Friday 5/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:54 AM

Top Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 6, 2022
By J.W. Paine in Horse Racing

Talk about some good horse racing—it’s Kentucky Oaks Day at Churchill Downs, and we’ve got seven graded stakes races to assess (including the Kentucky Oaks itself), so we’d better get right to it.

Don’t forget to check out the full race-card and all the odds at one of our recommended horse racing betting sites.

Good luck!
Kentucky Oaks Day Stakes Races at Churchill Downs
Race five — the Modesty Stakes (Grade III)

This is a $250,000 purse, 1-1/8 miles turf race for fillies and mares four years old and upward.

I like the 9/5 morning-line favorite for this race—Bleecker Street, ridden by Flavien Prat.

This four-year-old gray roan filly won all five of her career starts, including her two most recent runs, Endeavour Stakes (Grade III) in February and the Hillsborough Stakes (Grade II) in March, both at Tampa Bay Downs. She’s proven she can best this talented field of nine.

Horse racing veteran Chad C. Brown trains Bleecker Street for owner Peter M. Brant.
Race six — the La Troienne Stakes (Grade I)

This is a $750,000 purse, 1-1/16 miles dirt track race for fillies and mares four years old and upward. My money’s on the second-favorite (at 2/1): Pauline’s Pearl, with top jockey Joel Rosario in the irons.

In a tightly matched field of seven, this four-year-old gray roan filly has what it takes. For the record, Pauline’s Pearl moneyed ten of her twelve career starts, winning four.

Hall of famer Steven M. Asmussen trains Pauline’s Pearl for Stonestreet Stables LLC.

Incidentally, she’ll most likely see real competition from the other horse Asmussen has in this race—the 6/1 third-favored Jilted Bride, with Luis Saez aboard.
A five-year-old bay mare, Jilted Bride has finished in the money all 16 of her career starts, winning four. Depending on her odds just before the race, she may be worth a value show bet.

Asmussen trains Jilted Bride for owners Bradley Thoroughbreds, Tim Cambron, Anna Cambron, Brady Carruth, and Zane Carruth.
Race seven — the Alysheba Stakes (Grade II)

This is an $500,000 purse, 1-1/16 miles dirt track run for four-year-olds and upward. As much as I want to bet on 2020 Kentucky Derby contender Max Player to win this race, I have to stick with the , I have to stick with the morning-line’s 9/5 favorite, Olympiad, piloted by Junior Alvarado.

This four-year-old bay colt finished seven of his eight career starts in the money, including the Mineshaft Stakes (Grade III) in February and the New Orleans Classic Stakes (Grade II) in March, both at Fair Grounds. He’s posted triple-digit speed figures for his last six races.

Longtime horse racing veteran William I. Mott trains Olympiad for owners Grandview Equine, Cheyenne Stable, LLC, and LNJ Foxwoods.
Race eight — the Edgewood Stakes (Grade II)

This is a $500,000 purse, 1-1/16 miles turf race for three-year-old fillies. I’m betting my two dollars on the 5/2 morning-line favorite, Dolce Zel, ridden by Irad Ortiz, Jr.

This three-year-old French import moneyed three of her four career starts, winning two, including the Florida Oaks (Grade III) at Tampa Bay in March. She also finished second in the Appalachian Stakes (Grade II) last month at Keeneland.

Chad C. Brown—who also trains Spicer, the second-favored entry in this race—trains Dolce Zel for owners Madaket Stables LLC, Michael Dubb, Robert V. LaPenta.
Race nine — the Eight Belles Stakes (Grade II)

This is a $500,000 purse, seven-furlong run on the dirt track for three-year-old fillies. I’m calling this race for the second-favored (at 7/2) Marissa’s Lady, piloted by top jockey Rafael Bejarano.

This gray roan filly moneyed all six of her career starts, winning five, including her initial maiden ad four Black Type stakes races. Her single miss was a second-place finish in the Cincinnati Trophy Stakes (Black Type) in March at Turfway Park.

Regularly ranked among the top 100 horse racing trainers in North America, William E. Morey trains Marissa’s Lady for the Boone Family Trust and the Tillema Family Trust.
Race ten — the Twin Spires Turf Sprint Stakes (Grade II)

This is a $500,000 purse, 5-1/2 furlongs turf run for three-year-olds and upward. My money’s on the second-favored (at 5/1) Caravel, with Tyler Gaffalione in the irons.

