Sunday 3/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 08:15 AM

Al Cimaglia: Pompano Park Pick 4 Analysis-$15,000 Guaranteed Pool

March 6, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia
Pompano Park has an 8-race card ready to roll with the 0.50 Pick 4 starting in Race 5. The sequence has a $15,000 guaranteed pool, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 5

4-Seeing Eye Single (7/2)-Regular pilot Dave Miller is back in the bike and that should help. Leaves from a favorable post to find some cover and should be in striking range turning for the wire.
6-Prairie Panther (5/2)-My thoughts are the same as last week, the winning streak will end at some point but maybe not tonight. Winner of 5 straight has a big heart and can snag another with a good trip.

Race 6

3-Panamanian Hanover (15-1)-This longshot should be a jumbo price. Willing to take swing Ingraham has the 12-year-old in play in a race that someone must win.
4-Better Call Saul (7/2)-Can leave to get a close-up seat and should be a player if everything clicks. That said, is only 2-29 since 2021 but the good news is both wins came last month. The Bambrick barn has been rolling posting 27% winners over the last 30 days.
5-Noble Legend (5/2)-Here's the program chalk who has been facing better. But is only 1-17 at the Pomp and Mc Nichol has driven in just 5 races over the past 365 days. That said, it's probably best to include with this post draw.

Race 7

2-Peter Dalt (15-1)-Possible price shot comes off a dull effort versus straight Open company on 2-20. Now drops to the level of the last win on 2-14. Macomber can race near the top of the stack and shake loose down the lane. But the morning line could be inflated.
3-Double Metal (5/2)-Comes off the bench after 2 qualifiers in which Hennessey steered both times. Looks prepard but will be a short price and needs a top effort. This will be the 1st start since 12-4.
4-Actor Hanover (3-1)-Dropped from the Open class and beat easier than this at 9/5. Should be a featured player and driven aggressively in this spot.

Race 8

3-Ideal Feeling (4-1)-This is the 1st start since 6-26-21 and finds a good level to come off the bench hot. Qualified well, Wallis is between the pipes, and he knows well.
6-Trashytonguetalker (5-1)-Tried to wire the field in last and had to work to get on the engine. Faded last week but that was the best effort in a while. Faces similar and looking for the upswing to continue.
7-Dealt A Winner (7/2)-Class finally showed last time in the 1st win of the year. Bumps up a few notches but this is still a beatable field with a sharp steer.

0.50 Pick 4

4,6/3,4,5/2,3,4/3,6,7
Total Bet=$27

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 08:17 AM

Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 3/6/22

March 6, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst

Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 12:30 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 1-Barristan The Bold; 7-Jamming Eddy; 5-Never Have I Ever

Forecast: A rare five furlong turf sprint in carded for the Sunday opener matching $40,000 older claimers in a race that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go three-deep but not with a great deal of confidence. Barristan The Bold (TOC=5/2; ML=7/2) earned a strong speed figure when winning a nice grass dash two races back, thanks in no small part to the patient ride that brings out his best. Badly overmatched while pressing the pace and then fading in the Clocker’s Corner S. in his next outing, the English-bred gelding returns to reality today and is guaranteed a ground-saving trip from his rail draw. If held up early and allowed to run late, he’ll have a reasonable chance to return to winning form. Jamming Eddy (TOC=9/2; ML=6-1) looked decent winning at $32,000 claimer on dirt at Los Alamitos in mid-December and makes his first start since while being raised a notch on the claiming ladder. He’s never been too keen on winning, so expecting the Square Eddie gelding to repeat on the raise might be a bit of a stretch, but he’s been vanned down from his home base at Golden Gate Fields for this race, so we suspect he’s live and well-meant. Never Have I Ever (TOC=3-1); ML=4-1) was a useful turf sprinter in the Midwest before arriving on the local scene, where he has underperformed, as many from this barn have so far this meeting. The Irish-bred gelding has good early speed and could stick around for a while at this abbreviated sprint trip.

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RACE 2: Post: 1:05 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 5-Impossible Task; 4-Absolute Unit

Forecast: Impossible Task (TOC=3/5; ML=8/5) had every chance but couldn’t seal the deal when second at 2/5 in a similar starter’s allowance middle distance dirt event earlier this meeting. He gets a good spot to make amends while retaining F. Prat and is much faster than the others based strictly on his best speed figures, so anything close to his “A” should be good enough. Absolute Unit (TOC=2-1; ML=5/2) remains protected in a sign of confidence by trainer C. Dollase, who haltered this son of Will Take Charge for $40,000 two races back and today shortens him from nine furlongs to a flat mile, arguably his best distance. Just 2-for-21 in his career with eight seconds and thirds, he ran well when a close third over this track and distance two races back while earning a speed figure that makes him a threat. We’ll prefer Impossible Task on top but include both in our rolling exotic play.

