Sunday 2/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    Sunday 2/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358283

    #2
    Today’s Free Horse Picks – Sunday, February 6th 2022
    By Reggie Garrett

    We are covering 6 tracks on Sunday, February 6th, 2022. Reggie Garrett has his picks for each race at Santa Anita Park, Aqueduct and more. Good luck and enjoy!


    Aqueduct – 12:50 ET
    Race 1: 3 Continentalcongres
    Race 2: 4 Bourbon Bay
    Race 3: 2 Bay Street Money
    Race 4: 5 Morello
    Race 5: 4 Musical America
    Race 6: 7 Violent Vixen
    Race 7: 9 Wasp
    Race 8: 4 Miss Interpret
    Race 9: 6 Rocco Strong

    Fair Grounds – 1:05 CT
    Race 1: 1 Murdo
    Race 2: 4 Lady Maeve
    Race 3: 5 Ronnie’s Peso
    Race 4: 4 Your Time’s Coming
    Race 5: 7 Release the Beast
    Race 6: 2 Yin Yang
    Race 7: 6 Sumitup
    Race 8: 3 Cause to Cruise
    Race 9: 1 Sunday Scheming


    Golden Gate Fields – 12:45 PT
    Race 1: 4 Southeast Asia
    Race 2: 6 Love of the Sport
    Race 3: 1 Corsican
    Race 4: 1 Known
    Race 5: 4 Sunrise Journey
    Race 6: 5 All My Hope
    Race 7: 2 Let’s Rejoyce
    Race 8: 5 Italiano
    Race 9: 3 Shes Bout a Mover

    Gulfstream Park – 12:00 ET
    Race 1: 3 Beau Brown
    Race 2: 8 Uncaptured King
    Race 3: 7 Stupendous
    Race 4: 8 Deep State
    Race 5: 2 Kitodan
    Race 6: 2 Osiria
    Race 7: 6 Queen Camilla
    Race 8: 6 Prince of Iron
    Race 9: 2 Chinobe
    Race 10: 4 Mish
    Race 11: 1 Globes

    Santa Anita Park – 12:30 PT
    Race 1: 4 Speedcuber
    Race 2: 5 Muy Chistosa
    Race 3: 4 Queen of Thorns
    Race 4: 3 Prince Ziggy
    Race 5: 6 Erebus
    Race 6: 4 Dick Best
    Race 7: 7 Wishtheyallcouldbe
    Race 8: Robert B. Lewis Stakes Entries & Free Picks
    Race 9: 6 Teton Valley

    Tampa Bay Downs – 12:13 ET
    Race 1: 2 Jewel of Winter
    Race 2: 7 Two Step Dance
    Race 3: 7 Catirusia
    Race 4: 4 Swift Kid
    Race 5: 3 Gingeronmymind
    Race 6: 2 Shaldag
    Race 7: 5 Black V. K.
    Race 8: 9 Call Bros
    Race 9: 3 Just Jeremy
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358283

      #3
      Fair Grounds Race Course Selections for February 6, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

      By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Feb 5th, 2022 6:32pm PST


      Fair Grounds Race Course Selections for February 6, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

      BetOnline has at least nine racetracks for wagering on the Sunday card. The $250,000 Withers Stakes (Gr. 3) stood out as my favorite race yesterday afternoon.

      Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

      It was a sharp performance for our horse Early Voting, as he drew off and blew out the field for an easy win. That’s a statement win for Early Voting on the Road to the Kentucky Derby.

      We’ll see how the Road to the Kentucky Derby shakes out, as there are plenty of prep races to come for the big event at Churchill Downs in May. The first 100-40-20-10 race is on March 26 with the running of the Louisana Derby.

      Our first attempt is at Fair Grounds Race Course in New Orleans looking to build on a profitable day from Saturday. Head below for our best Fair Grounds Race Course picks on February 6, 2022.
      Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
      Race 1
      (1) Murdo
      +350 (7/2)
      (2) Deano
      +400 (4/1)
      (3) Will Knows
      +350 (7/2)
      (4) The Gray Blur
      +600 (6/1)
      (5) Chapel Barn
      +250 (5/2)
      (6) Jack the Ripper
      +450 (9/2)

      Post Time: 1:05 p.m. CST
      Distance:6 Furlongs
      Purse:$20,000

      Race 1 covers 6 furlongs on the dirt for a $20,000 purse. Deano and Chapel Barn will get us started at Fair Grounds in this one.

      Deano is 7 for 44 in his career, finishing 1st, 7th, 1st, 3rd in his previous four attempts. He came up a winner two races back on January 8. Deano beat Glenn’s Jumper by a head for a $17,000 purse.

      It was a good race from Deano after finishing 7th in the same grade. After the win, Deano showed 3rd on January 20 for a $19,000 prize. He should be close, but Chapel Barn should be tough to top.

      Chapel Barn is 4 for 12 and has finished 1st, 3rd in his last two races. The gelding defeated The Gray Blur by 4 ½ lengths in a comfortable $17,000 win on December 20.

      Following that big performance, Chapel Barn showed 3rd on January 15 in a $20,000 assignment. This looks easier than that one and should provide Chapel Barn with a winnable opportunity.
      The Bet
      (5) CHAPEL BARN
      +250
      Place Bet Now!
      Race 4
      (1) Now Now Man
      +2000 (20/1)
      (2) Ibeam
      +1200 (12/1)
      (3) Cpriority
      +800 (8/1)
      (4) Your Time’s Coming
      +350 (7/2)
      (5) Moment of Stardom
      +500 (5/1)
      (6) Ranch Badge
      +600 (6/1)
      (7) Sneaky Allie Kat
      +2000 (20/1)
      (8) Bitsy’s Other Half
      +1500 (15/1)
      (9) I Don’t Fly Coach
      +2000 (20/1)
      (10) Henning
      +400 (4/1)
      (11) Scoring Drive
      +600 (6/1)
      (12) Cypriano
      +400 (4/1)

      Post Time: 2:35 p.m. CST
      Distance: 7 ½ Furlongs
      Purse:$23,000

      Race 4 covers 7 ½ furlongs on the turf for a $23,000 purse. There could be some good value at post time in this one. Consider a look at Your Time’s Coming and Ranch Badge in Race 4 at Fair Grounds.

      Your Time’s Coming is a one-time winner through 11 races, finishing 6th, 3rd, 4th in his previous three outings going into Sunday. He showed 3rd two races back on December 30 for a good look at $30,000.

      Following that attempt, Your Time’s Coming came back to finish 4th on January 20 in a $47,000 assignment. A class drop to $23,000 should put the gelding in contention.

      Ranch Badge is 1 for 7 with a winning run on May 17. He’s finished 5th, 1st, 8th, 2nd in his last four. Ranch Badge came through with a ¾ length win for a $22,000 prize in that one.

      In his latest race, Ranch Badge placed 2nd behind Ballinonabudget by 9 lengths in a $21,000 race. He was looking good, then fell back going into the stretch. This was at a mile and 70 yards.