This five-year-old mare is a standout in this crowded 13-horse field. She’s moneyed eleven of her 13 career starts, winning eight. Of the six graded stakes races she’s won, the most significant was the Caress Stakes (Grade III) at Saratoga last July.

Breeders’ Cup veteran Brad H. Cox trains Caravel for owners Qatar Racing, Marc Detampel, and Madaket Stables LLC.
Race eleven — the Kentucky Oaks (Grade I)

This is a $1,250,000 purse, 1-1/8 miles dirt track run for three-year-old fillies. My money’s on the third-favored (at 4/1) Echo Zulu, with Joel Rosario aboard.

This bay filly won all five of her career starts, which is a quality I like to see in horses I bet on. And aside from her maiden victory, all of her wins have been in graded stakes, including three Grade I matches—the Spinaway Stakes in September at Saratoga, the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies at Del Mar in November, and the Frizette Stakes at Belmont Park in October.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:54 AM

National League
Los Angeles (16-7) @ Cubs (9-15)
— Anderson is 1-0, 2.79 in his last two starts.
— Dodgers are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 3-3, 3.95 in seven starts vs Chicago

— Dodgers won 15 of last 20 games.
— Los Angeles is 6-5 on the road.
— under 10-3 last 13
— scored run in first inning: 10-23
— record in first 5 innings: 14-4-5

— Cubs haven’t named a starter.

— Cubs lost 11 of their last 14 games.
— Cubs are 4-8 at home
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-13-2

Pittsburgh (10-14) @ Cincinnati (3-22)
— Brubaker is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Pirates are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 1-2, 4.87 in four starts vs Cincinnati.

— Pirates lost six of their last eight games.
— Pittsburgh is 5-7 on road.
— 10 of last 15 games under
— scored run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-15-2

— Former Pirate Overton allowed a run in 5.1 IP in his first ‘22 start.
— Reds are 0-1 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Reds lost 20 of their last 21 games.
— Cincinnati is 1-7 at home.
— over eight of last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 5-19-1

NY Mets (19-9) @ Philadelphia (11-15)
— Scherzer is 4-0, 2.61 in five starts.
— New York is 5-0 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0-1
— He is 9-1, 2.20 in 13 starts at Philly; he is 2-0, 4.09 in two starts vs Philly this season.

— Mets are 16-7 in their last 23 games.
— Mets are 10-4 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-28
— record in first 5 innings: 16-5-7

— Gibson is 1-0, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— Phillies are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 1-3, 4.15 in six starts vs New York.

— Phillies are 1-5 in last six games.
— Philly is 8-8 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 10-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-6

Milwaukee (18-8) @ Atlanta (12-15)
— Lauer is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 4-0 in his starts.
— under 2-1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 3 IP, in a relief stint vs Atlanta.

— Brewers won 14 of last 17 games.
— Milwaukee is 8-4 on road.
— over 5-1 last six
— scored run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 14-7-5

— Braves haven’t named a starter

— Braves are 8-13 in last 21 games.
— Atlanta is 6-7 at home.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 7-27
— record in first 5 innings: 10-15-2

Colorado (15-10) @ Arizona (13-13)
— Kuhl is 3-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
— Rockies are 4-0 in his starts.
— under 4-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-1
— He is 0-1, 11.25 in three games (2 starts) vs Arizona.

— Colorado won four of last five games.
— Rockies are 10-5 at home.
— over 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-2

— Kelly is 2-1, 1.27 in five starts.
— Arizona is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 1-3, 6.49 in six starts vs Colorado.

— Diamondbacks are 5-1 in last six games.
— Arizona is 5-7 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-8

Miami (12-13) @ San Diego (17-9)
— Alcantara is 1-0, 3.27 in two road starts.
— Marlins are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He threw 7 shutout IP, in his one start vs San Diego.

— Miami lost its last five games.
— Marlins won five of last six road games.
— over 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-25
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-4

— Darvish is 2-0, 1.93 in his last three starts.
— Padres are 3-2 in his starts
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1
— He is 2-2, 6.25 in six starts vs Miami.

— Padres won 12 of last 16 games.
— San Diego is 7-4 at home.
— over eight of last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 17-6-3

St Louis (15-10) @ San Francisco (14-11)
— Hicks is 0-2, 5.40 in his three starts (8.1 IP)
— Cardinals are 1-2 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3
— He gave up three runs in 2 IP in two relief stints vs San Francisco.

