Friday 3/25/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Sunland Park Picks - Friday, March 25, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-7-4
Race 2: 9-6-3-1
Race 3: 6-7-2-1
Race 4: 1-6-8-9
Race 5: 4-3-1-7
Race 6: 4-7-8-1
Race 7: 1-2-9-8
Race 8: 2-9-4-5
Race 9: 3-2-9-8
Race 10: 5-1-10-9
**Most Likely Winner: Mirandas Miracle #5 (Race 10)**
**Best Value: Panther King #1 (Race 4)**

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Turfway Park Picks - Friday, March 25, 2022

Race 1: 1-4-7-5
Race 2: 6-4-3-1
Race 3: 3-8-1-4
Race 4: 10-6-7-2
Race 5: 4-10-3-6
Race 6: 1-5-8-2
Race 7: 10-1-2-3
Race 8: 8-2-4-1
Race 9: 4-6-9-10
**Most Likely Winner: Dom The Bomb #1 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Farzin #6 (Race 2)**

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Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Pick 4 Analysis-$30,000 Guaranteed Pool

March 25, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Cal Expo starts the weekend with a 10-race card. The feature comes in Race 6, four-year-old fillies competing in California Sires Stakes action with a $20,000 purse. The headliner from a betting standpoint is the 0.20 Pick 4 which begins in Race 7. The sequence has a $30,000 guaranteed pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 7

4-Hay Hay Alright (5/2)-Made a big brush to get the point on the backside versus better, that move emptied the tank and then faded down the lane. It was still a good try and should enjoy the company tonight.
5-Mibwest Kid (2-1)-The winning streak ended in last and didn't look engaged until close to the wire. Meets an easier field and could bounce back to take another picture.
7-Rockinscience (4-1)-Steps-up after wiring the field in last. Got away with soft fractions on a windy night. Fits with this group if Plano can work a trip and should offer a solid price.

Race 8

2-Ima Tank (12-1)-Came off cover to win with a 27.3 final quarter and now steps-up. This will be a test, but the inside post draw could help. Likes to compete and has hit the board in 13 of 22 at CalX with 3 wins. Looks worthy of a swing at this price.
6-Albergo Hanover (8/5)-Comes off a 3rd place finish versus Open company in a 151.4 mile. Should be a main player but will offer a tiny price. This could be a drop and pop opportunity but can't completely trust.
7-California Rock (7/2)-Was in tall cotton versus Open company after coming off 2 wins and wasn't ready for the challenge. Drops to the level of a recent victory on 3-13 and best to respect. Should be rolling down the lane and quick fractions could help.

Race 9

1-Rosco P Coletrain (4-1)- Comes off an improved effort versus Cali Sires Stakes 3-year-olds and should fit with this bunch. Looking for the upswing to continue in the 2nd start on Lasix and Plano sticks.
2-Give Me This Dance (5/2)-This gal is a perfect 3-3 in its sophomore season and has finished off miles with quick last quarters. The Roland pupil has been an odds-on choice in all 3 starts and should offer a better price tonight.
6-Crackerjackoutlaw (2-1)-This 7-year-old still fits in this class and won its last with a 56.1 back half. Loses Roland who steers his own (2), but Kennedy can get the job done.

Race 10

1-Always Glad (7/2)-Was used a couple of times and fell short to cash a 2nd place check when dropped to this class last week. Has been in good from and best to not overlook.
2-Cenalta Sunrise (8/5)-One-move type has the speed to win but Kennedy needs to work a smooth trip. Fits well with this crew. The 0-9 record this year is cause for pause but is tough to leave off the ticket.

0.20 Pick 4

4,5,7/2,6,7/1,2,6/1,2
Total Bet=$10.80

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary

March 25, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 3-Mamba Cool; 6-Just About Enough

Forecast: Mamba Cool has been away for 14 months and the barn has average stats with the layoff angle, so this top selection in this maiden state-bred turf miler for older horses isn’t made with a high degree of confidence. That said, his best efforts from the last two years would be good enough to beat this field, and the workouts at Los Alamitos look decent enough, so if he returns as well as he left, the P. D’Amato-trained gelding may finally be able to earn his diploma. Just About Enough is a seven-race maiden with speed figures that have stagnated, though he did finish second over this course and distance earlier this month in a similar affair. With the positive jockey switch to Johnny V., the M. Glatt-trained son of Twirling Candy should draft into a comfortable pace stalking position and then have every chance from there.


