-old with improved recent workouts for trainer P. D’Amato, so we’re expecting a forward move by the lightly-raced gelding. He’s another without a huge turn of foot, so if he can secure a good stalking position, the son of Tamayuz projects to be in the thick of it following his respectable maiden win at Del Mar last month.

Li Mu Bai (TOC=8-1; ML=6-1), was a fair sixth with a bit of traffic trouble vs. similar in his U.S. debut but with the switch to F. Prat and with form in Ireland that was fairly decent the R. Baltas-trained sophomore probably should be included on your ticket as well.

Notable Workouts:

Lincoln Hawk (December 19, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
Came the final quarter mile in :24 flat but was ridden aggressively throughout while chasing home Count of Amazonia (5f, 1:00.2h TT). Nothing to get excited about.

Liberal (December 19, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
Solo main track drill for K. Mulhall, strongly ridden through the lane to be doing his best, final three furlongs in :36.4. Was hoping for better but likely wants grass to show his best stuff.

Prince Abama (December 19, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.4h TT). Grade: B
View Workout Video
In blinkers, in company outside the Lava Lane (same time) for P. Eurton in quick training track drill for P. D’Amato, mildly urged to be a tad second best, solid work Irish-bred gelding, both finishing with something left. Turf specialist is lightly-raced with a bit of improvement in him.

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RACE 4: Post: 1:36 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 3-Mr. T’s Thirsty; 2-Velvet Ghost

Forecast: The analytics love Mr. T’s Thirsty (TOC=3/5; ML=9/5) . Making his first start since being claimed for $32,000 by trainer D. O’Neill (solid stats with this angle), the son of Stay Thirsty stretches out for the first time and is certainly bred for it, as his sire, grandsire (Bernardini), great grandsire (A. P. Indy) and great-great grandsire (Seattle Slew) all were Grade-1 winner at 10 furlongs while his dam was a New York stakes winner over nine furlongs. Toss in the always-popular blinkers off angle and the switch to F. Prat and we can see why the computers have him as a strong favorite. However, a seven race losing streak gives us pause, so we’ll toss in one more for protection.

Velvet Host (TOC=19-1; ML=5/2) is completely dismissed by the computers (he’s slow on speed figures) but we see some hope. The C. Dollase-trained gelding adds blinkers for the first time, shows a good recent workout over the local main track, and probably will try gate-to-wire tactics. If he can shake loose early without being pressured, the son of Shaman Ghost could take this field a long way.

Notable Workouts:

Mashhad Flats (December 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4hg). Grade: C+
View Workout Video
Ellingwood up, was In three horse gate drill inside Fort Bridger (5f, 1:01.1hg) and Harddiane (4f, :48.4hg) and was ridden most of the way with splits of :24 flat, :35.3, :47.3 and 1:00.4, doing his best to the end. Fair to moderate under the circumstances, graduated for a tag at Los Alamitos in September and seems about the same following a three and one-half month vacation.

Velvet Ghost (November 29, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.3h TT). Grade: B
View Workout Video
No blinkers (scheduled to add them), bullet solo work on training track for C. Dollase with splits of :23.3 and :47.3, very light coaxing only, rather nice for moderate claiming juvenile. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him on the lead going long, likely to improve with a class drop.

Prince Hussar (December 17, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.1h). Grade: B
View Workout Video
Removed blinkers and was permitted to show his speed, going off quickly and then finishing under mild coaxing for H. Palma in bullet half mile workout, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :36.2. Form looks bleak but this was an improvement.

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RACE 5: Post: 2:07 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Gregory’s Pride; 2-Vantastic; 9-Mac Daddy Too

Forecast: This race has been handicapped under the assumption that it will remain on grass. Check our twitter feed (@jsiegelracing) for an updated analysis if it is transferred to the main track). It’s carded down the Hillside Course and looks like a messy affair even without a surface switch. Gregory’s Pride (TOC=2-1; ML=4-1) has the route-to-sprint angle that always seems to work over this course and distance and has proven to be most effective as a late-running turf sprinter. He’ll likely settle somewhere in mid-pack and then have his chance from the top of the lane to the wire. A recent sharp training track drill (see below) tells us he’s doing well for P. D’Amato and should fire his best shot.