— Cardinals won six of last nine games.
— St Louis is 9-6 on road.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 11-25
— record in first 5 innings: 13-8-4

— Cobb is 1-1, 9.90 in three starts.
— Giants are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He threw 7 shutout IP, in his one start vs St Louis.

— Giants lost five of last six games.
— San Francisco is 6-6 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight
— scored run in first inning: 4-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-3

American League
Kansas City (8-15) @ Baltimore (10-16)
— Hernandez is 0-1, 6.50 in four starts.
— Royals are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2-2
— He is 1-1, 1.80 in two starts vs Baltimore.

— Kansas City lost five of last six games.
— Royals are 2-6 on road.
— over 7-3-1 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-6

— Lyles is 2-1, 3.43 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3
— He is 3-1, 2.20 in five starts vs Kansas City.

— Orioles are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
— Baltimore is 7-6 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-26
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-7

Texas (10-14) @ New York (18-7)
— Otto is 1-0, 2.89 in his two starts.
— Rangers are 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Rangers won their last four games.
— Texas won five of last six road tilts.
— under 7-3-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 7-10-7

— Cole is 2-0, 0.00 in his last two starts (12.2 IP).
— New York is 4-1 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-3
— He is 5-3, 4.14 in 11 starts vs Texas.

— New York won 11 of last 12 games.
— New York is 10-3 at home.
— over 4-1 last five home
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 14-5-6

White Sox (11-13) @ Boston (10-16)
— Velasquez is 1-2, 5.09 in four starts.
— Chicago is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He is 1-1, 8.47 in five games (4 starts) vs Boston.

— White Sox won four of last five games.
— Chicago is 4-7 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-10-2

— Eovaldi is 1-0, 1.90 in his last four starts.
— Red Sox are 2-3 in his starts.
— under 2-2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 2-1, 5.63 in four games (3 starts) vs Chicago.

— Red Sox lost 12 of their last 17 games.
— Boston is 4-6 at home.
— under 13-5-1 last 19 games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 8-11-7

Toronto (16-11) @ Cleveland (12-13)
— Gausman is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 4-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 2-3, 2.45 in five games (4 starts) vs Cleveland.

— Blue Jays are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Toronto is 6-5 on road.
— under 17-10
— scored run in first inning: 9-27
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-9

— Bieber is 1-1, 2.33 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1-2
— He is 2-0, 2.11 in three starts vs Toronto.

— Guardians won five of their last six games.
— Cleveland is 2-13 if they score less than six runs.
— Cleveland is 5-4 at home.
— over 6-1 last seven home games.
— scored run in first inning: 7-25
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-7

Detroit (8-16) @ Houston (15-11)
— Brieske is 0-1, 3.60 in two starts.
— Detroit is 1-1 in his starts
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Houston.

— Tigers are 4-12 in last 16 games.
— Detroit is 5-10 on road.
— under 14-7 last 21 games.
— scored run in first inning: 4-24
— record in first 5 innings: 4-15-5

— Garcia is 1-1, 5.09 in his last three starts.
— Astros are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 1-0, 1.74 in two games (1 start) vs Detroit.

— Astros are 9-3 in their last 12 games.
— Houston is 6-4 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 7-26
— record in first 5 innings: 15-7-4

A’s (10-15) @ Minnesota (15-11)
— Oakland hasn’t named a starter.

— A’s are 2-9 in their last eleven games.
— Oakland is 6-6 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 6-25
— record in first 5 innings: 9-11-5

— Winder blanked Tampa Bay for 6 IP (83 PT) in his first ’22 start.
— Twins are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Minnesota won 11 of last 14 games.
— Twins are 8-4 at home.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 8-26
— record in first 5 innings: 11-9-6

Tampa Bay (16-10) @ Seattle (12-14)
— bullpen game

— Tampa Bay won nine of its last 12 games.
— Rays are 7-3 on road.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-25
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-5

— Gilbert is 4-0, 0.96 in five starts.
— Mariners are 5-0 in his starts.
— under 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 5-0
— He is 1-1, 3.86 in three starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Mariners lost eight of their last nine games.
— Seattle is 7-3 at home.
— over 6-4 at home.
— scored run in first inning: 9-26
— record in first 5 innings: 12-12-2

Interleague game
Washington (9-18) @ LA Angels (17-10)
— Adon is 0-2, 10.13 in his last two starts.
— Washington is 1-4 in his starts.
— Over is 3-1 in his last four starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Angels.