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RACE 2: Post: 1:33 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 6-Alleva; 1-Black Storm

Forecast: This six-runner $16,000 claiming sprint for older horses came up light, with the Los Alamitos-based Alleva (TOC=5/2; ML=8-1) finding a good spot to regain his winning form. The veteran son of Goldencents was 80-1 in a recent turf sprint vs. much tougher starter $25,000 foes 13 days ago and actually didn’t run badly when fifth after leaving a step slowly, and against this group from his cozy outside draw he projects to enjoy an ideal pace-stalking trip. In a race without much speed, he should find himself right where he needs to be. Black Storm (TOC=9/2; ML=5/2) is a strong fit on speed figures and is the likely choice and one to beat. A seven-time winner over the Santa Anita dirt strip, the J. Metz-trained gelding must overcome the rail but with clear sailing should make his presence felt late. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play, with a very slight edge on top to Alleva.


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RACE 3: Post: 2:06 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 7-Square Cat; 4-Straus’s Place

Forecast: This is a split of the first race, with maiden California-bred older horses meeting over a mile on grass. Square Cat stretches out for the first time and projects to be the controlling speed. If the son of Square Eddie will ever be able to get the distance, it most likely will be in his first try, and under these conditions he seems likely to take his field gate to wire. Staus’s Place has a race two runs back at Los Alamitos that charts well here, and with his pedigree (Champ Pegasus from a Giant’s Causeway mare) the P. D'Amato-trained gelding is very likely to produce a significant forward move in his first try on turf. He’s a “must use” in rolling exotic play.


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RACE 4: Post: 2:42 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference: 4-Half Right; 5-Mr. Lovejoy

Forecast: Half Right (TOC=6/5; ML=5/2) has won three of his last four starts, the most recent win in a mixed-breed race at Los Alamitos when dominating gate-to-wire. A smart score two races back over the local main track produced a career top speed figure, so in his present form the S. Knapp-trained son of Alpha seems likely to continue his winning form in this starter’s allowance $16,000 sprint. Mr. Lovejoy (TOC=5-1; ML=2-1) is the quickest of the quick and should stick better at this level with the return to the main track. He’s clearly a need-the-lead type, so if he can outrun Half Right in the opening furlong without undue pressure he could be very hard to run down late. These are the two we’ll be using in rolling exotic play with slight preference on top to Half Right


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RACE 5: Post: 3:16 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 2-Masteroffoxhounds; 5-Ecrivain

Forecast: Masteroffoxhounds (TOC=Evens; ML=5/2) went stale last summer after displaying excellent ability in the first few races after being imported for Ireland and we suspect the time off will have done him some good. The R. Baltas-trained son of War Front shows a relatively light work tab but he could be the type that doesn’t need a whole lot to get fit. Winner of the San Marcos S.-G3 over the local lawn last year, he returns in a rarely carded third-level allowance race that appears well within his scope. Ecrivain (TOC=3-1; ML=6/5), is a French import making his U.S. debut for R. Mandella (superior stats with layoffs). A Group-3 stakes winner at Chantilly last summer, he’s a first-time Lasix user who has won off a layoff in the past, but with all of his local works accomplished on dirt (which he seems to struggle over), it’s tough to gauge his readiness. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Masteroffoxhounds.

Notable Workouts:

Masteroffoxhounds (March 19, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.1h TT). Grade: B
Asked a bit late and looked solid on the comeback trail, splits of :24.3, :36.3 and 1:01 flat in solo training track drill for R. Baltas. Seems fit, was a stakes winner over the local lawn last year before tailing off in a series of tough Graded stakes company.
View Workout Video

Ecrivain (March 19, Santa Anita, 7f, 1:27.2h). Grade: B-
In company inside Laforgia (6f, 1:14h) for R. Mandella and was best while being ridden hard through the lane, failing to change leads (as usual), splits on our watches from the five furlong pole to the seven furlong pole in :23.2, :36.1, 1:01.3 and 1:14 for the final six furlongs. Not visually pleasing but is clearly a turf horse but should get fit quickly working on the main track.
View Workout Video


