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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #61
    Hollywood Anthony

    Your Free Play MLB Take Tampa Bay -125
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #62
      Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

      Free Winners for Saturday, May 7th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
      FREE HORSE PICKS
      OAKLAWN PARK
      RACE #11
      TIME: 5:15 PM EST
      PICK: BET #14 Man In The Can 9/2 odds to win @ Bovada
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #63
        Handicapper Sonny LaFouchi(aka The LEGEND)!

        Free Winners for Saturday, May 7th 2022 from THE LEGEND!
        FREE NHL PLAYOFFS PICKS
        Tigers @ Astros
        TIME: 4:05 PM EST
        PICK: Bet OVER 8 @ BOVADA
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #64
          Santa Anita Park Tip Sheet - May 7

          SANTA ANITA TIPS - SATURDAY, MAY 07, 2022
          Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
          RACE #1 $50,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:30 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 2 Sai Con R A Vazquez
          PLACE 4-1 7 Curly Esa T Baze
          SHOW 6-1 8 Arrest A Cedillo
          WILD CARD 6-1 3 Awesome Rhythm M Gutierrez
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 1 Ring General R Curatolo
          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Take Action D Van Dyke
          * EXACTA: 2-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/7/8 BOX, 3/7/8 BOX
          RACE #2 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:10 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 8-5 5 Lady Aces V Espinoza
          PLACE 7-5 1 Dance to the Music A Cedillo
          SHOW 5-1 2 Smitten by Kitten D A Herrera
          WILD CARD 5-1 4 Sheza Girly Girl K Frey
          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Shvere Arbeter D Van Dyke
          * EXACTA: 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-4 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
          RACE #3 $40,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
          6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:34 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 4-1 9 See Through It D Van Dyke
          PLACE 5-1 6 Fenestra J J Hernandez
          SHOW 20-1 10 Crash Corrigan E Payeras
          WILD CARD 5-2 8 Barristan The Bold R Curatolo
          ALTERNATE 1 6-1 2 Exultation V Espinoza
          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Midnight Special A Cedillo
          * EXACTA: 9-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX, 10-8 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 6/9/10 BOX, 6/8/10 BOX
          RACE #4 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:15 PM ET
          BEST BET: #6 WARRENS SHOW BIZZ
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 9-5 6 Warrens Show Bizz J J Hernandez
          PLACE 4-1 7 Harddiane D A Herrera
          SHOW 7-2 8 Ardis M Gutierrez
          WILD CARD 6-1 5 Machtenhaironfire A Alsagoor
          ALTERNATE 1 4-1 3 Tequila Tigre R A Vazquez
          ALTERNATE 2 30-1 4 Belle My Belle E Payeras
          * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-5 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 6/7/8 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX
          RACE #5 $100,000 STAKES
          1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:49 PM ET
          ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $100,000 SENORITA STAKES GRADE III
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 3 Island of Love J J Hernandez
          PLACE 5-2 2 Sterling Crest V Espinoza
          SHOW 3-1 5 Delmona T Baze
          WILD CARD 2-1 1 Lucky Girl R A Vazquez
          ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Baby Steps D A Herrera
          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Fuente Ovejuna E A Maldonado
          * EXACTA: 1,2,3,5 Box
          * TRIFECTA: 1,2,3,5 Box
          COMMENTS: ISLAND OF LOVE has been close in both of her races since coming from Italy. STERLING CREST made a strong mid move in her last and could benefit from cutting back in distance today. DELMONA is undefeated in two since coming from England. LUCKY GIRL beat some of these before but did show declining form in her last.
          RACE #6 $12,500 CLAIMING
          6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
          BEST BET: #2 BUSY PAYNTER
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 9-5 2 Busy Paynter R Gonzalez
          PLACE 5-2 4 Take a Leap R A Vazquez
          SHOW 5-2 6 Flat Out Joy A Cedillo
          WILD CARD 9-2 8 Chollima K Frey
          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 3 Time for Ebby T Baze
          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 1 Righteously E Payeras
          * EXACTA: 2-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX
          RACE #7 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
          1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 7:37 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-1 1 Vivando J J Hernandez
          PLACE 7-2 2 Carroll Girl M Gutierrez
          SHOW 5-1 11 Snark T Baze
          WILD CARD 4-1 6 Talented Lady A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 Speedcuber R A Vazquez
          ALTERNATE 2 12-1 4 Ballet Dancing D Van Dyke
          * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-11 BOX, 11-6 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 1/2/11 BOX, 2/6/11 BOX
          RACE #8 $67,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
          7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:10 PM ET
          BEST BET: #7 HERO STATUS
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 5-2 7 Hero Status E A Maldonado
          PLACE 7-2 3 Pioneering Papa T Baze
          SHOW 6-1 4 Virat R A Vazquez
          WILD CARD 4-1 6 Anaheim A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 1 10-1 8 Magic Man D Van Dyke
          ALTERNATE 2 6-1 9 Hopper J J Hernandez
          * EXACTA: 7-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 3/4/7 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
          RACE #9 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DOWNHILL TURF - POST TIME: 8:43 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 4-1 8 Countess Rosina J J Hernandez
          PLACE 8-1 2 Shes Bulletproof T Baze
          SHOW 5-2 3 Connie Swingle K Frey
          WILD CARD 10-1 4 Half Past Twelve A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 1 5-1 1 Gracelund Gray R Curatolo
          ALTERNATE 2 5-1 9 Sixteen Arches V Espinoza
          * EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
          RACE #10 $69,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
          1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 9:13 PM ET
          PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
          WIN 7-2 4 Constitutionaffair R A Vazquez
          PLACE 4-1 11 Shadow Sphinx J Valdivia Jr.
          SHOW 5-1 9 Carmelitas Man J J Hernandez
          WILD CARD 10-1 3 Big Talker A Cedillo
          ALTERNATE 1 15-1 14 Coast of Roan T Baze
          ALTERNATE 2 8-1 1 Nerves of Steel E A Maldonado
          * EXACTA: 4-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
          * TRIFECTA: 4/9/11 BOX, 3/9/11 BOX
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #65
            Tampa Bay Downs Tip Sheet - May 7