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RACE 3: Post: 1:40 PT Grade: X
Use (in order of preference): 1-Hong Kong Harry

Forecast: Hong Kong Harry has trained like a stone runner for his U.S. debut and based on what we’ve seen of him in the a.m. and his European form from last year the Irish-import should be hard to handle in this nine furlong first-level allowance turf event for older horses. The P. D’Amato-trained gelding lands F. Prat, gets Lasix, projects to enjoy an ideal ground-saving trip from his rail post, and simply should out class his four rivals. At 8/5 on the morning line and likely to go lower, he’s a logical, no value, rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Hong Kong Harry (February 21, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h TT). Grade: B+
In blinkers, broke off in front of Motorious (same time) and was always going the better of the two while finishing a couple of lengths in front in extra sharp training track drill for P. D’Amato, final three furlongs in :11.2 and :35.2, full of run through the lane under light coaxing only. Based on this drill, the Irish-bred gelding is fit and ready and has all of his conditions.
View Workout Video

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RACE 4: Post: 2:10 PT Grade:
Use (in order of preference: 5-Piroli; 3-Kerouac

Forecast: Piroli looks ready to graduate after finishing a strong runner-up while 10 lengths clear of a next out winner in a similar maiden main track router for 3-year-olds in mid-January. The son of Battle of Midway, shows a steady, healthy work pattern since raced and seems likely to improve enough to graduate today. There’s some value at his morning line of 9/5 but we suspect he’ll go a couple of ticks lower. Kerouac has an improving pattern for B. Baffert, most recently finishing second in a highly-rated affair last month. He’ll likely employ gate-to-wire tactics. These are the two we’ll be including in rolling exotic play, with the preference on top to Piroli.

Notable Workouts:

Piroli (February 26, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.2hg). Grade: B+
Strong gate work for M. McCarthy while much best over Gypsy Lynn (3f, :37hg), splits of :24 flat and :47.3 on our watches, light coaxing only, and then was allowed to gallop out to the wire and was up in 1:13.4 while looking plenty fit. Was good second last time out while displaying improvement and should have even more to give next time.
View Workout Video

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RACE 5: Post: 2:42 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 4-Operatic; 2-Bestrella

Forecast: Operatic (TOC=6/5; ML=4-1) always is a late threat and can be especially dangerous in races that produce a reasonable early pace. Beaten a neck at 30-1 in a similar $25,000 event over the local lawn in early January, the veteran daughter of Big Drama has finished first or second in 15 of 33 career starts, so she can be counted on to fire another big shot today. Bestrella (TOC=3-1; ML=5/2) is winless in six lifetime outings over the Santa Anita turf course but has numbers that fit and makes a major jockey switch to F. Prat. She’s drawn comfortably inside and projects to settle in the second flight while saving ground and then have her chance to punch it in from the quarter pole home. We’ll use both in rolling exotic play while preferring Operatic on top.

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RACE 6: Post: 3:14 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 4-Sharapova; 2-Del Mar Drama; 6-Ironic Twist

Forecast: This race has three legitimate contenders in what looks like a strong race for the level. Sharapova (TOC=3-1; ML=2-1) lost her best chance at the start in her first outing in nine months but overcame the early stumble to put in an excellent effort when a close third while probably best vs. similar last month. With that race behind her, with a clean start, and with the switch to F. Prat, the daughter of Outwork seems the logical top pick. Del Mar Drama, (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) second in the same race Sharapova exits, has the proper pace-stalking style for this extended sprint distance and both of her outings during the current meeting have been solid. In a race that projects to have moderate early fractions, the E. Kruljac-trained mare should be comfortably placed on or near the lead throughout. Ironic Twist (TOC=7-1; ML-6-1) won at first asking from off the pace with a good display of late speed, and while she probably didn’t beat much the M. Glatt-trained daughter of Distorted Humor certainly did it the right way. Drawn comfortably outside, she’s listed at 6-1 on the morning line and seems better than that.

Notable Workouts:

Sharapova (February 19, Santa Anita, 4f, :49.2h). Grade: B
Quite keen leaving the pole and was under a tight hold throughout in easy half mile breeze, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :36.4 for P. Eurton. Ran very well despite a poor start in her comeback and should step forward next time in a big way.
View Workout Video

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RACE 7: Post: 3:46 PT Grade: B+
Single: 8-Flintmore

Forecast: Flintmore is a progressive gelding that appears ready to win following a sharp runner-up effort in a hot turf miler in mid-January in just his second career start. The son of Flintshire turns back to a sprint, and with Johnny V. riding him back the P. D’Amato-trained four-year-old seems certain to receive the patient ride he prefers. We’re expecting to see a strong late kick that produced a win close home, so at 5/2 on the morning line he’s a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Flintmore (February 27, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.3h TT). Grade: B+
Broke off several lengths in front Count Again (5f, :59.1h TT) and dug in nicely when challenged by stakes-winning barn mate in the final furlong, getting to the wire a short head in front under mild coaxing only, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :35 flat, outstanding move. Appears to be rapidly improving and should be ready to graduate next time out.
View Workout Video

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RACE 8: Post: 4:18 PT Grade: A-
Use (in order of preference): 9-Under the Stars

Forecast: Under the Stars (TOC=2-1; ML=8/5) stretches out for the first time in this year’s renewal of the Santa Ysabel S.-G3 for sophomore fillies and she gives every indication that she’ll move to a new level under these conditions. She’s been quite good sprinting – her recent win in the Santa Ynez S.-G2 over seven furlongs produced a career top speed figure – but we suspect the daughter of Pioneerof the Nile will greatly appreciate today’s added distance as a pace-setter or pace-forcer from her outside draw. She’s 8/5 on the morning line and we’d settle for that price right now in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics.