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RACE 6: Post: 3:46 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 2-Good Vibes Only; 3-Dixie’s Two Stents

Forecast: Here’s a starter optional claiming extended sprint that appears to feature two main players. Good Vibes Only (TOC=4/5; ML=5/2) broke his maiden at first asking last fall, was claimed for $50,000 by trainer J. Sadler out of the race, then missed by a neck when third at this level in December at Los Alamitos. The son of Maclean’s Music returns protected after a 14 week vacation with a series of workouts that includes a bullet half mile drill in :47 3/5 six days ago, so we’ll assume he’s fit. Additionally, the barn is strong with layoff runners (22% with a powerful ROI). Dixie’s Two Stents (TOC=7/2; ML=2-1) actually is faster on speed figures than Good Vibes Only and broke his maiden last month with complete authority, drawing away nicely after pressing the pace throughout. A similar performance today could easily be good enough.

Notable Workouts:

Good Vibes Only (March 6, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:02.1h). Grade: C+
Maybe a tad the best inside Violent Runner (same time) for J. Sadler though failing to change leads, final half mile in :24 flat and :49.1, ridden a bit through the stretch. Away since December, seems about the same while gearing up for his return.
View Workout Video


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RACE 7: Post: 4:16 PT Grade: B
Use (in order of preference): 4-Gregorian Chant; 2-Bran

Forecast: Gregorian Chant (TOC=4/5; ML=8/5), is a prototype late-running turf sprinter, and a four-time winner over the Santa Anita lawn, although all of those victories were accomplished on the flat course. Freshened since the fall after a series of hard races in graded stakes company, the P. D’Amato-trained gelding returns in a conditioned allowance downhill dash with regular rider J. Hernandez, who can be counted on to give the veteran gelding the patient ride that he prefers. His recent works have been okay, not great, but should have him fit enough. Bran (TOC=7/2; ML=9/5) adds Lasix, switches to Johnny V., and can improve a ton if taken back and allowed to produce one late run (his preferred style). This drop in class from a pair of graded stakes races won't hurt, either.

Notable Workouts:

Overdue (March 5, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4h TT). Grade: B
See Gregorian Chant (below)
View Workout Video

Gregorian Chant (March 19, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.4h TT). Grade: B
Broke off five lengths in front of Overdue (5f, 1:00.4h TT) and wound up about a half-length the best at the wire, never asked at any stage and finishing under a nice hold, splits of :25.3, :37.3 and 1:02 flat on our watches. Looks to be returning in good shape after being away since the fall. Workmate went well, too, closing the gap on breezing workmate and finishing without need of pressure.
View Workout Video


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RACE 8: Post: 4:46 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 6-Song of Fire; 4-Whistler’s Style

Forecast: The finale is a mile turf event for restricted (nw-2) $25,000 fillies and mares. Song of Fire (TOC=8/5; ML=7/5) finished a willing second under similar conditions last month and not much more will be needed to beat this field. The J. Sadler-trained filly shows four solid workouts since raced, so she could be set for significant forward move. Whistler’s Style (TOC=2-1; ML=9/5) shortens to her preferred one mile distance, should get the waiting ride she requires with the switch to D. Van Dyke, and looks on paper to be the most dangerous of the closing types. We’ll have tickets using both in our rolling exotics while reserving the main punch for Song of Fire.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Fair Grounds - Race #7
Picks Notes
#7 Sail On Ellen Think she has a small claim on this in a race where the Cox barn is holding a heavy hand. She draws well to get a good trip while prompting the pace here at a decent price.
#1 Goin' Good She ran a good one off the bench last time out when chasing a really tough forward player who thrives over this course. Obvious player, but I think there is at least a small chance she gets a tough forward run from the fence.
#6 Emro She has done nothing wrong in three easy wins to open her career, and she'll get a good test here from a couple of horses who have been in with better older horses.
Race Summary Sail on Ellen meets a couple of very tough players from the Cox barn, but she has the right kind of style to hassle any other forward players from the wide draw, and she's not too far off what it might take to land this.

