Saturday 5/7/22 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Horseshoe Indianapolis Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 9-3-4-7
Race 2: 3-2-1-5
Race 3: 8-4-3-9
Race 4: 5-6-1-10
Race 5: 1-2-9-5
Race 6: 4-7-1-3
Race 7: 7-1-9-10
Race 8: 5-8-12-4
Race 9: 8-3-1-11
Race 10: 4-1-9-10
Race 11: 6-2-7-9
Race 12: 5-2-9-1
**Most Likely Winner: Miss Fort #4 (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Shipman #8 (Race 3)**

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Laurel Park Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-4-6-5
Race 2: 4-3-6-1
Race 3: 6-3-5-1
Race 4: 1-7-5-6
Race 5: 3-6-7-8
Race 6: 7-4-3-1
Race 7: 5-3-2-1
Race 8: 3-6-7-10
Race 9: 6-7-4-2
Race 10: 3-4-6-1
**Most Likely Winner: Texas Basin #3 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Feel The Glory #6 (Race 3)**

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Lone Star Park Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 5-4-3-6
Race 2: 3-5-6-1
Race 3: 3-5-1-4
Race 4: 5-2-3-6
Race 5: 3-5-6-2
Race 6: 7-5-2-3
Race 7: 3-1-8-6
Race 8: 4-2-7-8
Race 9: 7-4-2-5
Race 10: 5-7-3-6
**Most Likely: Sheriff Brown #3 (Race 3)**
**Best Value: Bob's Bad Boy #3 (Race 7)**

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Louisiana Downs Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-6-5
Race 2: 6-3-4-1
Race 3: 1-3-5-6
Race 4: 4-5-2-8
Race 5: 2-6-5-4
Race 6: 1-6-2-9
Race 7: 8-5-3-6
**Most Likely: Empty Net (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Hog Wild (Race 4)**

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Monmouth Park Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 5-1-3-6
Race 2: 2-1-5-3
Race 3: 4-3-2-8
Race 4: 3-5-6-1
Race 5: 1-2-3-7
Race 6: 3-7-5-1
Race 7: 5-4-8-3
Race 8: 1-3-8-5
**Most Likely: World Traveler (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Your Pal (Race 7)**

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Mountaineer Park Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-1-7
Race 2: 1-2-9-3
Race 3: 1-6-2-4
Race 4: 7-1-4-2
Race 5: 3-1-2-4
Race 6: 5-2-6-1
Race 7: 5-7-6-8
Race 8: 7-5-1-3
**Most Likely Winner: Russian Tank (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Prefer Diamonds (Race 8)**

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Oaklawn Park Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 5-3-2-7
Race 2: 8-5-7-1
Race 3: 2-6-1-3
Race 4: 5-1/1A-7-4
Race 5: 1-7-2-8
Race 6: 1/1A-3-6-2
Race 7: 1-3-8-4
Race 8: 1-2-6-7
Race 9: 8-1/1A-11-3
Race 10: 12-2-3-8
Race 11: 14-13-2-8
Race 12: 8-9-1-7
**Most Likely: Dudley (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Ima Bling Cat (Race 10)**

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Parx Racing Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 4-2-1-7
Race 2: 4-3-6-1
Race 3: 2-3-4-6
Race 4: 7-1-3-5
Race 5: 1-5-6-3
Race 6: 5-1-3-4
Race 7: 8-1-2-5
Race 8: 4-2-5-6
Race 9: 2-4-6-1
Race 10: 1-6-12-11
Race 11: 4-6-5-1
**Most Likely Winner: Just Add Moonlight #1 (Race 5)**
**Best Value: Nuturing #2 (Race 3)**

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Penn National Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-5-1
Race 2: 5-1-3-2
Race 3: 3-5-10-1
Race 4: 1-3-2-4
Race 5: 6-2-3-5
Race 6: 7-8-2-1
Race 7: 2-5-1-6
Race 8: 4-7-6-2
**Most Likely Winner: Iamproud #4 (Race 8)**
**Best Value: Pratt #3 (Race 3)**

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Santa Anita Park Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-4-1-8
Race 2: 1-5-2-4
Race 3: 8-2-6-5
Race 4: 8-6-7-3
Race 5: 1-2-3-5
Race 6: 2-6-8-4
Race 7: 1-6-2-4
Race 8: 7-6-4-3
Race 9: 5-3-8-9
Race 10: 4-11-10-1
**Most Likely: Sai Con (Race 1)**
**Best Value: Champagne Camie (Race 9)**

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Tampa Bay Downs Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 2-3-9-4
Race 2: 2-1-5-6
Race 3: 1-5-3-4
Race 4: 1(M-T-O)-6-2-5
Race 5: 1-5-2-8
Race 6: 5-4-1-6
Race 7: 11-8-7-9
Race 8: 11-8-10-6
Race 9: 12-3-8-7
**Most Likely: Dazzling Sunshine (Race 6)**
**Best Value: Lion Charmer (Race 9)**

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Woodbine Picks - Saturday, May 7, 2022