Notable Workouts:

Ain’t Easy (February 27, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:14.3hg). Grade: B-
Breezing early but may have lost a bit of her steam late while finishing three-quarters of a length behind barn mate Phantom Dance (same time), splits of :37.3, :49.3 and 1:15.1 on our watches, a few ticks slower than given for P. D’Amato. May be a work or two away from being 100% fit. High-quality form last fall before being stopped on.
View Workout Video

Micro Share (February 24, Santa Anita. 7f, 1:26h). Grade: B+
Broke off several lengths in front of Forbidden Kingdom (7f, 1:25h) and after being challenged by that one entering the lane, gamely held way while traveling out to the seven furlong pole (workmate was under late pressure), quite impressive under the circumstances for R. Mandella, splits of :24.1, :36 flat, :48 flat, 1:12.3 and 1:26 flat on our watches. Looks good belongs with maidens, not with stakes runners, at least not yet.
View Workout Video

Eda (February 20, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2h). Grade: B+
Mostly without pressure in solo main track drill while finishing strongly through the lane, final three furlongs in :36.1 for Baffert. Freshened since winning the Starlet S.-G1 in early December and should make a very useful 3-year-old filly.
View Workout Video

Under the Stars (February 27, Santa Anita, 6f, 1:12.3h). Grade: A-
Finished in a rally under mild coaxing only, final three furlongs in :11.4 and :35.1 looking terrific for Baffert. No reason she won’t handle a distance of ground. Getting better with each race and workout.
View Workout Video

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RACE 9: Post: 4:50 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 6-Island of Love; 3-Sterling Crest

Forecast: Sophomore fillies meet over a mile on grass in the nightcap, the China Doll Stakes that should be won by one of the two Irish-bred runners in the field. Island of Love (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) was the odds-on favorite in the Lady Shamrock Stakes in her U.S. debut in late January but had to settle for second money after being knocked sideways and squeezed back at the start. We suspect that with a trouble-free trip today the P. D’Amato-trained filly will produce a major forward move. F. Prat stays aboard the daughter of Kodiac, who was an impressive stakes winner in Italy prior to her West Coast arrival. Sterling Crest (TOC=8/5; ML=3-1) earned a powerful speed figure when breaking her maiden over this course and distance three weeks ago and a similar effort today should allow her to highly competitive despite the class hike. The R. Baltas-trained daughter of No Nay Never had burned money as the favorite in her previous two but left that form behind by utilizing her good tactical speed secure an ideal pace-stalking position. Similar tactics should be available again today from her comfortable three-hole post. Both should be included in rolling exotic play; we’ll have a few extra tickets keying Island of Love on top.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 08:19 AM

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fair Grounds - Race #5

#3 Sydster	He's capable of something better than he showed on the dirt last time out, and he figures in line for a really good trip tracking the pace. This is an easier spot than he saw in his most recent turf start, too.
#7 Payday Too	Think the top choice is going to get a pretty significant jump on him turning for home, but he has some decent finishing lines in his recent efforts. Think he's most useful in the underneath spots here.
#6 Maga Man	He has some pace to put to use in here, but I worry that he's kind of all or nothing on the engine and doesn't usually offer much resistance when he's headed late.
Race Summary	Sydster should get a good run of things here while tracking the splits, and he has plenty of room to bounce back after a flat effort last time out on the main. Think he'll be tough here.

Fair Grounds - Race #6

#3 Maw Maw's Sophia	She has been turning in good efforts in recent tries, and she's a pretty decent fit with this group. She should get another good pace-spying trip today, and she might offer a decent enough price.
#2 Have No Fear	She has been very tough with similar in recent starts, and she has the kind of tactical pace that should leave her a looming threat for the leaders as they turn for home. She's obviously a good fit with this kind off the last couple. The one to beat.
#1 Seven Jewels	Think she has some claim on an underneath spot, but she might have to find an okay run of things from the fence. She might settle just a touch off the pace while turning back for this one, and maybe she ends up running from the pocket?
Race Summary	Maw Maw's Sophia brings good recent form to this one, and she looks like the main danger to come running late and land this. Hoping the presence of Have No Fear keeps the price fair enough here.

Fair Grounds - Race #8

#6 Your Time's Coming	Have a bit of a concern about the race shape, but I'm excited to see this guy get back on the turf after running well on that surface here last year. Finisher at a price?
#4 Papa's Boy	He has some solid pace in a race that doesn't offer a bunch of other speed, so he might be able to get in the mix early on in here and stick around if he doesn't face too much pressure in the early going.
#5 Deer Crossing	He turned in a good effort last time out when finishing to just miss, but I worry that he's a little outrun in the early stages here in a spot without a ton of pace. Capable.
Race Summary	This one produced a high Betmix Longshot Rating of 50, and it looks wide open on paper. Your Time's Coming might be an interesting price player in this spot with a couple of decent turf races to his credit here last season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 08:21 AM

LAUREL PARK PICKS AND PONDERINGS: MAR. 6, 2022
John Piassek

In which we pick the races from Laurel Park each day…

Post time: 12:25 p.m.

Carryovers: Rainbow Jackpot Pick 6 — $1,705 Super High 5 — $2,740 Late Pick 5 — $0

Check out our other handicapping here!

RACE 1: CLAIMING $10,000 (N/W3L), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 1/8 MILES

6-5-3-2

Nine races are on tap this Sunday. #6 Albertano (7/2) is rapidly moving through his conditions, having won two in a row with lifetime-top brisnet figures both times. He’s stretching out from a mile here, but the way he runs on late suggests the extra distance shouldn’t be a problem. #5 Cox’s Ledge (6/1) joins the Claudio Gonzalez barn and seeks to regain the early speed he showed for much of last year. He’s had tough trips in both of his local starts. #3 Dr. Ferber (8/5) races third off the layoff for Kieron Magee and ran a much-improved figure of 82 last out. Has lots of upside but doesn’t always put his best foot forward.