      Ranch Badge had the lead from the gate past the ¾ pole. A mile and 70 yards was just too much. Down in distance to 7 ½ furlongs, there is a lot of value to be had with the No. 6.
      The Bet
      (6) RANCH BADGE
      +600
      Place Bet Now!
      Race 5
      (1) Swot Analysis
      +250 (5/2)
      (2) Pickens
      +800 (8/1)
      (3) Creole Charlie
      +200 (2/1)
      (4) Widdle Zee
      +1200 (12/1)
      (5) Cameo Dancer
      +1200 (12/1)
      (6) Zion
      +500 (5/1)
      (7) Release the Beast
      +350 (7/2)

      Post Time: 3:05 p.m. CST
      Distance:6 Furlongs
      Purse:$54,000

      Race 5 covers 6 furlongs on the dirt. Swot Analysis and Creole Charlie should make this one interesting in the stretch. They should both be close at the wire.

      Swot Analysis is 2 for 8 in his career, with the colt going 5th, 7th, 6th, 2nd in his last four. After finishing 6th in the $100,000 Louisiana Champions Day Sprint Stakes on December 11, he handled a $54,000 race much better.

      Swot Analysis placed 2nd behind Release the Beast by 1 ¾ lengths in the $54,000 class. Sticking in this class makes the most sense and gives the No. 1 a decent chance to get home Sunday afternoon.

      Creole Charlie is 5 for 14 in his career, finishing 1st, 2nd, 1st, 1st in his previous four outings. He is coming off back-to-back wins and sizing up a hat-trick.

      Creole Charlie most recently had a 3 ¾ length win for a $46,000 prize. The gelding had the lead at the ¼ pole and drew away from the competition. This came after a too easy 8 ¼ length win for a $17,000 purse.

      After another dominant showing in a $46,000 event, Creole Charlie should still be good versus this competition. I’m backing Creole Charlie to go back for his third straight win.
      The Bet
      (3) CREOLE CHARLIE
      +200
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358283

        #4
        Today’s Horse Racing Tips – 6th February 2022
        By: Racing & Sports Time

        Racing and Sports highlight our standout plays at Australian TAB meetings for February 6.

        PINJARRA: RACE 8 @ 7:15 PM (AEDT)

        SHE'S GREYSFUL (9) was a dominant winner over many of these rivals when scoring at Ascot last time. Drawn okay and the only query is the price she started last time. Hard to beat. STREET PARADE (2) couldn't pick up She's Greysful in that race after going back from a wide gate. Has an extra 100m here but another wide alley. Must be considered. SHEEZA BELTER (8) split that pair and is another with a decision to make from the wide draw. Chance with any luck. Include CELEBRITY ICON (12) and MAN CRUSH (1). SELECTION: She's Greysful to win. Box trifecta 1,2,8,9,12.

        BENDIGO: RACE 2 @ 1:55 PM

        SHOCKING HABIT (11) creates plenty of interest resuming having finished close up on debut in town debut the handy Zapateo before a narrow third behind Timson who wasn't disgraced in a Caulfield Guineas Prelude at his next start. She's a filly with plenty of ability and can go close with natural improvement. SUGARPIEHONEYBUNCH (4) was only cut down late from a forward position in the run by the impressive Untouchable Ed at this track on debut when favourite. She'll give them something to chase again and appeals each way. THE GLOBE (13) has placed at seven of her nine starts to date and can be forgiven for an unplaced effort last start as favourite when she met trouble at a crucial stage. She can bounce back. DE LONG STAR (6) is racing well and has the form to be competitive. Include in the exotics. MY PLEASURE (8) creates plenty of interest on debut having been well supported in early markets. Respect. SELECTION: Shocking Habit can return a winner.



        GOULBURN: RACE 2 @ 2:25 PM

        DIJON (1) has been knocking on the door in both starts to date and only just got run down late last time out at Canberra. Layt sticks in the irons following that last-start second and this is not an overly strong affair. Rates the testing material. WILLIAMS BAY (5) has placed in all three runs this time in and is drawn to get all the favours from the inside alley. Looks a serious contender. PYRAMID OF FIRE (3) showed promise when second on debut and will have taken plenty from that race day experience. In the mix. CHILEAN EXPRESS (2) disappointed last time but go on the solid second to start the career. Local ORREZA (12) has placed over this track and trip and is one for the multiples. SELECTION: Dijon to win.



        NARACOORTE: RACE 5 @ 3:55 PM (AEDT)

        SEBONNA (3) looks to have this race at his mercy and is unbeaten in two races on the course. His close up fourth placing in a much stronger field two starts back was very good and with a touch more luck could have won last time out at Penola. He is well in at the weights and should be winning. RUNBRO (2) is another with an unbeaten record on this track, he won impressively here at his last start and from the perfect inside draw is a solid each way hope. CUBAN TOONITE (1) is capable of making a sustained run during his races and on his day can be very hard to beat, his only failure this campaign was three starts back in a good field, other than that he has been in the money every time. He has won three of four starts on the track and won't be far away. SHOCK ALERT (4) dropped in class last start at Bordertown and proved too strong when winning by over six lengths. The small field here will suit him and he won't be far away. SELECTION: Sebonna win bet.



        ARARAT: RACE 6 @ 4:40 PM

        NORDIC SYMPHONY (4) just missed two starts ago with a good gap to third behind stablemate Glassey Miss in the Koroit Cup before a close up fourth as favourite at the same track last start. This trip will suit and she looks the one to beat. OBEDIENCE (6) impressed when fourth two starts ago in town behind the in form Convict Sam coming off a strong Maiden the start prior when first up. She can be forgiven for last start and could take catching on speed here. SHEEZABIGDEEL (7) has placed at her past four starts including last start in town behind impressive winner Miss Five Hundred. The drop in distance is a slight concern but she should be in for a long way. ST ARNICCA (3) has good ability on his day and will strip fitter second up. Although he'll be better over further he warrants respect here. RIPCORD (1) is ready to do something third up out to this trip with the Blinkers on. Keep safe. SELECTION: Nordic Symphony can get the job done in the small field.



        PORT MACQUARIE: RACE 6 @ 4:45 PM

        ALIBI DOT COM (5) missed a whisker first-up heavily-bet on the dry and then was backed again and did a big job delivering the Maiden win this track and trip on the heavy. Fitter and can take the next step with Reith sticking. HIGHLY AMBITIOUS (1) impressed winning at Newcastle on debut. Will have come on and brings a trial win also at Newcastle. Is well-placed with the 4kg claim but the outside gate cruels. Should go close with average luck. SHE'S CONTRARY (3) was spelled after the deserved Maiden win and was in need of the first-up run in stronger than this. Winning rider Morgan is reunited and expect quick improvement. INTO THE BLUE (6) resumes off a heavy-track Maiden win. Draws well and won't be far away especially if it's wet. SELECTION: Backing Alibi Dot Com to win.



