Saturday 4/30/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Laurel Park Picks - Saturday, April 30, 2022

Race 1: 1-6-5-3
Race 2: 2-4-6-1
Race 3: 7-6-9-10
Race 4: 1-6-4-2
Race 5: 9-5-7-6
Race 6: 2-7-8-3
Race 7: 2-7-4-1
Race 8: 1-2-6-4
Race 9: 7-4-3-6
**Most Likely Winner: Air On Fire #2 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Like N' Eagle #7 (Race 3)**

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Lone Star Park Picks - Saturday, April 30, 2022

Race 1: 10-4-5-1
Race 2: 7-1-3-5
Race 3: 3-5-1-8
Race 4: 11-1-3-9
Race 5: 6-4-8-3
Race 6: 6-5-9-2
Race 7: 2-5-6-4
Race 8: 12-2-4-6
Race 9: 7-2-4-3
Race 10: 6-8-7-2
**Most Likely: Sonneman #2 (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Midyear #11 (Race 4)**

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Santa Anita Park Picks - Saturday, April 30, 2022

Race 1: 2-8-10-5
Race 2: 3-1-2-4
Race 3: 5-6-2-1
Race 4: 3-1-2-5
Race 5: 5-8-2-11
Race 6: 3-4-2-5
Race 7: 10-6-2-12
Race 8: 8-5-6-4
Race 9: 7-11-4-12
Race 10: 7-4-9-2
Race 11: 5-6-3-1
Race 12: 2-7-8-5
**Most Likely: Express Train #3 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Varda #7 (Race 10)**

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Al Cimaglia: Hoosier Park Late Pick 4 Analysis

April 30, 2022 | By Al Cimaglia

Tonight, Hoosier Park has 13 races scheduled. The 0.50 Late Pick 4 starts in Race 10, and the sequence will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

2-Bridge To Jesse's (5/2)-Double qualified and the last was a 22-length romp. Looks like all systems are go to fire hot off the bench.
4-Miss Smead (7/2)-Takes a meaningful drop out of Open company and lands at the level of its last win on 3-26. Appears to have the best chance of taking down the program chalk #2.

Race 11

4-JB's Shooting Star (3-1)-Bates takes a seat as Tetrick sticks with the George entry #5. Fits well at this level and should be in the hunt at the wire.
5-Always A Spinster (7/2)-Drops in the 2nd start off the bench and Tetrick returns. Beaten favorite could be much better after a needed start.
8-Uncut Gem (6-1)-Beaten 9/5 chalk drops to a better spot. Will look for Putnam to be more aggressive here and should offer a solid price.

Race 12

4-Flagman (7/2)-Lost all chance with a break caused by the driver. Now makes the 2nd start after shipping in from the Pomp. Should be a player if dialed on high and has won 7 of 38 races at HoP.
6-It's A Herbie (5/2)-Steps-up after drawing off versus easier last week. This looks like a chalky race and Herbie is back at his favorite track. Hoosier Park record is very good (32-12-11-2).

Race 13

1-Mel's Vicki Lou (5-1)-Was used hard from post 7 to get on the point and just missed versus this kind last week. Won't be 10-1 but best to respect versus this crew.
2-U'll Learn (8-1)-Stayed inside and came away with an efficient win last time and now loses Bates who will steer his own. Comes back versus the same kind and Oosting could follow a similar script.
4-Debt Motivated (3-1)-This handy mare has raced well in the last 3 starts and Wilfong should have her in striking range turning for the wire.

0.50 Late Pick 4

2,4/4,5,8/4,6/1,2,4
Total Bet=$18

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Jeff Siegel's Santa Anita Analysis/Workout Commentary - 4/30/22

April 30, 2022

“What You Need to Know” - Santa Anita
By Jeff Siegel, Handicapper & Analyst


Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s Daily Santa Anita Handicapping Analysis, Wagering Strategies, Workout Commentary, and True Odds Calculations (“TOC”) identify those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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The “TOC” quantifies the findings of a personal thoroughbred analytics program that contains in its database the results of every race contested at Santa Anita since 2004. More than 75 critical factors in the fields of class, distance, surface, age, and sex have created 227 algorithms that are highly specific to the race being handicapped. The result is a probability line that reflects each contender’s true odds based on a pure 100-point takeout.

The “TOC” applies its mathematical formula only to non-maiden races and displays a maximum of four runners considered the most likely contenders to win. Also listed is the specific algorithm’s sample size plus the top-rated horse’s win percentage and return on investment (ROI). It is suggested that the player utilize the program’s findings to compare each contender’s “true odds” with the morning line and/or actual wagering odds to identify potential overlays and underlays.

Also-eligible runners are not included in any of the calculations until verified as actual starters. When possible, adjustments to the “TOC” will be updated after late scratches.

For additional commentary, follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.

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Grade Descriptions:
Grade A=Highest degree of confidence
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred or pass
Grade X=probable winner but likely at odds too short to play

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RACE 1: Post: 1:00 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 8-Self Isolation; 10-Freedom Lass; 4-Pop Pop’s Dream; 9-Dolly May

Forecast: The opener is a challenging nine-furlong turf affair for first-level allowance fillies and mares that requires a spread in rolling exotic play. We’ll go four-deep, but feel free to expand your coverage if you deem it necessary. Self Isolation (TOC=2-1; ML=4-1) took seven races to figure things out but after a pair of gate-to-wire wins at a mile over the local lawn the daughter of Square Eddie steps into open company while stretching out in distance. Clearly most effective as the controlling speed, the D. O’Neill-trained Cal-bred shows a recent bullet half mile workout at San Luis Rey Downs (4f, :47.3h) to remain on edge and should be tough to catch once again if not pressured early. However, there are a couple of other speed types in the field that may make her work a bit harder than she’s been used to, so we’ll put her on top but not with a great degree of confidence. Freedom Lass (TOC=4-1; ML=4-1) projects to inherit a pace-stalking trip outside and will have dead aim and every chance from the quarter pole home. Pop Pop’s Dream (TOC=6-1; ML=7/2) may be the most dangerous of the closing types. Her best chance depends on a favorable race shape; the faster the better. Dolly May (TOC=12-1; ML=12-1) tackles older foes for the first time in her third start off a layoff, and while her recent form appears lackluster she is another that could be heard from late if a faster-than-average early pace materializes.