RACE 2: CLAIMING $10,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, 1 MILE

2-3-5-4

#2 Money Code (7/2) broke through last out with an impressive off-the-pace maiden score. He’ll try to sit a similar stalking trip again. #3 Five Star Phil (2/1) ran a game race on the lead at Penn National last out and is one of the main early speed threats here. The winner of that race, Lost in Newyork, won a n/w1x allowance next out. #5 Krug (4/1) stopped badly after a duel last out, but ran well on the lead two back when he wrestled control fairly early on. The blinkers come off here; Dale Capuano has enjoyed success with that angle.

Jungle Beast
Mid-Atlantic Three Stars: February 28
Your five-minute read to catch up on all the Mid-Atlantic racing action you may have missed over the weekend…

RACE 3: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING $25,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS

5-8-1-6

#5 Crownedcountcristo (3/1) has run at least an 84 in three of his last four starts and has good cruising speed. He handily defeated a field at this level last out as the slight favorite; we’ll see what kind of price you’ll get here. #8 Royal Thunder (9/5) has fought hard on the lead in his last two starts but hasn’t quite been able to convert. At least here, he’s far and away the fastest one early. #1 Tapping the Glass (6/1) has closed well over the Charles Town bullring in his last few and should appreciate the return to the big track.

RACE 4: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 4 AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES AND MARES, 1 MILE

2-6-4-1

#2 Bellswillberinging (3/5) has been slowly rounding into career-best form lately, with back-to-back marks of 76 and 69. The rest of the field would struggle to run a 69 even if they got to use a motorized scooter. Because someone has to fill out the exacta and trifecta, here’s some candidates for those spots. #6 Cinnamon Dragon (9/2) ships down from New York for Fausto Gutierrez and adds blinkers. She didn’t do much up in New York, but a New York shipper won a similar race as this one yesterday, so anything’s possible. #4 Tiktoknaway (6/1) races third off the layoff and has some early speed.

RACE 5: STARTER ALLOWANCE $5,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, FILLIES AND MARES, 1 1/8 MILES

5-7-4-2

#5 Golden Grant (9/5) was claimed out of her last start by Bruno Tessore, in which she fought hard and got up for the win. She ran in the upper 70s and low 80s last fall, and it looks like she’s starting to round back into that form. #7 Breviary (3/1) lost a photo for second behind Sammie Sunshine last out, who came back to win a better race on Friday. Ran a gutsy race on the lead to win against similar two races back. #4 Tiz Michelle’s Way (9/2) goes second off the layoff and looks to keep moving forward off a professional effort at Charles Town last out.

RACE 6: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 4 AND 5-YEAR-OLDS, 1 1/16 MILES

4-3-5-7

#4 Way More (7/2) was hung wide throughout last out, in his first start off a long layoff, but still ran on well late and just missed his lifetime-top figure. Should improve second off the break and he ran a career-best figure going a mile. #3 Captain Cardo (5/1) had to fight for the lead last out, but is one of the primary speed horses in the field and has the post advantage. #5 Uncle Jerome (3/1) last raced in New York but is locally based. He’s trying to recover from a rocky trip last out and drops to this level for the first time.

Safely Kept
BackTracks: Safely Kept, stone-cold runner
In today’s BackTracks, Maryland-bred and -sired Safely Kept came from relatively modest beginnings to earn every accolade imaginable.

RACE 7: CLAIMING $16,000 (N/W2L), 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 6 FURLONGS

7-4-6-1

#7 Deshackled (7/2) consistently runs in the 70s for Claudio Gonzalez and just missed in a photo for second last out despite a tough trip. #4 Francis X (8/1) has raced well at this level before and tries to rebound after a wide trip against better in his most recent. #6 Rad Paisley (3/1) has early speed and also enjoys class relief.

RACE 8: STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING $25,000, 4-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, 1 MILE

6-1-5-3

#6 Closer Look (3/1) gets class relief after a string of n/w2x tries. He struggled last out when he fell too far behind the early lead but generally has a good closing kick. #1 D’Rapper (2/1) was close at this level several times last fall and has good tactical speed. This’ll be his first start since New Year’s Eve. #5 Goodluckchuck (8/1) is the main speed threat of the race and will try to work out a more favorable pace scenario than in his last start.

RACE 9: MAIDEN CLAIMING $10,000, 3-YEAR-OLDS, FILLIES, 5 1/2 FURLONGS

4-5-7-6

#4 Heidi T (5/1) has shown speed and faded in her last few starts, but is coming off a career-best late pace figure. She’s dropping to this level for the first time. #5 Good Story (2/1) showed speed for the first time last out first off the layoff in a big effort. Also taking a career-low drop. #7 Superiority (6/1) ran easily a career-best race last out while racing on the lead and should press the pace from the outside here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 08:22 AM

Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for March 6, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

By Kyle E in Horse Racing — Mar 6th, 2022 3:25am PST

Aqueduct Racetrack Selections for March 6, 2022 – Horse Racing Picks

After a sweep on Sunday, we’re back on the racecourse looking for winners on Sunday. That was a standout day, with three selections at Oaklawn Park and three winners. Then the big stakes day at Santa Anita Park resulted in a sweep as well.

Industry Leading 9% Cashback!

The big feature at Santa Anita Park in the $650,000 Santa Anita Handicap (Gr. 1) was a thriller, with our horse, Express Train, getting there at the wire to edge out Warrant for an impressive win. What a day at Santa Anita Park, with several entertaining races in Arcadia.

