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Wednesday 2/16/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Feb 16 '22, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Nets vs Knicks
Play on: Knicks -4½ -110 at Caesars
1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Knicks -4.5
This looks like a good spot for the New York Knicks to get back on track. They host the Brooklyn Nets, who have lost 11 of their last 12 games. The Nets will be without Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving and Ben Simmons and just traded away James Harden for Simmons. Their current active roster is one of the worst in the NBA. The Nets are 1-11 ATS off a win by 10 points or more this season. The Knicks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games after allowing more than 125 points last game. New York is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings, including 9-3 ATS in the last 12 home meetings. Give me the Knicks.
Feb 16 '22, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Pistons vs Celtics
Play on: OVER 214 -110
ASA free play on OVER 214 Detroit Pistons @ Boston Celtics - The Celtics are coming off a HUGE game against the 76ers on Tuesday so we don’t expect their defensive effort to be at a peak level on Wednesday against the Pistons, who they just beat in the last 2 weeks. In that meeting the two teams combined for 195 total points but the Pistons did get 104 field goal attempts which is significantly higher than the league average of 88.1. Detroit is not a great shooting team by any means, but they hit just 33% against the Celtics in that game. If they shoot their season average of 42% or make 10 more FG attempts that game finishes Over the total. PACE – Detroit is the 12th fastest paced team in the NBA at 98.9 possessions per game, Boston is the 23rd fastest but in their last five games both teams rank in the top 12 at over 99.6 possessions per game. Boston is going to score here against a Pistons defense that is one of the worst in the league. Detroit is 28th in defensive efficiency, 27th in points allowed per game, 28th in FG% defense and 30th in 3-point% D. When playing without rest the Celtics are on a 6-1 Over streak, and 7 of 10 this season with those game averaging 218PPG. Even if Detroit doesn’t get to 100 in this game the Celtics can legitimately get to 125 themselves as the Pistons recently gave up 141 to Charlotte and 132 to Memphis. Over is 6-2 the L8 meetings in Boston.
Feb 16 '22, 7:40 PM in 1h
NBA | Nets vs Knicks
Play on: Nets +4½ -110 at Mirage
1* NBA - Nets/Knicks FREE PICK on Nets +4.5
Wednesday's Free NBA Pick is on the Brooklyn Nets as a 4.5-point road dog against the New York Knicks. The Nets will have to play this game without Durant, Irving or Simmons, but I still like them to cover and likely win outright against a Knicks team that is in a free fall and without one of their best players in R.J. Barrett. The Nets snapped their 11-game losing streak with a 109-85 blowout win over the Kings on Monday. Seth Curry and Andre Drummond, who they acquired in the Harden/Simmons trade both had big impacts on that game. I think this is a very underrated undermanned Brooklyn team. Bet the Nets +4.5!
Feb 16 '22, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Georgetown vs Marquette
Play on: Marquette -12½ -110 at Mirage
Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Marquette -12.5
The Marquette Golden Eagles should be highly motivated for a victory tonight. They have lost three of their four games coming in with all three losses on the road by 8 points or less against Providence, Connecticut and Butler.
Now the Golden Eagles are back home where they are a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home games with wins over Villanova by 10, Xavier by 11 and Providence by 32. They should handle the Georgetown Hoyas for a 2nd time this season. They won 92-64 over Georgetown on January 7th on the road.
The Hoyas are 0-14 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They have been through the gauntlet this month and will be playing their 7th game in 16 days in February. This will be their 3rd game in 5 days as well, and I just don't think they'll have much left in the tank tonight.
Marquette comes in on three days' rest and will be playing just its 2nd game in 8 days. The Golden Eagles are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Georgetown is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Marquette Wednesday.
Feb 16 '22, 8:10 PM in 1h
NBA | Blazers vs Grizzlies
Play on: Blazers +11½ -110 at linepros
FREE PICK: Portland Trail Blazers +11.5 RATING: 30* ROT#: 549
I'll take my chances with the Blazers as a 11.5-point road dog against the red-hot Grizzlies on Wednesday. As much as I love this spot and value with Portland, I'll admit it's not easy pulling the trigger on a bet against this Memphis team right now. With that said, I just think there's too much value to pass up with Portland in this spot.