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RACE 2: Post: 1:30 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 2-E Z Pharis; 1-Cocktail Princess

Forecast: Four of the six entrants in this maiden juvenile sprint for fillies were bred by T. Lovingier, who has retained ownership interest in three, including E Z Pharis, a daughter of American Pharoah which was bid up and then bought back as a yearling for $350,000. Her workouts at San Luis Rey Downs look pretty solid, so we’ll make the one to beat in a modest event. Cocktail Princess, also carrying the Lovingier colors, is a Stay Thirsty filly that worked a solo half mile from the gate (see below) two weeks ago and did enough to indicate some ability. We’re expecting the winner to be one of these two, with preference on top to E Z Pharis.

Notable Workouts:

Cocktail Princess (April 16, Santa Anita, 4f, :47.1hg). Grade: B-
May have gone a tad slower than given in solo gate drill for Periban, splits of :24 flat, :35.2 and :47.3 on our watches, hustled along early and under mild coaxing late, not bad for an unraced juvenile filly. Seems fit and should have a reasonable look first time out if no world beaters show up.
View Workout Video


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RACE 3: Post: 1:59 PT Grade: C+
Use (in order of preference): 3-Del Mar Drama; 1-On Purpose; 5-Gallovie

Forecast: We’ll use three of the six entrants in this starter’s allowance ($50,000) grass sprint for fillies and mares but otherwise pass the race. Del Mar Drama (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) is winless in five starts over the local lawn but she owns a distinct edge on speed figures and projects to enjoy a comfortable pace-stalking trip in a race that projects to have moderate splits, at best. She’s hit the board in her last six starts and seems likely to fire another good shot in an open fray. On Purpose (TOC=2-1; ML=4-1) is another with speed figures that put her squarely in the hunt. From the rail, she’s assured a ground-saving, stalking trip and have dead aim from the top of the lane to the wire. Gallovie (TOC=4-1; ML=2-1) has the route-to-sprint angle on her resume and healthy series of workouts at San Luis Rey Downs to have her primed for a major effort. If she can make the lead without undue pressure, the English-bred mare could get brave and take the field a long way.


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RACE 4: Post: 2:29 PT Grade: X
Use (in order of preference: 3-Brickyard Ride; 5-Miles Ahead

Forecast: Here’s another short field affair that offers little wagering value, so we’ll double the race using the two main contenders but otherwise pass. Brickyard Ride (TOC=7/5; ML=6/5) has won eight of 11 career outings over the Santa Anita main track but was a weak runner-up (beaten almost 10 lengths) in last year’s renewal of the Kona Gold S.-G3. Perfect in three starts this year, the veteran son of Clubhouse Ride is at least as good if not better this time around, and in a race in which he’ll easily be the controlling speed the veteran sprinter in C. Lewis’s barn should be more than capable of continuing his winning ways. Miles Ahead (TOC=4/5; ML=8/5) is a formidable invader from Florida and will enjoy a perfect pace-stalking trip outside. Fresh from a career top victory in the Gulfstream Park Sprint Stakes in mid-February over the high class Drain the Clock, the son of Competitive Edge will be there to pick up the pieces should ‘Ride fail to punch it in late.

Notable Workouts:

Brickyard Ride (April 21, Santa Anita, 4fm :48.1h). Grade: B+
Breezing every step of the way, smooth as silk, splits of :12 flat, :23.4, and :48.1. Nice and relaxed while maintaining his edge.
View Workout Video


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RACE 5: Post: 2:59 PT Grade: B+
Single: 5-Fast Buck

Forecast: If Fast Buck (TOC=4-1; ML=7/2) runs as well today as he did when beating state-bred maidens over this turf course last month, he’ll almost assuredly repeat on the raise. Despite a very slow start, the son of Gallant Son gained a clear lead before the opening quarter while displaying intense speed and then kept on going to win with a figure that far exceeds par for this level. The Los Alamitos-based gelding shows a healthy work tab since raced (including a bullet half mile move in :59h), so we’ll make him a strong win play and logical rolling exotic single.


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RACE 6: Post: 3:33 PT Grade: X
Single: 3-Express Train

Forecast: Express Train (TOC=1/5; ML=4/5) simply lays over this year’s Californian S.-G2 field using any kind of metric available. The J. Shirreffs-trained son of Union Rags seeks his fourth straight win while continuing to impress in the a.m., and after winning the Big ‘Cap-G1 in early March with a career top number he shouldn’t have any difficulty with today’s four other rivals. He’s a rolling exotic single in a race that offers no wagering value.


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RACE 7: Post: 4:03 PT Grade: B-
Use (in order of preference): 2-If Id Told You; 10-Anitanewmercedes; 6-Discretionary Day

Forecast: There are three main players in this state-bred, first-level allowance turf miler and they’re tough to separate. If Id Told You (TOC=5/2; ML=5/2) finished a strong runner-up in a similar affair in late March and did so despite lacking room in the stretch that may have cost him the race. Logic says he can win today with a better trip. Anitanewmercedes (TOC=3-1; ML=6-1) made the running in that same race and held on well to be a close third, beaten just over a length. He knows how to win races (eight of 24) and can be tough on the front end or from a stalking position, so the Bay Area-based gelding should be the one to fear most. Discretionary Day (TOC=6-1; ML=6-1), freshened since late February, does his best on the front end and likely will employ gate-to-wire tactics. He was third at this level with a career-top speed figure last time out and will be right there if he can produce another forward move.


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RACE 8: Post: 4:34 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 8-Midnight Memories; 5-Family Affair

Forecast: Midnight Memories has done some excellent work preparing for her racing debut, first when under B. Baffert’s supervision and most recently for trainer S. McCarthy. The daughter of Mastery drew the favorable outside post in this extended sprint for maiden fillies and mares and should draft into a cozy stalking position and then have her chance to seal the deal when the pressure is turned on. Family Affair flashed good speed before weakening late when third in a fast, highly-rated event earlier this month, and with another forward move today the P. Eurton-trained daughter of Hard Spun could take some catching. However, at this extended sprint trip, she may be hard pressed to hold off our top pick. Both should be included in rolling exotic play with preference on top to Midnight Memories.