Our first stop on Sunday is at Aqueduct Racetrack in Queens. Aqueduct has two stakes races with the running of the $100,000 Biogio’s Rose Stakes and $125,000 Heavenly Prize Invitational. There is a total of nine races with $468,000 in prize money.

Head below for our best Santa Anita Park picks on March 6, 2022.
Taking Your Horse Race Betting to the Next Level
Race 3
(1) Ava K’s Boy
+400 (4/1)
(2) Daufuskie Island
+600 (6/1)
(3) Impressionist
+100 (1/1)
(4) Bourbon’s Hope
+500 (5/1)
(5) Kenner
+350 (7/2)
(6) My Last Mission
+2000 (20/1)

Post Time: 2:22 p.m. EST
Distance: 6 Furlongs
Purse:$72,000

Race 3 is a $72,000 event covering 6 furlongs on the dirt. Dafuskie Island and Impressionist look like top contenders in this one.

Dafuskie Island is 1 for 7 and he looks good going into Sunday. The colt is 2nd, 3rd, 3rd, 3rd, 4th in his previous five attempts.

He won as a rookie on August 12, but hasn’t been back to the winner’s circle. He’s dropping in class, though, and should find this one better out of stakes territory.

Impressionist is 3rd, 1st in two races, and looking for more on Sunday. The gelding showed 3rd on December 5 in a $70,000 event.

After that one, Impressionist beat Relate by 8 ½ lengths in a $70,000 assignment. The improvement was there and he’s open to even more. Look for Impressionist to have a big chance in Race 3.
The Bet
(3) IMPRESSIONIST
+100
Place Bet Now!
Race 6
(1) No Salt
+400 (4/1)
(2) Price of Pharoahs
+1000 (10/1)
(3) Yankee Division
+250 (5/2)
(4) Just Right
+1000 (10/1)
(5) Anything Pazible
+5000 (50/1)
(6) Daddy Knows
+300 (3/1)
(7) Vintage Hollywood
+2000 (20/1)
(8) Hush of a Storm
+600 (6/1)
(9) Tiergan
+600 (6/1)

Post Time: 4:00 p.m. EST
Distance: 1 Mile
Purse:$74,000

Race 6 is a $74,000 event covering a mile on the dirt. Daddy Knows and Yankee Division are worth looking at in the sixth race.

Daddy Knows is 5 for 23 in his career and finished 7th, 2nd, 1st in his last three attempts. In his most recent outing, Daddy Knows defeated Writer’s Regret by 2 ¾ lengths for $74,000.

That was a good look from Daddy Knows after placing 2nd behind Regal Quality by ¾ lengths for $50,000 on February 11. Daddy Knows has to be a contender to score in this one.

Yankee Division is searching for a hat-trick after a win on December 17 and January 14. In his latest showing, Yankee Division beat Water’s Edge by a half-length for $74,000.

This followed a head win over Seven Lillies in the same class. He remains at a mile, while Daddy Knows has another furlong to deal with on Sunday. Look at Yankee Division.
The Bet
(3) YANKEE DIVISION
+250
Place Bet Now!
Race 7 – Heavenly Prize Invitational
(1) Sharp Starr
+300 (3/1)
(2) Bank Sting
+200 (2/1)
(3) Battle Bling
+300 (3/1)
(4) Maiden Beauty
+180 (9/5)
(5) Truth Hurts
+1000 (10/1)

Post Time: 4:32 p.m. EST
Distance:1 Mile
Purse:$125,000

The $125,000 Heavenly Prize Invitational is the feature stakes race on Sunday in the US. Bank Sting and Maiden Beauty should be in form with this assignment.

Bank Sting is 6 for 8 in her career and running well since debuting in 2019. She is a winner in seven of seven races, with back-to-back going into this one.

The mare won the $150,000 New York Stallion Series Stakes on December 5. It was a big performance, with Bank Sting clearing for an 8 ¼ length win.

Maiden Beauty is 9 for 35 in her career and 1st, 5th, 1st, 1st in the last four races. She is a back-to-back winner, with an $84,000 win by a neck and 3 ¾ lengths in the $100,000 Bay Ridge Stakes.

Down in distance, Maiden Beauty should like this race as well. This should be close on Sunday, with Maiden Beauty appreciating a mile down from 1 ⅛.
The Bet
(4) MAIDEN BEAUTY
+180

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 10:52 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - SA - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40000 Class Rating: 99

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
	# 4 ABSOLUTE UNIT 5/2
# 5 IMPOSSIBLE TASK 8/5
# 3 RIFEY 4/1

ABSOLUTE UNIT looks to be a very strong contender. Has to be given consideration against this field displaying formidable figures recently and an average speed figure of 90 under similar conditions. Prominent in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field. Could provide positive gains based on respectable recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 91. IMPOSSIBLE TASK - Has performed solidly lately in route races, posting a nifty 89 avg Equibase Speed Figure. Could best this field here, showing very strong numbers of late. RIFEY - Can't overlook the connections here, a 17 winning percentage, one of the most respectable at getting into the winner's circle.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:21 AM

Laurel Park 5 Facts | March 1-7, 2022

March 1, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Thursday-Sunday

Carryovers:

None // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

None scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Best Speed Last 3 (37%, +$18.00) * top-3 factor third straight week *

ITM (In The Money) % (33%, +$20.40)

