Sunday 2/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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BETTING ODDS TRENDS

Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 7 games at home
LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
LA Clippers is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers

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NBA
Sunday, February 6
Trend Report

Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Brooklyn @ Denver
Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Brooklyn's last 13 games when playing Denver
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Denver
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 13 games when playing Brooklyn

Detroit @ Minnesota
Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Indiana @ Cleveland
Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

Atlanta @ Dallas
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Atlanta is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Dallas's last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games

Boston @ Orlando
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston

New Orleans @ Houston
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games at home

Milwaukee @ LA Clippers
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Hawks are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games.
The Mavericks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 matchups against Atlanta.
The total has gone OVER in eight of the last 12 Hawks' games.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Mavericks' games.


The Clippers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten games.
The Bucks are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight matchups against the Clippers.
The total has gone OVER in seven of the last ten Clippers' games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups between the Bucks and Clippers.

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DETROIT is 31-56 ATS (-30.6 Units) after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the current season.

BROOKLYN is 80-43 ATS (32.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points since 1996.

CLEVELAND is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the current season.

DALLAS are 9-0 ATS (9 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less in the current season.

BOSTON is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) vs. poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game in the current season.

HOUSTON is 8-31 ATS (-26.1 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game - 2nd half of the season...

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields

Golden Gate Fields - Race 1	$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 min) $2 Rolling Double /$0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) $0.50 Early Pick 5 (Races 1-2-3-4-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • All-Weather • Ages 4 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 12:45
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * SOUTHEAST ASIA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. BIG CITY BANE: Horse has run a Good Race withi n the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CLARENCE HEADS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distanc e/surface.
4	SOUTHEAST ASIA	7/2	9/2
6	BIG CITY BANE	1/1	5/1
3	CLARENCE HEADS	15/1	7/1

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
3	CLARENCE HEADS	3	15/1	Stalker	77	74	87.2	71.1	62.1
4	SOUTHEAST ASIA	4	7/2	Stalker	89	82	57.4	76.4	74.4
2	MONSTRODAMOUS	2	3/1	Alternator/Stalker	79	74	38.0	65.3	54.8
6	BIG CITY BANE	6	1/1	Trailer	85	74	54.8	79.8	75.8
1	CURRY NATION	1	6/1	Trailer	84	72	39.2	70.8	64.8
5	HULA KING	5	12/1	Alternator/Non-contender	82	64	63.8	73.2	63.7

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 6	.50 Pick 4(Races 6-7-8-9)/$1 Exacta/$1 Trifecta/.10 Superfecta
Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $9,600 • Post: 2:37P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 1 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

Contenders					Race Analysis
P#	Horse	Morn Line	Accept Odds		Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. PEARL DRAGON is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PEARL DRAGON: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fo urth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7	PEARL DRAGON	3/1	5/2

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P#	Horse (In Running Style Order)	Post	Morn Line	Running Style	Good Class	Good Speed	Early Figure	Finish Figure	Platinum Figure
7	PEARL DRAGON	7	3/1	Front-runner	79	80	81.4	64.6	59.6
4	CRITICAL DECISION	4	8/1	Front-runner	66	58	72.0	55.0	45.0
1	ELEGANT CRICKET	1	7/2	Alternator/Stalker	73	73	74.3	61.0	55.5
5	JERRYS WAY	5	10/1	Alternator/Stalker	77	63	67.4	51.6	40.1
2	SUZY Q	2	7/2	Trailer	73	60	53.6	64.6	59.1
3	VANNA	3	5/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	76	64.0	60.6	53.6
6	BLUE XCHANGE	6	4/1	Alternator/Non-contender	70	66	61.8	55.4	44.9

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GOING GULFSTREAM – FEB 6

By John Pricci - On the Line
February 6, 2022

Would like to complete the Early Pick 5 with a two-horse race on Tapeta Track going a mile and 70 yards.

The major suspects are Born a Gambler (9-5) and Kitodan (7-2). The good news is there’s not much to separate them, so why take the favorite?

We won’t. Take a look at that Tapeta try here, DEC 21, Race 9 to confirm he took a step forward.

Beaten five lengths in his listed stakes turf debut, he showed improved speed his first time on synthetics when dropped in class. He showed speed, dropped back, and reengaged late.

Now add first-Lasix to the package and knowing that Jorge Delgado is a profitable 23% in third start off the layup with three purposeful works and a switch to Javier Castellano, riding well at the moment.