Notable Workouts:

Midnight Memories (April 16, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.2hg). Grade: B
Even but under a nice hold and going the slightly better outside Valiancy (same time) for S. McCarthy, splits of :23.4 :35.1, :47.2 and 1:00.1, plenty left late. Looks like a nice sort and is plenty fit, workmate can run some, too.
View Workout Video


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RACE 9: Post: 5:04 PT Grade: B+
Use (in order of preference): 1-Forgiving Spirit; 12-Disko Tribute

Forecast: Forgiving Spirit finished far back as the favorite in his debut last summer at Del Mar and was stopped on. He returns protected in straight maiden company after a series of sharp workouts that clearly indicates he’s much better than his only previous outing indicates. A fast recent gate work (see below) was very impressive, so from the rail in this maiden turf sprint as a first-time Lasix user the son of Shaman Ghost seems like a prime candidate to take control early and never look back. Disko Tribute, a willing third in his debut over this course and distance in February, makes his first start since for new trainer D. Blacker following a $62,500 claim and seems likely to produce a forward move, his extreme outside draw notwithstanding. The recent work tab is steady and healthy, and we’re expecting the son of Tom’s Tribute to making some noise in the final furlong. Both should be included in rolling exotic play, with the main punch going to Forgiving Spirit.

Notable Workouts:

Forgiving Spirit (April 13, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.1hg). Grade: B+
Best in a gate drill with Superman Shaq (same time) and Classic California (5f, 1:03hg) while looking very sharp throughout, splits of :23.4, :35.2, :47.2 and 1:00.1, something left late, mild pressure in the final stages. Finished far back in his only start but you can toss that race out. Plenty of speed and should fire a big shot off the bench.
View Workout Video


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RACE 10: Post: 5:36 PT Grade: B
Use (In order of preference): 3-Blue Stripe 9-Miss Bigly

Forecast: Miss Bigly (TOC=4/5; ML=5/2) was seven lengths clear of the rest when a respectable runner-up to subsequently retired As Time Goes By in the Beholder Mile-G1 in early March and without that filly to worry about today the veteran daughter of Gemologist is the one to beat in this year’s renewal of the Santa Margarita S.-G2 for fillies and mares. Successful in eight of 24 career starts, the P. D’Amato-trained ex-claimer always has been genuine and consistent and employs an ideal pace-stalking style that usually produces a clean, trouble-free trip. A bullet six furlong workout (1:12h) six days ago tells us she’s right on edge. Blue Stripe (TOC=10-1; ML=6-1) was out of her element when far back in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff-G1 in her U.S. debut last fall but her South American form, which includes a Group-1 win last year, was more than decent. Freshened and working extremely well, the M. Polanco-trained daughter of Equal Stripes could pose a serious challenge from the head of the lane to the wire if given the patient ride she requires. At 6-1 on the morning line, she offers better wagering value than ‘Bigly, so while we’ll include both in our rolling exotics, the main push goes to Blue Stripe.

Notable Workouts:

Blue Stripe (April 23, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:00.4h). Grade: B
Easy early, strong late, mild urging through the lane, splits of :36.4 and 1:01.1, a couple of ticks slower than given but sharp nonetheless. Clearly better than her poor BC Distaff-G1 effort. Better acclimated now.
View Workout Video


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RACE 11: Post: 6:09 PT Grade: B
Use (In order of preference): 4-Dicey Mo Chara; 7-Beyond Brilliant; 6-Masteroffoxhounds

Forecast: Dicey Mo Chara (TOC=6-1; ML=4-1) should have sufficient pace to set things up for his late kick in a race in which the two other main contenders may be vulnerable. The English-bred gelding earned a career top number when narrowly missing in the 12-furlong San Luis Rey S.-G3 last month and should be just as effective in this mile and one-quarter grass affair. Relatively lightly-raced (10 starts) and improving as he gets acclimated, the L. Powell-trained son of Adaay will get the patient ride he needs from D. Van Dyke and is worth a gamble in the win pool and in the various rolling exotics. For protection, you may want to include Beyond Brilliant (TOC=7/5; ML=9/5) and Masteroffoxhounds (TOC=7/2; ML=2-1) somewhere on your ticket as well. The former is suspect at this distance and is winless in four starts over the local lawn, while the latter has gone more than a year without winning though his most recent runner-up outing vs. allowance foes may indicate that he's rounding back to good form. Both are capable of winning at this level with their best efforts.


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RACE 12: Post: 6:38 PT Grade: B+
Single: 7-Motorious

Forecast: The finale is a Hillside Turf Course sprint for first-level allowance older horses that looks made to order for Motorious (TOC=4-1; ML=3-1). The P. D’Amato-trained gelding was extremely well-meant in his U.S. debut last month but had to settle for second after a slow start and a wide trip behind the tough-as-nails Cotopaxi in better-than-par six furlong affair over the flat course. Though winless in six starts on grass, the English-bred gelding performed well overseas on the lawn and has the mid-pack, late-running style that usually works so well over this unique layout. Three nice training track breezes since raced should have him set to produce a significant forward move, so with good racing luck he should be along on plenty of time as a win play and rolling exotic single.

Notable Workouts:

Motorious (April 24, Santa Anita, 5f, 1:01.3h TT). Grade: B+
Broke off a couple of lengths in front of Amy C (5f, 1:01.2h TT) and held that one at bay through the lane while mostly on his own, full of run to the finish with splits of :12.1 and :36 flat for the final three furlongs. Had a promising local debut recently and should step forward big time with that race behind him.

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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Hawthorne - Race #5
Picks Notes
#6 Miss High N Mighty She has some pace to use from the outside draw in a race without a ton of other speed, so there's a chance she can hustle from the gate and wire this bunch as she goes second start off the layoff.
#5 Summer Belle She might be better while getting back on the dirt here, but she hasn't showed a whole lot of enthusiasm for finishing her races, and I worry that she'll be along too late today.
#1 Starsoverparadise She rarely gets close, but there isn't a lot of depth in this group, and someone has to finish third. Something like her last might be good enough for a share of this.
Race Summary Miss High N Mighty turned in a decent effort when hiked back into special weight company, and she owns some pace in a small field without much other early burn. Let's see if she can wire 'em.