        SUNSHINE COAST: RACE 7 @ 5:50 PM (AEDT)

        HAMLET VON SNITZEL (5) resumes as a gelding and is promising. Brings strong city form and should be winning if presented on-song. HE'S THE NEWS (6) deserved the CL2 win at Gatton and that stacks up. Draws to advantage and back 200m won't bother. GOLLY HUTT (3) resumed off a longish break in good order. Goes second-up and has more up the sleeve. Has to be kept onside. MOUTON (2) resumes for the Kendrick barn switching form NZ. He's been gelded and his figures stack-up. Orman's booking suggests he's pleasing. SELECTION: Going with Hamlet Von Snitzel.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358283

          #5
          INTERSTATE RACING TIPS – FEBRUARY 6TH

          Home - Featured - INTERSTATE RACING TIPS – FEBRUARY 6TH

          RSN927

          RSN Form Analyst Ian Humphries covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Goulburn on Sunday the 6th of February.

          Along with our Interstate Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus a full preview of every Victorian meeting, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

          Rail Position: True
          Track Type: Turf
          Track Condition: Soft 5
          Weather: Overcast
          Penetrometer: 5
          Ian Humphries Goulburn Tips

          Goulburn, 6th February 2022

          Race 1 Selections: 3,1,2,5
          Race 2 Selections: 3,1,5,6
          Race 3 Selections: 4,7,13,8
          Race 4 Selections: 9,11,7,10
          Race 5 Selections: 7,8,6,12
          Race 6 Selections: 2,10,3,5
          Race 7 Selections: 13,5,8,9
          Best Bet

          Race 3 – 4. Choisir’s Choice
          Best Value

          Race 2 – 3. Pyramid Of Fire
          Quaddie

          Quaddie 1: 7,9,10,1
          Quaddie 2: 6,7,8,9,12
          Quaddie 3: 2,3,10
          Quaddie 4: 5,8,9,13

          RSN Form Analyst Kevin Casey covers all the daily racing tips for the NSW meeting at Port Macquarie on Sunday the 6th of February.

          Rail Position: +3m 1200m-375m; True Remainder
          Track Type: Turf
          Track Condition: Heavy 8
          Weather: Overcast
          Kevin Casey Port Macquarie Tips

          Port Macquarie, 6th February 2022

          Race 1 Selections: 5,4,8,1
          Race 2 Selections: 4,3,1,5
          Race 3 Selections: 8,5,3,4
          Race 4 Selections: 4,8,6,5
          Race 5 Selections: 7,2,6,3
          Race 6 Selections: 5,3,6,10
          Race 7 Selections: 2,8,4,6
          Best Bet

          Race 4 – 4. Crowned Empress
          Best Value

          Race 5 – 7. Asserting
          Quaddie

          Quaddie 1: 4
          Quaddie 2: 2,3,6,7
          Quaddie 3: 3,5
          Quaddie 4: 2,4,6,8

          RSN Form Analyst Howard Walter covers all the daily racing tips for the QLD meeting at the Sunshine Coast on Sunday the 6th of February.

          Rail Position: +4m Entire Course
          Track Type: Turf
          Track Condition: Soft 7
          Weather: Overcast
          Howard Walter Sunshine Coast Tips

          Sunshine Coast, 6th February 2022

          Race 1 Selections: 1,4,7,3
          Race 2 Selections: 11,6,8,10
          Race 3 Selections: 3,7,5,8
          Race 4 Selections: 11,14,4,15
          Race 5 Selections: 8,7,6,3
          Race 6 Selections: 3,5,6,7
          Race 7 Selections: 1,2,5,9
          Best Bet

          Race 1 – 1. Naughty Harry
          Best Value

          Race 6 – 3. Karayer
          Quaddie

          Quaddie 1: 4,11,14
          Quaddie 2: 3,4,6,7,8,11
          Quaddie 3: 3,5,6,7,9
          Quaddie 4: 1,2,5,9
          Play Of The Day

          Win & Place All-up – Race 5 #8, Race 6 #3, Race 7 #1
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358283

            #6
            Aqueduct Horses in Focus for Sunday, February 6
            Posted on February 5, 2022 by David Aragona

            RACE 6: RUVIES IN TIME (#3)

            Ruvies in Time is the horse to beat, and I can’t make a strong case against her. She is moving up back to the open N1X level after beating New York-breds last time, and she hasn’t had success for this condition in the past. That said, it seems like she’s gotten back into form for Rudy Rodriguez. She made her first start off the claim for this barn last time and put in a good effort to win by nearly 2 lengths over today’s rival My Roxy Girl. It is fair to note that My Roxy Girl had some trouble in the stretch that day, but I’m more confident that Ruvies in Time is moving forward. Rudy Rodriguez has exceptional stats in this situation. Over the past 5 years, he is 8 for 20 (40%, $3.66 ROI) second off the claim with last-out winners in Aqueduct dirt sprints. She projects to work out a good trip stalking just in behind the speeds and I think she can win right back. My Roxy Girl is the main rival, and she did have an excuse when she lost at this level last time. She made a 3-wide sweep to the lead on the far turn on a day when the rail was an advantage. The three horses who beat her spent a significant portion of their trips inside, so she ran better than it seems. I just think that Ruvies in Time has a higher ceiling if she’s getting back into form. I prefer these two to Violent Vixen, who could take some money here off a pair of blowout wins. However, she got to the lead and the rail last time on yet another speed-friendly day and I think that exaggerated her performance.

            RACE 7: BEAUTIFUL KAREN (#2)

            This is a pretty competitive New York-bred optional claiming affair. One horse who could attract support who I’m not really interested in is Wasp. This filly consistently took money in a series of races earlier in her career and never really panned out. Now she’s returning from a lengthy layoff, and Todd Pletcher does not have good stats off layoffs in New York, and especially at Aqueduct. The TimeformUS Pace Projector is predicting a situation favoring horses on or near the lead, and that should obviously help Grudge. This mare ran pretty well off the claim for Rob Atras last time, just getting run down in the late stages after dueling for the early lead. I’m not totally convinced that she’s the most talented horse in this field, but she could get the right kind of trip. However, there’s another speed horse who should also take advantage of a lack of pace. Beautiful Karen was badly compromised by wet tracks in her last couple of starts, as she doesn’t seem to get over that going, especially when she’s unable to make the early lead. Linda Rice even entered her for a $25k tag off those performances before scratching her from that spot. I think it’s a good sign that she’s staying at this level, and I believe she’s finding herself back in the kind of race that favors her running style. She has prior speed figures that suggest she’s every bit as good as Grudge if she can still run. I like the rider switch to Dylan Davis as well. Byhubbyhellomoney also makes sense, but she could be compromised by her closing style, and 6 furlongs may be on the short side for her.