            TAMPA BAY TIPS - SATURDAY, MAY 07, 2022
            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 69% of the time at this track.
            RACE #1 $16,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:10 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-2 9 Kizzy M Rowland
            PLACE 2-1 2 Unmarked Money M Meneses
            SHOW 10-1 8 Anahiyas Dream A Quinonez
            WILD CARD 5-1 3 Teas Dream S Spanabel
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 1 Suwannee Chick A A Marin
            ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Dialing Valentine J L Alonso
            * EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/8/9 BOX, 2/3/8 BOX
            RACE #2 $25,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:45 PM ET
            BEST BET: #1 MAKIN IT LOOK EASY
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 8-5 1 Makin It Look Easy S Spanabel
            PLACE 5-2 2 Papa Diamante J Bisono
            SHOW 3-1 6 Unified Ride M Rowland
            WILD CARD 10-1 3 Miss Enciso D Cardoso
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Malibu Sky J V Bridgmohan
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Moor Strength M R Scaldaferri
            * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/2/6 BOX, 2/3/6 BOX
            RACE #3 $8,000 CLAIMING
            7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:22 PM ET
            BEST BET: #1 NANTUCKETER
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 7-5 1 Nantucketer M Rowland
            PLACE 7-2 4 Ramirin A Santos
            SHOW 10-1 6 Luis Two Guns G Wales
            WILD CARD 5-1 3 Bodie Cody J Bisono
            ALTERNATE 1 4-1 5 Icy Storm J L Alonso
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 2 Gold Ducat M Arroyo
            * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/6 BOX, 3/4/6 BOX
            RACE #4 $31,000 ALLOWANCE
            1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:14 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-2 2 Alabama Slammer D Cardoso
            PLACE 3-1 8 Commence A Quinonez
            SHOW 4-1 3 Munqad J Bisono
            WILD CARD 8-1 5 Azure Sky R Alvarado Jr.
            ALTERNATE 1 2-1 1 Hard Lighting M Meneses
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Pirate Parade S Spanabel
            * EXACTA: 2-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/3/8 BOX, 3/5/8 BOX
            RACE #5 $27,000 STARTER ALLOWANCE
            1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:58 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 8 And Won E Chaves
            PLACE 6-1 1 Initforthelove J V Bridgmohan
            SHOW 2-1 5 Outrageous Bet A Quinonez
            WILD CARD 9-2 3 Motataabeq J Bisono
            ALTERNATE 1 10-1 6 Jo Jo Katz A Santos
            ALTERNATE 2 5-1 2 Fly Fly Away M Rowland
            * EXACTA: 8-1 BOX, 1-5 BOX, 5-3 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/5/8 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
            RACE #6 $36,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
            6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:25 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 4-5 5 Dazzling Sunshine M Rowland
            PLACE 2-1 4 Sea Art M Meneses
            SHOW 8-1 1 Tone Elise J Bisono
            WILD CARD 8-1 2 Rosy Apple A Quinonez
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Killargues Girl W Henry
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 3 Lady Wood A Santos
            * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/4 BOX
            RACE #7 $30,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:55 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-1 9 Center Stage M Rowland
            PLACE 6-1 8 Au Chocolat A Santos
            SHOW 5-1 3 Prettykeen E Chaves
            WILD CARD 3-1 11 What a Corker A Quinonez
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 6 Cross Fleet S Spanabel
            ALTERNATE 2 20-1 1 Moon Party L Sanchez
            * EXACTA: 9-8 BOX, 8-3 BOX, 3-11 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/8/9 BOX, 3/8/11 BOX
            RACE #8 $8,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
            6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:40 PM ET
            BEST BET: #8 CARROTS OR CARATS
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 5-2 8 Carrots Or Carats A Santos
            PLACE 5-1 11 Shack the Life D Cardoso
            SHOW 10-1 7 Travelingbluesman J L Alonso
            WILD CARD 8-1 4 Manuka Bobby F A Pinero
            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 10 Midnight Trick W Henry
            ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 The Equinest G Wales
            * EXACTA: 8-11 BOX, 11-7 BOX, 7-4 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 7/8/11 BOX, 4/7/11 BOX
            RACE #9 $10,000 CLAIMING
            1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:10 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 3 Mr. Sarcastic M Rowland
            PLACE 8-1 8 Estilo Varonil A Santos
            SHOW 15-1 4 Pharaoh Fancy Pant E Chaves
            WILD CARD 4-1 6 Skippys Strike J V Bridgmohan
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 12 Lion Charmer A Quinonez
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Jojos Dream D Cardoso
            * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #66
              Oaklawn Park Tip Sheet - May 7