— Washington lost 11 of last 14 games.
— Nationals are 6-7 on road.
— over 7-1-2 last ten road games.
— scored run in first inning: 10-27
— record in first 5 innings: 8-17-2

— Angels haven’t named a starter.

— Angels won 11 of their last 16 games.
— Angels are 8-5 at home.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-27
— record in first 5 innings: 15-9-3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:54 AM

Churchill Downs Picks: Kentucky Oaks Day Pick 6 on May 6
By J.N. Campbell

Churchill Downs Picks - Oaks Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 6-4-8-3
Race 2: 12-11-4-10
Race 3: 6-1/1A-3-8
Race 4: 3-7-8-10
Race 5: 6-8-4-1
Race 6: 6-2-1-4
Race 7: 5-6-1-7
Race 8: 7-5-8-3
Race 9: 1-8-3-6
Race 10: 6-3-8-10
Race 11: 4-1-14-10
Race 12: 2-6-9-4
Race 13: 8-3-9-12
**Most Likely: Nest #4 (Race 11)**
**Best Value: Beechnut Trophy #7 (Race 8)**

THE OAKS: Derby City All-Stakes PICK 6, PLUS A BONUS WAGER …

LEG 1: (Race 6: Dirt, 1 1/16th, La Troienne Stakes (G1), $750k, F&M 4+)

The opening leg of this excellent Oaks card brings together a group of older females, some of whom we are sure to see down the road in the BC Distaff (G1) at Keeneland. I think it is safe to say that the headliner in this year’s race will pit Brad Cox’s Shedaresthedevil #2 versus Steve Asmussen’s Pauline’s Pearl #6. You have probably heard of the former, since she was the victor in the Oaks 2-years-ago, and then proceeded to win a number of “key” races of the “graded” variety as a 4th year. The defending champ, she was the favorite in her only start at Oaklawn in the Azeri S. (G2) in ‘22. Ending up 3rd, she was just behind “Pearl.” That Stonestreet homebred by Tapit came down to 3/1, and she ran-on nicely against the talent of Ce Ce. The plan is to support both of these classy ladies, especially since Asmussen’s filly is clearly elevating at the right time. She won a great springboard race back in late January in the Ladies Classic (G3) in H-Town. I would expect for her to be cranked up for this rematch even though her trainer’s workout routines rarely reveal much. I think with more tough races coming, we need to save our cash for crucial decisions later in the card.

Selections: 2/6 (2-Deep)

LEG 2: (Race 7: Dirt, 1 1/16th, Alysheba Stakes (G2), $500k, 4+)

Named for the Scharbauer’s prize colt that won both the Derby and the Preakness back in the 80s, it is time for the Older Dirt Male Division to have their moment. The distance test isn’t a “Classic” one, but it still will pose a problem for those that are not prepared. A glance through the form, and I am pretty excited to see how Bill Mott’s Olympiad #5 stacks up against the likes of Max Player #1, Weyburn #2, Happy Saver #7, and Title Ready #8. Among these runners, you have former BC participants, Derby Trail and TC entries, and Saudi Cup/Dubai Cup alums. Yet, there is something special about a budding star like Mott’s. He is special, and even though this is a deeper pool, I think he can get the job done. Last out, in the New Orleans Classic (G2), he exhibited such late power down the lane against Proxy and Promise Keeper. That was a stretch out for this son of Speightstown, and he made it look effortless. With regular rider Junior Alvarado aboard, he looks poised to take this Grade 2 at Churchill. I think he is going to get some pace to run into over what could be a muddy track, and I am not worried about the surface conditions. For me, this is a straight “Single,” and we can move right along …

Selections: 5 (Single)

LEG 3: (Race 8: Turf, 1 1/16th, Edgewood Stakes (G2), $500k, 3F)