Hawthorne - Race #6
Picks Notes
#4 Mr. Peterkin He might be a little cheap for these, but those conditioned claiming races at Fair Grounds don't seem to leave him too far off what it would take to score here, and the price should be playable.
#5 Duchossois He has some upside while getting back from California, and he has the right kind of pressing pace to get a perfect, first-over trip with these. Capable, but a potential underlay.
#6 Jimmy D The recent form hasn't been a whole lot to look at, but his best stuff is really competitive here, so maybe he's in the frame late with any kind of bounce back effort.
Race Summary Mr. Peterkin should be a playable price here while rising off a handful of nice races with cheaper in New Orleans. He should get a decent midpack trip with these.

Hawthorne - Race #8
Picks Notes
#7 White Lies She has a little ability to pass horses late, and that should serve her well in a spot with lots of speed and pressing types. Easy to see her coming alive late at a price if the pace heats up.
#5 Montgomery Park She has some dangerous pace along with some pretty solid company lines from her time at Oaklawn, but the fear is she'll get caught up on a pace that winds up a bit too hot.
#1 Wild America She's another with capable running lines, but she has speed from the fence and probably takes the worst of it throughout. Not impossible, but she'll have to earn it.
Race Summary White Lies might get the right kind of trip from off the splits today, as there are a few pretty sharp forward players who can set the table for a late rally at a price.

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Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Hoosier Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 HOMER HALL Classy 6-year-old Seeks duplicate of race two starts ago.
#4 LOUS ABIGAIL Discount latest from second tier, met odds-on series winner prior.
#8 ROCK PARTY Speed to go a long way at double-digit odds.
Race Summary Homer Hall held his ground in third through a :57.4 back half in his second start this year. He broke stride in the claiming series finale but can bounce back with his 30th win if he stays flat. Bet to win and place.

Northfield Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#1 MACH IT TRUMP Poor record, chased runaway in qualifier, starts for new barn.
#4 PINKNPERFECT Trapped 3-deep on rail until stretch, joined blanket finish.
#5 ALL ROCKIN Comes off third win of year; rest of field has one win combined.
Race Summary Mach It Trump lost contact with the runaway winner in a fast qualifier but still managed to beat half the field. She makes her seasonal debut with no Lasix but could be a forward factor at a good price. Play a 1-4-5 exacta box.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#2 HARRY G Shook duel but couldn’t contain deep closers as the favorite.
#3 ROCKMEROLLME Rallied into fast pace to finish third two starts back.
#6 HERVEY HANOVER Moved early as beaten fave, second in prior pair, back on Lasix.
Race Summary Harry G brushed into a backstretch headwind to the lead, dueled through the final turn and tired in mid-stretch. He can rebound as the beaten favorite and take aim at $100,000 in earnings. Play 2-3 and 2-6 exactas.

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Jeff Nahill’s Santa Anita opinions for Saturday, April 30

FIRST RACE: 4-8-5-3

SECOND RACE: 1-2-3-5

THIRD RACE: 4-5-3-1

FOURTH RACE: 3-5-1-2

FIFTH RACE: 8-3-5-2 (BEST BET)

SIXTH RACE: 5-3-4-1

SEVENTH RACE: 2-6-12-9

EIGHTH RACE: 5-8-4-7

NINTH RACE: 11-1-7-10

10TH RACE: 9-3-4-7

11TH RACE: 7-6-4-5

12TH RACE: 8-7-4-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - April 30

SANTA ANITA TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 30, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	4	Pop Pops Dream	K Frey
PLACE	4-1	8	Self Isolation	M Gutierrez
SHOW	4-1	5	Ever Smart	R Curatolo
WILD CARD	4-1	10	Freedom Lass	T Baze
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Dramatizer	R A Vazquez
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	2	Varoma	M E Smith
* EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 5/8/10 BOX
RACE #2 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 4 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	4	Court Snort	C Ortega
PLACE	2-1	1	Cocktail Princess	K Frey
SHOW	5-2	2	E Z Pharis	T Baze
WILD CARD	3-1	3	Cosmo Katie	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	6	Daddy Classy Dill	E Payeras
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Paddle On Polly	E K Rojas Fernandez
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/4 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
RACE #3 $40,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:59 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	4	Dancing Dana	J J Hernandez
PLACE	4-1	1	On Purpose	R A Vazquez
SHOW	5-2	3	Del Mar Drama	K Frey
WILD CARD	2-1	5	Gallovie	R Curatolo
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Pistachio Princess	T Baze
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	6	Little Rachel	V Espinoza
* EXACTA: 4-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
RACE #4 $100,000 STAKES 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:29 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-5	3	Brickyard Ride	J J Hernandez
PLACE	7-2	1	Tigre Di Slugo	K Frey
SHOW	8-5	5	Miles Ahead	V Espinoza
WILD CARD	4-1	2	Strike That	R A Vazquez
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
RACE #5 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:59 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 FAST BUCK
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	5	Fast Buck	E Payeras
PLACE	4-1	8	Good Vibes Only	J J Hernandez
SHOW	6-1	2	Johnny Podres	K Frey
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Moose Mitchell	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	1	Caerulean	M Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Minister Shane	R Gonzalez
* EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
RACE #6 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:33 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 CALIFORNIAN STAKES GRADE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	4	Shaaz	M E Smith
PLACE	4-5	3	Express Train	V Espinoza
SHOW	5-2	5	Stilleto Boy	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Spielberg	A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Holden the Lute	R A Vazquez
* EXACTA: 3,4/3,4,5
* TRIFECTA: 3,4/3,4,5/ALL
COMMENTS: SHAAZ is within a length from being undefeated in three. EXPRESS TRAIN has been on fire winning three in a row against stiff competition. STILLETO BOY will try to chase down the speed horses. SPEILBERG has the upside but rarely runs to his potential.
RACE #7 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	12	Mamba Cool	R A Vazquez
PLACE	6-1	10	Anitanewmercedes	A Cedillo
SHOW	5-2	2	If Id Told You	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	6-1	7	Continental Divide	M E Smith
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	9	Standing O	R Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	6	Discretionary Day	D Van Dyke
* EXACTA: 12-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 2/7/10 BOX
RACE #8 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:34 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	5	Family Affair	A Cedillo
PLACE	5-1	2	Secret Fix	R Curatolo
SHOW	7-2	8	Midnight Memories	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Banjo Queen	K Frey
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	4	Valiancy	D Van Dyke
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Parco	R A Vazquez
* EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
RACE #9 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 8:04 PM ET
BEST BET: #11 CHIPPER
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	11	Chipper	K Frey
PLACE	3-1	7	Oubabe	J J Hernandez
SHOW	6-1	12	Disko Tribute	D A Herrera
WILD CARD	6-1	4	Orth	T Baze
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	14	Dutch Bus	A Cedillo
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Erebus	R Gonzalez
* EXACTA: 11-7 BOX, 7-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/11/12 BOX, 4/7/12 BOX
RACE #10 $200,000 STAKES 1 1/8 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:36 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 MARGARITA STAKES GRADE II
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	9	Miss Bigly	R A Vazquez
PLACE	4-1	7	Varda	D Van Dyke
SHOW	7-2	4	Park Avenue	J J Hernandez
WILD CARD	12-1	8	Bye Bye Bertie	D A Herrera
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	5	Midnight Jamboree	M E Smith
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	6	Sharapova	A Cedillo
* EXACTA: 4,7,8,9 Box
* TRIFECTA: 4,7,9/4,8,7,9/4,5,7,8,9
COMMENTS: MISS BIGLY ran the top last race speed figure and has a bullet workout since. VARDA has a win and second in two at Santa Anita as could move forward in her second start after an extended time on the sidelines. PARK AVENUE won wire to wire in her first go on grass. She will try to do the same here. BYE BYE BERTI won four in a row and five of six.
RACE #11 $225,000 STAKES 1 1/4 MILES ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 9:09 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $225,000 CHARLES WHITTINGHAM STAKES GRADE III
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	6	Masteroffoxhounds	J J Hernandez
PLACE	6-1	5	Gold Phoenix	K Frey
SHOW	4-1	4	Dicey Mo Chara	D Van Dyke
WILD CARD	9-5	7	Beyond Brilliant	V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Gregdar	R Curatolo
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Majestic Eagle	M E Smith
* EXACTA: 1,4,5,6 Box
* TRIFECTA: 4,5,6/4,5,6,7/1,4,5,6,7
COMMENTS: MASTEROFFOXHOUNDS should be as good maybe better in his second start after some rest. GOLD PHOENIX has finished first or second in his four starts. DICEY MO CHARA runs his best fresh like today. BEYOND BRILLIANT is always on the gas and should be involved from start to finish.
RACE #12 $69,000 ALLOWANCE 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 9:38 PM ET
BEST BET: #8 MUBTADAA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	8	Mubtadaa	R Curatolo
PLACE	6-1	1	Clayton Delaney	R Gonzalez
SHOW	3-1	7	Motorious	D Van Dyke
WILD CARD	12-1	6	Coalinga Road	T Baze
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	9	Air Force Red	V Espinoza
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Indulge	J J Hernandez
* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 1/6/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - April 30