              OAKLAWN PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, MAY 07, 2022
              Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 68% of the time at this track.
              RACE #1 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:05 PM ET
              BEST BET: #5 DUDLEY
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 9-5 5 Dudley I Castillo
              PLACE 7-2 8 Risky Situation G Saez
              SHOW 4-1 2 Backgate Red L S Quinonez
              WILD CARD 6-1 7 Ucantmakethistufup M Garcia
              ALTERNATE 1 9-2 3 Morning Drive E Gonzalez
              ALTERNATE 2 15-1 1 Riante Sky J Hiraldo
              * EXACTA: 5-8 BOX, 8-2 BOX, 2-7 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/5/8 BOX, 2/7/8 BOX
              RACE #2 $12,500 CLAIMING
              1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:40 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 1 Knievel K R Jordan
              PLACE 6-1 4 Bumper Pool J Hiraldo
              SHOW 3-1 7 Chase Tracker G Saez
              WILD CARD 10-1 6 Lucks Big Boy E Esquivel
              ALTERNATE 1 5-2 8 Heliochrome I Castillo
              ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Fay Dan G Franco
              * EXACTA: 1-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/4/7 BOX, 4/6/7 BOX
              RACE #3 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:15 PM ET
              BEST BET: #2 LOYAL TO THE GAME
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 9-5 2 Loyal to the Game I Castillo
              PLACE 7-2 6 Aristocat G Franco
              SHOW 12-1 8 Little Frappucino L S Quinonez
              WILD CARD 7-2 1 Bon Deux M Garcia
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Joans Junior A L Canchari
              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 9 Goblin J Hiraldo
              * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX, 8-1 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/6/8 BOX, 1/6/8 BOX
              RACE #4 $8,000 CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:55 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 7 Verrazano First F Arrieta
              PLACE 6-1 4 Dr. Forman J Hiraldo
              SHOW 6-1 5 Top Brass E Gonzalez
              WILD CARD 3-1 1A Lonely Private D Cohen
              ALTERNATE 1 4-1 2 Horse Greedy I Castillo
              ALTERNATE 2 5-1 6 First Line G Franco
              * EXACTA: 7-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 4/5/7 BOX, 1/4/5 BOX
              RACE #5 $20,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
              1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:25 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 7 Jacks Spring Break E Gonzalez
              PLACE 7-2 1 Serbian Sailor F Arrieta
              SHOW 9-2 2 Traffic Control A L Canchari
              WILD CARD 6-1 3 Cyber Monday K R Jordan
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 9 Slightly Crafty G Saez
              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 5 Mo Vodka L S Quinonez
              * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
              RACE #6 $8,000 CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:01 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 1 Living for Today D Cohen
              PLACE 4-1 9 Honey Parade I Castillo
              SHOW 3-1 3 Beauty Day E Gonzalez
              WILD CARD 15-1 7 Fully Aware E Esquivel
              ALTERNATE 1 2-1 1A Boathouse View D Cohen
              ALTERNATE 2 8-1 4 Five Queens I V Diego
              * EXACTA: 1-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/3/9 BOX, 3/7/9 BOX
              RACE #7 $12,500 CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:41 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 2-1 3 Plane Talk A L Canchari
              PLACE 8-1 8 Pull My Chain J Alicea
              SHOW 5-1 4 Sonnyisnotsofunny G Franco
              WILD CARD 15-1 6 News Box K R Jordan
              ALTERNATE 1 7-2 1 Americain Joey I Castillo
              ALTERNATE 2 9-2 7 Sacred Oath M Garcia
              * EXACTA: 3-8 BOX, 8-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 3/4/8 BOX, 4/6/8 BOX
              RACE #8 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:13 PM ET
              BEST BET: #2 MEAN JAKEY
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-2 2 Mean Jakey L S Quinonez
              PLACE 7-2 1 General Strike I Castillo
              SHOW 5-1 7 Cronus E Esquivel
              WILD CARD 4-1 3 Awesome Charge D Cohen
              ALTERNATE 1 8-1 4 Lead Actor F Arrieta
              ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Chasing Rainbows A L Canchari
              * EXACTA: 2-1 BOX, 1-7 BOX, 7-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/7 BOX, 1/3/7 BOX
              RACE #9 $8,000 CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:47 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 7-2 8 Riverboat Gambler E Gonzalez
              PLACE 8-1 2 Kevin Witte I V Diego
              SHOW 5-2 1A Tiz Showbiz D Cohen
              WILD CARD 9-2 3 Rubiginous E Esquivel
              ALTERNATE 1 5-2 1 Special Pryce D Cohen
              ALTERNATE 2 6-1 11 Mr. Dougie Fresh F Arrieta
              * EXACTA: 8-2 BOX, 2-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/2/8 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
              RACE #10 $107,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
              5 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:25 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 4-1 2 Captain Don J Hiraldo
              PLACE 6-1 12 Ima Bling Cat E Gonzalez
              SHOW 10-1 10 Malintent I Castillo
              WILD CARD 6-1 6 Peace Dog L S Quinonez
              ALTERNATE 1 4-1 13 Bettys Cash L S Quinonez
              ALTERNATE 2 7-2 3 Topf Road Rules F Arrieta
              * EXACTA: 2-12 BOX, 12-10 BOX, 10-6 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 2/10/12 BOX, 6/10/12 BOX
              RACE #11 $200,000 STAKES
              1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:17 PM ET
              ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 ARKANSAS BREEDERS CHAMPIONSHIP SERIES
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 5-1 13 Mrs. Beans M Garcia
              PLACE 10-1 10 Tempt Fate J Hiraldo
              SHOW 5-1 11 Souixper Charger L S Quinonez
              WILD CARD 10-1 12 K Js Nobility E Gonzalez
              ALTERNATE 1 7-2 2 Bandit Point K Harr
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 J. E.s Handmedown I Castillo
              * EXACTA: 10,11,12,13 Box
              * TRIFECTA: 10,11,13/10,11,13/2,10,11,12,13
              COMMENTS: MRS BEANS ran the top last race speed figure and has a bullet workout since. TEMPT FATE is a horse for the course with six wins in 11 races and no wins in five elsewhere. SOUIXPER CHARGER has two really strong workouts since his last outing. KJS NOBILITY has faced many of these many times and is usually in the mix at the end.
              RACE #12 $106,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
              6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:50 PM ET
              PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
              WIN 3-1 9 Rock Star Parking E Esquivel
              PLACE 5-1 1 Nic and Zoe F Arrieta
              SHOW 8-1 6 Nisi Prius L S Quinonez
              WILD CARD 12-1 11 Parkin in the Rear D Cohen
              ALTERNATE 1 4-1 8 Upandcomingstar I Castillo
              ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Kasserine Pass G Franco
              * EXACTA: 9-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX, 6-11 BOX
              * TRIFECTA: 1/6/9 BOX, 1/6/11 BOX
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #67
                Belmont Park Tip Sheet - May 7