We’re taking Kitodan straight at 5-2 or greater, and a quinella with the favorite.

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TAMPA BAY TODAY – FEB 6
By John Pricci - On the Line

Ending the race week in Oldsmar with maiden claimers going long on the grass and nothing fancy, but some whimsy to possibly get paid, a Handicapping 101 axiom and an interesting comeback race.

Machinegunpreacher (3-1) ran well enough in turf debut to inspire confidence he was placed properly and wouldn’t be a maiden long.

Then there’s Jon Arnett effectiveness dropping from MSW to MCL and at the same level of his good-figure run. And a check if his last on video, Tampa Bay Downs, JAN 21, Race 7 shows a horse never involved at any point.

Throw in pole position and switch to underrated grass rider Wilmer Garcia and a probable winner emerges.

An interesting newcomer is debuting Trusted Advisor (10-1), and Tim Hamm does some of his best work with Pablo Morales, who needs no introduction. Taking Machinegunpreacher to win, no price restrictions, and an exacta box with the firster.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LAUREL PARK PICKS AND PONDERINGS: FEB. 6, 2022
John Piassek

Post time: 12:25 p.m.

Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — $5,319 Super High 5 — $0 Late Pick 5 — $0

Check out our other handicapping here!

RACE 1: CLAIMING $5,000 (N/W2L), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/16 MILES

1-3-6-4

#1 Tiny Tim (5/1) closed strongly to get fourth in his first start off the layoff last out. He has great late speed and will be rolling while the rest are fading. #3 Camp Pendleton (2/1) makes his local debut for Rodolfo Sanchez-Solomon after competing at Gulfstream Park. He broke his maiden five starts back and has been fairly competitive against n/w2L types down there. His brisnet figures in the upper 60s and low 70s make him a contender here. #6 Boondoggle (9/5) led most of the way in his first start at this level last out and got caught late. He’ll be a threat if he can cross and clear before the turn.

RACE 2: CLAIMING $5,000 (CONDITIONED), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 1 1/16 MILES

6-5-3-1

#6 Congress Hall (2/1) closed strongly against open claimers last out and just missed, losing by a neck. She almost always runs in the 70s and should close well once again. #5 Breviary (9/5) goes second off a brief layoff and takes a drop from the starter optional claiming level. Her figures in her last few have been below par but she should benefit from the class relief. #3 Love Is Strong (7/2) also has good late speed. Her last race around two turns isn’t that impressive on the surface, but she was hung wide on the turn early in that race. Should save more ground here with her draw.

Joe
Joe seeking path to Preakness
Maryland Juvenile Championship winner Joe won’t be on the Derby trail this year, but his connections are eyeing the Preakness path.

RACE 3: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, 6 FURLONGS

7-5-8-3

#7 Dial Me Maybe (5/2) has run at least a 67 in each of her last three starts and has potent early speed. She had problems going into the gate last out, which compromised her performance, but if she loads well this time, she’s going to be tough. #5 She’s Got Game (3/1) showed speed and faded on debut going a mile at Parx. She cuts back in distance and adds lasix for the first time for Jamie Ness. #8 Kobe’s Girl (7/2) put in a career-best effort last out, churning on for third. It was in contrast to her prior races, where she’d rate near the pace and not kick on at all.

RACE 4: CLAIMING $40,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, 1 MILE

5-6-4-1

#5 Relativlea (4/1) was very impressive first off the claim for Jamie Ness, drawing off from a maiden claiming field after a wide trip. He proved in that race that a one-turn mile is no problem. #6 Free Square (2/1) went gate-to-wire last out in a strong performance. Like Relativlea, he defeated Jasontakeslong in that race. That one won a maiden special weight race at Charles Town on Thursday. #4 Lord Mio (3/1) drops from the allowance optional claiming level and adds blinkers for Claudio Gonzalez. He ran figures that are competitive for this condition in his last two but was visually unimpressive.

RACE 5: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 4 AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES AND MARES, 5 1/2 FURLONGS

3-5-4-1

#3 Birthday Wish (9/5) continues her drop down the class ladder. She’s gone off as the slight favorite in each of her last three starts, and has briefly stalked before flattening out every time. Her figures fit right in with these. #5 Iamproud (4/1) goes third off the layoff and has improved with every start. Look for her to set the early pace. #4 Union Betty (6/1) had a tough trip going long last out but held on for third. Should improve cutting back.