Vantastic (TOC=7-1; ML=7/2) is a two-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course and although beaten as the favorite over this course and distance during the fall season the P. Eurton-trained gelding had a rough trip and can be excused for finishing a non-threatening fourth (beaten four lengths). Freshened and looking sharp in a series of recent training track drills, the son of Vronsky picks up Johnny V. and with good racing luck should be rolling late.

Mucho Del Oro (TOC=5-1; ML=6-1) has two-turned in his last four start but he’s just as comfortable if not more so running short and in fact is a perfect two-two time sprinting lifetime. Protected in a sign of confidence after being claimed for $40,000 by V. Cerin (a massive 25% with this angle), the sophomore gelding equaled his career top Beyer number when winning gate to win over a mile at Del Mar last month, has trained well since, and retains “win rider” V. Espinoza. At 6-1 on the morning line, he’s a major player.

Mac Daddy Too (TOC=7-1; ML=5-1) earned a career top speed figure when narrowly missing in an abbreviated turf sprint at Del Mar last month in his second start off a layoff, and with another forward move today, the D. O’Neill-trained gelding will be right there again. The son of Maclean’s Music projects to enjoy a good pace-pressing trip outside and remain a strong factor every step of the way.

Notable Workouts:

Spirit Maker (December 17, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: C+
View Workout Video
Appeared to slow up a bit in the closing stages after going off quickly but wasn’t asked much, okay work, nothing great. Recently gelding, may appreciate a class drop.

Vantastic (December 11, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.3h TT). Grade: B
View Workout Video
A bit late changing leads but did quite nicely in solo training track drill for P. Eurton, final quarter in a sharp :23.3 without being asked much at all. Always extremely willing in the morning. Been primarily a grass runner but can handle dirt if asked. Freshened since late October and looks good.

Gregory’s Pride (December 19, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h TT). Grade: B
View Workout Video
In blinkers, nice training track drill inside Red Storm Risen (5f, :59.3h TT), breaking off a few lengths in front and then holding that one off late without really being asked much, splits of :24.3, :36.4 and 1:00.2 on our watches while maintaining his edge. Been stuck on thirds lately but has some room to improve.

Newpark (December 22, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:03.3h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
Breezing in solo main track drill for J. Mullins, final half mile in :24 flat and :49.2, maintenance move for lightly-raced Irish-bred gelding. Freshened since late October and seems in good shape, most effective when it can make the lead.

Gold Phoenix (December 20, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.4hg). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
In blinkers, off a bit slowly, then wasn’t asked much at any stage while a tad second best with Midnight’s Girl (same time) with splits of :24.4, :364, :49.1 and 1:01.4 (galloped to the wire in 1:16.2). Won his only start over the all-weather at Dundalk last February while earning a good Timeform rating; is getting fit for P. D’Amato, might be suited for a Hillside dash.

__________________________________________________ _________________________
__________________________________________________ _________________________

RACE 6: Post: 2:37 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 1-Holden the Lute; 2-Bud Knight

Forecast: Holden the Lute (TOC=3/5; ML=5/2) seems certain to get plenty of play in this lackluster restricted (nw-2) $32,000 miler for $32,000 claimers, though he’s 1-for-16 and clearly not one to trust (of course, they’re all 1-for-something here). From his advantageous inside draw, the S. Knapp-trained gelding projects to be on or near the lead throughout, and a repeat of his last race against tougher starter $50,000 foes at Del Mar last month (third after establishing the pace) earned a number that should be good enough to beat this field.