                BELMONT PARK TIPS - SATURDAY, MAY 07, 2022
                Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 64% of the time at this track.
                RACE #1 $40,000 CLAIMING
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:20 PM ET
                BEST BET: #4 LIL COMMISSIONER
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 7-5 4 Lil Commissioner J A Gomez
                PLACE 5-1 5 Supreme Aura E Cancel
                SHOW 4-1 1 Two Thirty Five D Davis
                WILD CARD 4-1 2 Croatian J Castellano
                ALTERNATE 1 5-2 3 Crypto Cash K Carmouche
                * EXACTA: 4-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX, 1-2 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/4/5 BOX, 1/2/5 BOX
                RACE #2 $14,000 CLAIMING
                1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:58 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-2 3 Scotty J A Davis
                PLACE 5-2 6 Mucho Sunshine L A Rodriguez Castro
                SHOW 2-1 5 Its Mandatory D Davis
                WILD CARD 4-1 1 The Big Grey J Cruz
                ALTERNATE 1 12-1 4 Devious Mo L Cardenas
                ALTERNATE 2 10-1 2 Eye of Gunfighter J A Gomez
                * EXACTA: 3-6 BOX, 6-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 3/5/6 BOX, 1/5/6 BOX
                RACE #3 $200,000 STAKES
                1 3/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 1:33 PM ET
                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 SHEEPSHEAD BAY STAKES GRADE III
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-5 5 Virginia Joy T McCarthy
                PLACE 5-2 1 Luck Money H R Diaz Jr.
                SHOW 9-2 3 Sister Otoole J Castellano
                WILD CARD 10-1 4 Lovely Lucky D Davis
                ALTERNATE 1 10-1 2 Mia Martina J Alvarado
                * EXACTA: 5/1,3
                * TRIFECTA: 5/1,3/ALL
                COMMENTS: VIRGINIA JOY is a neck from winning three of four since coming from Germany. LUCK MONEY has some of the most late octane and won her only other Belmont start. SISTER OTOOLE is coming off her lifetime best race and could improve in her second start after a layoff. LOVELY LUCKY looks a little better on paper than MIA MARTINA but not by much.
                RACE #4 $92,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 2:04 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 1 Caironi J Lezcano
                PLACE 4-1 10 Diamond Hands T McCarthy
                SHOW 5-2 3 Wonka J Alvarado
                WILD CARD 4-1 6 Lay the Groundwork D Davis
                ALTERNATE 1 2-1 8 Gina Romantica Rider TBA
                ALTERNATE 2 7-2 5 Belacqua J Castellano
                * EXACTA: 1-10 BOX, 10-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/3/10 BOX, 3/6/10 BOX
                RACE #5 $92,000 ALLOWANCE
                7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:37 PM ET
                BEST BET: #1 RIVER DOG
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 3-1 1 River Dog K Carmouche
                PLACE 9-2 2 Twelth Man J Castellano
                SHOW 4-1 3 Patient Capital T McCarthy
                WILD CARD 5-2 4 American Gentleman J Lezcano
                ALTERNATE 1 7-2 6 Trappezoid J A Gomez
                ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Unbridled Bomber D Davis
                * EXACTA: 1-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 1/2/3 BOX, 2/3/4 BOX
                RACE #6 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:13 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 10-1 9 Dream of a Day J Alvarado
                PLACE 3-1 5 Strapped J Castellano
                SHOW 5-2 11 Als Rocket K Carmouche
                WILD CARD 5-1 10 Union Buster D Davis
                ALTERNATE 1 1-1 7 Efficiency T McCarthy
                ALTERNATE 2 6-1 1 Oglethorpe J Lezcano
                * EXACTA: 9-5 BOX, 5-11 BOX, 11-10 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 5/9/11 BOX, 5/10/11 BOX
                RACE #7 $90,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 3:48 PM ET
                BEST BET: #6 RUN UP THE SCORE
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-2 6 Run Up the Score D Davis
                PLACE 5-1 7 Everyoneloveslinda E Cancel
                SHOW 3-1 2 Dont Overlook Me K Carmouche
                WILD CARD 7-2 5 Precursory J Lezcano
                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 4 Demandsrespect T McCarthy
                ALTERNATE 2 15-1 3 Silken Dollar R E Mena
                * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-2 BOX, 2-5 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 2/6/7 BOX, 2/5/7 BOX
                RACE #8 $200,000 STAKES
                1 1/8 MILES ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 4:19 PM ET
                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 FORT MERCY STAKES GRADE II
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-2 6 Rockemperor D Davis
                PLACE 7-2 5 Sacred Life H R Diaz Jr.
                SHOW 4-1 7 Doswell K Carmouche
                WILD CARD 3-1 3 City Man T McCarthy
                ALTERNATE 1 10-1 4 King Cause J Castellano
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 8 LImperator E Cancel
                * EXACTA: 3,5,6,7 Box
                * TRIFECTA: 5,6,7/3,5,6,7/3,4,5,6,7
                COMMENTS: ROCKEMPEROR never missed the board in five at the distance. SACRED LIFE ran a big late pace number in his last race and might be better in his second race following some rest. DOSWELL does his best work upfront. He could be difficult to beat if he has the lead early. CITY MAN ran five quality races in a row.
                RACE #9 $92,000 ALLOWANCE
                6 FURLONGS ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 4:56 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 5-2 5 Stony Point D Davis
                PLACE 8-1 4 Screamin By E Cancel
                SHOW 15-1 6 Charlee O J A Gomez
                WILD CARD 7-2 10 Mac the Pee H Dee K Carmouche
                ALTERNATE 1 4-1 1A Baby Man J A Gomez
                ALTERNATE 2 8-1 9 Aziza J Lezcano
                * EXACTA: 5-4 BOX, 4-6 BOX, 6-10 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 4/5/6 BOX, 4/6/10 BOX
                RACE #10 $200,000 STAKES
                1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 5:37 PM ET
                ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $200,000 WESTCHESTER STAKES GRADE III
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 1-1 4 Codys Wish J Alvarado
                PLACE 6-1 3 Zoomer D Davis
                SHOW 9-2 1 Greatest Honour J Castellano
                WILD CARD 8-5 2 Sound Money K Carmouche
                ALTERNATE 1 15-1 5 Informative D Haddock
                * EXACTA: 3,4/1,2,3,4
                * TRIFECTA: 3,4/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4
                COMMENTS: CODYS WISH is a neck from winning four straight. ZOOMER is making his second start for Linda Rice. It is a 30 percent winning angle for the trainer. GREATEST HONOUR has finished in the money eight of eight on a fast track. SOUND MONEY could be in top form making his third start after a layoff.
                RACE #11 $40,000 MAIDEN CLAIMING
                6 FURLONGS ON THE INNER TURF - POST TIME: 6:08 PM ET
                PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                WIN 4-1 9 Darn That Song K Carmouche
                PLACE 7-2 2 Doc Doc Rock J Lezcano
                SHOW 4-1 8 Dixie Kitten J A Gomez
                WILD CARD 9-2 6 Lollygag J Alvarado
                ALTERNATE 1 6-1 12 Glittering Prize H K Harkie
                ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Tonight We Love E Cancel
                * EXACTA: 9-2 BOX, 2-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX
                * TRIFECTA: 2/8/9 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #68
                  Churchill Downs Derby Day Tip Sheet - May 7