            RACE 8: KNOWING GLANCE (#6)

            There are a couple of out-of-town shippers in this Ruthless who merit strong consideration. The local horses in this spot aren’t exactly the most formidable group, and there are things to recommend about both invading fillies who break from the outside slots. Shotgun Hottie could go favored as she makes her first start off a trainer switch to Bill Morey. While it might be a tall order to improve on the work of Tom Amoss, this filly already showed ability in her prior starts out of town. She was very game to win her two-turn debut two back at Churchill Downs after getting passed in the stretch. And then last time she just seemed to run off in the early stages and understandably tired late. That was a solid allowance field and she’s getting some class relief here. My one concern is that I’m not sure she really wants to go shorter. She strikes me as a true router given her physical size and scope, but these types can sometimes handle 7 furlongs. I do slightly prefer Knowing Glance to her inside, and she could go off at a better price. This filly is coming off a pair of resounding defeats, but she was meeting much tougher company in both of those races. That Fern Creek Stakes at Churchill Downs was a very tough affair, won by the talented Marissa’s Lady. I won’t fault her for losing to that field, and then last time she just wanted no part of two turns at Oaklawn. She also ran into a potential star in Martha Washington winner Secret Oath. She ran very well to win on Oct. 21 beating the much improved Girl With a Dream. I like the turnback, and I think her connections have found a favorable spot for her. I’d also consider Champagne Poetry, who seems best of the local horses. She did beat a strong rail bias when she won last time, but that was a weak maiden field.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358283

              #7
              Free Winners for Sunday, February 6th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
              FREE HORSE PICKS
              FAIR GROUNDS
              RACE #7
              TIME: 5:05 PM EST
              PICK: BET #3 Maw Maw’s Sophia 6/1 odds to win @ Bovada
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358283

                #8
                Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

                February 6, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

                The Sunday night card at Hawthorne Racecourse has 11 races scheduled with the 0.50 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

                Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

                Race 8

                4-El Oh Govner (7/2)-Tried to go gate to wire in last and faded to come 2nd. Five-year-old usually finds a way to lose but tough to leave out versus this crew.
                6-Lous Voodoo Woman (20-1)-This was Husted's choice over #8 who is at 4-1 in the morning line, and he does drive for Hansen, so this is an interesting choice. Has hit the board in 5 of 17 at Haw with 2 pictures and had 12 wins last year including Fair races. Comes off a tough trip from the 10 hole and the price should be worth the risk.
                7-Look At Dat Kat (3/2)-Not loving the 3/2 morning line but has been facing better and should be in the hunt. This was Warren's pick over #4.

                Race 9

                1-Beach Passage (6-1)-Makes the 5th start of the meet and the last race was its best. Has hit the board in 8 of 19 here with 3 wins and this is Oosting's choice over the program chalk #6.
                6-Winter Gram (5/2)-This mare has competed well at this class and comes off a win. Avenatti steers instead of Oosting which could be cause for pause but recent form has been too good to leave out.
                7-Fox Valley Lolo (3-1)-Dropped and popped in last and team Leonard could keep this mare good for another picture despite stepping up.

                Race 10

                8-A Musing Sugar (9-1)-Comes off even efforts in last 2 but now drops to a more comfortable level. Oosting sticks and he could have this mare aiming for the point and not looking back.
                9-Woodmere Rio (5-1)-This is 1 of 2 Dillon entries (9-10) and showed early speed in last which was a different tactic. Husted takes the lines and that is a positive driver change and will look for a big try at a solid price.
                10-Dealmaker Hanover (9/5)-Came 3rd in last from the rail at even money. Now moves outside and should be a better price but will be small. Does have the speed to win from out here with a decent trip. Will respect chances but lean to others for more value.

                Race 11

                7-Louzotic (3-1)-Beaten odds on favorite got on the engine and was just nipped at the wire. Comes right back at the same class and the winner isn't in this field. Looks like a main player.
                9-Walter White (10-1)-This is Oosting's choice over #6 who is at 4-1 in the morning line. Has hit the board in 12 of 26 in Stickney with 5 pictures and has been facing better. Will need a sharp steer but is worth a try at this price.

                0.50 Late Pick 4

                4,6,7/1,6,7/8,9,10/7,9
                Total Bet=$27
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358283

                  #9
                  Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 2/6/22

                  February 6, 2022

                  “What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
                  By Jeff Siegel, 1stbet.com Handicapper & Analyst


                  Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TPC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
                  *
                  The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 individual
                  algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100 point takeout.

                  The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

                  Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

                  For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

                  *
                  *
                  Grade Descriptions:
                  Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
                  Grade B=Solid Play.
                  Grade C=Least preferred or pass
                  Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

                  __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                  RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: B+
                  Use (in order of preference): 5-Excelerina; 2-Sunny Morning

                  Forecast: 5-Excelerina makes her U.S. debut in this nine furlong maiden event on grass for fillies and mares and comes from a stable that has superior stats with these Euro-imports. Her Timeform numbers are just okay, but her local workouts indicate she could improve considerably on this circuit. The P. D’Amato-trained Irish-bred lands F. Prat and is listed as the 8/5 morning line favorite, deservedly so. Sunny Morning has had a couple of local runs since arriving from France and displayed improvement when a willing second over a mile last month. The P. Gallagher-trained filly has every right to step forward again and should appreciate today’s extra furlong. We’ll have tickets including both in our rolling exotics and then press with Excelerina on top.

                  Notable Workouts:

                  Excelerina (January 17, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.4h TT). Grade: B
                  Breezing through the lane while finishing with plenty left in sharp training track drill for P. D’Amato while leading the way to the wire in team drill with Rhea Moon and Picota (all same time), final quarter mile in :23.4. Irish invader looks to be considerably better than her moderate European form would indicate, should be a live item vs. older maiden fillies and mares on this circuit.
                  View Workout Video


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                  RACE 2: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C
                  Use (in order of preference): 4-Unsolved Mystery; 5-Muy Chistosa; 3-American Lily

                  Forecast: This is a pass race for us, as the high-priced maiden claiming sprint for sophomore fillies attracted just six starters, three of which have credentials to win. Unsolved Mystery finished third in a stronger-than-par maiden $75,000 affair last month, so this “raise” in class may not too much for her to handle. She has enough early speed to be on or near the lead throughout and could keep going in a race with suspect closers. Muy Chistosa shows up in a seller for the first time and sports the route-to-sprint angle, so the J. Mullins-trained filly is a a major player based alone on those two angles. Two races back she finished a respectable fourth behind Awake At Midnight, Adare Manor and Under the Stars, three Stakes runners, and there’s nothing even remotely as good in this much easier spot. American Lily is a first-timer from San Luis Rey Downs with a steady series of workouts, including a couple that catch the eye. She’s a homebred and realistically spotted while attracting F. Prat, so in an open affair she has to be included on your ticket.