Race 1: 3-1-4-2
Race 2: 4-2-1-6
Race 3: 1-2-3-5
Race 4: 2-1-3-7
Race 5: 2-1-5-4
Race 6: 3-1-5-7
Race 7: 1-3-2-7
Race 8: 1-6-5-2
Race 9: 1-6-7-3
Race 10: 3-4-9-7
**Most Likely Winner: Hard Edge (Race 10)**
**Best Value: Elite Princess (Race 2)**

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Jeff Nahill’s Churchill Downs opinions for Saturday, May 7 (Kentucky Derby day, Races 5-12)

FIFTH RACE: 5-8-7-6-1

SIXTH RACE: 11-4-2-8-9

SEVENTH RACE: 3-5-10-12-9

EIGHTH RACE: 7-6-2-4-8

NINTH RACE: 7-6-9-2-10

10TH RACE: 1-3-8-7-6

11TH RACE: 8-3-1-6-7 (BEST BET)

12TH RACE KENUCKY DERBY 1. (3) Epicenter, 2. (16) Cyberknife, 3. (12) Taiba, 4. (10) Zandon. LONG SHOT: (8) Charge It.

Gotta be honest, this year, I don’t have a strong opinion. This crop seems pretty even. That being said I think the best 3-year-old I’ve seen is EPICENTER (7-2). Thank goodness trainer Steve Asmussen broke his 0-for-75 streak in Kentucky on Friday’s Oaks undercard. This son of Not This Time has tactical speed and should be up close from the start. CYBERKNIFE (20-1) was beaten by Epicenter In January, but he has won two in a row and reports are he loves the Churchill Downs surface. I view TAIBA (12-1) and MESSIER (8-1) as one in the same. Both are from the Bob Baffert barn (now trained by Tim Yakteen?). Taiba has a ton of talent despite just two starts (and two wins) and he doesn’t work out well so ignore those morning times. MESSIER has tons of talent and a win wouldn’t surprise. ZANDON (3-1) has that guy Flavien Prat in the irons and will be in the mix. CHARGE IT comes from Florida and has talent. If you have an opinion on another horse, bet it. It’s wide open this year.

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Belmont Horses in Focus for Saturday, May 7
Posted on May 6, 2022 by David Aragona

RACE 7: RUN UP THE SCORE (#6)

I’m not trying to beat #6 Run Up the Score, who should break her maiden in her second start, as long as none of the first time starters possess real ability. Little went right for this filly in her debut, and the trouble began at the start. She got away a half-step slowly, then was steadied sharply, putting her at the back of the pack early. That wasn’t the place to be in a race dominated up front on a day that favored speed types. Run Up the Score also seemed to react badly to the intense kickback, having to be spun wide to launch her run. She did close well late but just had too much ground to make up. She figures to fare better if she can manage a clean start this time. Chad Brown is 18 for 53 (34%, $2.17 ROI) with maiden second time starters in dirt sprints at NYRA over 5 years. I suppose the main dangers would be the first time starters from the Todd Pletcher and Bill Mott barns. #2 Don’t Overlook Me is by 8% debut sire Liam’s Map. There isn’t much immediate pedigree on the dam’s side, but her second dam Well Monied earned all of her victories on turf and was Grade 1-placed on that surface. Todd Pletcher is 15 for 55 (27%, $2.25 ROI) with 3YO first time starters in dirt sprints at NYRA over 5 years. She’s been training steadily at Palm Beach Downs, and looked to be traveling well within herself in company with an unraced stablemate on Apr. 8. I slightly prefer her to #5 Precursory, a homebred for Juddmonte. She’s by 15% debut sire Kantharos from a modest female family that hasn’t been especially productive for Juddmonte. Mott has good statistics with his 3-year-old firsters, so she wouldn’t be a huge surprise.

RACE 8: SACRED LIFE (#5)

If #6 Rockemperor does indeed go off as the favorite in the G2 Fort Marcy for the second year in a row, I have to try to beat him. He’s shown himself to be best over longer distances than this 1 1/8 miles, and he’s never been the most reliable win candidate. He did run well to win the Turf Classic last year, but he’s thrown down strong performances and failed to back them up before. He had some legitimate trouble in the Breeders’ Cup, but was back to his habit of disappointing when losing as the heavy favorite in the Hollywood Turf Cup. I don’t need him off the layoff at a short price. #3 City Man seems like the one to beat off his impressive return in the Danger’s Hour last time. He can get the 1 1/8 miles, and arguably ran one of the best races of his career in the Fort Marcy last year behind Tribhuvan. He’s gained consistency with age, and figures to work out a good trip tracking the likely speeds. Some may consider #7 Doswell as a horse that could take them all the way on the front end, but I would anticipate that King Cause will be aggressively ridden. Doswell has also never run as well in New York as he does at Gulfstream, so I don’t trust him to bring his strong recent form north. My top pick is #5 Sacred Life. If this race is run over a rain-softened course, he’s not going to mind some give in the ground. I think he’s run deceptively well in both starts this year. He was ridden with no urgency in the Muniz last time, having no chance to get involved from his position at the top of the stretch. And two back he actually came with a nice late rush in the Pegasus World Cup Turf but ran out of ground over a course that doesn’t really suit his running style. He won going this distance at Belmont in the Knickerbocker last year, perhaps the addition of blinkers will get him a bit more involved early.