                  CHURCHILL DOWNS TIPS - SATURDAY, MAY 07, 2022
                  Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 67% of the time at this track.
                  RACE #1 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                  1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 10:30 AM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 4-1 9 Congressman F Prat
                  PLACE 9-2 10 Logico J L Ortiz
                  SHOW 9-2 11 King Ottoman J Rosario
                  WILD CARD 12-1 2 Malibu S S T Gaffalione
                  ALTERNATE 1 4-1 14 Gasoline L Saez
                  ALTERNATE 2 8-1 6 Vinco B J Hernandez Jr.
                  * EXACTA: 9-10 BOX, 10-11 BOX, 11-2 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 9/10/11 BOX, 2/10/11 BOX
                  RACE #2 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                  6 1/2 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 11:01 AM ET
                  BEST BET: #4 SURFER DUDE
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 3-1 4 Surfer Dude I Ortiz Jr.
                  PLACE 8-1 8 Osbourne T Gaffalione
                  SHOW 5-2 6 Great Escape F Prat
                  WILD CARD 9-2 2 Stayed in for Half J Rosario
                  ALTERNATE 1 6-1 3 Unpredictable Bay J R Leparoux
                  ALTERNATE 2 15-1 10 Buckingham Prince F Geroux
                  * EXACTA: 4-8 BOX, 8-6 BOX, 6-2 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 4/6/8 BOX, 2/6/8 BOX
                  RACE #3 $127,000 ALLOWANCE
                  1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 11:31 AM ET
                  BEST BET: #9 QUEEN BOURBON
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 9-2 9 Queen Bourbon B J Hernandez Jr.
                  PLACE 3-1 7 Final Belle U Rispoli
                  SHOW 7-2 6 Ready Lady J R Velazquez
                  WILD CARD 9-2 8 Talking Book J Rosario
                  ALTERNATE 1 2-1 10 Played Hard T Gaffalione
                  ALTERNATE 2 15-1 5 Two Sixtyone M Murrill
                  * EXACTA: 9-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX, 6-8 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 6/7/9 BOX, 6/7/8 BOX
                  RACE #4 $127,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                  1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 12:04 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 4-1 10 Money Supply F Prat
                  PLACE 5-1 12 Emirates Road T Gaffalione
                  SHOW 9-2 1 McLaren Vale L Saez
                  WILD CARD 5-1 6 Creative Minister B J Hernandez Jr.
                  ALTERNATE 1 9-2 1A Varatti L Saez
                  ALTERNATE 2 9-2 2 Bye Bye Bobby J R Velazquez
                  * EXACTA: 10-12 BOX, 12-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 1/10/12 BOX, 1/6/12 BOX
                  RACE #5 $500,000 STAKES
                  1 MILE ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 12:36 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K DISTAFF TURF MILE G1
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 3-1 7 In Italian I Ortiz Jr.
                  PLACE 2-1 8 Speak of the Devil F Prat
                  SHOW 5-2 6 Lady Speightspeare L Saez
                  WILD CARD 20-1 4 Abscond T Gaffalione
                  ALTERNATE 1 8-1 2 Flower Point J Rosario
                  ALTERNATE 2 6-1 5 Wakanaka J L Ortiz
                  * EXACTA: 6,7,8 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 6,7,8/6,7,8/ 2,4,6,7,8
                  COMMENTS: IN ITALIAN ran the top last race speed figure and is undefeated in two at the distance. SPEAK OF THE DEVIL has faced some solid company in Europe and might prefer softer footing. LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE showed some late pace improvement in her last and might benefit from cutting back in distance a little. ABSCOND has not won in a while but she is usually close at the end.
                  RACE #6 $160,000 STAKES
                  1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:14 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $160K KNICKS GO OVERNIGHT STAKES
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 3-1 2 Shared Sense F Geroux
                  PLACE 15-1 8 Injunction J L Ortiz
                  SHOW 5-2 4 Dream Shake F Prat
                  WILD CARD 15-1 1 A C Expressway I Ortiz Jr.
                  ALTERNATE 1 8-1 7 South Bend J Rosario
                  ALTERNATE 2 6-1 11 Necker Island M Murrill
                  * EXACTA: 2,4,8 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 2,4,8/1,2,4,8/ 1,2,4,7,8
                  COMMENTS: SHARED SENSE never missed the board in four Churchill Downs races and ran the highest last race speed figure. INJUNCTION should be in peak form in his third start after a layoff. The third run was the best in the last three race cycle. DREAM SHAKE has three consecutive speed figure increases and might take another step up in his second start following some rest. AC EXPRESSWAY has been working well for this spot and could be closer to the front than usual.
                  RACE #7 $500,000 STAKES
                  1 MILE ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 1:56 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K PAT DAY MILE G2
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 2-1 5 Jack Christopher J L Ortiz
                  PLACE 9-2 1 Major General I Ortiz Jr.
                  SHOW 4-1 11 My Prankster L Saez
                  WILD CARD 6-1 3 Pappacap F Prat
                  ALTERNATE 1 20-1 9 Trafalgar C J Hernandez
                  ALTERNATE 2 10-1 6 Tejano Twist J Rocco Jr.
                  * EXACTA: 1,3,5,11 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 1,5,11/1,3,5, 11/1,3,5,9,11
                  COMMENTS: JACK CHRISTOPHER has an early pace edge but also has enough late energy to stay upfront. MAJOR GENERAL has the versatility to win from the front, middle or back. MY PRANKSTER does his best when he is closer to the front out of the gates. The projected pace sets up well for him. PAPPACAP has probably faced the toughest competition for this group. This might be the easiest field he has faces in his last five starts.
                  RACE #8 $750,000 STAKES
                  7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 2:48 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750K DERBY CITY DISTAFF G1
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 3-1 2 Just One Time F Prat
                  PLACE 5-1 1 Lady Rocket I Ortiz Jr.
                  SHOW 5-1 6 Bells the One C J Lanerie
                  WILD CARD 4-1 7 Edgeway J R Velazquez
                  ALTERNATE 1 7-2 5 Obligatory J L Ortiz