TAMPA BAY TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 30, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $8,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE 40 YARDS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 CHRISTMAS PRESENT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	1	Christmas Present	A Quinonez
PLACE	5-2	2	Tiz Triumphant	F De La Cruz
SHOW	8-1	5	Cuz	W A Garcia
WILD CARD	2-1	7	Castle King	R D Allen Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	6	Pharaohs Prophecy	A Santos
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Mista Donzella	H R Diaz Jr.
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
RACE #2 $8,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:55 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	6-1	8	Ny Beth Getsitdone	A Quinonez
PLACE	8-1	1	Mutannaahy	J Bisono
SHOW	3-1	4	Yeguita Queen	J A Batista
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Queens Best	A Santos
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	7	Luscious	F De La Cruz
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Sparkling Plenty	W A Garcia
* EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #3 $32,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 1:25 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 MAPACHE G
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Mapache G	F De La Cruz
PLACE	7-2	8	Strong Eagle	J Bisono
SHOW	5-1	5	Commander Biz	A Santos
WILD CARD	2-1	3	Tax Code	W A Garcia
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	9	Mean Joe Bro	J L Alonso
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Angels Magic	A Quinonez
* EXACTA: 1-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX
RACE #4 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:57 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	8	Snakerattleandroll	A Santos
PLACE	2-1	4	Two Step Dance	J Bisono
SHOW	7-2	1	Stone Age	S Spanabel
WILD CARD	15-1	10	Got Floffy	L Sosa
ALTERNATE 1	20-1	3	Lil Crown	L Sanchez
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	2	Sidneys Bid	R Mitchell
* EXACTA: 8-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-10 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/8 BOX, 1/4/10 BOX
RACE #5 $30,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:28 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-5	5	Peachtree Road	F De La Cruz
PLACE	4-1	7	Laloba Feroz	K Mendez
SHOW	10-1	6	Three Coins	J A Batista
WILD CARD	8-1	2	Beastie Girl	W A Garcia
ALTERNATE 1	30-1	4	Beach Breeze	J L Alonso
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	1	Fortunata	M Arroyo
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 2/6/7 BOX
RACE #6 $20,500 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:57 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	8	Free to Fly	H R Diaz Jr.
PLACE	6-1	7	Ornery Angel	W A Garcia
SHOW	4-1	3	Texas Reward	S Spanabel
WILD CARD	8-1	6	Atlantic Princess	A Santos
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Bion Magic	J A Batista
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	5	Tee Up	F De La Cruz
* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/7/8 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
RACE #7 $16,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:28 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Thru the Vine	M Allen
PLACE	4-1	8	I Say I Play	A Suarez
SHOW	9-2	6	Zero Gravity	R D Allen Jr.
WILD CARD	10-1	5	Classy of Course	H R Diaz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	3	Strike the Top	A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	2	Fade Away	M Rowland
* EXACTA: 7-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 5/6/8 BOX
RACE #8 $24,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:05 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 EAST WING
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-2	5	East Wing	H R Diaz Jr.
PLACE	5-2	4	Kitty Kitty	F De La Cruz
SHOW	2-1	8	Bahamian Moon	S Spanabel
WILD CARD	20-1	2	Lady Teuflesberg	W A Garcia
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	6	Little Red Button	A Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	9	Lovielee	A Santos
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/8 BOX, 2/4/8 BOX
RACE #9 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	10	Royal Rocker	F De La Cruz
PLACE	3-1	9	Toolegittoquit	W A Garcia
SHOW	5-2	8	Majestic Queen	J Bisono
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Brycens Gold	R D Allen Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	5	Cross the Mersey	S Spanabel
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	V K Star	R R Ordonez
* EXACTA: 10-9 BOX, 9-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 8/9/10 BOX, 4/8/9 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - April 30