Fair Grounds - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Lead Me She's bred to be okay, as mom was decent enough, and I don't feel like this is the deepest group for this local level. Fresh face wouldn't surprise.
#10 Love That Star She woke up in a big way when getting over to the dirt in her second start while firing a good one off the layoff, and something similar would keep her in the mix right back with these.
#7 Pineapple Alley She has shown some versatility throughout her career, but she also has a recent tendency to give away ground in the lane. Capable mid-range price player, but I think she settles underneath.
Race Summary Lead Me debuts in a modest enough spot, and she's bred to be okay while racing for a very capable team with this kind of first-timer. Many live wires from this team will show up on the board, so give a slight extra look there.

Fair Grounds - Race #9
Picks Notes
#2 Stitched He has been really solid in both career turf tries when leading throughout while scoring in both, and he'll get a bit of a class test in here today. A bit worried about some other forward players in here, but maybe he has a go of it from the rail draw and discourages the other pace.
#5 Tiz of Thee He moved up in a big way in the turf debut when parlaying a forward trip into a special weight graduation, and this might not be the best race we've seen at this level this season, so he might be able to step right up to handle winners.
#7 Verstappen Tactical player landed a maiden win going nine furlongs last out, and I like that he has been moving in the right direction in every start. If he has any upside left, he's a threat right back.
Race Summary Stitched might be committed enough to go for it from the fence, and that might leave some other forward types to sort themselves out behind him. He has been in with some cheaper groups, but the form might be there to land this.

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Jeff Nahill’s Santa Anita opinions for Friday, March 25

FIRST RACE: 4-3-6-2

SECOND RACE: 2-3-1-6

THIRD RACE: 7-3-4-8

FOURTH RACE: 4-5-2-3

FIFTH RACE: 2-3-5-1

SIXTH RACE: 1-2-3-7 (BEST BET)

SEVENTH RACE: 1-2-4-3

EIGHTH RACE: 5-6-4-2

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Busan Friday: Race-By-Race Preview (March 25)

The weekend’s racing gets underway at Busan on Friday where there are eight races from 12:00 to 18:00. All betting locations are open but attendance must be pre-booked using the MyCard app. Here are the previews:

Busan Race 1: Class 6 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

Three-year-old maidens open the card with six of the twelve making their racecourse debuts. It’s one of those first-timers who will be the one to beat. (5) KING BOSS trialed two weeks ago and was very impressive, jumping out well and staying on the bridle, crossing the line in 2nd place with seemingly plenty of running in him. The 1200M can suit and from a good gate, he should be on pace and make a winning start to his career. Staying with the debut-makers, (1) KKUM NEOMEO also trialed well sitting handy and crossing the line 3rd, a long way behind King Of The Match but just over a length behind Jera, who has four wins from eight and is his half-brother. From the inside, he can be in this a long way. (4) COME ON FIRST also put in a bold showing in his trial and can be considered first-up. As for the experienced ones, (3) FLYING REGAL and (11) BUSAN SORY look the best.
Selections (5) King Boss (1) Kkum Neomeo (4) Come On First (3) Flying Regal
Next Best 11, 6
Fast Start 1, 2, 5, 12

Busan Race 2: Class 6 (1300M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

Maiden fillies (and one mare) here. (5) WONDERFUL FILE is the clear pick here. After an indifferent debut, she has produced two fair performances to finish 4th, both at this distance, and she won’t need to improve much to win this. (8) QUALITY QUEEN also comes in following two decent runs, most recently at this distance on February 5th when 6th of fourteen in a sterner test than this. In this field she can probably get on pace, and she has solid claims to go close. (9) HAMAN YEOHANGSAN comes up to this distance for the first time. She has proven able to run on the speed, as she did two starts back when 4th, or settling back and running on for 6th, both in big fields and both at 1200M. She has at least placing chances today. (1) WONDERFUL SMARTY has never finished better than 3rd in twenty outings but this is the kind of race where she can pick up some minor money. (4) DOCTOR TANGO another who could sneak into a place.
Selections (5) Wonderful File (8) Quality Queen (9) Haman Yeohangsan (1) Wonderful Smarty
Next Best 4, 2
Fast Start 3, 4, 8, 9

Busan Race 3: Class 6 (1600M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