If it’s not him, one could make a (weak) case for Bud Knight (TOC=4-1: ML=2-1) because F. Prat stays aboard, and the L. Powell-trained gelding has a few back speed figures that are competitive. However, the son of Tizbud gelding has run 20 times, 19 of which have come on turf, and he was last of nine (beaten 19 lengths) in his only try on dirt. Tread lightly here.

Notable Workouts:

Holden the Lute (December 18, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.4h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
Easy to the top, then was asked to pick it up in the final furlong and responded okay to hand urging, final half mile on our watches in :24.2 and :49.2 for S. Knapp. Seems about the same.

__________________________________________________ _________________________
__________________________________________________ _________________________

RACE 7: Post: 3:08 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 1-Aligato; 3-Fly to Mars

Forecast: This race has been handicapped under the assumption that it will remain on grass. Check our twitter feed (@jsiegelracing) for an updated analysis if it is transferred to the main track). This California-bred optional claimer could produce quicker-than-par early fractions which certainly will aid the closing types. But our pace projection is volatile, and some of those that have been displaying good early speed and then weakening (Betito, Wilder Than Most, Dr. Troutman, etc.) might employ different tactics today in which case anything could happen. Based on pedigree, Aligato (TOC=3-1; ML=4-1) should love this stretch out in trip and if performs even slightly better routing than sprinting the M. Glatt-trained gelding may be the one to beat, especially from his good inside draw. He’s a tad light in the speed figure to department but with only three starts on his resume this soon-to-be five-year-old should have plenty of improvement in him. After he finished a troubled third as the favorite in a similar affair over five furlongs at Del Mar last month, a solid, steady series of recent workouts is encouraging, so let’s put the son of Kitten’s Joy on top and hope he continues to step forward with added distance and experience.

Fly to Mars (TOC=8/5, ML-7/2) once would handle this type of assignment with ease, but he’ll soon be eight year old and appears to have lost a few steps in recent months. A five-time winner over the Santa Anita turf course, the veteran son of Ministers Wild Cat doesn’t have the late turn of foot to make up a lot of ground and needs to be within striking range throughout to have his best chance. Whether or not he can keep up early with the projected pace flow is questionable, so while we’ll him on our rolling exotic ticket – and the analytics like him on top – we’re not quite as confident.

Notable Workouts:

Aligato (December 20, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h TT). Grade: B
View Workout Video
Some coaxing late but did well enough in solo training track drill for M. Glatt, splits of :24.2, :36.1 and 1:00.2, solid move while maintaining his form. Shouldn’t have any issues with two-turns, pedigree suggests he should enjoy actually more ground.

Betito (December 18, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.2h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
Never really asked much in steady, even five furlong drill for former P. Miller assistant R. Alvarado, final three furlongs in :12 flat and :37.2. Maintenance move, does his best running on the front end going long.

Tallemark (December 18, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:15.1h). Grade: C+
View Workout Video
Was let run most of the way and ridden through the lane while even but second best inside Ground Attack (same time) for K. Headley, final half mile in :24 flat and :50.1. Not very inspiring, though he probably needs turf to show his best. Will get severely tested on the raise.

__________________________________________________ _________________________
__________________________________________________ _________________________

RACE 8: Post: 3:40 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 4-Charge Cash; 2-Romano; 1-Bronn

Forecast: Charge Cash (TOC=1-1; ML=4-1) and Romano (TOC=3-1; ML=5/2) appear to be the two logical players in this seven furlong restricted (nw-3) $20,000 claimer for older horses. The former may be a bit more reliable but the latter (with two wins and 14 seconds and thirds) is a bit quicker on speed figures. We’ll prefer ‘Cash on top. The sophomore gelding has improved since being haltered by D. O’Neill for this price in September and has the proper style for this extended sprint trip. The early pace looks comfortable, so he should have every chance while on or near the lead throughout.