RACE 6: CLAIMING $5,000 (CONDITIONED), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/8 MILES

3-4-6-8

#3 Lucky Ramsey (5/2) improved sharply in his second start off the layoff, getting second with a strong mark of 76 despite a wide trip. Should keep moving forward here. #4 Find Your Boaz (6/1) has no early speed at all but always closes for a piece of the pie. He’s worth using underneath at a good number. #6 Always Forgiven (8/1) was rank early on in his last start but closed well once he settled down. He’s starting to round back into his best form and is also worth using at a decent price.

Rosario Montanez
Jockey Rosario Montanez makes Sunday return
Jockey Rosario Montanez has had a long road back since a 2020 injury. He’ll reach the starting gate for the first time since on Jan. 30.

RACE 7: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING $16,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 5 1/2 FURLONGD

3-6-5-4

#3 Tequila Fog (3/1) raced well in her first start off the claim for Anthony Farrior, finishing a clear-cut second behind odds-on choice Marvella Nasty. Third-place finisher Devilish Affair won an open claiming race next out. #6 Awesome View (7/2) has won two of her last three and is the main speed threat in the field. She looks fast enough to clear to the rail from her outside post. #5 Azzurra (5/2) stalked the pace and drew off to beat West Virginia-bred allowance horses at Charles Town last out. She’ll try to keep moving forward second off the layoff.

RACE 8: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, 6 FURLONGS

3-4-5-1

#3 Emma Devine (5/2) closed well after dealing with traffic early on in her debut, and has lots of room for improvement here. #4 La Reina Susan (4/1) has been on the upswing and should get an easier trip this time compared to last, when she was hung wide throughout. #5 Holy Pink (6/1) goes second off the claim for Linda Albert and will try to recoup her good form from last November.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rk	Sports Services	Free Sports Picks
1.	NSA(The Legend)	NBA – Rockets +5
2.	Gameday Network	NBA – Nuggets -6.5
3.	Sports Action 365	NBA – Pistons +12
4.	Vegas Line Crushers	CBB – Providence -6.5
5.	VegasSI.com	CBB – Marist +4.5
6.	PointSpreadReport.com(SAM CASEY)	CBB – Wisc Milwaukee +9.5
7.	Winning Big Sports	CBB – Fresno St -3.5
8.	NSA(Gerry “Big Cat” Andino)	CBB – Miami Ohio +2.5
9.	Lou Panelli	CBB – Iona -7.5
10.	VegasSI.com Platinum Info Club	NBA – Bulls +2
11.	William E. Stockton	NBA – Pacers over 216.5
12.	Vincent Pioli	NBA – Clippers +4
13.	Steve “Scoop” Kendall	NBA – Rockets under 228.5
14.	SCORE	CBB – Canisius -2
15.	Tony Campone	CBB – Providence -6.5
16.	Chicago Sports Group	CBB – Ohio St -9.5
17.	Hollywood Sportsline	CBB – Wisc Green Bay +10
18.	VIP Action	NBA – Pacers +5.5
19.	South Beach Sports	NBA – Nuggets under 229
20.	Las Vegas Sports Commission	NBA – 76ers -2
21.	NY Players Club	CBB – Minnesota +12.5
22.	Fred Callahan	CBB – Akron -2.5
23.	Las Vegas Private CEO Club	CBB – Minnesota +12.5
24.	Michigan Sports	CBB – Siena +6
25.	National Consensus Report	CBB – Providence -6.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Feb 06 '22, 1:00 PM in 24m
NCAA-B | Manhattan vs Canisius
Play on: Manhattan +2½ -110 at Mirage

Whether it's a major conference, or a smaller one such as this Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference matchup. I'm attracted to the better team in an underdog role.
I find that to be the case here.
Manhattan is 11-8, 4-6 in the MAAC. The Jaspers average four points more per game than Canisius and shoot much better from the floor. Manhattan ranks 115th in the country in field goal percentage at 45.3. The Golden Griffins shoot 40 percent from the floor, which ranks near the bottom at 340th.
The Jaspers also have the best player on the court in guard Jose Perez, who averages 18.8 points and nearly five assists per game.
Canisius is 7-16. The Golden Griffins rank last in the MAAC with a 3-9 league mark. They have lost four in a row, all by five points or more.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Feb 06 '22, 1:00 PM in 24m
NCAA-B | Manhattan vs Canisius
Play on: Canisius -2½ -110 at William Hill

Free Play on Canisius -2½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dennis Macklin

Feb 06 '22, 1:00 PM in 24m
NCAA-B | Iona vs Niagara
Play on: Iona -7 -115 at linepros