Small but competitive field. (3) GRAND CHUKJE has earned favourite status based on his latest two outings, most recent when 3rd, just neck behind the winner in a tight finish at this distance. The same apprentice jockey keeps the weight low, and he draws a much better gate this time and at the fourteenth time of asking, it can be his day. Just a further half-length back in 4th place in that race was (8) CHOEGANG MARINE, who led for much of the way around. He also has a 3rd place to his name at this distance and despite being drawn in the widest gate, he should be able to get a relatively soft run to the lead and he could overturn the form. Also coming out of that race is (7) ADELE STELLA. He has finished between 3rd and 5th at all of his starts so far. He can run on well and maintain his consistent form here. (4) ETTEUMI and (1) KING PARTY others who can have a say in the finish.
Selections (3) Grand Chukje (8) Choegang Marine (7) Adele Stella (4) Etteumi
Next Best 1, 2
Fast Start 4, 5, 7, 8

Busan Race 4: Class 6 (1400M) Allowance / KRW 25 Million

We’ll take a chance here on (7) RAON THE FIGHTING. He races for just the fifth time and comes up in trip after a decent 4th over 1300M on February 27th having raced handy throughout. He could well lead here and has every chance. (8) CHAMP GO will probably be the favourite. Draw a line through his latest effort on February 20th when he used up plenty to get forward from a wide draw and instead go on his previous two when 3rd and 2nd, both at this distance. He is up in the weight here, but Franco Da Silva climbs aboard, and he has solid chances. (1) CARIBBEAN DAY is yet to finish in the top two but has been a model of consistency with three 4th place finish and a 3rd from his latest four appearances, all at a mile. He comes back in trip here, draws nicely and can run into some money again. (3) MAJOR FORCE and (4) DAEJI SPECIAL are others with placing chances.
Selections (7) Raon The Fighting (8) Champ Go (1) Caribbean Day (3) Major Force
Next Best 4, 9
Fast Start 4, 7, 9, 10

Busan Race 5: Class 5 (1400M) Handicap / KRW 40 Million

Fillies and mares only here. (4) ALIVE QUEEN was a gate-to-wire winner two starts back over 1300M at class six level before running 2nd on her first try at this level, again at 1300M on February 11th. She was a beaten favourite that day and was wide early before leading for much of the straight, only to be passed by a good winner. She draws slightly better here and this half-sister to Doraonpogyeongseon, an eleven-time winner in Korea, can come home on top this time. (11) CHEONNYEONUIGUREUM enters in good form with a 4th and a 2nd in her latest two, both at this class and distance. Her running style is to settle back and finish off so the wide draw shouldn’t be too much of a problem. (3) OCEAN STORM remains a maiden having been promoted to this level with a pair of runner-up finishes. She added a third before finishing 4th on her first try at this distance on February 27th, having led for part of the race. She should have come on for that and will be in the mix. (10) FANTASTIC LOVE and (8) GREAT GO are among several others who may be considered for the places.
Selections (4) Alive Queen (11) Cheonnyeonuigureum (3) Ocean Storm (10) Fantastic Love
Next Best 8, 9
Fast Start 2, 3, 6, 10

Busan Race 6: Class 5 (1300M) Handicap / KRW 60 Million

(11) MISS GO should be winning this. She is yet to finish any worse than 4th in five starts and was a bit slow away and just a little late arriving on the scene when favourite over 1200M last time out on February 18th, ultimately finishing 3rd. True she has got the same unfavourable gate, but she has plenty of ability and should put things right here. That will mean overturning the form on (1) A ONE PLUS, who finished half a length ahead of Miss Go in 2nd place in that February race. She franked that form with another 2nd over 1200M on March 4th, once again coming from off the pace. She is yet to win in seventeen starts and should find one too quick again, but she looks the most credible danger to the favourite. (3) BURUI GEOM has mixed his form so far but showed plenty of zip when winning at 1200M at class six level two starts back. He struggled from a wide draw over 1400M on his first try at this level but should be much more comfortable today. (9) MORNING THUNDER and (7) MONEY BAG are others in the hunt.
Selections (11) Miss Go (1) A One Plus (3) Burui Geom (9) Morning Thunder
Next Best 7, 5
Fast Start 1, 6, 8, 11