                  Notable Workouts:

                  Kjos Kid (January 29, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.1h). Grade: C+
                  Was ridden through the lane but didn’t finish with a lot of energy, final three furlongs in :39 flat on our watches. Was scratched when she flipped in the paddock in a maiden $75,000 claimer last month.
                  View Workout Video

                  Lovely Lola (January 15, Santa Anita, 4f, :48.1hg). Grade: C
                  Was ridden most of the way outside Lookin at Sweetie (4f, :48hg) and was a length back when pulled up after a half, splits of :24.3, :36.2 and :48.4 on our watches, slower than given and not impressive. Modest maiden claimer at this stage, it would appear.
                  View Workout Video


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                  RACE 3: Post: 1:34 PT Grade: X
                  Use (in order of preference): 3-Adare Manor

                  Forecast: Adare Manor (TOC=Evens; ML=6/5) was given a couple of sprint races for educational purposes before stretching out to a distance that seemed certain to bring out her best, and the daughter of Uncle Mo stepped forward as expected to graduate by 12 easy lengths while improving her Beyer speed figure by 22 points. She moves up into graded stakes company and projects to score right back, even though stable mate Eda is a Grade-1 winner and the more experienced of the two with six previous outings. They worked together recently (see below), with ‘Manor clearly the better and stronger, so at 6/5 on the morning line we’ll use her as a rolling exotic single in a race that otherwise doesn’t offer much wagering value.

                  Notable Workouts:

                  Adare Manor (January 30, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.2h). Grade: B+
                  Breezing inside Eda (same time) for Baffert, never asked at any stage while a long neck in front at the wire, splits of :23.4, :36.2 and 101.2, a ton left through the lane. Gets better each time we see her, graded stakes potential, for sure. Workmate went well enough without being asked as well but was clearly second best.
                  View Workout Video

                  Eda (January 30, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.2h). Grade: B
                  See Adare Manor, above.
                  View Workout Video


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                  RACE 4: Post: 2:04 PT Grade: B+
                  Single: 8-Dutch Box

                  Forecast: Dutch Box tipped his hand when a good third at this bottom-rung maiden claiming level last month and a similar performance from his cozy outside post position should be good enough to handle this modest assignment. In a race that projects to have very soft early fractions, the B. Heap-trained gelding projects to be on or near the lead throughout without having to spend much energy. At 5/2 on the morning line (and we suspect will go lower), he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.


                  __________________________________________________ ___________________________
                  __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                  RACE 5: Post: 2:35 PT Grade: C
                  Use (in order of preference): 4-Jack Sixpack; 6-Erebus; 3-Vanisky

                  Forecast: Four of the seven starters in this state-bred maiden turf miler for 3-year-olds exit the same race, with Erubus, who was 45-1 in that event, finishing second as the controlling speed in a vastly improved effort. Similar tactics likely will be employed today, though Jack Sixpack, who is drawn inside of him, may have his sights set on the lead as well and could get brave if allowed to make the running. Vanisky displayed some late interest in that Jan. 15 event when a too-little, too late fourth and probably will be the most dangerous of the late runners. Any of the three mentioned above could win – or not – so best advice is to spread the race and tread lightly.


                  __________________________________________________ ____________________________
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                  RACE 6: Post: 3:06 PT Grade: B+
                  Single: 5-Quick Buck

                  Forecast: Quick Buck doesn’t show any workout times that jump off the page, but the debuting gelding looked decent in a recent gate drill that points him out in this below standard maiden special weight sprint for California-bred 3-year-olds. In a race in which the known element doesn’t impress, let’s take a stand on this newcomer from the M. Glatt stable, which shows excellent stats with the first-time starter angle. With F. Prat taking the call and at 5/2 on the morning line, he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

                  Notable Workouts:

                  Syzlak (January 24, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.4hg). Grade: B-
                  Slow early without being asked much and then finished okay while second best with Sharapova (same time, never asked, clearly best), splits of :25.1, :37 flat, :48.4 and 1:01.4, fair to moderate for P. Eurton. Decent mover, has bit of run, probably maiden claiming/Cal-bred material.
                  View Workout Video

                  Quick Buck (January 30, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2hg). Grade: B
                  In blinkers, breezing along every step of the way in team gate drill inside Five Circle (5f, 1:00.3hg) for M. Glatt, splits of :24.2, :36.1, :48.2 and 1:01 flat on our watches, slower than given but easy as pie. Son of Mohaymen is eligible to surface in a moderate Cal-bred spot and should be live at first asking.
                  View Workout Video


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                  RACE 7: Post: 3:39 PT Grade: B+
                  Single: 1-Taming the Tigress

                  Forecast: Taming the Tigress (TOC=3/5; ML=6/5) was given a bit too much to do when a closing but non-threatening second in a similar event over the local lawn last month. She gets an extra half-furlong to work with today and projects to enjoy a second flight, ground-saving trip from the rail. With F. Prat staying aboard, we’ll make the daughter of Smiling Tiger a logical top pick and rolling exotic single in this entry-level allowance grass sprint for state-bred fillies and mares.


                  __________________________________________________ ____________________________
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                  RACE 8: Post: 4:12 PT Grade: X
                  Use (in order of preference): 1-Messier; 2-Sir London

                  Forecast: Five have been entered in this year’s edition of the Robert B. Lewis S.-G3 but the two main players will get the bulk of the player. Messier (TOC=7/5; ML=6/5) continues to shine in his a.m. drills, making it all the more difficult to explain his failure at 50 cents on the dollar in the Los Alamitos Futurity-G2 in December. The son of Empire Maker enjoyed a perfect pace-pressing trip through comfortable fractions but simply couldn’t find extra when put to pressure in the closing stages. Today, he removes blinkers and switches to Johnny V., and from the rail we’re expecting the B. Baffert-trained colt to enjoy every chance for redemption. Another positive factor is that his best race – a more than six length maiden win while under wraps – was accomplished over the Santa Anita main track. Sir London, (TOC=Evens; ML=9/5) the preferred pick according to the analytics, crushed maidens by 10 lengths in his first start around two turns at Los Alamitos last time out and has done extremely well since in his a.m. trials. The developing son of Malibu Moon can give the favorite a run for his money if his improving pattern continues. We’ll prefer Messier on top but include both in our rolling exotics in a race that we’ll otherwise sit out.