                  ALTERNATE 2 9-2 4 Kimari J Rosario
                  * EXACTA: 1,2,6,7 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 1,2,6/1,2,6,7/ 1,2,5,6,7
                  COMMENTS: JUST ONE TIME showed better in the back half of her last race and ran faster fractions in her last. LADY ROCKET is an all or nothing horse at the distance with three wins in five stats with nothing else. BELLS THE ONE has some of the best late pace and could get a good trip with plenty of fast types in front of her. EDGEWAY is fast out of the gate and fast on the track. She will be hard to beat if she has the lead in the stretch.
                  RACE #9 $500,000 STAKES
                  1 1/16 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 3:40 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $500K AMERICAN TURF STAKES G2
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 9-2 6 Portfolio Company J Rosario
                  PLACE 7-2 7 Sy Dog I Ortiz Jr.
                  SHOW 5-1 5 Balnikhov M Franco
                  WILD CARD 10-1 11 Dowagiac Chief J Graham
                  ALTERNATE 1 12-1 9 Stolen Base F Prat
                  ALTERNATE 2 15-1 8 Royal Spirit T Gaffalione
                  * EXACTA: 5,6,7,11 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 5,6,7/5,6,7,11 /5,6,7,9,11
                  COMMENTS: PORTFOLIO COMPANY should be close to the front all the way around the track and has done well at the distance with a win and two second in three tries. SY DOG is undefeated in three but will need to step up here game versus these. BALNIKHOV should improve in his second start off a layoff and his second in the US. DOWAGIAC CHIEF ran the top last race speed figure and was considerably better in the first half of the race.
                  RACE #10 $750,000 STAKES
                  7 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 4:31 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $750K CHURCHILL DOWNS STAKES G1
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 5-2 3 Jackies Warrior J Rosario
                  PLACE 7-2 1 Aloha West J L Ortiz
                  SHOW 4-1 8 Cezanne F Prat
                  WILD CARD 7-2 5 Reinvestment Risk I Ortiz Jr.
                  ALTERNATE 1 5-1 7 Mind Control J R Velazquez
                  ALTERNATE 2 6-1 6 Prevalence T Gaffalione
                  * EXACTA: 1,3,5,8 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 1,3/1,3,5,8/1,3,5,7,8
                  COMMENTS: JACKIES WARRIOR should have the pace all his way. ALOHA WEST might be the one that can run down JACKIES WARRIOR late with three triple digit speed numbers in a row. CEZANNEs last race was even better than it looks like on paper with the same fractions at 1 miles as at 7 furlongs. REINVESTMENT RISK has improved his numbers in four straight races and might do it again in the third start after a layoff.
                  RACE #11 $1,000,000 STAKES
                  1 1/8 MILES ON THE TURF - POST TIME: 5:27 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $1M TURF CLASSIC STAKES G1
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 4-1 1 Ivar J Talamo
                  PLACE 5-1 3 Public Sector I Ortiz Jr.
                  SHOW 3-1 6 Shirls Speight L Saez
                  WILD CARD 5-1 4 Tribhuvan M Franco
                  ALTERNATE 1 30-1 2 Bizzee Channel G Corrales
                  ALTERNATE 2 12-1 7 Cavalry Charge B J Hernandez Jr.
                  * EXACTA: 1,3,4,6 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 1,3,6/1,3,4,6/ 1,2,3,4,6
                  COMMENTS: IVAR tied for the top last race speed figure in the Breeders Cup Mile. He is either won or been no more than 2 lengths behind the winner in seven consecutive outings. PUBLIC SECTOR has seven high quality efforts in his last seven races. SHIRLS SPEIGHT seems to be better the longer the race go, She gets more distance today. TRIBHUVAN could get a comfortable pace and be near the front from start to finish.
                  RACE #12 $3,000,000 STAKES
                  1 1/4 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 6:57 PM ET
                  ** BONUS COMMENTARY ** $3M KENTUCKY DERBY G1
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 7-2 3 Epicenter J Rosario
                  PLACE 10-1 1 Mo Donegal I Ortiz Jr.
                  SHOW 3-1 10 Zandon F Prat
                  WILD CARD 8-1 6 Messier J R Velazquez
                  ALTERNATE 1 20-1 5 Smile Happy C J Lanerie
                  ALTERNATE 2 12-1 12 Taiba M E Smith
                  * EXACTA: 1,3,6,10 Box
                  * TRIFECTA: 1,3,10/1,3,6,10/ 1,3,5,6,10,12
                  COMMENTS: EPICENTER has proven he can win from the front or come from off the pace as he did to top the morning line favorite ZANDON. MO DONEGAL popped a huge speed number in his last and has tremendous late pace. If jockey Irad Ortiz, Jr, can stay in touch with the leaders early, they probably will not have enough to hold him off at the end. ZANDON is another that packs a powerful late punch. He has lost to some of the projected favorites but not by much. The extra distance could be the difference. MESSIERs last race was his best speed figure, despite finishing second. His resume says he will take it up a notch today.
                  RACE #13 $134,000 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING
                  1 1/16 MILES ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 7:55 PM ET
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 9-2 6 Candy Tycoon L Saez
                  PLACE 6-1 11 Laughing Boy B J Hernandez Jr.
                  SHOW 4-1 9 Militarist J L Ortiz
                  WILD CARD 6-1 3 Life Is Hard T J Pereira
                  ALTERNATE 1 8-1 5 Treasury J Graham
                  ALTERNATE 2 6-1 4 Rising Empire A Beschizza
                  * EXACTA: 6-11 BOX, 11-9 BOX, 9-3 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 6/9/11 BOX, 3/9/11 BOX
                  RACE #14 $120,000 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT
                  6 FURLONGS ON THE DIRT - POST TIME: 8:30 PM ET
                  BEST BET: #12 BOURBON HEIST
                  PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
                  WIN 4-1 12 Bourbon Heist L Saez
                  PLACE 6-1 7 Elite Power J Rosario
                  SHOW 8-1 8 Improbable Journey A Beschizza
                  WILD CARD 3-1 11 Strobe F Geroux
                  ALTERNATE 1 10-1 9 Master Game T Gaffalione
                  ALTERNATE 2 6-1 3 Ludwig I Ortiz Jr.
                  * EXACTA: 12-7 BOX, 7-8 BOX, 8-11 BOX
                  * TRIFECTA: 7/8/12 BOX, 7/8/11 BOX
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #69
                    Churchill Downs FULLCARD Derby Hotlist - May 7