The Matt Winn Turf Course is our location for this amazing race, and it is time for the 3-yr-old fillies to strut their stuff on the new lawn. I have backed some short-priced entries so far, but we can never count out “longs” that offer major payouts at the windows. You will notice from the M/Ls that trainer Chad Brown is well-represented, just like ants are at a picnic. He has McKulick #3, Dolce Zel #5, and Spicer #8 … the Brown Family singers … applause … I am sure that we will not be facing any scratches, and that they are all in good order. The #5, owned by Dubb and Madaket, for the most part, is probably going to be the shortest price on the board. That is warranted, especially when you consider that she won the Florida Oaks (G3) at Tampa, and was 2nd in the Transy (G3) at Keeneland. Her devastating leg kick, late in races, is her bread-n-butter. Irad Ortiz is tough to go against, for sure. “Singling” her would be a gutsy call though, especially when you consider that traffic troubles could waylay her launch. Let’s use her, but I also like her stablemate, Spicer #8. Backing her in the FLA Oaks (G3), I thought she also ran well. Jose Ortiz gets aboard her once again, and the pair will be looking to turn the tables on her fellow pupil. Using this pair is prudent, but I also like the look of Ken and Sarah Ramsey’s homebred, Beechnut Trophy #7. We used to see the old red and white of their stable all over racetracks about 10 years ago. Trained by Saffie Joseph, most bettors will not like the look of her last race … the Sanibel Island S. $100k … but I beg to differ. She was caught in a tough spot, and she exhibited “make-up” ability towards the wire. Her new jock, Tyler Gaffalione, continues to shine after a sparkling Keeneland Meet. Using a trio of runners should help us move to the back half of the ticket. Let’s keep it rolling …

Selection: 5/7/8 (3-Deep)

LEG 4: (Race 9: Dirt, 7F, Eight Belles Stakes (G2), $500k, 3F)

A tradition on the Oaks card is this race for fillies that are looking to sprint on the MT at Churchill. The pace will reverberate once the gates open, and those that are forwardly-placed could have a major advantage. It is one of those longer sprints though, so stamina does play a major factor. When it comes to a top selection, I am going to lean on Brad Cox’s Godolphin homebred called Matareya #8. If you missed her performance at Keeneland in the G3 Beaumont S., then you might want to cue it up. Cox sent her into hostile territory, but the bettors were behind her, and with Flavian Prat aboard, they visited the winner’s circle in fine style. I like her coming into this spot because she already built a solid resume, but I also like it that Todd Pletcher’s Sweet as Pie #1 is getting called up for her “graded” debut. With Luis Saez in the irons in a tough ALLW Co. sprint at Keeneland in April. I was behind her 100% at odds of 7/1, and she brought a nice payout in the end. The 4 to 5-path move she made down the stretch equates to positive ability moving forward, and when this trainer-jockey get together, they can break a few windows. Let’s go 2-deep because guess what looms …

Selections: 1/8 (2-Deep)

LEG 5: (Race 10: Turf, 5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:54 AM

Rocket Picks ��: Churchill Downs, Oaklawn Park, and Belmont Park for May 6, 2022
By: Aaron Halterman

Happy Kentucky Oaks Day to all of you! For the free pick 4, we will head to Churchill Downs for the late sequence on the card. We will also have full card selections for Oaklawn Park and Belmont Park for the paid Rockets, so be sure to check those out. Let’s go!

Below is our free Late Pick 4 for Churchill Downs:

Churchill Downs May 6, 2022

Race 10: Twin Spires Turf Sprint Stakes (G2)

#3 Caravel seems to be on the improve since moving to the barn of Brad Cox and might be getting back to her top level. #10 Arrest Me Red keeps improving with each race and could be sitting on a winning effort today.

Race 11: Kentucky Oaks (G1)
freestar

#10 Kathleen O was very impressive in her last start and should improve even more with longer distance in this spot. She has been trained beautifully leading up to this race. #4 Nest has looked like a monster this year in her two starts. If that type of effort again today, she will be tough to beat.

Race 12: Allowance Optional Claiming

#2 Reagans Decision was third in a tough stakes race last time out and should enjoy this caliber of competition today. The winner of that race is our single in race 8, which speaks to the strength of that race. #5 Angitude was an impressive winner of this track last time out on debut; however, that race come in November so her form level is questionable.

Race 13: Maiden Special Weight

#8 Colorful Mischief debuts in this spot for the powerful Todd Pletcher barn, with Irad up, and a solid workout pattern leading up to the race. #6 Little Blaze set the pace and nearly hung on to win last time out at Keeneland. A repeat performance will make her tough to beat today.