RACE 10: ZOOMER (#3)

Likely favorite #4 Cody’s Wish has been pretty popular with the bettors. He is remarkably consistent, having earned rising speed figures throughout his career. He fell just a neck short of winning his fourth in a row last time, but the Challenger has come back as a very strong race. Scalding and Dynamic One returned to finish first and second in the Grade 3 Ben Ali at Keeneland, with improved speed figures. The other 4 horses to run back out of that race have all improved as well in their next starts. The one-mile distance suits him, and he possesses enough tactical speed to not be badly pace-compromised. Still, it’s not like he has some massive speed figure advantage over this field and he figures to be an awfully short price. Many will assume that #2 Sound Money is the lone speed here, as is indicated on the TimeformUS Pace Projector. Perhaps that’s the case, but he’s not a horse who is particularly sharp out of the gate, nor was Kendrick Carmouche at all aggressive with him in his last race. He did win in gate-to-wire fashion going 7 furlongs three back, but did so against a weaker field in a race lacking pace. I’m not way against him as the likely second choice, but I do think he’ll be overbet. My top pick is #3 Zoomer. I acknowledge that he got a perfect trip when he upset Sound Money two back in that optional claimer going today’s distance, with that rival running the better race. He wasn’t quite able to make it three in a row in his first start for the new barn last time, but came with his usual solid rally after having to alter course in the stretch. He figures to appreciate stretching back out to a mile, as he’s run his best races at this distance. While he lacks the class of some others, he does have speed figures to contend at this level. He also possesses more tactical speed than he’s displayed lately, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Dylan Davis gets aggressive and tries to take the lead away from Sound Money early. Note that won impressively in gate-to-wire fashion over a muddy track at Aqueduct last year.

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Robin Goodfellow's racing tips: Best bets for Saturday, May 7

By Sam Turner For The Daily Mail

THIRSK

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.30 Nodsasgoodasawink

6.05 Watermelon Sugar

6.35 Shamekh

7.05 Prayer Matt

7.35 Morty

8.05 Myboymax

8.35 Truth In Jest

GIMCRACK

5.30 Lullaby Bay

6.05 Watermelon Sugar (nb)

6.35 Positive Impact

7.05 Crypto Quest

7.35 Morty

8.05 Molinari

8.35 Point Of Woods

Northerner – 5.30 Lullaby Bay (nap)

ASCOT

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.45 Flyin’ Solo

2.20 Third Realm

2.55 Walbank

3.30 Don’t Tell Claire

4.05 Alrehb (nap)

4.40 Tregony

5.15 Mister Bluebird

GIMCRACK

1.45 Just Hubert

2.20 Mandoob

2.55 Redemption Time

3.30 Delta Bay

4.05 Fresh

4.40 After The Rain

5.15 Mister Bluebird

Newmarket – 4.05 Fresh (nb)

NOTTINGHAM

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.00 Elixsoft

1.35 Greenbarn

2.10 Electric Love

2.45 Grand Scheme

3.20 Global Art

3.55 Aussie Banker

4.30 Rolypolymoly

GIMCRACK

1.00 Safe Passage

1.35 Hebrides

2.10 Four Adaay

2.45 Grand Scheme

3.20 Global Art

3.55 Murphy’s Dream

4.30 Bright Blue

Northerner – 1.35 Greenbarn (nb)

WARWICK

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

5.10 Jeffery’s Cross

5.45 The Plimsoll Line

6.15 Quickbuck

6.50 Fortunes Melody

7.20 Irish Hill

7.50 Oceans Red

8.20 Clapton Hill

GIMCRACK

5.10 Prison Break

5.45 Quiet Flow

6.15 Ashoka

6.50 Kilmington Rose

7.20 Irish Hill

7.50 Oceans Red

8.20 Victory Club


LINGFIELD

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.30 Clitheroe

2.05 Verreaux Eagle

2.40 United Nations

3.15 Emily Dickinson

3.50 Pearl Glory

4.25 Ravens Ark

5.00 Smokey Malone

GIMCRACK

1.30 Tahani

2.05 Verreaux Eagle

2.40 Walk Of Stars

3.15 Emily Dickinson

3.50 Symphony Perfect (nap)

4.25 Charging Thunder

5.00 Thermal


HAYDOCK

ROBIN GOODFELLOW

1.20 Caesar’s Palace

1.50 Brad The Brief

2.25 Proschema

3.00 Anna Bunina

3.35 Aldaary

4.10 Ilary De L’Ecu

4.45 Follow Your Heart

5.18 Mystery Fox

GIMCRACK

1.20 Down To The Kid

1.50 Glen Shiel

2.25 Bronson In Blue

3.00 Anna Bunina

3.35 Aldaary

4.10 Captain Fantastic

4.45 Safran

5.18 Muhtashim

Newmarket – 3.35 Aldaary (nap)