                    May 6, 2022

                    Today’s Churchill Downs Hot List fullcard selections
                    Saturday, May 7, 2022
                    Kentucky Derby Day

                    By Bob Ehalt and Matt Shifman
                    Hot List Key:
                    A:
                    A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                    *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                    *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
                    * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                    1st race – (10) Logico was second in his last two starts at Gulfstream Park and seems ready to graduate from the maiden ranks. (2) Malibu S S was bumped early in his debut, then fell back and closed fast late. Should be a main threat here. (7) Warrior Johny was second last time and fits well here. (9) Congressman tired in his debut but should benefit from that experience.
                    2nd race – (8) Osbourne was a good third in a stakes and should be tougher with the addition of Lasix. (4) Surfer Dude was a length ahead of the top choice and promises to be the main threat. (7) Cathedral Beach won by a nose and should be a main threat. (6) Great Escape will welcome a return to dirt.
                    3rd race - (7) Final Belle rallied wide and then tired. Likely to move forward here. (3) Lady Rockstar deserves a long look in her U.S. debut. (8) Talking Book can bounce back with a better effort here. (2) Community Adjusted makes her 2022 debut and cannot be ignored.
                    4th race – (1) McLaren Vale is a former Baffert runner who ships in from California and looks best. (10) Money Supply had traffic issues last time and is the one to fear. (12) Emirates Road graduated from the maiden ranks impressively and will welcome wet going. (8) Mendenhall will be a factor if he can duplicate his last try.
                    5th race – The Longines Churchill Distaff Turf Mile, G2 - (8) Speak of the Devil makes her U.S. debut for Chad Brown and should prevail over this group. (5) Wakanaka closed fast for second last time and will be the key rival. (7) In Italian has won her last three starts and will be tough to reel in on the front end. (6) Lady Speightspeare exits a Grade 1 stakes and figures to be a factor in this field.
                    6th race – The Knicks Go Overnight Stakes - (2) Shared Sense rebounded with a big effort last time and should give Cox a sentimental win in a stakes named for a horse he trained. (1) A C Expressway was a troubled second last time and can complete the exacta. (7) South Bend was hurt by a wide trip on a sloppy track and should fare better here. (8) Injunction comes off a narrow loss and can make his presence felt.
                    7th race – The Pat Day Mile, G2 - (5) Jack Christopher missed the Derby but can start off his 3-year-old season with a victory here. (11) My Prankster disappointed last time but can bounce back to top form here. (12) O Captain should relish a cutback to a one-turn test. (3) Pappacap has been facing the top 3-year-olds and merits consideration.
                    8th race – The Derby City Distaff, G1 - (6) Bell’s The One loves Churchill Downs and should resume her winning ways here. (2) Just Our Time is in great form and will be the top challenger. (7) Edgeway has sharp early speed and is a threat to lead throughout. (5) Obligatory seeks a third straight win and should be a stretch threat.
                    9th race – The American Turf Stakes, G2 - (7) Sy Dog is a perfect 3-for-3 and can keep his unbeaten record alive here. (5) Balnikhov missed by a nose in his U. S. debut and should pose the biggest threat for the top pick. (6) Portfolio Company makes his 3-year-old debut and showed enough talent at 2 to be a force here. (2) Main Event was a front-running winner last time and cannot be discounted.
                    10th race – The Churchill Downs Stakes, G1 - (3) Jackie’s Warrior started the year on a winning note and should prevail in this spot. (6) Prevalence seeks a third straight win and is quite capable of recording a victory. (8) Cezanne makes his debut for Pletcher and seems ready for a big effort. (1) Aloha West makes his first start since winning the Breeders’ Cup Sprint and should make his presence felt in the final furlong.
                    11th race – The Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic, G1 - (5) Mira Mission lacked a strong enough rally at a mile but should benefit from the added ground in this field. (8) Adhamo just missed with a furious rally in his U. S. debut and will be top rival. (10) Santin has yet to turn in a poor effort but drew a tough post. (1) Ivar is classy and worth a look from the rail in his 2022 debut.
                    12th race – The Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve, G1 - (16) Cyberknife finally put it all together with an impressive win in the Arkansas Derby and has trained sharply since then. He has the right running style for the race and gets a narrow nod in a very competitive edition of America’s most famous race. (3) Epicenter looked great in his last two wins and will be very tough to reel in during the stretch run. (10) Zandon impressed with his Blue Grass win must needs to put aside his habit of breaking slowly which could be costly here. (7) Crown Pride seems quite capable of continuing Japan’s success story in major international races.
                    13th race – (3) Life is Hard won his last two starts in a manner that indicates he can make it three in a row here. (8) Starrininmydreams was a distant second last time but could be closer here. (4) Rising Empire seeks a third straight win and cannot be overlooked in this field. (5) Treasury have been no worse than third in his last five starts and deserves a good look.
                    14th race – (11) Strobe is a firster from Cox who can close out a great card by winning in his debut. (12) Bourbon Heist seemed home free and then was caught late. Can make amends here. (7) Elite Power makes his 2022 debut and seems set for a good performance. (3) Ludwig woke up with a solid second in his second race and will be dangerous off a similar try.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #70
                      Keeneland Select Pick of the Day | May 7, 2022

                      May 6, 2022

                      Race 7 at Churchill Downs | Saturday May 7 | Post Time 1:56 PM Eastern
                      Pat Day Mile Stakes – Grade 2 | Purse $500,000 | One Mile | Three Year Olds

                      Although this race runs through likely heavy betting favorite Jack Christopher (5), a phenomenon as a two year old who is returning to the races after seven months off, I will try to beat him. After a sensational debut last August, the colt easily won the Champagne Stakes at Belmont in October but then did not make any of the big two year old races thereafter. He didn’t make any of the three year old races this winter or early spring either, leading to talk he was injured, or something was amiss. Returning to training in February after three months off, Jack Christopher has been working consistently and without a doubt if he runs as he did in either of his 2021 races he can win. HOWEVER, there is an elephant in the room as there is with many a horse off for a long time and/or returning as a three year old, and particularly when considering wagering on one who is likely to be the prohibitive favorite.
                      Win contenders:
                      With so many of the horses here having taken their shots on the Road to the Derby in longer races, the horses which are proven sprinters (a one turn mile at Churchill Downs is just a long sprint). Tejano Twist (6) is one of those and he opens at 10/1. Now first or second in eight of 11 races, if we can excuse his last race (in which he finished 11th) as an aberration he has absolutely every right to win. He won the $200K Lively Shively Stakes at Churchill Downs last November as the 6 to 5 favorite and he returned off a two and one-half month rest in March to be beaten only three-quarters of a length with a 107 Equibase Speed Figure equaled only by Jack Christopher’s Champagne figure from last year. He should run very well.
                      My Prankster (11) has run six times, all sprints, winning three of those and finishing second in another. He won the similar Grade 3 Swale Stakes in February then took two months off then finished fourth last month, a race he can move forward off of in his second start back.
                      Major General (1) is the only horse cutting back in distance I can consider as a contender. He won his debut last summer sprinting then won the Iroquois Stakes around two turns here at Churchill Downs. After a poor 10th place effort following six months off, Major General rebounded to finish second in the Lexington Stakes three weeks ago after leading for most of the race. Blinkers added for that race, and/or the fact Irad Ortiz Jr. rode for the first time, are the reasons for that turnaround and with the same jockey in the saddle today Major General should have a big say in the outcome.

                      Win bets:
                      Tejano Twist (6) and My Prankster (11) at odds of 7 to 2 or higher.

                      Exactas:
                      Box Major General (1), Tejano Twist (6) and My Prankster (11).
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #71
                        Belmont Park Hotlist - May 7

                        May 6, 2022

                        Today’s NY Hot List races to watch – Saturday, May 7, 2022 at Belmont Park
                        By Matt Shifman and Bob Ehalt
                        Hot List Key:
                        A:
                        A preferred horse to watch B: Secondary horse to watch
                        *C: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 1st through 3rd
                        *D: Went down 2 or more betting notches and finished 4th or worst
                        * - 4 or more betting notches if 11-1 or more.
                        1st race [Clm 40000, 1 1/16 mi] – (1) Two Thirty Five (A) had a rough trip in which he got bumped, raced six-wide, battled down the stretch, and lost a head bob. (4) Lil Commissioner gets some class relief after racing against top allowance horses and drops into a claimer for the first time in almost two years. (3) Crypto Cash was claimed from his last two starts, both of which were victories. (5) Supreme Aura will stretch back out to a distance where he has two wins and on a track where he has two wins.
                        7th race [Md Sp Wt, 6
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #72
                          Kentucky Derby Horse Racing Picks for Saturday 5/7/22
                          Jay Ginsbach — @FairwayJay

                          Starting at 10:30 a.m. EST, we have 14 races at Churchill Downs on Kentucky Derby Day, including seven graded stakes races. Using TVG and Horse Racing Nation as a Guide, here are some of the best bets.