THE TICKET

$.50 Pick 4 (Races 10-13) 3,7,9,10 / 10 / 2,5,9,12 / 6,8,10,12 – $32

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:55 AM

Belmont Park Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 6-4-5-3
Race 2: 3-4-6-2
Race 3: 2-8-6-9
Race 4: 4-2-9-6
Race 5: 4-1/1A-5-2
Race 6: 7-4-3-6
Race 7: 1-10-5-4
Race 8: 3-2-1-5
Race 9: 10-6-5-3
**Most Likely: Locally Owned #3 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Salt Cay #10 (Race 9)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:55 AM

Belterra Park Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 5-2-1-3
Race 2: 3-1-5-4
Race 3: 4-2-1-5
Race 4: 3-6-1-4
Race 5: 1-3-2-6
Race 6: 3-5-2-1
Race 7: 1/1A/1B-3-7-6
Race 8: 5-3-6-8
**Most Likely Winner: Elliot The Dragon #5 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Gone In A Flash #1 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:55 AM

Charles Town Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 6-5-1-2
Race 2: 2-3-6-1
Race 3: 1-3-5-2
Race 4: 1-2-5-4
Race 5: 7-1-2-4
Race 6: 6-1-2-3
Race 7: 6-4-2-5
Race 8: 2-7-9-4
**Most Likely Winner: Dubai Was Lit #6 (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Damisela #7 (Race 5)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:55 AM

Churchill Downs Picks - Oaks Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 6-4-8-3
Race 2: 12-11-4-10
Race 3: 6-1/1A-3-8
Race 4: 3-7-8-10
Race 5: 6-8-4-1
Race 6: 6-2-1-4
Race 7: 5-6-1-7
Race 8: 7-5-8-3
Race 9: 1-8-3-6
Race 10: 6-3-8-10
Race 11: 4-1-14-10
Race 12: 2-6-9-4
Race 13: 8-3-9-12
**Most Likely: Nest #4 (Race 11)**
**Best Value: Beechnut Trophy #7 (Race 8)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:56 AM

Gulfstream Park Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 5-2-1-4
Race 2: 3-4-1-7
Race 3: 5-1-2-3
Race 4: 4-5-7-1
Race 5: 1-3-4-5
Race 6: 7-6-2-1
Race 7: 8-1-2-4
Race 8: 1-6-2-4
Race 9: 6-7-3-8
**Most Likely Winner: Tuwaim #5 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Conundrum Queen #7 (Race 6)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:56 AM

Laurel Park Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 3-9-4-2
Race 2: 1-4-5-2
Race 3: 2-10-5-3
Race 4: 1-4-5-2
Race 5: 2-6-7-1
Race 6: 10-5-1-3
Race 7: 2-3-7-5
Race 8: 9-4-5-2
Race 9: 4-10-6-1
**Most Likely Winner: Howard's Rock #2 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Blame It On Honey #3 (Race 1)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:56 AM

Lone Star Park Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-6-10
Race 2: 3-2-6-5
Race 3: 3-7-2-4
Race 4: 6-7-3-9
Race 5: 8-7-2-4
Race 6: 10-2-6-7
Race 7: 3-1-2-6
Race 8: 2-4-1-10
**Most Likely: Rush The Colors #3 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Sunday Bling #6 (Race 4)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:56 AM

Oaklawn Park Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 4-7-3-2
Race 2: 5-8-6-7
Race 3: 3-4-5-6
Race 4: 7-10-2-4
Race 5: 8-5-9-10
Race 6: 2-4-1-7
Race 7: 8-6-10-3
Race 8: 1-6-7-4
Race 9: 5-2-3-8
Race 10: 4-11-10-7
**Most Likely: Sweetness To (Race 4)**
**Best Value: Justin Speight (Race 2)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:56 AM

Penn National Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 2-5-1-6
Race 2: 6-2-4-1
Race 3: 2-8-7-4
Race 4: 3-5-1-4
Race 5: 5-4-3-6
Race 6: 7-3-6-5
Race 7: 5-4-1-2
Race 8: 4-1-2-6
**Most Likely Winner: Justin Time (Race 7)**
**Best Value: Afleet Traxx (Race 3)**

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 05-06-2022, 07:57 AM

Santa Anita Park Picks - Friday, May 6, 2022

Race 1: 6-5-1-8
Race 2: 5-4-2-6
Race 3: 4-5-1-7
Race 4: 7-4-5-6
Race 5: 2-7-1-4
Race 6: 7-3-1-8
Race 7: 7-8-6-2
Race 8: 6-2-9-7
Race 9: 9-5-4-6
**Most Likely: Encoroachment (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Shez Our Arch (Race 5)**

Friday 5/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Friday 5/6/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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