Busan Race 7: Class 5 (1200M) Allowance / KRW 40 Million

It’s hard to look too far past (7) KENDRICK. An emphatic winner on debut over 1000M, he stepped up to this class and distance on February 11th, having worked hard from the outside gate to lead close to home. He draws better today, comes down slightly in the weights, and he will take some beating. (3) STORM TO WIN returns to action for the first time since November. She is a class and distance winner and while she didn’t run especially well in the two outings prior to her layoff, she absolutely blitzed a trial last weekend. We perhaps shouldn’t read too much into the time as the track was very wet, but she comes in here carrying 6kg less than when we last saw her and 4kg less than when she last won. She could be interesting. (5) HANEUL GANGJA comes up in class having made all to win at this distance on February 18th. That was just his second start, and he can measure up in this company. (1) CHIEF OFFICER and (11) SEOGWI PLUS are others who can enter the calculations.
Selections (7) Kendrick (3) Storm To Win (5) Haneul Gangja (1) Chief Officer
Next Best 11, 10
Fast Start 3, 7, 11, 12

Busan Race 8: Class 3 (1800M) Handicap / KRW 75 Million

(2) WORLD CHANGE took his chance in the Korean Derby last November and while things didn’t go especially well that day, he is unbeaten in three outings since and can extend it to four here. Two of those wins have been at this distance and while his latest was back at 1400M, it was at this class and under a fair weight and from a good gate, he should have too much. He is tactically versatile so could lead or could settle back. The clear second choice is (9) DOCTOR TAKE. He ran 2nd to World Change at class 4 level over this distance two starts back and then beat several of today’s rivals when winning at this class and distance on February 27th. He comes up 3.5kg for his troubles but can be a danger. (8) TOP MATE had a torrid time over a mile when drawn in gate fourteen at his latest start. This should suit much better and today’s handicap conditions brings him down 4kg in the weights. It took (1) LUCAS SUN fourteen attempts to get his maiden win, but he evidently enjoyed it because he immediately followed up with another. Both were at this distance, and he comes up in class and significantly down in weight, looking for a hat-trick. (3) HILL MORE another who can go close.
Selections (2) World Change (9) Doctor Take (8) Top Mate (1) Lucas Sun
Next Best 3, 10
Fast Start 2, 6, 8, 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's Horse Racing Tips: Friday March 25th
Stephen Harris
bettingexpert Racing editor

Today’s Racing Tips – March 25th
There are 4 meetings in the UK on Friday, with competitive jumps action through the afternoon at Hereford, Musselburgh and Newton Abbot. All-weather fans have the twilight card at Newcastle to study, with the lights coming on at 5.45pm.
Today’s Daily Nap

Corrigeen Rock

Musselburgh 1:15pm

Lucinda Russell’s novice got back on track when finishing a good second to the useful Privatory sent down to Sandown last time out, and will relish a return to calmer waters at Musselburgh on Friday. His hurdling win at Kelso came from the front, and a positive ride from Derek Fox here should make him very hard to beat on drying ground.

Odds: 2.88
Today’s Value Angle

The Navigator

Musselburgh 2:20pm
Dianne Sayer’s 7-y-o returned to his best form when finishing second to a handicap blot at Sedgefield last time out, and has optimum conditions here to snap a losing run stretching back to October 2020. He is a smooth traveller with a turn of foot when the cards fall right, and there should be plenty of pace for Conor O’Farrell to aim at in this competitive field of northern handicappers.

Odds: 8.50

Odds are best odds available as at 2am March 25th 2022. Odds may now differ.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #6 - Post: 2:48pm - Starter Allowance - 8.2 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 86

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 DR. ANN (ML=4/1)


DR. ANN - The jock and trainer combination have a profitable return on investment when they combine forces.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 INEDATEQUILA (ML=8/5), #2 TEXAS REWARD (ML=2/1), #3 JUST STAY HOME (ML=6/1),

INEDATEQUILA - You should normally bet against probable favorites that haven't raced or show no activity in the morning over the last few weeks. TEXAS REWARD - Just don't think she is worth it at the expected odds. JUST STAY HOME - In the last event this vulnerable equine finished fourth. Doesn't show much potential for her chances today. This mare will probably bounce, and not come close to the last speed figure of 78.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 DR. ANN is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with 7

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $36000 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $35,000, FOR EACH $5,000 TO $25,000 1 LB.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 TUWAIM 7/5