Romano appears to lack a winning punch but this drastic turn back in trip combined with a significant drop in class could make a world of difference. The P. D’Amato-trained gelding will need some help up front, and according to our pace projections he might not get it, but on pure numbers he’s a fit and a bullet half mile drill (:47 flat) at Los Alamitos earlier this month might help sharpen him up.

Bronn (TOC=20-1; ML=7/2) is a complete toss-out according to the analytics but he has enough gate speed to be an early factor from the rail, and against this group with a modest pace flow the B. Baffert-trained gelding may stick around longer than the computer program projects. You may want to toss him in as a saver or a backup.

Notable Workouts:

Bronn (December 20, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
Broke off a length inside Rockefeller (5f., :59.4h) and finished about a length back at the wire but wasn’t asked much at all while workmate was ridden pretty good from the furlong pole to the wire, splits of :24 flat, :35.4 and 1:00.1 for the B. Baffert-trained gelding. Looks okay, recent form has been dull, but with a significant class drop he should be competitive.

__________________________________________________ _________________________
__________________________________________________ _________________________

RACE 9: Post: 4:13 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 12-Duvet Day; 9-Annie’s Song

Forecast: This race has been handicapped under the assumption that it will remain on grass. Check our twitter feed (@jsiegelracing) for an updated analysis if it transferred to the main track). We’ll focus on two European imports exiting the same maiden 2-year-old filly grass mile (Nov. 2 at Del Mar) that figure to step forward significantly in their second North American outing. Duvet Day, listed at 9/2 on the morning line, was knocked back at the start in a chain reaction that cost her a several lengths but then rallied with courage to wind up a willing fourth (and galloped out well) in a noteworthy U.S. debut. Runner-up in both of outings in Ireland in early summer, the daughter of Starspangledbanner has a chance to develop into a nice type during the winter for M. McCarthy and should be tough to beat if Johnny V. can negotiate a good trip from her outside post position.

After producing three in-the-frame finishes in four starts when facing good English company prior to importation, Annie’s Song may have a little less room to improve, and though winding up third, almost a length in front of Duvet Day, she enjoyed a much cleaner trip F. Prat might have moved her a bit too soon (couldn’t have beaten the winner, anyway), stays aboard, and may employ a bit more patient tactics today.

Notable Workouts:

Hemmerle (December 22, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B-
View Workout Video
Some light late coaxing in useful five furlong main track drill for R. Mandella, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :35.4. Continues to train well but has been a disappointment in the afternoon (been lacking a late kick). Curious to see if she might be more effective shortening up?

Annie’s Song (December 13, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.4h TT). Grade: B
View Workout Video
Mostly on her own in solo half mile training track drill for M. Glatt, final three furlongs in :12.1 and :36.2, pretty nice for Irish-bred maiden filly. Showed some run overseas and ran a bit better than the line will show in local debut at Del Mar. Have to think she can step forward.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:13 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fair Grounds - Race #3
Picks Notes
#15 Seeking Sawyer He'll need scratch help to get into this one, but his mom loved this kind of trip, and he turned in a really nice debut effort at Louisiana Downs. Overlooked with a chance if he gets in.
#6 Mud Island Price player chased throughout in his Hawthorne debut, and he'll return here with blinkers and a pedigree that hints he'll be able to handle the new footing. I'd want him on all my tickets.
#8 Holiday House He ran okay in his career debut at this kind of turf trip, and he has some upside while racing with Lasix for the first time today. Little worried about his inability to finish a race off, but maybe he's better with Lasix here.
Race Summary Seeking Sawyer has a tall task ahead of him just to get into this race, but he has some room to be competitive if he is able to draw in. Mud Island offers some price intrigue in the main body of the field.

Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes
#11 Excess Magic He'll have to overcome the wide draw, but there is a lot to like here as this guy makes his second start off the break. He has done good work around two turns, so the stretchout should work in his favor today.
#4 Temper Tantrum Forward player has been in really good form for some time and held that kind of ability off the claim. Think he'll get a great trip here at a mid-range price.
#7 Point Me By Tough call here, because he's a Grade I winner from one of the saddest Grade I groups you'll ever see, and he has otherwise been pretty ordinary compared to some of these. Sure, he can win this, but he's not for me.
Race Summary #8 Concert Tour and #3 Big Lake both have some appeal in here, too, but I might try to get by with the top pair and beat some of those with surface questions to answer. Excess Magic and Temper Tantrum both bring competitive form here, and they may get a touch overlooked with a couple flashier players signed on.

Fair Grounds - Race #9
Picks Notes
#6 Out of Sorts Finisher has some appeal behind what might be an honest enough pace -- probably not on overload, but maybe enough to get her home. She has kept some decent company and might like the long stretch here.
#9 Inajiffy She'll get blinkers while stretching out for the first time, and while her pedigree is mostly sprint-based, maybe she can rally from off the splits going long here.
#13 Arm Candy She is a decent fit with this kind of company, but she's drawn out widest of all in a big field and might be overbet in a race that could be more competitive than it looks at first glance.
Race Summary Out of Sorts has a pretty sharp finishing kick on her best day, and this field doesn't have any serious standouts. Her ceiling is high enough to land this if she brings one of her better efforts.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:13 AM

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Santa Anita - Race #3
Picks Notes
#4 Appreciated Didn't fire in his latest but had won two of his three just before that and was second in the race he didn't win during that time; has won on the lead and off the pace, and that gives him an edge.
#1 Lincoln Hawk Has a strong late move on occasion and broke his maiden her in June; has taken on good company and fits here.
#7 Prince Abama Was up in time in his latest and was close in his three U.S. start after beginning his career in Ireland; classy and a threat.
Race Summary Appreciated has kept good enough and can count on an adjustable running style to make him the one to beat.

Santa Anita - Race #4
Picks Notes
#2 Velvet Ghost Broke his maiden two back and them bit off more than he could chew last out; seems to be in a more favorable spot this time around.
#3 Mr. T's Thirsty Was third and claimed at this level last time out and makes his first start for the O'Neill stable; has the speed to be in the mix throughout.
#4 Im Still Thirsty Has speed and stretches out for the first time; can ensure a quick pace.
Race Summary Velvet Ghost gets a fast pace setup here and has enough speed to stay within range; the experience of running two turns four times should work in his favor.

Santa Anita - Race #5
Picks Notes
#4 Gregory's Pride Has close for third in his last three and turns back from a longer distance; can rally when called upon.
#9 Mac Daddy Too Lost a photo going a mile last time and is quick enough to be out front; could be difficult to catch.
#2 Vantastic Ran on for fourth at this distance last out and will be making up ground under Velazquez.
Race Summary Gregory's Pride is perfectly spotted in this one and has the best closing move.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 08:14 AM

Fair Grounds Race Course Selections for December 27, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Dec 26th, 2021 9:18pm PST

Fair Grounds Race Course Selections for December 27, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

BetOnline has a sizable card for a Monday, which is still a holiday for a lot of people. There are six tracks in the US available for wagering. Santa Anita Park is the most notable racecourse, with Fair Grounds Race Course a second on the list.

Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

Fair Grounds is where the stakes racing is on Monday. It’s not the biggest events. They have five stakes races worth $75,000 each. It’s a Parx day on Tuesday, with Christmas-themed stakes racing.

Parx has the $100,000 Blitzen, Kris Kringle, and Mrs. Claus Stakes in Philadelphia on Tuesday afternoon. For Monday afternoon, I’m looking at Fair Grounds to get the day started.