                  Notable Workouts:

                  Messier (January 30, Santa Anita, 5f, :59.2h). Grade: A-
                  Powerful move outside Flying Drummer (5f, :59.3h), breaking off slightly behind and then finishing about a length in front at the wire, never really asked, quite impressive. Missed at 50 cents on the dollar in the Los Alamitos Futurity-G2 in December without any excuse but will have a chance to make amends in the Robert B. Lewis S.-G3. Remains very well regarded but needs to show it in the afternoon.
                  View Workout Video

                  Sir London (January 30, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.2h). Grade: B+
                  Blinkers, shadow roll, was late changing leads but was coasting through the lane, final three furlongs in :35.4. Crushed maidens at Los Alamitos and will get tested for the class in the Robert B. Lewis S.-G3. Acts like he’ll run all day, bright prospect.
                  View Workout Video

                  Wharton (January 30, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h). Grade: B
                  Inside Triple Tap (same time) for B. Baffert and was asked pretty good through the lane and then out to the seven furlong pole to be even but second best with breezing workmate, splits of :24 flat, :36 flat, 1:00.3 (at the wire) and then out in 1:13.4 for a full six furlongs. Was hoping for a bit better after an easy debut maiden win last month.
                  View Workout Video


                  __________________________________________________ ____________________________
                  __________________________________________________ ____________________________

                  RACE 9: Post: 4:45 PT Grade: B
                  Use (in order of preference): 7-Principe Carlo; 4-I’m Corfu

                  Forecast: Principe Carlo (TOC=Evens; ML=9/5) exits a couple of tougher state-bred stakes races, winning the Carry Grant S. at Del Mar and then finishing fourth in the Cal Cup Sprint in a hot affair won by Brickyard Road. He faces a much easier task today, switches to E. Maldonado, and has run well for this rider in the past. First or second in nine of 11 career outings over the Santa Anita main track, the son of Coil is the morning line favorite at 9/5 in this starter’s allowance $25,000 event and logically so. Midwest invader I’m Corfu (TOC=8-1; ML=6-1) is worth using on a back-up ticket or two. Solid on speed figures, this eight-time winner is plenty quick, and if he can shake loose early, he could prove troublesome late.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358283

                    #10
                    Jerry Shottenkirk: My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Gulfstream

                    February 6, 2022 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

                    The Late Pick 4 Sunday at Gulfstream Park includes several up-and-comers that have run close together.

                    The sequence runs from races 8-11 and includes a starter optional claiming race, a pair of allowance optional claiming events, and a maiden optional claiming race.

                    The suggested ticket amounts to $67.50, and here’s a look at the players:

                    8th Race (3:37 p.m. ET, starter optional claiming)

                    PRINCE OF IRON was in tough battles in both starts, winning one and running second in the other. He came on well and just missed vs. similar last time, and the added experience will clearly be a positive as he comes back in this one. It’s a strong field for a starter optional claiming heat.

                    Also on the ticket: YES I’M A BEAST, NEVER SATISFIED.

                    9th Race (4:11 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

                    SAYYAAF cruised home last time in a race that came off the turf but has shown some prolific speed in short turf races as well. His connections tried him going long and he responded with a couple of turf wins over this course. His latest win came off a nine-month layoff, and he can be expected to run a big one in the return to grass.

                    Also on the ticket: CHINOBE, DISCREET TUNE.

                    10th Race (4:42 p.m. ET, allowance optional claiming)

                    RAISE THE RENT got the bottom end of the stick in a four-horse blanket finish last out and was an easy winner two races back. Gets Paco Lopez aboard and he can be in good position throughout.

                    The field finished so close together that a different result is a definite possibility each time they get together.

                    Also on the ticket: TWICE TOO MANY, HANDSOME PRINCE, MISH, PICKING UP PENNIES.


                    11th Race (5:14 p.m. ET, maiden optional claiming)

                    GLOBES gave way and was vanned off last time out, which was his first since October. He should benefit from the inside trip and can get back to good form. He’s had a weekly moderate workout over the past month and looks ready to be a big player at this level. 'Blinkers off' could help.

                    Also on the ticket: T VILLE, FIERY HEART.


                    Gulfstream Park 50-cent Late Pick 4:
                    8) #2 Yes I’m a Beast, #5 Never Satisfied, #6 Prince of Iron.
                    9) #2 Chinobe, #4 Sayyaaf, #10 Discreet Tune.
                    10) #2 Twice too Many, #3 Handsome Prince, #4 Mish, #7 Raise the Rent, #8 Picking Up Pennies.
                    11) #1 Globes, #3 T Ville, #9 Fiery Heart.
                    The ticket: 2-5-6 with 2-4-10 with 2-3-4-7-8 with 1-3-9 ($67.50)
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358283

                      #11
                      Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

                      Fair Grounds - Race #8
                      Picks Notes
                      #8 Zippin Gigi Plenty of these want to settle and finish from a bit off the splits, and this guy seems the most committed to the front end. Best of the pace sticks around to land this?
                      #4 Federal Exchange He should be right up near the top while stretching out on the turf for the first time, and this seems like a really good level for him as he makes the local debut.
                      #2 Math Man Love the way he moved up when tryin the turf for the first time, and he should get a pretty cozy trip from near the inside with these. Chance to land one right back off the score last out.
                      Race Summary Zippin Gigi should have a run for it from the break, and he has shown some ability to dig in after showing pace since switching to the turf a couple starts back. The barn has quietly had a good meet from limited starters.

                      Fair Grounds - Race #6
                      Picks Notes
                      #2 Yin Yang There is enough sprint pace in here to think this one's route pace abilities will leave her in a good spot to finish into the splits while saving ground from the inside. She might be the right one at a playable price.
                      #1 Kit Keller She has some pace to get in the mix early on, but she can also press from just a touch off the splits. Think she figures to be right there again with this group.
                      #7 Kneesnhips Finisher cuts back to this sharper trip, but this represents some significant class relief after trying four consecutive stakes tries off the maiden win. She should get a good setup here, so look for her late.
                      Race Summary Yin Yang showed some solid route pace last out when opening up early, and that kind of pace might leave her in a beautiful spot along the inside in a race where the forward players might burn each other out.

                      Fair Grounds - Race #7
                      Picks Notes
                      #7 Philly Wins Think she has a claim on this at a decent price, though she does have some tables to turn off those recent starts. There isn't a ton of finishing ability lined up in here, so maybe she is able to pick these up late if the rest get weary.
                      #2 Elsie Girl She'll step up to try winners for the first time after the maiden win last time out, but I like her ability to press the pace and stay on late, something that might give her the edge on the other forward players.
                      #2 Rue Lala She seems plenty capable with this group, but she has had a lot of chances to get past this type of condition and still has not been a serious threat to any recent winner. Underlay?
                      Race Summary Philly Wins should be a good price on the board, and she figures to settle off the splits before launching a late rally. There are some logical players in here who are suspect in the lane, giving this one a chance to come alive late.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358283

                        #12
                        Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

                        Gulfstream Park - Race #5
                        Picks Notes
                        #3 Pure Speight Tried significantly stronger company going short on turf, now goes to two turns on synth; he won a Tapeta sprint two back and was claimed by Perez.
                        #5 Born a Gambler Has been close in his last two at this level and can be on or close to the front end throughout.
                        #7 Tang Made up ground going long last time and can pick up a lot of pieces here.
                        Race Summary Pure Speight is back to a more comfortable level and can battle it out with these; can get back to winning.

                        Gulfstream Park - Race #7
                        Picks Notes
                        #6 Queen Camilla Has been in some rugged spots and comes off a fourth in a stakes race here; late threat vs. these.
                        #4 Rosy Apple Was third in a similar race last time out and has shown finishing interest in three of four.
                        #4 Cancel This Gave way in the G2 Goldenrod in November and had been good in two of three prior.
                        Race Summary Queen Camilla can keep in range and should have the late move to prevail.