Avg. Speed Last 3 (31%, -$19.00) * top-3 factor second straight week *

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Emmanuel Geralis // last week 3: 3-0-0 (100%, $3.77 ROI) // $6, $7, $8 winners // 5-8 in February at Laurel

T: Hugh McMahon // last week 6: 3-1-0 (50%, $1.88 ROI) // 4: 3-1-0 in claiming races

T: Rodolfo Sanchez-Salomon // last week 13: 3-2-2 (21%, $1.87 ROI) // $15, $18, $18 wins // 5: 2-1-0 allowance races

J: Jevian Toledo // last week 12: 6-0-2 (50%, $2.09 ROI) // 4-5 with favorites // won for 6 different trainers

J: Jean Alvelo // last week 16: 4-2-2 (25%, $1.79 ROI) // 2-4 with favorites + $40 upset winner // 2-3 with Hugh McMahon

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:21 AM

Santa Anita Park 5 Facts | March 1-7, 2022

March 1, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$119,211 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

Feature Race(s):

6 stakes on 1/ST Saturday in March program, highlighted by:

G1 $650,000 Santa Anita Handicap // elder dirt routers // Saturday

G1 $500,000 Beholder Mile // filly and mare dirt milers // Saturday

G1 $500,000 Kilroe Mile // elder turf milers // Saturday

G2 $400,000 San Felipe // 3-year-old dirt routers // Saturday

G3 $100,000 Santa Ysabel // 3-year-old filly dirt routers // Sunday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. Speed Last 3 (42%, +$8.00)

Best Speed Last 3 (40%, -$5.00) *top-3 factor second straight week*

Speed Last Race (36%, +$6.60) *top-3 factor second straight week*

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: John Sadler // last week 9: 4-0-0 (44%, $1.50 ROI) // all 4 wins in sprints (3 dirt)

T: Doug O’Neill // last week 9: 3-1-2 (33%, $0.81 ROI) // all 3 wins 9-5 or less // 6-21 last 2 weeks

T: Bill Spawr // last week 2-2 (%, $ ROI) // 6-8 since Jan. 14 with 4 straight wins // wins $3, $5

J: Juan Hernandez // last week 16: 5-1-1 (31%, $0.68 ROI) // 4-7 with favorites // 2 wins with John Sadler

J: Mario Gutierrez // last week 5: 3-0-1 (60%, $2.00 ROI) // $3, $5, $10 winners // 2-2 with Doug O’Neill

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:21 AM

Golden Gate Fields 5 Facts | March 1-7, 2022

March 1, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Friday, Sunday-Monday

Carryovers:

$124,190 // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Friday)

Mandatory Rainbow 6 payout Monday

Feature Race(s):

None scheduled.

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Trainer Current Meet (31%, -$3.00)

Last Purse (24%, +$2.60)

Days Since Last Race (21%, +$2.00)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Reid France // last week 4: 2-2-0 (50%, $2.48 ROI) // all starters for claiming tag // $5, $14 winners

T: Jack Steiner // last week 4: 2-1-0 (50%, $1.98 ROI) // $6, $9 claiming winners with Evin Roman aboard

T: Steve Sherman // last week 3: 2-0-0 (67%, $1.87 ROI) // $5, $6 winners, only loss was 26-1 shot

J: Ruben Fuentes // last week 8: 3-0-1 (38%, $2.00 ROI) // all 3 wins 6F or less sprints // $6, $6, $19 scores

J: Evin Roman // last week 20: 5-4-3 (25%, $0.78 ROI) // 1-4 with favorites // 2-3 with Jack Steiner

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:22 AM

Gulfstream 5 Facts | March 1-7, 2022

March 1, 2022 | By Jeremy Plonk

Schedule:

Wednesday-Sunday

Carryovers:

$45,968 ($150,000 guaranteed pool) // Rainbow 6 Jackpot (Wednesday)

Feature Race(s):

9 stakes on 1/ST Saturday in March program, highlighted by:

G2 $400,000 Fountain of Youth // 3-year-olds on dirt // Saturday

G2 $200,000 Mac Diarmida // turf marathoners // Saturday

G2 $200,000 Gulfstream Park Miler // elder dirt milers // Saturday

Key 1/ST BET Factors (top pick win %, top pick profit/loss):

Avg. E1 (Early) Pace (34%, +$52.60)

Best Speed Distance (33%, -$16.80)

Avg. Speed Last 3 (31%, -$17.60)

Jockey/Trainer Trends from Betmix:

T: Jose Francisco D’Angelo // last week 10: 6-0-1 (60%, $1.50 ROI) // 4-4 with favorites // 3-5 with Jose Ortiz, 2-2 with Javier Castellano

T: Todd Pletcher // last week 9: 5-0-1 (56%, $1.54 ROI) // 3-4 with favorites // 3-5 with Irad Ortiz

T: Mike Maker // last week 7: 3-0-1 (43%, $1.23 ROI) // 3-4 with Irad Ortiz, all favorites

J: Irad Ortiz Jr. // last week 42: 16-7-7 (38%, $1.09 ROI) // 18: 10-5-2 with favorites // 3 wins for Todd Pletcher & Mike Maker

J: Jose Ortiz // last week 43: 11-7-5 (26%, $1.07 ROI) // 14: 8-3-1 with favorites // 3-5 with Jose Francisco D’Angelo