Fair Grounds Race Course has ten races worth $565,000 on Monday afternoon. Head below for our free Fair Grounds picks on December 27, 2021.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 2
(1) American Rebel
+500 (5/1)
(2) Plum Good
+300 (3/1)
(3) Lil Adeau
+1200 (12/1)
(4) Steph’s Spirit
+600 (6/1)
(5) Maw Maw’s Sophia
+400 (4/1)
(6) Speak to Me
+450 (9/2)
(7) Lucky Gone Sweet
+800 (8/1)
(8) Gilded Apple
+800 (8/1)

Post Time: 1:33 p.m. CST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$46,000

Race 2 is a $46,000 event covering 6 furlongs on the dirt. Steph’s Spirit and Plum Good should have a good go at the top prize.

Steph’s Spirit is a one-time winner through 11 attempts, finishing 1st, 3rd, 2nd, 2nd, 4th in his previous five attempts. She was most recently a winner back on March 21.

Steph’s Spirit beat Box of Pictures by 4 lengths for a $60,000 purse. She most recently finished 4th for a $46,000 purse on December 2.

Plum Good won her debut assignment on September 20 at Louisana Downs. It was an impressive run as a rookie for Plum Good.

She defeated Madison Joy in a blowout by 10 ½ lengths for $19,000. Much too easy. Given her form in that race and workouts, expect a competitive bid from her at $46,000 as well.
The Bet
(2) PLUM GOOD
+300
Place Bet Now!
Race 6 – Letellier Memorial Stakes
(1) Implosion
+600 (6/1)
(2) Red Hot Moon
+1000 (10/1)
(3) Girl With a Dream
+250 (5/2)
(4) Runnin Happy
+1500 (15/1)
(5) Com’ On Sweet Luv
+300 (3/1)
(6) Microbiome
+300 (3/1)
(7) Julesforyou
+2000 (20/1)
(8) Mystique Saboteur
+600 (6/1)

Post Time: 3:24 p.m. CST
Distance: 6 Furlongs
Purse:$75,000

Race 6 is a $75,000 event covering 6 furlongs on the dirt. Com’ On Sweet Luv and Girl With a Dream are going to be competitive runners in this one.

Com’ On Sweet Luv is 2nd, 1st in two attempts on October 26 and November 27. She placed 2nd behind Optionality by 6 ¾ lengths for a $34,000 purse.

In her next and most recent attempt, Com’ On Sweet Luv did a spot better to beat Elle of the Ball by 2 ¾ lengths in a $45,000 race. Com’ On Sweet Luv should be involved in the stretch.

Girl With a Dream is 1st, 8th, 2nd 1st in her previous four attempts. She is coming off a half-length win for a $127,000 purse on November 13 at Churchill Downs.

That was a nice attempt from Girl With a Dream after placing 2nd behind Knowing Glance by 1 ¼ lengths for $86,000. After the $127,000 win, expect Girl With a Dream to do well in a $75,000 assignment.
The Bet
(3) GIRL WITH A DREAM
+250
Place Bet Now!
Race 10 – Sugar Bowl Stakes
(1) Chattalot
+350 (7/2)
(2) Kaely’s Brother
+600 (6/1)
(3) Freelancer
+600 (6/1)
(4) Underhill’s Tab
+400 (4/1)
(5) Special Breed
+2000 (20/1)
(6) Magician Stone
+3000 (30/1)
(7) Blue Kentucky
+800 (8/1)
(8) Hoist the Gold
+600 (6/1)
(9) Higher Standard
+300 (3/1)

Post Time: 5:22 p.m. CST
Distance:6 Furlongs
Purse:$75,000

The $75,000 Sugar Bowl Stakes covers 6 furlongs on the dirt. Freelancer and Higher Standard should be difficult to stop in this race.

Freelancer is 1st, 3rd, 4th in three attempts. As a rookie on August 8, Freelancer defeated Gunoe by 2 ¾ lengths for a $51,000 purse.

The colt came back to show 3rd for a $127,000 purse on October 1 at Churchill Downs. That was an acceptable attempt at that level.