                        Gulfstream Park - Race #1
                        Picks Notes
                        #1 I Gen Lost a photo on synth two back and picks up Saez here; can be in fairly close position early and should be able to finish well.
                        #2 But I Did Was along for third at Presque Isle last out and showed a lot of improvement on the all-weather.
                        #6 Superposition Was on the board in his last two, the most recent on Tapeta; one to watch late.
                        Race Summary I Gen can win if he runs back to race two back; lands in a soft post and be able to get it done.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358283

                          #13
                          Santa Anita Park Picks: Bob Lewis Featured in the Late Pick 4 on February 6
                          By J.N. Campbell


                          Santa Anita Park Picks - Sunday, February 6, 2022

                          Race 1: 3-5-2-4
                          Race 2: 5-4-6-2
                          Race 3: 3-5-4-1
                          Race 4: 3-2-7-8
                          Race 5: 5-4-7-2
                          Race 6: 5-6-2-7
                          Race 7: 1-7-5-6
                          Race 8: 4-5-1-2
                          Race 9: 4-3-7-1
                          **Most Likely Winner: Taming The Tigress #1 (Race 7)**
                          **Best Value: I'm Corfu #4 (Race 9)**

                          LATE PICK 4…

                          LEG 1: (Race 6: Dirt, 6F, MSW67k, 3 Cal Breds)

                          The California breds will be out in force on this Sunday, and we are starting this Late Pick 4 with a bunch of 3-yr-old sprinters. There are 5 … yes, 5 … 1st time starters in this spot. That is going to make things a bit tricky, especially with no form to go on. I wonder if we should play against all 5, or toss out Magnifcient Ride #2 and Heaven’s Music #6? Hmm … Well, I rather like the bloodlines and background of Mark Glatt’s Quick Buck #5 (every horseplayer’s dream …), so including this one seems appropriate. By Mohaymen (Tapit), he gets Flavien Prat, and possesses a steady work tab. Paddy Gallagher also has a colt that is promising by Stay Thirsty … The Sandy Surprise #7 is from Snobby Princess, and you have to consider her background too (6 winners from 8 starters). Let’s go with these 4, since it gives us a nice mix of runners with varied experience. The #2 and the #6, for Hector Palma and Ed Alvarez, respectively, are both looking for their maiden victory. Maybe today … is the day!

                          Selections: 2/5/6/7 (4-Deep)



                          LEG 2: (Race 7: Turf, 6½, AOC20k, F&M 4+ Cal Breds)

                          Heading to the grass, we will be sprinting down the backstretch, and turning for home … An AOC contest, I am sure that the Alvarado Barn thinks they are sitting on the winner with Taming the Tigress #1. I tend to agree … wholeheartedly … This 4-yr-old by turf sprint sire Smiling Tiger comes in with a stellar record. Since a September score at Los Al, she is 4/0-3-1. Expect Flavien Prat to “deal” with the rail post position, and get her into position to score. It is hard to go against this “fave,” and I am not going to try and beat her. This one is a “Single” for me … nothing wrong with backing this leading rider on his preferred surface, either.

                          Selections: 1 (Single)



                          LEG 3: (Race 8: Dirt, 1 1/16th, Robert B. Lewis S. (G3), $200k, 3)

                          The “feature” race on Sunday afternoon that should garner a good bit of action is this year’s edition of the Robert B. Lewis Stakes. A Grade 3 affair, this contest is pretty much the dominion of Bob Baffert. Who could forget a year ago when Medina Spirit really announced his presence with such authority? The HOF trainer, who has continued to take up major airtime, is hoping to notch 3 in-a-row (Mucho Gusto, Thousand Words, MS …). Of course, with his customary pair of uncoupled entries, it is certain that Messier #1 and Wharton #4 will take quite a bit of money. Interestingly enough, these colts are backed by the same ownership conglomerate … SF, Starlight, and Madaket … The #1 is by Empire Maker, and he was a pretty penny, $470k. We last saw him as a 2-yr-old in the Los Al Futurity (G2) back in early December. He was beaten by Doug O’Neill’s Slow Down Andy that afternoon in the waning sunlight, and now as he adds “blinkers,” one has to wonder if that defeat had any affect on him? I am not sure it did, and let’s face it, Baffert will have him ready to fire in this spot. His stablemate, a colt by Candy Ride (ARG, was equally as costly—$475k—so, one has to think that his rise should be watched with interest. JJ Hernandez gets the call, and going back and watching this one’s debut might be in order. He took over the race with Johnny V (who now rides the #1) in the irons, and before you knew it, he was gone by 5+ lengths. His speed fig was solid, and he should be considered a “rising star.” Opposing this Baffert pair are 3 others, which includes an O’Neill entry. Like Baffert’s untested #4, a Calumet homebred called Happy Jack #5 is in the same boat. A son of Oxbow, this 3-yr-old ran-on nicely last month at Santa Anita in a MSWk. He bested Bletchley Park, and now returns on short rest to oppose this lot. Abel Cedillo is back aboard, and will be trying to outrun the odds of 6/1. I am sure those will come down a bit, as horseplayers look for some value. One other that deserves consideration is from Simon Callaghan’s midst. Do not leave out Sir London #2 … wow … the son of Malibu Moon broke his maiden in his 3rd career start, winning by 10-lengths! Talk about being ridden out … If this frontrunning engine can take a step forward in here, then his condition could be looking at a legit Derby Trail threat. Nothing wins like early speed on a track that favors such an attribute! Let’s use all 4 of these runners, as one of them is bound to get home, crossing the wire first!

                          Selections: 1/2/4/5 (4-Deep)



                          LEG 4: (Race 9: Dirt, 6½F, St.ALLW25k, 4+ Cal Breds)

                          The Cal bred extravaganza continues, as we wind up this LP4 ticket! This “Starter” is going to be turning and burning on the MT, and I particularly like the look of an import from Beth Vanden Berg’s establishment. If you are not familiar with her, then it is time to sit-up and take notice. She has shifted her focus to the West Coast, after the final closing of Arlington International Racecourse outside of Chicago. Her rise there as a conditioner was quite impressive, and in this spot, she once again pairs with regular rider Chris Emigh. I’m Corfu #4 has some nice class lines, and at 7-yrs-old, he has the experience to take on a crowd like this one. A note: Non-Cal breds are outsiders that can compete, based on the terms laid out by the Racing Office. At odds of 6/1, I would not overlook this one. I have 3 more slots on my LP4, so let’s also consider the M/L favorite, Principe Carlo #7 from the Barocio Barn because this horse is dropping out of a “Non-G” at Santa Anita back on 15 Jan. He was just off the board that day, but should be able to rebound here. Let’s not forget that this son of Coil won the Cary Grant S. $100k back at Del Mar in November. Surprised … is more like it … at odds of 19/1! A pair of others that seem likely are George Papaprodromou’s Admirably #1, and Mark Glatt’s Rookie Mistake #3. They both have AOC Co. in their pasts, and that bodes well in a race like this one. Nothing like solid form … Let’s get this ticket home!