** ROI reflects return on $1 win bet**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:22 AM

Oaklawn Picks: Wings of an Angel in R8 on March 6
By J.N. Campbell

Oaklawn Park Picks - Sunday, March 6, 2022

Race 1: 5-4-8-1
Race 2: 6-8-7-4
Race 3: 1-2-6-5
Race 4: 4-2-8-1
Race 5: 8-7-2-5
Race 6: 9-3-7-2
Race 7: 2-7-5-8
Race 8: 1-6-8-4
Race 9: 10-5-2-3
**Most Likely Winner: Fort Peck #2 (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Wings Of An Angel #1 (Race 8)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 7: Fort Peck #2, 3/1):

Here is a 7-yr-old gelding owned by Flying P Stable that should easily win on Sunday. He is getting some major class relief, and against this lot, has some major advantages. Robertino Diodoro sent him into one of those tough AOC contests last time out at Oaklawn, and he did not fire. In his defense, Trident Hit was infinitely better that afternoon … The cutback in distance from 1 1/8th to 1 1/16th looks like a deal to me. Diodoro is still looking to get back on track, and I think he has a good chance in this spot. Regular rider, David Cohen, will try to keep his mount focused and on pace. If he can do that, then this one is a sure-score to my eye!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #2

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 8: Wings of an Angel #1, 8/1):

In these tough ALLW Co. sprints at the $100k level, you have to think broadly when it comes to selections. A race for older female runners, I like a shot in this spot. Trainer Larry Jones is a horseman, through and through. I love his approach to conditioning, and you know that when you wager on one of his runners … they are ready to go! This filly by Quality Road has a pair of races under her saddle (both at Oaklawn), and you will notice that she failed to make the jump from MSW Co. into this type of race. She wired the field on debut, but it is always difficult to try and ratchet upwards. Plus … plus, that sprint was very difficult because Martin Garcia ran into some major traffic. Now, Jones brings her back, adds Ricardo Santana, and that makes for a potent combination. At odds of 8/1 on the M/L, she looks full of promise. It is not easy for younger, less experienced horses, to emanate from the rail gate. I think that will not be much of an issue, if Santana can make the lead. If the team does, then it’s a win …

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #1 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 3: Dirt, 1 1/16th, OC62.5kn2x, F&M 4+):

The “spotlight” might have to shine through some weather on Sunday, so please plan accordingly … I like this race, and hope that the scratches stay away. If we end up with a field of 6, it is going to be a contentious contest. The M/L favorite is Brad Cox’s Bold Tactics #2. The filly by Union Rags is making her 1st official start of ’22, and in 2 races under the expert trainer, she finished 3rd both times. The former Kelly Breen runner was switched to Cox by Gary and Mary West back in September, and she had trouble at Churchill when asked at the top of the lane. Shipping to Oaklawn, Cox tried her in an OC50kn2x, and again, she did not really respond. Now, with the switch to Ricardo Santana, you know she is going to take money because of this hot barn. I want little to do with her on the top of my ticket because I still do not know how good she is … to put it another way, value can be found elsewhere. Instead, I much prefer John Ortiz’s Turnstone #1. The mare by Double Irish is one of those sharp-looking homebred that Shortleaf produces seemingly every year. She was a turf horse mid-year in ’21 before getting back on the dirt at Oaklawn in mid-February. She did not run too badly against the power of Willful Woman in that OC50kn2x, and that makes me think that she just needed a race to get her feet wet. Ortiz is a master at getting his charges ready, and then recalibrating when it is necessary. David Cabrera, who was just on fire in the saddle, over the past few weeks, once again is the go-to rider. I would like to see him hustle her out, and try to grab the lead early. If the track is wet, it might give her a superb advantage breaking from that interior post. If she is 5/1, or higher, then that is a deal! Let’s bet this one, and take on the Cox favorite!

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 1 w 2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:22 AM

Aqueduct Picks: Heavenly Prize Invite a feature on March 6
By J.N. Campbell

Aqueduct Picks - Sunday, March 6, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-3-4
Race 2: 5-1-6-2
Race 3: 2-3-5-4
Race 4: 4-7-3-5
Race 5: 7-8-3-2
Race 6: 8-3-6-1
Race 7: 5-2-4-1
Race 8: 4-1-9-3
**Most Likely Winner: Prioritize #7 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Linny Kate #5 (Race 2)**

Most Likely Winner: (Race 5: Prioritize #7, 3/1):

Here is a 7-yr-old gelding that is in desperate need of a class drop. He is going to get it today from the barn of Rudy Rodriguez. Owned by Michael Dubb, it wasn’t all that long ago that this racer was up against some tough stakes company … how about the Woodward H.? Or the Jockey Club Gold Cup S.? Or the Suburban S.? Mainly running in AOC Co. of late, he now comes way down, and clearly, he is on the market to be claimed for $32k. I still think he is a good horse, and can do some excellent running. If I were up in the Racing Office, I would dropping a ticket in the box!

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #7

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 2: Linny Kate #5, 4/1):

Trainer Orlando Noda has tried several times to get this “claiming” runner going … to no avail. Looking back at the year she had in ’21, a race like this one should be very doable. Her declining speed figs will be a turn-off to many, but I think she just needs the proper trip. If she can hit all cylinders, and catch a nice break, then she has a shot. I am banking on her odds floating up towards 6/1 or 7/1, and that would suit me just fine. The hot-riding ability of Trevor McCarthy is also welcome. Watch for the early pace to go to pieces … then it will be time for Noda’s entry to sweep in.