                          As always, check the program for scratches and changes, and monitor the weather and track conditions.

                          (I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions.)
                          My Prankster and Trademark

                          TVG Odds: 4/1 and 20/1

                          Race 7 is the $500K Pat Day Mile for 3-year-olds. The TVG and HRN data projects My Prankster (4/1) and Jack Christopher (3/1) to decide the race with longshot Trademark (20/1) a viable contender.

                          The race has higher payoff potential, and Trademark was on the Derby Trail previously and finished fifth in the Blue Grass behind Derby favorite Zandon. He has sharp works and top value cutting back in distance.

                          Jack Christopher is the best horse in the race based on last year’s performances. He enters off a 7-month layoff and will be the front-runner into modest fractions.

                          My Prankster will be sitting off the leaders can run well on a fast or off-track and is sitting on his best race.
                          Jackie’s Warrior, Race 10

                          TVG Odds: 5/2

                          Race 10 is the $750K Churchill Downs Stakes for older horses racing 7 furlongs. The HRN data projects Jackie’s Warrior (5/2) to win and turn the tables on Aloha West (7/2) from last year’s Breeders Cup.

                          Jackie’s Warrior holds a tremendous pace advantage, and his early pace figures tower over the field. Jockey Joel Rosario should ride him to victory for the fifth time in his last six graded stakes starts.

                          Reinvestment Risk (7/2) is a reliable board hitter while Prevalence (6/1) is one to include if the track comes up sloppy.
                          Mo Donegal and Charge It, Race 12

                          TVG Odds: 10/1 and 20/1

                          Race 12 is the 148th running of the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby for 3-year-olds racing the classic 1 1/4 mile distance. A total of 20 runners are set to Run for the Roses in the $3 million race.

                          The top contenders, according to the TVG Derby Betting Guide are Epicenter (7/2), Zandon (3/1, Messier (8/1), Mo Donegal (10/1), Smile Happy (20/1), and Taiba (12/1), who has been taking more money leading up to the biggest race.

                          Simplification (20/1, Charge It (20/1), and Tiz the Bomb (30/1) are the big longshots with the best chance to cash in.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #73
                            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sonoita

                            Always check program numbers.
                            Odds shown are morning line odds.




                            Race 2 - Maiden - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $6400 Class Rating: 69

                            QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.

                            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                            # 6 MIDDLEMARCH GIRL 9/2
                            # 2 RJL CASHING IN 7/1
                            # 8 DASHES ON THE FLY 3/1
                            I give my vote to MIDDLEMARCH GIRL here. Is a strong contender based on figs recorded recently under today's conditions. With a reliable jockey who has won at a quite good 17 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top choices. She has been running quite well recently while recording very solid speed figures. RJL CASHING IN - Has been running well lately and will most likely be up near the lead early on. Should go off at a big price and has some positives going for her. DASHES ON THE FLY - Could best this field based on the speed fig - 69 - of his last effort. Should expect a solid outing with the class drop.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #74
                              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

                              Penn National - Race 7
                              W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double
                              Claiming $4,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 71 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 4:50P
                              (PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 7. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
                              Contenders
                              Race Analysis
                              P#
                              Horse
                              Morn
                              Line
                              Accept
                              Odds

                              Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * INTROSPECTION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest ave rage Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. TEACHER DRAMA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/sur face.
                              6
                              INTROSPECTION
                              9/2
                              5/2
                              2
                              TEACHER DRAMA
                              5/2
                              3/1

                              P#
                              Horse (In Running Style Order)
                              Post
                              Morn
                              Line
                              Running Style
                              Good
                              Class
                              Good
                              Speed
                              Early Figure
                              Finish Figure
                              Platinum
                              Figure
                              6
                              INTROSPECTION
                              6
                              9/2
                              Alternator/Stalker
                              79
                              69
                              53.0
                              59.6
                              54.1
                              2
                              TEACHER DRAMA
                              2
                              5/2
                              Trailer
                              74
                              69
                              35.2
                              65.6
                              63.1
                              5
                              ALLISON K
                              5
                              3/1
                              Trailer
                              70
                              52
                              23.0
                              52.2
                              44.7
                              4
                              NEARLY MISSED
                              4
                              5/1
                              Alternator/Non-contender
                              63
                              43
                              45.2
                              47.2
                              37.7
                              3
                              PRIDE IN THE BIZ
                              3
                              6/1
                              Alternator/Non-contender
                              73
                              53
                              44.8
                              49.6
                              42.6
                              1
                              GIZMO'S DESTINY
                              1
                              7/2
                              Alternator/Non-contender
                              70
                              52
                              38.8
                              49.6
                              41.1
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369858

                                #75
                                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)



                                Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 6
                                $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Pick Three Superfecta (.10 cent minimum wager)
                                Maiden • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 76 • Purse: $9,100 • Post: 9:02P
                                QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 126 LBS.
                                Contenders
                                Race Analysis
                                P#
                                Horse
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Accept
                                Odds

                                Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * WILD NIGHTS: A first time starter with a trainer that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). ESCALATED: Jockey/Trainer combination return on inv estment is at least +20.
                                6
                                WILD NIGHTS
                                6/5
                                7/2
                                4
                                ESCALATED
                                6/1
                                5/1
                                7
                                MATILDA THE EAGLE
                                15/1
                                10/1
                                5
                                TELLER LEGACY MRL
                                8/1
                                10/1

                                P#
                                Horse (In Running Style Order)
                                Post
                                Morn
                                Line
                                Running Style
                                Good
                                Class
                                Good
                                Speed
                                Early Figure
                                Finish Figure
                                Platinum
                                Figure
                                2
                                SOMEWHERE OUT WEST
                                2
                                9/2
                                Slow
                                0
                                0
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                0.0
                                Unknown Running Style: TELLER TO LOOK (10/1) [Jockey: Herrera Diego A - Trainer: Andrade Elena], JETTIN GIGI (7/2) [Jockey: Zepeda Alberto - Trainer: Gonzalez Felix L], ESCALATED (6/1) [Jockey: Nicasio Jose M - Trainer: Casselman Michael V], TELLER L

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