This is the final game before the All-Star break for Memphis. I think that combined with the fact that they are playing on no rest and possibly without Ja Morant (sat out last night's game), could result in the Grizzlies not being at their best in this game.
On the flip side, this Blazers team has not folded like many thought they would after trading away C.J. McCollum. In fact, Portland has won 3 in a row. They have got outstanding contributions from two new faces in Justise Winslow and Josh Hart. I like the Blazers to put up a big fight and keep this much closer than expected. Give me Portland +11.5!
Feb 16 '22, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Vanderbilt vs Auburn
Play on: Vanderbilt +13½ -110 at Caesars
Play On: Vanderbilt (Game 717).
Commodores: 10-2-1 ATS in this series; and 14-2 ATS last 16 games at Auburn … Tigers: off revenge win over Texas A&M and 5-9-1 ATS after facing the Aggies … With that, we recommend a 1* play on Vanderbilt. Thank you and good luck as always.
Feb 16 '22, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Baylor vs Texas Tech
Play on: Baylor +2½ -110 at Caesars
My free play is on Baylor at 9:00 ET.
The Big 12 features four top-20 schools and two meet tonight in Lubbock. No. 7 Baylor is 21-4 overall and No. 11 Texas Tech is 19-6. In Big 12 play, Kansas sits atop the league at 10-2, followed by 9-3 Baylor and 8-4 Texas Tech (Texas is ranked 20th and is 8-5 in Big 12 play). Baylor remains short-handed as it tries to avenge a 65-62 home loss to Texas Tech back on Jan 11. The Red Raiders' win in Waco snapped the Bears' 21-game winning streak dating back to last season's NCAA Tournament
The Bears have been able to cope and at times excel, despite despite missing key players. In fact, Baylor jumped three spots in the AP poll on the strength of dominating wins last week over Kansas State and No. 20 Texas. The 80-63 home victory over the Longhorns on Saturday was especially noteworthy as Baylor ran away with the game despite foul trouble for starter Matthew Mayer (9.3 & 4.7) and an early first-half injury to key reserve Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (8.4 & 6.8). He tore multiple ligaments in his left knee in a non-contact injury and will be lost for the remainder of the season. Leading scorer LJ Cryer (13.9) has missed five straight games with a foot injury but Baylor has a strong perimeter group. The list includes guards Akinjo (13.71 & 5.7 APG) and Flager (13.0) plus swingmen Mayer (see above) and 6-8 freshman Brown (10.0 & 5.0). 6-9 freshman Sochan (8.1 & 6.0) and the 6-10 Thamba (5.0 & 5.0).
When Texas fired Shaka Smart after six unfulfilling seasons, Chris Beard 'jumped ship' at Tech and took the Texas job. Mark Adams worked under Beard since his first season as a Division I head coach (started at Arkansas-LR) and instead of following Beard to Austin, decided to stay in Lubbock as Tech's head coach. Tech began turning heads early in Big 12 play, while Terrence Shannon was dealing with an injury and did not play. Shannon (11.6 PPG) has returned and joins SIX players who are averaging 23-plus minutes per game (including Shannon), with five guards (all 6-5 or taller), joined by the 6-8 Williams (13.4 & 4.5). McCullar (10.8 & 5.3), Warren (10.1) Obanor (9.8 & 4.9) and Arms (7.9) are the biggest contributors. However, McCullar is dealing with an undisclosed ailment and may not play.
I realize that Tech is 15-0 at home but Baylor can't possibly forget having the Red Raiders snap the Bears' 21-game winning streak. It's approaching 'money time' and Baylor's success last season HAS to give them an edge in this one. I'm on the defending champs.
Feb 16 '22, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Baylor vs Texas Tech
Play on: Texas Tech -1½ -110 at Mirage
Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Texas Tech -1.5 The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 15-0 at home this year. They are 6-0 at home in Big 12 play with 5 wins by double-digits and an 8-point win over Kansas. They already beat Baylor on the road and now host the Bears, who are missing a couple key players. They are likely without LJ Cryer and his 13.9 PPG. They just lost key big man Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua and his 8.4 PPG and 6.8 RPG. The Red Raiders are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games as home favorites. Take Texas Tech.
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