DMack's Free Play for Sunday, February 6, 2022 is on the Iona Gaels
Iona is 17-3 (11-0) and has basically walked through the MAAC. That said, the Gaels are just 1-4 as road favorites this year due in large part to the oppressive points they have to give despite suitcase. The Purple Eagles are a good solid middle of the pack MAAC team but were already hammered 78-55 by the Gaels Jan 16th and with their limited offense and poor shooting figure to not offer much more resistance here. Take Iona.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Knowing Glance turns back to right distance in the Ruthless
Posted on February 6, 2022 by David Aragona

Aqueduct | Race 8 | Post Time 4:25 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs | Not already a TimeformUS member? Sign up

There are a couple of out-of-town shippers in this Ruthless who merit strong consideration. The local horses in this spot aren’t exactly the most formidable group, and there are things to recommend about both invading fillies who break from the outside slots. Shotgun Hottie (#7) could go favored as she makes her first start off a trainer switch to Bill Morey. While it might be a tall order to improve on the work of Tom Amoss, this filly already showed ability in her prior starts out of town. She was very game to win her two-turn debut two back at Churchill Downs after getting passed in the stretch. And then last time she just seemed to run off in the early stages and understandably tired late. That was a solid allowance field and she’s getting some class relief here. My one concern is that I’m not sure she really wants to go shorter. She strikes me as a true router given her physical size and scope, but these types can sometimes handle 7 furlongs.

I prefer KNOWING GLANCE (#6) to her inside, and she could go off at a better price. This filly is coming off a pair of resounding defeats, but she was meeting much tougher company in both of those races. That Fern Creek Stakes at Churchill Downs was a very tough affair, won by the talented Marissa’s Lady. I won’t fault her for losing to that field, and then last time she just wanted no part of two turns at Oaklawn. She also ran into a potential star in Martha Washington winner Secret Oath. She ran very well to win on Oct. 21 beating the much improved Girl With a Dream. I like the turnback, and I think her connections have found a favorable spot for her. I’d also consider Champagne Poetry, who seems best of the local horses. She did beat a strong rail bias when she won last time, but that was a weak maiden field.
THE PLAY

Win: 6

Exacta Key Box: 6 with 1,4,7

Trifecta: 6 with 1,7 with 1,4,5,7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs: Horses to play (or oppose) in the $92,713 Pick 5 carryover
J. Keeler Johnson

Five-figure, non-jackpot Pick 5 carryovers don’t come along every day. That’s why we’re excited to see Tampa Bay Downs toss up a $92,713 Late Pick 5 carryover for Sunday’s card.

A challenging wager is on tap. Not including also-eligibles, the Pick 5 contains 44 entries, averaging 8.8 horses per race. The sequence gets underway in Race 5 at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Want to play along? We’ve gone through the Pick 5 to identify a logical single and a vulnerable favorite to build tickets around:
Best single: Race 8, #8 Fly the W (2-1)

It’s difficult to find a single in a sequence this competitive, but we’ll take our chances with Fly the W. The son of Ghostzapper hasn’t seriously factored in a couple of recent runs against tougher company over the Gulfstream Park Tapeta track, but watch out—his turf form is solid.

Indeed, Fly the W finished third in a pair of $32,000 allowance optional claimers at Tampa Bay Downs last year, including one in which he missed victory by just half a length. Fly the W’s strong turf form isn’t surprising when you consider how his half-brother, Caribou Club, has won four graded stakes on grass.

In terms of Brisnet Speed ratings, Fly the W is as consistent as they come—he’s posted eight straight figures in the 81-85 range. His Sunday rivals have generally been running slower, so Fly the W is the horse to beat on paper. Returning to the Tampa Bay Downs lawn might be all Fly the W needs to deliver a short-priced victory.
Vulnerable favorite: Race 6, #8 Commence (5-2)

There are reasons to like the stakes-experienced Commence, who is descending from allowance company into a $16,000 claimer for non-winners of two races lifetime. The class drop is an obvious positive, and the fact trainer Arnaud Delacour wins at a terrific 48% rate with first-time claimers is significant.

But Commence has only run once since May 2020, finishing seventh by more than 20 lengths in a 1 1/16-mile allowance on Jan. 14 at Tampa Bay Downs. The 62 Brisnet Speed rating he received looks a bit light against Sunday’s field, so Commence will need a form turnaround to deliver as the morning line favorite.

Good luck!