He made his stakes debut on October 30 and faltered to 4th in the $150,000 Bowman Mill Stakes on October 30 at Keeneland. It’s hard to ignore Freelancer at $75,000 on Monday.

Higher Standard has finished 1st, 2nd in two career races. As a first-time runner, Higher Standard beat Stirdat pot by 5 ¾ lengths for $120,000.

He was unable to follow up but still looked in good form in the $150,000 Advent Stakes, placing 2nd behind Kavod by a length. It was nevertheless an impressive effort.

Higher Standard should be the toughest to beat in the final event at Fair Grounds on Monday.
The Bet
(9) HIGHER STANDARD
+300

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 09:03 AM

Santa Anita Park Selections for December 27, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Dec 27th, 2021 2:17am PST

Santa Anita Park Selections for December 27, 2021 – Horse Racing Picks

For a Monday, we’re spoiled a bit today with six racecourses open for wagering in the US. It’s generally a slow day, but the long weekend has some bonus racing on Monday.

Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

Fair Grounds is home to the only stakes racing in the US today. There are five stakes races with $75,000 available in each event. The biggest racetrack operating is at Santa Anita Park in California.

Hot Rod Charlie was upset at Santa Anita yesterday against Express Train. Santa Anita doesn’t have any stakes racing scheduled on Monday, though it’s shaping up to be a good hard.

I have three picks at Fair Grounds and Santa Anita today. Access our Fair Grounds Race Course for more horse racing picks on Monday. Head below for free Santa Anita Park picks on December 27, 2021.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 1
(1) Exit Soul
+1500 (15/1)
(2) Eleuthera
+600 (6/1)
(3) Lucky Girl
+600 (6/1)
(4) Isola Mia
+1500 (15/1)
(5) Celestia
+2000 (20/1)
(6) Micro Share
+250 (5/2)
(7) Sterling Crest
+350 (7/2)
(8) Let Freedom Rain
+600 (6/1)
(9) I Got a Gal
+600 (6/1)
(10) Jerusalema
+400 (4/1)
(11) Uncorked
+600 (6/1)

Post Time: 12:00 p.m. PST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse:$67,000

The first event at Santa Anita Park is a mile assignment on the turf for a $67,000 purse. Look at Sterling Crest and Micro Share as potential winners.

Sterling Crest has finished 2nd, 4th, 2nd in three events in her career. In her most recent outing, Sterling Crest placed 2nd behind Miss Mattie B by 3 ¾ lengths in a $70,000 assignment on November 27.

Prior to that attempt, Sterling Crest was 4th in the $200,000 Surfer Girl Stakes on October 3. Moving down in grade helped plenty and the filly is sliding down a bit further to $67,000.

Micro Share showed 3rd at Del Mar on November 20. It was a decent attempt as a rookie in a $70,000 race.

Micro Share started slow but had lots of kick deep into the race to finish less than 3 lengths away. If Micro Share had more track in that one, she likely wins.

The $450,000 filly likely comes on well Monday afternoon. Expect improvement at a mile with more runway to work with.
The Bet
(6) MICRO SHARE
+250
Place Bet Now!
Race 6
(1) Holden the Lute
+250 (5/2)
(2) Bud Knight
+200 (2/1)
(3) Mongolian Legend
+500 (5/1)
(4) Stone’s River
+400 (4/1)
(5) Sir Flatter
+1500 (15/1)
(6) Perfecto Amor
+300 (3/1)

Post Time: 2:37 p.m. PST
Distance: 6 Furlongs
Purse:$37,000

The sixth race at Santa Anita Park is a $37,000 event covering 6 furlongs. Holden the Lute and Bud Knight should have a strong presence in the stretch.

Holden the Lute is a one-time winner through 16 events. In her most recent outings, Holden the Lute has finished 4th, 4th, 4th, 3rd.

Holden the Lute most recently showed 3rd on November 28 for $38,000. This was after going 4th on October 10 for a $36,000 prize.