OAKLAWN PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 30, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $16,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	1	Appraisal	I Castillo
PLACE	7-2	2	Outcome	E Medellin
SHOW	5-1	7	Violent Pass	C Bailey
WILD CARD	9-2	4	Graves Mill Road	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Brody Boucher	E Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	6	Funandfunny	K R Jordan
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 2/4/7 BOX
RACE #2 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:29 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	7	Maxs Heart	E Esquivel
PLACE	9-2	11	Risky Situation	K Harr
SHOW	6-1	2	Tapped Out	E Medellin
WILD CARD	5-1	12	Kissofthenile	K R Jordan
ALTERNATE 1	4-1	13	Lous Arrow	E Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	3	Cybertown	G Franco
* EXACTA: 7-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX, 2-12 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/7/11 BOX, 2/11/12 BOX
RACE #3 $12,500 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:02 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	9	My Dominator	E Medellin
PLACE	3-1	3	Five O One	D Cohen
SHOW	7-2	1	Rubiginous	I Castillo
WILD CARD	5-1	7	Marvelous Thunder	L S Quinonez
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	8	Reefs Destiny	K Harr
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	10	Funny Actor	E Esquivel
* EXACTA: 9-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
RACE #4 $108,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:33 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 JOYFUL CADENCE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	3	Joyful Cadence	E Esquivel
PLACE	3-1	1	Southern Grayce	R Santana Jr.
SHOW	9-5	2	Joys Rocket	I Castillo
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Perfect Happiness	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Headland	G Franco
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	5	Someone Said So	A L Canchari
* EXACTA: 3-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 1/2/6 BOX
RACE #5 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Hardscrabble	A L Canchari
PLACE	5-2	10	Macho Ronnie	C Bailey
SHOW	6-1	12	Ucantmakethistufup	M Garcia
WILD CARD	8-1	4	Hightail Cowboy	I Castillo
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	14	Aux Arcs	L S Quinonez
ALTERNATE 2	9-2	8	Cyber Monday	K R Jordan
* EXACTA: 3-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX, 12-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/10/12 BOX, 4/10/12 BOX
RACE #6 $50,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:33 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 TOMA TODO
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	5	Toma Todo	I Castillo
PLACE	2-1	4	Tiz Rye Time	F Arrieta
SHOW	3-1	1	Leading West	D Cohen
WILD CARD	9-2	6	Centurion	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 1	12-1	2	Ekatis Verve	G Franco
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	7	Unidentified Man	J Hiraldo
* EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #7 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:04 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	1	Riders Special	I Castillo
PLACE	3-1	7	Speed Bias	R Santana Jr.
SHOW	5-2	8	Magnificus	A L Canchari
WILD CARD	12-1	3	Blame Eli	T J Pereira
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	6	Pudge Boy Palace	M Garcia
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	9	Portsmouth	E Gonzalez
* EXACTA: 1-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/7/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
RACE #8 $107,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:39 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	6	Devils Tower	F Arrieta
PLACE	6-1	2	Cumberland Avenue	D Cohen
SHOW	3-1	5	Reed Kan	I Castillo
WILD CARD	6-1	1	Rolling Fork	E Esquivel
ALTERNATE 1	10-1	10	Rare Stripe	R Santana Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	3	Herd Immunity	M Garcia
* EXACTA: 6-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/5/6 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
RACE #9 $150,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:10 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $150,000 BACHELOR STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	5	Cogburn	R Santana Jr.
PLACE	8-1	6	Whelen Springs	E Esquivel
SHOW	8-5	3	Cairama	I Castillo
WILD CARD	7-2	1	Unified Report	F Arrieta
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	2	Aint Life Grand	E Gonzalez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	4	Mowins	G Franco
* EXACTA: 1,3,5,6 Box
* TRIFECTA: 3,5,6/1,3,5,6/1,2,3,5,6
COMMENTS: COGBURN won his last two by at least four lengths. WHELEN SPRINGS won his last by five lengths and has a bullet work since. CAIRAMA has a win and third in two at the distance. UNIFIED REPORT is undefeated in two at the distance and winner four of six on a fast track.
RACE #10 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:40 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 EVS SHERMAN
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	1	Evs Sherman	T Wales
PLACE	3-1	10	Bettys Cash	L S Quinonez
SHOW	5-1	2	Allo Enry	R Santana Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	8	Skyped	K Harr
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	4	Dudley	C Bailey
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	3	Billhill	T J Pereira
* EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/10 BOX, 2/8/10 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Churchill Downs Tip Sheet - April 30

CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 30, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $20,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:00 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-5	5	Speed Boat	C Landeros
PLACE	9-2	3	Haney Boys	F Geroux
SHOW	5-1	1	Brawndo	M Pedroza Jr.
WILD CARD	7-2	4	Fireman Dan	J Rocco Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	9-2	2	Terawatt	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	6	Formal Order	R Diaz
* EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/5 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
RACE #2 $8,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:28 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-2	7	Soul Streit	J Graham
PLACE	5-1	1	Deano	R Gutierrez
SHOW	3-1	2	My Man Flintstone	B J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD	12-1	5	El Venue	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	8	Honey Wont	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	3	Drewzano	M Murrill
* EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
RACE #3 $52,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:56 PM ET
BEST BET: #1 FRILLS
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	1	Frills	A Jimenez
PLACE	9-5	3	Delta Gamma Cats	R Bejarano
SHOW	5-1	4	A Lot of Spunk	M Murrill
WILD CARD	7-2	6	Foreign Exchange	F Peterson
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	2	Brunella	J Rocco Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	20-1	5	La Tourista	J Padron-Barcenas
* EXACTA: 1-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $127,000 ALLOWANCE 1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:26 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	1	Bakwena	A Beschizza
PLACE	4-1	4	Evan Sing	C J Hernandez
SHOW	5-1	3	Mount Kenya	R Bejarano
WILD CARD	7-2	5	Bryce Canyon	F Prat
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	8	Koolhaus	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	2	Stitched	B J Hernandez Jr.
* EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 3/4/5 BOX
RACE #5 $50,000 CLAIMING 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:57 PM ET
BEST BET: #5 ALTERED SHOT
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-5	5	Altered Shot	T Gaffalione
PLACE	10-1	6	Premier Wish	M Pedroza Jr.
SHOW	7-2	1	Old Pho	C J Hernandez
WILD CARD	5-1	4	Bourbina	R Bejarano
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Mucho Macho Momma	R Gutierrez
ALTERNATE 2	4-1	2	J Ls Rockette	U Rispoli
* EXACTA: 5-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/6 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
RACE #6 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 1 1/4 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:30 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	3	Take a Stand	R Bejarano
PLACE	5-2	4	Five Prizes	F Prat
SHOW	3-1	6	Miss Yearwood	J R Leparoux
WILD CARD	6-1	2	Runaway Wife	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	5	Inviting	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Summer Mate	F Geroux
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/6 BOX, 2/4/6 BOX
RACE #7 $30,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 9:05 PM ET
BEST BET: #3 MY FAVORITE UNCLE
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	3	My Favorite Uncle	R Diaz
PLACE	5-1	4	Strong Light	J Talamo
SHOW	3-1	5	Bandimere	F Prat
WILD CARD	8-1	9	Levee Proud	B J Hernandez Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	7	Big Paper	J Graham
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	10	Tricolour	T Gaffalione
* EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-9 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 4/5/9 BOX
RACE #8 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:39 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	9	Spicy Marg	T Gaffalione
PLACE	9-5	10	Bay Storm	L Saez
SHOW	12-1	12	Richies Great Girl	G Corrales
WILD CARD	5-1	6	Sterling Miss	M Murrill
ALTERNATE 1	3-1	14	Gerri B	T Gaffalione
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	4	Clara Peeters	C J Lanerie
* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-12 BOX, 12-6 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 9/10/12 BOX, 6/10/12 BOX
RACE #9 $160,000 STAKES 6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:11 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $160,000 ROXELANA OVERNIGHT STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	5	Carribean Caper	C J Hernandez
PLACE	5-2	3	Bayerness	L Saez
SHOW	4-1	2	Cheetara	J Graham
WILD CARD	5-2	4	Club Car	C J Lanerie
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	1	Euphoric	G Corrales
* EXACTA: 3,5/2,3,4,5
* TRIFECTA: 5/2,3,4/ALL
COMMENTS: CARRIBEAN EFFORT is undefeated in five starts and most were not close. BAYERNESS has been off since August but is working well. CHEETARA should be close to the front all the way around the track. CLUB CAR is dropping in class and should be near peak form in her third start off the bench.
RACE #10 $10,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING 7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:42 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	6	Out Workn	J Rocco Jr.
PLACE	4-1	5	Isthmian	L Saez
SHOW	4-1	4	Knightly Mischief	B J Hernandez Jr.
WILD CARD	10-1	7	My Hot Toddy	D L Parker
ALTERNATE 1	5-1	15	Lake Tahoe	R Diaz
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Ashwins Orb	M Pedroza Jr.
* EXACTA: 6-5 BOX, 5-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 4/5/7 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Tip Sheet - April 30

BELMONT PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, APRIL 30, 2022

Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
RACE #1 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:20 PM ET
BEST BET: #6 ROAD TO SUCCESS
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	2-1	6	Road to Success	K Carmouche
PLACE	3-1	1	Corkman	J Lezcano
SHOW	5-2	4	Majestic Tiger	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	4-1	5	Roman Empire	J A Vargas Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Its Mandatory	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	2	Blake B.	J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 6-1 BOX, 1-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
RACE #2 $40,000 CLAIMING 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:52 PM ET
BEST BET: #4 HAPPY FARM
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	4	Happy Farm	J L Ortiz
PLACE	6-5	2	Aristocratic	J Rosario
SHOW	6-1	5	Glory Road	D Davis
WILD CARD	15-1	1	Mount Travers	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	3	Rejected Again	E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2	12-1	6	Uno	L Cardenas
* EXACTA: 4-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
RACE #3 $10,000 CLAIMING 1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:23 PM ET
BEST BET: #7 FLOWERS FOR LISA
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-5	7	Flowers for Lisa	J A Gomez
PLACE	3-1	6	Magnetron	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	7-2	4	Even Thunder	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	4-1	3	Musical America	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	1	Blood Moon	O Hernandez Moreno
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	5	Playwright	L Cardenas
* EXACTA: 7-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 4/6/7 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
RACE #4 $25,000 CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 2:54 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	5	F F Rocket	K Carmouche
PLACE	4-1	10	Smile Bryan	M Franco
SHOW	5-2	6	Summer to Remember	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	4-1	1	Big Agenda	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	2	Grand Journey	J Castellano
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	7	Prioritize	J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 5-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX, 6-1 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 5/6/10 BOX, 1/6/10 BOX
RACE #5 $80,000 ALLOWANCE 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:23 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	4-1	9	Bankers Daughter	D Davis
PLACE	5-1	10	Blame It On Mary	J L Ortiz
SHOW	8-1	2	Fancy Feline	J A Gomez
WILD CARD	8-1	3	Adversity	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	6-1	4	True Empress	E Cancel
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Poncho Song	T McCarthy
* EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/9/10 BOX, 2/3/10 BOX
RACE #6 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:54 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	5-1	8	Dame Time	T McCarthy
PLACE	3-1	2	Gather the Facts	M Franco
SHOW	4-1	9	Big Bee	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	4-1	7	With Bells On	K Carmouche
ALTERNATE 1	7-2	3	Precursory	J L Ortiz
ALTERNATE 2	6-1	10	Broadway Boogie	D Davis
* EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-9 BOX, 9-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 2/8/9 BOX, 2/7/9 BOX
RACE #7 $94,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	5	Tiergan	J Lezcano
PLACE	15-1	7	Market Alert	J A Vargas Jr.
SHOW	12-1	1	The Reds	D Davis
WILD CARD	8-5	3	Southern District	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	6	Waxman	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Torch of Truth	T McCarthy
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
RACE #7 $94,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING 1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:25 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	9-2	5	Tiergan	J Lezcano
PLACE	15-1	7	Market Alert	J A Vargas Jr.
SHOW	12-1	1	The Reds	D Davis
WILD CARD	8-5	3	Southern District	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	5-2	6	Waxman	I Ortiz Jr.
ALTERNATE 2	15-1	4	Torch of Truth	T McCarthy
* EXACTA: 5-7 BOX, 7-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/5/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
RACE #8 $80,000 ALLOWANCE 1 1/16 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 5:01 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	7-2	8	Lord Flintshire	I Ortiz Jr.
PLACE	6-1	7	Saratoga Flash	D Davis
SHOW	3-1	10	Umbria	J L Ortiz
WILD CARD	4-1	4	Rally Squirrel	J Rosario
ALTERNATE 1	8-1	3	Timbuktu	M Franco
ALTERNATE 2	5-1	11	Uncle Curly	J A Gomez
* EXACTA: 8-7 BOX, 7-10 BOX, 10-4 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 7/8/10 BOX, 4/7/10 BOX
RACE #9 $100,000 STAKES 7 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:32 PM ET
** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 ELUSIVE QUALITY STAKES
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	3-1	6	Value Proposition	M Franco
PLACE	12-1	5	Scuttlebuzz	J Castellano
SHOW	5-1	11	Therapist	J Rosario
WILD CARD	15-1	10	American Monarch	J Lezcano
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	2	Big Package	J R Velazquez
ALTERNATE 2	10-1	1	Penalty	J L Ortiz
* EXACTA: 5,6,10,11 Box
* TRIFECTA: 5,6,11/5,6,10,11/2,5,6,10,11
COMMENTS: VALUE PROPOSITION has four wins and a pair of thirds in seven at Belmont. SCUTTLEBUZZ is another that runs well at Belmont with two wins and seconds in five efforts. THERAPIST is all or nothing at the distance with three wins in five tries. AMERICAN MONARCH ran the top last race speed figure.
RACE #10 $75,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT 6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:03 PM ET
PICK ORDER	M/L	P#	HORSE NAME	JOCKEY
WIN	8-1	1	Sinful Dancer	E Cancel
PLACE	6-1	2	Patrick the Great	I Ortiz Jr.
SHOW	5-1	11	Ouster	T McCarthy
WILD CARD	4-1	7	Basis Risk	M Franco
ALTERNATE 1	15-1	10	N Y Anthem	F Pennington
ALTERNATE 2	8-1	6	Georges Gambit	J Rosario
* EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX
* TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 2/7/11 BOX