                          Selections: 1/3/4/7 (4-Deep)

                          -------------------------------------------------------

                          Ticket: 2-5-6-7 / 1 / 1-2-4-5 / 1-3-4-7

                          .50 LP4 TICKET COST: $32.00
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358283

                            #14
                            Santa Anita Park Selections for February 6, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

                            By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Feb 5th, 2022 8:36pm PST

                            Santa Anita Park Selections for February 6, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

                            We’re hitting the racetrack on Sunday at the BetOnline racebook. BetOnline has a decent card with at least 13 tracks available for wagering. It was a successful day yesterday at Aqueduct Racetrack and Delta Downs.

                            Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

                            Delta Downs was a sweep on their stakes day, while Aqueduct Racetrack was a profitable outing with two of three winners in stakes races. The most impressive was Early Voting in the $250,000 Withers Stakes (Gr. 2).

                            He wants to go to the Kentucky Derby and that was a pretty good start to his Derby bid. The stakes situation on Sunday is limited, with the Las Virgenes (Gr. 3) and $200,000 Robert B. Lewis Stakes (Gr. 3) at Santa Anita Park the feature.

                            Santa Anita has nine races worth $785,000 in prize money in California this afternoon. Head below for our best Santa Anita Park picks on February 6, 2022.
                            Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
                            Race 3 – Las Virgenes Stakes
                            (1) Miss Everything
                            +1200 (12/1)
                            (2) Gracelund Gray
                            +800 (8/1)
                            (3) Adare Manor
                            +120 (6/5)
                            (4) Queen of Thorns
                            +250 (5/2)
                            (5) Eda
                            +180 (9/5)

                            Post Time: 1:34 p.m. PST
                            Distance:1 Mile
                            Purse:$200,000

                            The $200,000 Las Virgenes Stakes (Gr. 3) is the co-feature event at Santa Anita Park on Sunday afternoon. We should have a one between Queen of Thorns and Adare Manor in the stretch.

                            Queen of Thorns is a one-time winner in one appearance. The filly came through with an 8 length win in a $67,000 event. That was incredibly impressive as a first-time runner.

                            The $300,000 Queen of Thorns has a promising career ahead and that was good beginnings for her. Right after that dominant debut, Queen of Thorns is expected to take on a bigger test in the Las Virgenes.

                            Adare Manor has finished 2nd, 4th, 1st in three races. She is coming off a big run on January 7 in a $67,000 event.

                            This wasn’t close, with Adare Manor showing markedly improved form in a 12 length wire-to-wire win. It was much better than November 20, where Adare Manor finished 4th in a $70,000 race.

                            That was disappointing as the favorite, but improved workouts translated to a romp. The $375,000 Adare Manor is on pace now for more success in the Las Virgenes.
                            The Bet
                            (3) ADARE MANOR
                            +120
                            Place Bet Now!
                            Race 7
                            (1) Taming the Tigress
                            +120 (6/5)
                            (2) Blackjack Betty
                            +1500 (15/1)
                            (3) Donut Girl
                            +1200 (12/1)
                            (4) Little Miss Ellie
                            +400 (4/1)
                            (5) Northern Gem
                            +800 (8/1)
                            (6) Righteously
                            +600 (6/1)
                            (7) Wishtheycouldallbe
                            +300 (3/1)

                            Post Time: 3:39 p.m. PST
                            Distance: 6 ½ Furlongs
                            Purse:$69,000

                            Race 7 is a $69,000 event covering 6 ½ furlongs on the turf. Expect big work from Wishtheycouldallbe and Taming the Tigress in this one.

                            Wishtheycouldallbe has finished 2 for 9 and should have a chance at a third win today. She has finished 2nd, 5th, 1st in her last three attempts.

                            After finishing 5th on September 26 in a $49,000 event, Wishtheycouldallbe cashed with a half-length win in a $69,000 race.

                            Improvement was noted with another showing like that going to put Wishtheyallcouldbe in contention again. Flavien Prat might have other ideas aboard Taming the Tigress, though.

                            Taming the Tigress is a consistent operator, having finished in the top-3 in five straight attempts. In his latest start, Taming the Tigress placed 2nd behind That’s Amare by 2 lengths for a $69,000 race.

                            On the inside rail out of the gate, Taming the Tigress likely has the advantage over Wishtheycouldallbe. Both talented horses, with Taming the Tigress likely edging away in the final furlong.
                            The Bet
                            (1) TAMING THE TIGRESS
                            +120
                            Place Bet Now!
                            Race 8 – Robert B. Lewis Stakes
                            (1) Messier
                            +120 (6/5)
                            (2) Sir London
                            +180 (9/5)
                            (3) Cabo Spirit
                            +800 (8/1)
                            (4) Wharton
                            +400 (4/1)
                            (5) Happy Jack
                            +1200 (12/1)

                            Post Time: 4:12 p.m. PST
                            Distance:1 1/16 Miles
                            Purse:$200,000

                            The $200,000 Robert B. Lewis Stakes covers 1 1/16 miles on the dirt. This one looks like it should be between Sir London and Messier. Expect a good battle down the stretch.

                            Sir London has finished 2nd, 2nd, 1st in three career races. He is coming off a 10 length blowout win in a $52,000 race on December 4. That was impressive.

                            The win came after Sir London placed 2nd behind Kid Corleone by a length for a $70,000 purse on November 13 at Del Mar. Sir London was a heavy favorite, so it was disappointing before bouncing back for a 10 length win.

                            Messier a Bob Baffert trainee is in a good place to get a win here. He has finished 2nd, 1st, 1st, 2nd, including a graded win in the $100,000 Bob Hope Stakes (Gr. 3) by 3 ½ lengths in November.

                            He was unable to follow up a month later, but still looked good in the $300,000 Los Alamitos Futurity (Gr. 3), placing behind Slow Down Andy by 1 length. In this class against a beatable field, expect Baffert to have a winner with Messier.
                            The Bet
                            (1) MESSIER
                            +120
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358283

                              #15
                              Aqueduct (7th) Bustin Bay, 5-1
                              (8th) Champagne Poetry, 3-1

                              Fair Grounds (1st) Jack the Ripper, 9-2
                              (3rd) Loneshilohspecial, 7-2

                              Golden Gate Fields (5th) Sunset Dragunn, 9-2
                              (6th) Honeymoonz Over, 7-2

                              Gulfstream Park (1st) Beau Brown, 4-1
                              (3rd) Stupendous, 7-2

                              Laurel Park (2nd) Love Is Strong, 7-2
                              (7th) Tequila Fog, 3-1

                              Santa Anita (2nd) Kjos Kid, 5-1
                              (5th) Jack Sixpack, 7-2

                              Tampa Bay Downs (1st) Brass Band, 3-1
                              (5th) Tiz Lottie, 3-1
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