# 6 AERONAUT 3/1

# 7 FRIAR TUCK 10/1

TUWAIM looks decent to best this field. Has earned reliable Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races in the past. He has been running soundly and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the top in this group. Has been running quite well lately and will probably be up near the front end early on. AERONAUT - Have to consider solely on class, with some of the top class figures of this field. Is a sharp contender based on figures garnered recently under today's conditions. FRIAR TUCK - Cibelli has one of the strongest winning percentages in this group of animals with entries running at this distance and surface. Will most likely come out solid - I have liked the way this gelding has moved quickly to the front end recently.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Special Weight - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7200 Class Rating: 50

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 2/1

# 5 TAP THE HEART 8/1

# 6 POW POW 5/2

I like PRESLEY'S ARTWORK here. Will likely be one of the front-runners of the bunch going into the midpoint of the race. Is tough not to examine given the company run in lately. In this field, this one is prominent in earnings per start in dirt sprint races. TAP THE HEART - Has very strong early pace and will almost certainly fare soundly against this group. Mitchell is trying to win with this one by bringing her back so quickly. POW POW - This filly with Martinez in the saddle makes her a key contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE

03/25/22, OP, Race 3, 2.02 CT
03/25/22,OP,3,6F [Dirt] 1:07:04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $39,000. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 125 lbs. Claiming Price $40,000.
. . . .
Best in race flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse must be the top rated horse for the Occurs, Win%, and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Best Occ Win% ROI
100.0000 8 Wildwood Z 9/2 Arrieta F Becker Scott TFEL 165 24.24 1.05/$1
098.7174 6 Reserve 4/1 Cabrera D Moquett Ron 7 28.57 1.09/$1
098.0282 4 Chrome Run 10/1 Quinonez L S Milligan Allen 154 23.38 0.67/$1
096.8191 7 Rare Stripe 3/1 Torres C A Villafranco Federico SC 133 33.83 1.27/$1
094.7112 3 Take No Prisoners 6/1 Geroux F Moquett Ron 154 23.38 0.67/$1
094.3193 1 Taxit 7/2 Rosario J Asmussen Steven M. J 23 52.17 1.51/$1
093.5992 2 Wesleyan 10/1 Santana. Jr. R Martin Timothy E. 165 24.24 1.05/$1
093.3364 5 Thunderheart 12/1 Wales T Stuart Shea 28 32.14 1.04/$1
087.9683 9 Quarantine Whiskey 15/1 Hiraldo J Broberg Karl W 28 32.14 1.04/$1
Top rated horse With "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - Win% 29.06, ROI 1.11/$1
Rating gap To 2nd horse -1.2826
[Category] Condition for 100.0000 Top Horse
[All Dirt] Last Race Weight Is Greater Than Today

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Goodfella free play

2* Providence +8 -120

[Can'tPickAWinner]

N CAROLINA (26 - 9) vs. UCLA (27 - 7) - 3/25/2022, 9:39 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
UCLA is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against ACC opponents since 1997.
Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ST PETERS (21 - 11) vs. PURDUE (29 - 7) - 3/25/2022, 7:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
ST PETERS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST PETERS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
ST PETERS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in March games this season.
ST PETERS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Friday nights this season.
ST PETERS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ST PETERS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

PROVIDENCE (27 - 5) vs. KANSAS (30 - 6) - 3/25/2022, 7:29 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PROVIDENCE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PROVIDENCE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

IOWA ST (22 - 12) vs. MIAMI (25 - 10) - 3/25/2022, 9:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
IOWA ST is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in March games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
IOWA ST is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
IOWA ST is 298-247 ATS (+26.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MIAMI is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SAINT PETER'S PEACOCKS VS. PURDUE BOILERMAKERS

The fans at Wells Fargo Center will be treated to a game between the Saint Peter's Peacocks and the Purdue Boilermakers when they take their seats on Friday.

Oddsmakers opened the Boilermakers as -13-point favorites versus the Peacocks, while the game's total opened at 136.5.

Last time out for Purdue, they were a 81-71 winner as they battled Longhorns at home. They covered in the match as a -3.5-point favorite.

Saint Peter's won its last outing, a 70-60 result against Racers on March 19. They covered in that game as a +8-point underdog.

Saint Peter's:
Team record: 21-11 SU,23-9 ATS
Current Streak: won 9 straight games.

Purdue:
Team record: 29-7 SU,15-20-1 ATS