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Keeneland Select Picks of the Day | April 30, 2022

April 29, 2022

Race 8 at Churchill Downs | Saturday April 30 | Post Time 9:39 PM Eastern
Five and One-Half Furlongs on Turf | Fillies and Mares, Three Years Old and Upward
AND
Race 9 at Churchill Downs | Saturday April 30 | Post Time 10:11 PM Eastern
Roxelana Stakes 3 | Purse $160,000 | Six Furlongs |Fillies and Mares, Four Year Olds and Upward

Race 8:
Sterling Miss (6) gets slight preference in a very deep race with a 12 horse field. She doesn’t show any turf races in her last 12 starts but has run very well on turf, particularly when winning a similar short turf sprint in the summer of 2020 with a field high 104 Equibase Speed Figure. She’s won 11 of 37 races for over $400K in earnings and her last win came three races back at this five and one-half furlong distance on dirt in a race scheduled for the grass. She fits on all counts for a big effort.
Mamba Wamba (2) was very impressive in her U.S. debut last December in Florida when sweeping past the field from ninth to first in the late stages. She didn’t run as well in a stakes race then when moved to this second allowance level earlier this month at Keeneland she rallied from eighth to third. She’s moving forward again and could be the one closing fastest of all to win.
Richies Great Girl (12) opens at odds of 12/1 which are too high to ignore for a mare who has won seven of 17 races, including three on turf and at similar sprint distances. She returns from a short two month rest and won off a layoff last July so that’s not an issue. With 11 first or second place finishes in her career and having been in-the-money in six of her last seven, she must be respected as a contender.
Clara Peeters (4) has never run this short a distance on turf but has a pretty good record of 10 for 21 first or second in turf routes. She finished third in a stakes last month and on the cut back in distance she could be closing nicely. She’s one of a few which have already won at this allowance level so she’s in for the optional $62,500 claiming price.
Bay Storm (10) finished second under identical conditions at Keeneland on April 8, following six months off. She’s competitive with a 2-2-1 record in six races but there’s nothing about her which stands out so her 9 to 5 starting odds are too low for considering her for a win bet, but we should use her on exacta and double tickets.

Win bets:
I would consider betting Sterling Miss (6) and Mamba Wamba (2) at odds of 3 to 1 or more.
I would ABSOLUTELY consider a bet on Richies Great Girl (12) at odds of 4 to 1 or higher.
Exactas:
Sterling Miss (6), Mamba Wamba (2) and Richies Great Girl (12) over Sterling Miss (6), Mamba Wamba (2), Richies Great Girl (12), Clara Peeters (4) and Bay Storm (10).
Sterling Miss (6), Mamba Wamba (2), Richies Great Girl (12), Clara Peeters (4) and Bay Storm (10) over Sterling Miss (6), Mamba Wamba (2) and Richies Great Girl (12).
Doubles:
Race 8: Sterling Miss (6), Mamba Wamba (2), Richies Great Girl (12), Clara Peeters (4) and Bay Storm (10)
Race 9: Bayerness (3)

Race 9:
Bayerness (3) returns from a layoff since last August and if ready to run as it appears she is by a strong half0mile workout last week, she should win. She won off a September, 2020 to April, 2021 layoff nearly identical to this one, at Churchill Downs with Luis Saez riding as today, and she then finished third, second and first in stakes races, the best of which earned a 107 Equibase figure which towers over the other four runners in the race.
Win bets:
Bayerness (3) can be bet to win at odds of 3 to 2 or higher, but hopefully if we are alive to doubles from the eighth race we may not need to bet her to win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Belmont Park Hotlist - April 30

April 29, 2022

Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, April 30, 2022 at Belmont Park
By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
Hot List Key:
A: A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
*C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
*D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4^th or worst
* - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
2^nd race [Clm 40000, 6