Bud Knight is 1 for 20 with his most recent win back on May 27, 2020. He’s gone winless in 11 straight attempts since the win.

In his latest outing, Bud Knight finished 7th for $30,000 at Del Mar. Bud Knight placed 2nd behind Steak and Cheese by 1 ¾ lengths for $28,000 prior to that attempt.

He should put together a big race in this one, but I’m pointing towards Holden the Lute versus this field. Holden the Lute should carry good value at post time.
The Bet
(1) HOLDEN THE LUTE
+250
Place Bet Now!
Race 8
(1) Bronn
+350 (7/2)
(2) Ronamo
+250 (5/2)
(3) Salah
+1200 (12/1)
(4) Charge Cash
+400 (4/1)
(5) Active Account
+1000 (10/1)
(6) Squalotoro
+500 (5/1)
(7) Sly
+600 (6/1)
(8) Harbor Sky
+800 (8/1)

Post Time: 3:40 p.m. PST
Distance:7 Furlongs
Purse:$26,000

Race 8 goes for $26,000 at Santa Anita Park on Monday afternoon. Bronn and Ronamo should be good for the shortlist under these terms in Race 8.

Ronamo is 2 for 23 in his career and should be good for a strong run in this race. He has finished 2nd, 2nd, 4th, 3rd, 5th in his last five attempts.

In his most recent outing, Ronamo finished 5th for a $40,000 purse. This came after showing 3rd on September 19 in a $34,000 assignment.

Down to $26,000, Ronamo is going to have a strong argument in this one. Bob Baffert’s Bronn should be tough as well. This is a family horse with his wife listed as the owner.

Bronn is a two-time winner through ten attempts. He’s finished 3rd, 4th, 6th, 5th in his last four outings.

In his last attempt, Bronn finished 5th in a $33,000 event on October 29. Bronn finished 6th on December 19 for $36,000. A class drop will do him well.

Bronn has been sharp in morning workouts, with a time of 47.80 seconds at 4 furlongs and 1:00.20 at 5 furlongs on December 20. There appears to be enough value here to consider Bronn.
The Bet
(1) BRONN
+350

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-27-2021, 09:10 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park

Laurel Park - Race 9	EXACTA, TRIFECTA &10 cent SUPERFECTA / $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Maiden Claiming $25,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 73 • Purse: $34,500 • Post: 4:20P
(PLUS UP TO 15% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $20,000, ALLOWED 4 LBS.

Contenders				Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds	Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FULL OF MISCHIEF is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FULL OF MISCHIEF: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. JASONTAKESLONG: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a lay off, after two sprint prep races. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30. BALTIMORE BULLEIT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. HOLIDAY AVENUE: Hor se has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
3	FULL OF MISCHIEF	6/1	5/1
4	JASONTAKESLONG	4/1	6/1
6	BALTIMORE BULLEIT	8/1	7/1
2	HOLIDAY AVENUE	8/1	8/1

P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	FULL OF MISCHIEF	3	6/1	Front-runner	0	0	58.8	58.8	50.8
2	HOLIDAY AVENUE	2	8/1	Alternator/Stalker	65	53	66.4	55.9	47.9
5	PAPA CHARLES	5	7/2	Trailer	62	56	58.8	53.1	46.6
4	JASONTAKESLONG	4	4/1	Trailer	70	67	56.8	56.8	49.3
6	BALTIMORE BULLEIT	6	8/1	Trailer	73	68	53.0	53.0	44.5
7	RELATIVLEA	7	3/1	Trailer	67	61	37.0	35.1	28.1
8	ICY MINISTER	8	15/1	Alternator/Trailer	0	0	39.8	43.6	35.1

Unknown Running Style: AUSPICIOUS LAD (12/1) [Jockey: Araujo Denis - Trainer: Cox Kenneth M], EDENS GLORY (10/1) [Jockey: Rosado Johan - Trainer: O'Dwyer Jeremiah].