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #5 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Dirt, 1 Mile, Heavenly Prize Invitational S., $125k, F&M 4+):

The “feature” on this splendid Sunday is a short field, but it could be a great betting opportunity. The Heavenly Prize is an “invite only” attached to it. I am sure based on the M/L that the Falcone Barn has the favorite in Maiden Beauty #4. This mare is logical because she comes back to AQU after recording a pair of nice wins back in December. Stepping up from an AOC into the Bay Ridge S. was impressive, and she bested a couple of “faves” in Ice Princess and Sharp Starr. Since that race, Ice Princess ran a dud of a race, which did not flatter this entry. The Bay Ridge challengers did not really take her on up front, and that is probably why she got the win. Looking elsewhere for some value out of the other 4 entries, I am actually pretty interested in Chad Summers’ Ontario bred, Truth Hurts #5. This mare has some quality back class to her, and even though she has not been seen since December at Parx in the Mrs. Claus S., I think she has potential in this spot. Drawn to the outside, she does most of her best running from off-the-pace. That might be a tactical advantage, especially if this group goes very fast right from the bell. In other words, betting a horse that is not a need-the-lead-type, sounds like a great plan. I know that a potential speed duel is going to happen, what with John Terranova’s Bank Sting #2 in the mix. Let’s go with Summers’ entry, and maybe she can sweep this field right at the wire! Here is the bet …

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Wheel, 5 w 2/4

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:23 AM

DRF's Horse Racing Playbook for Sunday, March 6, 2022
DRF Staff

Daily Racing Form has served as the most trusted source of news and information about the sport since 1894, and moving forward we have decided to provide a free daily playbook – something that both hardcore horseplayers and casual observers can reference to get informed of each day’s action.

12:15 TAM 1st WORKING OVERTIME (#3, 6-1) is easily forgiven for that poor turf effort in her latest, and though she was behind LUNA QUEEN two back the latter set a slow pace on a loose lead, and this filly was up against it; better set up may be all she needs. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

1:52 AQU 2nd APRIL ANTICS (#4, 6-1) dropped back down to this level for her final start of 2021 and ran an underrated race there to gain third after finally swinging out in the stretch; returns at the same level with Lasix on and might have some improvement left in her yet. -Mike Beer | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:30 GP 6th Gotta like the outside draw for MALRAUX (#7, 8-1), who had his confidence bolstered two Sundays ago when earning that 79 BSF in a gate-to-wire jaunt over weak 'beaten' foes in his first try off the A.Sanchez claim; right back at 'em when using the same let's-go tactics. -Marty McGee | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

2:45 TAM 6th HARD LIGHTING (#3, 6-1) makes his local debut and fits nicely today, as he's a closer looking to make the last run and this is a field that features a fair amount of speed; Beyers put him in the middle of this, if he runs his best race in his first start since December. -Kenny Peck | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

3:39 GP 8th Forgive the poor two-turn Tapeta try last out by HERE COMES BULLET (#9, 8-1) and suddenly he's among the four or five possibilities in this one-turn dirt mile for bottom-level open platers; tends to make his presence felt a long way when conditions are optimal, and in fact the outer post should afford him a clean and forward trip here; good as any. -Marty McGee | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:00 AQU 6th TIERGAN (#9, 6-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Mike Beer). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

4:18 TAM 9th SPEED SALSA (#2, 8-1) is a DRF Best Bet (Kenny Peck). | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:04 OP 7th HOME RUN TRICK (#1, 5-1) is in the midst of another strong meet at Oaklawn. He's won two of his last three starts, and now is back in the claiming ranks after just missing in a starter allowance won by stakes winner Exulting. -Mary Rampellini | Get PPs for this race | Bet this race with DRF Bets

5:39 OP 8th WELL SPENT (#8, 4-1) gives up recency to some of these as this marks her first start since December, but like that she's a four-time winner facing some less-experienced foes. She also was fourth last out in a race that went in good time and note the third-place finisher from it came back to take an OP allowance with a Beyer of 84 and the ninth-place finisher, Oscarette, an N1X at FG, with a Beyer of 76. -Mary Rampellini

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-06-2022, 11:23 AM

Daily Racing Tips – Sale – March 6th

Home - Expert Tips - Harry White - Daily Racing Tips – Sale – March 6th

RSN927

RSN Expert Form Analyst Harry White has the best Daily Racing Tips for the meeting at Sale Turf Club on Sunday 6th of March for the RSN Punter.

Along with our Daily Racing Tips, you’ll find Greyhound and Harness Tips, plus Interstate Racing Tips, each and every day of the week with RSN927’s Expert Tipsters and race-callers.

Rail Position: True Entire Circuit
Track Type: Turf
Track Condition: Soft 6 downgraded from Soft 5 at 9.30am
Weather: Raining
Penetrometer: 5.8
Harry White Sale Tips

Sale, 6th March 2022

Race 1 Selections: 3,4,6,1
Race 2 Selections: 8,9,2,3
Race 3 Selections: 2,9,3,5
Race 4 Selections: 4,5,6,7
Race 5 Selections: 6,1,3,2
Race 6 Selections: 7,3,1,14
Race 7 Selections: 1,3,6,5
Race 8 Selections: 6,5,13,7
Best Bet

R3 – 2. Italian Poet
Best Value

R6 – 7. Victory Colours
Quaddie

Quaddie 1: 1,6
Quaddie 2: 1,3,7,14
Quaddie 3: 1,3,4,5,6
Quaddie 4: 5,6
Play Of The Day

All up Race 3 #2/ Race 8 #6